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World Bank, "Restructuring Paper on a Proposed Program Restructuring of Nigeria: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program" (Report No. RES55548)

Summary

World Bank restructuring paper, Report No. RES55548, on a proposed program restructuring of the Nigeria COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus (CARES) Program (P174114), approved on December 14, 2020 for the Federal Republic of Nigeria under Program-for-Results financing. The data sheet lists IDA-68030 with a net commitment of 750.00 million US dollars, 195.38 disbursed and 526.68 undisbursed, and a closing date of 30-Jun-2023. The paper seeks approval of the Regional Vice President for a Level 2 restructuring to extend the closing date by 12-months, citing significant delays from the government on various approvals, and to respond to more recent shocks. The 38-page document includes an abbreviations list and a program action plan with protocols for reporting and investigating fraud and corruption allegations at federal and state level.

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“World Bank, ‘Restructuring Paper on a Proposed Program Restructuring of Nigeria: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program’ (Report No. RES55548).” Original at documents1.worldbank.org. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/world-bank-restructuring-paper-on-a-proposed-program-restructuring-of-5032a00048/, SHA-256 36da853ec29a7aa428671672435276bc5a0e326966b0470f5876acd14f10c5be.

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Public Disclosure Authorized
                                                                   FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
                                                                                                   Report No: RES55548



                                                       INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION




Public Disclosure Authorized
                                                                   RESTRUCTURING PAPER
                                                                            ON A
                                                         PROPOSED PROGRAM RESTRUCTURING
                                                                        OF
                                        NIGERIA: COVID-19 ACTION RECOVERY AND ECONOMIC STIMULUS PROGRAM
                                                           APPROVED ON DECEMBER 14, 2020

                                                                            TO THE




Public Disclosure Authorized
                                                               FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA




                               Social Protection and Jobs Global Practice
                               Western and Central Africa Region




Public Disclosure Authorized
                                                Regional Vice President: Ousmane Diagana
                                                       Country Director: Shubham Chaudhuri
                                                      Regional Director: Dena Ringold
                                                      Practice Manager: Camilla Holmemo
                                                     Task Team Leaders: Foluso Okunmadewa, Samuel Taffesse, Wenye Dong
    The World Bank
    NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)



                                 ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
 CARES     COVID-19 Action Recovery And Economic Stimulus
COVID-19   Coronavirus Disease 2019
   CRF     Consolidated Revenue Fund
  CSDA     Community and Social Development Agency
  CSDP     Community and Social Development Project
   DLI     Disbursement-Linked Indicator
    DP     Delivery Platform
   E&S     Environment and Social
  ESCP     Environmental and Social Commitment Plan
  ESSA     Environmental and Social System Assessment
  FCSU     Federal CARES Support Unit
   FCT     Federal Capital Territory
FMFBNP     Federal Ministry of Finance, Budget, and National Planning
  GBV      Gender-based Violence
  GDP      Gross Domestic Product
  GEEP     Government Enterprise and Empowerment Program
  GRM      Grievance Redress Mechanism
   IDA     International Development Association
   IPF     Investment Project Financing
    IRI    Intermediate Result Indicator
   ISR     Implementation Status Results Report.
   IVA     Independent Verification Agent
  LIPW     Labor Intensive Public Works
  LMP      Labor Management Procedures
  M&E      Monitoring and Evaluation
  MDA      Ministries, Departments and Agencies
   MS      Moderately Satisfactory
  MSE      Micro and Small Enterprise
 MSME      Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise
 NEMA      National Emergency Management Agency
  NGF      Nigeria Governors Forum
  OHS      Occupational Health and Safety
   PAP     Program Action Plan
   PDI     Project Development Objective Indicator
  PDO      Project Development Objective
 PforR     Program-for-Results
   PIU     Project Implementation Unit
    RA     Result Area
  SCCU     State CARES Coordinating Units
  SCTU     State Cash Transfer Unit
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  NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)



SEA      Sexual Exploitation and Abuse
SEP      Stakeholder Engagement Plan
SH       Sexual Harassment
USD      United States Dollar
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        NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




DATA SHEET (NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program - P174114)
BASIC DATA
Project ID                           Financing Instrument                          IPF Component
P174114                              Program-for-Results Financing                 Yes

Environmental and Social Risk Classification (ESRC) (IPF Component)
 Low

 Approval Date                                              Current Closing Date
 14-Dec-2020                                                30-Jun-2023

Organizations

 Borrower                                                   Responsible Agency
 Federal Republic of Nigeria



Program Development Objective(s)
To expand access to livelihood support and food security services, and grants for poor and vulnerable households and
firms


OPS_TABLE_PDO_CURRENTPDO
Summary Status of Financing (US$, Millions)

                                                                             Net
                Approval                        Effectiveness   Closing
Ln/Cr/TF                       Signing Date                                  Commitment           Disbursed Undisbursed
                Date                            Date            Date

IDA-68030       14-Dec-2020       03-Jun-2021     28-Sep-2021 30-Jun-2023                750.00      195.38        526.68



Policy Waiver(s)
Does the Program require any waivers of Bank policies applicable to Program-for-Results operations?
No




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I. PROGRAM STATUS AND RATIONALE FOR RESTRUCTURING

1.      This paper seeks approval of the Regional Vice President to restructure the Nigeria Coronavirus Disease
        2019 (COVID-19) Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus (CARES) Program (P174114). A Level 2
        restructuring is proposed to: (i) proceed with an extension of the Program closing date by 12-months, to
        address significant delays from the government on various approvals; (ii) to respond to the more recent
        shocks caused by the natural disaster of flooding in Nigeria in the second half of 2022; and (iii) to streamline
        implementation arrangements in response to the crisis. The restructuring includes (i) a reallocation among
        disbursement categories and disbursement linked indicators (DLIs); (ii) a change in disbursement estimates;
        and (iii) an adjustment to the Results Framework. The Program is currently in Moderately Unsatisfactory
        status, but the Program Development Objective (PDO) remains achievable within the proposed 12 months
        extension period. The Recipient’s performance has improved, and significant progress has been made with
        the hiring of the Independent Verification Agent (IVA) in December 2022, which has led to the complete
        verification of the results achieved by the participating Nigerian states as of January 13, 2023. This means
        that activities equivalent of a total of US$110 million were implemented across the States, leading to a
        disbursement ratio of 27 percent as of June 2023. The government is committed to further accelerating
        implementation, and an action plan has been developed to complete the Program on time.

 A. PROGRAM STATUS

2.      The Nigeria CARES Program in the amount of US$750 million equivalent was approved on December 14,
        2020, and became effective on September 28, 2021, with a Closing Date of June 30, 2023. The PDO is “to
        expand access to livelihood support and food security services, and grants for poor and vulnerable
        households and firms.” The Nigeria CARES was designed as an emergency program to support subnational
        level efforts to respond to and recover from the COVID-19 induced socioeconomic crisis. It is a hybrid
        Program-for-Results (PforR) operation with an Investment Project Financing component, and disbursements
        driven by select interventions linked to DLIs in three Results Areas (RAs): (i) RA1: Increased Social Transfers,
        Basic Services, and Livelihood Support to Poor and Vulnerable Households; (ii) RA2: Increasing Food Security
        and Safe Functioning of Food Supply Chains; and (iii) RA3: Facilitating the Recovery and Enhancing
        Capabilities of Micro and Small Enterprises (MSEs). In line with Nigeria’s federal political structure, the
        Program is implemented by the 36 States of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), and is
        coordinated, monitored, and supported at a federal level. The Program results were designed to be verified
        across four rounds of assessment and verification conducted at six monthly intervals.

     3. The Nigeria CARES PforR was designed to be implemented using strong and well-performing state-level
        platforms, with a strong track record of generating positive economic returns for beneficiaries and
        promoting human capital development. These include the Community and Social Development Agencies
        (CSDAs); the Fadama implementation units for agricultural support; and the Government Enterprise and
        Empowerment Program (GEEP). The CSDA platforms supporting RA1 has been established by the Highly
        Satisfactory1 Community and Social Development Project (P090644), reaching over nine million
        beneficiaries since 2009 with community infrastructure. RA1 would also build on a delivery platform for
        youth employment and entrepreneurship (in 17 States) supported by an earlier World Bank-financed



1 Report No. ICRR0022988




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        project.2 The Fadamaunits, Support by National Fadama Development Project (NFDP, P002148) have
        successfully implemented a series of World Bank-financed agricultural projects for nearly three decades,
        with implementation modalities evolved over time to deliver impressive results in all 36 states and FCT and
        reaching 7.1 million beneficiaries. The delivery platforms for RA3 on support to firms are comparatively
        more recent (from 2016) reaching 2.3 million beneficiaries, with 18 States having fully operational
        platforms. These platforms are therefore expected to deliver quickly at scale once the initial startup delays
        are compensated for through an extension.

4.     The Nigeria CARES PforR aims to support the government in crisis response by restoring the livelihoods
       and food security of poor and vulnerable households and promoting recovery of vulnerable firms in the
       country. Key expected results of the Nigeria CARES include a large scale up of existing safety net
       interventions at the state level to cover more than 2.5 million direct beneficiaries; support to 1.3 million
       farmers to increase food production; and support to recovery of 65,000 MSEs. The Program has a strong
       gender focus. The PforR offers the added benefit of consolidating currently fragmented programs at the
       state level into streamlined shock responsive platforms and building capacity of those platforms to ensure
       sustainability beyond the relatively short duration of two years of the Program.3

5.     The design of the Program reflects that Nigeria is a multiethnic and diverse federation of 36 autonomous
       states and the FCT. Such design is providing flexibility to states in choosing from a menu of interventions,
       each of which corresponds to a DLI selection, that have the best potential to achieve the desired impact.
       Given the heterogenous nature of the economic crisis, and the vastly different socioeconomic landscape
       across the states in the country, states have selected between 4 and 11 DLIs that best suit their needs for
       the Program. Ex ante, each of the 36 states would have the possibilityto earn US$20 million over the course
       of the Program, while FCT would have the opportunity to earn US$15 million. Unit price for individual DLIs
       is uniform across all states. Unlike many other PforRs where the cost of results is well known ex-ante, the
       calculated cost of results delivery often varies when states are rewarded for actual results delivered. This
       design, as used in other PforRs in Nigeria, anticipates that actual state performance may vary, leading DLIs
       to be over- and underachieved, requiring Program restructuring during implementation. It was always
       envisaged that the Program would be restructured as State demand for different interventions would
       materialize based on implementation lessons, for example via the envisaged mid-term review (paragraph
       85, Project Appraisal Document).

6.     The Program is underpinned by an Investment Project Financing (IPF) component (US$15 million
       equivalent) that supports the overall coordination of the CARES PforR and is implemented by the Federal
       .CARES Coordination Unit (FCSU) housed in the Federal Ministry of Finance, Budget, and National Planning
       (FMFBNP). The FCSU provides technical, capacity building, Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E), and peer
       learning support to the state delivery agencies and the State CARES Coordination Units (SCCUs). The IPF
       component also supports the financing of an independent verification agent recruited by the federal
       government to verify the achievement of Program results.




2 Youth Employment and Social Support Operation (YESSO, P126964)
3 The Program is also supported by two complementary operations for protecting the poor and vulnerable in the country; the State Fiscal,

Transparency, Accountability, and Sustainability PforR (P162009) supports the states to protect social and pro-poor expenditure, and the
National Social Safety Nets Project Scale up (P176935) i.e., the national cash transfer program and social register.



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7.     The Program experienced start-up delays. After the December 2020 approval, the Program was designed
       to provide initial advances to states to begin delivering interventions in January 2021 (with the possibility of
       claiming prior results achieved after June 16, 2020, with three rounds of results to be verified 6, 12 and 18
       months after effectiveness. However, due to an initial delay of five months in the approval of the external
       borrowing plan by the government, with effectiveness nine months after approval, the first disbursement
       of advances was not made until March 2022. A longer delay in recruitment of an IVA agency by the federal
       government, held up the verification of results for a further 18 months, with the result that the first
       assessment and verification of results was not conducted until December 2022, more than 12 months after
       the first results assessment had been planned. Delays in verification and reimbursement of states for results
       achieved contributed to the slowing of state implementation of the interventions, because states lacked the
       funds to finance the interventions from their own resources. Nigeria’s state governments have faced
       increasing fiscal constraints due to a range of factors including a decline in oil revenues, which represent
       the main source of financing for most state government budgets. The lingering effects of the COVID-19
       pandemic that reduced the functioning of institutions and supply chains also contributed to the observed
       delays. The heavy rains in the months of June to September 2022 hindered the implementation of
       construction-related activities under RA2.

8.     Owing to the above delays, the PDO rating and implementation progress ratings were downgraded in
       May 2022. It would be appropriate to upgrade the implementation progress rating now that
       implementation arrangements are fully functional and results are being delivered, but it is not possible to
       upgrade the PDO rating given that the PDO cannot be achieved by the current closing date of June 30, 2023.
       With the restructuring and proactive actions underway described below, the PDO would be achieved if an
       extension were granted, in line with the action plan proposed by Government to complete a further three
       planned assessments.

9.     The IVA team conducted its first assessment in late December 2022 and early January 2023 and found
       that the Program is picking up speed, captured in the April 2023 Implementation Status and Results
       Report (ISR). There have been results achieved on each of the eleven DLIs in the three RAs, and in all states.
       The validated results were updated in an ISR in April 2023, and show that (i) close to 1.6 million people are
       currently direct beneficiaries of social transfers and basic services; (ii) close to 720,000 farmers and 165 wet
       markets are benefiting from RA 2, and close to 8,400 communities have benefitted from improved
       infrastructure; and (iii) about 20,000 MSEs were supported. Consequently, US$168 million was earned at
       agreed intervention cost per state (overall disbursement is 27 percent as of April 2023). This represents
       progress at the first IVA assessment. The next IVA assessment is scheduled for July 2023, and from
       monitoring of implementation at state level, the assessment is expected to validate ongoing results, with
       projections to lift states’ earnings to close to 50 percent disbursement by end 2023. See Table 1 on current
       status of PDO Indicators (PDIs).

                                  Table 1: Current status of PDO4 level indicators
 PDI                                                       Baseline      Current Value       % met     End Target


4 The PDO is “to expand access to livelihood support and food security services, and grants for poor and

vulnerable households and firms” It is meadured by 3 PDIs: 1. Expanding access to livelihood support and grants
to poor and vulnerable households; 2. Expanding access to food security services for poor and vulnerable
households and; 3. Expanding access to grants for poor and vulnerable firms.


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                                                                          (April 2023)               (current)
 Expanding access to livelihood support and grants to poor and vulnerable households
 PDI1: Beneficiaries of targeted safety nets and with       950,000       1,599,282         63       2,527,385
 access to basic social services (Number)
 Comment: Underpinned by DLIs 1-4, which range in achievement from 40-65 percent. PDI is aggregated from
 Intermediate Results Indicators (IRIs) are progressing well, especially beneficiaries received transfers (92
 percent of target) and community infrastructure services (at 89 percent of target). Female beneficiaries of the
 safety nets and basic services are currently 764,094 as against a target of 1,010,954.
 Expanding access to food security services for poor and vulnerable households
 PDI2: Farmers supported to increase food production 566,046              718,687           56       1,294,405
 (Number)
 Comment: Underpinned by DLIs 5-7, achieved at 30 percent for DLI5. PDI is aggregate, including from IRI on
 farmers utilizing agricultural inputs and services (72 percent). Female farmers supported to increase food
 production are currently 177,654 as against a target of 404,551.
 Expanding access to grants for poor and vulnerable firms
 PDI3:Vulnerable and viable firms supported under           0             20,774            32       64,228
 the Program (Number)
 Comment: Underpinned by DLIs 9-11, for which DLI10 is at 65 percent achievement. PDI is aggregate,
 reflecting different demands from states, with less interest in matching grants for COVID-19 but high demand
 of operational support grant (at 65 percent of target). Female-owned vulnerable and viable firms supported
 by the Program are currently 10,293 as against a target of 9,634.

10.   The progress above is underpinned by strong Program management along all performance dimensions.
      Program delivery mechanisms are now fully operational and working effectively after the initial delays, with
      capacity to accelerate implementation efforts. The management is in satisfactory compliance with the
      established Program Action Plan (PAP), with the majority of actions completed or in good progress.
      Specifically:
           a. Technical and Monitoring. Program technical performance is rated Moderately Satisfactory (MS),
               and M&E is rated Satisfactory. The Federal level coordination, monitoring and technical assistance
               component is making substantial progress, and SCCUs are operational in all 36 states (against end
               target of 25). The PAP execution and reporting is closely monitored by the Federal Team and the
               World Bank Institutional arrangement and sustainability including staff welfare is also given
               adequate attention by the Program management and policy makers at the subnational level. The
               FCSU, FADAMA Support Team, the Bank of Industry and the Nigeria Governors (NGF) provide
               regular technical support and visits to State Delivery Agencies across the three RAs. They supported
               the application of the eligibility and participation requirement, as stated in the Financing
               Agreement, especially as it relates to use of the Operations Manual, Staffing, Staff Welfare and
               Equipment. A formal capacity building program was delivered to strengthen the skills of the M&E
               staff at State Delivery Units, Coordinating Units and Federal CARES support Unit on the data
               collection, indicators specification and reporting system for the CARES Program.
           b. Fiduciary. Program fiduciary systems performance is rated MS. The Program has adopted the fund
               release policy for predictability of resource flows to implementation, and the Protocol for
               reporting, management and investigating of fraud and corruption allegations is operationalized in
               ministries, departments and agencies (MDAs) implementing Nigeria CARES. Submission of states’
               audited financial statements , and audit of list of beneficiaries and payment to the beneficiaries in
               the intervention areas of the CARES Program are in progress. There is no outstanding audit report.

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              Procurement arrangements are conducted in line with each individual State’s public procurement
              system and existing delivery platforms, while the IPF component is governed by the World Bank
              Procurement Regulations. The first IVA Assessment reported substantial performance of the
              Program across the 36 States and FCT, with post procurement review and contract performance
              audit still ongoing.
           c. Environment and Social (E&S). Program E&S systems performance is rated MS. The Program has
              made meaningful progress in E&S risk management under the PforR and the IPF component, and
              most of the PAP E&S action points are completed. The FCSU integrated E&S risk management
              consideration into the IVA protocol which was an innovative approach under a PforR. Similarly, an
              E&S screening checklist was also developed for the SCSU delivery platform where all microprojects
              were screened for E&S risk prior to implementation as required in the PAP. Substantial progress
              was made regarding actions under the IPF component as documented in the ESCP (Environmental
              and Social Commitment Plan). While the Delivery Platforms (DPs) have an existing Grievance
              Redress Mechanism (GRM), the Program through the FCSU developed a revised GRM system with
              Sexual Exploitation and Abuse/Sexual Harassment (SEA/SH) consideration for adoption by the DPs.
              Similarly, the SEA/SH action plan have been updated, and relevant training on the Environment
              and Social Framework, Occupational Health and Safety (OHS), Stakeholder Engagement Plan (SEP),
              Labor Management Procedures (LMP), and GRM were implemented under the Program.

B. Rationale for Restructuring

11.   First, the Program is on track to achieve its PDO, provided additional time is added to compensate for
      time lost at start up, while addressing lessons from the first verification of results. This verification
      demonstrated stronger results than anticipated in the first round (as per Table 1 above) and that the delivery
      mechanisms are fully operational after the initial delays, but in need of more time to deliver the results. In
      line with the demand-driven and decentralized scope of the Program, the original design made assumptions
      on the cost of each intervention based on earlier experience. The assessment and verification exercise has
      provided informative lessons that will be incorporated to accelerate implementation of the Program.
      Among others, the findings revealed varying level of performance among the states and the impact of
      inflation on the cost of activities financed by the Program. A restructuring is therefore needed to extend the
      life of the Program to deliver more rounds of results, and to reflect more realistic intervention costs, which
      will also increase states’ demand to deliver specific and relevant results. In particular, the costing
      (intervention unit price) was found to be overestimated in the case of RA1 on social transfers and livelihood
      support, and for RA3 on support to small enterprises, and underestimated for RA2 on support to food
      security. In turn, this brings changes to the DLI targets and consequently the Results Framework.

12.   Second, the restructuring is needed to adapt the Program to address the more recent shocks caused by
      the natural disaster of flooding in Nigeria in the second half of 2022. Heavy rainfall through the 2022 rainy
      season caused serious flooding in more than 34 of the 36 states of the Federation. As of November 3, 2022,
      the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) reported over 612 deaths and 2,776 injured, 3.2
      million people affected, of which over 1.4 million are displaced. According to NEMA, over 1.3 million people
      need assistance including shelter, clean drinking water, and livelihood support, including food, seeds,
      farming tools and cash assistance. Over 300,000 homes are destroyed or damaged, and 572,000 hectares
      of farmlands are affected. Most farmlands affected by flood are micro, small and medium enterprises
      (MSMEs). Further, the MSME sector has been struggling due to the economic lull in the country and other
      challenges, and this was further exacerbated by the flood. At the onset of the flooding, the economy of


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      Nigeria and businesses lost approximately N1 trillion (about US$2 billion) in two weeks. In response to
      Government request, the World Bank undertook a rapid post-disaster economic damage (“GRADE”)
      assessment, which estimated economic damage at US$6.9 billion (1.6 percent of estimated 2021 Gross
      Domestic Product [GDP]) and suggested targeted and emergency response for recovery of livelihood, food
      security services, and provision of grants for poor and vulnerable households and firms. In November 2022,
      the NGF initiated a process of reconsidering the prioritization and targeting of interventions to facilitate the
      Program broadening its support for those affected by the floods. As presented in Section II: Description of
      proposed changes, there is strong demand by the states for interventions scaling up social transfers for
      crisis; for Labor Intensive Public Works (LIPW) and rehabilitation and flood prevention; broadening eligibility
      of farmers and small firms to benefit. This in turn requires an adjustment to the Results Framework.

13.   Third, the implementation and operational arrangements are fully operational, and the restructuring will
      further accelerate disbursement and results achievement. The initial start-up delays (see paragraph 7) had
      been resolved by December 2022, and implementation at state level is currently ongoing and has
      intensified. The performance of the Borrower, the FCSU, States and MDAs implementing Nigeria CARES has
      steadily improved and is considered satisfactory to deliver the intended results and undertake needed
      efficiency improvements through the restructuring. To further accelerate the crisis response and deliver on
      the results, the restructuring will also streamline disbursement categories and funds flow arrangements
      including the granting of another round of advance funds to the States.

14.   The request for restructuring and extension is based on extensive consultation and ownership by the
      States and FCT. Following the NGF November 2022 meeting, extensive consultations at State and Federal
      levels with the World Bank took place to determine priorities, needed adjustments and actions to accelerate
      implementation. This resulted in a recalibration across the range of intervention options by each state to
      better respond to the impact of the floods. Subsequently, the FMFBNP, through a letter dated April 4, 2023,
      formally requested the World Bank for a restructuring of the Nigeria CARES Program. The Nigeria World
      Bank also participated in the May 2022 Induction workshop for New and Returning Governors, organized
      by the NGF, and undertook extensive consultations on all ongoing World Bank-financed projects with the
      17 incoming Governors. The case of Nigeria CARES was specifically mentioned, and the Governors indicated
      their commitment to continuity. The NGF itself re-committed to continued support and strong advocacy on
      Nigeria CARES Program implementation and achievements of results.

15.   The restructuring is not expected to increase risks to meeting the PDO. As a success factor for PforRs,
      national ownership has been deepening during Program implementation, and the restructuring is expected
      to strengthen this commitment. The focus will be maintained on support to interventions and results that
      have short cycle activities and high disbursement; without introducing new activities or indicators that
      would increase complexity or risk. The activities are not envisaged to lead to new E&S risks beside the risks
      already covered has Environmental and Social System Assessment (ESSA), but the ESSA will be updated to
      mitigate any unintended environmental and social risk as relates to rehabilitation. The fiscal constraints of
      State Governments will be addressed through a second DLI advance payment, and adjustments and
      enhanced monitoring of the funds flow process. Following the recent elections in Nigeria, government
      transitions may affect Program activities, as some of the leadership of the subnational governments cureent
      and the new principals may require lead-time for take-off, but this would not affect the second verification
      of ongoing results in July 2023. This risk has been mitigated by early consultation with the new state
      governors on Nigeria CARES, which yielded a strong endorsement by current leadership of the Program



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            interventions, delivery platforms and results.5 These exhaustive consultations of the proposed changes will
            strengthen Program delivery.

II.         DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED CHANGES

      16.   The government is committed to the PDO which remains achievable with the proposed extension and the
            implementation adjustments in the restructuring. The Closing Date extension is necessary in the status of
            recovery and given the recognition that crisis response requires a longer timeframe than previously
            envisaged, especially in the case of covariate shocks. The extension of the Closing Date would help
            compensate for the time lost in Program start and is indispensable for the Program to respond to the floods.
            Under the action plan agreed with government, the second round of IVA results verification will take place
            shortly (July 2023), with the third assessment in December 2023 and the final assessment in June 2024. An
            action plan as stated in Annex 1 has been agreed with government teams.

      17.   The restructuring will provide the opportunity to address immediate emergency intervention needs and
            to lay the basis for improved resilience to shocks, in line with the current PDO to provide livelihoods
            support, food security services and grants for vulnerable households and firms. The use of the existing
            Nigeria CARES PforR, with available delivery platforms and mechanisms, would allow the Recipient to
            respond to the impact of the recent natural disaster in a timely fashion, while continuing to address the
            economic recovery after COVID-19 and recent economic shocks. This is also consistent with the original
            intent of the Program, which is to provide a broad-based emergency package of support to all states in
            Nigeria, with a flexible ‘menu of options’ of results based on need with the ability to pivot the Program in
            response to shock. The restructuring reflects changes in selection of interventions by the State
            Governments, in allocation of proceeds among interventions, which has implications for the estimated
            outputs and targets.

      18.   The restructuring is expected to adjust the Results Framework to reflect changes based on current needs
            that can be delivered in a short timeframe. The proposed adjustments can be fully accommodated within
            the current menu of interventions and corresponding DLIs, and will not entail a reduction in scope, but
            represent a shift among priorities and interventions. In line with the Program’s original objective, the
            proposed restructuring will further expand social transfers to poor and vulnerable households; increase the
            number of poor communities supported; and increase target of firms receiving operational support grants,
            while adjusting downwards some other intermediate indicator targets (e.g., wet markets; IT support for
            firms; firms receiving matching grants for loans). With more accurate and reduced intervention costing, the
            Program will be able to expand coverage of vulnerable individuals, households, and firms, that have been
            hard hit by the recent natural disaster. Nigeria CARES restructuring is expected to expand the coverage of
            the beneficiaries to an estimated close to three million social safety nets and livelihoods beneficiaries, and
            100,000 small firms and microenterprises; and reach 1.2 million farmers. When indirect beneficiaries are
            counted, the Nigeria CARES will reach more than 10 million individuals by the final round of results. The
            Results Framework is also simplified by reformulation of the PDIs to reflect the wording of the PDO and
            reducing duplication of the Intermediate Indicators with DLIs. Overall, the restructuring will strengthen the


      5 https://www.ngf.org.ng/index.php/99-news-from-the-states/2692-over-eight-thousand-farmers-to-benefit-from-ng-
      cares-loan-in-kebbi


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       shock responsive capacity of the subnational institutions in the country and increase efficiency in the
       delivery of results. See Table 2 on information of the rationale for the PDO indicator changes.




                                            Table 2. PDO Indicators and targets
 PDI                               Original       Revised      Comments
                                   End Target     End Target
                                   (2023)         (2024)
 PDI1. Beneficiaries of targeted   2,527,385      2,909,722    With the need for extensive recovery from floods, the
 safety nets (grants) and with                                 intervention costing has been reduced. This will allow the
 access to livelihood support                                  Program to reach more people, at lower cost per person.
 (basic social                                                 Delivery platforms are well established with good
 services)(Number)                                             efficiency in delivery that decreased unit cost.
 PDI1 sub. Female                  1,010,954      1,200,954    The target also reflects increased need for community
 beneficiaries of the safety                                   infrastructure rehabilitation which benefit larger
 nets and basic services                                       communities. Includes recipients of social transfers;
 (Number)                                                      beneficiaries of livelihood support; beneficiaries with
                                                               improved social services infrastructure.
 PDI2. Farmers supported to        1,294,405      1,173,416    An increase of delivery costs (mainly driven by inflation in
 increase food production                                      the intervention costs such as seeds, agricultural inputs)
 (Number)                                                      reduced the number of farmers the Program can reach.
 PDI2 sub. Female farmers          404,551        404,551      However, this will be partially offset by broader eligibility
 supported to increase food                                    criteria to better target more flood-affected farms.
 production (Number)                                           Includes both farmers using agricultural inputs, and
                                                               farmers accessing improved agriculture infrastructure.
 PDI3. Vulnerable and viable       64,228         100,000      The delivery platforms under RA3 were less developed
 firms supported under the                                     relative to the other RAs, and the original intervention
 Program (Number)                                              costing emerged as a disincentive to results delivery. With
                                                               unit costs now reduced, the target for firms supported has
 PDI 3 sub. Female-owned           9.634          25,000       increased; further underpinned by broader eligibility
 vulnerable and viable firms                                   criteria to better target more flood-affected firms (now
 supported by the Program                                      including nano-firms; age of eligible firms expanded;
 (Number)                                                      broader registration channels etc.). Restructuring shifts
                                                               focus from firms receiving matching grants for new loans
                                                               to firms receiving operational support grants.

19.    The restructuring will also streamline operations and implementation in response to the flooding.
       Revising and simplifying procedures and processes will also facilitate implementation of the response to the
       flooding. The Government and the World Bank have agreed on measures that would accelerate progress
       and disbursement. The changes, with revised and simplified interventions, will accelerate implementation
       and ensure the achievement of the PDO. This includes the following:
       a.    Sharpen targeting for interventions. To reflect States’ current priorities as part of the response to the
             flood crisis and other shocks, the restructuring will revise eligibility criteria, scope, and selection of
             interventions; and reallocate proceeds accordingly. To allow for increase in coverage and number of
             targeted beneficiaries and reflect changes in market prices, intervention costs and corresponding DLIs
             will be adjusted.


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      b.     Smooth funds flow and speed up disbursement. To allow for more flexibility and dynamism in
             emergency funding and results achievements by states, the restructuring will revise expenditure
             categories into one category6, and revise the Funds Flow Policy and Procedure Document to ensure
             adequate flow of funds. A second DLI advance payment will ease fiscal constraint of State
             Governments (within the ceiling in the Financing Agreement), based on performance of the States
             and the analysis of repayment risk.
      c.     Strengthen fiduciary arrangements and accountability. The above changes will be accompanied by
             enhanced monitoring of the consolidated revenue fund (CRF) subaccount in each state for early
             detection of issues; of funds disbursement between the CRF Accounts and the delivery platform
             accounts, and enhanced monitoring and implementation support, including deployment of Third-
             Party Monitors to states in late July 2023.

20.   Extension of Closing Date. Finally, the closing date of the credit will be extended by 12 months, to June 30,
      2024. The schedule of implementation and disbursement is updated accordingly. The proposed closing date
      extension meets the requirements of the World Bank PforR Policy and Directive, specifically: (a) the program
      development objective remains achievable; (b) the performance of the Borrower remains satisfactory; (c)
      the Borrower and the World Bank agree on actions that will be undertaken by the Borrower to complete
      the Program (Annex 1); (d) the credit is not subject to suspension of disbursement; and (e) there are no
      outstanding audits or audit reports that are not satisfactory to the World Bank.




6 Consistent with a portfolio-wide approach for Nigeria PforRs to accommodate the federal nature of Programs.




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                                                   Annex 1: Action Plan

The following actions will be taken to improve the Program performance and implementation:

        Action                                                                                           Deadlines
   1.   Restructuring of Nigeria CARES and countersignature                                               June 2023
   2.   Adjust eligibility criteria, scope, and selection of interventions; and intervention costs    Immediately upon
        as agreed in restructuring (led by FCSU)                                                         approval of
                                                                                                     Restructuring paper
   3.  Planning meeting for 2nd IVA assessment 1 in Abuja and IVA team training of Staff                  June 2023
   4.  Agreement with States and FCSU on criteria and need for second disbursement
                                                                                                          July 2023
       advance to ease fiscal constraints
   5. Second IVA assessment undertaken, followed by disbursement                                      July/August 2023
   6. Disbursement of second advance to States                                                          end July 2023
   7. Fiduciary. Revision of the Funds Flow Policy and Procedure Document to ensure
                                                                                                        August 2023
       adequate flow of funds in Agreement with World Bank (by FCSU)
   8. Implementation support mission and Mid-term review                                              September 2023
   9. Monitoring of the CRF subaccount in each state and of funds disbursement between
       the CRF Accounts and the delivery platform accounts FCSU and World Bank Task                      Continuous
       team
   10. Deploy Third party monitoring of results and implementation performance at State
                                                                                                        August 2023
       level by FCSU
   11. E&S. Conduct half yearly reviews and annual environmental and social audit (PAP)                 August 2023
   12. Continuous advocacy and dialogue with Governors of State to ensure adequate and
                                                                                                          Ongoing
       timely funding of the activities of delivery platforms, including via the NGF
   13. Organizing regular biweekly progress meetings between technical team and the
                                                                                                          Ongoing
       World Bank
   14. Organizing regular monthly progress meetings between the FSCU, technical team,
                                                                                                          Ongoing
       Governor’s offices, and the World Bank
   15. Third IVA assessment undertaken, followed by disbursement                                      December 2023
   16. Fiduciary. Implement recommendations from the last FM review, which took place in
                                                                                                         Immediate
       April 2023
   17. Fiduciary. States submit the audited financial statements to the Federal Cares                 Yearly, next due
       Support Unit (PAP)                                                                              October 2023
   18. Fiduciary. States submit the audited procurement and contract performance report               Yearly, next due
       to the Federal Cares Support Unit (PAP)                                                         October 2023
   19. E&S. Document setting out referral pathway and available service provider by the
       relevant MDA for Gender-based Violence (GBV) incidents (PAP)                                   September 2023

   20. Implementation support mission and Joint review of Performance (FCSU, State and
                                                                                                        January 2024
       the World Bank)
   21. Last and fourth IVA assessment undertaken, followed by disbursement                               June 2024




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III. SUMMARY OF CHANGES


                                                                                                Changed                  Not Changed

   Change in Results Framework                                                                     ✔

   Change in Loan Closing Date(s)                                                                  ✔

   Reallocation between and/or Change in DLI                                                       ✔

   Change in Disbursement Estimates                                                                ✔

   Change in Implementation Schedule                                                               ✔

   Change in Implementing Agency                                                                                             ✔

   Change in Program's Development Objectives                                                                                ✔

   Change in Program Scope                                                                                                   ✔

   Change in Cancellations Proposed                                                                                          ✔

   Change in IPF Component                                                                                                   ✔

   Change in Disbursements Arrangements                                                                                      ✔
   Change in Systematic Operations Risk-Rating Tool
                                                                                                                             ✔
   (SORT)
   Change in Legal Covenants                                                                                                 ✔

   Change in Institutional Arrangements                                                                                      ✔

   Other Change(s)                                                                                                           ✔


IV. DETAILED CHANGE(S)


  OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_COMPONENTS_TABLE



OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_LOANCLOSING_TABLE




LOAN CLOSING DATE(S)

                                                                   Original          Revised              Proposed        Proposed Deadline
Ln/Cr/TF                                         Status            Closing Date      Closing(s) Date      Closing Date    for Withdrawal
                                                                                                                          Applications
IDA-68030                                        Effective             30-Jun-2023                        30-Jun-2024            30-Dec-2024



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    OPS_DETAILEDCHANGES_DISBURSEMENT_TABLE




    DISBURSEMENT ESTIMATES



          Year                                                                                      Current                   Proposed
          2021                                                                                         0.00                         0.00

          2022                                                                                         0.00              105,000,000.00

          2023                                                                                         0.00              190,000,000.00

          2024                                                                                         0.00              350,000,000.00

          2025                                                                                         0.00              105,000,000.00

          2026                                                                                         0.00                         0.00

.




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                                                                                    ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK



.

.
                                                                                         Results framework



    Program Development Objectives(s)
    To expand access to livelihood support and food security services, and grants for poor and vulnerable households and firms


    Program Development Objective Indicators by Objectives/ Outcomes
    RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO




                                 Indicator Name                     DLI Baseline                                Intermediate Targets    End Target

                                                                                                        1
    Expanding access to livelihood support and grants to poor and vulnerable households (Action: This Objective has been Revised)
    Beneficiaries of targeted safety nets and with
                                                                       950,000.00                      2,100,000.00                    2,909,722.00
    access to basic social services (Number)
                     Female beneficiaries of targeted safety nets
                                                                       380,000.00                      900,000.00                      1,200,954.00
                     and with access to basic services (Number)
    Expanding access to food security services for poor and vulnerable households
    Farmers supported to increase food production
                                                                       566,046.00                      900,000.00                      1,173,416.00
    (disaggregated by gender) (Number)

    Action: This indicator has been Revised

                     Female farmers supported to increase food
                                                                       113,209.00                      250,000.00                      404,551.00
                     production (Number)



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RESULT_FRAME_TBL_PDO




                              Indicator Name                 DLI Baseline                                      Intermediate Targets    End Target

                                                                                                        1
                  Action: This indicator has been Revised
Expanding access to grants for poor and vulnerable firms
Vulnerable and viable firms supported under the
                                                                0.00                                   80,000.00                      100,000.00
Program (Number)

Action: This indicator has been Revised

                  Female-owned vulnerable and viable firms
                                                                0.00                                   12,000.00                      25,000.00
                  supported by the Program (Number)

                  Action: This indicator has been Revised

 PDO Table SPACE

Intermediate Results Indicators by Result Areas
RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                              Indicator Name                 DLI Baseline                                      Intermediate Targets    End Target

                                                                                                        1
Increased social transfers, basic services, and livelihood support to poor and vulnerable households
Targeted beneficiaries receiving transfers and
stipends disaggregated by gender and                            450,000.00                             500,000.00                     705,267.00
vulnerability profile (Number)

Action: This indicator has been Revised

                  Targeted female beneficiaries receiving
                                                                180,000.00                             220,000.00                     280,000.00
                  transfers and stipends (Number)




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RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                               Indicator Name                         DLI Baseline                                                 Intermediate Targets              End Target

                                                                                                                         1
                  Action: This indicator has been Revised
Targeted beneficiaries with new income earning
                                                                           2,130.00                                     45,000.00                                  64,320.00
opportunities or household enterprises (Number)

Action: This indicator has been Revised

                  Female targeted beneficiaries with new income
                  earning opportunities or household enterprises           852.00                                       10,000.00                                  25,000.00
                  (Number)

                  Action: This indicator has been Revised
Poor communities that recived basic service
grants and now with improved functional social                             8,000.00                                     9,000.00                                   10,000.00
services infrastructure (Number)

                                                                     Rationale:
                                                                     The target are poor communities that lack basic social service such as Education, Health, Water and Nutrition service. They receive
Action: This indicator has been Revised
                                                                     community grants to provide such services using a Community Demend Driven approach.


Increasing food security and safe functioning of food supply chain for poor households (Action: This Result Area has been Revised)
Farmers utilizing agricultural inputs and services
                                                                           440,375.00                                   590,000.00                                 729,783.00
(Number)
                  Female farmers utilizing agricultural inputs and
                                                                           88,075.00                                    140,000.00                                 205,221.00
                  services (Number)
                  Farmers utilizing climate smart inputs and
                                                                           44,037.00                                    120,000.00                                 200,000.00
                  services (Number)
Farmers accessing improved agricultural
                                                                           81,968.00                                    143,000.00                                 217,359.00
infrastructure (Number)



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RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                               Indicator Name                    DLI Baseline                           Intermediate Targets    End Target

                                                                                               1
                  Female Farmers accessing improved
                                                                    16,393.00                48,000.00                         87,350.00
                  agricultural infrastructure (Number)
                  Farmers accessing climate-smart improved
                                                                    8,196.00                                                   90,000.00
                  agricultural infrastructure (Number)

Farmers utilizing agricultural assets (Number)                      43,703.00                                                  301,804.00
                  Female farmers utilizing agricultural assets
                                                                    8,740.00                                                   111,980.00
                  (Number)
Wet markets with upgraded water and sanitation
                                                                    0.00                     650.00                            1,462.00
services (Number)
Sellers benefitting from upgraded wet markets
                                                                    0.00                     1,000,000.00                      1,400,000.00
(Number)
                  Female sellers benefitting from upgraded wet
                                                                    0.00                     600,000.00                        850,000.00
                  markets (Number)
Facilitating recovery and enhancing capabilities of micro and small enterprises
Firms receiving matching grants to support new
loans originated after Covid-19 (disaggregated by                   0.00                     10,000.00                         20,868.00
gender) (Number)

Action: This indicator has been Revised

                  Female-owned firms receiving matching grants
                                                                    0.00                     2,000.00                          4,269.00
                  to support post-COVID-19 loans (Number)

                  Action: This indicator has been Revised
Firms receiving operational support grants
(disaggregated by gender and firms directing                        0.00                     75,000.00                         111,000.00
grants to mini solar panels) (Number)



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RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                              Indicator Name                     DLI Baseline                           Intermediate Targets    End Target

                                                                                               1
Action: This indicator has been Revised

                  Female owned firms receiving operational
                                                                    0.00                     9,000.00                          16,000.00
                  support grant. (Number)

                  Action: This indicator has been Revised
                  Firms working on mini solar panels receiving
                  receiving grants for operational support          0.00                     1,000.00                          2,000.00
                  (Number)

                  Action: This indicator has been Revised
Firms receiving grants to support IT-enhancement.
                                                                    0.00                                                       9,196.00
(disaggregated by gender) (Number)
Action: This indicator has been Marked for
Deletion
                  Female owned firms receiving grants to
                                                                    0.00                                                       1,379.00
                  support IT enhancement (Number)

                  Action: This indicator has been Marked for
                  Deletion
Strengthened institutional support for coordinating and delivery
States CARES coordination office established and
                                                                    0.00                     20.00                             30.00
functional (Number)

Action: This indicator has been Revised

Periodic verification of DLRs and DLIs and
authorized disbursement conducted by Federal                        0.00                     80.00                             144.00
Support Unit (Number)

Action: This indicator has been Revised


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   RESULT_FRAME_TBL_IO




                         Indicator Name                 DLI Baseline                                   Intermediate Targets        End Target

                                                                                               1
Staff participate in peer learning, experience
sharing sessions and capacity building training.           150.00                             400.00                              600.00
(Number)

Action: This indicator has been Revised

  IO Table SPACE


                                                                       Disbursement Linked Indicators Matrix
DLI IN01288658 ACTION




DLI 1                                     Number of beneficiaries receiving State Social Transfers

Type of DLI                               Scalability                   Unit of Measure       Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                    Yes                           Number                                  56,860,476.00 0.00
Period                                    Value                                               Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula
Baseline                                  0.00

End-target                                55,439.00                                                              56,860,476.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289315 ACTION




DLI 1                                     Number of beneficiaries receiving State Social Transfers

Type of DLI                               Scalability                   Unit of Measure       Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                    Yes                           Number                                  71,230,000.00 0.00
Period                                    Value                                               Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula

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Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                              372.00 multiplied by the number of SST
End-target                               105,439.00                                                             71,230,000.00 beneficaries during the Assessment
                                                                                                                              Period.
DLI IN01288660 ACTION




DLI 2                                    Number of beneficiaries engaged and deployed into LIPW activities in social services and receiving stipends

Type of DLI                              Scalability                   Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)        As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                           Number                                  53,907,110.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                              Allocated Amount (USD)              Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               42,048.00                                                              53,907,110.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289316 ACTION




DLI 2                                    Number of beneficiaries engaged and deployed into LIPW activities in social services and receiving stipends

Type of DLI                              Scalability                   Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)        As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                           Number                                  68,872,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                              Allocated Amount (USD)              Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                              590.80 multiplied by the number of
End-target                               95,239.00                                                              68,872,000.00 LIPW beneficaries during the
                                                                                                                              Assessment Period.




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DLI IN01288664 ACTION




DLI 3                                    Number of beneficiaries supported with Livelihood Grants

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)     As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                47,987,225.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)           Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               46,788.00                                                          47,987,225.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289292 ACTION




DLI 3                                    Number of beneficiaries supported with Livelihood Grants

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)     As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                54,232,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)           Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                          765.86 multiplied by the total value of
                                                                                                                          grants transferred to number of
End-target                               60,340.00                                                          54,232,000.00
                                                                                                                          Livelihood Grant beneficiaries during
                                                                                                                          the Assessment Period.




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DLI IN01288665 ACTION




DLI 4                                    Number of direct beneficiaries of completed and functional Community and Basic Service Infrastructure microprojects

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                110,239,290.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               1,433,111.00                                                        110,239,290.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289317 ACTION




DLI 4                                    Number of direct beneficiaries of completed and functional Community and Basic Service Infrastructure microprojects

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                139,918,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                            50.33 multiplied by the number of
                                                                                                                            Community and Basic Service
End-target                               2,190,071.00                                                        139,918,000.00
                                                                                                                            Infrastructure beneficaries during the
                                                                                                                            Assessment Period




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DLI IN01288667 ACTION




DLI 5                                    Number of farmers utilizing agricultural inputs and services from the Program

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure       Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                 105,138,381.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                              Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               292,865.00                                                           105,138,381.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289326 ACTION




DLI 5                                    Number of farmers utilizing agricultural inputs and services from the Program

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure       Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                 117,002,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                              Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                             433.26 multiplied by the number of
End-target                               260,814.00                                                           117,002,000.00 beneficaries during the Assessment
                                                                                                                             Period.
DLI IN01288670 ACTION




DLI 6                                    Number of farmers accessing improved agricultural infrastructure

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure       Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                  77,343,510.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                              Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula

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Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               177,393.00                                                            77,343,510.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289267 ACTION




DLI 6                                    Number of farmers accessing improved agricultural infrastructure

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)        As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                  62,532,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)              Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                             525.16 multiplied by the number of
End-target                               135,391.00                                                            62,532,000.00 beneficaries during the Assessment
                                                                                                                             Period.
DLI IN01288672 ACTION




DLI 7                                    Number of farmers utilizing agricultural assets (production and small-scale primary processing) provided by the Program

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)        As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                  79,236,893.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)              Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               258,101.00                                                            79,236,893.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.



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DLI IN01289327 ACTION




DLI 7                                    Number of farmers utilizing agricultural assets (production and small-scale primary processing) provided by the Program

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)        As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                  71,692,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)              Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                             420.13 multiplied by the number of
End-target                               169,138.00                                                            71,692,000.00 beneficaries during the Assessment
                                                                                                                             Period.
DLI IN01288673 ACTION




DLI 8                                    Number of existing wet markets with upgraded water and sanitation service

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)        As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                  40,712,690.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)              Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               1,588.00                                                              40,712,690.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289268 ACTION




DLI 8                                    Number of existing wet markets with upgraded water and sanitation service

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)        As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                  38,032,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)              Formula

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Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                           26,258.20 multiplied by the number of
End-target                               1,462.00                                                            38,032,000.00 wet markets upgraded during the
                                                                                                                           Assessment Period.
DLI IN01288675 ACTION




DLI 9                                    Number of firms receiving MSE Matching Grants to support new loans originated after June 16, 2020

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure     Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                55,331,595.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                            Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               28,463.00                                                           55,331,595.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01304580 ACTION




DLI 9                                    Number of firms receiving MSE Matching Grants to support new loans originated after June 16, 2020

Type of DLI                              Scalability                  Unit of Measure     Total Allocated Amount (USD)       As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                          Number                                10,613,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                            Allocated Amount (USD)             Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                           547.05 multiplied by the value of
                                                                                                                           transfers to number of firms having
End-target                               20,868.00                                                           10,613,000.00
                                                                                                                           recived matching grants during the
                                                                                                                           Assessment Period.



                                                                                                                                                         Page 26 of 38
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                        NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)



DLI IN01288677 ACTION




DLI 10                                   Number of firms receiving Operational Support Grants

Type of DLI                              Scalability                 Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)     As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                         Number                                73,970,592.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                            Allocated Amount (USD)           Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               26,570.00                                                         73,970,592.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289352 ACTION




DLI 10                                   Number of firms receiving Operational Support Grants

Type of DLI                              Scalability                 Unit of Measure      Total Allocated Amount (USD)     As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                         Number                                74,722,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                            Allocated Amount (USD)           Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                         547.05 multiplied by the value of
                                                                                                                         transfers to number of firms having
End-target                               80,000.00                                                         74,722,000.00
                                                                                                                         received support grants during the
                                                                                                                         Assessment Period.




                                                                                                                                                       Page 27 of 38
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                        NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)



DLI IN01288678 ACTION




DLI 11                                   Number of firms receiving IT Enhancement Grants

Type of DLI                              Scalability                 Unit of Measure       Total Allocated Amount (USD)     As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                         Number                                 34,272,191.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)           Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

End-target                               9,196.00                                                           34,272,191.00

Action: This DLI has been Revised. See below.
DLI IN01289323 ACTION




DLI 11                                   Number of firms receiving IT Enhancement Grants

Type of DLI                              Scalability                 Unit of Measure       Total Allocated Amount (USD)     As % of Total Financing Amount

Output                                   Yes                         Number                                 26,155,000.00 0.00
Period                                   Value                                             Allocated Amount (USD)           Formula
Baseline                                 0.00

                                                                                                                          547.05 multiplied by the value of
                                                                                                                          transfers to number of firms having
End-target                               26,285.00                                                          26,155,000.00
                                                                                                                          received grants to support IT
                                                                                                                          enhancement during the Assessmen




                                                                                                                                                        Page 28 of 38
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                      NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




                                                   ANNEX 2: PROGRAM ACTION PLAN


..
     PAP_CHANGE_TBL




      Action                                                                                              Completion
      Description             Source              DLI#   Responsibility             Timing                Measurement            Action

      Establishment          Other                       State Governors    Other        Prior to         Covenant and           Revised
      and resourcing of                                  and Minister of                 commencemen      eligibility criteria
      State CARES                                        the FCT                         t of Program
      Coordinating Unit                                                                  implementatio
      in the Ministry of                                                                 n in the
      Budget and                                                                         relevant State
      Planning for
      oversight and
      coordination of
      the multiple
      delivery platforms

      Proposed

      Establishment          Other                       State Governors    Other        Prior to         Covenant and
      and resourcing of                                  and Minister of                 commencemen      eligibility criteria
      State CARES                                        the FCT                         t of Program
      Coordinating Unit                                                                  implementatio
      in the Ministry of                                                                 n in the
      Budget and                                                                         relevant State
      Planning for
      oversight and
      coordination of
      the multiple
      delivery platforms

      A formal capacity      Technical                   Federal CARES      Other        Prior to         Training Module        Revised
      building program                                   Support Unit                    Program          and reported in
      to strengthen the                                  and World Ban                   implementatio    M&E framework
      skills of the M&E                                                                  n at Federal     and
      staff at State                                                                     and State        Implementation
      Delivery Units,                                                                    leveland every   Support
      Coordinating                                                                       6 months.        Supervision
      Units and Federal                                                                                   Report of
      CARES support                                                                                       World Bank Task
      Unit on the data                                                                                    team
      collection,
      indicators
      specification and
      reporting system
      for the CARES

      Proposed

      A formal capacity      Technical                   Federal CARES      Other        Prior to         Training Module
      building program                                   Support Unit and                Program          and reported in
      to strengthen the                                  World Ban                       implementatio    M&E framework


                                                                                                                                 Page 29 of 38
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           NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




skills of the M&E                                                          n at Federal     and
staff at State                                                             and State        Implementation
Delivery Units,                                                            leveland every   Support
Coordinating                                                               6 months.        Supervision
Units and Federal                                                                           Report of
CARES support                                                                               World Bank Task
Unit on the data                                                                            team
collection,
indicators
specification and
reporting system
for the CARES

States submit       Fiduciary Systems         State            Recurrent   Yearly           States submit the   Revised
audited financial                             Accountant                                    audited financial
statements with                               Generals                                      statements to the
the necessary                                                                               Federal Cares
information                                                                                 Support Unit.
required for the
CARES Program
audit

Proposed

States submit       Fiduciary Systems         State            Recurren    Yearly           States submit the
audited financial                             Accountant       t                            audited financial
statements with                               Generals                                      statements to the
the necessary                                                                               Federal Cares
information                                                                                 Support Unit.
required for the
CARES Program
audit

Audit of list of    Fiduciary Systems         States Auditor   Recurrent   Yearly           States Auditor      Revised
beneficiaries and                             General                                       General submit
payment to the                                                                              their report to
beneficiaries in                                                                            the States CARES
the intervention                                                                            Coordination Unit
areas of the                                                                                and the Federal
CARES Program                                                                               CARES Support
conducted by the                                                                            Unit
States Auditors
General audit at
the end of every
calendar quarter

Proposed

Audit of list of    Fiduciary Systems         States Auditor   Recurren    Yearly           States Auditor
beneficiaries and                             General          t                            General submit
payment to the                                                                              their report to
beneficiaries in                                                                            the States CARES
the intervention                                                                            Coordination Unit
areas of the                                                                                and the Federal
CARES Program                                                                               CARES Support
conducted by the                                                                            Unit


                                                                                                                Page 30 of 38
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           NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




States Auditors
General audit at
the end of every
calendar quarter

Undertake            Fiduciary Systems          State            Recurrent   Yearly          States submit the   No Change
procurement and                                 Procurement                                  audited
contract                                        Agencies                                     procurement and
performance                                                                                  contract
audit of CARES                                                                               performance
Implementing                                                                                 report to the
Agencies                                                                                     Federal Cares
                                                                                             Support Unit

States               Fiduciary Systems          State            Recurrent   Yearly          States              No Change
Accountants                                     Accountant                                   Accountants
General prepare                                 General                                      General submit
calendar                                                                                     their report to
semester                                                                                     the States CARES
unaudited interim                                                                            Coordination Unit
financial reports                                                                            and the Federal
                                                                                             CARES Support
                                                                                             Unit

Conduct              Fiduciary Systems          Federal CARES    Other       Environmental   Submit Quarterly    Revised
environmental                                   Support Unit;                screening       to the Bank,
and social                                      State CARES                  before          completed report
screening of                                                                 commencemen     with
program activities                                                           t of relevant   recommendation
and monitoring of                                                            Program         s about E&S
progress on                                                                  activities      issues, including
environmental                                                                                the progress of
and social                                                                                   the
compliance.                                                                                  implementation
                                                                                             of actions as
                                                                                             indicated.

Proposed

Conduct              Environmental and          Federal CARES    Other       Environmental   Submit Quarterly
environmental        Social Systems             Support Unit;                screening       to the Bank,
and social                                      State CARES                  before          completed report
screening of                                                                 commencemen     with
program activities                                                           t of relevant   recommendation
and monitoring of                                                            Program         s about E&S
progress on                                                                  activities      issues, including
environmental                                                                                the progress of
and social                                                                                   the
compliance.                                                                                  implementation
                                                                                             of actions as
                                                                                             indicated.

Strengthen           Environmental and Social   State CARES      Other       Prior to        Revised GRM         Revised
(formalize and       Systems                    Coordinating                 program         with clear
document)                                       Units and PIUs               implementatio   reporting
existing GRM in                                                              n in the        channel.


                                                                                                                 Page 31 of 38
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           NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




CSDP, SCTU,                                                                relevant State.
FADAMA State
Job Creation
Unit/ MSE
Support Units and
GEEP to make it
more robust and
build trust

Proposed

Strengthen            Environmental and          State CARES       Other   Prior to          Revised GRM
(formalize and        Social Systems             Coordinating              program           with clear
document)                                        Units and PIUs            implementatio     reporting
existing GRM in                                                            n in the          channel.
CSDP, SCTU,                                                                relevant State.
FADAMA State
Job Creation
Unit/ MSE
Support Units and
GEEP to make it
more robust and
build trust

Where relevant        Environmental and Social   SCCU, CSDA,       Other   Prior to          List and contacts   Revised
program / sub-        Systems                    Min of Local              implementatio     of committee
program activities                               Govt Affairs              n of sub          members and
will happen,                                                               Program           Memorandum of
states to set up                                                           activities        inauguration,
community level                                                                              minutes of
(through relevant                                                                            committee
traditional rulers/                                                                          meetings.
institution)
conflict resolution
committee to
address conflict
related to
program
activities.

Proposed

Where relevant        Environmental and          SCCU, CSDA, Min   Other   Prior to          List and contacts
program / sub-        Social Systems             of Local Govt             implementatio     of committee
program activities                               Affairs                   n of sub          members and
will happen,                                                               Program           Memorandum of
states to set up                                                           activities        inauguration,
community level                                                                              minutes of
(through relevant                                                                            committee
traditional rulers/                                                                          meetings.
institution)
conflict resolution
committee to
address conflict
related to
program

                                                                                                                 Page 32 of 38
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              NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




activities.

All CSDAs to          Environmental and Social   CSDAs and         Other   Prior to            Developed and          Revised
develop, adopt        Systems                    relevant State            implementatio       submit voluntary
and implement a                                  Ministries                n of sub            Land donation
Voluntary Land                                                             Program             framework/proto
Donation(VLD)                                                              activities in the   col with screening
framework/proto                                                            relevant State.     checklist
col in line with                                                                               satisfactory to the
World Bank                                                                                     Bank.
Guideline to
screen all land
selected for micro
projects (All
donated land
must be free of
economic, social
and physical
encumbrances

Proposed

All CSDAs to          Environmental and          CSDAs and         Other   Prior to            Developed and
develop, adopt        Social Systems             relevant State            implementatio       submit voluntary
and implement a                                  Ministries                n of sub            Land donation
Voluntary Land                                                             Program             framework/proto
Donation(VLD)                                                              activities in the   col with screening
framework/proto                                                            relevant State.     checklist
col in line with                                                                               satisfactory to the
World Bank                                                                                     Bank.
Guideline to
screen all land
selected for micro
projects (All
donated land
must be free of
economic, social
and physical
encumbrances

Ensure                Environmental and Social   FCSU, SCCUs and   Other   Prior to            Inclusion of the       Revised
Engagement of         Systems                    PIUs                      Effectiveness       listed specialist in
Environmental/O                                                            at Federal level    the team and
HS specialist,                                                             and prior to        maintained
social specialist,                                                         commencemen         throughout the
officer, GBV/                                                              t of Program        Program
Gender, GRM                                                                implementatio       implementation.
officer, in the PIU                                                        n at State level.
at the federal and
state level and to
be maintained
throughout the
life of the
program
implementation.



                                                                                                                      Page 33 of 38
           The World Bank
           NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




Proposed

Ensure                Environmental and          FCSU, SCCUs and    Other   Prior to            Inclusion of the
Engagement of         Social Systems             PIUs                       Effectiveness at    listed specialist in
Environmental/O                                                             Federal level       the team and
HS specialist,                                                              and prior to        maintained
social specialist,                                                          commencemen         throughout the
officer, GBV/                                                               t of Program        Program
Gender, GRM                                                                 implementatio       implementation.
officer, in the PIU                                                         n at State level.
at the federal and
state level and to
be maintained
throughout the
life of the
program
implementation.

Community             Environmental and Social   CSDAs or PIU for   Other   During              Approved               Revised
management            Systems                    DLI1,4                     preparation of      Community
committees                                                                  the Community       Development
including                                                                   or Group            Plan or Group
representatives                                                             Development         Development
from different                                                              Plan under DLI      Plan with list of
categories of                                                               1.4. (Result        committee
persons in the                                                              Area 1)             members,
community                                                                                       Minutes
including                                                                                       community
community                                                                                       meetings on
leaders, youths,                                                                                selection and
women groups                                                                                    design and
and PWD’s should                                                                                implementation
be set to manage                                                                                of micro projects.
the
implementation
of community
micro projects.

Proposed

Community             Environmental and          CSDAs or PIU for   Other   During              Approved
management            Social Systems             DLI1,4                     preparation of      Community
committees                                                                  the Community       Development
including                                                                   or Group            Plan or Group
representatives                                                             Development         Development
from different                                                              Plan under DLI      Plan with list of
categories of                                                               1.4. (Result        committee
persons in the                                                              Area 1)             members,
community                                                                                       Minutes
including                                                                                       community
community                                                                                       meetings on
leaders, youths,                                                                                selection and
women groups                                                                                    design and
and PWD’s should                                                                                implementation
be set to manage                                                                                of micro projects.


                                                                                                                       Page 34 of 38
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           NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




the
implementation
of community
micro projects.

Community            Environmental and Social   State CSDA or     Other   During            Approved             Revised
management           Systems                    PIU for DLI1.4            preparation of    Community
committees                                                                the Community     Development
including                                                                 or Group          Plan or Group
representatives                                                           Development       Development
from different                                                            Plan under DLI    Plan with list of
categories of                                                             1.4. (Result      committee
persons in the                                                            Area 1)           members,
community                                                                                   Minutes
including                                                                                   community
community                                                                                   meetings on
leaders, youths,                                                                            selection and
women groups                                                                                design and
and PWD’s should                                                                            implementation
be set to manage                                                                            of micro projects.
the
implementation
of community
micro projects.

Proposed

Community            Environmental and          State CSDA or     Other   During            Approved
management           Social Systems             PIU for DLI1.4            preparation of    Community
committees                                                                the Community     Development
including                                                                 or Group          Plan or Group
representatives                                                           Development       Development
from different                                                            Plan under DLI    Plan with list of
categories of                                                             1.4. (Result      committee
persons in the                                                            Area 1)           members,
community                                                                                   Minutes
including                                                                                   community
community                                                                                   meetings on
leaders, youths,                                                                            selection and
women groups                                                                                design and
and PWD’s should                                                                            implementation
be set to manage                                                                            of micro projects.
the
implementation
of community
micro projects.

States without a     Environmental and Social   Relevant States   Other   Prior to the      Document setting     Revised
GBV response         Systems                    Ministries                commencemen       out referral
team should                                                               t of Program      pathway and
quickly set up and                                                        Implementatio     available service
publicize its                                                             n in the          provider by the
Response Team                                                             relevant State.   relevant MDA
for response to
issues of SEA/SH
and support it


                                                                                                                 Page 35 of 38
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with robust public
enlightenment
program

Proposed

States without a     Environmental and          Relevant States   Other       Prior to the      Document setting
GBV response         Social Systems             Ministries                    commencemen       out referral
team should                                                                   t of Program      pathway and
quickly set up and                                                            Implementatio     available service
publicize its                                                                 n in the          provider by the
Response Team                                                                 relevant State.   relevant MDA
for response to
issues of SEA/SH
and support it
with robust public
enlightenment
program

Conduct half         Environmental and Social   FCSU / SCCU       Recurrent   Semi-Annually     Submit semi-         Revised
yearly reviews       Systems                                                                    annual reviews
and annual                                                                                      and annual E&S
environmental                                                                                   audits to the Bank
and social audit

Proposed

Conduct half         Environmental and          FCSU / SCCU       Recurren    Semi-Annually     Submit semi-
yearly reviews       Social Systems                               t                             annual reviews
and annual                                                                                      and annual E&S
environmental                                                                                   audits to the Bank
and social audit

Conduct security     Environmental and Social   State             Other       Before            Development and      Revised
need assessment      Systems                    Governments                   commencemen       Agreement on
                                                and FCT (NE and               t of              security action
                                                NW)                           implementatio     plan
                                                                              n in each State

Proposed

Conduct security     Environmental and          State             Other       Before            Development and
need assessment      Social Systems             Governments                   commencemen       Agreement on
                                                and FCT (NE and               t of              security action
                                                NW)                           implementatio     plan
                                                                              n in each State

Adoption of fund     Fiduciary Systems          State Min of      Other       Prior to          MDAs BERs            Revised
release policy for                              Finance or                    commencemen       showing
improved                                        Budget and Plan               t of Program in   cumulative
predictability of                                                             each State,       budget releases
resource flows to                                                                               against
MDAs                                                                                            appropriations.
implementing
CARES program.



                                                                                                                     Page 36 of 38
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               NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




    Proposed

    Adoption of fund     Fiduciary Systems        State Min of      Other   Prior to           MDAs BERs
    release policy for                            Finance or                commencemen        showing
    improved                                      Budget and Plan           t of Program in    cumulative
    predictability of                                                       each State,        budget releases
    resource flows to                                                                          against
    MDAs                                                                                       appropriations.
    implementing
    CARES program.

    Protocol for         Fiduciary Systems        FCSU and SCCU     Other   Not later than     Report on fraud   Revised
    reporting,                                                              Program            and corruption
    management and                                                          effectiveness      allegations
    investigating of                                                        at Federal         included in
    fraud and                                                               Level and prior    Program
    corruption                                                              to                 implementation
    allegations                                                             commencemen        progress report
    operationalized in                                                      t of Program
    MDAs                                                                    implementatio
    implementing                                                            n at State
    CARES program.                                                          Level.

    Proposed

    Protocol for         Fiduciary Systems        FCSU and SCCU     Other   Not later than     Report on fraud
    reporting,                                                              Program            and corruption
    management and                                                          effectiveness at   allegations
    investigating of                                                        Federal Level      included in
    fraud and                                                               and prior to       Program
    corruption                                                              commencemen        implementation
    allegations                                                             t of Program       progress report
    operationalized in                                                      implementatio
    MDAs                                                                    n at State
    implementing                                                            Level.
    CARES program.

.




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NIGERIA: COVID-19 Action Recovery and Economic Stimulus Program (P174114)




                                                                            Page 38 of 38


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