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World Bank, "Implementation Status & Results Report: National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)" (Nigeria)

Summary

World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report, sequence 7, archived on 03-Sep-2025, for the National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935) in Nigeria, an IDA Investment Project Financing approved on 16-Dec-2021. The objective is to expand coverage of shock responsive safety net support among the poor and vulnerable and strengthen the national safety net delivery system, through cash transfer components costed at 600,000,000.00 and 147,000,000.00 and delivery system strengthening at 53,000,000.00. Progress and implementation are rated Moderately Satisfactory, with overall risk Substantial. The report states that about 6 million households have been supported, over 2.4 million have received up to three tranches after biometric verification, and a NIN validation drive with NIMC begun on April 7 has visited over 6.7 million households.

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“World Bank, ‘Implementation Status & Results Report: National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)’ (Nigeria).” Original at documents1.worldbank.org. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/world-bank-implementation-status-results-report-national-social-safety-39b8f51c8a/, SHA-256 7c6fcb63fe70cd0b11fef86e56f3d91560e3f7b49fe2aa25cdde85e22cba4510.

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Public Disclosure Authorized
                                               The World Bank                                                   Implementation Status & Results Report
                                               National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



                               National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)

                               WESTERN AND CENTRAL AFRICA | Nigeria | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing (IPF) | FY 2022 | Seq No: 7 | Archived
                               on 03-Sep-2025 | ISR04996



                               1. OBJECTIVE




Public Disclosure Authorized
                                1.1 Development Objective
                                  Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval package on 16-Dec-2021)
                                  Expand coverage of shock responsive safety net support among the poor and vulnerable and strengthen the national
                                  safety net delivery system.
                                  Has the Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective?

                                  No


                               2. COMPONENTS




Public Disclosure Authorized
                                Name
                                Economic Shock Responsive Cash Transfer (ESR-CT):(Cost 600,000,000.00)

                                Extended Regular Cash Transfer (ER-CT) for the poor and the vulnerable:(Cost 147,000,000.00)

                                Delivery System Strengthening and Project Management:(Cost 53,000,000.00)


                               3. OVERALL RATINGS

                                Name                                                 Previous                       Current

                                Progress towards achievement of PDO                  Moderately Satisfactory       Moderately Satisfactory




Public Disclosure Authorized
                                Overall Implementation Progress (IP)                 Moderately Satisfactory       Moderately Satisfactory

                                Overall Risk Rating                                  Substantial                   Substantial




                               4. KEY ISSUES & STATUS


                                4.1 Implementation Status and Key Decisions



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                The World Bank                                                    Implementation Status & Results Report
                National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)


Progress towards achieving the Project Development Objective (PDO): The PDO is to expand coverage of
shock responsive safety net support among the poor and vulnerable and strengthen the national safety net delivery
system. The Project has been making positive progress in implementation and is on track to achieve the PDO. The
direct benefit transfer program has supported about 6 million poor and vulnerable households selected from the
Social Register with shock responsive cash transfers. Over 2.4 million households have received up to three
tranches of support following biometric verification of the adult member recipient from the eligible households.
Following the decision of government, made in March 2024, only households with members biometrically verified
will continue to receive cash transfer support under the direct benefit transfer program.
Strengthening the national social safety net delivery system. To strengthen the Social Register, a targeted NIN
validation and registration drive for households captured in the Social Register commenced on April 7, in
collaboration with the National Identity Management Commission (NIMC). So far over 6.7 million households have
been visited and NIMC is in the process of verifying over 9 million NINs. At the end of the NIN drive, all households
in the Social Register are expected to have at least one adult member with a validated NIN. The payments delivery
mechanism is fully digital, ensuring all payments go directly to verified and active beneficiary owned accounts;
ensuring the right beneficiary is the recipient of the support.
Survey of Direct Benefit Transfer Beneficiaries. The World Bank task team carried out a survey of beneficiaries
of the cash transfers, to complement monitoring and supervision of the delivery of the program. The survey as
designed to specifically shed light on the key issues and concerns surrounding the program, including those
relating to the Social Register, delivery of the program and if the program has generated the intended results. The
results, which largely corroborate the delivery system and program objectives, have been shared with the
implementing ministry and agencies, and the interministerial panel overseeing the social investment programs. One
key feedback from the survey is the need to carry out more outreach and sensitization activities targeted at the
general public, particularly to the intended beneficiaries of the program.




5. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL

                                                    Rating at Approval   Last Approved Rating
 Risk Category                                      Approval Package -   ISR Seq. 06 - 29 Jan   Proposed Rating
                                                    16 Dec 2021          2025

 Political and Governance                           Substantial         Substantial           Substantial

 Macroeconomic                                      Substantial         Substantial           Substantial

 Sector Strategies and Policies                     Moderate            Moderate              Moderate

 Technical Design of Project or Program             Substantial         Substantial           Substantial

 Institutional Capacity for Implementation and
                                                    Moderate            Moderate              Moderate
 Sustainability

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               The World Bank                                                   Implementation Status & Results Report
               National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)




Fiduciary                                          Substantial        Substantial           Substantial

Environment and Social                             Substantial        Substantial           Substantial

Stakeholders                                       Moderate           Moderate              Moderate

Overall                                            Substantial        Substantial           Substantial




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                   The World Bank                                                                                             Implementation Status & Results Report
                   National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



     6. RESULTS


      6.1 PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes


     Expand coverage of shock responsive safety net support
                                                   Baseline                  Actual (Previous)                Actual (Current)                  Closing Period
                Indicator Name
                                             Value        Month/Year       Value            Date            Value            Date            Value        Month/Year
                                         15,000,000.00    Dec/2021     32,206,685       02-Jan-2025    42,139,250        04-Jul-2025    56,000,000.00      Dec/2025
     Beneficiaries of social safety       Comments on                  Implementation is picking up following multiple delays, including change in project leadership,
     net programs (Number)                achieving targets            and implementing new policies requiring biometric identity

               Beneficiaries of social   7,500,000.00                  28,549,109                      28,642,355                       27,500,000.00
               safety net programs -
               Female (Number)
               Beneficiaries of Safety   15,000,000.00    Dec/2021     32,206,685       02-Jan-2025    42,139,250        04-Jul-2025    56,000,000.00      Dec/2025
               Nets programs -
               Unconditional cash
               transfers (number)
               (Number)
                                         1,000,000.00     Dec/2021     5,396,636        02-Jan-2025    5,913,286         04-Jul-2025    9,200,000.00       Dec/2025
                                          Comments on                  This indicator counts the number of beneficiary households that received a shock responsive
                                          achieving targets            cash transfer through NASSP and/or NASSP-SU. The baseline number counts the number of
     Beneficiary households                                            beneficiary households that are expected to receive COVID-CT through the government by
     received shock responsive                                         June 2022.
     cash transfers (Number)

                                                                       Implementation is picking up following multiple delays, including change in project leadership,
                                                                       and implementing new policies requiring biometric identity

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                   National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)




                                        35.00                            66                               64                                45.00
                                         Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of female primary beneficiaries among beneficiary
                                         achieving targets                 households that received the shock-responsive cash transfers.
               Of which female
               primary beneficiaries
                                                                           Baseline numbers based on the 49,000 beneficiary HHs of the COVID-CT implemented by the
               (Percentage)
                                                                           government as of October 15, 2021. The baseline number will be updated as the
                                                                           beneficiaries of the COVID-CT expand (expected to reach 1 million). The target will
                                                                           correspondingly be set 10 percentage points higher than the baseline.
                                        0.00               Dec/2021      1,514,564          02-Jan-2025   1,514,564           04-Jul-2025   1,500,000.00      Dec/2025
                                         Comments on                     This indicator counts the number of beneficiary households that received the extended
     Beneficiary households              achieving targets               regular-CT under component 1.2.
     received extended regular-
     cash transfer support
     (Number)                                                            Implementation of ER-CTs commenced but has been put on hold as the immediate focus is on
                                                                         the shock response cash transfers


               Of which female          0.00                             94.00                            94.00                             94.00
               primary beneficiaries     Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of female primary beneficiaries among total
               (Percentage)              achieving targets                 beneficiary households of the regular-CT program.
     Strengthen national safety net delivery system
                                                     Baseline                    Actual (Previous)                 Actual (Current)                Closing Period
                Indicator Name
                                               Value        Month/Year        Value             Date           Value             Date           Value        Month/Year
     Beneficiary households             16.00              Dec/2021      100.00             02-Jan-2025   100.00              04-Jul-2025   70.00             Dec/2025
     received cash transfers             Comments on                     This indicator counts the number of beneficiary households (across both components) that
     through safe, secure, and           achieving targets               received the cash transfers delivered directly to their transactional accounts, expressed as a
     scalable digital mechanism
                                                                         percentage of total beneficiary households.
     (Percentage)

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                   National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)




                                                                      All cash transfers are currently done directly to beneficiary owned digital accounts that are
                                                                      backed with biometric identification
               Of which female          30.00            Dec/2021     66                 02-Jan-2025 64                   04-Jul-2025 40.00                 Dec/2025
               primary beneficiaries     Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of female primary beneficiaries among beneficiaries
               (Percentage)              achieving targets                 that received cash transfers electronically into their transactional accounts.



      6.2 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components


     Economic Shock Responsive Cash Transfer (ESR-CT)
                                                  Baseline                     Actual (Previous)                  Actual (Current)                  Closing Period
                Indicator Name
                                            Value        Month/Year           Value            Date             Value            Date            Value        Month/Year
     People using digitally enabled     2,000,000        Dec/2022     5,396,636            02-Jan-2025     5,913,286         04-Jul-2025    9,200,000           Dec/2025
     services (Number of people)         Comments on                       Beneficiaries who utilize digital payment services
     CRI                                 achieving targets
               People using digitally                                 2,610,590            02-Jan-2025     2,809,245         04-Jul-2025    2,760,000           Dec/2025
               enabled services –        Comments on                       Youths utilizing digital payment services
               Youth (Number of          achieving targets
               people) CRI
               People using digitally                                 3,562,527            02-Jan-2025     3,562,527         04-Jul-2025    4,600,000           Dec/2025
               enabled services –        Comments on                       Female beneficiaries who utilize digital payment services
               Female (Number of         achieving targets
               people) CRI
     People with enhanced                                                                                  17,552,411        04-Jul-2025
     resilience to climate risks         Comments on                       Individual beneficiaries in areas impacted by climate risks that are receiving or part of
     (Number of people) CRI              achieving targets                 households receiving cash transfers

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                   National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



           People with enhanced                                                                           10,531,446        04-Jul-2025
           resilience to climate         Comments on                       Individual beneficiaries (Women) in areas impacted by climate risks that are receiving or part
           risks – Female (Number        achieving targets                 of households receiving cash transfers
           of people) CRI
           People with enhanced                                                                           8,249,633         04-Jul-2025
           resilience to climate         Comments on                       Number of individual beneficiaries (Youth) in areas impacted by climate risks that are
           risks – Youth (Number         achieving targets                 receiving or part of households receiving cash transfers
           of people) CRI
     Urban beneficiary                  1,700,000.00     Dec/2021     1,721,773            02-Jan-2025    1,978,132         04-Jul-2025   5,000,000.00        Dec/2025
     households targeted through
     the Social Registers (which
     includes the National Social
     Register and the Rapid
     Response Register), to
     receive the ESR-CT
     (Number)
               Of which female          32.00                         39                                  38                              50.00
               primary beneficiaries     Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of female primary beneficiaries among ESR-CT
               (Percentage)              achieving targets                 beneficiary households enrolled into the payment system from the RRR
     Rural households identified        0.00             Dec/2021     3,674,863            02-Jan-2025    3,935,154         04-Jul-2025   3,200,000.00        Dec/2025
     from the Social Registers to
     receive the ESR-CTs
     (Number)
               Of which female          0.00                          78                                  74                              60.00
               primary beneficiaries     Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of female primary beneficiaries among ESR-CT
               (Percentage)              achieving targets                 beneficiary households enrolled into the payment system from the NSR
                                        0.00             Dec/2021     31.25                02-Jan-2025    31.25             04-Jul-2025   73.00               Dec/2025




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                   National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



     Amount of ESR-CT delivered          Comments on                       This indicator measures the average amount (in USD) delivered to the beneficiaries of the
     per beneficiaries household         achieving targets                 ESR-CT. This indicator will only include beneficiaries that have received at least one transfer.
     (Amount(USD))                                                         The target is equivalent to N30,000 using the exchange rate at the time of approval.
                                        0.00             Dec/2021     1,378,722            02-Jan-2025     1,558,526         04-Jul-2025    2,900,000.00        Dec/2025
     Beneficiary households
                                         Comments on                       This indicator counts the beneficiary households that receive ESR-CT payments in their new
     received the ESR-CT in a
                                         achieving targets                 transactional account set up for and supported by the project. Transactional accounts are
     newly setup transactional
                                                                           multi-purpose accounts and allow savings, deposit, transfer, and withdrawal facilities and
     account (Number)
                                                                           can be opened with a streamlined KYC requirements as per the government regulations.
               of which females         0.00                          47                                   47                               60.00
               primary beneficiaries     Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of women among ESR-CT beneficiaries for whom the
               (Percentage)              achieving targets                 project supported opening of a new transactional account.
     Beneficiaries satisfied with       0.00             Dec/2021     0.00                 02-Jan-2025     0.00              04-Jul-2025    80.00               Dec/2025
     the delivery of shock               Comments on                       No beneficiary satisfaction survey conducted
     responsive cash transfer            achieving targets
     program (Percentage)
          of which female               0.00             Dec/2021     0.00                 02-Jan-2025     0.00              04-Jul-2025    80.00               Dec/2025
          (Percentage)
          of which Rural                0.00             Dec/2021     0.00                 02-Jan-2025     0.00              04-Jul-2025    80.00               Dec/2025
          (Percentage)
          of which Urban                0.00             Dec/2021     0.00                 02-Jan-2025     0.00              04-Jul-2025    80.00               Dec/2025
          (Percentage)
     Beneficiary households             0.00             Dec/2021     100.00               02-Jan-2025     98                04-Jul-2025    80.00               Dec/2025
     received cash transfers             Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of beneficiaries of the ESR-CT that received their
     within 10 days of the               achieving targets                 payment tranches in their transaction account according to the payment schedule specified
     payment schedule                                                      in the project implementation manual. Timeliness is measures after the first tranche of
     (Percentage)                                                          payment is transferred.
                                        0.00             Dec/2021     0.00                 02-Jan-2025     0.00              04-Jul-2025    18.00               Dec/2025



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                 National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



                                       Comments on                       This indicator counts the number of months in which a report on statistical profile of
     Report on beneficiary profile     achieving targets                 beneficiaries is produced and released publicly. The statistical profile includes characteristics
     produced and disseminated                                           collected during registration and enrollment including those on age, gender, education, and
     publicly (Number)                                                   assets. Public release must include online publication in official website as well as released in
                                                                         social media.
                                      0.00               Dec/2021      77                 02-Jan-2025    100                04-Jul-2025    80.00               Dec/2025
     Beneficiary households are in     Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of beneficiaries that are in the bottom six deciles
     the bottom 6 deciles              achieving targets                 based on a proxy indicator of welfare calculated based on the data collected from the RRR
     (Percentage)                                                        and NSR. The formula for the proxy indicator will be generated from the latest Nigeria Living
                                                                         Standards Survey data.
     Extended Regular Cash Transfer (ER-CT) for the poor and the vulnerable
                                                   Baseline                    Actual (Previous)                 Actual (Current)                  Closing Period
               Indicator Name
                                             Value        Month/Year          Value           Date              Value          Date             Value        Month/Year
                                      1,000,000.00       Dec/2021      1,439,105          02-Jan-2025    1,439,105          04-Jul-2025    1,500,000.00        Dec/2025
     Beneficiary households            Comments on                       This indicator counts the number of beneficiaries of the regular-CT that have received at
     received a minimum of two         achieving targets                 least two years of cash transfer support through NASSP and NASSP-SU.
     years of support since being                                        Baseline numbers are based on projections based on current pace of cash transfers.
     enrolled in the program
     (Number)                                                            Implementation of component has been suspended by the government since November
                                                                         2023 to focus on Economic Shock Responsive Cash Transfers
     Female primary beneficiaries     0.00               Dec/2021      95.00              02-Jan-2025    95.00              04-Jul-2025    94.00               Dec/2025
     received a minimum of two         Comments on                       This indicator measures the percentage of female beneficiaries among those who received
     years of support since being      achieving targets                 the regular-CT for at least two years of cash transfer support through NASSP and NASSP-SU.
     enrolled in the program
     (Percentage)
     Beneficiaries satisfied with     0.00               Dec/2021      0.00               02-Jan-2025    0.00               04-Jul-2025    70.00               Dec/2025
     the regular CT program            Comments on                       No beneficiary satisfaction surveys have been conducted under the project
     delivery (Percentage)             achieving targets


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                 National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



          of which female          0.00             Dec/2021           0.00               02-Jan-2025   0.00               04-Jul-2025   70.00               Dec/2025
          beneficiaries
          (Percentage)
     Delivery System Strengthening and Project Management
                                                   Baseline                    Actual (Previous)                Actual (Current)                   Closing Period
               Indicator Name
                                             Value        Month/Year          Value           Date             Value          Date              Value        Month/Year
     Federal and State level staff    0.00               Dec/2021      0.00               02-Jan-2025   0.00               04-Jul-2025   1,000.00            Dec/2025
     trained in shock responsive       Comments on                       No trainings have been conducted due to implementation challenges
     safety net systems                achieving targets
     (Number)
           Of which female staff      0.00                             0.00                             0.00                             30.00
           (Percentage)
     States where the Third Party     19.00              Dec/2021      0.00               02-Jan-2025   0.00               04-Jul-2025   37.00               Dec/2025
     Monitoring (TPM)                  Comments on                       Procurement of TPMs is yet to be finalized
     implemented through CSO is        achieving targets
     functional (Number)
     Annual Results Scorecard         2.00               Dec/2021      0.00               02-Jan-2025   0.00               04-Jul-2025   4.00                Dec/2025
     produced by the third-party       Comments on                       Procurement of TPMs is yet to be finalized
     monitors and released             achieving targets
     publicly (Number)
     Local implementers and           0.00               Dec/2021      0.00               02-Jan-2025   0.00               04-Jul-2025   80.00               Dec/2025
     stakeholders agreed that
     project investments reflected
     the needs (Percentage)
           Of which female            0.00                             0.00                             0.00                             80.00
           (Percentage)
     Project specific gender          No                 Dec/2021      Yes                02-Jan-2025   Yes                04-Jul-2025   Yes                 Dec/2025
     guidelines developed under        Comments on                       This indicator checks whether the gender guidelines developed during the implementation
     NASSP operationalized in          achieving targets                 of NASSP has been operationalized in NASSP-SU project activities.
     project activities (Yes/No)

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               The World Bank                                                                                              Implementation Status & Results Report
               National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



     Grievances addressed within    0.00             Dec/2021     37.70               02-Jan-2025    45.20             04-Jul-2025   80.00              Dec/2025
     the time specified in the       Comments on                       Due to implementation delays, most reported grievances cannot be resolved
     project implementation          achieving targets
     manual (Percentage)
     ESR-CT beneficiary             0.00             Dec/2021     3,405               02-Jan-2025    3,405             04-Jul-2025   200,000.00         Dec/2025
     households covered through      Comments on                       This indicator counts the number of beneficiaries reached during the (random) cash-transfer
     random post-distribution        achieving targets                 audits which verify whether the intended beneficiaries received the cash transfers.
     monitoring (Number)




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               The World Bank                                                               Implementation Status & Results Report
               National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)



  7. DATA ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE


   7.1 Cumulative Disbursements




   7.2 Disbursements (by loan)


  Loan/Credit/TF       Status        Original     Revised       Cancelled      Disbursed        Undisbursed           % Disbursed

  IDA-70190            Effective      800.00      770.92            0.00          530.00              228.00                69.92%



   7.3 Key Dates (by loan)


  Loan/Credit/TF       Status        Approval         Signing               Effectiveness         Orig. Closing   Rev. Closing

  IDA-70190            Effective    16-Dec-2021       16-Aug-2022           30-Jan-2023           30-Jun-2024     31-Dec-2025


  8. KEY DATES

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               The World Bank                                              Implementation Status & Results Report
               National Social Safety Net Program-Scale Up (P176935)




   Key Events                                                Planned                Actual

   Approval                                                  16-Dec-2021            16-Dec-2021

   Effectiveness                                             30-Jan-2023            30-Jan-2023

   Mid-Term Review No. 01                                    07-Jul-2025            30-Jun-2025

   Operation Closing/Cancellation                            31-Dec-2025


  9. RESTRUCTURING HISTORY

   Restructuring Level 2 Approved on 18-Jun-2024

  10. ASSOCIATED OPERATION(S)

   There are no associated operations




Sep 03, 2025                                                                                            Page 13 of 13


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