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Dispositive Motion Deadline

Date
2021-06-21

Summary

Document 38 in Klaassen et al v. The Trustees of Indiana University, No. 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC, in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Indiana, filed July 20, 2021 and running 115 pages. It opens with the civil docket sheet for the case, filed June 21, 2021 and assigned to Judge Damon R Leichty, listing counsel for the student plaintiffs and for the university. The entries record the complaint for declaratory and injunctive relief with exhibits on the university's COVID-19 vaccine requirement, the first motion for preliminary injunction, a recusal order, reassignment, and a June 25, 2021 order setting oral argument for July 13, 2021. The document closes with the court's opinion, Document 34 filed July 18, 2021, which denies the preliminary injunction motion [ECF 7] on the Fourteenth Amendment due process claim.

Summary drafted by a model from the document's text below and checked by script against that text before publication. It is a navigation aid, not a reading of what the document proves. Where AI is used

Full text

USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 1 of 115




                                                                                        APPEAL,CASREF
               U.S. District Court Northern District of Indiana [LIVE]
                       USDC Northern Indiana (Fort Wayne)
              CIVIL DOCKET FOR CASE #: 1:21−cv−00238−DRL−SLC

  Klaassen et al v. The Trustees of Indiana University          Date Filed: 06/21/2021
  Assigned to: Judge Damon R Leichty                            Jury Demand: None
  Referred to: Magistrate Judge Susan L Collins                 Nature of Suit: 440 Civil Rights: Other
  Cause: 28:1331 Federal Question: Other Civil Rights           Jurisdiction: Federal Question

  Discovery Deadline:                                           Settlement Conference:
  Dispositive Motion Deadline:                                  Final Pretrial Conference:
  Expert Discovery Deadline:                                    Trial Date:
  Plaintiff
  Ryan Klaassen                                   represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
                                                                 The Bopp Law Firm
                                                                 The National Building
                                                                 1 S Sixth St
                                                                 Terre Haute, IN 47807−3510
                                                                 812−232−2434
                                                                 Fax: 812−235−3685
                                                                 Email: cmilbank@bopplaw.com
                                                                 ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                               Melena S Siebert
                                                               The Bopp Law Firm
                                                               The National Building
                                                               1 S Sixth St
                                                               Terre Haute, IN 47807−3510
                                                               812−232−2434
                                                               Fax: 812−235−3685
                                                               Email: msiebert@bopplaw.com
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                               Richard E Coleson
                                                               The Bopp Law Firm
                                                               The National Building
                                                               1 S Sixth St
                                                               Terre Haute, IN 47807−3510
                                                               812−232−2434
                                                               Fax: 812−235−3685
                                                               Email: rcoleson@bopplaw.com
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                               James Bopp , Jr
                                                               The Bopp Law Firm
                                                               The National Building
                                                               1 S Sixth St
                                                               Terre Haute, IN 47807−3510


                                                                                                          1
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 2 of 115




                                                  812−232−2434
                                                  Fax: 812−235−3685
                                                  Email: jboppjr@aol.com
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

  Plaintiff
  Jaime Carini                        represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
                                                     (See above for address)
                                                     ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Melena S Siebert
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Richard E Coleson
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  James Bopp , Jr
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

  Plaintiff
  D. J. B.                            represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
  next friend                                        (See above for address)
  Daniel G Baumgartner                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Melena S Siebert
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Richard E Coleson
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  James Bopp , Jr
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

  Plaintiff
  Ashlee Morris                       represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
                                                     (See above for address)
                                                     ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Melena S Siebert
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Richard E Coleson
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                                                 2
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 3 of 115




                                                  James Bopp , Jr
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

  Plaintiff
  Seth Crowder                        represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
                                                     (See above for address)
                                                     ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Melena S Siebert
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Richard E Coleson
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  James Bopp , Jr
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

  Plaintiff
  Macey Policka                       represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
                                                     (See above for address)
                                                     ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Melena S Siebert
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Richard E Coleson
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  James Bopp , Jr
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

  Plaintiff
  Margaret Roth                       represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
                                                     (See above for address)
                                                     ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Melena S Siebert
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                  Richard E Coleson
                                                  (See above for address)
                                                  ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                                                 3
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 4 of 115




                                                               James Bopp , Jr
                                                               (See above for address)
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

  Plaintiff
  Natalie Sperazza                              represented by Courtney Turner Milbank
                                                               (See above for address)
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                               Melena S Siebert
                                                               (See above for address)
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                               Richard E Coleson
                                                               (See above for address)
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                               James Bopp , Jr
                                                               (See above for address)
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED


  V.
  Defendant
  The Trustees of Indiana University            represented by Anne K Ricchiuto
                                                               Faegre Drinker Biddle & Reath LLP −
                                                               Ind/IN/300/2500
                                                               300 N Meridian St Ste 2500
                                                               Indianapolis, IN 46204−1782
                                                               317−237−0300
                                                               Fax: 317−237−1000
                                                               Email: anne.ricchiuto@faegredrinker.com
                                                               LEAD ATTORNEY
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED

                                                               Stephanie L Gutwein
                                                               Faegre Drinker Biddle & Reath LLP −
                                                               Ind/IN/300/2500
                                                               300 N Meridian St Ste 2500
                                                               Indianapolis, IN 46204−1782
                                                               317−237−0300
                                                               Fax: 317−237−1000
                                                               Email: stephanie.gutwein@faegredrinker.com
                                                               ATTORNEY TO BE NOTICED


   Date Filed    #    Page Docket Text
   06/21/2021     1        COMPLAINT for Declaratory and Injunctive Relief against The Trustees of
                           Indiana University( Filing fee $ 402 receipt number 0755−4606158.), filed by


                                                                                                          4
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 5 of 115




                      MACEY POLICKA, D. J. B., MARGARET ROTH, NATALIE SPERAZZA,
                      JAIME CARINI, RYAN KLAASSEN, ASHLEE MORRIS, SETH
                      CROWDER. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit Index, # 2 Exhibit 1 New COVID−19
                      vaccine requirement, # 3 Exhibit 2 Fall 2021 Restart Guidance, # 4 Exhibit 3
                      Exemption Criteria, # 5 Exhibit 4 Indiana University Restart Committee
                      Recommendations For Fall 2021, # 6 Exhibit 5 State of Indiana Office of the
                      Attorney General, Official Opinion 2021−1 on University Policies on
                      COVID−19 Vaccination, # 7 Exhibit 6 Table B. COVID−19 Cases Continue to
                      Decline after Indy 500, # 8 Exhibit 7 Table C. College/Graduate Students
                      Comprise A Very Low Risk Population For Serious Covid−19 Illness, # 9
                      Affidavit Verification of Klaassen, # 10 Affidavit Verification of Carini, # 11
                      Affidavit Verification of Baumgartner, # 12 Affidavit Verification of Morris, #
                      13 Affidavit Verification of Crowder, # 14 Affidavit Verification of Policka, #
                      15 Affidavit Verification of Roth, # 16 Affidavit Verification of Sperazza, # 17
                      Civil Cover Sheet, # 18 Proposed Summons)(Bopp, James) (Entered:
                      06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    2    NOTICE of Appearance by James Bopp, Jr on behalf of All Plaintiffs (Bopp,
                      James) (Entered: 06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    3    NOTICE of Appearance by Richard E Coleson on behalf of All Plaintiffs
                      (Coleson, Richard) (Entered: 06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    4    NOTICE of Appearance by Melena S Siebert on behalf of All Plaintiffs
                      (Siebert, Melena) (Entered: 06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    5    Corporate Disclosure Statement by D. J. B., JAIME CARINI, SETH
                      CROWDER, RYAN KLAASSEN, ASHLEE MORRIS, MACEY POLICKA,
                      MARGARET ROTH, NATALIE SPERAZZA. (Bopp, James) (Entered:
                      06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    6    NOTICE of Appearance by Courtney Turner Milbank on behalf of All Plaintiffs
                      (Milbank, Courtney) (Entered: 06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    7    First MOTION for Preliminary Injunction by Plaintiffs D. J. B., JAIME
                      CARINI, SETH CROWDER, RYAN KLAASSEN, ASHLEE MORRIS,
                      MACEY POLICKA, MARGARET ROTH, NATALIE SPERAZZA. (Bopp,
                      James) (Entered: 06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    8    First MOTION for Leave to File Excess Pages by Plaintiffs D. J. B., JAIME
                      CARINI, SETH CROWDER, RYAN KLAASSEN, ASHLEE MORRIS,
                      MACEY POLICKA, MARGARET ROTH, NATALIE SPERAZZA.
                      (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit Memorandum in Support of Preliminary
                      Injunction)(Bopp, James) (Entered: 06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021    9    First MOTION to Expedite by Plaintiffs D. J. B., JAIME CARINI, SETH
                      CROWDER, RYAN KLAASSEN, ASHLEE MORRIS, MACEY POLICKA,
                      MARGARET ROTH, NATALIE SPERAZZA. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit IU
                      Public Records Request, # 2 Exhibit IU Public Records Request 2, # 3 Exhibit
                      State Dept of Health Records Request)(Bopp, James) (Entered: 06/21/2021)
   06/21/2021   10    First MOTION Consolidate Hearing on Preliminary Injunction and Merits of
                      Case re 8 First MOTION for Leave to File Excess Pages , 7 First MOTION
                      for Preliminary Injunction by Plaintiffs D. J. B., JAIME CARINI, SETH
                      CROWDER, RYAN KLAASSEN, ASHLEE MORRIS, MACEY POLICKA,


                                                                                                         5
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 6 of 115




                      MARGARET ROTH, NATALIE SPERAZZA. (Bopp, James) (Entered:
                      06/21/2021)
   06/22/2021         **NEW CASE; MOTIONS PENDING** Judge Holly A Brady and Magistrate
                      Judge Susan L Collins added. (mlc) (Entered: 06/22/2021)
   06/22/2021   11    Summons Issued as to The Trustees of Indiana University. NOTE:The
                      attached document is accessible by court personnel only. Summons forms
                      that were electronically submitted to the court for issuance will be returned
                      to counsel via e−mail. (mlc) (Entered: 06/22/2021)
   06/22/2021   12    ORDER: Pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 455, the undersigned recuses herself from this
                      case. Pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 137 and Local Rule 40−1(f)(2)(A), Chief Judge
                      Jon E. DeGuilio will re−assign this matter to another Article III Judge for all
                      further proceedings. Signed by Judge Holly A Brady on 6/22/2021. (shk) (cc:
                      Chief Judge DeGuilio) (Entered: 06/22/2021)
   06/22/2021   13    NOTICE of Appearance by Anne K Ricchiuto on behalf of Trustees of Indiana
                      University (Ricchiuto, Anne) (Entered: 06/22/2021)
   06/22/2021   14    NOTICE of Appearance by Stephanie L Gutwein on behalf of Trustees of
                      Indiana University (Gutwein, Stephanie) (Entered: 06/22/2021)
   06/22/2021   15    RESPONSE to Motion re 9 First MOTION to Expedite filed by Trustees of
                      Indiana University. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit 1−Bopp Press
                      Release)(Ricchiuto, Anne) (Entered: 06/22/2021)
   06/22/2021   16    ORDER: Pursuant to Local Rule 40−1(f)(2)(A), this action is reassigned to
                      Judge Damon R. Leichty for all further proceedings. Signed by Chief Judge Jon
                      E DeGuilio 6/22/2021. (mrm) (Entered: 06/23/2021)
   06/23/2021   17    REPLY to Response to Motion re 9 First MOTION to Expedite filed by D. J.
                      B., Jaime Carini, Seth Crowder, Ryan Klaassen, Ashlee Morris, Macey Policka,
                      Margaret Roth, Natalie Sperazza. (Milbank, Courtney) (Entered: 06/23/2021)
   06/24/2021   18    NOTICE of Hearing on Motion 10 First MOTION Consolidate Hearing on
                      Preliminary Injunction and Merits of Case: Zoom Motion Hearing set for
                      6/25/2021 01:00 PM (EDT) in US District Court − South Bend before Judge
                      Damon R Leichty. Connection link to be forwarded by email. (dk) (Entered:
                      06/24/2021)
   06/25/2021   19    AFFIDAVIT of Service for Summons in a Civil Action served on The Trustees
                      of Indiana University on 06/23/2021, filed by D. J. B., Jaime Carini, Seth
                      Crowder, Ryan Klaassen, Ashlee Morris, Macey Policka, Margaret Roth,
                      Natalie Sperazza. (Milbank, Courtney) (Entered: 06/25/2021)
   06/25/2021   20    ORDER: The court GRANTED plaintiffs' motion for leave to file excess pages
                      (ECF 8 ), while also giving the defendant the same courtesy of an additional ten
                      pages for its response and the plaintiffs an additional five pages for their reply;
                      GRANTED plaintiffs' motion to expedite in accordance with the discussion
                      held on the record (ECF 9 ); and DENIED the request for the third party
                      subpoena (ECF 9 ). The motion to consolidate was WITHDRAWN (ECF 10 ).
                      On July 13, 2021 at 1:30 p.m., the court will hold oral argument on the 7
                      preliminary injunction motion in the South Bend courtroom. Signed by Judge
                      Damon R Leichty on 6/25/21. (dk) (Entered: 06/25/2021)


                                                                                                            6
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 7 of 115




   06/25/2021   25    MOTION HEARING held on 6/25/2021 before Judge Damon R Leichty. Pla
                      appeared by attys Bopp, Siebert. Dft appeared by attys Gutwein, Ricchiuto. The
                      court held a hearing to schedule the preliminary injunction motion for hearing
                      and established future deadlines and hearings as outlined in the 20 order. (Court
                      Reporter D. Bonk.) (dk) (Entered: 07/08/2021)
   07/02/2021   21    RESPONSE to Motion re 7 First MOTION for Preliminary Injunction filed
                      by The Trustees of Indiana University. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit A Beeler
                      Decl., # 2 Exhibit B Carroll Decl., # 3 Exhibit C Roth Dep., # 4 Exhibit D
                      Sperazza Dep., # 5 Exhibit E McCullough Decl., # 6 Exhibit F Klaassen Dep., #
                      7 Exhibit G Carini Dep, # 8 Exhibit H DJP Dep., # 9 Exhibit I Morris Dep., #
                      10 Exhibit J Crowder Dep., # 11 Exhibit K Policka Dep.)(Ricchiuto, Anne)
                      (Entered: 07/02/2021)
   07/06/2021   22    REPLY to Response to Motion re 7 First MOTION for Preliminary
                      Injunction filed by D. J. B., Jaime Carini, Seth Crowder, Ryan Klaassen,
                      Ashlee Morris, Macey Policka, Margaret Roth, Natalie Sperazza. (Attachments:
                      # 1 Exhibit Exhibits Index, # 2 Exhibit IU COVID FAQ, # 3 Exhibit Roth Dep,
                      # 4 Exhibit Carini Dep, # 5 Exhibit Policka Dep, # 6 Exhibit Sperazza Dep, # 7
                      Exhibit Klaassen Dep)(Bopp, James) (Entered: 07/06/2021)
   07/07/2021   23    ORDER DIRECTING the Clerk to return all letters received to Mr. Christenson
                      and to refrain from docketing them. They will not be considered by the court.
                      No amicus brief will be accepted without prior approval from the court as
                      outlined in Order. Signed by Judge Damon R Leichty on 7/7/2021. (Copy
                      mailed to Mr. Christenson with return of all letters as directed in Order)(mrm)
                      (Entered: 07/07/2021)
   07/07/2021   24    TELEPHONE CONFERENCE to resolve discovery disputes held on 7/7/2021
                      before Judge Damon R Leichty. Pla appeared by atty M. Siebert, and J. Bopp,
                      Jr. Dft appeared by atty A. Ricchiuto. The Court established deadlines at the
                      hearing. (Court Reporter J. Hoffman.) (nae) (Entered: 07/07/2021)
   07/08/2021   26    NOTICE of Extension of Time to File Answer re 1 Complaint (Unopposed) by
                      Defendant The Trustees of Indiana University. (Gutwein, Stephanie) Modified
                      on 7/8/2021 to term as it is not a motion (lhc). (Entered: 07/08/2021)
   07/08/2021         Set/Reset Deadlines: Trustees of Indiana University; answer due 8/11/2021.
                      (lhc) (Entered: 07/08/2021)
   07/09/2021   27    Joint Submission on Necessity of Evidentiary Hearing on Plaintiffs' Motion for
                      Preliminary Injunction by Defendant The Trustees of Indiana University.
                      (Ricchiuto, Anne) Modified on 7/9/2021 to term as a motion (bas). (Entered:
                      07/09/2021)
   07/11/2021   28    Consent MOTION to Substitute Party Daniel J. Baumgartner by Plaintiff D. J.
                      B.. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit Verification)(Bopp, James) Modified on
                      7/14/2021 (dk). (Entered: 07/11/2021)
   07/11/2021   29    Plaintiffs' Exhibit List for Preliminary Injunction Hearing by D. J. B., Jaime
                      Carini, Seth Crowder, Ryan Klaassen, Ashlee Morris, Macey Policka, Margaret
                      Roth, Natalie Sperazza.. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit, # 2 Exhibit, # 3 Exhibit, # 4
                      Exhibit, # 5 Exhibit, # 6 Exhibit, # 7 Exhibit, # 8 Exhibit, # 9 Exhibit, # 10
                      Exhibit, # 11 Exhibit, # 12 Exhibit, # 13 Exhibit, # 14 Exhibit, # 15 Exhibit, #
                      16 Exhibit, # 17 Exhibit, # 18 Exhibit, # 19 Exhibit, # 20 Exhibit, # 21 Exhibit,


                                                                                                          7
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 8 of 115




                      # 22 Exhibit, # 23 Exhibit, # 24 Exhibit, # 25 Exhibit, # 26 Exhibit, # 27
                      Exhibit, # 28 Exhibit, # 29 Exhibit, # 30 Exhibit, # 31 Exhibit, # 32 Exhibit, #
                      33 Exhibit, # 34 Exhibit, # 35 Exhibit, # 36 Exhibit, # 37 Exhibit, # 38 Exhibit,
                      # 39 Exhibit, # 40 Exhibit, # 41 Exhibit, # 42 Exhibit, # 43 Exhibit, # 44
                      Exhibit, # 45 Exhibit, # 46 Exhibit, # 47 Exhibit, # 48 Exhibit, # 49 Exhibit, #
                      50 Exhibit, # 51 Exhibit, # 52 Exhibit, # 53 Exhibit, # 54 Exhibit, # 55 Exhibit,
                      # 56 Exhibit, # 57 Exhibit, # 58 Exhibit)(Bopp, James) (Entered: 07/11/2021)
   07/12/2021   30    Plaintiffs' Amended Exhibit List for Preliminary Injunction Hearing by D. J. B.,
                      Jaime Carini, Seth Crowder, Ryan Klaassen, Ashlee Morris, Macey Policka,
                      Margaret Roth, Natalie Sperazza.. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit, # 2
                      Exhibit)(Bopp, James) (Entered: 07/12/2021)
   07/12/2021   31    Parties' Joint Exhibit List for Preliminary Injunction Hearing by The Trustees
                      of Indiana University.. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit 100 − Complaint, # 2 Exhibit
                      101 − New COVID−19 Vaccine Requirement, # 3 Exhibit 102 − Fall 2021
                      Restart Guidance, # 4 Exhibit 103 − Exemption Criteria, # 5 Exhibit 104 − IU
                      Restart Committee Recommendations for Fall 2021, # 6 Exhibit 105 −
                      COVID−19 Cases Continue to Decline, # 7 Exhibit 106 − Students Comprise a
                      Very Low Risk Population, # 8 Exhibit 107 − Klaassen Verification, # 9 Exhibit
                      108 − Carini Verification, # 10 Exhibit 109 − Baumgartner Verification, # 11
                      Exhibit 110 − Morris Verification, # 12 Exhibit 111 − Crowder Verification, #
                      13 Exhibit 112 − Policka Verification, # 14 Exhibit 113 − Roth Verification, #
                      15 Exhibit 114 − Sperazza Verification, # 16 Exhibit 115 Decl. of Dr. Cole
                      Beeler, # 17 Exhibit 116 Decl. of Dr. Aaron Carroll, # 18 Exhibit 117 Decl. of
                      Dr. Peter McCullough, # 19 Exhibit 118 IU COVID FAQ, # 20 Exhibit 119
                      Baumgartner Verification, # 21 Exhibit 120 Klaassen Dep., # 22 Exhibit 121
                      Carini Dep., # 23 Exhibit 122 DJB Dep., # 24 Exhibit 123 Morris Dep., # 25
                      Exhibit 124 Crowder Dep., # 26 Exhibit 125 Policka Dep., # 27 Exhibit 126
                      Roth Dep., # 28 Exhibit 127 Sperazza Dep., # 29 Exhibit 128 Dr. Cole Beeler
                      Dep., # 30 Exhibit 129 IU 30(b)(6) Dep.)(Gutwein, Stephanie) (Entered:
                      07/12/2021)
   07/12/2021   32    IU's Exhibit List for Preliminary Injunction Hearing by The Trustees of Indiana
                      University.. (Attachments: # 1 Exhibit 300 Fall 2021 Restart Report, # 2 Exhibit
                      301 Decl. of Dr. Aaron Carroll, # 3 Exhibit 302 Dec. 8, 2020 COVID−19
                      Vaccine Plan PowerPoint, # 4 Exhibit 303 Jan 26, 2021 COVID−19 Vaccine
                      Plan PowerPoint, # 5 Exhibit 304 Feb. 2, 2021 COVID−19 Vaccine Plan
                      PowerPoint, # 6 Exhibit 305 Mar. 9, 2021 COVID−19 Vaccine Plan
                      PowerPoint, # 7 Exhibit 306 Apr. 20, 2021 COVID−19 Vaccine Plan
                      PowerPoint, # 8 Exhibit 307 May 24, 2021 COVID−19 Vaccine Plan
                      PowerPoint, # 9 Exhibit 308 June 21, 2021 COVID−19 Vaccine Plan
                      PowerPoint, # 10 Exhibit 309 Feb. 23, 2021 Surveillance and Mitigation
                      PowerPoint, # 11 Exhibit 310 Mar. 16, 2021 Surveillance and Mitigation
                      PowerPoint, # 12 Exhibit 311 Apr. 21, 2021 Surveillance and Mitigation
                      PowerPoint, # 13 Exhibit 312 Feb. 2, 2021 Medical Response Team
                      PowerPoint, # 14 Exhibit 313 Mar. 9, 2021 Medical Response Team
                      PowerPoint, # 15 Exhibit 314 Apr. 27, 2021 Medical Response Team
                      PowerPoint, # 16 Exhibit 315 Mar. 10, 2021 Contact Tracing PowerPoint, # 17
                      Exhibit 316 Mar. 16, 2021 Contact Tracing PowerPoint, # 18 Exhibit 317 Apr.
                      6, 2021 Contact Tracing PowerPoint, # 19 Exhibit 318 Feb. 2021 Emails
                      between Policka and Reilly, # 20 Exhibit 319 Rebuttal Decl. of Dr. Cole Beeler,
                      # 21 Exhibit 320 Demonstrative Exhibit Citations to IU Witness Testimony, #

                                                                                                          8
USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 9 of 115




                         22 Exhibit 321 Demonstrative Exhibit Citations to Plaintiffs Deposition
                         Testimony)(Gutwein, Stephanie) (Entered: 07/12/2021)
   07/13/2021   33       MOTION HEARING held on 7/13/2021 before Judge Damon R Leichty. Pla
                         appeared by attys Bopp, Siebert. Dft appeared by attys Ricchiuto, Gutwein re 7
                         First MOTION for Preliminary Injunction. Arguments heard. For reasons
                         stated, the court takes the matter under advisement. Written order to follow.
                         (Court Reporter D. Bonk.) (dk) (Entered: 07/13/2021)
   07/18/2021   34   15 OPINION AND ORDER: The court DENIES the 7 preliminary injunction
                        motion. Signed by Judge Damon R Leichty on 7/18/2021. (dk) (Entered:
                        07/18/2021)
   07/20/2021   35   10 NOTICE OF APPEAL as to 34 Opinion and Order, Terminate Motions, filed
                        by Plaintiffs D. J. B., Jaime Carini, Seth Crowder, Ryan Klaassen, Ashlee
                        Morris, Macey Policka, Margaret Roth, Natalie Sperazza. Filing fee $ 505,
                        receipt number 0755−4633319. (Milbank, Courtney) (Entered: 07/20/2021)
   07/20/2021   36   12 Docketing Statement re: 35 Notice of Appeal, filed by Seth Crowder, D. J. B.,
                        Macey Policka, Ashlee Morris, Ryan Klaassen, Jaime Carini, Natalie Sperazza,
                        Margaret Roth. (Milbank, Courtney) (Entered: 07/20/2021)
   07/20/2021   37       MOTION for Injunction Pending Appeal by Plaintiffs D. J. B., Jaime Carini,
                         Seth Crowder, Ryan Klaassen, Ashlee Morris, Macey Policka, Margaret Roth,
                         Natalie Sperazza. (Milbank, Courtney) (Entered: 07/20/2021)




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USDC IN/ND case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC document 38 filed 07/20/21 page 10 of 115


       Case 1:21-cv-00238-DRL-SLC Document 35 Filed 07/20/21 Page 1 of 2


                                  United States District Court
                                  Northern District of Indiana

  Ryan Klaassen, Jaime Carini, Daniel J.
  Baumgartner, Ashlee Morris, Seth Crowder,
  Macey Policka, Margaret Roth, and Natalie
  Sperazza,
                                                           Civ. No. 1:21-cv-238-DRL-SLC
                                            Plaintiffs,
         v.

  The Trustees of Indiana University,
                                          Defendants.

                                      Notice of Appeal
        Notice is hereby given that Plaintiffs in the above named case hereby appealed to the

 United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit.

        Appellants include: Ryan Klaassen, Jaime Carini, Daniel J. Baumgartner, Ashlee Morris,

 Seth Crowder, Macey Policka, Margaret Roth, and Natalie Sperazza.

        Judgment appealed: Opinion & Order Denying Injunction (ECF 34), entered in this action

 on the 18th day of July, 2021.

 Dated: July 20, 2021                                 Respectfully Submitted,
                                                      /s/ James Bopp, Jr.
                                                      James Bopp, Jr., Ind. Bar No. 2838-84
                                                      Richard E. Coleson, Ind. Bar No. 11527-70
                                                      Courtney Milbank, Ind. Bar No. 32178-29
                                                      Melena S. Siebert, Ind. Bar No. 35061-15
                                                      THE BOPP LAW FIRM
                                                      1 South 6th Street
                                                      Terre Haute, Indiana 47807
                                                      Telephone: (812) 232-2434
                                                      Facsimile: (812) 235-3685
                                                      jboppjr@aol.com
                                                      rcoleson@bopplaw.com
                                                      cmilbank@bopplaw.com
                                                      msiebert@bopplaw.com
                                                      Counsel for Plaintiffs
 Notice of Appeal                               -1-



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                                     Certificate of Service
        I hereby certify that a copy of the foregoing document was served on all counsel of record

 in this matter on July 20, 2021, via the Court’s electronic filing system.

                                                               /s/ James Bopp, Jr.




 Notice of Appeal                                 -2-



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                                    United States District Court
                                    Northern District of Indiana



  Ryan Klaassen, Jaime Carini, Daniel J.
  Baumgartner, Ashlee Morris, Seth Crowder,
  Macey Policka, Margaret Roth, and Natalie
  Sperazza,
                                                             Civ. No. 1:21-cv-238-DRL-SLC
                                               Plaintiffs,
         v.

  The Trustees of Indiana University,
                                             Defendants.


                                      Docketing Statement
        Pursuant to Cir. Rules 3(c) and 28(a), Plaintiffs-Appellants Ryan Klaassen, Jaime Carini,

 Daniel J. Baumgartner, Ashlee Morris, Seth Crowder, Macey Policka, Margaret Roth, and

 Natalie Sperazza file this Docketing Statement.

        Prior appeals: None.

        Related appeals: None.

        Sufficiently related appeals: None.

        Prior litigation in the district court: None.

        Counsel of Record:

                James Bopp Jr. (Counsel of Record)
                Richard E. Coleson
                Courtney Turner Milbank
                Melena S. Siebert
                1 South Sixth Street, Terre Haute IN 47807
                jboppjr@aol.com
                rcoleson@bopplaw.com
                cmilbank@bopplaw.com
                msiebert@bopplaw.com

 Docketing Statement




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        Plaintiffs-Appellants’ Jurisdictional Statement: Plaintiff-Appellants challenged Indiana

 University’s Vaccine Mandate under the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitu-

 tion and the district court had jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C. §§ 1331 and 1343(a), and 28 U.S.C.

 §§ 2201 and 2202. Plaintiffs-Appellants filed a Motion for Preliminary Injunction, which the

 District Court denied on July 18, 2021. Apart from the claims at issue in this appeal for which an

 injunction is sought, no other claims or parties remain in the district court. Plaintiffs-Appellants

 timely filed a Notice of Appeal on July 20, 2021. This Court has jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C.

 § 1292. Defendant, The Trustees of Indiana University, is a body politic, located in Indiana. It is

 the governing body, legal owner, and final authority of Indiana University.

 Dated: July 20, 2021                                   Respectfully Submitted,

                                                        /s/ James Bopp, Jr.
                                                        James Bopp, Jr., Ind. Bar No. 2838-84
                                                        Richard E. Coleson, Ind. Bar No. 11527-70
                                                        Courtney Milbank, Ind. Bar No. 32178-29
                                                        Melena S. Siebert, Ind. Bar No. 35061-15
                                                        THE BOPP LAW FIRM
                                                        1 South 6th Street
                                                        Terre Haute, Indiana 47807
                                                        Telephone: (812) 232-2434
                                                        Facsimile: (812) 235-3685
                                                        jboppjr@aol.com
                                                        rcoleson@bopplaw.com
                                                        cmilbank@bopplaw.com
                                                        msiebert@bopplaw.com
                                                        Counsel for Plaintiffs




 Docketing Statement                              -2-




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                                     Certificate of Service
        I hereby certify that a copy of the foregoing document was served on all counsel of record

 in this matter on July 20, 2021, via the Court’s electronic filing system.

                                                               /s/ James Bopp, Jr.




 Docketing Statement                              -3-




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                          UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
                          NORTHERN DISTRICT OF INDIANA
                              SOUTH BEND DIVISION

  RYAN KLAASSEN et al.,

                       Plaintiffs,

         v.                                             CAUSE NO. 1:21-CV-238 DRL

  THE TRUSTEES OF INDIANA
  UNIVERSITY,

                       Defendant.

                                     OPINION & ORDER

        Under guiding principles of federalism, our Constitution preserves the power of

 the States, within constitutional limits, to adopt laws to provide for public health and

 safety. Twice the United States Supreme Court has upheld state authority to compel

 reasonable vaccinations. The States don’t have arbitrary power, but they have discretion

 to act reasonably in protecting the public’s health.

        Students at Indiana University have a significant liberty protected by the

 Constitution—refusing unwanted medical treatment based on bodily autonomy. The

 Fourteenth Amendment says no state may “deprive any person of life, liberty, or

 property, without due process of law.” U.S. Const. amend. XIV § 1. Given this due process

 protection of liberty, longstanding constitutional law prevents a public university—an

 arm of the State—from mandating a vaccine for its students unless it has rationally

 pursued a legitimate interest in public health for its campus community.

        This case presents that question: whether Indiana University has acted

 constitutionally in mandating the COVID-19 vaccine for its students, as announced on




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 May 21, 2021. Albeit, and this should not be overlooked, this case does so only in the

 context of a preliminary injunction motion, not for a final decision on the merits.

        Indiana University’s policy has real implications. Students may be deprived of

 attending the university without being vaccinated or qualifying for an exemption. Still

 they have real options—taking the vaccine, applying for a religious exemption, applying

 for a medical exemption, applying for a medical deferral, taking a semester off, or

 attending another university or online. The policy applies for the fall 2021 semester only.

        Eight students sued Indiana University because of its vaccination mandate and

 because of the extra requirements of masking, testing, and social distancing that apply to

 those who receive an exemption. They ask the court to enter a preliminary injunction—

 an extraordinary remedy that requires a strong showing that they will likely succeed on

 the merits of their claims, that they will sustain irreparable harm, and that the balance of

 harms and the public interest favor such a remedy.

        The court now denies their motion. The Constitution and longstanding precedent

 should endure. Recognizing the students’ significant liberty to refuse unwanted medical

 treatment, the Fourteenth Amendment permits Indiana University to pursue a

 reasonable and due process of vaccination in the legitimate interest of public health for

 its students, faculty, and staff. Today, on this preliminary record, the university has done

 so for its campus communities. The students haven’t established a likelihood of success

 on the merits of their Fourteenth Amendment claim or the many requirements that must

 precede the extraordinary remedy of a preliminary injunction.




                                              2

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                                           FACTS

        A.     Parties.

        Indiana University is a world-renowned public research university, with seven

 campuses, two regional centers, and three medical centers across the State of Indiana,

 providing education to over 90,000 undergraduate and graduate students and

 employment for over 40,000 employees [Ex. 116 ¶ 4]. The university, with its flagship

 campus in Bloomington, Indiana home to over 40,000 students, continually ranks as one

 of the top 100 universities in the country, and one of the top 150 universities in the world.

        The eight students here have varied backgrounds. Jaime Carini (age 39) is a

 graduate student pursuing two doctorates in music, with but her examinations and

 dissertation to complete [Ex. 121 at 10, 19-20, 23]. She has received an exemption from the

 university’s vaccination requirement already [id. 57-58].

        Ashlee Morris (age 26) is an incoming first year law student at the McKinney

 School of Law who has worked hard for six years to get there to pursue her J.D. [Ex. 123

 at 10, 66-67]. She too has received a religious exemption from the university’s vaccination

 requirement [id. 44]. She testifies that she will not attend the law school if she must wear

 a mask or undergo surveillance testing [id. 66-67].

        Seth Crowder (age unknown) is pursuing his MBA at the Kelley School of Business

 [Ex. 124 at 13]. He too has received a religious exemption from the university’s

 vaccination requirement already [id. 9, 20-21]. He has not decided if he will return to

 school if he must wear a mask or undergo surveillance testing this fall semester [id. 42].




                                              3

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        Macey Policka (age 22) is a senior at Indiana University studying English

 (medieval studies) [Ex. 125 at 8-9]. She also has received a religious exemption from the

 university’s vaccination requirement [id. 22]. She plans to return to Indiana University

 regardless of the outcome of this case [id. 36-37]

        Ryan Klaassen (age 19) is an incoming sophomore at Indiana University studying

 biochemistry [Ex. 120 at 5, 15-17]. He has received a religious exemption to the

 university’s vaccination requirement [id. 33]. He says he hasn’t decided if he will return

 to Indiana University if the injunction is not granted. [id. 41-43].

        Daniel Baumgartner (age 18) is an incoming freshman at Indiana University who

 plans to study business [Ex. 122 at 8, 12-13]. He has received a religious exemption to the

 university’s vaccination requirement [id. 8]. He has not decided if he will go to Indiana

 University this fall if he must wear a mask or undergo surveillance testing [id. 41].

        Margaret Roth (age unknown) is an incoming freshman at Indiana University and

 has already registered for classes [Ex. 126 at 9, 20]. She has a religious objection to the

 vaccine but has not requested an exemption, though she would qualify, because she

 prefers not to wear a mask or undergo testing [id. 45-47]. She says she will most likely not

 attend Indiana University if the injunction isn’t granted [id. 9].

        Natalie Sperazza (age unknown) is an incoming sophomore who will be taking

 five classes this fall [Ex. 127 at 11]. She has not applied for an exemption and believes she

 wouldn’t qualify [id. 15-16]. She says she will not attend Indiana University this fall if the

 policy remains in place [id. 42]. She appears to be the only student without an exemption

 or basis for an exemption.


                                               4

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         B.      COVID-19.

         COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the novel coronavirus. It primarily

 spreads through respiratory droplets, viral particles suspended in the air, and touching

 mucosal membranes with contaminated hands [Ex. 115 ¶ 6].1 The initial presentation of

 an infection ranges from no symptoms at all (asymptomatic) to severe illness and death;

 and even after recovery, various long-term health problems may linger [id. ¶ 8].2

         Individuals with longstanding systemic health inequities or preexisting or

 immunocompromising conditions, and elderly individuals prove at greater risk of severe

 illness or hospitalization following an infection [id. ¶ 9].3 Children and young adults are

 less likely to experience serious illness or death from infection [Ex. 115 ¶ 10; Ex. 117 ¶ 21].

 Though data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggest that

 more young adults are becoming infected with the virus than other age groups [Ex. 115

 ¶ 16],4 these individuals are less likely to require hospitalization or die [id. ¶ 10].5


                                  
 1 See also Ctrs. for Disease Control & Prevention (CDC), Scientific Brief: SARS-CoV2 Transmission,
 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-briefs/sars-cov-2-transmission.html.
 2 See also CDC, People with Certain Medical Conditions, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/need-

 extra-precautions/people-with-medical-conditions.html (last visited July 18, 2021); Neal M. Dixit et al.,
 Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome and the Cardiovascular System: What is Known?, 5 Am. Heart. J. Plus. 100025
 (May 2021), https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8223036/.
 3 See also CDC, People with Certain Medical Conditions, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/need-

 extra-precautions/people-with-medical-conditions.html (last visited July 18, 2021).
 4 Of the total reported cases, those reported from the 18-29 age group account for 22.5 percent of all

 infections—the highest proportion of any age group—despite accounting for only 16.4 percent of the
 United States population. See CDC, Demographic Trends of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the U.S. Reported to
 CDC, https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#demographics (last visited July 18, 2021).
 5 See also CDC, Risk for COVID-19 Infection, Hospitalization and Death by Age (Updated June 24, 2021),

 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/investigations-discovery/hospitalization-
 death-by-age.html (last visited July 18, 2021) (individuals aged 30-49 twice as likely to be hospitalized,
 individuals 50-64 four times as likely to be hospitalized, individuals aged 30-39 four times as likely to die,
 individuals 40-49 ten times as likely to die, individuals 50-64 thirty-five times as likely to die). The most


                                                       5

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         Worldwide COVID-19 has infected almost 189 million people and caused 4 million

 deaths, with these numbers still changing daily.6 In the United States, the novel

 coronavirus has infected over 33.5 million citizens, losing to death over 600,000 [Ex. 115

 ¶ 15]. Since March 6, 2020, Indiana has had over 750,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases and

 over 13,000 deaths [id. ¶ 14]. The COVID winter of 2020-2021 was particularly rough,

 until vaccines became options first in December 2020 and then in the early months of

 2021.

         As vaccination now increases, data gathered by the CDC point toward the waning

 of new COVID infections across the country—down from a peak of 312,325 new cases

 reported on January 8, 2021, with a seven-day average positive test rate of 13.85 percent,

 to 39,719 new cases reported on July 16, 2021, with a seven-day average positive test rate

 of 5.01 percent.7 The rate of new cases today is akin, if not greater, to the rate of new cases

 reported during the peak of the pandemic’s first wave in the spring 2020, through the

 relative rate of positive tests thankfully remains much lower.8

         Our nation has come a long way since the darker days of 2020 that tested many

 people, though some uncertainty persists even now in this 2021 summer. The current

                                 
 recent CDC figures suggest that only 0.04 percent of cases from this age group result in death, and this
 group represents only 0.5 percent of all COVID deaths. CDC, Demographic Trends of COVID-19 Cases and
 Deaths in the U.S. Reported to CDC, https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#demographics (last visited
 July 18, 2021) (6,174,415 individuals aged 18-29 contracted the virus, and 2,732 individuals died).
 6
  See CDC, Global Cumulative Cases of COVID-19 Reported (July 18, 2021), https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-
 tracker/#global-counts-rates (citing World Health Organization (WHO), WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19)
 Dashboard (July 16, 2021), https://covid19.who.int/).
 7 CDC, COVID Data Tracker, https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (last

 visited July 18, 2021).
 8 Id. (35,080 new cases reported on April 9, 2020, with a seven-day average positive test rate of 20.43

 percent).



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 seven-day moving averages of new COVID-19 cases has increased by 69.3 percent in the

 past week alone; the positive test rate has increased by 40.7 percent; and new hospital

 admissions have increased by 35.8 percent.9 Recalling the bell curves we all have become

 accustomed to seeing, the trend still proves sharply down from the worse days of

 COVID-19, but virulent and highly transmissible variants of this coronavirus present new

 challenges [Ex. 115 ¶ 36]. As of July 3, 2021, the CDC estimates that 57.6 percent of new

 cases come from the Delta variant.10 New COVID-19 cases often originate in unvaccinated

 individuals [Ex. 115 ¶ 38-39].

          In Indiana, 561 new cases were reported on July 15, 2021; and the most recent data

 suggest a seven-day average positive test rate of 4.3 percent for unique individuals from

 July 3, 2021 to July 9, 2021, lower than the national average.11 Of all positive cases, 18.4

 percent, the highest proportion of all age populations, comes from young adults aged 20-

 29.11 In Indiana, approximately 67.3 percent of all cases came from the Delta variant.12

 Our country and our state have vastly improved, but challenges remain.

          C.       Indiana University Board of Trustees.

          The Indiana General Assembly endows the Indiana University Board of Trustees

 with the responsibility to fulfill its powers and duties under the law. Ind. Code § 21-27-

                                 
 9 CDC, COVID Data Tracker Weekly Review (July 16, 2021) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-
 ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html.
 10 Id.; see also CDC, COVID Data Tracker, https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

 (last visited July 18, 2021).
 11 Indiana State Department of Health, COVID Dashboard, https://www.coronavirus.in.gov/2393.htm (last

 visited July 18, 2021).
 12 Indiana State Department of Health, COVID Dashboard, https://www.coronavirus.in.gov/2393.htm (last

 visited July 18, 2021).



                                                   7

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 2-1. The Trustees may pass all bylaws necessary to put into effect its powers. Ind. Code.

 § 21-27-4-3. The Trustees may set conditions and standards for admission that are in the

 “best interests of the state and the state educational institution.” Ind. Code § 21-40-3-1(b).

        Among these powers, the Trustees may govern “the conduct of the state

 educational institution’s students, faculty, and employees, wherever the conduct might

 occur, to prevent unlawful or objectionable acts that . . . violate the reasonable rules and

 standards of the [university] designed to protect the academic community from . . . a

 serious threat to person or property of the academic community.” Ind. Code § 21-39-2-

 3(b). The university remains answerable to the legislature, particularly its funding.

        D.     State Law on Vaccines.

        Indiana requires all public university students to be vaccinated for diphtheria,

 tetanus, measles, mumps, rubella, and meningococcal disease before attending school.

 Ind. Code § 21-40-5-2. All but one of these vaccinations have been required since 1993.

 Outside these state-mandated vaccines, Indiana University has had a policy for managing

 infectious and communicable diseases since at least 2015 designed to take “reasonable

 measures to ensure the safety of members of the university community during global and

 local infectious disease events” [Ex. 229]. Students must report vaccination status, save

 for religious and medical exemptions, including any “contraindication to a vaccine” [id.].

 This reporting occurs according to state law and recommendations from the CDC’s

 Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices. See Ind. Code. § 21-40-5-2.

        Since this pandemic’s advent, many states have considered bills that would

 prohibit either vaccine “mandates” or vaccine “passports.” For instance, just last week


                                               8

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the State of Ohio passed a law banning public vaccine mandates. See 2021 Bill Text OH
H.B. 244, Sec. 3792.04(B)(1) (signed July 14, 2021). Other states have more reservedly
passed laws that would prohibit just having to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination —
hence the term COVID-19 passport. Indiana’s General Assembly recently enacted law
that prohibits a vaccine passport, not a vaccine requirement.’ Ind. Code § 16-39-11-5.

E. Vaccine Guidance for Institutions of Higher Education.

Governmental agencies and collegiate associations have with one chorus
promoted vaccination to address the COVID-19 pandemic, though they typically have
remained silent on whether universities should mandate a vaccine. Today more than 500
colleges and universities have mandated vaccination, though many are private
institutions of higher learning, not public universities.14

The CDC recommends that institutions of higher learning (IHEs) “can return to
full capacity in-person learning, without requiring or recommending masking or physical
distancing” only when “all students, faculty, and staff are fully vaccinated prior to the

start of the semester.”!5 The Indiana State Department of Health aligns with the CDC.16

13 This statute applies to “the state or a local unit.” Ind. Code § 16-39-11-5(a). The students withdrew their
claim under this law because the statute omits a private right of action, leaving enforcement to the Indiana
State Department of Health. See, e.g., Ind. Code § 16-19-3-18. For sake of clarity, the court never reaches the
point whether this anti-passport law applies to a public university or not.

™ See Andy Thomason & Brian O'Leary, Here’s a List of Colleges That Will Require Students or Employees to Be
Vaccinated Against Covid-19, The Chronicle of Higher Education (July 15, 2021),
https: / /www.chronicle.com/blogs/live-coronavirus-updates /heres-a-list-of-colleges-that-will-require-
students-to-be-vaccinated-against-covid-19?cid2=gen_login_refresh (“The Chronicle has so far identified
583 such campuses.”).

1% CDC, Guidance for Institutions of Higher Education (IHEs) (June 4, 2021),
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/ community /colleges-universities/ considerations.html.

16 ISDH, Public Resources: Back to School Resources (Universities) (July 18, 2021),
https: / /www.coronavirus.in.zov/2400.htm.

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 Likewise citing the CDC, the United States Department of Education has said “IHEs

 where everyone is fully vaccinated can return to full capacity in-person learning without

 requiring or recommending masking, physical distancing, or screening testing.”17 The

 American College Health Association has recommended that institutions require

 COVID-19 vaccinations for all on-campus students for the fall semester.18

        F.      Indiana University’s Vaccine Mandate.

        Acting under state authority, see Ind. Code § 21-38-3-4, and with the vision of

 promoting public health and restoring the educational and social environment of the

 university’s campuses, President Michael McRobbie created a university restart

 committee during the spring of 2021 to make recommendations to the Board of Trustees

 for the fall semester [Ex. 104 at 5; Ex. 116 ¶ 22]. The restart committee’s charge was to

 advise and recommend requirements necessary to resume “normal face-to-face”

 operations [Ex. 116 ¶ 22].

        Indiana University’s Executive Vice President for University Clinical Affairs and

 the School of Medicine’s Dean spearheaded the restart committee [id. ¶ 23]. It included

 fifteen members with expertise in public health, epidemiology, virology, data modeling

 and monitoring, risk mitigation, health equity, health sciences, and law [id.; Ex. 300 at 4-



                                
 17 U.S. Dept. of Educ., ED COVID-19 Handbook, Volume 3: Strategies for Safe Operation and Addressing the

 Impact of COVID-19 on Higher Education Students, Faculty,                and   Staff   9   (June   2021),
 https://www2.ed.gov/documents/coronavirus/reopening-3.pdf.
 18 Am. College Health Ass’n, American College Health Association Recommends COVID-19 Vaccination
 Requirements for All On-Campus College Students in Fall 2021                 (April 29, 2021),
 https://www.acha.org/ACHA/About/ACHA_News/ACHA_Recommends_COVID-
 19_Vaccination_Requirements_for_Fall_2021.aspx.



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 5]. The committee consisted of seven MDs, some with additional degrees in public health

 or other PhDs, and others with graduate degrees in public health, risk mitigation, law,

 and ethics [Ex. 300 at 5].

        The restart committee met regularly to review the university’s campus population

 and experiences from the 2020-2021 year, as well as “guidelines from the CDC, IU Health,

 the ISDH, the Indiana Governor’s Office, and the Central Indiana Corporate Partnership,

 among others,” “scientific literature and data, including COVID-19 case and

 hospitalization rates for Indiana,” and “input from other Indiana and out-of-state IHEs”

 [Ex. 116 ¶¶ 24-26]. The data considered by the restart committee were vast [Exs. 302-317,

 PowerPoint presentations from December 8, 2020 to April 6, 2021); see also Ex. 301 ¶ 2].

        Four MDs from this committee presented near-weekly from December 2020 to

 June 2021 to Indiana University’s Executive Academic Leadership Council, including the

 President and Executive Vice Presidents as part of the medical response team’s ongoing

 COVID-19 evaluation efforts [Ex. 301 ¶ 4]. The Board of Trustees adopted the restart

 committee’s recommendations for the 2021 fall semester [Ex. 116 ¶ 29].

        The aim was short and strategic—vaccinate everyone, subject to certain

 exemptions [id. ¶ 31; Exs. 101, 300]. Initially, the policy required all students, faculty, and

 staff to submit proof of vaccination before returning to campus, but the university revised

 this requirement after Indiana passed its anti-passport law [Ex. 101]. The policy today

 requires all students, faculty, and staff to be fully vaccinated, which the university defines

 as being two weeks post the second dose of the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, or two

 weeks post the single dose of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, before returning to campus


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 between August 1 to August 15 for the fall 2021 semester [Ex. 118 at 3, 5; see also Exs. 102-

 104].

         The choice of foregoing vaccination is not inconsequential. If not vaccinated,

 students are not permitted on campus, their emails and university accounts are

 suspended, and their access cards are deactivated [Ex. 118 at 7]. Although it seems from

 argument that the university will not create an informant culture, it reserves the right to

 pursue disciplinary action should a student deceive the process. Faculty and staff who

 refuse vaccination face termination. The faculty councils from Indiana University—

 Bloomington and Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis and the staff

 council from Indiana University—Bloomington, have endorsed the policy, as has the

 graduate and professional student government [Ex. 116 ¶ 45-60].

         The university’s COVID-19 vaccine policy has exemptions. A student may request

 an exemption for religious reasons; provide proof from a physician of an allergy to the

 vaccine or one of its component parts (a medical exemption); provide proof from a

 physician of active pregnancy or breastfeeding, receiving a hematopoietic or solid organ

 transplant, receiving treatment with Rituximab within the past 3-6 months, or COVID-

 specific monoclonal antibodies19 in the past 90 days (a medical deferral) [Ex. 210 at 3].

 Students who are enrolled in an online program, with no on-campus component, don’t

 need to receive the vaccine [id.].

                                
 19 Monoclonal antibody therapy involves the injection of laboratory-made proteins that mimic the immune

 system’s ability to fight off various pathogens. FDA, Coronavirus (COVID-19) Update: FDA Revokes
 Emergency Use Authorization for Monoclonal Antibody Bamlanivimab (April 16, 2021),
 https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/coronavirus-covid-19-update-fda-revokes-
 emergency-use-authorization-monoclonal-antibody-bamlanivimab.


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        For those who receive exemption from vaccination, the policy imposes additional

 safety requirements. These requirements apply to six of the eight students here who have

 received exemptions and potentially a seventh who qualifies for an exemption. Such

 students must participate in more frequent mitigation testing, quarantine if exposed to

 someone who has tested positive for COVID-19, wear a mask in public spaces, and return

 to their permanent address or quarantine if there is a serious outbreak of COVID-19 [Ex.

 118 at 6].

        G.     Experts.

        The parties have tendered declarations, supplemental declarations, and testimony

 from several experts, leaving to the court the task of deciding what weight to give to their

 opinions. Among the more than 100 exhibits admitted for this preliminary injunction

 motion, the experts and other materials refer to numerous medical studies and industry

 guidance on the risks of COVID-19 and the risks of the vaccines—where the parties in

 part have drawn the battle lines. The court has endeavored to be studious in reviewing

 at times a daunting record on this emergent timetable.




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         The university offers Dr. Cole Beeler, MD,20 and Dr. Aaron Carroll, MD, MS,21 and

 the students tender Dr. Peter McCullough, MD, MPH.22 All have credentials and opinions

 that exceed restatement here. Much of that treatment occurs later in this opinion as the

 court makes additional findings of fact and discusses its legal analysis. Though points of

 agreement occur at times, these experts largely disagree about the urgency of vaccination,

 particularly for often younger university students, the effects from natural COVID-19

 infection, and the risks of the three emergency use approved vaccinations.

         For the students, Dr. McCullough says the risks of COVID-19 to college age

 students in 2021 proves significantly lower than in 2020 because of the rapidly declining

 infection rate, increasing likelihood of herd immunity in Indiana, low risk of serious

 complications or death from COVID-19 in college-aged students, low risk of

 asymptomatic spread, and other posited COVID-19 treatments [Ex. 117 ¶ 73; see also Exs.

 221-22, 233-34, 240-41, 246-47, 251]. He views a mandate as unwise and a violation of the

 medical ethics principle of autonomy translated to the university setting [Ex. 117 ¶ 73].

 He opines that the risks associated with the COVID-19 vaccines “are not minor or



                                  
 20 Dr. Beeler is an assistant professor of clinical medicine at Indiana University Medical School. He earned

 his BS and MD from Indiana University and is board certified in infectious disease and internal medicine
 [Ex. 115 ¶ 1-5; Ex. 128 at 5, 7-11, 13-17, 21-22, 31, 147-150].
 21 Dr. Carroll is the chief health officer for Indiana University and associate dean for research mentoring at

 Indiana University Medical School who holds various professorial positions. He earned his BA from
 Amherst College, his MD from the University of Pennsylvania, and his MS from the University of
 Washington. He is board certified in preventative medicine-clinical informatics, pediatrics, and by the
 National Board of Medical Examiners [Ex. 116 ¶ 1-6; Ex. 206 at 7-8].
 22 Dr. McCullough is a professor of medicine at Texas A & M University School of Medicine and practices

 medicine at various Texas hospitals. He received his BA from Baylor University, MD from University of
 Texas Southwestern Medical School, and his MPH in epidemiology from the University of Michigan. He is
 board certified in internal medicine and cardiovascular disease [Ex. 117 ¶ 1-12].



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 unserious and can include hospitalization and death,” however “unpredictable” and

 “impossible to calculate” [id.]. His opening declaration largely isn’t stated to any

 reasonable degree of medical certainty [id.; but cf. Ex. 222 at 11].

        For the university, Dr. Beeler says the COVID-19 vaccine mandate facilitates a

 “safe and reliable way to assure lack of spread of COVID” within the university’s campus

 communities and “prevents morbidity and mortality” [Ex. 115 ¶ 87; see also Ex. 319]. He

 appreciates that, though COVID-19 often will not pose “disproportionate bad outcomes”

 in the university’s constituency, “any bad outcome from COVID is potentially avoidable

 with the vaccines where the benefit dwarfs the potential rare risks,” and risks that “may

 not be causally linked” [Ex. 115 ¶ 87]. He recalls that “the vaccines used for COVID are

 based on technology that has been developed over decades and have repeatedly been

 shown to be safe when given to millions of patients” [id.]. He calls the vaccines “known

 science” applied to a “novel pathogen” with often “uncertain and threatening immediate

 and long-term consequences to [the university’s] students, faculty, staff, and

 communities at large” [id.]. He says the risk of asymptomatic hosts puts others at risk

 [id.]. In support, Dr. Carroll marshals relevant industry, governmental, and university

 guidance and the relevant scrutiny the restart committee gave to it [Exs. 116, 301]. Dr.

 Beeler states his opinions to a reasonable degree of medical or professional certainty [Ex.

 115 at 25; Ex. 319 at 8].

        H.      Emergency Use Authorization of Vaccines.

        COVID-19 caught the world unaware. Initially, there were no vaccines or

 treatments, and testing was expensive and difficult to secure. Four days after the United


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 States Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) declared a public health

 emergency, it issued a second declaration allowing the United States Food and Drug

 Administration (FDA) to grant emergency use authorizations (EUAs) for medical devices

 and interventions to combat the pandemic. 85 Fed. Reg. 7316, 7316-7317; 85 Fed. Reg.

 18250, 18250-18251.

        Despite creating an expedited pathway to distribute new medical products during

 emergencies, products that receive EUA approval still must adhere to specified safety,

 efficacy, and manufacturing criteria, and HHS must ensure medical providers and

 individuals are informed of the product’s EUA status, the “significant known and

 potential benefits and risks of such use, and of the extent to which such benefits and risks

 are unknown;” and for individuals, of the option to refuse and the consequences of such

 a decision. 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(e)(1)(A)(ii)(I)-(III). An EUA generally allows a

 manufacturer to apply for EUA approval using interim clinical trial data, and the data

 need only demonstrate the product “may be effective” and that the known and potential

 benefits outweigh the known and potential risks.23 The statute anticipates the FDA will

 impose additional obligations beyond those enumerated. 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(e)(1)(B).

        There have been six significant public health emergencies for which the FDA has

 authorized EUAs: anthrax, swine flu (H1N1), MERS (Middle East respiratory syndrome




                             
 23  21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(c)(2)(A); FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines Explained,
 https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/emergency-use-authorization-vaccines-
 explained (last visited July 13, 2021).



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 coronavirus), Ebola, Zika, and now COVID-19.24 During these events, EUAs were issued

 for diagnostic tests (swine flu, MERS, Ebola, Zika, and COVID-19), off-label use of

 previously approved and use of unapproved pharmaceuticals (anthrax, swine flu, and

 COVID-19), novel vaccines (anthrax and COVID-19), and medical devices (swine flu and

 COVID-19).24 FDA authorization for EUA vaccinations began in 2005 during the anthrax

 scare, particularly for use in the armed forces. See 70 Fed. Reg. 5452, 5453 (Feb. 2, 2005).25

 Later in 2009, based on a CDC request, the FDA issued the first EUA that was geared

 towards civilians, including infants, for Tamiflu, an antiviral otherwise approved for use

 in adults. 74 Fed. Reg. 56644 (Nov. 2, 2009).26

         Not all EUAs are created equally. Because of the widespread use of a COVID-19

 vaccine, the FDA informed manufacturers that it expected the same level of endpoint

 efficacy data as required for full approval, enough safety data to justify by clear and

 compelling evidence the vaccine’s safety, and confirmation of the technical procedures

 and verification steps necessary to support full approval.27 In short, and as described in

 more detail below in this opinion’s analysis, the FDA promulgated guidance that


                                   
 24  FDA, Emergency Use Authorization—Archived Information, https://www.fda.gov/emergency-
 preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-framework/emergency-use-authorization-
 archived-information#H1N1 (last visited July 16, 2021).
 25 See also Stuart L. Nightingale et al., Emergency Use Authorization
                                                                 (EUA) to Enable Use of Needed Products in
 Civilian and Military Emergencies, United States, 13(7) Emerging Infectious Diseases 1047 (July 2007),
 https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/13/7/06-1188_article.
 26 CDC, Updated Interim Recommendations for the Use of Antiviral Medications in the Treatment and Prevention

 of     Influenza for   the     2009-2010   Season                 (Dec.   7,    2009),     available      at
 https://www.cdc.gov/h1n1flu/recommendations.htm#d.
 27 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry (May 2021),

 https://www.fda.gov/regulatory-information/search-fda-guidance-documents/emergency-use-
 authorization-vaccines-prevent-covid.



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 enhanced the basis on which any COVID-19 vaccine would meet EUA approval. In

 setting these more stringent standards, the FDA invited EUA applications only for

 vaccines positioned well to receive full approval.28

         I.      COVID-19 Vaccines.

         In the United States, three vaccines rushed to the front: two using mRNA

 technology and one using a viral vector [Ex. 115 ¶ 23-26]. Johnson & Johnson’s vaccine is

 a viral vector vaccine (implementing technology since the 1970s) that uses a modified

 version of a virus to teach the immune system to respond [Ex. 115 ¶ 87].29 Pfizer and

 Moderna’s vaccines use mRNA, a novel type of vaccine, but one based on decades of

 research using easily accessible materials found already in many laboratories [id.].30




                                  
 28 The industry guidance has since been superseded twice, once in February 2021 and once in May 2021.

 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry (May 2021). Pfizer,
 Moderna, and Johnson & Johnson’s applications were submitted in accordance with the October 2020
 enhanced guidance, see FDA, Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review
 Memorandum (Pfizer-BioNTech) (2020) https://www.fda.gov/media/144416/download; (application
 submitted November 20, 2020); FDA, Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review
 Memorandum (Moderna) (2020) https://www.fda.gov/media/144673/download (application submitted
 November 30, 2020); FDA, Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review
 Memorandum (Janssen) (2021) https://www.fda.gov/media/146338/download (application submitted
 February 4, 2021).
 29See CDC, Understanding Viral Vector COVID-19 Vaccines, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-
 ncov/vaccines/different-vaccines/viralvector.html (last visited July 16, 2021).
 30 See CDC, Understanding mRNA COVID-19 Vaccines, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-
 ncov/vaccines/different-vaccines/mrna.html (last visited July 16, 2021).



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 Having quickly adapted the existing technology, Moderna started testing the vaccine in

 humans in March 2020.31 Pfizer began clinical trials in late April 2020.32

          By the time Pfizer applied for an EUA on November 20, 2020, their application

 included safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy data from over 40,000 study participants

 in ongoing phase I, II, and III, randomized, placebo-controlled, observer-blind, clinical

 trials conducted in the U.S., Argentina, Brazil, Germany, South Africa, and Turkey.33 A

 team of representatives from across the FDA, including experts in clinical review,

 toxicology, biostatistics, products, production facilities, pharmacovigilance, data

 integrity, bioresearch monitoring, and labeling reviewed the data submitted by Pfizer,

 and independently assessed the risks and benefits of the vaccine.34 The agency granted

 the EUA on December 11, 2020, noting that Pfizer “met the FDA’s expectations as

 conveyed in [the agency’s] June and October guidance documents.”35




                                    
 31 Nat’l Insts. Health (NIH), Experimental Coronavirus Vaccine is Safe and Produces Immune Response (Moderna),

 NIH    Research   Matters    (July   21,    2020)   https://www.nih.gov/news-events/nih-research-
 matters/experimental-coronavirus-vaccine-safe-produces-immune-response.
 32 NIH, Study to Describe the Safety, Tolerability, Immunogenicity, and Efficacy of RNA Vaccine Candidates against

 COVID-19 in Healthy Individuals, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04368728 (last visited July 16,
 2021).
 33  FDA, Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine Emergency Use Authorization Review Memorandum,
 https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-
 framework/emergency-use-authorization#vaccines.
 34 Id. at 1, 49-54.

 35 FDA, FDA Takes Key Action in Fight Against COVID-19 By Issuing Emergency Use Authorization for First

 COVID-19 Vaccine (Dec. 11, 2020) https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-takes-
 key-action-fight-against-covid-19-issuing-emergency-use-authorization-first-covid-19.



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           Moderna applied for an EUA on November 30, 2020.36 Their application included

 safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy data from over 30,000 study participants in ongoing

 phase I, II, and III, randomized, stratified, observer-blind, placebo-controlled clinical

 trials conducted at 99 locations in the United States.37 A team of representatives from

 across the FDA, including experts in clinical review, toxicology, biostatistics, products,

 production facilities, pharmacovigilance, data integrity, bioresearch monitoring, and

 labeling, reviewed the data submitted by Moderna, and independently assessed the risks

 and benefits of the vaccine.38 The agency granted the EUA on December 18, 2020, noting

 that “the FDA’s expectations described in [the agency’s] June and October guidance

 documents have been met.”39

           Janssen, a Johnson & Johnson company, applied for an EUA on February 4, 2021.40

 Their application included safety, immunogenicity, and efficacy data from five studies,

 including two randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase III trials, enrolling

 over 70,000 participants.41 A team of representatives from across the FDA, including

 experts in clinical review, toxicology, biostatistics, products, production facilities,

                                
 36 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review Memorandum (Moderna),
 https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-
 framework/emergency-use-authorization#vaccines.
 37 Id. at 12-13.

 38 Id. at 1, 55-60.

 39 FDA, FDA Takes Additional Action in Fight Against COVID-19 By Issuing Emergency Use Authorization for

 Second COVID-19 Vaccine (Dec. 18, 2020) https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-
 takes-additional-action-fight-against-covid-19-issuing-emergency-use-authorization-second-covid.
 40 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review Memorandum (Janssen),
 https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-
 framework/emergency-use-authorization#vaccines.
 41 Id. at 13.




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 pharmacovigilance, data integrity, bioresearch monitoring, and labeling, reviewed the

 data submitted by Johnson & Johnson, and independently assessed the risks and benefits

 of the vaccine.42 The FDA granted the EUA on February 27, 2021, noting that “the vaccine

 meets the FDA’s expectations for safety and effectiveness appropriate for authorization

 of a vaccine for emergency use.”43

           With these vaccines, an emerging light appeared at the end of the tunnel. As of

 July 17, 2021, 337,239,448 doses of vaccine have been administered, and 161 million

 Americans, or 48.5 percent of the total population, is fully vaccinated.44 Of adults over

 the age of eighteen, 59.4 percent are fully vaccinated.44 In Indiana, 5,749,173 doses have

 been administered, and 2,888,239 Hoosiers, or 49.6 percent of those over the age of twelve,

 are fully vaccinated.45 Of ages 18-24, who account for 9.2 percent of the U.S. population,

 11,720,847, or 42.2 percent, are fully vaccinated.46 In Indiana, 164,098 individuals aged 20-

 24, or 34.7 percent, are fully vaccinated.47




                                  
 42 Id. at 1, 59-61.

 43 FDA, FDA Issues Emergency Use Authorization for Third COVID-19 Vaccine (February 27, 2021)
 https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-issues-emergency-use-authorization-
 third-covid-19-vaccine.
 44   CDC, COVID-19 Vaccinations in the                United   States,   https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-
 tracker/#vaccinations (last visited July 17, 2021).
 45 ISDH, Indiana COVID-19 Vaccination Dashboard, https://www.coronavirus.in.gov/vaccine/2680.htm
 (last visited July 18, 2021).
 46   CDC, COVID-19 Vaccinations in the                United   States,   https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-
 tracker/#vaccinations (last visited July 17, 2021).
 47 ISDH, Indiana COVID-19 Vaccination Dashboard, https://www.coronavirus.in.gov/vaccine/2680.htm
 (last visited July 18, 2021).



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         J.      Risks of Vaccines.

         Though the vaccines show remarkable effectiveness against infection and severe

 cases of COVID-19, and “have undergone and will continue to undergo the most

 intensive safety monitoring in U.S. history,” they are not without risks, heretofore rare

 for serious risks [Ex. 115 ¶ 33].48 Many recipients experience mild local and systemic

 reactions, including fever, headache, muscle pain, chills, and tiredness.48 In very rare

 cases, more serious side effects seem to emerge such as allergic reactions or blood clots

 with low platelets [Ex. 115 ¶ 66; Ex. 117 ¶ 38].48 For young men specifically, experts are

 studying a temporal correlation between vaccines and myocarditis, an inflammation of

 the heart muscle, or pericarditis, inflammation of tissue around the heart [Ex 117 ¶ 37].49

 However, the risk of myocarditis appears to be exceptionally small [Ex. 115 ¶ 67].50

         The medical community closely tracks adverse events from the vaccine in a

 national database called VAERS, or the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System.51 This

 database is used to track adverse events temporally related to all vaccine administration,

 including for the COVID-19 vaccines, but it is not a definitive or final resource to




                                  
 48   CDC,      Safety     of    COVID-19        Vaccines,       https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-
 ncov/vaccines/safety/safety-of-vaccines.html (last visited July 13, 2021).
 49 See also Han W. Kim et al., Patients with Acute Myocarditis Following mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination, JAMA

 Cardiol doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2021.2828 (June 29, 2021)
 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/2781602 (finding handful of patients out
 of 561,197, and all recovered after a few days).
 50 See, e.g., Israeli Ministry of Health, Surveillance of Myocarditis (Inflammation of the Heart Muscle) Cases

 Between December 2020 and May 2021, https://www.gov.il/en/departments/news/01062021-03 (last
 visited July 18, 2021) (121 cases out of a total of 5,049,424 vaccinated individuals).
 51 HHS, VAERS, https://vaers.hhs.gov/.




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 conclusively prove contraindications.52 “While very important in monitoring vaccine

 safety, VAERS reports alone cannot be used to determine if a vaccine caused or

 contributed to an adverse event or illness.”53 Nevertheless, the FDA considers VAERS

 data when assessing whether to make changes to any approval or to apply any additional

 warnings to vaccines.54 Based on this surveillance, reports of anaphylaxis appears to be

 rare, blood clotting concerns are rare but higher in women under the age of 50,

 myocarditis is rare but more common in young people, and reports of death are rare.55

         The FDA has issued revisions to the patient and provider fact sheets about the risk

 of myocarditis and pericarditis acknowledging data about this risk.56 Furthermore, the

 FDA and CDC recommended a pause on the use of Johnson & Johnson’s vaccine in light

 of reports of clotting in young women (a pause subsequently lifted).57 Recent changes last

 week occurred because of reported neurological impacts of the Johnson & Johnson



                                  
 52     CDC,    Selected   Adverse     Events    Reported     after    COVID-19         Vaccination,
 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/adverse-events.html (last visited July 13,
 2021).
 53  CDC, The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) Results (July 17, 2021),
 https://wonder.cdc.gov/controller/datarequest/D8;jsessionid=DBF4A737A762F523202A55E30B57.
 54 See, e.g., FDA, Coronavirus (COVID-19) Update: July 13, 2021 (July 13, 2021) (discussing concerns over

 VAERS     reports  of  Guillain-Barré   Syndrome    following    vaccination)   (available     at
 https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/coronavirus-covid-19-update-july-13-2021).
 55 Id.; see also CDC, The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System, https://wonder.cdc.gov/vaers.html (last

 visited July 14, 2021); CDC, COVID-19 Vaccination Demographics in the United States, National,
 https://data.cdc.gov/Vaccinations/COVID-19-Vaccination-Demographics-in-the-United-St/km4m-vcsb
 (last visited July 18, 2021) (more than 24 million doses of a vaccine have been administered to this age group
 as of July 14, 2021)
 56FDA, Coronavirus (COVID-19) Update: June 25, 2021, https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-
 announcements/coronavirus-covid-19-update-june-25-2021 (last visited July 13, 2021).
 57  CDC, CDC Recommends Use of Johnson & Johnson’s Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine Resume,
 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/JJUpdate.html (last visited July 13, 2021).



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 vaccine, based on VAERS data.58 These refinements indicate that the ongoing safety of

 these vaccines are rigorously monitored by agency professionals.

        K.      Herd Immunity.

        Much has been said of herd immunity at the national and state levels. The

 university too wants to achieve herd immunity. Herd immunity occurs when a virus

 cannot spread because so many of the individuals it encounters are protected against

 infection [Ex. 117 ¶ 14-17; Ex. 115 ¶ 43-44].59 The students say we are there [Ex. 117 ¶ 14-

 17]. The university disagrees [Ex. 116 ¶ 43]. As more infectious variants emerge, some

 suggest the percent immunized must also increase to reach herd immunity [Ex. 115 ¶ 19-

 22].60 Like many aspects of the pandemic, the point at which society is able to conclude

 enough people have protection from the virus is still undetermined.

        The character of immunity is also uncertain. As COVID-19 is a new disease, and

 the vaccines are even newer, the long-term efficacy of immunity derived from vaccination

 and infection is not proven [Ex. 117 ¶ 68-72; Ex. 115 ¶ 70].61 Immune responses appear to

 exist for at least several months following a COVID-19 infection [Ex. 117 ¶ 68-72; Ex. 319



                                
 58 FDA, Coronavirus (COVID-19) Update: July 13, 2021 (July 13, 2021) (discussing concerns over VAERS

 reports of Guillain-Barre syndrome following vaccination) (available at https://www.fda.gov/news-
 events/press-announcements/coronavirus-covid-19-update-july-13-2021). 
 59  Christie Aschwanden, The False Promise of Herd Immunity for COVID-19,                       Nature,
 https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02948-4 (Last visited July 13, 2021).
 60 See Kamran Kadknoda, Herd Immunity to COVID-19, Am. J. Clin Gypsyamber D’Souza & David Dowdy,

 What is Herd Immunity and How Can We Achieve It With COVID-19?, https://www.jhsph.edu/covid-
 19/articles/achieving-herd-immunity-with-covid19.html (last visited July 13, 2021).
 61 See Jennifer M. Dan, Immunological Memory to SARS-CoV-2 Assessed for Up to 8 Months after Infection,

 371(6529) Science eab4063 (Feb. 5, 2021); See Chris Baraniuk, How Long Does Covid-19 Immunity Last?, 373
 BMJ n1605 (June 30, 2021) https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1605.short?rss=1.



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 ¶ 1].61 Dr. Beeler explains a recent study that suggests that vaccination after COVID-19

 exposure secures more protection than just antibodies from prior contraction of the

 virus—in terms of duration and strength against the prevailing variants [Ex. 128 at 82].62

         The parties disagree over the relative risk of college students spreading the virus

 to the community, with the students contending the risk is very low [see Ex. 117 ¶ 29-31],

 and the university contending the risk is real [see Ex. 115 ¶ 51-52]. There is no consensus

 on this issue, and some research has not been peer-reviewed.63 Nevertheless, peer-

 reviewed research suggests that outbreaks on college campuses pose a risk of spreading

 to neighboring communities.64 Data suggest that as of May 26, 2021, 260,000 infections

 have been linked to universities and colleges in 2021, including 3,062 reported cases

 across the Indiana University system—though this data appears limited to students,

 faculty members, staff members, and other college workers, and thus does not provide

 insight on greater community spread [see Ex. 115 ¶ 52].65 Universities are unique

                                  
 62 See Delphine Planas et al., Reduced Sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 Variant Delta to Antibody Neutralization,

 Nature doi: 10.1038/s41586-021-03777-9, 3 (July 8, 2021)                     (online    ahead     of   print),
 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03777-9_reference.pdf.
 63 See Callum R.K. Arnold et al., SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in a University Community: A Longitudinal Study

 of the Impact of Student Return to Campus on Infection Risk Among Community Members, medRxiv Preprint (Feb
 19, 2021) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33619497/ (minimum impact on community); but see Gabriel
 T. Bosslet et al., The Effect of In-Person Primary and Secondary School Instruction on County-Level SARS-CoV-2
 Spread in Indiana, Clinical Infectious Diseases (manuscript accepted) https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciab306
 (Apr. 13, 2021) (finding that a 10 percent increase in K-12 students attending school in-person corresponded
 to a daily increase of 0.336 cases per 100,000 residents in the community).
 64 See Hannah Lu et al., Are College Campuses Superspreaders? A Data-Driven Modeling Study, Computer

 Methods in Biomechanics & Biomedical Eng’g, https://doi.org/10.1080/10255842.2020.1869221 (Jan. 13,
 2021) (Stanford researchers looked at county spikes following outbreaks at 30 universities and concluded
 that outbreaks at 17 campuses translated directly into respective community spikes).
 65  N.Y. Times, Tracking Coronavirus Cases at U.S. Colleges and Universities (May 26, 2021),
 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/college-covid-tracker.html (last visited July 13, 2021).
 The New York Times appears to be the most comprehensive database for tracking COVID-19 cases across
 U.S. colleges and universities, collecting and compiling data from individual universities, local health


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 environments, with students, faculty, and staff often in close contact, particularly given

 the number that call Indiana University home.

        L.      The Student’s Objections.

        The eight plaintiffs in this case, all students of Indiana University, don’t want the

 vaccine. Six of the eight have received exemptions already. One would qualify if she

 applied. The other appears not to qualify for an exemption.

        Ryan Klaassen is concerned that the vaccine is too new to be safe [Ex. 120 at 18].

 He objects to the masking and testing requirements because of their unreasonableness

 and the potential for discrimination [id. 36]. He complied with the university’s mask

 policy during his freshman year, including wearing a mask in most places, and has

 undergone many COVID-19 tests [id. 27].

        Jaime Carini has up to seven more years to finish her joint dissertation after she

 finishes her exams [Ex. 121 at 23]. Her physician provided a letter saying she should not

 take the vaccine, though the letter has not been presented to the university or to the court

 [Ex. 121 at 52-53]. She applied for a religious exemption and received one [id. 57]. She did

 not apply for a medical exemption [Ex. 100 ¶ 187 (never applied for one); Ex. 121 at 60].

 Despite wearing a mask in public spaces when required and previously taking several

 COVID-19 tests, she objects to the mask policy because it makes it difficult for her to

 breathe, she gets bad acne from the mask, and she struggles deadlifting with a mask [Ex.




                                
 departments, counties, states, and through open record requests at universities who would not otherwise
 provide data.



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 121 at 44, 47-51]. She also doesn’t like surrendering her biological information for testing

 [id. 55]. In total, she views the university’s policy as a cultural harm [id. 55-56].

        Daniel Baumgartner says he has a deeply held religious objection to wearing a

 mask and being tested. He wore a mask while attending religious services, in school, and

 at stores in the past [Ex. 122 at 8, 18-20]. He previously contracted COVID-19 and says he

 has “natural” COVID antibodies, though for how long he doesn’t know [id. 21-22].

        Ashlee Morris believes she previously contracted COVID-19 [Ex. 123 at 27-28]. She

 has been tested before and acknowledges that she did not suffer any lasting harm from

 the test [id. 35]. She wore a mask to work, on a plane, and when she went to a casino, but

 not to stores even if signs were posted [id. 35-37]. She testifies she has a religious objection

 to wearing a mask and being tested [id. 45-48]. She admits that she has never experienced

 discrimination because she did not wear a mask [id. 56].

        Seth Crowder has a deeply held religious objection to wearing a mask and being

 tested [Ex. 124 at 29-30]. He has worn a mask once or twice a week since March 2020,

 including to stores and restaurants [id. 22].

        Macey Policka objects generally to the extra requirements of masks and tests

 because of the minimal risk to those in her age group, also stating that vegans and

 pescatarians are less likely to experience serious illness [Ex. 125 at 28]. She lived on the

 Bloomington campus for the 2020 school year, complied with the university’s masking

 policy, and underwent weekly mitigation testing from which she states she did not suffer

 any harm [id. 14-18]. She has never experienced judgment or alienation due to wearing a




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 mask at the university but is concerned about having to wear a mask while pursuing her

 theatre degree [id. 25, 42].

        Margaret Roth objects to the mask and testing requirements because she thinks

 masks are silly and she claims nasal swabs cause cancer [Ex. 126 at 12, 29, 35-36]. She has

 worn a mask while at school, shopping, and working [id. 31-33]. She has a religious

 objection to the vaccine but did not file for an exemption because she doesn’t want to be

 subject to testing or wear a mask [id. 45-47].

        Natalie Sperazza complied with the university testing and masking requirement

 during the 2020 school year [Ex. 127 at 30-32]. She has been tested for COVID-19 many

 times, including while working at Amazon, where she would occasionally go to get tested

 just to have a break [id. 25-26, 30].

        M.     Procedure.

        The students filed a preliminary injunction motion. The court expedited briefing

 and discovery. The court held oral argument on July 13, 2021, after receiving the record

 the day before. The parties stipulated to the admissibility of all exhibits. The parties

 stipulated not to present additional testimony at the preliminary injunction hearing

 because it would duplicate what they had presented already.

        Further evidentiary hearing is generally required for a preliminary injunction

 motion when there are “genuine issues of material fact” and either side “intends to

 introduce evidence [at the hearing] that if believed will so weaken [the other’s] case as to

 affect the judge’s decision on whether to issue the injunction.” Ty, Inc. v. GMA Accessories,

 Inc., 132 F.3d 1167, 1171 (7th Cir. 1997). That said, such a hearing isn’t necessary when the


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 evidence would essentially duplicate the declarations, depositions, and other documents

 the parties have already submitted. See Goodman v. Ill. Dep’t of Fin. & Pro. Regul., 430 F.3d

 432, 439 (7th Cir. 2005) (summarizing Ty, Inc., 132 F.3d at 1171); Ty, Inc., 132 F.3d at 1171.

 No additional hearing was necessary here. The court has considered over a hundred

 written exhibits, including sworn depositions and declarations, and heard three hours of

 argument. This motion is ripe for immediate ruling.

                                          STANDING

        Before considering the preliminary injunction motion, the court must ensure its

 jurisdiction. See Common Cause Ind. v. Lawson, 937 F.3d 944, 949 (7th Cir. 2019); Simic v.

 City of Chicago, 851 F.3d 734, 738 (7th Cir. 2017). The United States Constitution confines

 the federal judiciary’s power to “Cases” and “Controversies.” U.S. Const. Art. III § 2. For

 a case or controversy to exist, a plaintiff must have standing—an injury, fairly traceable

 to the defendant’s conduct, that the court’s decision will likely redress. Uzuegbunam v.

 Preczewski, 141 S. Ct. 792, 797 (2021); Spokeo, Inc. v. Robins, 136 S. Ct. 1540, 1547 (2016).

        Indiana University raises the issue of standing. Of the eight students here, six have

 received an exemption under the university’s policy and one (Margaret Roth) qualifies

 so long as she pursues it. This leaves one student (Natalie Sperazza) who yet faces an

 unexemptible choice this semester: either she gets vaccinated or she cannot attend

 Indiana University this fall. She doesn’t qualify for an exemption. At minimum, she has

 standing—an injury fairly traced to Indiana University’s decision to mandate the vaccine

 and one the court can redress. See Uzuegbunam, 141 S. Ct. at 797; Taylor v. McCament, 875

 F.3d 849, 853 (7th Cir. 2017).


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        The court has subject matter jurisdiction under Article III so long as one plaintiff

 has standing. See Horne v. Flores, 557 U.S. 433, 446 (2009); Massachusetts v. E.P.A., 549 U.S.

 497, 518 (2007). Even when the standing of others may prove doubtful, see, e.g., Chi. Joe’s

 Tea Room, LLC v. Vill. of Broadview, 894 F.3d 807, 813 (7th Cir. 2018), the court’s jurisdiction

 remains intact so long as one plaintiff has demonstrated standing to assert her rights,

 Horne, 557 U.S. at 446. The court thus may proceed to this preliminary injunction motion

 without addressing the standing of the other students. See id.

        That said, the court remains mindful (and the reader should too) that it cannot

 issue a mere advisory opinion. Article III’s “case or controversy” requirement prohibits

 “advisory opinions that do not affect the rights of the parties before the court.” Matlin v.

 Spin Master Corp., 979 F.3d 1177, 1181 (7th Cir. 2020) (citation omitted). The court isn’t a

 law office established for legal advice—the federal judiciary decides cases, not

 hypothetical outcomes. If the court’s decision doesn’t affect a litigant’s rights, “the

 aggrieved party [is] unable to illustrate the redressability component of standing,

 rendering any judicial decision in the case an impermissible advisory opinion.” United

 States v. Brixen, 908 F.3d 276, 280 (7th Cir. 2018). In short, the court won’t decide today

 issues that would not redress the injuries these particular students allege.

                        PRELIMINARY INJUNCTION STANDARD

        A preliminary injunction is a “very far-reaching power, never to be indulged []

 except in a case clearly demanding it.” Cassell v. Snyders, 990 F.3d 539, 544 (7th Cir. 2021)

 (quoting Orr v. Shicker, 953 F.3d 490, 501 (7th Cir. 2020)). To obtain an injunction, the

 students “must make a threshold showing that: (1) absent preliminary injunctive relief,


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 [they] will suffer irreparable harm in the interim prior to a final resolution; (2) there is no

 adequate remedy at law; and (3) [they have] a reasonable likelihood of success on the

 merits.” Tully v. Okeson, 977 F.3d 608, 612-13 (7th Cir. 2020) (quoting Turnell v. CentiMark

 Corp., 796 F.3d 656, 662 (7th Cir. 2015)); see also Winter v. Nat. Resources Defense Council,

 Inc., 555 U.S. 7, 20 (2008). If they make these threshold showings, the court “consider[s]

 the balance of harms between the parties and the effect of granting or denying a

 preliminary injunction on the public interest.” Tully, 977 F.3d at 613 (quotation omitted).

                                                 ANALYSIS

         A.      These Students Aren’t Likely to Succeed on the Merits.

         No case to date has decided the constitutionality of whether a public university,

 such as Indiana University, may mandate that its students receive a COVID-19 vaccine.66

 Given the unique constitutional nature of this case, the court assesses the students’

 likelihood of success first, ever mindful that this determination proves preliminary only.

         The students must show a likelihood of success on the merits. This is their burden.

 This showing must be “strong,” which “normally includes a demonstration of how the

 applicant proposes to prove the key elements of [the] case.” Tully, 977 F.3d at 613 (quoting

 Ill. Republican Party v. Pritzker, 973 F.3d 760, 762-63 (7th Cir. 2020)). Though an “applicant

 need not show that [she] definitely will win the case,” a “mere possibility of success is

 not enough.” Pritzker, 973 F.3d at 762-63.




                                  
 66 A district court recently upheld a COVID-19 vaccine mandate, albeit by a private employer (hospital).

 See Bridges v. Houston Methodist Hosp., 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 110382, 7-8 (S.D. Tex. June 12, 2021).


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                  1.   The Fourteenth Amendment.

        The students pursue a Fourteenth Amendment claim. The Bill of Rights—the first

 ten amendments to the United States Constitution—originally applied only to the federal

 government. See McDonald v. City of Chicago, 561 U.S. 742, 754 (2010). Individual states

 weren’t obligated to respect its protections against citizens. See Livingston’s Lessee v.

 Moore, 32 U.S. 469, 551-52 (1833); see also McDonald, 561 U.S. at 754 (citing Moore, 32 U.S.

 at 551-52). This changed with the Fourteenth Amendment in 1868.

        The Fourteenth Amendment “furnishe[d] an additional guaranty against any

 encroachment by the States upon the fundamental rights [that] belong to every citizen as

 a member of society.” United States v. Cruikshank, 92 U.S. 542, 554 (1875); accord United

 States v. Morrison, 529 U.S. 598, 622 (2000); see also 42 U.S.C. § 1983; Albright v. Oliver, 510

 U.S. 266, 271 (1994); Power v. Summers, 226 F.3d 815, 819 (7th Cir. 2000). For today’s

 dispute, the Fourteenth Amendment says no “State [may] deprive any person of life,

 liberty, or property, without due process of law.” U.S. Const. amend. XIV § 1. This due

 process clause applies to the States and protects, absent a deprivation with due process,

 certain rights to life, liberty, and property. Indiana University is a state actor, Medlock v.

 Trustees of Ind. Univ., 738 F.3d 867, 871 (7th Cir. 2013), so the Fourteenth Amendment also

 applies to it.

        As interpreted, the Fourteenth Amendment has both substantive and procedural

 dimensions. See Cleveland Bd. of Educ. v. Loudermill, 470 U.S. 532, 541 (1985). This case

 concerns substantive due process—“a substantive limitation on the power of government

 to legislate.” Durigan v. Sanitary Dist. No. 4, 5 F. Appx. 492, 494 (7th Cir. 2001); see Campos


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 v. Cook Cnty., 932 F.3d 972, 975 (7th Cir. 2019). The Fourteenth Amendment protects a

 person’s substantive rights in life, liberty, and property. U.S. Const. amend. XIV § 1.

 Certain rights or liberties have been deemed “fundamental,” so they receive greater

 protection. See Washington v. Glucksberg, 521 U.S. 702, 720-21 (1997).

        Bearing that in mind, the court initially approaches this case in a two-fold manner.

 First, the law requires a “careful description” of the asserted right or liberty. See id. at 721;

 see, e.g., Doe v. City of Lafayette, 377 F.3d 757, 768 (7th Cir. 2004). Second, the court must

 determine whether the so-defined right or liberty is fundamental under the Constitution.

 See Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 721; Doe, 377 F.3d at 768. The Fourteenth Amendment’s due

 process clause specially protects fundamental rights and liberties—those that objectively

 are “deeply rooted in this Nation’s history and tradition” and so “implicit in the concept

 of ordered liberty” that “neither liberty nor justice would exist if they were sacrificed.”

 Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 721 (citations omitted); accord Khan v. Bland, 630 F.3d 519, 535 (7th

 Cir. 2010). These guideposts direct and restrain due process decisionmaking. Glucksberg,

 521 U.S. at 721.

        Many rights explicitly secured in the Bill of Rights are considered fundamental,

 having been gradually incorporated as substantive guarantees under the Fourteenth

 Amendment. These fundamental rights include, as examples, freedom of speech, Gitlow

 v. New York, 268 U.S. 652 (1925); freedom of the press, Near v. Minnesota, 283 U.S. 697

 (1931); the right against cruel and unusual punishment, Robinson v. California, 370 U.S.

 660 (1962); and the right to keep and bear arms, McDonald, 561 U.S. at 742. There are

 others.


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        Fundamental rights aren’t limited to those specifically enumerated in the Bill of

 Rights. Beginning with Griswold v. Connecticut, 381 U.S. 479, 483 (1965), the Supreme

 Court recognized a right to privacy within the “penumbra” of other constitutional

 protections and called it fundamental. This right to privacy has included the right for

 both married and unmarried couples to purchase contraceptives, see Griswold, 381 U.S. at

 484-86; Eisenstadt v. Baird, 405 U.S. 438, 454-55 (1972), to abortion, see Roe v. Wade, 410 U.S.

 113, 153 (1973), to sexual privacy, Lawrence v. Texas, 539 U.S. 558, 578 (2003), and to marital

 privacy, Obergefell v. Hodges, 576 U.S. 644, 664-65 (2015). As these cases illustrate, privacy

 rights largely have been confined to “to sexual and reproductive rights, such as the right

 to use contraceptives or have an abortion or engage in homosexual acts.” Wolfe v. Schaefer,

 619 F.3d 782, 784 (7th Cir. 2010).

        The students and university disagree on the constitutional analysis. Declaring a

 right or liberty fundamental has important implications. Modern constitutional

 jurisprudence employs a different analysis when a person’s fundamental right is at stake.

 If the government infringes on a fundamental right, the court often applies strict scrutiny.

 Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 721. In such circumstances, the Fourteenth Amendment “forbids

 the government to infringe . . . fundamental liberty interests at all, no matter what process

 is provided, unless the infringement is narrowly tailored to serve a compelling state

 interest.” Id. (quoting Reno v. Flores, 507 U.S. 292, 302 (1993)); see, e.g., Siefert v. Alexander,

 608 F.3d 974, 981 (7th Cir. 2010); Ent. Software Ass’n v. Blagojevich, 469 F.3d 641, 646 (7th

 Cir. 2006). This is the most rigorous form of constitutional scrutiny of government action.




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         Whereas infringements on other rights or liberties, though still constitutionally

 scrutinized, must meet what courts call rational basis review. Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 722,

 Sweeney v. Pence, 767 F.3d 654, 668 (7th Cir. 2014). The law normally applies this standard

 to Fourteenth Amendment challenges to infringed liberties, if not fundamental or based

 on a suspect classification. Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. 63, 70

 (2020) (Gorsuch, J., concurring); see, e.g., Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 721. It is less stringent than

 strict scrutiny. Under rational basis review, “legislation is presumed to be valid and will

 be sustained if the classification drawn by the statute is rationally related to a legitimate

 state interest.” City of Cleburne v. Cleburne Living Ctr., 473 U.S. 432, 440 (1985). The

 students argue for strict scrutiny, and the university argues for rational basis review.

                 2.      The Constitution in a Public Health Crisis.

         We live in the era of the COVID-19 virus—worldwide seeing to nearly 189 million

 cases and 4 million deaths, with these numbers changing daily. The United States hasn’t

 been immune. Our citizens have recovered or struggled to recover from over 33 million

 cases of this novel coronavirus when over 606,000 tragically have passed.67 A public

 health crisis of this magnitude begs the question: how should the law respond to state

 action that infringes on the People’s liberties during such times?

         To be sure, the Constitution isn’t put on the shelf. Indeed, in times of crisis,

 perhaps constitutional adherence proves the very anchor we all need against irrational

 and overweening government intrusion that would otherwise scuttle the ship. As the


                                 
 67 CDC, Trends in Number of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the US Reported to CDC, by State/Territory (July

 16, 2021), https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases.


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 arbiters of the Constitution’s checks and balances, see Marbury v. Madison, 5 U.S. 137, 176-

 78 (1803); accord Morrison, 529 U.S. at 616, the courts play an important role in ensuring

 that the government doesn’t simply declare a never-ending public emergency and

 expand its powers ad libitum to the People’s detriment.

        Under our country’s federalist system, state and federal governments share

 regulatory authority over public health matters. States traditionally exercise most

 authority under their inherent police power—and reasonably so when public health may

 flux and evolve by locale. States thus have the power, within constitutional limits, to pass

 laws that “provide for the public health, safety, and morals[.]” Barnes v. Glen Theatre, 501

 U.S. 560, 569 (1991); accord Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 729-31; Zucht v. King, 260 U.S. 174, 176-

 77 (1922), Jacobson v. Commonwealth of Massachusetts, 197 U.S. 11, 24-25 (1905).

        To answer the question today, the court travels back in time to 1905: a time before

 the modern tiers of constitutional analysis (strict scrutiny and rational basis) and one

 rampaged by the smallpox epidemic. In that year, the United States Supreme Court

 issued a leading decision in answer to this question.

        In Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 12, Massachusetts passed a law that allowed a city, if

 “necessary for the public health or safety,” to enforce vaccination of its citizens. If a

 person refused, he could be fined $5.00 (about $140.00 today). Id.; Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 70

 (Gorsuch, J., concurring). The law allowed an exception for children who had physician-

 signed certificates saying they weren’t fit for vaccination, but no such exemption existed

 for adults. Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 12.




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          The City of Cambridge, relying on this statute and acting through its board of

 health, ordered its citizens vaccinated for smallpox. Id. at 12-13. Smallpox was

 devastating, claiming almost 300 million lives in the 20th century before being

 eradicated.68 In the early 1900s, and closer to the time that Massachusetts wrestled with

 the disease, there were 1,596 cases of smallpox in Boston, with 270 deaths, in a city with

 a population close to 561,000.69 Massachusetts, particularly Boston, was an epicenter of

 one of two major smallpox outbreaks. Opponents of vaccination questioned its safety and

 efficacy; though generally safe, it could cause ulceration, lobar pneumonia, cellulitis,

 parotitis, sepsis, and tetanus, to name a few conditions.70 Side effects ostensibly posed a

 greater problem than mild smallpox.71 The smallpox vaccine wasn’t risk-free in the early

 1900s. That said, vaccinations had been used for some considerable time—begun by state-

 supported facilities in England in 1808 and mandated by many other countries

 throughout the 1800s before the Massachusetts mandate in 1902. Id. at 31, n.1. This all

 transpired before the FDA came into being.

          Henning Jacobson refused the vaccine in Massachusetts. After a trial, a jury found

 him guilty of refusing the vaccine. The court sentenced him to jail until he paid the $5.00




                                    
 68 See D L Heymann et al., Successful Smallpox Eradication: What Can We Learn to Control COVID-19?, 27 J.

 Travel Med. 1 (2020).
 69 Michael R. Albert et al., The Last Smallpox Epidemic in Boston and the Vaccination Controversy, 1901-1903, 344

 New Eng. J. Med. 375 (2001).
 70 Id. at 375-76.

 71 Bernard Brabin, An Analysis of the United States and United Kingdom Epidemics (1901-5)—The Special

 Relationship that Tested Public Health Strategies for Disease Control, 64 Med. Hist. 1, 26 (2020).



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 criminal fine. On appeal, he argued that the Massachusetts law authorizing the vaccine

 mandate violated his Fourteenth Amendment rights. Id. at 13.

        The United States Supreme Court rejected his challenge. A state’s police power

 “must be held to embrace, at least, such reasonable regulations established directly by

 legislative enactment as will protect the public health and the public safety.” Id. at 25.

 This power included the “authority of a state to enact quarantine laws and health laws of

 every description;” and such power extended to “all laws that relate to matters

 completely within its territory and which do not by their necessary operation affect the

 people of other states.” Id. The Constitution gave Massachusetts broad deference: a court

 should only intervene “if a statute purporting to have been enacted to protect the public

 health, the public morals, or the public safety, has no real or substantial relation to those

 objects, or is beyond all question, a plain, palpable invasion of rights secured by the

 fundamental law.” Id. at 31.

        Of note, Jacobson upheld only the constitutionality of the state statute, id. at 39 (“We

 now decide only that the statute covers the present case, and that nothing clearly appears

 that would justify this court in holding it to be unconstitutional and inoperative in its

 application to the plaintiff in error.”); and phrased its holding in terms of a reasonable

 regulation established “directly by legislative enactment,” id. at 25, but the case

 contemplated the action of local state bodies when vested legislatively with the power to

 act to safeguard public health and safety, see, e.g., id. at 25, 38. A State’s power, “whether

 exercised directly by the legislature, or by a local body acting under its authority, may be

 exerted in such circumstances,” and only “regulations so arbitrary and oppressive in


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 particular cases [would] justify the interference of the courts to prevent wrong and

 oppression.” Id. at 38.

          The students want Jacobson confined to its time, whereas the university believes it

 applies with full force. In the years since, the high court has leaned on Jacobson to uphold

 government measures intended for the public welfare under effectively rational basis

 review, finding the measures reasonably advancing a legitimate state interest. For

 example, Zucht, 260 U.S. at 175-77, relied on Jacobson to uphold a city ordinance excluding

 from its public schools children not having a certificate of vaccination, holding that it was

 within the state’s police powers reasonably to so act. According to Zucht, Jacobson settled

 the state’s power “to provide for compulsory vaccination” and, “consistently with the

 federal Constitution, delegate to a municipality authority to determine under what

 conditions health regulations shall become operative.” Id. at 176. This was not

 authorization of “arbitrary power,” but only that broad discretion required for the

 protection of the public health.” Id. at 177. In doing so, “state and federal legislatures

 [enjoy] wide discretion to pass legislation in areas where there is medical and scientific

 uncertainty.” Gonzales v. Carhart, 550 U.S. 124, 163 (2007) (citing Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 30-

 31).

          Based on this power, states and their authorized arms have historically adopted

 vaccination mandates. For instance, all fifty states and the District of Columbia have laws




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 requiring students to receive certain vaccines before they may attend school.72 Many align

 their vaccine requirements with CDC’s immunization recommendations, and all laws

 provide exemptions for medical reasons and nearly all religious exemptions.72 Adult

 vaccination mandates often have been limited to the private employment sector,73 though

 not always. For instance, the State of Indiana requires all public university students to

 receive     vaccinations      for       diphtheria,   tetanus,     measles,      mumps,        rubella,     and

 meningococcal disease, save for religious and medical exemptions. See Ind. Code § 21-40-

 5-2.

          Similarly, but outside the vaccination context, Hamilton v. Regents of the University

 of California, 293 U.S. 245, 264 (1934), relied on Jacobson to uphold a state university’s

 decision to compel military training for its students (five years before World War II).

 Certain minors (not adults) were required to take a course in military science and tactics,

 part of training prescribed by the country’s war department at the time. The students

 objected on religious grounds through the Fourteenth Amendment—“no more than an

 assertion that the due process clause of the Fourteenth Amendment as a safeguard of

 ‘liberty’ confers the right to be students in the State University free from obligation to

 take military training as one of the conditions of attendance.” Id. at 262. Hamilton held

 this view “untenable,” recognizing the government’s duty to the people to maintain

                                     
 72 Nat’l Conf. of State Legislatures, States with Religious and Philosophical Exemptions from School Immunization

 Requirements (April 30, 2021), https://www.ncsl.org/research/health/school-immunization-exemption-
 state-laws.aspx.
 73 Michael J. Vernick, Molly E. Whitman & McKenzie F. Miller, The Mandate Maze, Inside Higher Ed (May

 25, 2021), https://www.insidehighered.com/views/2021/05/25/advice-legal-issues-related-vaccine-
 mandates-opinion.



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 peace and order and every citizen’s “reciprocal duty, according to his capacity, to support

 and defend government against all enemies.” Id. at 262-63. Justice Cardozo eloquently

 concurred: “The right of private judgment has never yet been so exalted above the powers

 and the compulsion of the agencies of government. One who is a martyr to a principle—

 which may turn out in the end to be a delusion or an error—does not prove by his

 martyrdom that he has kept within the law.” Id. at 268.

        Repose the thought whether we face just such a common enemy today in COVID-

 19. In this century, other than the Supreme Court’s reliance on Jacobson in 2007, see

 Gonzales, 550 U.S. at 163, courts have returned again to its guidance during the COVID-

 19 pandemic. Just last year, this circuit endorsed Jacobson. See Pritzker, 973 F.3d at 763

 (“The district court appropriately looked to Jacobson for guidance, and so do we.”). The

 circuit held that “Jacobson t[ook] off the table any general challenge” to an executive order

 that subjected religious gatherings to recommended limits on gatherings, rather than

 mandatory ones. Id. at 763-64. The Illinois governor implemented “an order designed to

 address a serious public-health crisis,” and Jacobson afforded broad deference “[a]t least

 at this stage of the pandemic.” Id.

        That decision was almost ten months ago—in terms of the law very recent, but in

 terms of this ever-evolving health crisis before the proverbial rinderpest. We are no

 longer at the same stage of the COVID-19 pandemic; indeed, some—like the students—

 argue that the pandemic is effectively over. And since this circuit’s Pritzker decision, more

 cases bearing on the subject of public health in the COVID-19 pandemic have arrived.




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        One such decision—and one heavily briefed by the parties—is Roman Catholic

 Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. 63 (2020). In Cuomo, the State of New York adopted

 capacity restrictions on religious institutions that treated them less favorably than so-

 called “essential” businesses, id. at 66, including liquor and hardware stores, id. at 69

 (Gorsuch, J., concurring). Cuomo applied strict scrutiny because the law targeted religious

 practice contrary to the First Amendment, as incorporated against the states by the

 Fourteenth Amendment, and enjoined the limitations, saying they were not narrowly

 tailored to fulfill the state’s compelling interest in controlling the spread of COVID-19. Id.

 at 67 (majority opinion).

        Cuomo enhanced the law’s focus under the First Amendment. See Cassell, 990 F.3d

 at 543 (citing Cuomo for the proposition that “[i]ntervening authority from the Supreme

 Court offers plaintiffs a greater prospect for success on the merits of their First

 Amendment claim than either the district court or we had expected”). So this begs

 another question: to what extent has Cuomo—if any—impacted the broad deference the

 court would seemingly afford a state during a pandemic under Jacobson to act in the

 interest of public health? Cuomo’s majority opinion never referenced Jacobson.

        The students read Cuomo as implicitly overruling Jacobson, or at least as abrogating

 it. Though the Supreme Court may overrule a case without explicitly saying so, see Levine

 v. Heffernan, 864 F.2d 457, 461 (7th Cir. 1988), this is a tall task. Before a federal court

 concludes that the Supreme Court has implicitly overruled a prior decision, it must be

 “certain or almost certain that the decision or doctrine would be rejected by the higher

 court if a case presenting the issue came before it.” Olson v. Paine, Webber, Jackson & Curtis,


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 Inc., 806 F.2d 731, 741 (7th Cir. 1986). This high bar is rarely met. Id. It isn’t met here.

 Cuomo and Jacobson involved entirely different modes of analysis, entirely different rights,

 and entirely different kinds of restriction. See Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 70 (Gorusch, J.,

 concurring) (saying the same). “Jacobson applied what would become the traditional legal

 test associated with the right at issue”—exactly what Cuomo did. Id. The cases walk hand-

 in-hand.

        This history isn’t all rosy. Unsuccessful thus far, the students turn to Buck v. Bell,

 274 U.S. 200 (1927). In a rather infamous case, an eight-member majority, save for one

 dissenting justice, upheld the involuntary sterilization of a woman based on a Virginia

 law that rested on faulty science and public support for “eugenics”—the repulsive notion

 that the human race could be improved by controlling reproduction from those with

 developmental challenges, mental illness, or criminal histories. Citing Jacobson for the

 principle that “compulsory vaccination is broad enough to cover cutting the Fallopian

 tubes,” and offering the chilling justification that “[t]hree generations of imbeciles are

 enough,” the majority upheld the law against a Fourteenth Amendment challenge. Id. at

 207. This case isn’t Buck; and one over-extension of Jacobson merely counsels once more

 that the Constitution cannot be cut loose even now, in a pandemic’s seeming twilight.

 Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 68.

        Jacobson was written before the modern tiers of constitutional scrutiny, so a

 legitimate question is the extent to which Jacobson applies with full force today. This is a

 topic of some debate. See, e.g., id. at 70 (Gorsuch, J., concurring) (“Jacobson didn’t seek to

 depart from normal legal rules during a pandemic, and it supplies no precedent for doing


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 so.”); Calvary Chapel Dayton Valley v. Sisolak, 140 S. Ct. 2603, 2608 (2020) (Alito, J.,

 dissenting) (“it is a mistake to take language in Jacobson as the last word on what the

 constitution allows public officials to do during the COVID-19 pandemic”); Big Tyme Inv.,

 LLC v. Edwards, 985 F.3d 456, 470-71 and n.3 (5th Cir. 2021) (Willett, J., concurring) (“I am

 not the first to express doubts about Jacobson”); S. Bay United Pentecostal Church v. Newsom,

 959 F.3d 938, 943 n.2 (9th Cir. 2020) (Collins, J., dissenting) (“I am unable to agree with

 the Fifth Circuit’s conclusion that Jacobson instructs that all constitutional rights may be

 reasonably restricted to combat a public health emergency.”) (quotations omitted), cert.

 denied, 140 S. Ct. 1613 (2020). No Supreme Court opinion has overruled or abrogated

 Jacobson.

        Considering the modern tiers of constitutional scrutiny, the court reads Jacobson

 and Cuomo harmoniously, appreciating their respective spheres. Though Jacobson was

 decided before tiers of scrutiny, it effectively endorsed—as a considered precursor—

 rational basis review of a government’s mandate during a health crisis. See Jacobson, 197

 U.S. at 31; see also Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 70 (Gorusch, J., concurring). In its words, if a law

 purporting to be enacted to protect public health “has no real or substantial relation to

 [that legitimate aim]” or if the law proves “a plain, palpable invasion of rights secured by

 the fundamental law,” the court’s job is to give effect to the Constitution. Jacobson, 197

 U.S. at 31. Should the court have this melding of history and modernity wrong in

 faithfully adhering to the Fourteenth Amendment’s plain original meaning of “life” and

 “liberty,” comfort should come in knowing that Jacobson, whether rational basis review

 by any other name, leads to the same result today.


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        This view remains consistent with the right at stake in Jacobson: though a true

 “liberty” proved at stake—the right to refuse a vaccine during a smallpox epidemic—this

 interest in bodily autonomy, though protected by the Constitution, wasn’t fundamental

 under the Constitution to require greater scrutiny than rational basis review. See Sweeney,

 767 F.3d at 668 (rational basis review for infringements on non-fundamental rights). At

 the same time, Jacobson didn’t hold that the government’s authority in a pandemic

 balloons for it do whatever it wants in the name of public safety.

        Jacobson instead counseled that federal courts should require a rational relation to

 a legitimate interest in public health. See Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 31; Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 70

 (Gorsuch, J., concurring). That Cuomo imposed heightened scrutiny of the government’s

 interference with the free exercise of religion—a fundamental right under the First

 Amendment—was presciently contemplated a century beforehand by Jacobson: a court

 should intervene if a state imposes a regulation that is “beyond all question, a plain,

 palpable invasion of rights secured by the fundamental law.” Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 31

 (emphasis added). Because Cuomo involved a fundamental right, a “right[] secured by

 the fundamental law” under today’s jurisprudence, the court intervened. See Cuomo, 141

 S. Ct. at 67; see also Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 721 (Fourteenth Amendment forbids the

 government to infringe “fundamental” liberty interests at all, unless it has narrowly

 tailored its law to serve a compelling state interest). The Constitution’s original meaning

 should be so enduring.

        The university seems to argue that Jacobson gave even more deference than rational

 basis review during a public health crisis, but not fairly so; and, even then, Jacobson cannot


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 be taken once more too far. See, e.g., Big Tyme, 985 F.3d at 467; ARJN #3 v. Cooper, __ F.

 Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 22286, 19 (M.D. Tenn. Feb. 5, 2021); Let Them Play MN

 v. Walz, __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 23485, 15 (D. Minn. Feb. 8, 2021); Culinary

 Studios, Inc. v. Newsom, __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 23775, 38-39 (E.D. Cal.

 Feb. 8, 2021); Oakes v. Collier Cnty., __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 15174, 4 n.4

 (M.D. Fla. Jan. 27, 2021); M. Rae, Inc. v. Wolf, __ F. Supp.3d __, 2020 U.S Dist. LEXIS 241961,

 16 n.25 (M.D. Pa. Dec. 23, 2020); Denver Bible Church v. Azar, 494 F. Supp.3d 816, 829 (D.

 Colo. 2020); AJE Enterprise LLC v. Justice, 2020 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 222186, 12 (N.D. W. Va.

 Oct. 7, 2020).

        Jacobson doesn’t justify blind deference to the government when it acts in the name

 of public health or in a pandemic. For instance, the decision left the door open for people

 with legitimate medical concerns to challenge the vaccine mandate. See Jacobson, 197 U.S.

 at 38-39. And the deference owed to the States during a pandemic or public health crisis

 under Jacobson doesn’t extend indefinitely. See Pritzker, 973 F.3d at 763.

        [A]t the outset of an emergency, it may be appropriate for courts to tolerate
        very blunt rules. . . . [B]ut a public health emergency does not give . . . public
        officials carte blanche to disregard the Constitution for as long as the medical
        problem persists. As more medical and scientific evidence becomes
        available, and as States have time to craft policies in light of that evidence,
        courts should expect policies that more carefully account for constitutional
        rights.

 Calvary Chapel, 140 S. Ct. at 2605 (Alito, J., dissenting); accord Cassell, 458 F. Supp.3d at

 993-94 (“courts must remain vigilant, mindful that government claims of emergency have

 served in the past as excuses to curtail constitutional freedoms.”).




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          In short, the Constitution doesn’t permit the government to declare a never-ending

 public emergency and expand its powers arbitrarily. See Belcher v. Norton, 497 F.3d 742,

 753 (7th Cir. 2007) (“substantive due process . . . affords protection of the individual

 against arbitrary action of government”). Instead, as our country and communities

 progress through a pandemic, the government must continually update its practices in

 light of the most recent medical and scientific developments. And a law or policy should

 be written with a mindset that medicine and science, and the circumstances that they

 create, will evolve, and so must the law or policy evolve or be revisited in amendment.

          In sum, the law today recognizes Jacobson as a precursor to rational basis review.

 This is consistent with statements of many justices who continue to acknowledge Jacobson

 as good law, albeit with constitutional restraint.74 Government action that infringes on

 the liberty interest here, as in Jacobson, is subject to rational basis review. See Sweeney, 767

 F.3d at 668.




                                     
 74 See, e.g., Democratic Nat’l Comm. v. Wisconsin State Legislature, 141 S. Ct. 28, 43 (2020) (Kagan, J., dissenting).

 (“To be sure, deference is usually due to a legislature’s decisions about how best to manage the COVID
 pandemic.”) (citing South Bay, 140 S. Ct. at 1613-14) (Roberts, C.J., concurring in denial of an injunction
 seeking to prevent a COVID-19 executive order); South Bay, 140 S. Ct. at 1613 (Roberts, C.J., concurring);
 Calvary Chapel, 140 S. Ct. at 2608 (Alito, J., dissenting) (“Language in Jacobson must be read in context”); id.
 at 2614 (Kavanaugh, J., dissenting); Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 71 (Gorsuch, J., concurring); Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 79
 (Sotomayor, J., dissenting) (courts “play a deadly game in second guessing the expert judgment of health
 officials about the environments in which a contagious virus, now infecting a million Americans each week,
 spreads most easily”); Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 742 (Stevens, J., concurring) (“As Justice Brennan pointed out
 in his Cruzan dissent, we have upheld legislation imposing punishment on persons refusing to be
 vaccinated . . . . In most cases, the individual’s constitutionally protected interest in his or her own physical
 autonomy, including the right to refuse unwanted medical treatment, will give way to the State’s interest
 in preserving human life.”).


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        3.     Defining the Right & Constitutional Analysis.

        The students assert a right to refuse the vaccine, saying the mandate infringes on

 their bodily autonomy and medical privacy. Indiana University throws a challenge flag

 here. To it, these students are merely saying they have a right to refuse a vaccine so that

 they may attend college. The university says the right being infringed then isn’t the right

 to refuse a vaccine, but the right to attend college. Indeed, if they choose to forego college

 at Indiana University, there is no vaccine requirement. To the university, the students

 aren’t being forced to take the vaccination against their will; they can go to college

 elsewhere or forego college altogether. If this case were merely that, merely the right to

 attend university, this state action wouldn’t trample on their rights. There is no

 fundamental or constitutional right to a college education, see, e.g., Charleston v. Bd. of

 Trustees, 741 F.3d 769, 774 (7th Cir. 2013); Bissessur v. Ind. Univ. Bd. of Trustees, 581 F.3d

 599, 601 (7th Cir. 2009); Williams v. Wendler, 530 F.3d 584, 589 (7th Cir. 2008), much less

 one at a particular institution.

        But that’s not what this case concerns, and that’s not the liberty at stake. The

 “unconstitutional conditions doctrine” forbids the university from pulling the rug out

 from under the students in a roundabout way. Under this doctrine, argued by the

 students as “coercion,” “the government may not deny a benefit to a person because he

 exercises a constitutional right.” Koontz v. St. Johns River Water Mgmt. Dist., 570 U.S. 595,

 604 (2013) (citations omitted); Regan v. Taxation with Representation of Wash., 461 U.S. 540,

 545 (1983). This doctrine protects constitutional rights “by preventing the government

 from coercing people into giving them up.” Koontz, 570 U.S. at 604. It “aims to prevent


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 the government from achieving indirectly what the Constitution prevents it from

 achieving directly.” Planned Parenthood of Ind. v. Comm’r, 699 F.3d 962, 986 (7th Cir. 2012).

 The students say this state actor is denying a benefit—a public university education—

 because they are exercising a constitutional right to refuse a vaccine.

        The first step in an unconstitutional condition claim “is to identify the nature and

 scope of the constitutional right arguably imperiled by the denial of a public benefit.” Id.

 Here, the Fourteenth Amendment “liberty” at stake is a college student’s right to refuse

 a vaccine, today at this stage of the pandemic [Tr. 26, 30-31]. The Supreme Court has

 assumed (using its word) and strongly suggested that individuals have a constitutional

 right to refuse unwanted medical treatment, see, e.g., Cruzan v. Director, Missouri Dept. of

 Health 497 U.S. 261, 279 (1990); Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 720. Cruzan held that a competent

 individual had a constitutional right to refuse unwanted lifesaving hydration and

 nutrition; and Glucksberg recognized that an individual had a liberty interest in refusing

 unwanted lifesaving medical treatment, though not any fundamental right to assisted

 suicide. See Cruzan, 497 U.S. at 279; Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 728.

        But in these, and in other cases, this liberty interest has remained confined either

 by duly enacted and constitutional state laws or the state’s legitimate interests that it had

 rationally pursued in regulation. See also Washington v. Harper, 494 U.S. 210, 221-22 (1990)

 (prisoner has a “significant liberty interest in avoiding the unwanted administration of

 antipsychotics drugs under the Due Process Clause . . . [but] no greater right than that

 recognized under state law”); Vitek v. Jones, 445 U.S. 480, 492 (1980) (“Compelled

 treatment in the form of mandatory behavior modification programs . . . was a proper


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 factor to be weighed by the District Court. . . . Were an ordinary citizen to be subjected

 involuntarily to these consequences, it is undeniable that protected liberty interests

 would be unconstitutionally infringed absent compliance with the procedures required

 by the Due Process Clause.”); Ingraham v. Wright, 430 U.S. 651, 673, 683 (1977) (“Among

 the historic liberties so protected was a right to be free from, and to obtain judicial relief

 for, unjustified intrusions on personal security. . . . The Eighth Amendment’s prohibition

 against cruel and unusual punishment is inapplicable to school paddlings, and the

 Fourteenth Amendment’s requirement of procedural due process is satisfied by Florida’s

 preservation of common-law constraints and remedies.”)

        The rights recognized (or assumed) in these cases weren’t “simply deduced from

 abstract concepts of personal autonomy.” Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 725. They were rooted

 in longstanding common law rules or legal traditions consistent with this Nation’s

 history. See id. The students, quite skillfully represented in this emergency setting, offer

 no preliminary record of such historic rules, laws, or traditions that would facilitate the

 court’s announcement, now in mere days from receiving this case, that a right to refuse a

 vaccine is anything more than a significant liberty under the Fourteenth Amendment.

        The dearth of this record isn’t a passing point. Indeed, both Cruzan and Glucksberg

 were limited to an individual’s choice related to the refusal of lifesaving subsistence or

 medical treatment—with no ramifications to the physical health of others. Vaccines

 address a collective enemy, not just an individual one. Indeed, “the elimination of

 communicable diseases through vaccination [is] one of the greatest achievements of

 public health in the 20th century,” Bruesewitz v. Wyeth LLC, 562 U.S. 223, 226 (2011) (Scalia,


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 J.) (citation and quotations omitted), and it continues to be so now in this century. A

 vaccine is implemented as a matter of public health, and historically hasn’t been

 constitutionally deterred from state mandate. See, e.g., Zucht, 260 U.S. at 176-77; Jacobson,

 197 U.S. at 30-31.

        In the backdrop of the Fourteenth Amendment’s ratification in 1868, for instance,

 England had already passed its first compulsory vaccination act for smallpox in 1853 (and

 so had many countries). See Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 31, n.1. Science wasn’t absolute or

 infallible at that time—nor is it today. But the “possibility that the belief may be wrong,

 and that science may yet show it to be wrong, is not conclusive; for the legislature has the

 right to pass laws which, according to the common belief of the people, are adapted to

 prevent the spread of contagious diseases.” Id. at 35. Appreciating the relative risks of

 vaccines, they nonetheless “are effective in preventing outbreaks of disease only if a large

 percentage of the population is vaccinated.” Wyeth, 562 U.S. at 227.

        Added comfort comes from the consistent use of rational basis review to assess

 mandatory vaccination measures. See, e.g., Prince v. Massachusetts, 321 U.S. 158, 166-67

 (1944) (parent “cannot claim freedom from compulsory vaccination for the child more

 than for himself on religious grounds” and “[t]he right to practice religion freely does not

 include liberty to expose the community or the child to communicable disease or the

 latter to ill health or death”); Zucht, 260 U.S. at 176-77; Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 30-31; Phillips

 v. City of New York, 775 F.3d 538, 542-43 (2d Cir. 2015); Workman v. Mingo Cnty. Bd. of Educ.,

 419 F. Appx. 348, 355-56 (4th Cir. 2011); W.D. v. Rockland Cnty., __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S.

 Dist. LEXIS 33515, 74 (S.D.N.Y. Feb. 22, 2021); Doe v. Zucker, __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S.


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 Dist. LEXIS 28937, 111 (N.D.N.Y. Feb. 17, 2021); Connecticut Citizens Defense League, Inc. v.

 Lamont, 465 F. Supp.3d 56, 72 (D. Conn. 2020); Middleton v. Pan, 2016 U.S. Dist. LEXIS

 197627, 20 (C.D. Cal. Dec. 15, 2016); George v. Kankakee Cmty. Coll., 2014 U.S. Dist. LEXIS

 161379, 8-9 (C.D. Ill. Oct. 27, 2014), recommendation adopted, 2014 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 160737,

 1-2; Boone v. Boozman, 217 F. Supp.2d 938, 954 (E.D. Ark. 2002).

        Given over a century’s worth of rulings saying there is no greater right to refuse a

 vaccination than what the Constitution recognizes as a significant liberty, the court

 declines the students’ invitation to extend substantive due process to recognize more than

 what already and historically exists. See Glucksberg, 521 U.S. at 721; Harper, 494 U.S. at

 221-22; Prince, 321 U.S. at 166-67; Zucht, 260 U.S. at 176-77; Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 30-31.

        Quite separately from this, the Constitution never provides a fundamental right to

 a collegiate education. Nor does it secure as a fundamental liberty a student’s right to

 attend a public university no matter his or her vaccinated status. The court isn’t saying a

 student doesn’t have the right to choose. Of course every individual does—subject to the

 state’s reasonable measures designed to pursue legitimate ends of disease control or

 eradication.

        The students argue that the university’s vaccine mandate doesn’t provide for

 informed consent. “The notion of bodily integrity has been embodied in the requirement

 that informed consent is generally required for medical treatment.” Cruzan, 497 U.S. at

 269. Informed consent “entails an opportunity to evaluate knowledgeably the options

 available and the risks attendant upon each.” Canterbury v. Spence, 464 F.2d 772, 780 (D.C.

 Cir. 1972). The students acknowledge that, for medical products under an EUA like the


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 three COVID-19 vaccines, HHS must establish conditions to facilitate informed consent.

 See 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(e)(1)(A)(ii). HHS must ensure that individuals taking the vaccine

 are informed “that the Secretary has authorized the emergency use of the product,” “of

 the significant known and potential benefits and risks of such use, and of the extent to

 which such benefits and risks are unknown,” and “of the option to accept or refuse

 administration of the product, of the consequences, if any, of refusing administration of

 the product, and of the alternatives to the product that are available and of their benefits

 and risks.” Id.

         The students admit that the informed consent requirement under the EUA statute

 only applies to medical providers. The university isn’t directly administering the vaccine

 to its students; instead, it is requiring students to obtain the vaccine from a medical

 provider and to attest that they have been vaccinated, save for certain exemptions. The

 students will be informed of the risks and benefits of the vaccine and of the option to

 accept or refuse the vaccine by their medical providers. See id. The university isn’t forcing

 the students to undergo injections. The situation here is a far cry from past blunders in

 medical ethics like the Tuskegee Study.75

         The university is presenting the students with a difficult choice—get the vaccine

 or else apply for an exemption or deferral, transfer to a different school, or forego school

 for the semester or altogether. But this hard choice doesn’t amount to coercion. The


                                 
 75 See CDC, The U.S. Public Health Service Syphilis Study at Tuskegee (as part of a study on the history of

 untreated syphilis, “researchers did not collect informed consent from participants and they did not offer
 treatment, even after it was widely available”), https://www.cdc.gov/tuskegee/index.html (last visited
 July 16, 2021).


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 students taking the vaccine are choosing it among other options, and before the shot

 reaches their arms, they are made aware of the risks and the option to refuse.

        One last point before moving on. As a final push, the students argue that the

 vaccination requirement violates their free exercise of religion. The First Amendment

 says “Congress shall make no law . . . prohibiting the free exercise” of religion. U.S. Const.

 amend. I. The Supreme Court has declared this right to exercise religion as fundamental

 and subject to strict scrutiny. See Cantwell v. Connecticut, 310 U.S. 296, 303 (1940). But the

 Constitution also permits general regulations that incidentally burden religious practices:

 the “right of free exercise does not relieve an individual of the obligation to comply with

 a valid and neutral law of general applicability on the ground that the law proscribes (or

 prescribes) conduct that his religion prescribes (or proscribes).” Employment Division v.

 Smith, 494 U.S. 872, 879 (1992) (quotations omitted). Neutral and generally applicable

 regulations need only be supported by a rational basis. Ill. Bible Colleges Ass’n v. Anderson,

 870 F.3d 631, 639 (7th Cir. 2017).

        The vaccine mandate is a neutral rule of general applicability. It applies to all

 students, whether religious or not. It doesn’t discriminate among religions. Indeed, the

 university has chosen to enable the practice of religion by providing a religious exemption

 to this vaccination requirement—one that the university, on this record, has freely

 granted to students if they request it, no questions asked. This is consistent with the

 Constitution. See Nikolao v. Lyon, 875 F.3d 310, 316 (6th Cir. 2017) (religious plaintiff had

 no constitutional right to an exemption from mandatory vaccination law for public school

 students, though state provided one); Phillips, 775 F.3d at 543 (state “could


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 constitutionally require that all children be vaccinated in order to attend public school. .

 . . [but the State went] beyond what the Constitution requires by allowing an exemption

 for parents with genuine and sincere religious beliefs”); see also Workman, 419 F. Appx. at

 356; Whitlow v. California, 203 F. Supp.3d 1079, 1084 (S.D. Cal. 2016); Boone, 217 F. Supp.2d

 at 954. Indiana University adopted a religious exemption, despite a religious-neutral

 vaccine mandate, which the law views as a matter of grace. Indeed, six of the eight

 students here applied for just such a religious exemption and obtained one.

        In short, based on this analysis, all roads effectively lead to rational basis review:

 Jacobson as a precursor to or stand-alone iteration of it, the modern tiers of constitutional

 scrutiny, the unconstitutional conditions doctrine, and the First Amendment as applied

 through the Fourteenth Amendment to this state actor. And to this road once traveled the

 court now turns.

               4.     On This Preliminary Record, Non-Exempt Students Haven’t Shown a
                      Likelihood of Success on their Claim that Indiana University Lacks a
                      Rational Basis for Its Vaccine Mandate.

        Determining that the students have a liberty interest under the Fourteenth

 Amendment’s due process clause doesn’t end the analysis. See Cruzan, 497 U.S. at 278. To

 decide whether the students’ constitutional rights have been violated, or more

 appropriately whether they are likely to succeed on such a claim, the court must balance

 their liberty against the relevant state interests in accord with the Constitution. See id.

 Two students aren’t exempt from the COVID-19 vaccine mandate: Natalie Sperazza and

 Margaret Roth. They assert a right to refuse the vaccine, saying the mandate infringes on

 their bodily autonomy and medical privacy.


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         “Stemming the spread of COVID-19 is unquestionably a compelling interest.”

 Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 67 (majority opinion). According to the federal government and the

 State of Indiana, a state of emergency persists related to COVID-19, all the while

 restrictions are being scaled back gradually. Recognizing today’s status of this pandemic,

 neither health professionals, government representatives, nor this court may say public

 health vis-à-vis COVID-19 has waned from being a legitimate state interest. Improved it

 undoubtedly has—today seems a world altogether different from last year—but public

 health remains a legitimate interest of the state to pursue. Indiana University too has a

 legitimate interest in promoting the health of its campus communities—students, and not

 least the faculty and staff who come daily in contact with them.

         The students argue that the pandemic is basically over, but this goes against

 current proclamations from the Secretary of Health and Human Services, the Indiana

 State Department of Health, Governor Eric Holcomb, and the CDC, all then supported

 for institutions of higher learning by the U.S. Department of Education and the American

 College Health Association.76 In Indiana (and nationally), the trend line remains sharply

 down (since winter) in terms of both new cases and deaths, though the recent snapshot

 of seven-day lookbacks proves nearly triple what it was just when this case commenced.

                                   
 76 See, e.g., U.S. Dep’t of Educ., ED COVID-19 Handbook, Volume 3: Strategies for Safe Operation and Addressing

 the Impact of COVID-19 on Higher Education Students, Faculty, and Staff 9 (June 2021), available at [Ex. 116 at
 7], https://www2.ed.gov/documents/coronavirus/reopening-3.pdf (“COVID-19 vaccination is the
 leading prevention strategy [institutions of higher learning] can use to return to normal operations.”); Am.
 College Health Ass’n, ACHA Guidelines: American College Health Association Recommends COVID-19
 Vaccination Requirements for All On-Campus College Students in Fall 2021 (Apr. 29, 2021),
 https://www.acha.org/ACHA/About/ACHA_News/ACHA_Recommends_COVID-
 19_Vaccination_Requirements_for_Fall_2021.aspx. Though it appears many public universities, including
 those in the State of Indiana, are ACHA members, Indiana University is not. The guidance is nonetheless
 pertinent here.


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 It isn’t unreasonable to believe that, absent concerted vaccination, the fall and winter

 months will prove more arduous than these summer months for the university [Ex. 129

 at 32]. Vastly improved, yes; out of the woods we aren’t, not on this preliminary record.

        The students argue that the bell curve that depicts ongoing cases and deaths from

 this pandemic’s outset mirrors the CDC’s continuum of pandemic phases that directs

 more conservative measures, not more draconian ones [see, e.g., Exs. 212, 222, 230-231].

 The students call this pandemic in the “deceleration” or “preparation” intervals—terms

 of art that define its waning stages. Deceleration occurs when state or local health officials

 rescind community mitigation measures because no new cases are occurring or are

 occurring infrequently; and preparation occurs when the pandemic is declared ended

 because evidence indicates that the disease is transitioning to seasonal patterns of

 transmission [Ex. 231]. The overall trend line may well support a seeming deceleration

 [cf. Exs. 222, 319]; but Indiana University insisting on vaccinations for its campus

 communities is rationally related to ensuring the public health of students, faculty, and

 staff this fall. Even under the university’s pandemic and infectious disease action levels

 [Ex. 212], the university must continue to consult CDC and Indiana State Department of

 Health standards; and those today favor vaccination.

        Let’s not forget why we are here at this more promising stage of the pandemic,

 July 18, 2021. Antibody resistance developed naturally from prior cases has been a

 contributor to be sure; but, materially, improvement has come because of vaccinations—

 nationally over 161 million complete (over 337 million doses) and statewide nearly 3

 million complete (and over 5.7 million doses). The vaccination campaign has markedly


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 curbed the pandemic. In fact, certain age-stratified, agent-based modeling of COVID-19

 has concluded that another 279,000 deaths and nearly 1.25 million more hospitalizations

 would have occurred by the end of June 2021 but for the vaccines.77 Stemming illness,

 hospitalizations, or deaths at the university level hardly proves irrational.

         It isn’t a foregone conclusion that this is overkill. This pandemic continues to

 evolve, and medicine and science with it. Science is a process in search of fact. One such

 moving target is the Delta variant (B.1.617.2). A mere four days ago Indiana reported 612

 COVID cases—the highest count in more than six weeks (since May 27, 2021)—that health

 officials attributed largely to the Delta variant and the unvaccinated population. Though

 this daily case count is much lower than at the pandemic’s height, the CDC, Indiana’s

 State Department of Health, and epidemiologists have identified the Delta variant of

 particular lingering concern.78 The CDC labeled Delta a “variant of concern” in mid-

 June.79 Current science shows it more virulent and transmissible. A peer-reviewed study

 from scientists (issued July 8, 2021) found that the Delta variant has mutations that allow

 it to evade certain natural antibodies, with vaccination proving the best protection [Ex.




                                   
 77See Alison Galvani et al., Deaths and Hospitalizations Averted by Rapid U.S. Vaccination Rollout
 (Commonwealth Fund, July 2021), https://doi.org/10.26099/wm2j-mz32.
 78 See Shari Rudavsky, Delta Variant on the Rise in Indiana, State Health Officials Say, IndyStar (July 9, 2021,

 12:58    PM),      https://www.indystar.com/story/news/health/2021/07/09/covid-delta-variant-rise-
 indiana-state-health-officials-say/7908502002/ (“Not only is the Delta variant more readily transmitted
 from person to person, there’s some indication it may cause more severe disease, said Indiana State Health
 Commissioner Dr. Kris Box.”).
 79 See See CDC, SARS-CoV-2 Variant Classifications and Definitions (July 13, 2021),

 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-info.html.



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 319].80 Reports of surges of Delta cases among the 12-29 age group have occurred.81 For

 now, Indiana University has reasonably concluded that the safety and public health of its

 campus communities can be augmented by the vaccines [id.]. See Gonzales, 550 U.S. at 163

 (citing Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 30-31) (the law gives “wide discretion to pass legislation in

 areas where there is medical and scientific uncertainty”).

         Indiana University reasonably believes the vaccine promotes the safety of not only

 its students, but that of its entire community. This wasn’t (and still isn’t) a decision taken

 lightly. It wasn’t a decision reached overnight. It wasn’t a decision taken by some fly-by-

 night committee undetached from the current science, the current progress of the fight



                                  
 80 See Delphine Planas et al., Reduced Sensitivity of SARS-CoV-2 Variant Delta to Antibody Neutralization,

 Nature doi: 10.1038/s41586-021-03777-9, 3 (July 8, 2021) (online ahead of print),
 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03777-9_reference.pdf (“[A] single dose of Pfizer or
 AstraZeneca was either poorly or not at all efficient against Beta and Delta variants. Both vaccines
 generated a neutralizing response that efficiently targeted variant Delta only after the second dose.”)
 According to Dr. Beeler, the data show that 50 percent of individuals had antibodies to the Beta variant and
 47 percent had antibodies to the Delta variant one year after natural infection, whereas those who had
 vaccination after natural infection maintained 100 percent antibodies to both variants a year later [Ex. 319
 ¶ 1]. According to Yale Medicine, the Delta variant is 50 percent more transmissible. See also Venkata-
 Viswanadh Edara et al., Infection and Vaccine-Induced Neutralizing-Antibody Responses to the SARS-CoV-2
 B.1.617     Variants,     N.     Eng.    J.     Med.       DOI:    10.1056/NEJMc2107799          (July     7,
 2021) https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2107799; Kathy Katella, Yale Med., 5 Things to
 Know About the Delta Variant (July 15, 2021), https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/5-things-to-know-
 delta-variant-covid.
 81 See See Ian Mount et al., The Kids are (not) Alright: Europe Sounds the Alarm as Delta Variant Soars Among

 Teens and 20-Somethings, Fortune (July 8, 2021, 11:58 AM), https://fortune.com/2021/07/08/kids-
 vulnerable-covid-delta-variant-vaccinated-europe/ (seeing surge of Delta cases among the 12-29 age
 group); see also Public Health England, SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern and Variants under Investigation in
 England: Technical Briefing 17, 15 (June 25, 2021), https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03777-
 9_reference.pdf. A recent United Kingdom study, albeit still abstracted, concluded that most Delta
 infections in a younger group (age 5-49) occurred in the unvaccinated population. See Steven Riley et al.,
 REACT-1 Round 12 Report: Resurgence of SARS-CoV-2 Infections in England Associated with Increased Frequency
 of    the    Delta    Variant,   medRxiv     (June    21,   2021)    (not   peer-reviewed        pre-print),
 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.17.21259103v1.



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 against the pandemic, or experience and training in relevant fields of study. The restart

 committee was led by Indiana University’s Executive Vice President for University

 Clinical Affairs and the School of Medicine’s Dean. The committee consisted of seven

 MDs, some with additional degrees in public health or other PhDs, and others with

 graduate degrees in public health, risk mitigation, law, and ethics [Ex. 300 at 5]. Of its 15

 members, two were deans of public health and others were experts in public health,

 epidemiology, virology, and other relevant areas of the health sciences, including health

 equity [Ex. 116 ¶ 23]. The committee met regularly and considered a wide variety of

 sources and information [id. ¶ 24].

        A mere sampling of presentations from committee meetings from December 8,

 2020 to April 6, 2021 [Exs. 302-317] shows the committee focused on COVID-19 evolution;

 EUA data; reactogenicity data; communications with the Indiana State Department of

 Health; CDC guidelines and updates; university-wide surveillance testing and data; data

 trends based on vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals; on-campus and off-campus

 transmission events; morbidity and mortality figures; efficacy of mitigation efforts on and

 off campus; international, national, state, county, and school vaccine uptake data; vaccine

 efficacy against variants; vaccine risk data; vaccine hesitancy surveys and campus

 opinion polling; and policies and requirements of other universities across the country

 [see also Ex. 301 ¶ 2]. In addition, four MDs from this committee presented near-weekly

 from December 2020 to June 2021 to Indiana University’s Executive Academic Leadership

 Council, including the President and Executive Vice Presidents as part of the medical

 response team’s ongoing COVID-19 evaluation efforts [Id. ¶ 5]. The process ultimately


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 filtered through the judgment of the Board of Trustees. This was a deliberative decision

 based on a wealth of scientific, medical, empirical, and industry-wide data.

         For the impact of this vaccine mandate, the students focus only on the student

 body; and that is certainly an important part of the analysis here. The students argue that

 the fatality rate for healthy individuals age 20-49 is far less than older individuals [see,

 e.g., Ex. 117 at 21-24; Ex. 243]. Dr. McCullough calls the mortality rate 0.15 percent [Ex.

 241 ¶ 3]. He testifies that 16 deaths of young adults (aged 18-29) occurred in 2020, but

 none thus far in 2021 [Ex. 117 ¶ 34]. The students point out that the university’s student

 body had one death last year [id. ¶ 25]. Indiana University reasonably views a 0.15 percent

 death rate as unacceptable for its communities, particularly given the safe preventative

 measure of a vaccine [Ex. 319 ¶ 4]. At approximately 90,000 students, that rate would risk

 135 student lives, not accounting for other mitigation efforts to the better or those with

 immunocompromising conditions to the worse. The university’s student population is

 not a homogenous group of just young healthy adults [id.].

         In addition, the student’s position overlooks the larger Indiana University

 community. Dr. McCullough, in fairness, takes a wider snapshot yet, pointing to a

 longitudinal serosurvey (blood sampling) of community residents near Pennsylvania

 State University suggesting that students’ return in August 2020 had limited

 transmissible effect on the local community [Ex. 117 ¶ 29-30].82 But Indiana University’s

 perspective was more intimate. The university analyzed the number of individuals

                                  
 82 See Callum R. K. Arnold et al., SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in a University Community: A Longitudinal Study

 of the Impact of Student Return to Campus on Infection Risk Among Community Members, medRxiv (Feb. 14,
 2021) (non-peer reviewed pre-print), https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33619497/.


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 within its campus population known to have increased risk factors for COVID-19 and

 determined that over 8,500 faculty and staff remained at increased risk of complications

 if they contracted the disease [Ex. 116 ¶ 26], with the ongoing risk of asymptomatic spread

 that vaccines help address [Ex. 129 at 53-54]. Faculty and staff at Indiana University who

 have daily contact with students represent an even broader demographic than just the

 student body, and this policy was intended to protect them too. The court credits Dr.

 Carroll and Dr. Beeler over Dr. McCullough on this point given their firsthand

 knowledge of Indiana University’s specific circumstances.

        The university’s policy has broad support within its community. As of June 25,

 2021, over 42,000 students had received the vaccine; and that number has no doubt grown

 [Ex. 116 ¶ 46]. Two university faculty councils—elected representative bodies interested

 in the quality of learning and student life—issued statements in support [id. ¶ 47]. The

 staff council at Indiana University’s main campus in Bloomington likewise endorsed the

 policy [id. ¶ 49]. The graduate and professional student government also issued a

 resolution supporting the policy [id. ¶ 50]. Eight students have filed this lawsuit, and

 perhaps others await this ruling to decide. Under the circumstances, on this preliminary

 record, the law respects the right of this university community to self-govern reasonably.

        To that point, no one has argued that Indiana University’s policy is ultra vires.

 Indiana’s General Assembly endowed the university’s Board of Trustees to act in the

 “best interests of the state and the state educational institution,” Ind. Code § 21-40-3-1(b),

 including the power “to prevent unlawful or objectionable acts that . . . violate the

 reasonable rules and standards of the [university] designed to protect the academic


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 community from . . . conduct presenting a serious threat to person or property of the

 academic community,” Ind. Code § 21-39-2-3(b). The university remains answerable to

 the legislature, particularly its coffers.

         The Indiana General Assembly has prohibited a vaccine passport in this state, but

 not a vaccine requirement. See Ind. Code § 16-39-11-5. Still, in assessing the

 reasonableness of vaccination mandates, the law considers underlying legislative

 authority. See Zucht, 260 U.S. at 175; Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 12-13; see also Washington, 494

 U.S. at 221-22 (recognizing liberty interest under both state’s policy and due process

 clause, but “no greater right than that recognized under state law”). On this preliminary

 record, Indiana University faces still an “objectionable” and “serious threat” to the

 “academic community” that its vaccination policy seeks reasonably to address for

 campus health. See Zimmerman v. Bd. of Trustees of Ball State Univ., 940 F. Supp.2d 875, 890-

 91 (S.D. Ind. 2013) (defining “objectionable”). This is consistent with the Fourteenth

 Amendment.

         Focusing on just mortality risk from COVID-19 leaves out much of the debate. Dr.

 McCullough and Dr. Beeler (with Dr. Carroll), for instance, offer competing views on the

 risks of the novel coronavirus and the risks of the vaccines [Exs. 115-117, 222, 319].83 This

 is precisely the debate of medical professionals that state policymakers, including




                                   
 83 The experts at times debate relatively modest side effects from vaccines after natural infection (e.g., fever

 or fatigue), but these are self-limited and not dangerous [Ex. 319 ¶ 6], so the court addresses them no more
 here. Even Dr. McCullough admits that other longstanding vaccines, including those mandated by state
 law, have common side effects, such as a risk of a fever [Ex. 117 ¶ 56].



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 authorized arms of the state, are best suited to resolve in setting policy for constituents,

 including here for the students at Indiana University.

         Without vaccination, college-aged students remain at risk for serious long-term

 complication from COVID-19, including prolonged debilitating symptoms that interfere

 with normal life such as myocarditis, reduced aerobic capacity, and brain damage [Ex.

 319 ¶ 5].84 Long COVID remains a studied phenomenon. With Indiana reporting that

 individuals aged 20-29 have had more positive cases than any other age demographic

 [Ex. 115 ¶ 14], and with more than 260,000 cases linked to American college and

 universities since January 1, 2021 [id. ¶ 17], this proves still a legitimate risk.85 Focusing

 only on mortality disregards the serious compromise to the quality of life that face some

 students who contract the virus [see also id. ¶ 10-11].

         The students say the risks of the vaccine, especially at this stage and to their age

 group, outweigh any benefits a vaccine might confer. These argued risks include

                                  
 84 See Mark W. Tenforde et al., Symptom Duration and Risk Factors for Delayed Return to Usual Health Among

 Outpatients with COVID-19 in a Multistate Health Care Systems Network — United States, March–June 2020,
 69:30 Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 993, 997-98 (July 24, 2020),
 https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6930e1.htm?s_cid=mm6930e1_w (“Nonhospitalized
 COVID-19 illness can result in prolonged illness and persistent symptoms, even in young adults and
 persons with no or few chronic underlying medical conditions.”); Giovanni Andrea Gerardo Crameri et
 al., Reduced Maximal Aerobic Capacity after COVID-19 in Young Adult Recruits, Switzerland, May 2020, 25(36)
 Euro. Surveillance 1, 2 (Sept. 10, 2020),
 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7502899/pdf/eurosurv-25-36-2.pdf (“We observed a
 statistically significant decrease in VOၷ max among COVID-19 convalescents compared with naive and
 asymptomatically infected recruits”); Gwenaelle Douaud et al., Brain Imaging Before and After COVID-19 in
 UK Biobank, medRxiv (Jun. 20, 2021) (not peer-reviewed pre-print),
 https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.06.11.21258690v2 (“In both cases we identified
 significant (corrected-P<0.05) effects of COVID-19, primarily relating to loss of grey matter in cortical
 areas directly connected to primary olfactory and gustatory cortex.”)
 85 The New York Times has tracked coronavirus cases at American college and universities, though its

 numbers have not been seemingly updated since May 26, 2021. See The New York Times, Tracking
 Coronavirus Cases at U.S. Colleges and Universities,
 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/college-covid-tracker.html (last visited July 18, 2021).


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 myocarditis, clotting, death, and others [Ex. 117 ¶ 48-49]. Some of these concerns are

 easier to assuage based on current science than others—and the court isn’t the final arbiter

 of an evolving science, only of the law. The court must base today’s decision on the

 snapshot of this preliminary record alone. It answers the question only whether the

 students have made a strong showing that Indiana University failed to act reasonably in

 achieving campus health to warrant the extraordinary remedy of a preliminary

 injunction.

         That said, Dr. Beeler concludes that with millions of people getting the vaccine,

 experts “have [a] much tighter lens than we normally would for any other vaccine in

 history to identify some of those extremely rare concerns” [Ex. 128 at 80], and that

 younger people have a “higher probability” of facing issues with COVID-19 infection

 than after vaccination [id. 78]. All vaccine manufacturers conducted Phase 3 trials for

 EUA that never revealed the risks the students have presented [id. 79].

         Since then, reports have shown the risk of myocarditis (heart inflammation), while

 present and something worthy of continued investigation, to be seemingly rare—one

 study suggesting the risk is about eight in one million and the other study suggesting the

 risk is about twenty in one million.86 This issue has garnered increasing attention. The

 FDA reported CDC data (through May 31, 2021) of 475 cases of myocarditis (heart

 inflammation) and pericarditis (inflammation of membrane around heart) in vaccinated


                                  
 86 See Han W. Kim et al., Patients with Acute Myocarditis Following mRNA COVID-19 Vaccination, JAMA

 Cardiol (June 29, 2021), https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/2781602; Israeli
 Ministry of Health, Surveillance of Myocarditis (Inflammation of the Heart Muscle) Cases Between December 2020
 and May 2021 (Feb. 6, 2021), https://www.gov.il/en/departments/news/01062021-03.



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 individuals age 30 and younger [Ex. 117 ¶ 49].87 This data came from the Vaccine Adverse

 Event Reporting System (VAERS)—anecdotal data that, while important to analyze,

 requires further investigation before drawing conclusions. See, e.g., Rider v. Sandoz Pharm.

 Corp., 295 F.3d 1194, 1199 (11th Cir. 2002) (“case reports alone ordinarily cannot prove

 causation”); Glastetter v. Novartis Pharms. Corp., 252 F.3d 986, 989-90 (8th Cir. 2001)

 (“causal attribution based on case studies must be regarded with caution”).88 Still, on June

 24, 2021, a CDC safety panel reported a “likely association” in young adults from mRNA

 COVID-19 vaccines and myocarditis and pericarditis, though it emphasized that it

 remained rare and typically mild, with the benefits of the vaccine still outweighing the

 risks [Ex. 117 ¶ 51].89 This assessment of heart inflammation’s rarity and the overarching

 benefits of the vaccines has a bench of current medical support on this record,90 again

                                  
 87 See FDA, Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee June 10, 2021 Meeting Presentation,

 https://www.fda.gov/media/150054/download#page=17 (last visited July 16, 2021).
 88 See also CDC, The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) Results (July 17, 2021),
 https://wonder.cdc.gov/controller/datarequest/D8;jsessionid=DBF4A737A762F523202A55E30B57
 (“While very important in monitoring vaccine safety, VAERS reports alone cannot be used to determine if
 a vaccine caused or contributed to an adverse event or illness.”).
 89 See Advisory Board, CDC Panel Reports ‘Likely Association’ of Heart Inflammation and mRNA COVID-19

 Vaccines in Young People (June 24, 2021), https://www.advisory.com/daily-briefing/2021/06/24/heart-
 inflammation.
 90 See also Saif A. Mouch et al., Myocarditis Following COVID-19 mRNA Vaccination, 39 Vaccine 3790, 3793

 (May 28, 2021), https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34092429/ (noting “mild” myocarditis and only
 “possible”—not probable—connection to vaccination, and concluding that the “individual and public
 benefit from COVID-19 vaccination outweighs these rare findings”); accord Carolyn M. Rosner et al.,
 Myocarditis Temporally Associated with COVID-19 Vaccination, Circulation (June 16, 2021) (manuscript only),
 https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.121.055891 (“[N]o data are available
 specific to vaccine-associated myocarditis. The clinical course of vaccine-associated myocarditis-like illness
 appears favorable, with resolution of symptoms in all patients. Given the potential morbidity of COVID-
 19 infection even in younger adults, the risk-benefit decision for vaccination remains highly favorable.”);
 Mayme Marshall et al., Symptomatic Acute Myocarditis in Seven Adolescents Following Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-
 19      Vaccination,     148(1)    Pediatrics      (July      2021)      (peer-reviewed        case    report)
 https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/early/2021/06/04/peds.2021-052478               (“This   report
 summarizes a series of US cases of myocarditis and myopericarditis following the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-
 19 mRNA vaccine in adolescent males . . . . At present, there is no definite causal relationship between these


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 giving Indiana University a rational connection between its mandate and its aim of

 campus health. This proves no less true when contracting COVID-19 (without the

 vaccine) already presents a risk of myocarditis [Ex. 319 ¶ 5]. No one should blithely

 dismiss the call for further investigation, but the students’ case isn’t strong today.

         The students argue the temporal association of these risks, but just because the

 rooster crows doesn’t mean he caused the sun to rise. A close review of Dr. McCullough’s

 testimony reveals a true failing. Even he, the students’ own tendered expert, a

 credentialed and board-certified physician in internal medicine and cardiovascular

 disease, stops short of declaring a causative link between any vaccine and myocarditis.

 He uses soft and inconsequential language, calling his suspicion “possible” and

 “unpredictable” [Ex. 117 ¶ 48, 73], not probable or causative to a reasonable degree of

 medical certainty. See Harris v. Owens-Corning Fiberglas Corp., 102 F.3d 1429, 1433 (7th Cir.

 1996) (“mere possibility of . . . causation is not enough”). He says he has examined college-

 age patients with myocarditis after a vaccine injection [Ex. 117 ¶ 59], but once again never

 testifies that one was caused by the other. See Ervin v. Johnson & Johnson, Inc., 492 F.3d

 901, 904–05 (7th Cir. 2007) (“mere existence of a temporal relationship between taking a

 medication and the onset of symptoms does not show a sufficient causal relationship”).




                                  
 cases and vaccine administration. . . . The benefits of vaccination significantly exceed possible risks.”);
 Elisabeth Albert et al., Myocarditis Following COVID-19 Vaccination, 16(8) Radiology Case Reports 2142, 2144
 (May 2021) (case report) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8130498/ (University of
 Massachusetts researchers found “small risk” of myocarditis, and concluded that “there is a significantly
 higher risk of cardiac involvement from COVID-19 infection compared to COVID-19 vaccination” such that
 “vaccination should remain the cornerstone for population immunity”).


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         With ever evolving COVID-19 science, more will be known tomorrow, next

 month, and next year; but a courtroom is no place for guesswork today, even if well-

 inspired. See Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharms., Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 590 (1993); Rosen v. Ciba-

 Geigy Corp., 78 F.3d 316, 319 (7th Cir. 1996); Constructora Mi Casita v. NIBCO, Inc., 448 F.

 Supp.3d 965, 970-71 (N.D. Ind. 2020). Dr. Beeler testifies that “there is no proof of

 causation between the vaccination and myocarditis” [Ex. 115 ¶ 69]. The court gives Dr.

 McCullough’s testimony little weight on this record.91 These statements are made with

 considered humility. The court isn’t deciding causation today to be sure. At the same

 time, the students haven’t marshaled strong evidence that would call into legitimate

 question the reasonableness of the university’s actions, or to meet their burden of an

 extraordinary remedy of a preliminary injunction.

         The students return to VAERS to discuss the risk of death from the vaccines. Dr.

 McCullough says VAERS reported 6,136 deaths after vaccines as of June 18, 2021 [Ex. 117

 ¶ 45]. He says VAERS received more adult death reports from COVID-19 vaccines than

 all other vaccines combined [id.]. The students offer an interim abstract from clinically



                                  
 91 For additional examples, Dr. McCullough cites one article that “speculate[s] that adverse reaction against

 the COVID-19 vaccine was responsible for the development of myocarditis due to its temporal relationship.”
 Tommaso D’Angelo et al., Myocarditis after SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination: A Vaccine-induced Reaction?, Can. J.
 Cardio. (June 9, 2021), https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8187737/ (last visited July 17,
 2021) (emphases added). Even then, the authors say “substantial evidences other than temporal aspects
 still need to be provided to demonstrate the causality[.]” Id. Dr. McCullough also cites a Reuters article
 concerning an Israeli study, rather than the study itself, when the Reuters article appears to overstate the
 study. For instance, the article refers to 275 cases, but those cases included both COVID-19 exposures and
 vaccinations. Only 148 cases occurred after vaccination. Even so, the study’s authors conclude merely that
 there is “some probability for a possible link between the second vaccine dose and the onset of myocarditis
 among young men aged 16 to 30,” not a probable link. Israeli Ministry of Health, Surveillance of Myocarditis
 (Inflammation of the Heart Muscle) Cases Between December 2020 and May 2021 (Feb. 6, 2021),
 https://www.gov.il/en/departments/news/01062021-03 (emphasis added).



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 trained reviewers that considered the VAERS data as of April 2021, who grouped the

 reports as those where the vaccine was most likely not a factor, where it may have been,

 and where it was the most likely factor [Ex. 254].92 Of the 250 deaths reported at the time,

 the reviewers concluded that 13 deaths were most likely caused by vaccines, noting that

 these individuals had strong reactions soon after vaccination and died the same day or

 during the next couple days [id.], though again temporal anecdotes like these aren’t as

 telling. See Ervin, 492 F.3d at 904–05. They warrant further investigation to be sure; but in

 close review this interim abstract offers no scientific or medical basis for drawing its

 conclusion. Indeed, when the court asked counsel at oral argument what the basis was

 for it, he too could offer no explanation [Tr. 34-37]. And more to the point, Dr.

 McCullough again stops short of testifying that any one reported death in VAERS was

 caused by a vaccine, despite this interim abstract [Ex. 117 at 21-26]. The students thus

 haven’t presented evidence today demonstrating Indiana University’s decision was

 irrational in pursuing its goal of campus health.

         The CDC has explored this issue as well and seems to have marshaled data, at this

 time, that any risk of death is rarer than the risk of death from a young adult COVID-19

 infection. According to the CDC, 25,038,458 individuals aged 18-29 have been given their

 first dose of the vaccine as of July 18, 2021, with VAERS reporting a total of 68 deaths, or


                                 
 92 See Scott McLachlan et al., Analysis of COVID-19 Vaccine Death Reports from the Vaccine Adverse Events

 Reporting    System    (VAERS)       Database    (June     2021)     (not    peer-reviewed      pre-print),
 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/352837543_Analysis_of_COVID-
 19_vaccine_death_reports_from_the_Vaccine_Adverse_Events_Reporting_System_VAERS_Database_Int
 erim_Results_and_Analysis. Dr. Beeler calls this a “reliable study looking at an unreliable system” based
 on passive reports unvalidated by studies and unconfirmed data [Ex. 128 at 124-25].



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 approximately 0.00027 percent, if in fact any are related.93 Alternatively, of the 6,174,415

 cases of COVID-19 in this age group, 2,732 died, or approximately a 0.04 percent.94 In

 balancing the risks,95 Indiana University wasn’t irrational in favoring the route that

 promoted greater safety for its students.

         The experts disagree over the relative risk of asymptomatic transmission (and

 indeed over many scientific conclusions), with the students contending that transmission

 from asymptomatic infections is “trivial and inconsequential” [Ex. 117 ¶ 26-27],96 and the

 university pointing to its own experience and national trends indicating that

 asymptomatic transmission is “certainly still very possible” [Ex. 115 ¶ 52].97 As with any

                                  
 93 See CDC, The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System, https://wonder.cdc.gov/vaers.html (data contains

 reports processed as of July 9, 2021); CDC, COVID-19 Vaccination Demographics in the United States, National,
 https://data.cdc.gov/Vaccinations/COVID-19-Vaccination-Demographics-in-the-United-St/km4m-vcsb
 (last visited July 14, 2021).
 94  CDC, Demographic Trends of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the U.S. Reported to CDC,
 https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#demographics (last visited July 18, 2021).
 95 The rate of community spread of COVID-19 in the counties in which the university’s campuses are based

 is classified as “moderate” to “high” by the CDC. CDC, COVID Data Tracker: COVID-19 Integrated County
 View, https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#county-view (last visited July 18, 2021).
 96 Zachary Madewell et al., Household Transmission of SARS-CoV-2: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis,

 3(12) JAMA Network Open e2031756 (Dec. 14, 2020) (Universities of Florida and Washington researchers
 conclude the rate of transmission from asymptomatic and presymptomatic carriers in a household is 0.7
 percent, but acknowledge finding was based on a small sample size, did not differentiate between
 asymptomatic and presymptomatic carries, and that significant questions remain about infectiousness)
 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2774102.
 97 See Michael A. Johansson et al., SARS-CoV-2 Transmission from People Without COVID-19 Symptoms, 4(1)

 JAMA Network Open e2035057 (Jan. 7, 2021) (CDC Office of Deputy Directory for Infectious Disease
 researchers’ disease model suggests that transmission from asymptomatic individuals account for 24% of
 all transmissions) https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2774707; Jennifer K.
 Bender et al., Analysis of Asymptomatic and Presymptomatic Transmission in SARS-CoV-2 Outbreak, Germany,
 2020, 27(4) Emerg. Infect. Dis. 1159 (April 2021) (European Centre for Disease Prevention & Control and
 Robert Koch Institute reviewed seven asymptomatic and 46 symptomatic cases and concluded little to no
 transmission from asymptomatic cases and 75 percent from presymptomatic cases)
 https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/27/4/20-4576_article; see also See Sten H. Vermund & Virginia E.
 Pitzer, Asymptomatic Transmission and the Infection Fatality Risk for COVID-19: Implications for School
 Reopening, 72(9) Clin. Infect. Dis. 1493-96 (May 1, 2021) (Yale researchers conclude that asymptomatic
 transmission “likely represents a             substantial   proportion    of total    new infections”)


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 new pathogen, scientific understandings of the character and risks of transmission are

 ever evolving, but a review of the balance of the current peer-reviewed research and other

 literature presented by the parties suggest that asymptomatic transmission, while less

 prevalent than symptomatic transmission, routinely occurs. Naturally, this conclusion

 may change as scientists continue to study the virus and population transmission events.

         Other risks exist or may become known. For instance, the FDA warns of the

 potential for blood clots, reported the most in females ages 18-49, but calls this risk

 “remote.”32 Just four days ago, the FDA added a warning to its fact sheet for the Janssen

 COVID-19 vaccine that Guillain-Barré syndrome (a neurological disorder in which the

 body’s immune system damages nerve cells and causes muscle weakness and sometimes

 paralysis) has occurred in some people who have received the vaccine. The FDA calls this

 risk “very low.”98 In contrast, Dr. Beeler testifies that brain damage proves a risk from

 COVID-19 without a vaccine [Ex. 319 ¶ 5], as do several neurological diagnoses,

 particularly for those hospitalized by a COVID-19 infection.99 The risks aren’t all one-


                                  
 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32584967/; Diana Buitrago-Garcia et al., Occurrence and Transmission
 Potential of Asymptomatic and Presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infections: A Living Systematic Review and Meta-
 analysis, 17(9) PLoS Med e1003346 (Sept. 22, 2020) (University of Bern and World Health Organization
 researchers conclude risk of infection from an asymptomatic individuals exists but is decreased 65 percent
 compared                                             to                                         symptomatic)
 https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1003346.
 98 See FDA, Fact Sheet for Recipients and Caregivers Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) of the Janssen COVID-

 19 Vaccine to Prevent Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Individuals 18 Years of Age and Older (July 18,
 2021), https://www.fda.gov/media/146305/download.
 99 See, e.g., Maxime Taquet et al., 6-Month Neurological and Psychiatric Outcomes in 236,379 Survivors of

 COVID-19: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Electronic Health Records, 8 Lancet Psychiatry 416-27
 (published online April 6, 2021), https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpsy/article/PIIS2215-
 0366(21)00084-5/fulltext (though calling for more data, concluding that the “severity of COVID-19 had a
 clear effect on subsequent neurological diagnoses”). In fairness, this same study said whether COVID-19
 was associated with Guillain-Barré syndrome “remains unclear.”



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 sided, but the wealth of data and studies on which Indiana University has relied makes

 the likelihood that the students will prevail on their claim here quite low.

        Don’t forget that vaccines generally aren’t without medical risks. In 1993, the

 Indiana General Assembly required that all public university students receive

 vaccinations for five conditions, see Ind. Code § 20-12-71-11, which it later amended in

 2007 to add one more, see Ind. Code § 21-40-5-2. Today that required list covers

 diphtheria, tetanus, measles, mumps, rubella, and meningococcal disease. Early

 diphtheria vaccines began in the 1920s, with more recent vaccines being developed in the

 2000s. Tetanus vaccines were introduced in the late 1940s. The first measles vaccine was

 developed in 1963, with the MMR vaccine licensed for use in 1971. The MMRV vaccine

 (which protects against measles, mumps, rubella, and varicella) was licensed in 2005 per

 the CDC. The first meningitis vaccine was licensed in 1974 in the United States, but more

 modern vaccines were licensed in 2005, 2012, and then 2015. Risks of these vaccines are

 varied, including more minor issues of fever or headache to more serious concerns of

 seizure or death, though frequently low risks.

        To be sure, EUA of the COVID-19 vaccines occurred on a tighter timetable and has

 existed only since December 2020 and February 2021. The students thus voice concerns

 about the experimental nature of the vaccines, though their counsel assures that their suit

 will persist even if the FDA grants the vaccine manufacturers full approval. Not all EUAs

 are equal, and the one required for COVID-19 vaccines was more robust than usual.

        For an EUA to issue, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS)

 must first conclude that the biological threat identified in the emergency declaration “can


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 cause a serious or life-threatening disease or condition[.]” 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(c)(1).

 Additionally HHS must conclude, “based on the totality of scientific evidence available

 to the Secretary, including data from adequate and well-controlled clinical trials, if

 available, it is reasonable to believe” the new product is effective in diagnosing, treating,

 or preventing the disease and “the known and potential benefits of the product . . .

 outweigh the known and potential risks of the product, taking into consideration the

 material threat posed” by the public health emergency. 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(c)(2).

 Further, there must be “no adequate, approved, and available alternative to the product”

 and the product must comport with “other criteria as the Secretary may by regulation

 prescribe.” 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(c)(3)-(4).

        In addition to these criteria, HHS must ensure medical providers are informed of

 the product’s EUA status, the “significant known and potential benefits and risks of the .

 . . product, and of the extent to which such benefits and risks are unknown,” and the

 availability, risks, and benefits of alternative products. 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(e)(1)(A)(i)(I)-

 (III). HHS must ensure that individuals who receive the product are informed of the

 product’s EUA status, the “significant known and potential benefits and risks of such use,

 and of the extent to which such benefits and risks are unknown,” and “of the option to

 accept or refuse administration of the product, of the consequences, if any, of refusing

 administration of the product, and of the alternatives to the product that are available

 and of their benefits and risks.” 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(e)(1)(A)(ii)(I)-(III). For these reasons,

 those who go to get these vaccines receive fact sheets from the FDA.




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         The impetus behind issuing an EUA, as opposed to going through the process for

 full FDA approval, comes from the urgency required. The standard process for vaccine

 approval requires a manufacturer to demonstrate compliance with statutory, regulatory,

 and agency standards. See 42 U.S.C. § 262(j); 21 U.S.C. § 355(b)(1)(A); 21 C.F.R. §§ 601.2(a),

 600.3(n), (p). Among other things, a manufacturer must conduct various studies,

 including clinical trials, to prove that the vaccine is safe for use and is effective. 21 U.S.C.

 § 355(b)(1)(A)(i); 21 C.F.R. § 600.3(s). These trials must be complete before an application

 can be submitted; indeed for COVID-19, the FDA requires manufacturers to collect and

 include any data from severe adverse events for six months after the trials conclude.100

 Though this process is designed to ensure safe vaccines for public use, it can take an

 average of ten years to go from a mere idea to an approved vaccine.101 This can occur

 more quickly too; indeed, just two days ago, the FDA granted priority review of one

 vaccine, reportedly meaning that full approval from the FDA could come as soon as early

 next year.102

         On the other hand, as opposed to waiting until clinical trials conclude, an EUA

 allows a manufacturer to apply using interim clinical trial data, and the data need only



                                    
 100 21 U.S.C. § 355(b)(1)(A)(i); 21 C.F.R. § 601.2(a), (e); § 601.20(a); see also FDA, Development and Licensure of

 Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry (June 2020); FDA, Vaccine Development 101,
 https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/development-approval-process-cber/vaccine-
 development-101 (last visited July 13, 2021).
 101 See Mark M. Struck, Vaccine R&D Success Rates and Development Times, 14 Nature Biotech. 591, 592 (1996),

 https://www.nature.com/articles/nbt0596-591.pdf?origin=ppub.
 102 See BioNTech, U.S. FDA Grants Priority Review for the Biologics License Application for Pfizer-BioNTech

 COVID-19 Vaccine (July 16, 2021), https://investors.biontech.de/news-releases/news-release-details/us-
 fda-grants-priority-review-biologics-license-application.



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 demonstrate the product “may be effective” and the known and potential benefits

 outweigh the known and potential risks.103 Additionally, distribution and testing can

 occur simultaneously.104 Although at first blush, the efficiency of an EUA may seem to

 risk the greater surety of safety and efficacy, the statute anticipates the FDA will impose

 additional obligations beyond those enumerated. See 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(e)(1)(B).

         In October 2020, the FDA released industry guidance detailing the benchmark

 criteria for a COVID-19 vaccine to receive an EUA.105 Though not legally binding,106 the

 industry guidance acknowledged that a COVID-19 vaccine was a “complex biological

 product[] . . . intended to be administered to millions of individuals, including healthy

 people, to prevent disease . . . [and has] the potential for broad use under an EUA.”107

 Because the virus would only be overcome through the sweeping immunity of the

 American public, the FDA informed manufacturers that approval would be given to


                                  
 103 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(c)(2)(A); FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines Explained,
 https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/emergency-use-authorization-vaccines-
 explained (last visited July 12, 2021).
 104 Compare 21 C.F.R. § 601.21 (products under development cannot be shipped for the purpose of
 introduction into commerce), with 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(e)(1)(B)(i) (allowing discretion for the agency to
 work with manufactures on distribution issues); see also FDA, Emergency Use Authorization of Medical
 Products    and     Related  Authorities:   Guidance    for     Industry    and     Other     Stakeholders,
 https://www.fda.gov/regulatory-information/search-fda-guidance-documents/emergency-use-
 authorization-medical-products-and-related-authorities#preparedness (last visited July 12, 2021).
 105 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry (October 2020),

 https://www.fda.gov/regulatory-information/search-fda-guidance-documents/emergency-use-
 authorization-vaccines-prevent-covid-19.
 106 An industry guidance does not have the force of law, as it does not go through the rulemaking process.

 However, an industry guidance informs a manufacturer of the criteria the FDA would consider sufficient
 to receive approval pursuant to their statutory authority. See, e.g., FDA, Rules, Regulations and Guidance,
 https://www.fda.gov/tobacco-products/products-guidance-regulations/rules-regulations-and-
 guidance (last visited July 18, 2021) (describing industry guidance as informing the tobacco industry of
 “pathways to legally market new tobacco products”).
 107 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry at 2.




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 those EUA applications that went beyond the safety and efficacy requirements prescribed

 by statute, and also expected manufacturers to consult with the FDA on the various non-

 clinical components of vaccine development and distribution as the clinical trial

 progressed.108 The FDA wanted the same level of efficacy data as for full approval,

 enough safety data to justify providing the vaccine to healthy individuals, and

 confirmation of the technical procedures and verification steps necessary to support full

 approval.109

          Thus, manufacturers were expected to submit “adequate manufacturing

 information to ensure its quality and consistency” as well as “data from at least one well-

 designed Phase 3 clinical trial that demonstrates the vaccine’s safety and efficacy in a

 clear and compelling manner”—a heightened bar from the “may be effective” standard

 prescribed by statute—while still allowing the manufacturers to complete their trials for

 full authorization.43 The FDA “strongly encourage[d]” manufacturers to provide interim

 data and analyses before applications were submitted, and noted that requirements

 described were “essential to ensure that clinical development of a COVID-19 vaccine has

 progressed far enough that issuance of an EUA for the vaccine would not interfere with

 the ability of an ongoing Phase 3 trial to demonstrate effectiveness of the vaccine to

 support licensure and to continue safety assessments[.]”43




                                  
 108 See FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 6-7, 9

 (October 2020); 21 U.S.C. § 360bbb-3(c).
 109 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 4, 9 (October

 2020).



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         Although the FDA directs manufacturers to present evidence of efficacy that meet

 the standards necessary to receive full approval,43 a key distinction between EUA and

 full approval remains. To receive full approval for a COVID-19 vaccine, a manufacturer

 must monitor and submit evidence of “serious and other medically attended adverse

 events in all study participants for at least 6 months after completion of all study

 vaccinations.”110 However, for an EUA, the manufacturer may submit its safety data

 based on a median two-months follow-up for every individual who completed the

 vaccine regimen.111 The FDA concluded that a “2-month median follow-up (meaning that

 at least half of vaccine recipients in clinical trials have at least 2 months of follow-up) after

 completion of the full vaccination regimen will allow identification of potential adverse

 events that were not apparent in the immediate postvaccination period and will also

 provide greater confidence in their absence, if none are observed.”112 Based on its

 experience with vaccine studies and approvals, the FDA concluded that “adverse events

 considered plausibly linked to vaccination generally start within 6 weeks after vaccine

 receipt,” regardless of the type of vaccine received, and thus the median two-month

 follow-up was justified “by extensive historical experience with adverse events after

 vaccination, the need for a vaccine to address the current pandemic, and the magnitude

 of vaccine effectiveness that will be required to support a favorable benefit–risk profile


                                  
 110 FDA, Development and Licensure of Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 15 (June 2020).

 111 Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 10 (October 2020).

 112 Philip R. Krause & Marion Gruber, Emergency Use Authorization of Covid Vaccines—Safety and Efficacy

 Follow-up Considerations, 383 N. Engl. J. Med. e107(2) (Nov. 5, 2020). Dr. Marion Gruber is the director and
 Dr. Phillip Krause is the deputy director of the Office of Vaccines Research and Review at the FDA.



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 for use of a Covid-19 vaccine under an EUA.”111 Thus, in setting these stringent

 expectations, the FDA invited EUA applications only for vaccines positioned well to

 receive full approval.113

         The statute grants the agency flexibility to impose additional requirements

 necessary to meet the safety and efficacy concerns despite the urgency of a public health

 emergency. The agency understood that a vaccine designed to be given to hundreds of

 millions of Americans, healthy and otherwise, required significant safety and efficacy

 data for approval. The consequences of skimping on these steps, or even adhering to the

 statutory-minimum requirement of potential effectiveness, was too great; so the FDA

 directed manufacturers to present evidence of efficacy that led to standards necessary to

 receive full approval. And true, though the safety follow-up necessary to receive an EUA

 is much shorter than would otherwise be required, the FDA made this conclusion based

 on its expert assessment and experience that significant latent negative outcomes

 associated with vaccinations traditionally occur within six weeks of receipt.114

         Indiana University closely considered the FDA’s EUA requirements when

 adopting its policy. The specialists on the university restart committee appreciated that



                                  
 113 The industry guidance has since been superseded twice, once in February 2021 and once in May 2021.

 FDA, Emergency Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry (May 2021). Pfizer,
 Moderna, and Johnson & Johnson’s applications were submitted in accordance with the October 2020
 guidance, see FDA, Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review Memorandum
 (Pfizer-BioNTech) (2020) (application submitted November 20, 2020); FDA, Emergency Use Authorization
 (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review Memorandum (Moderna) (2020) (application submitted November
 30, 2020); FDA, Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) for an Unapproved Product Review Memorandum (Janssen)
 (2021) (application submitted February 4, 2021).
 114 Philip R. Krause & Marion Gruber, Emergency Use Authorization of Covid Vaccines—Safety and Efficacy

 Follow-up Considerations, 383 N. Engl. J. Med. e107 (Nov. 5, 2020).


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 all three COVID-19 vaccines had been “studied in robust multi-centered, international,

 randomized-controlled trials and proven both effective and safe in millions of people”

 [Ex. 115 ¶ 60; see also Ex. 115 ¶ 24, 61-69]. These specialists explained that the EUA

 vaccines had been based on technology that has been studied for decades [id. ¶ 87].

 Though even “small differences in chemical structure can sometimes make very large

 differences in the type of toxic response that is produced,” McClain v. Metabolife Intern,

 Inc., 401 F.3d 1233, 1246 (11th Cir. 2005); accord Glastetter, 252 F.3d at 990, much like the

 FDA, the university concluded that campus safety reasonably outweighed any lingering

 risks with the vaccines. This wasn’t just any ordinary EUA process, but EUA on

 proverbial steroids. The university reasonably concluded that the “benefit dwarfs the

 potential rare risks” [Ex. 115 ¶ 87].

         Progress has been made because of the vaccine, not despite it. To the extent that

 lingering medical and scientific debate remain on this record, the court remains resolved

 that Indiana University has acted reasonably here in pursuing public health and safety

 for its campus communities [cf. Exs. 115, 116].115 See Gonzales, 550 U.S. at 163 (state

                                  
 115  For instance, Dr. McCullough says the vaccine manufacturers “skipped testing” for genotoxity,
 mutagenicity, teratogen[i]city, and oncogenicity” [Ex. 117 ¶ 36]. Dr. Beeler explains that this claim,
 including the suspicion about mutagenesis, takes a “backwards view of how RNA works in the cell and
 [is] not currently supported by consensus opinion” [Ex. 115 ¶ 64]. Concerns about the impact of a vaccine
 on fertility are largely addressed by the policy because Indiana University allows exemptions for pregnant
 women [Ex. 115 ¶ 86]. Naturally, truly measuring the impact of any intervention, or disease for that matter,
 on overall fertility to any degree of certainty requires longitudinal and perhaps even generational studies.
 Even under the FDA’s full approval requirements for a COVID-19 vaccine, a manufacturer is not required
 to submit data on the long-term impact on overall fertility in the population to receive approval. FDA,
 Development and Licensure of Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 7 (June 2020). Instead, the
 agency recommends conditioning the enrollment of pregnant women and “women of childbearing
 potential who are not avoiding pregnancy” in a clinical trial on the completion of Developmental and
 Reproductive Toxicology (DART) studies. FDA, Development and Licensure of Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19:
 Guidance for Industry 7, 11 (June 2020). A similar recommendation appears in the EUA guidance. Emergency
 Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 9 (October 2020). Though DART


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 legislatures have “wide discretion to pass legislation in areas where there is medical and

 scientific uncertainty”); Zucht, 260 U.S. at 176 (“municipality may vest in its officials

 broad discretion in matters affecting the application and enforcement of a health law”).

         Today, Indiana University has a rational basis to conclude that the COVID-19

 vaccine is safe and efficacious for its students. The vaccine has been used on about 157

 million Americans; and data now about eight months later, though it will grow more

 robust in years to come, is considerable and shows major side effects are rare. Much like

 over 500 universities and colleges in the United States that have done the same,116 Indiana

                                   
 studies review many components of fertility and pregnancy in animal models, FDA, S5(R3) Detection of
 Reproductive and Developmental Toxicity for Human Pharmaceuticals Guidance for Industry (May 2021), the
 application of these studies to the approval or a COVID-19 vaccine relate to the testing, marketing, and use
 of vaccines in pregnant women and in women who could imminently become pregnant, see FDA,
 Development and Licensure of Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 7, 11 (June 2020); Emergency
 Use Authorization for Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 9 (October 2020). And though
 DART studies in animals certainly shed light on greater concerns about fertility and are important, full
 vaccine approval is not conditioned on fertility studies in women or men. See id. Instead, the impact of a
 vaccine on pregnancy and pregnancy outcomes in women is a vital post-approval safety assessment. see
 FDA, Development and Licensure of Vaccines to Prevent COVID-19: Guidance for Industry 17 (June 2020).
 Moderna and Johnson & Johnson submitted DART studies as part of their EUA applications. Both
 manufacturers identified no fertility or development concerns based on these studies. FDA, Vaccines and
 Related Biological Products Advisory Committee December 17, 2020 Meeting Presentation—Emergency Use
 Authorization (EUA) Application for mRNA-1273 (Dec. 17, 2020); Janssen Biotech, Inc, Vaccines and Related
 Biological Products Advisory Committee Meeting February 26, 2021 (Feb. 26, 2021). Pfizer submitted DART
 results after its EUA was granted. The studies showed the vaccine did not impact female fertility or
 development, albeit in rats. Christopher J. Bowman et al., Lack of Effects on Female Fertility and Prenatal and
 Postnatal Offspring Development in Rats with BNT162b2, a mRNA-based COVID-19 Vaccine, 103 Reproductive
 Toxicology 28 (Aug. 2021).
 116 Andy Thomason and Brian O’Leary, Here’s a List of Colleges That Will Require Students or Employees to Be

 Vaccinated Against Covid-19, The Chronicle of Higher Education (July 15, 2021),
 https://www.chronicle.com/blogs/live-coronavirus-updates/heres-a-list-of-colleges-that-will-require-
 students-to-be-vaccinated-against-covid-19?cid2=gen_login_refresh (“The Chronicle has so far identified
 583 such campuses.”). Generally, courts “should not invade the domain of local authority except when it
 is necessary to do so” to enforce fundamental rights. Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 38. In addition to the Fourteenth
 Amendment’s protections, a wide variety of states have enacted legislation relating to vaccine mandates or
 vaccine documentation, including Ohio just this last week. See 2021 Bill Text OH H.B. 244, Sec. 3792.04(B)(1)
 (signed into law on July 14, 2021); cf., e.g., Ark. Code Ann. § 20-7-142 (prohibiting vaccine mandate); Fla.
 Stat. § 381.00316 (prohibiting governmental entities from requiring COVID-19 vaccination documentation
 and prohibiting educational institutions from requiring that students provide COVID-19 vaccination
 documentation); 2021 Bill Text CA A.B. 327 (proposed) (bill that would prohibit entities from requiring


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 University reasonably relies on the vaccine as a measure to return to normal school

 functioning. The students say the mandate is unreasonable because no other Indiana

 government agency mandates the vaccine. But just because it has gone above what others

 have done doesn’t make it unreasonable. Indeed, universities are unique places, with lots

 of people gathered and living together in close quarters for months at a time. That Indiana

 University’s mandate goes beyond what other public universities in Indiana have done

 doesn’t compel a finding that this policy is unreasonable; indeed, other universities in the

 state have mandated the vaccine, and many others around the country have too.

        Indiana University is following the recommendations of other well-established

 agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control, U.S. Department of Education, and

 the Indiana State Department of Health. These are reliable sources to assess the

 reasonableness of measures implemented, though the court must be cautious not to

 expand the guidance beyond what it says. See United States v. Newton, 996 F.3d 485, 489

 (7th Cir. 2021); Mays v. Dart, 974 F.3d 810, 823 (7th Cir. 2020), cert. filed. To be sure, the

 CDC doesn’t recommend that schools “mandate” the vaccine—a point the students

 make—but such a recommendation isn’t consistent with the CDC’s purview, which is to

 act as an informative agency. At the same time, the university’s policy isn’t inconsistent

 with the CDC’s recommendations. The CDC says institutions of higher learning “can

 return to full capacity in-person learning, without requiring or recommending masking

 or physical distancing for people who are fully vaccinated” [Ex. 116 ¶ 12]. The CDC’s


                                
 COVID-19 vaccination documentation). The court will not overstep into the legislative sphere when the
 state’s or state arm’s conduct has complied with the Constitution.



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 guidance to universities is that “[v]accination is the leading prevention strategy to protect

 individual from COVID-19 disease and end the COVID-19 pandemic.”117 This will

 enhance the student body’s opportunities, allowing them to have a more fulfilling college

 experience.

         Vaccination helps the university get to herd immunity. As its expert, Dr. Beeler,

 has said, COVID-19 vaccination is an important tool to help stop the pandemic because

 widespread vaccination will help achieve “herd immunity,” which is when enough

 people in a community are sufficiently protected from COVID-19 to stem its spread [Ex.

 115 ¶ 19-20].118 To be sure, experts debate whether herd immunity is achievable for

 COVID-19 [Ex. 115 ¶ 21], but Indiana University rationally believes vaccination is the

 leading prevention strategy to protect individuals from COVID-19 disease. According to

 Dr. Beeler, “Indiana has not reached herd immunity” [Ex. 115 ¶ 43; see also Exs. 128 at 60,

 129 at 23]. As Dr. Beeler explains, “immunity is not static with this virus, and things do

 change specifically as it relates to variants of concern. . . . The longer that the coronavirus

 remains in the population, each vulnerable individual that gets infected is the

 opportunity for further mutations in the virus. And eventually, just by evolutionary

 theory, the virus will develop ways to bypass the current immune stress” [Ex. 128 at 61].

 The mutability of COVID-19 remains higher than other conditions addressed by a single



                                   
 117 CDC, Guidance for Institutions of Higher Education (IHEs) (last updated June 4, 2021),

 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/community/colleges-universities/considerations.html.
 118  See CDC, COVID-19 Vaccines Are Free to the Public (last visited June 27, 2021),
 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/no-cost.html; CDC, Key Things to Know about
 COVID-19     Vaccines   (last   visited   June     27,     2021)   (“CDC      Key      Things”),
 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/keythingstoknow.html.


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 vaccine, like measles, mumps, and rubella [id. at 151-52]. With the variants of concern

 affecting recent numbers, and based on Dr. Beeler’s well-reasoned explanation, the court

 tends not to credit Dr. McCullough’s viewpoint that herd immunity has already been

 achieved.

        Overall, the students’ arguments amount to disputes over the most reliable

 science. But when reasonable minds can differ as to the best course of action—for

 instance, addressing symptomatic versus asymptomatic virus spread or any number of

 issues here—the court doesn’t intervene so long as the university’s process is rational in

 trying to achieve public health. See, e.g., Phillips, 775 F.3d at 542 (“plaintiffs argue that a

 growing body of scientific evidence demonstrates that vaccines cause more harm to

 society than good, but as Jacobson made clear, that is a determination for the

 [policymaker], not the individual objectors”). There is a rational basis for making

 distinctions here. No student, including those not yet exempt, have shown that Indiana

 University’s vaccine mandate as applied to them violates rational basis review. The court

 thus denies their request to enjoin it preliminarily.

               5.     On This Preliminary Record, Exempt Students Haven’t Shown a
                      Likelihood of Success on their Claim that Indiana University Lacks a
                      Rational Basis for Its Vaccine Policy, Including Additional Requirements.

        Six students are exempt from the vaccination mandate but challenge the additional

 measures of mask wearing, testing, and social distancing: Ryan Klaassen (Ex. 100 ¶ 180-

 81), Jaime Carini (¶ 182-95), Macey Policka (¶ 207-08), Daniel Baumgartner (¶ 196-200),

 Ashlee Morris (¶ 201-04), and Seth Crowder (¶ 205-06). Collectively, they argue that these

 requirements, oft-used over the last year, infringe on their bodily autonomy, medical


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 privacy, religious beliefs, and essentially become a “scarlet letter” targeting them for

 bullying and scorn from their peers for their medical conditions or religious beliefs.119

         Indiana University first challenges this argument on a procedural ground. It says

 these students failed to challenge its masking or testing policies in their complaint. They

 cite to the well-known legal principle that “a plaintiff is the master of her own complaint,”

 and that courts shouldn’t read unalleged assertions into a complaint. Thornley v. Clearview

 AI, Inc., 984 F.3d 1241, 1246 (7th Cir. 2021); see also Caterpillar, Inc. v. Williams, 482 U.S. 386,

 398-99 (1987). The complaint isn’t so narrowly pleaded. It gives fair notice that the

 students are challenging the vaccine mandate and the policy’s additional requirements.

 See Fed. R. Civ. P. 8(a)(2); Bell Atl. Corp. v Twombly, 550 U.S. 544, 555 (2007).

         Indiana University’s vaccine mandate is multifaceted. It requires all students,

 faculty, and staff to receive a COVID-19 vaccine and report their vaccination status, or to

 obtain an exemption and comply with the additional requirements. The university lumps

 the various parts of this mandate under a general “COVID-19 vaccine requirement”

 umbrella. For instance, on Indiana University’s “frequently asked questions” page about

 its COVID-19 vaccination requirement, the section provides that vaccinations are

 required, the deadlines for such vaccinations, the need for students to report vaccination

 status, the exempted categories, and the additional requirements imposed on exempted

 students, along with the consequences for failing to get a vaccine [Ex. 118 at 3-6].




                                   
 119 The scarlet letter is a literary reference to a mark that identifies one as belonging to a certain group in a

 scornful or ostracizing way. See Nathaniel Hawthorne, The Scarlet Letter (1850).



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         Because the students challenge the additional requirements under substantive due

 process, the court again begins by first examining the specific right they assert. See Doe,

 377 F.3d at 768. These students argue that they have rights to refrain from wearing a mask

 and to refuse nasal testing. But there is no fundamental constitutional right to not wear a

 mask. Kelly v. ImagineIF Library Entity, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 111958, 8 (D. Mont. June 15,

 2021); Whitfield v. Cuyahoga Cnty. Pub. Library Found., 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 92944, 4 (N.D.

 Ohio May 17, 2021); Denis v. Ige, __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 91037, 14 (D.

 Haw. May 12, 2021); W.S. by Sonderman v. Ragsdale, __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS

 98185, 5 (N.D. Ga. May 12, 2021); Forbes v. City of San Diego, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 41687,

 11 (S.D. Cal. Mar. 4, 2021); Stewart v. Justice, __ F. Supp.3d __, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 24664,

 20 (S.D. W. Va. Feb. 9, 2021); Oakes v. Collier Cnty., 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 15174, 4 (M.D.

 Fla. Jan. 27, 2021); Shelton v. City of Springfield, 497 F. Supp.3d 408, 414 (W.D. Miss. 2020);

 see also Ryan v. Cnty. of DuPage, 45 F.3d 1090, 1092 (7th Cir. 1995) (no constitutional right

 to wear a mask); United States v. Berglund, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 78476, 2 (D. Minn. Apr.

 23, 2021) (“Courts have repeatedly found that requiring participants at trial to wear face

 masks due to the COVID-19 pandemic does not violate a criminal defendant’s

 constitutional rights.”).120 Nor is there a fundamental constitutional right to not be tested

 for a virus before entering a place of public accommodation. Aviles v. De Blasio, 2021 U.S.

 Dist. LEXIS 38930, 50 (S.D.N.Y. Mar. 2, 2021); see also Webb v. Johnson, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS


                                    
 120 Plaintiffs cite to a recent Florida state court decision which held, based on its state constitution, that the

 right to privacy applies to a mask-wearing mandate, triggering strict scrutiny. See Green v. Alachua Cnty.,
 2021 Fla. App. LEXIS 8634 (Fla. Dist. Ct. App. June 11, 2021). But as this case makes clear, it is based on
 Florida’s state constitution, not the federal constitution. It is thus inapposite here.


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 95392, 13 (D. Neb. Mar. 2, 2021) (D. Neb. May 19, 2021) (prisoner had no fundamental

 right to refuse having his temperature taken); Wilcox v. Lancour, 2021 U.S. Dist. LEXIS

 11968, 23-24 (W.D. Mich. Jan. 22, 2021) (prisoner had no fundamental right to refuse a

 nasal passage test for COVID-19); Little Rock Family Planning Servs. v. Rutledge, 458 F.

 Supp.3d 1065, 1074 (E.D. Ark. 2020) (applying Jacobson to uphold requirement that

 women obtain negative COVID-19 test before medical procedure).

        The court declines the students’ invitation to expand substantive due process

 rights to include the rights not to wear a mask or to be tested for a virus. These aren’t

 rights so “deeply rooted in this Nation’s history and tradition” and so “implicit in the

 concept of ordered liberty” such that “neither liberty nor justice would exist if they were

 sacrificed.” Washington v. Glucksberg, 521 U.S. 702, 721 (1997) (quotation omitted); Khan v.

 Bland, 630 F.3d 519, 535 (7th Cir. 2010). These aren’t issues of fundamental constitution

 import, but often transient and trivial inconveniences.

        But wait, certain students say: mask wearing and testing violates their religion.

 The First Amendment says “Congress shall make no law . . . prohibiting the free exercise”

 of religion. U.S. Const. amend. I. The right to exercise religion is fundamental. See

 Cantwell v. Connecticut, 310 U.S. 296, 303 (1940). As a fundamental right, it would trigger

 strict scrutiny, but the Supreme Court has held that general regulations that have the

 effect of incidentally burdening religious practices in general and neutral ways need only

 be rationally supported by the state. “[T]he right of free exercise does not relieve an

 individual of the obligation to comply with a valid and neutral law of general

 applicability on the ground that the law proscribes (or prescribes) conduct that his


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 religion prescribes (or proscribes).” Smith, 494 U.S. at 879 (quotation omitted); accord Ill.

 Bible Colleges Ass’n v. Anderson, 870 F.3d 631, 639 (7th Cir. 2017).

        Indiana University’s extra requirements fit within the neutral and generally

 applicable laws protected by Smith. The vaccine mandate contains an early reference to

 religion by way of exemption; but this isn’t used to burden religion, but instead gives

 those of religious conviction the benefit of freely practicing their religious conviction to

 refuse the vaccine. See Listecki v. Official Comm. of Unsecured Creditors, 780 F.3d 731, 744

 (7th Cir. 2015) (“A benefit to religion does not disfavor religion in violation of the Free

 Exercise Clause.”); see also Smith, 494 U.S. at 888 (Scalia, J.) (no exemption required). The

 students who received the religious exemption are subject to the same extra requirements

 as those who receive the medical exemption.

        One may well applaud the university for going beyond what the constitution

 requires: courts have consistently held that schools that provided a religious exemption

 from mandatory vaccination requirements did so above and beyond that mandated by the

 Constitution. See Nikolao, 875 F.3d at 316; Phillips, 775 F.3d at 543; Workman, 419 F. Appx.

 at 356; Whitlow, 203 F. Supp.3d at 1084; Boone, 217 F. Supp.2d at 954. What the students

 request now is a religious exemption from the religious exemption, but Indiana

 University has no obligation to provide this. See Smith, 494 U.S. at 879.

        On this record, the court finds no merit in the students’ contention that wearing

 masks essentially labels them with a “scarlet letter” that targets them for religious

 bullying. Indiana University has both medical and religious exemptions, and the same

 requirements are imposed on both groups. There is no evidence that any exempted


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 person must reveal publicly which exemption they obtained. Wearing masks thus doesn’t

 signify to others that the individual religiously objects to the vaccination; they could fall

 within either exempted category, or they could be a vaccinated individual who chooses

 to take the extra (and unrequired) precaution to wear a mask. A student wearing a mask

 may well just be precautious in light of COVID-19 variants or because of

 immunosuppressing conditions. This record is devoid of any evidence of bullying or

 discrimination.

        To be sure, there are some unique circumstances when wearing a mask could

 negatively impact the student’s educational experience. For example, Jaime Carini is

 pursuing doctorates in organ performance and literature and musicology and, to

 complete her graduate program, she must perform at organ recitals [Ex. 121 at 22, 27].

 She believes performing these recitals while masked will have an impact on her

 performance as an organist, who use their whole bodies to perform [id. 90]. Similarly,

 Macey Policka is pursuing a degree in theater with an emphasis on acting, and she says

 the mask requirement is “devastating” to her education [Ex. 125 at 41]. She says wearing

 a mask has a huge impact on how she can interact with other actors and will put her at a

 distinct disadvantage to other student actors who don’t have to wear masks [id.]. Though

 the court sympathizes with these concerns, these are matters for the university reasonably

 to address, not matters of constitutional import.

        The students once more assert another alleged right—this time the right to the

 confidentiality of their medical information—to obtain strict scrutiny. But this circuit has

 never recognized one’s constitutional right to privacy to medical information. Franklin v.


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 McCaughtry, 110 F. Appx. 715, 719 (7th Cir. 2004); Rowe v. Wexford of Ind., 2021 U.S. Dist.

 LEXIS 31766, 3-4 (N.D. Ind. Feb. 22, 2021). This right may exist by statute, but isn’t found

 in the Constitution. And this circuit recognized that such a right, if any, is minimized

 when in the public context. See Franklin, 110 F. Appx. at 719 (describing hospital

 emergency rooms, doctor’s offices, and school infirmaries). The court declines finding

 such a fundamental right in the context here.

         That said, the court applies rational basis review for the extra requirements of

 masks and testing for the exempted students. Indiana University has a legitimate interest

 in promoting the health and safety of its students. And the masks and testing are

 rationally related to achieving those measures. This is true for several reasons.

         First, both vaccinated and unvaccinated people can still get the virus. Though

 health experts differ on the efficacy of masks in preventing the spread of COVID-19, such

 a dispute is left to the resolution of the policymakers, particularly when studies have

 shown universal mask wearing resulted in decreases in COVID rates than populations

 that forewent masks [Ex. 128 at 108]. And social distancing continues to be recommended

 by the CDC and health experts as effective at eliminating the spread of the disease.121 The

 students offer no sound evidence that social distancing isn’t effective.

         Second, the CDC says schools should account for students, faculty, and staff who

 aren’t vaccinated.122 And it has continued to recommend masks and social distancing for

                                
 121 CDC, How to Protect Yourself & Others, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prevent-getting-

 sick/prevention.html (updated June 11, 2021).
 122CDC, Guidance for Institutions of Higher Education (IHEs), https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-
 ncov/community/colleges-universities/considerations.html#section1 (updated June 4, 2021).



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 these individuals.122 This is consistent with what Indiana University has already done for

 a semester as well.

         Third, even students who feel fine and don’t have a fever may still have the virus

 as an asymptomatic individual, so the heightened precautions as to them continue to be

 rational.123 Despite the low mortality rates, young adults can still transmit the virus to

 others [Ex. 115 ¶ 10-11]. For those with milder or even asymptomatic cases, as is more

 prevalent in this age group, the risk of inadvertent transmission grows [Ex. 115 ¶ 53-55].

         Fourth, these measures are reasonable in scope. The testing methods are

 reasonable for the circumstances: they plan to use a rather non-intrusive saliva test. See

 Banks v. United States, 490 F.3d 1178, 1189 (10th Cir. 2007) (“saliva tests impose minimal

 intrusions”); Padgett v. Ferrero, 294 F. Supp.2d 1338, 1342 (N.D. Ga. 2003) (“bodily

 intrusion of taking . . . saliva sample is minimal”); see also Wilson v. Collins, 517 F.3d 421,

 428 (6th Cir. 2008) (saliva sample is less intrusive than blood drawing). Though this form

 of testing may be less reliable than nasal testing, it is significantly less intrusive—and

 given that the students’ assert their right to bodily autonomy, this is a good thing. Though

 it may present some inconvenience for the students by taking time away from their

 studies, this impact is minimal and within the sound discretion of the school.

         Fifth, students have lived with mask mandates for over a year now, so it is nothing

 that is unreasonable, at least not when the risk still exists. These students have worn


                                  
 123 See, e.g., Sten H. Vermund & Virginia E. Pitzer, Asymptomatic Transmission and the Infection Fatality Risk

 for COVID-19: Implications for School Reopening, 72(9) Clin. Infect. Dis. 1493-96 (May 1, 2021) (Yale
 researchers conclude that asymptomatic transmission “likely represents a substantial proportion of total
 new infections”).



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 masks at school, stores, work, church, and even at a casino. In other contexts, the

 government has lawfully mandated wearing protective gear, like a mask, when it also

 provides benefits to the public—like mandated bicycle helmets, hair nets, ear plugs, and

 any number of personal protective equipment. See, e.g., Burr v. Atty. Gen. Delaware, 641 F.

 Appx. 194, 196 (3d Cir. 2016) (per curiam) (seatbelt mandate held constitutional); Picou v.

 Gillum, 874 F.2d 1519, 1519 (11th Cir. 1989) (Powell, J.) (state statute requiring motorcycle

 riders to wear protective headgear was constitutional). It is no less reasonable here.

        B.     Irreparable Harm & Adequate Remedy at Law.

        Irreparable harm is “harm that cannot be repaired and for which money

 compensation is inadequate.” Orr, 953 F.3d at 502 (quoting Graham v. Med. Mut. of Ohio,

 130 F.3d 293, 296 (7th Cir. 1997)) (quotations omitted). To the extent that the students

 establish a constitutional harm, the law presumes irreparable harm. See, e.g., Cuomo, 141

 S. Ct. at 67-68 (First Amendment free exercise of religion); Elrod v. Burns, 427 U.S. 347, 373

 (1976) (First Amendment political association); Christian Legal Society v. Walker, 453 F.3d

 853, 859 (7th Cir. 2006) (“loss of First Amendment freedoms is presumed to constitute an

 irreparable injury”); Ezell v. City of Chicago, 651 F.3d 684, 699 (7th Cir. 2011) (Second

 Amendment); Preston v. Thompson, 589 F.2d 300, 303 n.3 (7th Cir. 1978) (“The existence of

 a continuing constitutional violation constitutes proof of an irreparable harm.”); Doe v.

 Mundy, 514 F.2d 1179, 1183 (7th Cir. 1975) (right to privacy); Democratic Nat. Committee v.

 Bostelmann, 447 F. Supp.3d 757, 769 (W.D. Wis. 2020); Planned Parenthood of Ind. v.

 Commissioner, 194 F. Supp.3d 818, 835 (S.D. Ind. 2016) (presuming equal protection and

 substantive due process harms irreparable); 11A Wright & Miller, Federal Practice &


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 Procedure § 2948.1 (2d ed. 1995) (“When an alleged deprivation of a constitutional right

 is involved . . . most courts hold that no further showing of irreparable injury is

 necessary.”). That remains true only with the vaccine mandate.

         That doesn’t mean every alleged harm in this case is irreparable. A delay in

 collegiate or graduate education isn’t typically irreparable harm. See, e.g., Phillips v. Marsh,

 687 F.2d 620, 622 (2d Cir. 1982); Hodges v. Bd. of Supervisors, 2020 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 153949,

 7 (E.D. La. Aug. 25, 2020); Pierre v. University of Dayton, 143 F. Supp.3d 703, 714 (S.D. Ohio

 2015) (“[C]ourts have also held that a suspension is not irreparable.”); Baer v. Nat’l Bd. of

 Med. Examiners, 392 F. Supp.2d 42, 49 (D. Mass. 2005) (inability to continue as medical

 student without interruption is not a harm that is irreparable to potential medical career).

         Each exempted student testified that he or she wore masks on many occasions

 during the pandemic.124 Any concerns about the hypothetical segregation or

 discrimination are only speculative and don’t constitute irreparable harm. See Duthie v.

 Matria Healthcare, Inc., 543 F. Supp.2d 958, 960 (N.D. Ill. 2008). Several students have been

 tested for COVID-19 multiple times with no irreparable harm. And though a few students

 cite concerns about the safety of nasal testing swabs, Indiana University’s testing uses

 saliva. Though some students say the extra requirements are unnecessary or

 inconvenient, neither concern rises to the level of irreparable harm. See, e.g., Students v.

 United States Dep’t of Education, 2016 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 150011, 125 (N.D. Ill. Oct. 18, 2016);

 Right Field Rooftops, LLC v. Chicago Baseball Holdings, LLC, 87 F. Supp.3d 874, 895 (N.D. Ill.

                                   
 124 See Ex. 120 at 27 (Ryan Klaassen); Ex. 121 at 44 (Jaime Carini); Ex. 122 at 19-20 (Danial Baumgartner); Ex.

 123 at 35-36 (Ashlee Morris); Ex. 124 at 22 (Seth Crowder); Ex. 125 at 17 (Macey Policka); Ex. 126 at 31
 (Margaret Roth); Ex. 127 at 29-32 (Natalie Sperazza).


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 2015) (“inconvenience does not show that harm would be irreparable); Lewis v. Silverman,

 2005 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 20347, 6-7 (N.D. Ind. Sept. 16, 2005).

        Wearing masks, undergoing surveillance testing, and social distancing also aren’t

 indicative of irreparable harm, but consistent with CDC guidelines [Ex. 129 at 28]. See

 Orr, 953 F.3d at 502 (defining irreparable harm). For these particular circumstances, the

 students also have an adequate remedy at law—money damages. The presumption that

 money is never an adequate remedy for constitutional violation is wrong. See Campbell v.

 Miller, 373 F.3d 834, 835 (7th Cir. 2004). Such damages would be normal and adequate to

 address what, even in the most severe light, to be no more than a personal injury. See id.

        To be inadequate, a remedy needn’t be “wholly ineffectual,” but it must be

 “seriously deficient as compared to the harm suffered.” Foodcomm Intern. v. Barry, 328

 F.3d 300, 304 (7th Cir. 2003). If there were to be a constitutional injury here, the court

 could see that there is no adequate remedy at law if it didn’t issue the preliminary

 injunction. That is less potent when the likelihood of success is so low. See Adams v. City

 of Chicago, 135 F.3d 1150, 1154 (7th Cir. 1998) (if court finds neither irreparable harm nor

 a likelihood of success, the “analysis ends and the preliminary injunction should not be

 issued”); Dish Network LLC v. Cox Media Grp., LLC, 2020 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 126850, 20 (N.D.

 Ill. July 20, 2020) (plaintiff’s “failure to demonstrate a reasonable likelihood of success on

 the merits alone is enough to deny its motion”); Geneva Intern. Corp. v. Petrof, SPOL,

 S.R.O., 529 F. Supp.2d 932, 940 (N.D. Ill. 2007) (“Because [plaintiff] fails to demonstrate

 irreparable harm, we need not continue to analyze the remaining factors.”).




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        In short, the court presumes the students could establish irreparable harm and the

 absence of an adequate remedy at law, except as noted here.

        C.     The Balance of the Harms and Public Interest Favor Indiana University.

        The balance of harms against the parties and the public interest favor denying the

 preliminary injunction. This is a sliding scale analysis. The court “weighs the balance of

 potential harms” against “the movant’s likelihood of success.” Turnell, 796 F.3d at 662.

 The more likely the plaintiff is to win, the less the balance of harms needs to favor them;

 the less likely, the more it must weigh in their favor. Id. The court has already said the

 students’ likelihood of success is low, and the odds favor the university.

        To be sure, the students have a significant liberty interest in refusing unwanted

 medical treatment. Telling them they must take unwanted medical treatment is a

 significant intrusion on their liberty. And under the harm principle, “the only purpose

 for which power can be rightfully exercised over any member of a civilized community,

 against his will, is to prevent harm to others.” John Stuart Mill, On Liberty 9 (1859); see

 Cassell, 990 F.3d at 550. If the students’ decision to refuse the vaccine affected themselves

 alone, the balance of harms would almost certainly weigh in favor of granting a

 preliminary injunction.

        But the evidence reasonably shows that they aren’t the only ones harmed by

 refusing to get vaccinated: refusing while also not complying with heightened safety

 precautions could “sicken and even kill many others who did not consent to that trade-

 off.” Cassell, 990 F.3d at 550. This certainly impacts the public interest: the students “are

 not asking to be allowed to make a self-contained choice to risk only their own health” in


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 making this decision—their decision necessarily bears on the health of other students,

 faculty, and staff. Id. The balance of harms doesn’t weigh in the students’ favor here.

        And because the students aren’t being forced to take the vaccine against their will,

 the harm is demonstrably less. Though the students may have to forego a semester of

 school or transfer somewhere else—certainly a difficult and inconvenient choice, and not

 one lightly tossed aside—they have options. Other colleges in Indiana and around the

 nation haven’t mandated vaccines. Indiana University says it will reassess the mandate

 after this semester. This mandate will also enhance the academic environment for all

 students, faculty, and staff by fostering in-person education and a more traditional

 college experience, educationally and socially. Today, based on this record, the balance

 of harms tilts heavily in favor of the university.

        The public interest also favors denying a preliminary injunction. The court isn’t a

 policymaker: that role is left to the States. On multiple occasions, the Supreme Court has

 “recognized the role of the States as laboratories for devising solutions to difficult legal

 problems.” Arizona State Legislature v. Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission, 576

 U.S. 787, 817 (2015) (quoting Oregon v. Ice, 555 U.S. 160, 171 (2009)); United States v. Lopez,

 514 U.S. 549, 581 (1995) (Kennedy, J., concurring) (“States may perform their role as

 laboratories for experimentation to devise various solutions where the best solution is far

 from clear”); New State Ice Co. v. Liebmann, 285 U.S. 262, 311 (1932) (Brandeis, J.,

 dissenting) (“It is one of the happy incidents of the federal system that a single

 courageous state may, if its citizens choose, serve as a laboratory; and try novel social and

 economic experiments without risk to the rest of the country.”). Enabling the this state


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 university to work through these problems reasonably fosters public health and safety in

 areas of scientific uncertainty. See Gonzales, 550 U.S. at 163 (citing Jacobson, 197 U.S. at 30-

 31) (the law gives “wide discretion to pass legislation in areas where there is medical and

 scientific uncertainty”); Cassell, 990 F.3d at 549 (“scientific uncertainty surrounding the

 pandemic further cautions against enjoining state coronavirus responses unless

 absolutely necessary”); see also Cuomo, 141 S. Ct. at 68 (“Members of this Court are not

 public health experts”).

        To be sure, if the students had shown a likelihood that the university was

 unreasonably infringing on their constitutional rights, enjoining that violation would be

 in the public interest. See Joelner v. Village of Washington Park, 378 F.3d 613, 620 (7th Cir.

 2004) (“upholding constitutional rights serves the public interest”) (quoting Newsom v.

 Albermarle Cnty. Sch. Bd., 354 F.3d 249, 261 (4th Cir. 2003)); Ind. Fine Wine & Spirits, LLC v.

 Cook, 459 F. Supp.3d 1157, 1171 (S.D. Ind. 2020) (same). But this concern doesn’t apply

 here because the students have a low likelihood of success.

        In short, the balance of harms and the public interest favor Indiana University and

 the determination that it has reasonably determined the best course of action for the

 health of its academic community this upcoming fall semester. And in doing so, Indiana

 University plans to return sooner to normal operations—thus serving much more than

 just its academic community.

        D.     What This Opinion Isn’t.

        Don’t misread it. The court is not declaring the absolute safety and efficacy of the

 vaccines, or for all people. People need to understand the risks, remain informed as the


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 science evolves, monitor the review before the FDA, and determine whether to take a

 vaccine. The court must decide this case on the evidence before it. The evidence today

 shows that the students have little chance of success: Indiana University is reasonably

 pursuing a legitimate aim of public health for its students, faculty, and staff.

        This university policy isn’t forced vaccination. The students have options—taking

 the vaccine, applying for a religious exemption, applying for a medical exemption,

 applying for a medical deferral, taking a semester off, or attending another university.

 This policy applies for the fall 2021 semester only. Students may make their choice after

 being advised of the risks and benefits of the vaccines, thereby giving informed consent.

 The court recognizes that for certain students this may prove a difficult choice, but a

 choice nonetheless. The choice isn’t so coercive as to constitute irreparable constitutional

 harm. Although it proves a condition to attend this fall, it is reasonable under the

 Constitution.

        This isn’t a decision after a final trial on the merits. The court has made this

 decision based on evidence, testimony, and briefing that the parties produced on an

 emergent timetable. They and their skilled counsel should be commended for the quality

 of their submissions, particularly under tight demands. But not every stone has been

 unturned by the parties. Not every study has been hashed out or submitted for the court

 to read. Not every witness has testified. Although constituting more than 100 exhibits

 and testimony from many individuals, including proposed experts, much of which then

 refers the court to innumerable studies and articles that it has endeavored to review




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 carefully, much in these five days, this still is a preliminary record, with an opinion issued

 urgently given the interests of these parties.

         The court also isn’t saying Indiana University (or any other State or state entity)

 may do whatever it wants to address COVID-19. Given the liberty at stake for these

 students here, the university must act reasonably in achieving a legitimate state goal of

 public health. The Fourteenth Amendment’s due process clause checks that authority.

 Today’s decision doesn’t provide carte blanche authority for Indiana University to do as it

 pleases without regard to the Constitution. For instance, in the future, the goal of seeing

 zero or very low new positive cases as a rolling average in attainment of herd immunity

 may or may not prove reasonable [see Ex. 242 at 62-63], but those aren’t the circumstances

 now facing the university, and those aren’t the circumstances now presented to the court.

 Speculative concerns about hypothetical future events don’t show irreparable harm.

 Duthie v. Matria Healthcare, Inc., 543 F. Supp.2d 958, 960 (N.D. Ill. 2008).

         The policy will no doubt evolve. The court questioned the parties about the scope

 of the university’s medical exemption. The university’s standard vaccination policy,

 originating from the General Assembly’s mandate that public university students receive

 certain vaccinations, contains an exemption for medical contraindications,125 with

 support from a physician’s statement [Ex. 229]. Whereas, curiously, the university’s

 COVID-19 policy preserves medical exemptions only for allergies to vaccine ingredients,

                                    
 125 A contraindication is any “condition[] in a recipient that increases the risk for a serious adverse reaction.”

 CDC, General Best Practice Guidelines for Immunization: Best Practices Guidance of the Advisory Committee on
 Immunization       Practices       (ACIP),       https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/hcp/acip-recs/general-
 recs/contraindications.html.
 


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 not contraindications—ostensibly a narrower basis for exemption for an EUA vaccine

 than for other decades-existing vaccines.

        At oral argument, Indiana University explained that, at the time of adoption,

 allergies proved the only contraindication and that the university has applied its medical

 exemption more broadly. There is some evidence for this in the record [see, e.g., Ex. 128 at

 84-88]. Four physicians on the university medical team consider any requested medical

 exemption and work with the student’s physician to address any immunocompromising

 condition (and, at times, try to educate the physician on certain pathophysiologies that

 aren’t of concern) [id.]. In doing so, the university follows CDC guidance. The university

 thus has considered for exemption such conditions as vaccine-suppressing medications,

 pregnancy, steroids, chemotherapy, and organ transplants, to name a few [id. at 85-88].

 In truth, the medical exemption has been applied more broadly than it is written.

        Wisdom might counsel its update to reflect reality and an evolving science.

 Jumping on this concern, the students call the medical exemption arbitrary in oral

 argument. The record doesn’t bear this out. Indeed, no matter the seeming problematic

 nature of a narrow medical exemption as written, it has been reasonably broad as applied

 [id.]. The simple truth is that none of the eight students here have sought a medical

 exemption with the support of a physician’s statement to trigger this issue.

        Jaime Carini says she wanted a medical exemption, but she never sought one; and

 she has a religious exemption that she secured in any event [Ex. 121 at 58-60, 69; Tr. 53].

 She doesn’t present facts that show the university chose to ignore a doctor’s

 recommendation. Margaret Roth has legitimate concerns about taking the vaccine, but


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 she too hasn’t applied for a medical exemption or been denied [Ex. 126 at 26]. Natalie

 Sperazza believes it unsafe, but she too provides no physician’s statement to support this

 view or shows she applied for a medical exemption [Ex. 127 at 64]. A future case might

 raise an issue under the medical exemption, but that’s not today’s case. See Jacobson, 197

 U.S. at 36-37 (leaving option to challenge vaccine mandate for contraindications). The

 court won’t issue an advisory opinion. See Brixen, 908 F.3d at 280.

                                      CONCLUSION

        Even assuming in certain respects irreparable harm and an inadequate remedy at

 law, the students here haven’t established a likelihood of success on the merits of their

 Fourteenth Amendment due process claim, or that the balance of harms or the public’s

 interest favors the extraordinary remedy of a preliminary injunction, before a trial on the

 merits. The court thus DENIES their preliminary injunction motion [ECF 7].

        Recognizing the significant liberty interest the students retain to refuse unwanted

 medical treatment, the Fourteenth Amendment permits Indiana University to pursue a

 reasonable and due process of vaccination in the legitimate interest of public health for

 its students, faculty, and staff. Today, on this preliminary record, the university has done

 so for its campus communities. That leaves the students with multiple choices, not just

 forced vaccination.

        One might well hale a certain Emersonian self-reliance and self-determination as

 preference—an unfettered right of the individual to choose the vaccine or not—but, given

 a preliminary record such as today’s, the court must exercise judicial restraint in

 superimposing any personal view in the guise of constitutional interpretation.


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 Reasonable social policy is for the state legislatures and its authorized arms, and for the

 People to demand through their representatives.

       SO ORDERED.

       July 18, 2021                              s/ Damon R. Leichty
                                                  Judge, United States District Court




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