The COVID-19 Pandemic and Family Economic Well-being — Federal Reserve FEDS 2024-068
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Federal Reserve Board Finance and Economics Discussion Series paper 2024-068, The COVID-19 Pandemic and Family Economic Well-being: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances, by Sarena Goodman, Gina Li, Kevin Moore, and Alice Henriques Volz, dated August 2024. The abstract states that the authors connect family experiences of the pandemic, their income under normal conditions, and their later economic well-being using the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances. It states that these experiences strongly reflected families' positions in the income distribution, with lower-income families bearing the brunt, and that they tightly predict income and wealth after the initial disruptions. The text states that the analysis examines the 4,602 families in the 2022 SCF and the 5,783 families in the 2019 SCF.
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“The COVID-19 Pandemic and Family Economic Well-being — Federal Reserve FEDS 2024-068.”
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Finance and Economics Discussion Series
Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D.C.
ISSN 1936-2854 (Print)
ISSN 2767-3898 (Online)
The COVID-19 Pandemic and Family Economic Well-being:
Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances
Sarena Goodman, Gina Li, Kevin Moore, and Alice Henriques Volz
2024-068
Please cite this paper as:
Goodman, Sarena, Gina Li, Kevin Moore, and Alice Henriques Volz (2024). “The COVID-
19 Pandemic and Family Economic Well-being: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer
Finances,” Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-068. Washington: Board of Gov-
ernors of the Federal Reserve System, https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2024.068.
NOTE: Staff working papers in the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS) are preliminary
materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. The analysis and conclusions set forth
are those of the authors and do not indicate concurrence by other members of the research staff or the
Board of Governors. References in publications to the Finance and Economics Discussion Series (other than
acknowledgement) should be cleared with the author(s) to protect the tentative character of these papers.
Running head: COVID-19 and Economic Well-being
The COVID-19 Pandemic and Family Economic Well-being:
Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances*
Sarena Goodman, Gina Li, Kevin Moore, and Alice Henriques Volz
Federal Reserve Board
August 2024
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic caused severe disruptions to the U.S. labor market and economic
activity. We establish connections between family experiences of the pandemic, their
income under normal conditions, and their later economic well-being using the 2022
Survey of Consumer Finances. By their interview, one-third of families experienced net
employment declines, one-third had teleworked, and one-fifth had significant COVID-19-
related health events. These experiences strongly reflected families’ positions in the
income distribution, with lower-income families bearing the brunt. They also tightly
predict income and wealth after the initial disruptions, signifying that the pandemic
economy likely amplified pre-pandemic differences and fostered new divides.
*
Email: sarena.f.goodman@frb.gov, jing.li@frb.gov, kevin.b.moore@frb.gov, and alice.h.volz@frb.gov. We thank
YeJin Ahn and Eva Ma for excellent research assistance and Adi Aladangady, Jesse Bricker, Andrew Chang, Adam
Isen, Jake Krimmel, Michael Palumbo, Karen Pence, Sarah Reber, and Richard Windle for helpful comments and
suggestions. Preliminary analysis for this paper was circulated as a FEDS Note entitled “U.S. Families’ Experiences
of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from the Survey of Consumer Finances” (Bricker et al., 2023), which
accompanied publication of the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances. The views expressed herein are those of the
authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Governors or the Federal Reserve staff. All errors
are our own.
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
I. Introduction
The COVID-19 pandemic severely disrupted the U.S. labor market and broader economic
activity. And, although family wealth and income increased, on net, between 2019 and 2022,
improvements in economic well-being were not uniform across the population (Aladangady et
al., 2023). In fact, mean income growth increased nearly linearly over the income distribution,
leading to an increase in income inequality. Of course, families’ experiences of the pandemic
labor market ranged considerably—some contained frontline workers, others worked in
industries that essentially ceased operating, and still others could telework with minimal risk to
their health or income—which may help explain this heterogeneity, as these experiences likely
factored into families’ annual earnings. While these connections remain unestablished
empirically, there is evidence of variation in related indicators, such as employment, debt, and
consumption, by income and demographic group during the pandemic’s initial years (e.g., Cajner
et al., 2020; Chetty et al., 2023; Cherry et al., 2021; Finkelstein et al., 2022; Villarreal and Yu,
2022).
This paper makes progress toward understanding the heterogeneous economic impacts of the
COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, establishing a connection between families’
experiences of the pandemic labor market and their overall economic well-being. The inherent
challenge in this pursuit is the scarcity of nationally representative data sources that include high-
quality measurements of both pandemic experiences and economic well-being. We overcome
this challenge using the Federal Reserve Board’s Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), a
triennial cross-sectional survey of U.S. family finances that was most recently conducted in
2022. The SCF is the leading resource for measuring U.S. family wealth and includes several
useful family income concepts, including a proxy for permanent income. In 2022, we added
special questions that well-capture families’ experiences of the unusual pandemic economy
along several key dimensions—net change in employment, significant COVID-19-related health
events (an infection resulting in hospitalization or persistent symptoms), and telework.1
The analysis first documents the breadth of the pandemic’s impact on U.S. families between
its onset and the time they were interviewed in 2022. More than one-third of families
1
Federal Reserve Board team members that contributed to the design of these questions include Aditya Aladangady,
Jesse Bricker, Andrew Chang, Sarena Goodman, Julia Hewitt, Joanne Hsu, Jacob Krimmel, Kevin Moore, Sarah
Reber, Dalton Ruh, Alice Henriques Volz, and Richard Windle.
2
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
experienced a net change in their employment status over this period, which, in the majority of
instances, was a decrease. Similarly, many families teleworked (about one-quarter of families)
and endured significant COVID-19-related health events (about one-fifth of families). Notably,
net employment decreases were more common for families that had significant COVID-19-
related health events and less common for families that teleworked. We also find that the
prevalence of each of these experiences varies with a family’s usual income (i.e., the income
they would receive in a “normal” year). For example, around one-third of families toward the
bottom of the distribution experienced a net decrease in employment versus one-fifth of families
at the top decile. Lower-income families were about twice as likely to have been hospitalized or
to have developed persistent symptoms from a COVID-19 infection, and around 5 percent as
likely to have teleworked, as those in the top income group.
These strong distributional patterns are similar to the shape of mean income growth over the
pandemic.2 Next, we examine how families’ broad pandemic experiences map to overall
economic well-being. We find that, on average, families that had net employment decreases,
families that had significant COVID-19-related health events, and families that did not telework
had lower income, were more likely to have unusually low income, and had lower wealth. These
relationships hold in the general population and also within usual income group, providing
evidence that even within families with similar incomes, these pandemic experiences are linked
to lower economic well-being.3 Of the three categories we examine, we find that the relationship
with economic well-being is strongest for a net employment decrease; for example, families that
experienced a net employment decrease had 12 percent lower income and 70 percent less wealth
than their counterparts in the same part of the income distribution that did not. Overall, our
results suggest that the pandemic left a material imprint on both stock and flow measures of
economic well-being.
As an extension, we consider the potential influence of two prominent income supports that
were included in federal pandemic stimulus—economic impact payments (EIPs or stimulus
checks) and temporarily expanded unemployment benefits—on our findings. Each measure
2
In contrast, wealth growth rates exhibited an inverse-U shape over the distribution, which likely reflected
differential pandemic labor market experiences to some extent but more prominently reflected house and equity
price appreciation, as those asset classes are particularly important to middle-income families’ balance sheets.
3
The exception is that conditional on a family’s usual income group, average wealth is lower for families that
teleworked than those that did not.
3
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
affects the results as would be expected given their respective designs, supportive of a direct
relationship between the pandemic a family experienced and their economic well-being. They
both appear to have helped buffer family cash flows against pandemic headwinds, with the more
targeted unemployment program unsurprisingly serving as the better mediator.
Our results bring new evidence that families’ experiences of the pandemic labor market were
tightly linked to their economic well-being, which likely amplified pre-pandemic differences that
already existed and potentially fostered new divides. We build on a growing literature that
investigates various components of how U.S. families experienced the pandemic economy but
has thus far been unable to connect these pieces to each other or to overall economic well-being.
This literature has documented that the initial health and economic emergency was marked by
substantial adverse health consequences (Finkelstein et al., 2022; Blanchflower and Bryson,
2023), declines in employment (Cajner et al., 2020; Goda and Soltas, 2023; Chetty et al.,
forthcoming), and changes in work arrangements (Barrero et al., 2021; Marshall et al., 2021), all
of which were experienced unevenly across families. Other studies have surmised that the large
fiscal response to the pandemic likely altered the trajectories for many households and
businesses (Ganong et al., 2020; Cherry et al., 2021; Coombs et al., 2022); that said, the many
temporary programs also complicate evidence of economic recovery from the initial emergency
period in certain segments (Blanchet et al., 2022; Wheat and Deadman, 2023). We contribute to
this literature by directly connecting families’ varied pandemic experiences to their income and
wealth, helping tie together what’s already been documented in the literature to generate a more
complete understanding of the pandemic’s economic effects on families.
Relative to existing work, the connections between pandemic-related changes in employment
status, health events, work arrangements, family income, and wealth that we establish are not
only novel in content and scope but also generally more reliable due to our dependence on a
single representative data source. Prior findings in this area entail at least one of the following
limitations that our study naturally overcomes: aggregated sources of variation that could miss
key heterogeneity or introduce measurement error; indirect linkages prone to measurement error
based on multiple data sources, proxies for pandemic exposure, and pre-post designs; and data
sources that are not necessarily representative and may only offer a partial view of experiences.
Thus, where there is conceptual overlap, our findings can help validate and extend those that
4
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
came before.4 Moreover, our analysis of the SCF introduces to this literature both a
comprehensive wealth measure and an income measure that does not reflect transitory factors.
This income concept is particularly important in the context of the pandemic because a
remarkably large share of families—over one-quarter—indicated that their income at the time
was unusual for them (Aladangady et al., 2023). A measure of income during normal times
enables both a more stable ranking of families for distributional analysis as well as additional
analysis of economic well-being based on whether a family’s income during the pandemic was
below their usual income.
II. The Survey of Consumer Finances
The Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) is a triennial survey of U.S. families with richly
detailed information on household balance sheets and is the leading data source to measure U.S.
family wealth. Our analysis examines the 4,602 families in the 2022 SCF and, to a lesser extent,
the 5,783 families in the 2019 SCF.
Our analysis uses SCF measures of family net worth and income to examine economic well-
being.5 Net worth, which we heretofore refer to as “wealth,” is total family assets minus
liabilities, and income is total family pre-tax income in the calendar year preceding the survey
(thus, 2021 for the 2022 SCF). For distributional analyses, we group families by quintile of
“usual income”—an income concept that smooths away transitory shocks from, for example, an
unemployment spell, a bonus from an employer, or a capital loss or gain on investments—and
further divide the top quintile into deciles. Usual income is measured after income has been
reported, if respondents indicate their income in the survey reference year was unusually high or
low compared with what they would expect in a normal year.
4
For example, Finkelstein et al. (2022) estimates qualitatively similar gradients for early employment losses and all-
cause mortality by race and education using linked Census and social security datasets, attributing a non-negligible
share of these differences to living and working conditions.
5
Our analysis uses the net worth, income, and other definitions from Aladangady et al. (2023), including adjusting
all dollar values to 2022 dollars using the “current methods” version of the consumer price index for all urban
consumers (CPI-U-RS). This measure aggregates reported income from specific sources—most of which correspond
to items on an income tax form—including wages, self-employment and business income, taxable and tax-exempt
interest, dividends, realized capital gains, unemployment insurance, food stamps and other related support programs
provided by the government, pensions and withdrawals from retirement accounts, Social Security, alimony and other
support payments, and miscellaneous sources. In the 2022 SCF, some of these sources capture pandemic-related
fiscal support that families received in 2021, including, for example, enhanced unemployment and food stamp
benefits. That said, as the SCF did not systematically collect information on stimulus payments that families
received from the government in 2021, such payments are excluded from the SCF income measure.
5
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
On its own, the SCF is not particularly well-suited to capture between-survey dynamics at
the unprecedented scale of the pandemic. Thus, we added special questions to the 2022 SCF to
capture families’ pandemic experiences (“COVID-19 questions”). These questions asked
respondents to consider their experiences “after the onset of the pandemic in early 2020” and
probed health and employment status, payment relief, financial hardship, early stimulus benefits,
and child-related responsibilities (see Appendix I for the survey questionnaire). They were
drafted in 2021 for inclusion in the 2022 SCF, which was fielded between April 2022 and April
2023. Most interviews—around three-fourths—were conducted in 2022.
We focus on three key dimensions of a family’s labor market experience during the
pandemic: change in employment status, work arrangement (telework), and significant COVID-
19-related health events. The first set of COVID-19 questions asked the survey respondent to
describe their employment status and, if applicable, that of their spouse or partner during the
pandemic, using any number of 10 possible responses. We classify responses into three mutually
exclusive categories that describe a family’s net employment change—decrease, increase, or no
change—based on the first option that the respondent selected for themselves and, if applicable,
their spouse or partner (although including the second selection does not materially affect
conclusions). Reduced hours, a job or business loss, and entry into retirement are classified as a
decrease; increased hours and a new job or business are classified as an increase; and continuing
to report (in-person or via telework, including if the telework arrangement was new) and
continuing to be unemployed or out of the labor force are classified as no change. Less than 2
percent of families in any group we analyze reported changes in opposite directions between the
respondent and their spouse or partner, and these families are included in the “no change” group.
For convenience, we also analyze a dichotomous variable indicating a net employment decrease,
combining net increase and no net change into one category.
To examine telework, we classify families based on whether any of their selections for the
employment status questions included “moving to a new telework schedule” or “continuing to
telework,” even if it was not the first selection for the respondent or their spouse or partner. We
construct two dichotomous variables, any telework and new telework, based on selecting either
telework response and based on selecting a new telework schedule, respectively.
Finally, to identify whether a family experienced a significant COVID-19-related health
event, we use questions that probed whether the respondent or their spouse or partner was
6
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
hospitalized due to a COVID-19 infection, which speaks to an acute (potentially shorter-term)
event, and whether they experienced persistent symptoms from a COVID-19 infection.
III. Families’ Experiences of the COVID-19 Pandemic
The pandemic upended the U.S. labor market along numerous fronts that could have
materially affected families’ earnings. Most prominently, due to a rapidly changing economy,
most families’ attachments to and engagements with the labor market likely experienced some
turbulence. With the new serious health risk posed by the emergence of COVID-19, early
lockdowns aimed to reduce its spread. Many businesses closed or scaled back operations, and the
unemployment rate spiked. That said, demand for certain types of workers, such as those in
essential industries, increased. On the labor supply side, severe or persistent infections,
heightened health concerns, and new household demands restricted ability to (or interest in)
work.6 Buffering these dynamics was the rise of telework, with many employers relaxing on-site
requirements, which both enabled continuity of operations while minimizing the spread of
COVID-19 (Barrero et al., 2021) and increased workplace flexibility.
The left panels of Figure 1 (and corresponding Appendix Table 1) display the prevalence of
net employment changes, significant COVID-19 health events, and telework among U.S.
families. Interestingly, despite the disrupted economy, most families did not experience a net
change in their employment by the time they were interviewed for the 2022 SCF. Still, more than
one-third of families did experience such a change, 81 percent of whom experienced a net
decrease. Six percent of families experienced a net increase.
Of course, it was unfortunately common to experience a significant COVID-19-related health
event—about one-fifth of families reported that they had either been hospitalized or had
persistent symptoms from an infection, largely driven by those with persistent symptoms.7 A still
striking 4 percent of families had been hospitalized due to a COVID-19 infection; for rough
context, annual overall hospitalization rates for individuals was 8 percent before the pandemic
(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2022). Families that experienced either type of
health event were more likely to experience the other one than the rest of the population: 62
6
In addition, the temporarily expanded unemployment insurance program—which included a supplemental benefit
that, in many instances, meant beneficiaries could receive more than 100 percent of their pre-pandemic wages
(Ganong et al., 2020)—introduced an added disincentive to work for some period of time that may have led to a
reduction in work, which appears to be small (Coombs et al., 2022; Chetty et al., 2023).
7
Blanchflower and Bryson (2023) estimate similar rates of long COVID within the Census Household Pulse Survey.
7
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
percent of families that had been hospitalized had persistent symptoms, and 14 percent of
families that had persistent symptoms had been hospitalized. We also find evidence that health
status and significant COVID-19 health events are correlated, using questions from the SCF’s
core survey asking respondents to rate their health status and that of their spouse or partner from
poor to excellent.8 For both health events we consider, about half of families that had an event
rated their 2022 health status as fair or poor compared to less than one-third of families that had
not. While these differences could reflect increased incidence of severe COVID-19 health events
for those with poor health, the fact that this relationship holds within usual income group
suggests that significant COVID-19 health events could contribute to downstream adverse
effects on health.
Of course, experiencing a significant COVID-19 health event presumably interfered with
daily activities for some period of time and likely put pressure on the ability to work (Goda and
Soltas, 2023). By 2022, families that had such an event were 10 percentage points (p.p.) more
likely to experience a net employment decrease than those that had not (Appendix Table 2).
Notably, families that had these events and rated their 2022 health status as fair or poor were
over 10 p.p. more likely to experience a net employment decrease than other families with
similar health ratings and over 5 p.p. more likely to than families that had these events but had
better health ratings.
On the flip side, the rise of telework— 26 percent of families teleworked, 72 percent of
whom reported new telework arrangements—likely helped preserve (or even bolster) families’
employment situations. Indeed, teleworking families were about half as likely as other families
to experience a net decrease in employment (Appendix Table 2).
These experiences of the pandemic were not equally shared across the usual income
distribution, and the distributional differences underscore the connection between employment,
health, and work arrangement. Figure 1 breaks down prevalence of each measure by the families’
location in the usual income distribution. Generally speaking, lower-income families were more
likely to experience a net decrease in employment, while higher-income families were more
likely to experience both no change and a net increase. Similar gradients are present for
significant COVID-19 health events. Among families in the top decile, two percent were
8
The health status question offers four ratings—excellent, good, fair, and poor—and for these calculations, if the
respondent and their spouse or partner differed, the family is categorized as the worse of the two.
8
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
hospitalized and 11 percent had persistent symptoms; among families in the bottom quintile, 5
percent were hospitalized and 19 percent had persistent symptoms. Gradients for telework are
exceptionally strong. Three percent of the bottom quintile teleworked, compared to 59 percent of
the top decile. Notably, based on reports of a new telework schedule, the pandemic clearly
amplified distributional differences in work arrangements that had already existed.9 Finally,
across the board, gradients in education resemble those in usual income (Appendix Table 1).
The SCF can also shed some light on the persistence of pandemic employment changes,
using the current employment status questions in the core survey. Just over 90 percent of families
that experienced a net employment decrease were employed at the time of their 2022 interview,
consistent with the recovered labor market by that point. Indeed, this figure is only a bit below
the employed share of families that experienced a net employment increase, and some of the
difference is driven by the inclusion of families that entered retirement in the “decrease”
category. That said, employment decreases appear to have been somewhat more persistent
among the lowest-income families—relative to all other usual income groups, whose outcomes
were quite similar, a much lower share (82 percent) of families that experienced a net
employment decrease in the bottom quintile were employed at the time of their interview—
which may relate to this group’s higher incidence of significant COVID-19 health events.10
These findings complement those from Chetty et al. (2023), which found that only employment
at jobs with wages in the bottom quartile of the distribution remained subdued in December
2021, ostensibly due to the larger pandemic shock experienced by that group relative to others.
IV. Implications for Economic Well-being
Similar to the pandemic experiences analyzed in the previous section, mean income growth
over the initial years of the pandemic also exhibited a strong distributional pattern (Aladangady
et al., 2023; Appendix Figure 1). Such growth was generally either absent or more-modest
9
This finding is broadly in line with the 2020 Census Pulse Survey (Marshall et al., 2021) and the 2021 Survey of
Household Economics and Decisionmaking (Federal Reserve Board, 2022) as well as predictions based on the 2019
SCF (Helppie-McFall and Hsu, 2021).
10
Two-thirds of families that experienced a hospitalization were employed at the time of the interview (versus 75
percent that did not), and 80 percent of families that had persistent symptoms were employed at the time of the
interview (versus 73 percent of families that did not).
9
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
among lower-income families and very strong among the highest-income families.11 The
resemblance of this gradient to those documented above could suggest that a family’s pandemic
experiences left a meaningful imprint on their economic well-being.
To analyze this possibility, we focus on the 2022 SCF measures of 2021 income and 2022
wealth. The former provides insight as to the degree to which a family’s cash flows amid a still-
recovering labor market reflected their pandemic experiences, and the latter provides a
cumulative snapshot of where families’ balance sheets stood with respect to these experiences
after the labor market had largely recovered.
Table 1 presents regression results for natural-log-transformed income (top panel), an
indicator for lower-than-usual income (middle panel), and inverse-hyperbolic-sine-transformed
wealth (bottom panel) (Bellemare and Wichman, 2020), where the key independent variable is 1
of 3 indicators characterizing a family’s pandemic experiences (net employment decrease,
significant COVID-19 health event, and any telework) under 3 specifications (without controls,
with a control for the natural log of usual income, and with usual income group fixed effects).
The coefficients can be interpreted as the degree to which family economic well-being was better
or worse, on average, among families that had a particular pandemic experience compared to
those that did not. The usual income controls refine these comparisons to be between families
that under normal conditions would have similar income (or be in similar income groups), which
is important partly because, as shown in the previous section, families’ experiences of the
pandemic varied considerably by their usual income but also because families with similar
incomes under normal conditions are generally more directly comparable along other
dimensions.
The top panel of Table 1 shows that each indicator is highly correlated with 2021 income in
the expected direction. Families that had net employment decreases, non-teleworking families,
and families that experienced a significant COVID-19 health event, on average, all had
significantly lower income than other families. That said, as one might also expect, controlling
for usual income, either loglinearly or by group, shrinks the coefficients measurably. For
example, the regression without controls indicates that families that experienced a net
11
In comparison, mean wealth growth—which, for most groups, was larger than mean income growth—exhibited
an inverse-U shape over the usual income distribution, with sizable appreciation in house and equity prices, asset
classes important to middle-income families’ portfolios, somewhat overshadowing the role of income growth.
10
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
employment decrease had, on average, 26 percent lower income in 2021 than families that did
not, but, accounting for distributional differences, the differential is closer to 11 percent. But,
importantly, the coefficients generally maintain both their signs and predictive power across
specifications, suggestive of an independent relationship between the corresponding indicator
and income. The only exception is the health event specifications, under which the baseline
coefficient was small enough that even though it maintained its negative sign, it became
statistically insignificant at conventional thresholds when controlling for usual income. This
could mean that significant COVID-19-related health events transmitted to income primarily
through the employment channel; indeed, adverse health events in general lead to significant
earnings declines (Dobkin et al., 2018).
The top panel results suggest that families’ pandemic experiences left an imprint on their
2021 cash flows. It could be the case, though, that even if their income was, on average, lower,
families that had these experiences were still earning their usual income amount (or more) at the
same rate as others that did not have them. Thus, the middle panel of Table 1 analyzes another
dimension of economic well-being captured in families’ 2021 cash flows, whether their income
that year was below their usual income. Each pandemic experience is highly predictive of a
family having lower-than-usual income, and the relationships are stable upon inclusion of usual
income controls. The magnitude is largest when the key variable is the net employment decrease
indicator, which intuitively has the most direct correspondence to income loss: families that
experienced a net employment decrease were 17 p.p. more likely to have lower-than-usual
income in 2021, even within usual income group. Overall, 17 percent of families had lower than
usual income; thus, families that experienced a net employment decrease were twice as likely to
have unusually low income. Families that had a significant COVID-19-related health event were
about 7 p.p. more likely to have lower-than-usual income, and families that teleworked were
about 6 p.p. less likely to. Altogether, our income results indicate that not only did families with
these experiences have lower income, on average, than their counterparts, their income was also
considerably more likely to be below the amount they would ordinarily earn.
The bottom panel of Table 1 indicates that 2022 wealth, like 2021 income, tended to be lower
for families that experienced net employment decreases, non-teleworking families, and families
that experienced significant COVID-19 health events, though the implied differences in wealth
are much larger than the implied differences in income. For example, families with a net
11
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
employment decrease had 81 percent less wealth than families without, while for significant
health events, families had 70 percent less wealth. Moreover, the coefficients on net employment
decrease and presence of a significant COVID-19 health event remain fairly stable with the
addition of usual income controls, such that the health event indicator remains independently
predictive of wealth even with these controls. Interestingly, for telework, upon the inclusion of
usual income group effects, the sign flips, indicating that within usual income group, telework is
associated with higher income but lower wealth. All in all, the results are consistent with families
who bore the brunt of the pandemic economy along the dimensions we consider having, on
average, less financial cushion in 2022 than their peers.
More generally, these analyses point to notable gaps in both stock and flow measures of
families’ economic well-being based on pandemic experiences, even accounting for
distributional differences in their incidence. Further, in specifications that include all 3 measures,
each remains independently predictive, with coefficients in line with those in Table 1 (not
shown). Of the measures we consider, a family’s net employment change is unsurprisingly the
most closely linked to economic well-being, as even within-usual-income-group differences
remained quite large. Separately, the finding that differences based on health events did not map
as directly to the flow measure (income) as they did to the stock measure (wealth) could reflect
the fact that health events can produce a wide array of economic consequences on the family,
beyond changes in labor supply. For example, severe health events, such as hospitalizations, can
increase medical expenditures, decrease credit access, and increase probability of bankruptcy
(Dobkin et al., 2018), all of which could be reflected in a family’s wealth.
Pandemic stimulus. As a financial buffer against the economic and health disruptions
brought about by the pandemic, the federal government provided multiple rounds of stimulus
that factored into many families’ cash flows and potentially their decision-making. Two of the
widest-reaching income support measures were 1) economic impact payments (EIPs) or
“stimulus checks,” and 2) a temporarily expanded and more generous unemployment insurance
(UI) program, either of which could influence the degree to which differences in a family’s
income translate to differences in their overall cash flows.12 Table 2 considers how our income
12
The 2022 SCF also asked about other key early stimulus measures for families. The Paycheck Protection Program
(PPP) allowed business owners to apply for funds to maintain their workforce. PPP loans were more concentrated at
the top, reflecting patterns in business ownership (Aladangady et al., 2023). Payment relief programs offered an
12
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
results change under alternative definitions of family income that adjust for these programs, with
two objectives.13 First, the findings can shed light on the degree to which each of these large,
very differently structured programs mediated the relationships between pandemic experiences
and family economic well-being in a general sense. Second, evidence that these programs
operate on our main results as would be expected given their designs can lend credence to the
link between pandemic experiences and economic well-being that our analysis thus far suggests.
Families received up to 3 EIPs, which were issued beginning in March 2020, beginning in
December 2020, and beginning in March 2021. The payment amounts were based on a family’s
income, tax filing status, and number of children (or qualifying dependents) but, importantly,
were otherwise not targeted to families with particular experiences of the pandemic. These
payments are excluded from the SCF income measure, due to potential reporting concerns, but
families were separately asked if they received any of the EIPs. About 80 percent of families
reported receiving at least one payment, with incidence relatively stable across the income
distribution but dropping off precipitously toward the top (Appendix Table 1), consistent with
published figures. For a coarse-but more-complete measure of 2021 cash flows, we distribute the
second and third EIPs to SCF families with assistance from NBER TAXSIM.14
As the middle panel of Table 2 shows, augmenting family income with EIPs do not produce
meaningfully different coefficients as compared with our base income measure. The fact that
coefficients remain largely unchanged could reflect the widespread nature of EIP receipt, with
the changes reflecting the degree to which a given pandemic experience prevailed in the
segments of the distribution that received payments.
Relative to the EIPs, the UI stimulus was designed to reach a much smaller share of families
and while eligibility was expanded beyond the standard program rules, it was still targeted
additional buffer to pandemic disruptions. Ten percent of families reported receiving relief on housing—that is,
mortgage or rent—payments, and 13 percent of families reported receiving relief on auto or other installment loan,
credit card, or utility payments, with 17 percent of families overall receiving some form of payment relief. (Student
loans, most of which were automatically placed in forbearance, are excluded from this calculation.) More families in
the bottom segments of the distribution received relief of each type. The SCF did not systematically collect
information on another key policy, the 2021 Child Tax Credit expansion.
13
For simplicity, we focus on the income specifications and leave the implications for wealth for future study.
14
Nearly all eligible families received the second-round EIP payment in January 2021, and all eligible families
received the third-round EIP payment starting in March 2021. The SCF/TAXSIM algorithm estimates that 83
percent of families received an EIP payment in 2021. The algorithm uses a family’s adjusted gross income (AGI) as
computed by TAXSIM based on more granular SCF income components, along with the filing status and number of
dependents, to determine eligibility for and the amount of each EIP.
13
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
toward the unemployed. Around 16 percent of SCF families reported receipt of these benefits
over the period between the pandemic’s onset and their interview, with modestly higher
incidence in the middle of the distribution than in the tails (Appendix Table 1), in line with other
estimates (Carey et al., 2021). While there is considerable overlap, this pattern departs from the
one observed for net employment decreases among families along two dimensions. First, the
incidence of UI receipt is more muted throughout, which is unsurprising even amid expanded
eligibility for benefits. Second, compared with the incidence of net employment decreases,
families in the bottom quintile of the income distribution and families without a high school
degree had much lower UI rates, perhaps reflecting increased irregular or informal employment
within these groups.
Even though the most generous phase of the UI stimulus ended in 2020, expanded benefits
continued well into 2021, likely buoying income in that year for many families, particularly
those that experienced net employment decreases. In contrast to the EIPs, the SCF family income
measure includes unemployment compensation and, by extension, the expanded benefit. Given
the connection between a family experiencing an employment decrease and receiving
unemployment compensation, we flip the analysis above and consider how removing
unemployment compensation (entirely) from 2021 income affects results. Unsurprisingly, with
this change, the negative relationship between a net employment decrease and income becomes
considerably stronger. All of the coefficients grow in magnitude, and all are statistically
significant at conventional levels, consistent with unemployment insurance working as it
“should”, to provide a buffer for families who experienced employment loss. While we cannot
examine it, these discrepancies would presumably be even larger in an analysis of 2020 income.
Interestingly, mean income growth takes on a more linear shape over the distribution when
fully excluding unemployment compensation, as nearly half of the growth among families in the
second usual income quintile is erased (Appendix Figure 1). The overall shape more closely
resembles the incidence of net employment decreases over the distribution, again consistent with
the program operating on our findings as expected. Further, because income growth also seems
connected to pandemic experiences, there is a separate implication that differences in cash flows
may have extended beyond 2021.
14
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
V. Conclusion
The COVID-19 pandemic unleashed widespread havoc on the broader U.S. economy,
substantially changing the labor market landscape. Using new COVID-19 questions we
implemented in the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances, we document novel evidence that the
pandemic economy left a material imprint on U.S. families, many of whom experienced declines
in employment, changes in working arrangements, and significant health setbacks. Using the rich
income and wealth measures in the SCF, we not only show that lower-income families bore the
brunt of the adverse pandemic conditions, but also fill a large gap in the literature by directly
linking families’ experiences of the pandemic to differences in economic well-being. Future
research can work towards identifying causal parameters behind these relationships. In addition,
isolating the mechanisms through which the COVID-19 pandemic contributed to the evolution of
family wealth over time and how they might differ by family characteristics is crucial for a
broader understanding of the lasting impacts of the pandemic on the U.S. economy.
15
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
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COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
Table 1: Relationship between Pandemic Experiences and Economic Well-being
Pandemic Experience
Dependent Variable Significant COVID-19 Health Any Telework
Net Employment Decrease
Event
-0.296 -0.114 -0.124 -0.175 -0.044 -0.040 0.987 0.105 0.133
ln(income)
(0.036) (0.023) (0.029) (0.043) (0.024) (0.026) (0.032) (0.019) (0.022)
1=(income less than 0.172 0.174 0.172 0.074 0.075 0.073 -0.056 -0.069 -0.064
usual income) (0.014) (0.014) (0.014) (0.016) (0.016) (0.017) (0.012) (0.013) (0.014)
-1.646 -1.257 -1.205 -1.182 -0.900 -0.844 1.948 0.002 -0.393
IHS(wealth)
(0.221) (0.210) (0.203) (0.265) (0.251) (0.242) (0.152) (0.224) (0.176)
Controls
ln(usual income) X X X
usual income group FE X X X
Note: Bootstrapped standard errors corrected for survey imputation and sampling variance. Mean of ln(income) is 11.138, mean of
1=(income less than usual income) is 0.173 and mean of IHS(wealth) is 10.956.
18
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
Table 2: Relationship between Pandemic Experiences and 2021 Income (Alternate Measures)
Pandemic Experience
Dependent Variable Net Employment Decrease Significant COVID-19 Health Event Any Telework
-0.296 -0.114 -0.124 -0.175 -0.044 -0.040 0.987 0.105 0.133
ln(income)
(0.036) (0.023) (0.029) (0.043) (0.024) (0.026) (0.032) (0.019) (0.022)
-0.239 -0.086 -0.074 -0.165 -0.055 -0.035 0.908 0.179 0.108
ln(income+EIP)
(0.027) (0.017) (0.017) (0.037) (0.019) (0.018) (0.027) (0.033) (0.016)
-0.375 -0.191 -0.200 -0.204 -0.072 -0.067 1.014 0.127 0.150
ln(income-UI)
(0.041) (0.028) (0.033) (0.050) (0.031) (0.033) (0.033) (0.021) (0.023)
Controls
ln(usual income) X X X
usual income group FE X X X
Note: Bootstrapped standard errors corrected for survey imputation and sampling variance. Mean of ln(income) is 11.138, mean of
ln(income+EIP) is 11.240, and mean of ln(income-UI) is 11.108.
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COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
Figure 1: Family Pandemic Experiences, by Usual Income Group
Net Employment Experience
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Overall Less than 20-39.9 40-59.9 60-79.9 80-89.9 90-100
20
Percentile of usual income
Decrease No change Increase
Significant COVID-19 Health Event
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Overall Less than 20-39.9 40-59.9 60-79.9 80-89.9 90-100
20
Percentile of usual income
Hospitalization Persistent symptoms Either
Work Arrangement
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Overall Less than 20-39.9 40-59.9 60-79.9 80-89.9 90-100
20
Percentile of usual income
New Telework Any Telework
Note: COVID-19 question categories defined over the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) respondent (and their
spouse or partner, if applicable). Employment experience classifications use the first response to the employment
status question from each person. "No change" in employment refers to either no change or the small percentage of
families (less than 2 percent of families in each grouping we consider) that reported both a reduction and increase
across spouses or partners. Hospitalization and persistent symptoms are not mutually exclusive categories. Telework
leverages the full menu of possible responses to employment status (as opposed to just the first response).
20
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
Appendix:
I. COVID-19 Questions added to the 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances
Survey respondents were asked the following questions after those gathering information on
members of the family and before those on expectations for the economy:
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected American households. We would like to ask you the
following questions about the experiences you (and your family living here) had after the onset of the
pandemic in early 2020.
X19000/X19001/X19002/X19003/X19004/X19005/X19006/X19007/X19008/X19009
Which of the following describes your employment status during the pandemic?
CODE ALL THAT APPLY: CODE RESPONSES IN THE ORDER THEY ARE GIVEN.
1. Permanently lost a job or closed a business
2. Became temporarily unemployed or temporarily closed a business
3. Started a new job or established a new business
4. Began a new telework schedule
5. Continued teleworking
6. Continued reporting to a place of business
7. Continued to be unemployed or out of the labor force
8. Reduced hours
9. Increased hours
10. Entered retirement
-7. OTHER
X19010/X19011/X19012/X19013/X19014/X19015/X19016/X19017/X19018/X19019
Which of the following describes your (husband’s/wife’s/spouse’s/partner’s) employment status during
the pandemic?
CODE ALL THAT APPLY: CODE RESPONSES IN THE ORDER THEY ARE GIVEN.
1. Permanently lost a job or closed a business
2. Became temporarily unemployed or temporarily closed a business
3. Started a new job or established a new business
4. Began a new telework schedule
5. Continued teleworking
6. Continued reporting to a place of business
7. Continued to be unemployed or out of the labor force
8. Reduced hours
9. Increased hours
10. Entered retirement
-7. OTHER
0. Inap. (No spouse/partner)
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
X19020/X19021/X19022/X19023/X19024/X19025/X19026
During the pandemic, some households had difficulty paying their bills. Did you (or your
husband/wife/spouse/partner) renegotiate payments for, or otherwise receive forbearance or relief on, any
of the following loans or accounts?
CODE ALL THAT APPLY: CODE RESPONSES IN THE ORDER THEY ARE GIVEN.
1. Mortgage
2. Rent
3. Auto loans
4. Credit cards
5. Student loans
6. Other loans
7. Utilities
-1. None of these
IF ANY OF X19020-X19026=1 THEN ASK X19027:
X19027. For how many months did you (or your husband/wife/spouse/partner) receive mortgage
forbearance?
NUMBER OF MONTHS:
-2. Renegotiated payments
0. Inap (X19020-X19026^=1)
IF ANY OF X19020-X19026=2 THEN ASK X19028:
X19028. For how many months did you (or your husband/wife/spouse/partner) receive rent relief?
NUMBER OF MONTHS:
-2. Renegotiated payments
0. Inap (X19020-X19026^=2)
X19029/X19030/X19031
Did you (or your husband/wife/spouse/partner) receive any of the following during the pandemic?
CODE ALL THAT APPLY: CODE RESPONSES IN THE ORDER THEY ARE GIVEN.
1. Unemployment insurance or UI benefits
2. Stimulus payment(s) from the government
3. Paycheck Protection Program or PPP loan(s)
-1. None of these
IF ANY OF X19029-X19031=1 THEN ASK X19032:
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
X19032. For how many total months did you (and your husband/wife/spouse/partner) receive
unemployment insurance (UI) benefits? (Include period that benefits were delayed if eventually paid).
IF BOTH R AND SPOUSE RECEVIED UI BENEFITS: TAKE THE TOTAL NUMBER OF MONTHS
FOR EACH INDIVIDUALLY AND ADD THEM TOGETHER.
NUMBER OF MONTHS:
0. Inap (X19029-X19031^=1)
X19033/X19034/X19035/X19036/X19037/X19038/ X19039
Did you (or your husband/wife/spouse/partner) experience any of the following challenges during the
pandemic?
CODE ALL THAT APPLY: CODE RESPONSES IN THE ORDER THEY ARE GIVEN.
1. Missed a regular payment on rent or mortgage
2. Missed a regular payment on a credit card, auto loan, or other debt
3. Missed a regular payment on utilities
4. Delayed a payment on, or were unable to pay, a medical bill
5. Struggled to afford food
6. Had trouble buying food even though you had money
-1. No hardship
-7. Other hardship (specify)
IF NUMBER OF CHILDREN > 0 THEN ASK X19040- X19045:
The pandemic disrupted childcare and added virtual instruction responsibilities for many households that
may have made working difficult.
X19040. What was the most significant impact of increased child-related responsibilities on your
employment: did you stop working, work fewer hours, work the same numbers of hours, but were less
focused, change jobs, or no disruption?
1. Stopped working
2. Worked fewer hours
3. Worked the same amount but was less focused
4. Changed jobs
5. No disruption
0. Inap. (No children in home)
X19041. What was the mo
st significant impact of increased child-related responsibilities on your
(husband’s/wife’s/spouse’s/partner’s) employment: did your (husband/wife/spouse/partner) stop working,
work fewer hours, work the same numbers of hours, but was less focused, change jobs, or no disruption?
1. Stopped working
2. Worked fewer hours
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
3. Worked the same amount but was less focused
4. Changed jobs
5. No disruption
0. Inap. (No spouse/partner; No children in home)
X19042 X19043/X19044/X19045
Did you do any of the following in response to childcare or schooling disruptions during the pandemic?
CODE ALL THAT APPLY: CODE RESPONSES IN THE ORDER THEY ARE GIVEN.
1. Move to be closer to family or friends for help
2. Have family members move to you so they could help
3. Enroll in a school that had in-person classes
4. Hire or share a nanny or educator
-1. None of these
0. Inap. (No children in home)
X19046 Have you (or your husband/wife/spouse/partner) ever been diagnosed with COVID-19?
INCLUDE POSITIVE RESULTS FROM EITHER LAB OR SELF-ADMINISTERED TESTS
1. Yes
5. No
IF X19046=1 THEN ASK X19047 & X19048:
X19047. Were you (or your husband/wife/spouse/partner) ever hospitalized due to COVID-19?
1. Yes
5. No
0. Inap. (X19046=5)
X19048. Have you (or your husband/wife/spouse/partner) suffered any persistent symptoms due to your
COVID-19 infection, such as shortness of breath or fatigue?
1. Yes
5. No
0. Inap. (X19046=5)
X19049 Did someone who was living with you during the pandemic die from COVID-19 or an illness
that you suspect was COVID-19?
1. Yes
5. No
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
Appendix Table 1: Families’ Pandemic Experiences, by Family Characteristics
All Percentile of usual income Education of SCF reference person
Less No high High
than 20- 40- 60- 80- 90- school school Some College
20 39.9 59.9 79.9 89.9 100 diploma diploma college degree
Percent of families in group
Employment
Experience
Net decrease 29 30 35 30 26 24 19 35 34 30 23
Net increase 6 6 5 6 9 7 7 3 5 6 8
No change 65 64 60 64 65 69 74 61 61 64 69
Telework
New Telework 19 2 9 16 30 34 42 2 7 15 33
Any Telework 26 3 12 22 42 48 59 5 11 20 45
Health Experience
Hospitalization 4 5 5 4 3 5 2 8 4 5 2
Persistent
17 19 20 19 16 14 11 24 20 19 14
symptoms
Stimulus
Unemployment
16 11 20 20 17 16 9 10 20 18 14
benefits
Direct stimulus
78 80 89 85 85 75 30 82 87 82 70
payment
Paycheck
Protection Program 4 2 2 1 4 7 13 3 2 2 6
(PPP) loan
Note: COVID-19 question categories defined over the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) respondent (and their spouse or partner, if
applicable). Employment experience classifications use the first response to the employment status question from each person. "No change" in
employment refers to either no change or the small percentage of families (less than 2 percent of families in each grouping we consider) that
reported both a reduction and increase across spouses or partners. Hospitalization and persistent symptoms are not mutually exclusive categories.
Telework leverages the full menu of possible responses to employment status (as opposed to just the first response). Income is measured for the
calendar year before the survey. All values expressed as percentages.
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
Appendix Table 2: Share of Families with Given Change in Employment,
By Health and Work Arrangement
Employment Experience
Net decrease Net Increase No Change
Significant COVID-19
Health Event
No 27 6 67
Yes 37 9 55
Persistent Symptoms
No 27 6 67
Yes 38 9 53
Hospitalization
No 28 7 65
Yes 36 3 60
Any Telework
No 32 6 61
Yes 18 7 75
New telework
No 31 6 62
Yes 17 8 76
Note: COVID-19 question categories defined over the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) respondent (and their spouse or
partner, if applicable). Employment experience classifications use the first response to the employment status question from each
person. "No change" in employment refers to either no change or the small percentage of families (less than 2 percent of families
in each grouping we consider) that reported both a reduction and increase across spouses or partners. “Significant COVID-19
Health Event” refers to the presence of either hospitalization or persistent symptoms. Hospitalization and persistent symptoms are
not mutually exclusive categories. Telework leverages the full menu of possible responses to employment status (as opposed to
just the first response). All values expressed as percentages.
COVID-19 AND ECONOMIC WELL-BEING
Appendix Figure 1: Growth in Real Income and Wealth, by Usual Income Group
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Less than 20 20-39.9 40-59.9 60-79.9 80-89.9 90-100
-10%
Usual Income Group
Real mean income Real mean income (excl. unemp. benefits) Real mean net worth
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