Pandemic Darlings The pandemic economy, in original documents
Home Source documents Redefining Economic Success in Washington State: 3 Keys to Quality Growth

Redefining Economic Success in Washington State: 3 Keys to Quality Growth

Summary

A February 2022 report, "Redefining Economic Success in Washington State: 3 Keys to Quality Growth", a business competitiveness analysis of the state economy commissioned by the Washington State Legislature in 2021 through the Legislative Committee on Economic Development and International Relations (LCEDIR) and administered by the Office of the Lieutenant Governor. It was produced with the consulting firm ECONorthwest and RM Donahue Consulting. The report states that Washington had not completed a comprehensive competitiveness study in nearly a decade, and draws on data analysis, an industry review and outreach to business owners, economists and labor representatives. Its highlights include a transition to a knowledge and tech economy and growth limited by an aging workforce and a skills gap.

Summary drafted by a model from the document's text below and checked by script against that text before publication. It is a navigation aid, not a reading of what the document proves. Where AI is used

Full text

                                                                                 Redefining Economic Success
                                                                                           in Washington State:
    February 2022                                                           3 KEYS TO QUALITY GROWTH
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Acknowledgement

      In 2021, the Washington State Legislature commissioned a
      comprehensive business competitiveness analysis of the state’s economy
      by the Legislative Committee on Economic Development and International           ECONorthwest is a consulting firm based           Ryan Donahue, principal of RM Donahue
      Relations (LCEDIR), to be administered by the Office of the Lieutenant           in the Pacific Northwest that specializes         Consulting, is a researcher and strategist
      Governor. This report is the result of that effort produced through a            in economics, finance, and planning. We           focused on inclusive economic development
      collaborative process involving numerous contributors.                           understand that businesses and governments        in cities, regions, and states. RM Donahue
                                                                                       face difficult decisions about how to make        Consulting has worked with state and regional
                                                                                       the best use of limited resources. We help        organizations across the country. Ryan
  We would like to acknowledge the substantial contributions and guidance that the     our clients make thoughtful, data-driven          Donahue has partnered with the Brookings
  Lieutenant Governor’s office provided throughout this process.                       decisions using tools and methods that meet       Institution, where he is a Nonresident Fellow,
                                                                                       the highest standards of best practice. Our       on strategy projects in a variety of regions,
                                                                                       focus is to bring a diverse set of perspectives   from high-growth markets (San Diego,
                                                                                       that allow us to fully understand — and           Denver, Nashville) to older industrial cities
                       Lieutenant Governor Denny Heck
                                                                                       effectively communicate — the benefits,           (Birmingham, Syracuse, Grand Rapids).
                       David Bremer, Director of Policy and International Relations    costs, and tradeoffs associated with any
                       Phil Gardner, Chief of Staff                                    decision. Our consultants have advanced
                                                                                       degrees in a variety of fields, including
                                                                                       economics, planning, and public policy;
                                                                                       and work on projects ranging from strategy
                                    We would also like to thank the LCEDIR committee   to implementation.
                                    members for their insights and contributions:

                                    ■   Representative Liz Berry
                                    ■   Senator Sharon Brown
                                    ■   Representative Keith Goehner
                                    ■   Senator Bob Hasegawa
                                                                                       Triangle Associates has been a trusted            Community Attributes, Inc.          supports
                                    ■   Senator Curtis King
                                                                                       third-party in public and community               all phases of economic and community
                                    ■   Representative Debra Lekanoff                  facilitation and input work for over 40 years,    development — from visioning to
                                    ■   Senator Ann Rivers                             and our methods of helping groups develop         implementation. We aim to support decision-
                                                                                       equitable processes to make good decisions        making by linking community development
                                    ■   Senator Christine Rolfes
                                                                                       have withstood the test of time. Triangle’s       objectives with economic opportunities in
                                    ■   Representative Amy Walen                       facilitation practice is grounded in helping      the context of regional economic trends.
                                    ■   Senator Lisa Wellman                           diverse, multi-party advisory and input           The hallmarks of our practice are flexibility,
                                    ■   Representative J.T. Wilcox                     groups work together to co-develop lasting        responsiveness, and innovation, all of which
                                                                                       input processes, recommendations, policies,       we wholeheartedly employ to meet our
                                    ■   Representative Alex Ybarra
                                                                                       and decisions.                                    clients’ needs.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                          ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
                                                                                                         TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                                Executive Summary. ................................................................. 1

                                                                            1   Introduction, Framework, & Equity Lens........................... 7

                                                                            2   State of the State......................................................................10

                                                                            3   Outreach & Engagement. .....................................................17

                                                                            4   SWOT Summary........................................................................20

                                                                            5   Redefining Business Competitiveness. ............................25

                                                                            6   Survey & Themes......................................................................31

                                                                            7   Three Big Ideas..........................................................................35

                                                                                Appendix. ...................................................................................39
                                                                                       A.    SWOT Industry Cut Sheets. .................................................. 39

                                                                                       B.    Engagement – Detailed Notes. .......................................... 67

                                                                                       C.    Foundational Items and Themes. ...................................... 81

                                                                                       D. Business Competitiveness Metrics.................................... 96



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
                                                                              Redefining Economic Success
                                                                                        in Washington State:

                                                                            3 KEYS TO QUALITY GROWTH

                                                                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Executive Summary | Project Overview
    Prior to this report, Washington had not completed a comprehensive study measuring the competitiveness of the state economy in nearly a decade. This study takes a hard
    look at the Washington economy, scrutinizes traditional indicators of success, and evaluates some common barriers to growth. The process was iterative, gathering insight
    from diverse groups including small and minority business owners, industry economists, and Labor representatives, among others. Using data analysis, an in-depth industry
    review, and application of an equity lens, this outreach shed light on the key barriers the state faces to enhancing business competitiveness today. This report moves the
    conversation forward towards solutions.



     Washington Long-term Economic Trends: Highlights
     ■   Successfully transitioned the economy into a knowledge and tech leader.
     ■   Strong growth in the economy is limited by an aging workforce and a skills
         gap, decades in the making.
     ■   Household incomes have gained compared to the U.S. average at all points of
         the income distribution — but inequality has widened.
     ■   Job opportunities and natural amenities are attracting households and talent                    Washington must focus on addressing three key areas, identified next, that
         to all regions of the state.                                                                    are currently the biggest barriers to Washington’s ability to achieve more
                                                                                                         quality jobs, economic growth, and shared prosperity.
     ■   Housing production hasn’t kept pace with population or job growth, triggering
         persistent affordability and homelessness crises.
     ■   Small businesses are struggling to compete for labor and access to resources           Assessing Washington’s strengths, challenges, and opportunities lays the
         in a changed economy.                                                                  groundwork for future economic development strategies.

                                                                                                Strengths that have made WA a leader in business growth for decades
                                                                                                ■ Talent attraction with consistent in-migration.
  Equitable Outcomes Accelerate Economic Growth:                                                ■ Strong Information and Communication Technology (ICT) presence and skilled tech labor.
  Reframing Business Competitiveness Centered on Outcomes                                       ■ Established, high performing network of public, private and training institutions.
                                                                                                ■ Robust infrastructure and transportation system (including ports).
  Focus on creating quality jobs and shared prosperity
                                                                                                ■ Low energy costs, clean energy, natural assets, and amenities.
  In order to track success, Washington needs to prioritize desired outcomes and develop
                                                                                                Challenges that threaten WA’s position as an economic leader
  indicators that reflect a strong, balanced economy. After taking a hard look at traditional
                                                                                                ■ Skilled labor shortages.
  approaches to evaluating business competitiveness, this report suggests a revision that
                                                                                                ■ Access to housing that is affordable to all workers.
  incorporates updated values and tracks performance compared to peer regions.
                                                                                                ■ Childcare affordability and supply limitations.
  As Washington looks towards the future and sets a course for continued economic
                                                                                                ■ The impacts of climate change.
  growth, resiliency and inclusion need to be top state priorities. By dismantling barriers
                                                                                                ■ Stable funding sources to support future infrastructure projects, including maintaining and
  and expanding opportunities for low-income earners and communities of color, more
                                                                                                   preserving current assets.
  people can fully engage in the economy both as producers and consumers. This can
                                                                                                ■ Access to capital for high-growth potential business.
  translate into greater rates of entrepreneurship and economic growth, less reliance
  on social supports, a greater tax base, and decreasing income and wealth disparities.         ■ Complex and costly business and development regulatory frameworks.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY     2
  Executive Summary | Big Idea 1
  Build more housing of all types that are affordable to all residents.

      KEY TAKEAWAY:

      Washington State has the fewest number of housing units per
                                                                                              Why does this matter for economic development?
      household of any state in the country.                                                  The underproduction of housing is limiting economic productivity and
                                                                                              growth, the creation of jobs, and perpetuating disparate outcomes
  The Problem                                                                                 and wealth inequity for the next generation of Washingtonians.

  ■   Washington State has the fewest number of housing units per household of any
      state in the country, and the housing crisis is getting worse as the number of units
      built has not kept pace with household formation over the last decade.

  ■   The lack of supply puts strong upward pressure on home prices and rents. 44% of         BY THE NUMBERS
      Washington renter households are cost burdened and spend more than 30% of their
      income on housing; 22% of renters are severely cost burdened and spend more than
      50% of their income on housing.

  ■   Chronically undersupplied housing is the principal driver of the state’s homelessness
      crisis. Washington’s homelessness rate—30 per 10,000 residents—is well above the


                                                                                                                                             1.06
      U.S. average (18 per 10,000 residents).

  ■   Homeownership is becoming more unattainable, particularly for BIPOC households.
      The Black homeownership rate is 11.5% lower than the national average, which
                                                                                                      11.5%
                                                                                                   lower Black homeowership            housing units per household
      ranks last among peer states, and the 7th lowest nationally.                               rate than the U.S. average, last     Washington State compared to
                                                                                                        among peer states                    1.14 nationally
  Despite current efforts and legislative focus, Washington is still not building enough
  homes, particularly homes that are affordable at lower and middle incomes, and that
  provide wealth building opportunities for all.


                                                                                                                                                       $
                                                                                                         190K                            $695K
                                                                                                                                         The average new home
                                                                                                         Number of units
                                                                                                  Washington would need to build      construction price statewide,
                                                                                                   to achieve the national ratio       the 6th highest of any state




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY   3
  Executive Summary | Big Idea 2
  Equip the workforce for success, and close the skills gap.

      KEY TAKEAWAY:                                                                                      BY THE NUMBERS
      Washington needs to train 200,000 more skilled workers
      over the next 10 years to keep pace with job openings, a 30%
      increase over current rates.


  The Problem                                                                                                            25%
                                                                                                                    percentage of workers
                                                                                                                                                                              2.5%
                                                                                                                                                                 percentage of workers quitting their job
  ■   Businesses across the state are experiencing persistent and worsening labor
                                                                                                                  over age 55, an all time high                        monthly (30% annualized),
      shortages.                                                                                                                                                       the 10th lowest state rate
      •    The number of job openings are at record highs, as is the share of the workforce
           aged 55 and older.
  ■   There is a chronic gap in the training and skillset development of the workforce
      across the state relative to labor need.
  ■   Annually there is a shortage of 20,000 skilled workers. Meeting this need would

                                                                                                                         221K                                             18,442
      require a 30% increase in the number of certificates and degrees granted in the state.
      •    In-migration of skilled workers helps offset about half of the shortage within the
                                                                                                                      job openings statewide,                       active apprentices statewide in 2019,
           state. 85% of those moving to the state have a bachelor’s or graduate degree,
                                                                                                                 a 40% increase from pre-pandemic                     an increase from 12,376 in 2015
           leaving the largest deficit in the mid-level skilled workforce.
                                                                                                                       levels (2018 and 2019)
  Despite current efforts to boost educational attainment, particularly in high-demand
  fields such as STEM and health, there is a chronic gap between the skills employers
  require and the skills with which job seekers are equipped. While strong workforce             SKILLED WORKERS SUPPLY AND DEMAND GAPS
  demand is seen at all education levels, particularly in STEM, workers with mid-level
  training or education (associates, certificates, and apprenticeship completers) make up
  half of worker need. In-migration helps offset the shortage, but is heavily concentrated in    GRADUATE

  workers with bachelor’s and higher levels of educational attainment.

                                                                                                BACHELOR’S


       Why does this matter for economic development?
       Businesses consider access to a skilled workforce when making                             MID-LEVEL

       location decisions. A limited supply of skilled workers may prevent
                                                                                                             -                  10,000     15,000     20,000   25,000    30,000   35,000       40,000     45,000   50,000
       businesses from locating, expanding, or remaining in an area.
                                                                                                                        DEMAND                  CURRENT ANNUAL GRADUATES                   IN-MIGRATION
                                                                                                 Source: 2017 Skilled and Educated Workforce Report


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                               THREE BIG IDEAS     4
  Executive Summary | Big Idea 3
  Revitalize entrepreneurship (and make it easier to do business).

      KEY TAKEAWAY:                                                                                    BY THE NUMBERS


                                                                                                                          61%                                     13%
      Washington is forming 30% fewer high-growth potential
      businesses than a decade ago, and ranks 4th lowest among
      peer states.                                                                                                   of Black-owned firms and               of Black-owned firms and


  The Problem                                                                                                             73%
                                                                                                                     of Hispanic-owned firms
                                                                                                                                                                  20%
                                                                                                                                                             of Hispanic-owned firms
  Declining Entrepreneurship and High-propensity Formation                                                               applied for PPP                     received all the financing
                                                                                                                       compared to 82% of                   they sought, compared to
  ■   Entrepreneurship has been on the decline nationally and in Washington over the
                                                                                                                        White-owned firms                   40% of White-owned firms
      past 40 years.
  ■   WA’s high-propensity business formation—those most likely to turn into a business
      with a payroll—has declined 30% from the early 2000s (per capita), and now ranks
                                                                                                  ■   Land use and growth management has created an amenity value and produced
      4th lowest among peer states.
                                                                                                      environment benefits, but has also contributed to a limited number of available and
  ■   The economy has consistently performed well on traditional economic development                 suitable sites for business expansion.
      indicators (capacity builders), but that has not translated into shared prosperity
                                                                                                  ■   The Wharton Residential Land Use Regulatory Index ranks the Puget Sound region
      (realized outcomes).
                                                                                                      as the 4th most regulated region in the country for permitting and land use, behind
  ■   Only one third of the jobs in the state pay enough for families to support their                only New York, San Francisco, and Providence (Portland is ranked 10th).
      living expenses.
                                                                                                  Washington has historically performed well on traditional economic indicators and has
  Limited Access to Capital                                                                       leading businesses that have driven success for a subset of the population. However,
                                                                                                  this success has masked growing problems—decreasing high-propensity business
  ■   There are a variety of barriers that are preventing businesses of all sizes from forming,   formation fueled by inequitable access to capital and business supports, and a regulatory
      growing, and competing in the global economy.                                               environment that disproportionately hurts small businesses. Current initiatives and
      •    Venture capital is funding smaller deal sizes in Washington State than the             programs are inadequate to address the extent of these problems.
           national average.
  ■   Small businesses, particularly those owned by communities of color, have limited
      access to capital needed to grow.                                                                Why does this matter for economic development?
  ■   BIPOC-owned firms were half as likely as White-owned firms to use a financial                    Declining rates of business formation, a trend accelerated by
      services provider.                                                                               complex regulations and limited access to capital, limits the
  Burdensome Regulatory Environment                                                                    potential for future economic expansion and shared prosperity
                                                                                                       in Washington.
  ■   The variety of permits required from all levels of government are complicated, costly,
      and time consuming.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                               EXECUTIVE SUMMARY     5
  Executive Summary | Where to Go Next
  Where to Go Next
  Measuring success
  The status quo is currently not producing the desired outcomes. This report helps
  identify and prioritize desired outcomes. In order to measure the progress on identified
  outcomes of producing more quality jobs and creating opportunities to build wealth,
  the state needs to commit to tracking metrics that can measure changes over time. As it
  relates to wealth, there are limited data points that serve as proxies for wealth. If the goal
  is for shared prosperity, additional resources must be devoted to producing metrics that
  directly measure wealth outcomes in the State of Washington.

  Policy options
            Increasing housing production: Washington needs to build housing units
            of all kinds in areas of high economic opportunity that are affordable and
            provide wealth building opportunities. Areas of potential intervention include:
            eliminating exclusionary zoning, options to build more housing units in                     Revitalizing entrepreneurship: Washington can no longer rely on its past
            identified areas of high opportunity that leverage public investment, working               successes to ensure its economic future. Washington needs to improve
            with local governments to address misaligned fee structures and lengthy review              targeted regulatory policies and business supports for firms that will create
            processes, as well as clarifying and calibrating statewide growth management.               quality jobs and wealth building opportunities. This includes supporting firms
            Equipping workers with needed skills by enhancing technical programs                        with high-growth potential, improving access to capital for minority and low-
            and apprenticeships: Maintaining the status quo is no longer an option                      income entrepreneurs, as well as simplifying regulatory requirements for small
            for Washington State if it wants to continue to be a competitive force in the               businesses. Doubling employment in the manufacturing industry statewide
            national and global economy. While traditional degree attainment remains an                 (HB 1170, 2021) would improve high-propensity business formation, but
            important part of workforce development, Washington needs to further explore                specific policies need to be made to achieve this goal.
            nontraditional skill delivery certifications and training, as well as alternative job
            programs to address the growing gaps in mid-level skill quality jobs. Areas of
            the greatest opportunities at the mid-level are expected to be in production            Childcare and broadband access are important and known
            and trades; business, management, and sales; human and protective service;
                                                                                                    areas of need across the state. They are intentionally not
            health professions; and computer and information science.
                                                                                                    highlighted as priorities in this report given recent efforts at
                                                                                                    the state and federal level to address these barriers. These
                                                                                                    interventions and actions should continue to be monitored as
                                                                                                    it will take time to measure the efficacy of these efforts and if
                                                                                                    additional policy action is warranted.



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                         EXECUTIVE SUMMARY      6
                                                                                           1
                                                                                     INTRODUCTION,
                                                                            FRAMEWORK, & EQUITY LENS
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  To Have a Competitive Business Environment, You Need an Accessible Economy
  Understand your strengths, focus on your opportunities.

  Prior to this report, it had been a decade since the State of Washington last looked at its     It undertook a five months long engagement process speaking with elected officials,
  business climate and how it compares to peer states. In that time we have seen multiple         minority business owners, industry economists, tribal leaders, women’s groups,
  disruptions: e-commerce expansion, airplane recalls, a pandemic, immigration shifts,            Labor representatives, economic development professionals, chamber presidents,
  jumps in inflation, and an unpredictable supply chain that can leave key components             and unemployed workers, among others. The technical review looks at the State of
  stuck in the Suez Canal. Some disruptions seem to arrive overnight and can be resolved          the State, identifying key trends in the data that might have been overlooked in the
  through flexible logistics or strategic partnerships. Others build slowly and present           past, but suddenly become urgent areas of concern when putting them into context.
  baseline costs that put the state at a strategic disadvantage. The focus of this study is the   The Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) analysis takes an in-
  latter: what are key, foundational barriers that affect business competitiveness—whether        depth look at key sectors and foundation items in Washington and highlights strategic
  they be Fortune 500 companies or sole proprietorships—as they compete across the                opportunities that could be pursued in the near term. In addition, it took into account a
  state, regionally, and globally.                                                                hard look at traditional approaches to evaluating business competitiveness and a revision
  This study takes a hard look at the Washington economy, scrutinizes traditional indicators      suggested that incorporates updated values the state may include in future metrics. This
  of success, and evaluates some common barriers to growth. The process was iterative             will all be brought together in a summary of the most urgent needs and three ideas most
  and gathered insight from diverse groups and through contrasting approaches.                    deserving of focused efforts.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                        INTRODUCTION, FRAMEWORK & EQUITY LENS        8
  Strong Economic Analysis Requires an Equity Lens
  A rising tide does not always lift all boats.

  As Washington looks towards the future and sets a course for continued economic              Understanding the limitations of the datasets that we have access to, how they were
  growth, resiliency and inclusion must be top state priorities. Building an expanded vision   collected, who was left out, and how the survey design shaped the responses is critical in
  for economic prosperity requires new tools, including a more nuanced set of metrics          how we use and interpret data. Without a critical eye towards “the data” and what it can
  for measuring success, wider definitions of business growth, and a better process for        tell us, we risk finding false results in our analysis. To this end, we took the following steps
  including voices from across the state. An equitable Washington economy helps to             to ensure meaningful and accurate findings:
  ensure that working-class people and people of color have quality jobs paying living
  wages, access to the capital needed to build their wealth and their businesses, and a
  role at decision making tables. Washington State’s diverse population includes workers,
  entrepreneurs, innovators, and leaders all looking to increase their economic security
  and mobility.                                                                                                   Disaggregate data by race/ethnicity wherever possible (geographies,
                                                                                                                  ownership, etc.) to find where inequities exist.
  This report is examining the state’s economy using a different research methodology
  than has been used before. Our approach centers economic equity as critical to the
  state’s vitality and growth and offers evidence-based findings that show where disparities                      Perform analyses that are intersectional in approach. How do race and
  exist and what the state can do to reduce them. Because achieving equity is a complex                           ethnicity intersect with other identity categories that exacerbate or
  goal, having good research strategies is an important first step. We used a racial equity                       mitigate economic mobility or access to resources?
  approach in our research process to ensure we identified racial disparities, why they
  exist, and how to address them. We also used this approach to help develop findings that                        Locate and utilize data sets from unconventional sources to help add
  can be used to promote equity. This framework illustrates the circular nature of equity                         context to larger data analysis.
  planning, decision-making, and implementation of actions. These methods guided the
  team on what issues to look for in the data analysis and community engagement.
                                                                                                                  Maintain a strong commitment to interrogating our data sources,
                                                                                                                  sampling methods, and the validity of our analyses.


                                                                                                                  Recognize that data contains biases, and work to clearly document
                                                                                                                  and establish plans to mitigate bias within the data we maintain and in
                                                                                                                  how we use data to make decisions.


                                                                                                                  Use accessible and understandable visualization and communication
                                                                                                                  tools to share insights from our data to a wide range of audiences
                                                                                                                  across a variety of access needs.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                        INTRODUCTION, FRAMEWORK & EQUITY LENS            9
                                                                                    2
                                                                            STATE OF THE STATE

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  State of the State
  Washington has transitioned its economy into a knowledge and tech leader.

  This section will establish a baseline trajectory for businesses, industries, and           INDUSTRY CLUSTER
  geographies prior to the COVID-19 pandemic—then determine how they have been                                                 Education & Healthcare			                Professional & Business Services
  impacted in Washington’s recovery to date. This will primarily focus on a quantitative                                       Finance & Information			                 Leisure & Hospitality
  analysis to help frame trends and to contextualize the feedback received from industry                                       Trade, Transportation, & Utilites		      Government
  stakeholder outreach. This section investigates how the composition of industries has                                        Goods-producing

  changed in the last 30 years, identifies long run trends in workforce demographics,
                                                                                                                              3.0M
  contextualizes the income distribution compared to the U.S. and regional peer
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Industry cluster
  states, explores the components of population growth, and investigates the housing




                                                                                                  Average annual employment
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Trade, Transportation,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      and Utilities
  affordability crises across the state.                                                                                                                                                                              Professional and
                                                                                                                              2.0M                                                                                    Business Services
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Government


  Introduction
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Education & Healthcare
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Goods Producing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Finance and Information
                                                                                                                              1.0M
  A generation ago, Washington’s economic                                                                                                                                                                             Leisure and Hospitality


  outlook was mixed. The immediately preceding
  decades had been characterized by severe                                                                                    0.0M
                                                                                                                                     1990                   2000                2010                       2020
  recessions, uneven job growth, and periods                                                                                                                         Year

  of sizable out-migration in urban and rural                                                Source: Employment Security Department Washington State

  parts of the state. The wood products industry
  was adjusting to federal harvest restrictions,                                             Washington has been a leading U.S. job growth center
  automation, and foreign and domestic                                                       during the past 30 years and successfully transitioned
  competition. And the technology sector
                                                                                             into the knowledge economy
  was taking hold but still in its relative early
  stages. Per capita income hovered around the
                                                                                             Washington’s jobs fall into seven industrial supersectors: trade, transportation, and utilities;
  U.S. average.
                                                                                             professional and business services; education and healthcare; finance and information;
  But the state’s economic foundation—its human, physical, natural, and social capital—      leisure and hospitality; goods-producing; and government. Every sector has grown over
  was strong in 1990. A skilled workforce, highly regarded schools and universities, deep-   the past three decades (see chart). This period
  water ports, and talent-attracting natural amenities were in place. Over the next 30       will be remembered for the transition from
  years, the state made a successful transition into a knowledge economy while resource      industrial resources extractive activities to
  extractive industries settled into important, supporting roles. Traditional economic       knowledge-based work. Recent employment in
  metrics—jobs, output, household incomes—pulled away from national averages.                the goods-producing sector (manufacturing) is
  Washington went from a middling performer to one of the most prosperous states in          narrowly above its level in 1990. A combination
  the nation. This generally positive economic story is marred by two critical failings:     of factory automation and offshoring has led
  highly unequal income growth across racial/ethnic groups and chronic housing               to sharp sectoral losses nationally. The small,
  underproduction. The state’s current economic performance could be summarized as a         4% increase in jobs over 30 years is better
  period of prosperity inequitably shared.                                                   performance than most of the U.S.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                             STATE OF THE STATE              11
  State of the State
  Growing the manufacturing and construction sectors provides an opportunity for quality jobs.

  Which industry supersectors had the largest employment growth                                                                                          and specialized infrastructure, workers in these sectors are freer to choose high amenity
  over the last 30 years?                                                                                                                                locations where they would prefer to live. And over the past three decades, Washington
                                                                                                                                                         has fared well in the competition for this work.
  The education and healthcare sectors (eds and meds) experienced demographically-
  driven, robust growth. An aging population drives demand in the healthcare sector                                                                      Washington’s leisure and hospitality sector grew with the rest of the economy until
  and, until recently, the children of baby boomers (the baby boom echo) supported                                                                       March 2020 and then contracted sharply. The sector’s outlook is tied to public health
  higher education enrollments. Both sectors are labor intensive, and many of the related                                                                conditions, which remain uncertain entering 2022. App-based restaurant ordering, hotel
  occupations do not lend themselves to automation.                                                                                                      self check-in kiosks, and other forms of automation will slow the sector’s job recovery and
                                                                                                                                                         drive demand for training by former industry employees.
  The next two fastest growing sectors—professional business services and finance
  and information—draw disproportionately on workers with bachelor’s and advanced
                                                                                                                                                         Manufacturing sector employment declined in the last 30 years,
  degrees. Unlike the goods-producing sector, which needs access to particular resources
                                                                                                                                                         but less than the overall U.S. decline
  WASHINGTON STATE SUPERSECTOR CHANGE IN EMPLOYMENT SINCE 1990                                                                                         Within the goods-producing sector, the decline in manufacturing sector employment
                                                                                                                                                       almost completely offset the near doubling of the number of workers in the construction
                                                     240%                                                                    238%                      sector since 1990. Through the middle of the 2000s, the 20% manufacturing employment
                                                                                                                                                       decline in Washington matched the national rate—since then, employment recovered
                                                     220%
                                                                                                                                                       5% (pre-pandemic) compared to a further 8% decline nationally. In the last legislative




       Average annual employment (% of 1990 level)
                                                     200%
                                                                                                                                                       session, HB1170 was passed with the goal of reversing this trend and aiming to double
                                                                                                                             193%     Industry cluster the number of manufacturing jobs in the state.
                                                                                                                             191%        Trade, Transportation,
                                                                                                                                         and Utilities
                                                     180%
                                                                                                                                         Professional andMANUFACTURING SECTOR EMPLOYMENT
                                                                                                                                         Business Services
                                                                                                                                         Government      WASHINGTON STATE VS. U.S. CHANGE SINCE 1900 (INDEX 1990=100)
                                                     160%
                                                                                                                             154%        Education & Healthcare
                                                                                                                             150%        Goods Producing
                                                     140%                                                                                Finance and Information
                                                                                                                             137%
                                                                                                                                         Leisure and Hospitality

                                                     120%


                                                                                                                             104%
                                                     100%




                                                            1990              2000                2010                2020
                                                                                           Year
    INDUSTRY CLUSTER
                                                     Education & Health			                         Professional & Business Services
                                                     Finance & Information			                      Leisure & Hospitality
                                                     Trade, Transportation, & Utilites		           Government
                                                     Goods-producing
    Source: Employment Security Department Washington State                                                                                              Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                                        STATE OF THE STATE    12
  State of the State
  Washington has a skills gap decades in the making.

  WASHINGTON TOTAL JOB OPENINGS AND QUITS




                                             QUITS                             OPENINGS
  Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey


  The current workforce challenge is both
  a retention and a recruitment problem
  Early in the pandemic, the number of job openings dropped to the lowest level in a decade   The share of the workforce aged 55+
  as did the number of people leaving their jobs. By mid 2021, job openings increased to      has more than doubled in the past two decades
  record highs and the number of people quitting their jobs was in line with numbers for
                                                                                              Demographers and workforce developers have long anticipated an older workforce as
  the few years leading into the pandemic. While the so-called “Great Resignation” is more
                                                                                              the baby boom generation aged. The youngest baby boomers turned 57 in 2021, and as
  related to the rate of workers quitting as the unemployment rate increased, the larger
                                                                                              the generational cohort aged, the share of workers aged 55+ has steadily risen—from
  change is the growing inability of firms to hire workers at all skill levels.
                                                                                              less than 10% in 1990 to almost a quarter in 2019.
  More than half of Washington jobs are in big firms                                          The share is growing for a number of reasons: the baby boomer generation is bigger
  (500+ employees)                                                                            than the generations that preceded it, people are living longer thanks to improvements
  More than half of Washington workers (52%) work for a firm with more than 500               in healthcare, people are working longer because of insufficient retirement savings, and
  employees—up from 42% in 1993. Employment shares in a number of small- to mid-sized         some older Washingtonians are working more by choice.
  firm categories (0–19, 20–49, 50–249, 250–499) all declined during the period. In 1990,     An older workforce brings more experience, but also less predictability about ongoing
  Washington had the highest share of employees in the 50–249 employment category             participation rates and weekly hours. Businesses and their workforce development
  when compared in a 20-state peer group. By 2020, Washington’s position fell to 12th. For    partners must understand, and plan for, new dynamics—extended careers, late career
  employment in the 500+ category, Washington went from 18th in 1990—ahead of only            training needs, phased retirements, bridge jobs (e.g., a change in occupation or switch to
  Idaho and Oregon—to 10th in 2020.                                                           part-time status), apprenticeships, and mentorship opportunities.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                            STATE OF THE STATE    13
  State of the State
  Household incomes have pulled away from U.S. levels at all points of the income distribution. But inequality has widened.

  In 2019, Washington household incomes were consistently above U.S. levels across                  Income inequality widened during the 2010s. The Palma Ratio, which compares
  income distribution—from the 5th to 97th percentiles (see chart). The Washington-                 the aggregate incomes of high income households (i.e., top 10%) to low income
  U.S. differences are highest at the lower end of household income thanks to strong,               households (i.e., bottom 40%), increased from 2.35 to 2.55 at the state level. That
  pre-pandemic economic conditions and the state’s minimum wage law. Washington’s                   means the top 10% of households had 255%—or more than 2 and a half times—
  median (50th percentile) household income was 18% above the U.S. level in 2019. At                the incomes of the bottom 40% in 2019. By contrast, Norway’s Palma Ratio is 1.0.
  higher income levels, the Washington-U.S. differences gradually converge.                         The inequality measure rose in King, Pierce, and Spokane counties, but declined in
                                                                                                    Clark County.




  HOUSEHOLD INCOME DISTRIBUTION RELATIVE TO U.S. AVERAGE, 2019


         130%
                                                                                                      125%
                                                                                                                                                     CALIFORNIA

         120%
                                                                                                      118%                                                WASHINGTON
         110%
                                                     OREGON
                                                                                                      100%                                               U.S. AVERAGE
         100%


          90%                                                                                         85%
                                                         IDAHO
          80%


          70%


          60%
                5   79       11   13 15 17 19   21   23 25 27 29 31 33   35   37 39   41 43 45 47   49 51 53 55 57   59 61   63 65   67 69 71 73 75 77   79 81 83 85    87 89   91   93   95   97
                                                                                                     Percentile
             LOW INCOME			                            				                                    MEDIAN INCOME						                                                      HIGH INCOME
                    Source: PUMS 2019


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                  STATE OF THE STATE       14
  State of the State
  Job opportunities and natural amenities are attracting households and talent to nearly every part of the state.

  Key demographic indicators are becoming increasingly important measures of the state’s                               Interestingly, even Texas, which pulls people from much of the country, lost population
  economic health. Washington and the U.S. have entered a period of low population                                     to Washington on a net basis during the 2010s. And Washington has been migration
  growth that’s expected to continue in coming decades. Nationally, the population                                     neutral with Colorado, Idaho, and Nevada.
  grew at its lowest rate in history during the 2010s—a function of an aging baby boom
  cohort, low fertility rates, and tighter U.S. immigration policy. Many regions of the                                POPULATION California
                                                                                                                                  CHANGE COMPONENTS, BY  STATE
                                                                                                                                                      Colorado                                                            Idaho
  country anticipate acute workforce shortages and declines in their prime-age working                                2.00%
                                                                                                                                                      California                        Colorado                           Idaho
  populations (25–54-year-olds). Prominent labor economists argue that workforce                                                         2.00%
  shortages—rather than job-eliminating automation—must be the top concern of                                         1.50%

  policymakers and economic developers.                                                                                   1.50%
                                                                                                                      1.00%
  Washington’s migration story is a positive one. Every region of the state has attracted
                                                                                                                                         1.00%
  net migrants consistently since 1990. That was not the case in the three decades leading                            0.50%
  up to 1990 (see chart). The ability to attract population broadly in both urban and rural                                              0.50%
  areas is uncommon across the U.S. and an advantage for Washington.                                                  0.00%




                                                                                                    % of population
                                                                                                                                         0.00%
  The migrants’ states of origin tell a story as well. Washington has drawn heavily from


                                                                                                                       % of population
                                                                                                                      -0.50%
  California and Oregon—nearby states with similarly competitive natural amenities. The                                                  -0.50%     Oregon                             Texas                            Washington
  diversity of job offerings and, relative to California, lower housing costs are likely drivers.                     2.00%                            Oregon                               Texas                       Washington
                                                                                                                          2.00%

                                                                                                                      1.50%
                                                                                                                          1.50%

                                                                                                                      1.00%
                                                                                                                          1.00%

                                                                                                                      0.50%
                                                                                                                          0.50%


                                                                                                                      0.00%
                                                                                                                          0.00%


                                                                                                                      -0.50%
                                                                                                                           -0.50%
                                                                                                                                           20
                                                                                                                                           2 1
                                                                                                                                         2001
                                                                                                                                           21 2
                                                                                                                                         20 011
                                                                                                                                            1 3
                                                                                                                                         202021
                                                                                                                                           21 4
                                                                                                                                         20 031
                                                                                                                                            1 5
                                                                                                                                         20204 1
                                                                                                                                            1 16
                                                                                                                                         20 05
                                                                                                                                           21 17
                                                                                                                                         20206
                                                                                                                                            11
                                                                                                                                         20207 8
                                                                                                                                            11
                                                                                                                                         20208 9
                                                                                                                                            12
                                                                                                                                         20 9 0
                                                                                                                                           2200
                                                                                                                                         202 1 1
                                                                                                                                             101
                                                                                                                                         202 2
                                                                                                                                            10
                                                                                                                                         202 213
                                                                                                                                            10
                                                                                                                                         202 314
                                                                                                                                            10
                                                                                                                                         20 415
                                                                                                                                           210
                                                                                                                                         20 516
                                                                                                                                           210
                                                                                                                                         20 617
                                                                                                                                           21
                                                                                                                                         20 0718
                                                                                                                                           2108
                                                                                                                                         20 19
                                                                                                                                           21
                                                                                                                                         20 092
                                                                                                                                           220 0
                                                                                                                                         20 01
                                                                                                                                           21 1
                                                                                                                                         20 011
                                                                                                                                            1 2
                                                                                                                                         202021
                                                                                                                                           21 3
                                                                                                                                         20 031
                                                                                                                                            1 4
                                                                                                                                         20204
                                                                                                                                            1 15
                                                                                                                                         20 05
                                                                                                                                                                                       Year
                                                                                                                                           21 16
                                                                                                                                         20206
                                                                                                                                            11
                                                                                                                                         20207 7
                                                                                                                                            11
                                                                                                                                         20208 8
                                                                                                                                            11
                                                                                                                                         202 9 9
                                                                                                                                            2002 0
                                                                                                                                                                                        Year
                                                                                                                        POPULATION CHANGE COMPONENT
                                                                                                                                                                   Population change
                                                                                                                                                                     Population      component
                                                                                                                                                                                change component
                                                                                                                                             NATURAL INCREASE		             RESIDUAL NET MIGRATION
                                                                                                                                                                      Natural Increase
                                                                                                                                                                        Natural  Increase     Residual
                                                                                                                                                                                               ResidualNet
                                                                                                                                                                                                        NetMigration
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Migration
                                                                                                                         Source: Census Population Estimates


                                                                                                                       THE BOTTOM LINE: in a coming era that will be defined by slower population growth,
                                                                                                                       Washington appears well positioned to compete with its regional neighbors for
                                                                                                                       households and talent.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                                STATE OF THE STATE   15
  State of the State
  Housing production has not kept pace with population or job growth, which has triggered affordability and homelessness crises.

  NUMBER OF HOUSING UNITS BUILT PER NEW HOUSEHOLD FORMED FROM 2010-2020




                                                                                                 Washington’s low production and high cost housing market drives the state’s
                                                                                                 homelessness crisis. 22% of Washington renter households spend more than 50% of
                                                                                                 their income on rent and are at increased risk of homelessness. High housing prices
                                                                                                 also lock households out of home ownership. Differential homeownership rates are a
                                                                                                 key contributor to large wealth gaps across racial/ethnic groups. Two-thirds of White
           0.0 - 0.7		                  0.7 - 0.9		                0.9 - 1.0		   1.0 - 1.1
           1.1 OR OVER		                N/A                                                      Washington households are homeowners—a higher share than any other racial/ethnic
                                                                                                 group and more than twice the rate for Black households.
  Source: U.S. Census, Washington Office of Financial Management

                                                                                                 WASHINGTON STATE HOMEOWNERSHIP RATE BY RACE/ETHNICITY, 2019
  The sustained success in job creation and population attraction has come with a price:
  exceptionally high housing price inflation. The median home price to median household
  income ratio (PTI) exceeds 6.0 along most of the I-5 corridor, approaches 8.0 in and around    70%            66.7%
  Seattle, and stands at 6.7 in Spokane. The national PTI is 4.4. A household with median                                      59.8%                                                  NATIONALLY IT IS 42.6%,
                                                                                                 60%
                                                                                                                                                                                   WA HAS THE 7TH L OWEST RATE
  income can afford the median priced home in only nine of the state’s 39 counties—and                                                              51.9%
                                                                                                 50%
  seven of those are east of the Cascades.                                                                                                                               45.4%
                                                                                                 40%
  Population and job growth do not automatically translate into high housing prices.
                                                                                                                                                                                              31.1%
  Many other U.S. regions have built housing to accommodate their growing economies.             30%

  Washington hasn’t. In fact, Washington has the fewest housing units per household in
                                                                                                 20%
  the U.S.—Washington’s 1.06 units per household versus a U.S. average 1.14. The problem
  was exacerbated by underproduction during the past decade when every county on the             10%

  I-5 corridor, coastal counties, and several eastside counties built fewer housing units than   0%
                                                                                                                 WHITE        ASIAN AND       AMERICAN INDIAN AND   HISPANIC OR LATINO        BLACK OR
  the number of households created.                                                                                        PACIFIC ISLANDER     ALASKAN NATIVE                            AFRICAN AMERICAN
                                                                                                 Source: Census 2019 ACS


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                STATE OF THE STATE      16
                                                                               3
                                                                                OUTREACH
                                                                            & ENGAGEMENT
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Outreach & Engagement
  Identify gaps in outreach and develop strategy.


  Outreach Approach                                                                             Focus Group Approach
  Gathering insight on economic goals, barriers, and issues for small businesses, employers,    The consultant team worked together to develop a focus group plan and questions for
  employees, and communities in Washington State required a robust outreach approach.           participants. All focus groups began with an overview of the project purpose as well
  This approach, facilitated through a neutral third-party facilitation and public outreach     as necessary background information. The third-party facilitator led the discussions
  firm, utilized a variety of outreach strategies to gather as many perspectives as possible    by asking participants to share barriers to growth, community goals, potential state
  in a short time frame. Focus groups were offered during standing (i.e., “go-to-you”)          investments, and the definition of quality jobs. Focus groups were conducted online
  meetings or at times requested by participants to streamline scheduling. The consultant       using a virtual whiteboard as a visual aid to document participant feedback in real time.
  team reached out to new and existing contacts and organizations, and provided                 Focus groups included:
  pre-drafted emails for organizations to share with their networks to ease coordination
                                                                                                   ■   Washington State Commission of Asian Pacific American Affairs
  and scheduling. Preliminary outreach included:

     ■   Contact with 16 organizations.                                                            ■   Washington State Women’s Commission (WSWC)

     ■   25 stakeholder interviews.                                                                ■   WSWC Stakeholders
     ■   10 focus groups.
                                                                                                   ■   Quinault Prosperity, Health, and Human Services Subcommittee
     ■   2 surveys (distributed through organizations that were unable to hold focus groups).
                                                                                                   ■   Latino Education and Training Institute (LETI)
  After the initial round of outreach, the consultant team implemented a follow-up
                                                                                                   ■   Washington State Labor Council (WSLC)
  engagement strategy to reach additional communities and gather their perspectives.
  Outreach included:                                                                               ■   Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce REACH
     ■   Analyzing gaps in outreach and brainstorming additional stakeholders and
         organizations.

     ■   Following up with focus group participants that indicated interest in hosting
         additional focus groups.

     ■   Utilizing stakeholder connections and existing networks to convene additional
         focus groups.

     ■   Sharing information about the project and purpose through introductory calls
         with stakeholders.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                       OUTREACH    18
  Engagement and Outreach
  Workforce development, cost of living, connectivity are large concerns.


  Key Themes & Feedback
  The following is a short list of key themes and systemic barriers that consistently            The shift to digital work highlighted a need for reliable broadband
  surfaced in focus group conversations; however, individual circumstances and specific          and technological literacy.
  barriers varied among participants.                                                            Focus group participants noted that small businesses, especially non-
                                                                                                 English speaking, immigrant, or BIPOC-owned businesses, need resources
                                                                                                 and support to navigate digital paperwork to actively participate in the
                Infrastructure gaps create barriers to participate in the economy for            growing economy. Limited access to broadband also impacts education
                employees and employers.                                                         and learning opportunities.

                Employers and employees face a variety of barriers that make it difficult        High-quality education opens the door to high-quality jobs.
                to access funding, assistance, and business support. This includes               Limited access to affordable and high-quality education prevents
                administrative requirements for small businesses related to paperwork,           employees from accepting positions in areas with limited public schooling
                licensing, and employment, as well as access to health care, childcare,          options. Many employees cannot attend classes during weekdays or
                quality jobs defined by flexible working hours to care for children or elders,   working hours. Participants suggested providing more virtual classes and
                mental health support, and cultural and linguistically specific support          classes on the weekends, as well as courses in the primary languages of
                and resources.                                                                   perspective students.
                Business-specific support and investments included improved
                access to information and resources, access to capital and loans,                Promote and provide vocational training opportunities early on.
                support for community-based organizations that provide resources                 Vocational training tracks beginning in high school are needed to increase
                for small businesses, incentives to contract with small or                       the amount of workers with needed skills, particularly in the trades,
                minority-owned businesses, and streamlined and consistent labor and              nursing, and physician assistant professions, among other specialized
                contracting requirements.                                                        professionals. Focus group participants suggested increasing both in-
                                                                                                 person and online vocational training opportunities, increasing resources
                Lack of affordable housing impacts recruitment and retention.                    for this type of training, and investing in local community colleges.
                Many participants indicated that the rising cost of housing is a significant
                barrier for both employees and employers. This impacts communities’              Shifting economic priorities are causing workforce transitions.
                ability to build generational wealth, which has broad-reaching cultural          Employees need support to make career changes to respond to the
                and social impacts. Rising housing costs can lead to workforce migration.        changing economy (i.e., climate change focused jobs, remote working,
                Employees can’t afford to live near their jobs or must work more than one        etc.). Additional resources could include supporting the transfer of
                job to afford housing. Employers indicated that commercial affordability         titles or accreditations from different states or countries, supporting the
                was also an issue.                                                               growth of transferable skills and transition between sectors, increasing
                                                                                                 entrepreneurship and artistry programs, and clarifying pathways to
                                                                                                 unemployment support.
                                                                                                                    For a list of focus group participants and notes, see Appendix.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                OUTREACH     19
                                                                                4
                                                                            SWOT SUMMARY

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  SWOT Summary
  Washington has a diverse economy, with a variety of distinct challenges.

  This chapter presents the findings from an assessment of Washington’s
  strengths, challenges, and opportunities (a modified SWOT analysis).           Washington Industries
  Assessing Washington’s strengths, challenges, and opportunities lays
                                                                                 The SWOT analysis is conducted for 13 sectors of Washington’s economy:
  the groundwork for future economic development strategies. The
  SWOT analysis touches on the overall factors that reach into multiple
                                                                                          AEROSPACE: The aerospace sector is a major driver of economic activity in Washington State with more than 1,300
  aspects of the economy and aims to identify themes that emerge across                   aerospace-related companies.
  industry clusters.
                                                                                          AGRICULTURE & AGRIBUSINESS (including processing): Agriculture is Washington’s second-largest export
                                                                                          category, making the state a key supplier of food for export markets.
  Overview
  For the purposes of the modified SWOT analysis for Washington’s sectors, the            CLIMATE/ENERGY: Washington State ranks 13th in the nation for clean energy jobs, with more than 85,000
                                                                                          as of 2020.
  strengths, challenges, and opportunities can be characterized as:
                                                                                          FOREST PRODUCTS: Washington’s working forests sustain the third largest manufacturing sector in the state.
     ■   Strengths: specific assets and characteristics of the sector/
         foundational item that separate it from competition and give it                  INFORMATION & COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY: The ICT industry employs roughly 278,000
         an advantage.                                                                    people across Washington, including software developers, computer systems analysts, and web developers.

                                                                                          LIFE SCIENCES/GLOBAL HEALTH: More than 1,100 life science firms and 170 global health organizations
     ■   Challenges: internal and external elements that represent a
                                                                                          reside in Washington, employing nearly 40,000 workers statewide, as of 2019.
         weakness or threat to the sector/foundational item and could work
         against a successful outcome. Challenges need to be acknowledged                 MARITIME: Maritime activities in Washington support a broad range of industries, including boat and ship building,
         to be fixed or mitigated.                                                        recreational boat construction, commercial fishing and seafood processing, maritime logistics and shipping, and
                                                                                          passenger water transportation.
     ■   Opportunities: factors that the sector/foundational item can prepare
                                                                                          MILITARY, DEFENSE & NATIONAL SECURITY: In the past three years, businesses in Washington State
         for to capitalize on or use to its advantage and to better achieve               were awarded nearly $15 billion in contracts, roughly 4% of the state’s GDP.
         stated objectives.
                                                                                          TRADE/LOGISTICS: It is estimated that 921,400 jobs were supported by trade (exports and imports) in
  The SWOT analysis reflects regional input from across the state and                     Washington in 2017, approximately 28% of total statewide employment.
  the best available data. The SWOT process involved the use of existing                  CONSTRUCTION (Housing, Commercial, Infrastructure): The state’s construction sector employs an estimated
  industry studies and plans, and secondary data from several state and                   223,000 workers.
  federal sources. The State of the State and Business Competitiveness
  Reports acted as the foundation of the review of strength, challenges, and              HOSPITALITY/TOURISM: Historically, hospitality and tourism has been the state’s fourth-largest industry and
                                                                                          has employed more than 180,000 workers statewide.
  opportunities. The analysis was bolstered by qualitative input from various
  stakeholders, including industry experts and Department of Commerce                     MANUFACTURING: As of 2019, manufacturing employment was responsible for nearly 300,000 Washington jobs.
  sector leads.
                                                                                          FINANCIAL SERVICES: The financial services cluster supports direct investment in Washington’s innovation
                                                                                          economy and presents opportunities for high-value job creation statewide.



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                SWOT SUMMARY          21
  SWOT Summary
  Washington has excelled at attracting talent.

                                                                                                An established, high-performing network of public, private, and joint educational
     Key cross-industry strengths                                                               and training institutions support nearly every major Washington sector. Washington’s
                                                                                                two largest universities, University of Washington and Washington State University,
                    Talent attraction, consistent in-migration                                  support a large number of industries through their research initiatives, including
                                                                                                aerospace, agriculture, climate and energy, forest products, and life sciences.
                                                                                                Washington’s robust infrastructure and transportation system is another key strength
                    Strong ICT presence and skilled tech labor
                                                                                                the state possesses. Led by Washington’s robust system of ports and the maritime industry,
                                                                                                the state has become well established as a trade hub. The fluid transportation of imports
                    Established, high-performing network of public, private,                    and exports via water, road, and rail supports several Washington industries, including
                    and joint educational and training institutions                             the manufacturing, agriculture and agribusiness, and aerospace industries.
                                                                                                Energy costs in Washington State are among the lowest per kilowatt-hour of any U.S.
                    Robust infrastructure and transportation system                             state. Low energy costs are obtained through a range of renewable energy offerings and
                                                                                                competitively priced natural gas. Clean energy is a staple of Washington’s power grid,
                                                                                                which boasts the largest coordinated hydroelectric system in the world and continues
                    Low energy costs, clean energy
                                                                                                to see investment and research to advance current technologies. Industries leading
                                                                                                research in clean energy include forest products and agriculture (biomass and biochar),
                                                                                                maritime and aerospace (sustainable and alternative fuels), and ICT (technological
                    Natural assets and features
                                                                                                innovations in clean energy).
                                                                                                Washington’s natural assets include rich soils, diverse climates, a healthy supply of
                                                                                                water, robust forestland, extensive coast lines and river mileage, and natural deep-
  Industries throughout Washington benefit from the state’s many assets and                     water ports. Washington’s proximity to western trade partners is another strength
  unique resources.                                                                             leveraged by many of Washington’s industries, including agriculture and agribusiness,
                                                                                                maritime, and trade and logistics. Washington’s expansive forestland, which includes
  A key strength of the state has been the ability to attract a talented labor pool,
                                                                                                many national and state parks alongside extensive privately owned land, support several
  and garner consistent in-migration. The interconnected nature of Washington’s
                                                                                                of Washington’s key industries. These industries include hospitality and tourism, forest
  top industries has allowed the benefits of a large skilled labor force to be felt widely.
                                                                                                products, and construction.
  Attracted through strong education and public institutions, in addition to global private
  enterprises, the talented labor flowing into the state have especially benefited industries
  requiring a highly skilled and tech-minded labor force.
  Another cross-industry strength belonging to Washington is the strong ICT presence
  and skilled tech labor force accompanying the ICT industry. Technology and innovation
  have increasingly found a presence in industries throughout the state. Washington’s life
  sciences industry has especially benefited, as artificial intelligence, cloud computing,
  machine learning, and other technologies have gained footing within the industry.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                  SWOT SUMMARY      22
  SWOT Summary
  Foundational challenges run across many industries.

                                                                                              The impacts of climate change present challenges for most industries in Washington
     Key cross-industry challenges                                                            State. Extreme climate events can be costly to individuals and governments, as they
                                                                                              can disrupt factories, supply chain operations, and other infrastructure, and also disrupt
                    Skilled labor shortages                                                   transport. Climate volatility may force companies to deal with uncertainty in the price of
                                                                                              resources for production, energy transport, and insurance. Climate change, wildfires, and
                                                                                              rising sea levels will reshape where and when tourists travel.
                    Childcare supply limitations
                                                                                              New challenges for most industries throughout Washington State have emerged since
                                                                                              the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.
                    Climate change impacts
                                                                                              Pandemic impacts on the travel industry, including a lack of international coordination,
                                                                                              severe travel restrictions, and slower vaccination rates in some parts of the world
                    Pandemic impacts on the travel industry
                                                                                              continue to hamper the recovery of several industries in Washington, such as aerospace
                                                                                              and hospitality and tourism.
                    Pandemic impacts to global supply chains
                                                                                              Pandemic impacts to the global supply chains have shown that supply chains remain
                                                                                              vulnerable to shocks and disruptions, with many industries currently wrestling to
                    The rise in remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic                      overcome supply-side shortages and logistics-capacity constraints. The global supply
                                                                                              chain is likely to continue to undergo major changes; for example, relocating activities
                                                                                              outside of China. This may change the pattern of where entrepreneurs locate their
                                                                                              businesses, with whom they collaborate, how they define their own supply and value
  Several foundational challenges were impacting Washington’s industries even                 chains, and how they source needed capabilities. The pandemic will continue to test the
  prior to the pandemic.                                                                      ability of most industries in Washington to adapt and improve supply-chain resilience.

  Skilled labor shortage is a challenge faced by many industries in Washington State.         The rise in remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic makes it easier for employees
  Even prior to the pandemic, some industries like construction were suffering from a         and companies to uproot. Startup founders are more likely to choose their HQ based on
  lack of qualified workers due to factors such as an aging workforce, declining numbers      personal and quality-of-life reasons. This has implications for housing, transit, and the
  of skilled immigrants entering the workforce, lack of interest in blue-collar jobs among    future of real estate.
  young people, and competition with other higher-skilled industries. As Washington
  is recovering from the COVID-19 recession, labor shortages are showing up in more
  industries ranging from food service and warehouses, to accounting and finance.
  Childcare supply limitations have emerged as one of the drivers for the labor shortage
  impacting many industries statewide. Before the pandemic, over half a million children
  ages 0-12 did not have access to licensed childcare in Washington State, according to an
  industry assessment report from the state Department of Commerce. The pandemic has
  made clear that the absence of reliable and affordable childcare limits which jobs people
  can accept, makes it harder to advance, and restricts the ability of the state’s economy
  to grow.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                SWOT SUMMARY      23
  SWOT Summary
  Opportunities remain in talent and technology.

                                                                                                Creating well-paying and high-demand jobs at all levels. As technology and
     Key cross-industry opportunities                                                           innovation continues to reshape the global economy, creating a resilient economy will
                                                                                                depend on each industry’s ability to generate well-paying and high-demand jobs that
                    Restructuring workforce development                                         reach all levels of the workforce.
                    and training systems throughout the state                                   Washington’s remaining opportunities lie in the state’s historical success as a leader in
                                                                                                technology and environmental sustainability.
                    Closing workforce equity gaps                                               Accelerate the clean economy and clean technologies. Current research surrounding
                                                                                                alternative and clean fuel technology is underway in the climate and energy, aerospace,
                    Creating well-paying and high-demand jobs at all levels                     maritime, manufacturing, and forest products industries. Mass timber has also continued
                                                                                                to gain traction throughout the state, supporting green initiatives within the forest
                                                                                                products and construction industries.
                    Accelerate the clean economy and clean technologies
                                                                                                Environmental sustainability, in addition to the advancements in clean energy
                                                                                                and clean fuels discussed above, present opportunities for many of Washington’s key
                    Environmental sustainability
                                                                                                industries. Prominent environmental sustainability opportunities include:

                    Innovations to maintain global leadership role in technology
                                                                                                         ■   Improving the efficiency and yield of agricultural production.


  Many of the key cross-industry opportunities facing Washington pertain to the                          ■   Increasing the demand for more sustainably produced agricultural goods.
  workforce of the future, including:
  Restructuring workforce development and training systems throughout the                                ■   Wildfire prevention.
  state. Through restructured or innovative workforce training programs, each industry
  can skill up their respective labor forces to be prepared for the future of work. This will
                                                                                                         ■   Continued investment in green building initiatives.
  likely be achieved through additional investment into workforce training and continued
  partnerships with Washington’s higher education institutions, including the state’s robust
  Community and Technical Colleges network.                                                     Continued innovations to maintain global leadership role in technology. Extending
                                                                                                beyond the state’s technology centered industries, which continue to build upon a strong
  Closing workforce equity gaps. Through programs like Apprenti, started by the
                                                                                                history of innovation, are non-technologically centered industries investing in their
  Washington Technology Industry Association, state registered apprenticeship and
                                                                                                own innovation. Benefiting from a strong tech workforce and educational institutions,
  training programs can help underrepresented populations more easily enter an
                                                                                                Washington’s agricultural industry is a prime example of this innovation. Current
  industry’s workforce. Construction, which has historically suffered from a workforce
                                                                                                technology advances are focusing on automation and drones working to enhance
  lacking racial and gender diversity, could leverage existing training programs to increase
                                                                                                efficiency in water use, non-pesticide pest repellents, production density, storage,
  diversity in their workforce while simultaneously addressing current and expected
                                                                                                and packaging.
  shortages associated with an aging workforce.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                  SWOT SUMMARY     24
                                                                                           5
                                                                                         REDEFINING
                                                                            BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Redefining Business Competitiveness
  Existing definitions of business competitiveness oversimplify growth.

  The Washington State Legislature wants to examine the state’s economic                       development practitioners understand what matters to economic competitiveness, the
  competitiveness so that it can craft economic development policies and practices that        first step towards a new state strategy is a shared understanding of how these rankings
  yield strong, quality, and equitable growth in a challenging and tumultuous post-            are flawed and why Washington needs a new definition of competitiveness. Below is a
  COVID economic environment. The purpose of defining and assessing Washington’s               summary of the three main types of rankings that tend to circulate in policy and advocacy
  competitiveness is to shape the state’s strategy, including which policies are prioritized   discussions and the ways in which each is flawed as a means of shaping strategy.
  and how the state deploys its scarce economic development resources. This section
  lays out a new and more actionable way for Washington leaders to think about the             ■ Choosing every factor: national publications like US News and CNBC publish state
  state’s competitiveness.                                                                     economy rankings based on dozens of factors. This raises two problems. First, the choices
                                                                                               about how to weight these different factors are often opaque or misguided. The result is
                                                                                               arbitrarily weighting the “cost of doing business” as highly as education, technology, and
  Redefining Business Competitiveness                                                          innovation combined (which runs counter to research on what drives quality, inclusive
  to Drive Smarter Policy and Practice                                                         growth). Regardless of these methodological flaws, this “kitchen sink” definition of
  There is no shortage of rankings that purport to measure the economic competitiveness        competitiveness is not useful as a strategy tool because it does not highlight factors that
  of states and regions. These rankings typically define competitiveness as some               are most impactful and deserving of focus and investment. It may be that each of these
  combination of the below factors.                                                            factors bears some relation to state competitiveness, but with limited budgets, which
                                                                                               should the state invest in?
               Energy costs                                Small business formation
                                                                                               ■ Choosing the wrong factors (low costs, business attraction): rankings that identify
                                                                                               a more specific set of factors that drive competitiveness, but that—according to
               Export volume                               Education attainment
                                                                                               economic research—rely on the wrong factors. Rankings by industry publications like
                                                                                               “Area Development” assess states based on factors that are presumed to be important in
               Innovation (patents, R&D)                   Access to capital                   business attraction projects. This definition of competitiveness is flawed because even if
                                                                                               it does capture the priorities of relocating businesses, that represents a small portion of
                                                                                               economic activity in any given year. What matters most to the few big firms that engage
               Workforce attributes                        Taxes and regulations
                                                                                               in competitive site selection projects every year is unlikely to also be most important to
                                                                                               the other 95% of the economy.
               Infrastructure                              Foreign direct investment
                                                                                               ■ Choosing only some of the right factors (innovation): this approach is exemplified
                                                                                               by the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation’s “State New Economy Index”,
               Health outcomes                             Environmental quality
                                                                                               which emphasizes outcomes like IT jobs, patents, and venture capital. Rankings like
                                                                                               these are more in-line with the research on what drives long-term growth in states, but
  Each of these rankings reflects a different theory or definition of what drives economic     this innovation-centric definition of competitiveness is flawed if the goal is to generate
  competitiveness. Each of them is flawed as a guide for state policy and strategy—they        quality and equitable growth. Many of these factors (e.g., patents or venture capital
  cannot help Washington clarify its biggest economic opportunities or strategically           investment) can be driven almost entirely by the top 1%–5% of firms. They do not reflect
  focus its scarce resources to create strong, quality, and equitable growth across the        an economy that is creating widespread, equitable opportunity—strong innovation
  state. Because these rankings have powerfully shaped how policymakers and economic           capacity is a necessary but insufficient condition for that outcome.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                         REFRAMING BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS         26
  Reframing Business Competitiveness
  Washington leaders must first define what outcomes they want to result from increased competitiveness.

  Rankings each have their own particular shortcomings or gaps, but in summary they
  fail as a tool for guiding strategy in at least one way:

  ■ Failing to identify what actually drives growth in a state economy: site selection,
  for example, presumes that business attraction is the key input into a growing economy.

  ■ Failing to identify the type of growth that leads to quality jobs: innovation is a
  key driver of long-run growth, but high performance on innovation does not necessarily
  create an abundance of living-wage, middle-skill jobs.

  ■ Failing to elevate inclusion as a key driver of competitiveness: each of these rankings      can claim to be the most “competitive” region in the U.S. But for a rural, mid-sized
  relies on population-wide averages or medians, which fails to capture disparities—and          manufacturer in a legacy industry with low profit margins, competitiveness may depend
  closing racial disparities in education, job quality, and wealth is one of the most powerful   on low taxes, low-wage labor, and port infrastructure. That’s why a state like South
  ways that a state can improve competitiveness (whether defined in terms of innovation          Carolina is in the top of competitiveness rankings focused on low costs and business
  or business attraction).                                                                       attraction “wins,” even though the state is struggling to gain a foothold in the innovation
                                                                                                 economy, create quality jobs, and close racial disparities.
  There are no objective, universal business
                                                                                                 This means that existing competitiveness rankings are different not because one state
  competitiveness metrics                                                                        defined “competitiveness” correctly and the others failed to. Rather, the competitiveness
  Why are there so many different, competing competitiveness rankings? Because each              rankings are different because they define competitiveness with different types of
  of these rankings is created with a certain type of business in mind. Area Development         businesses in mind.
  magazine presumes that businesses that relocate from one state to the other are                In summary: existing definitions of competitiveness are not created to aid in the
  most important; the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation presumes                  development of a strategy for strong, equitable, and quality growth, and any assessment
  that technology businesses are most important. Some rankings are more grounded in              of competitiveness begins with a decision of what businesses matter most. That
  economic research, but ultimately there is no one “correct” assessment of a state’s            means that Washington State needs to create a new definition of competitiveness that
  competitiveness because there is not just one type of business.                                represents a clear choice about what businesses matter most. That does not mean
  For example, for a small, high-growth software startup competitiveness may depend              picking one industry over another. It means affirming that the businesses that matter
  primarily on a rich pool of highly-educated tech talent, top computer science programs         most are those that address the biggest needs of Washington residents: quality jobs and
  at globally-relevant universities, and abundant venture capital. That’s why Silicon Valley     equitable wealth creation.



                The takeaway is that if the Washington State Legislature wants to organize around a portfolio of policies and investments that consistently produce
                robust and inclusive growth, then it cannot rely on existing rankings to illuminate the path forward. The Legislature will need to redefine what economic
                competitiveness means and how it is measured.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                           REFRAMING BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS         27
  Reframing Business Competitiveness
  A competitive economy should produce quality jobs and inclusive wealth creation opportunities.

  While many rankings frame competitiveness as that which matters most to one industry
  or another, from the perspective of state policymakers, competitiveness is simply the
  ability of the Washington economy to consistently produce the outcomes that matter                   How different definitions of
  most to people. Competitiveness is not a goal in its own right; it is a means to an end.             competitiveness can shape strategy:
  There is consensus among both policymakers and economic, workforce, and community                    Leaders in Birmingham, Alabama, were contemplating a major
  development organizations about what outcomes matter—and this consensus is
                                                                                                       investment in a precision medicine innovation initiative (a major
  supported by research and data. The two most important economic problems that can
  be addressed through business competitiveness are (1) lack of quality jobs, (2) limited              strength of University of Alabama at Birmingham). They decided,
  wealth-creation opportunities, and profound racial disparities in both areas.                        however, that given limited resources, their region’s competitiveness
                                                                                                       depended more on closing racial disparities than on increasing patents
  ■ The quality jobs challenge and opportunity: quality jobs are generally defined as
  living-wage jobs that do not require a four-year college degree. These jobs have been
                                                                                                       or attracting PhD scientists. This different definition of competitiveness
  disappearing as the economy has “hollowed out” due to trade and automation over                      reshaped their strategy—they instead invested in a population health
  the past several decades. A decade of extraordinary growth in Washington did little to               initiative that drew on some of the same strengths but would create
  reverse this trend. Statewide, just over one in three workers has a quality job.                     more middle-skill, middle-wage jobs and improve health outcomes
  ■ The wealth creation challenge and opportunity: racial wealth disparities are far                   (and thus economic outcomes ) in Black communities.
  larger than racial income gaps; these two phenomena are related, but each deserve
  focus. Homeownership is a crucial source of wealth, as well as an indicator of broader
  wealth disparities (for example, wealth in the form of a home can enable people to
  pursue entrepreneurship or invest in businesses formed by others in their community).            vs. workforce development vs. infrastructure investment), but there is near-universal
  Communities of color in Washington only own 10% of firms with high-growth potential,             agreement that a competitive economy should deliver these outcomes.
  despite accounting for nearly 33% of the population. Washington lags behind many of              There are businesses of all sizes, across industries and geographies, that are well-
  its peer states in terms of high-impact entrepreneurship. Unleashing the entrepreneurial         positioned to deliver these outcomes: from small BIPOC-owned tech firms that, with
  potential of minorities is a crucial leverage point for the state.                               better access to capital, could become wealth generators, to large manufacturing
                                                                                                   firms that provide quality jobs but need help innovating and reskilling to adapt to
  These are widely recognized as the two deepest, most persistent, most harmful barriers           new economic realities. The purpose of this definition of competitiveness is to turn the
  to a strong, equitable economy in Washington that can be addressed through policies              attention of state policymakers and practitioners towards these types of opportunities
  and practices that work through businesses. These are not just unfortunate downsides to          that most directly impact these key outcomes.
  an economy that is functioning well—the lack of quality jobs causes lower productivity,
  and the lack of wealth, particularly in communities of color, is a drag on the state’s ability
  to create new, innovative, high-growth businesses.
  Different organizations and stakeholders may have different theories as to which
  interventions would most effectively combat these problems (small business support



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                           REFRAMING BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS        28
  Reframing Business Competitiveness
  Defining and measuring business competitiveness through realized outcomes and capacity builders.

  We propose a three-part definition of competitiveness: one set of interrelated key realized
                                                                                                              Flawed Assumptions
  outcomes and two sets of key capacity builders. This definition is simple by design—it is
                                                                                                               “… innovation is a proxy for broader economic health, because innovation drives
  intended to be easy to communicate to a variety of stakeholders, apply in different policy                   growth and growth in turn creates quality jobs”, or “low regulation is a proxy for broader
  and strategy contexts, and to serve as the basis for a simple dashboard of approximately                     economic health, because with less regulation entrepreneurs will flourish and create
  10 metrics that the state could use to track its performance and shape policy decisions                      more quality jobs”.

  over time.
                                                                                                Second, an emphasis on job quality helps illuminate what kinds of help businesses need.
  Key realized outcomes                                                                         Businesses have unlimited needs, but certain interventions are more likely than others to
  Most definitions of economic competitiveness focus on proxies: “innovation is a proxy         have an impact on the creation, retention, and diversification of quality jobs.
  for broader economic health, because innovation drives growth and growth in turn              Racial wealth disparity metrics help in one key way: Washington could create many more
  creates quality jobs,” or “low regulation is a proxy for broader economic health, because     competitive businesses if it eliminated race-based barriers to business creation. Business
  with less regulation entrepreneurs will flourish and create more quality jobs.” Our new       competitiveness is not just about addressing the needs of existing businesses; it is
  definition of competitiveness skips past these assumptions—in part because Washington         also about unleashing the potential of all Washingtonians so that more competitive
  is extremely innovative, but only one in three workers has a quality job. If Washington       businesses are created.
  leaders and their stakeholders agree on what outcomes a healthy, well-functioning,
  competitive economy should provide, then those outcomes—not proxies—need to be                Key capacity builders
  at the center of the discussion. These are the outcomes that Washington should track          While a relentless focus on quality jobs and equitable wealth creation will go a long way
  over time, relative to peer states.                                                           towards guiding policymakers and practitioners towards a competitiveness agenda that
  Similarly, wealth creation can be an input to business competitiveness—most                   meets Washington’s needs, there are other factors that leaders should monitor.
  entrepreneurs start businesses with personal or family savings, so more widespread            ■   The first is talent. There are likely ways for Washington to increase quality jobs
  wealth creation could unleash the potential of Washington’s “missing entrepreneurs.”              and wealth creation in the near term without boosting education attainment (for
  Research by Raj Chetty and colleagues has found that the U.S. could quadruple                     instance, helping mid-sized manufacturers upgrade their technology while upskilling
  innovation if women, people of color, and people who grew up in low-income                        their existing workers). But in the longer term, these outcomes depend on a growing
  households patented at the same rate as men who grew up in high-income households.                and more diverse pool of talented workers. We refer to talent as an “enabler” rather
                                                                                                    than a key outcome in its own right because there is abundant evidence that there
  How does measuring outcomes for people help inform business-                                      are disparities in job quality by race even after accounting for education—therefore
  focused policies and practices?                                                                   education is necessary but insufficient for inclusive growth.
  Job quality metrics help shape strategy in two ways. First, certain industries and types
                                                                                                ■   The second is innovation. Washington needs to equip companies that provide good
  of businesses are richer in quality jobs than others and have greater growth potential;
                                                                                                    jobs, and entrepreneurs of color, with the know-how and technology required to
  elevating growth in quality jobs as a key outcome can therefore help policymakers
                                                                                                    keep up with changing economic conditions and market trends. As with education,
  understand whose competitiveness matters most. Then policies and investments can
                                                                                                    we refer to innovation as an “enabler” because innovation alone cannot be counted
  be targeted at improving the competitiveness of those particular types of businesses
                                                                                                    on to deliver quality and inclusive growth—many innovative firms have few middle-
  and industries.
                                                                                                    skill and middle-wage job opportunities, and innovative industries can grow without
                                                                                                    meaningfully diversifying their workforces.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                  REFRAMING BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS               29
  Reframing Business Competitiveness
  Outcomes and drivers at a glance.




     Key
     Realized Outcomes
     Policies and investments
     should be evaluated for                                                      A competitive economy produces abundant
     whether they are likely to                                                   quality jobs and equitable opportunities to
     achieve these outcomes.                                                      build wealth.
                                                                                  In a positive feedback loop, equitable access to quality jobs
                                                                                  and wealth-creation opportunities make the economy
                                                                                  more competitive through increased talent, innovation,
                                                                                  productivity, and more high-impact entrepreneurship.




     Key
     Capacity Builders
     Necessary but insufficient
     inputs to a competitive
     economy. Investments                       A competitive economy is fueled by equitable                             A competitive economy continuously
     in talent and innovation                   talent development.                                                      regenerates through innovation.
     should be targeted at                      Human capital — the nation’s collective knowledge — is                   A competitive economy needs to be resilient. The firms
     industries and businesses                  worth 10 times as much as all urban land in the country.                 that create quality jobs and generate wealth must have
     that are most likely to create             Education attainment is one of two factors (along with                   access to know-how and technologies that enable them
     quality jobs and close                     patent rates) that explains most of the growing gap in                   to create new products and services and continue to
                                                incomes across states.                                                   provide economic opportunity.
     wealth disparities.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                         REFRAMING BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS   30
                                                                                  6
                                                                            SURVEY & THEMES

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Survey & Themes
  Barriers to Business Growth – Emerging Themes


  Firms struggle to find labor,                                                           TOP BARRIERS TO BUSINESS GROWTH IN WASHINGTON

  labor struggles to find housing                                                                                                  HOUSING                                                  30%                             25%           13%


  Data analysis efforts highlighted trends within Washington’s economy, such as the                     WORKFORCE RETENTION / RECRUITMENT                                                         34%                18%                15%

  growth of eds and meds as well as the significance of the aging workforce. To gain a
                                                                                                                                 CHILD CARE              7%                          16%                15%
  balanced understanding of the local economy, hearing directly from business owners,
                                                                                                                                                          9%                   11%                13%
  economic development professionals, elected representatives, economists, and                                  SMALL BUSINESS REGULATION


  other local actors was needed. Nine themes emerged from stakeholder outreach,                      OTHER (PLEASE SPECIFY IN NEXT QUESTION)                               19%             11% 3%

  research, and data analysis as potential barriers to business growth in Washington.
                                                                                                                                 BROADBAND          4%              8%                     16%
  These themes included:
                                                                                                                       WORKFORCE TRAINING       3%                 9%            9%


                                                                                                                            TRANSPORTATION          4% 3%                 9%

                       ■   Workforce Retention / Recruitment
                                                                                                                   SHIPPING INFRASTRUCTURE               6%          6%


                       ■   Child Care                                                     TRANSITION TO AUTOMATION OR OTHER NEW TECHNOLOGY          3%        5%

                                                                                                                                               0%                  10%           20%             30%          40%     50%         60%           70%

                       ■   Housing
                                                                                                                             TOP BARRIER                                   2ND BARRIER                          3RD BARRIER
                       ■   Broadband
                                                                                          Housing and Workforce Retention / Recruitment rose to the top of the list as key barriers
                                                                                          to business growth in Washington followed by childcare, small business regulation, and
                       ■   Shipping Infrastructure
                                                                                          broadband. Respondents also wrote in other barriers, the most prominent of which were:
                       ■   Transportation                                                 Government regulation­­—Respondents consistently described unclear or unnecessary
                                                                                          environmental mandates, burdensome COVID restrictions, and overreaching L&I
                       ■   Transition to Automation                                       regulation enforcement. Other respondents described frustration with frequently
                                                                                          changing and one-size-fits all regulations which do not account for business size
                       ■   Workforce Training
                                                                                          or location.

                       ■   Small Business Regulation                                      Lack of business financial and technical assistance—respondents indicated need for
                                                                                          access to capital, especially when starting a business. Some noted a general need for
                                                                                          funding assistance. Respondents also noted that there was a lack of technical resources to
  To vet these themes and ensure that they captured what businesses were experiencing     help small business owners and that many business owners would benefit from training
  on the ground, the consultant team developed a survey asking respondents to rank        on financial literacy. In some cases, the assistance is available, but business owners do
  key barriers to economic growth in Washington (see chart). The survey was distributed   not know how to access it.
  through the Washington Economic Development Association (WEDA) to economic              The final themes emerging from the analysis show that the state is facing a handful of
  development professionals first, then more broadly, and received 115 responses.         structural issues that it cannot avoid any longer if it wants to remain a dynamic economy.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                                         SURVEY & THEMES     32
  Survey & Themes
  Themes: Cost of Living, Education, and Regulation

                Housing                                                                                                         “The supply [of housing] is currently dangerously low and not
  Washington State has the fewest housing units per household of any state and the                                              addressing this problem immediately via all mechanisms possible
  housing crisis is getting worse.1 The underproduction of housing is limiting economic                                         will bring disaster.”
  productivity and growth, the creation of jobs, and perpetuating disparate outcomes of
  wealth inequity for the next generation of Washingtonians.
                                                                                                                   Childcare
                                                                                                       Washington has the 9th most expensive infant care of any state,2 and only 35 childcare
                   Workforce Replacement                                                               slots for infants, toddlers, or preschoolers for every 100 children whose parents work.3
  Businesses of all sizes are struggling to find workers to fill vacancies. While this is partially    Limited and unaffordable childcare prevents many parents from fully engaging in the
  due to the pandemic, worker replacement will be a continuing problem as a large share                workforce, restricting family economic advancement and employers’ ability to fill jobs.
  of the workforce reaches retirement. Continued business growth, especially in STEM
  and other high demand fields will further fuel the need for workers. Current workforce
  development programs and initiatives are not enough to meet the growing need,
                                                                                                                   Broadband
  projected to be 20,000 annually over the coming years, a 30% increase over current rates.
                                                                                                       Over 338,000 Washingtonians lack access to a basic broadband connection, and many
  Combined and replaced workforce retention / recruitment and workforce training, recognizing that
  replacement is the challenge and training is the answer.                                             more lack access to the speeds necessary to fully engage in an increasingly digital
                                                                                                       world. Limited access to reliable, affordable, and fast internet prevents workers from
                                                                                                       taking advantage of work from home opportunities or other training opportunities
                                                                                                       that enhance economic mobility. Businesses that do not have adequate broadband
                                                                                                       access cannot maintain a web presence or access certain services, which can impact
                                                                                                       their viability.




                                                                                                                High-growth / Innovative Firms
                                                                                                       Entrepreneurship has been on the decline nationally and in Washington over the past 40
                                                                                                       years. Of particular concern, Washington’s high-propensity business formation—those
                                                                                                       most likely to turn into a business with a payroll and living wage jobs—have declined
                                                                                                       30% from the early 2000s (per capita), and now rank 4th lowest among peer states.4
                                                                                                       Washington remains competitive on most traditional economic development measures,
                                                                                                       but low growth in high-propensity firms could indicate limited potential for future
                                                                                                       economic expansion and shared prosperity.
  1
    U.S. Census, Washington Office of Financial Management                                             Added due to stakeholder feedback and additional research acknowledging that certain businesses
  2
    Economic Policy Center Institute https://www.epi.org/child-care-costs-in-the-united-states/#/WA
                                                                                                       drive economic growth.
  3
    Child Care Aware Data. (2019). https://www.childcareaware.org/our-issues/research/ccdc/state/wa/
  4
    Business Formation Statistics, U.S. Census


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                           SURVEY & THEMES      33
  Survey & Themes
  Themes: Cost of Living, Education, and Regulation



             Regulatory Environment                                                                   Process of Prioritization of Themes:
  The regulatory environment is limiting business formation and expansion. The Wharton
  Residential Land Use Regulatory Index ranks the Puget Sound regions as the 4th most
  regulated region in the country for permitting and land use. While Washington has made
  some efforts to centralize and coordinate efforts across regulatory agencies and support
  small businesses, businesses still struggle to keep up with regulations and access                    STAKEHOLDERS          FOCUS GROUPS                  FINAL THEMES

  developable land.
                                                                                                                       DATA                  GAP ANALYSIS
  Encompasses small business regulation among other regulatory barriers to business of all sizes.




             Access to Capital
  Both new and existing businesses lack the capital they need to succeed. Barriers are
  especially acute for people of color. While Washington is working to address this issue,
  many programs are time limited, rely on consistent reallocation, and are inaccessible to
  subsets of the population.
  Came up both in written in survey responses as well as additional stakeholder outreach as a key
  barrier to economic growth.

  Final themes do not include:
  •   Shipping Infrastructure – determined to be largely a workforce shortage issue.
  •   Transportation – costs and commute times are largely due to lack of affordable housing near
      employment centers.
  •   Transition to Automation – determined to be a driver of the increased need for skilled labor.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                         SURVEY & THEMES   34
                                                                                 7
                                                                            THREE BIG IDEAS

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Big Idea #1
  Build more housing of all types that are affordable to all residents.


      KEY TAKEAWAY:

      Washington State has the fewest number of housing units per
                                                                                              Why does this matter for economic development?
      household of any state in the country.                                                  The underproduction of housing is limiting economic productivity and
                                                                                              growth, the creation of jobs, and perpetuating disparate outcomes
  The Problem                                                                                 and wealth inequity for the next generation of Washingtonians.

  ■   Washington State has the fewest number of housing units per household of any
      state in the country, and the housing crisis is getting worse as the number of units
      built has not kept pace with household formation over the last decade.

  ■   The lack of supply puts strong upward pressure on home prices and rents. 44% of         BY THE NUMBERS
      Washington renter households are cost burdened and spend more than 30% of their
      income on housing; 22% of renters are severely cost burdened and spend more than
      50% of their income on housing.

  ■   Chronically undersupplied housing is the principal driver of the state’s homelessness
      crisis. Washington’s homelessness rate—30 per 10,000 residents—is well above the


                                                                                                                                             1.06
      U.S. average (18 per 10,000 residents).

  ■   Homeownership is becoming more unattainable, particularly for BIPOC households.
      The Black homeownership rate is 11.5% lower than the national average, which
                                                                                                      11.5%
                                                                                                   lower Black homeowership            housing units per household
      ranks last among peer states, and the 7th lowest nationally.                               rate than the U.S. average, last     Washington State compared to
                                                                                                        among peer states                    1.14 nationally
  Despite current efforts and legislative focus, Washington is still not building enough
  homes, particularly homes that are affordable at lower and middle incomes, and that
  provide wealth building opportunities for all.


                                                                                                                                                       $
                                                                                                         190K                            $695K
                                                                                                                                         The average new home
                                                                                                         Number of units
                                                                                                  Washington would need to build      construction price statewide,
                                                                                                   to achieve the national ratio       the 6th highest of any state




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                    THREE BIG IDEAS   36
  Big Idea #2
  Equip the workforce for success, and close the skills gap.


      KEY TAKEAWAY:                                                                                      BY THE NUMBERS
      Washington needs to train 200,000 more skilled workers
      over the next 10 years to keep pace with job openings, a 30%
      increase over current rates.


  The Problem                                                                                                            25%
                                                                                                                    percentage of workers
                                                                                                                                                                              2.5%
                                                                                                                                                                 percentage of workers quitting their job
  ■   Businesses across the state are experiencing persistent and worsening labor
                                                                                                                  over age 55, an all time high                        monthly (30% annualized),
      shortages.                                                                                                                                                       the 10th lowest state rate
      •    The number of job openings are at record highs, as is the share of the workforce
           aged 55 and older.
  ■   There is a chronic gap in the training and skillset development of the workforce
      across the state relative to labor need.
  ■   Annually there is a shortage of 20,000 skilled workers. Meeting this need would

                                                                                                                         221K                                             18,442
      require a 30% increase in the number of certificates and degrees granted in the state.
      •    In-migration of skilled workers helps offset about half of the shortage within the
                                                                                                                      job openings statewide,                       active apprentices statewide in 2019,
           state. 85% of those moving to the state have a bachelor’s or graduate degree,
                                                                                                                 a 40% increase from pre-pandemic                     an increase from 12,376 in 2015
           leaving the largest deficit in the mid-level skilled workforce.
                                                                                                                       levels (2018 and 2019)
  Despite current efforts to boost educational attainment, particularly in high-demand
  fields such as STEM and health, there is a chronic gap between the skills employers
  require and the skills with which job seekers are equipped. While strong workforce             SKILLED WORKERS SUPPLY AND DEMAND GAPS
  demand is seen at all education levels, particularly in STEM, workers with mid-level
  training or education (associates, certificates, and apprenticeship completers) make up
  half of worker need. In-migration helps offset the shortage, but is heavily concentrated in    GRADUATE

  workers with bachelor’s and higher levels of educational attainment.

                                                                                                BACHELOR’S


       Why does this matter for economic development?
       Businesses consider access to a skilled workforce when making                             MID-LEVEL

       location decisions. A limited supply of skilled workers may prevent
                                                                                                             -                  10,000     15,000     20,000   25,000    30,000   35,000       40,000     45,000   50,000
       businesses from locating, expanding, or remaining in an area.
                                                                                                                        DEMAND                  CURRENT ANNUAL GRADUATES                   IN-MIGRATION
                                                                                                 Source: 2017 Skilled and Educated Workforce Report


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                               THREE BIG IDEAS     37
  Big Idea #3
  Revitalize entrepreneurship (and make it easier to do business).


      KEY TAKEAWAY:                                                                                    BY THE NUMBERS


                                                                                                                          61%                                     13%
      Washington is forming 30% fewer high-growth potential
      businesses than a decade ago, and ranks 4th lowest among
      peer states.                                                                                                   of Black-owned firms and               of Black-owned firms and


  The Problem                                                                                                             73%
                                                                                                                     of Hispanic-owned firms
                                                                                                                                                                  20%
                                                                                                                                                             of Hispanic-owned firms
  Declining Entrepreneurship and High-propensity Formation                                                               applied for PPP                     received all the financing
                                                                                                                       compared to 82% of                   they sought, compared to
  ■   Entrepreneurship has been on the decline nationally and in Washington over the
                                                                                                                        White-owned firms                   40% of White-owned firms
      past 40 years.
  ■   WA’s high-propensity business formation—those most likely to turn into a business
      with a payroll—has declined 30% from the early 2000s (per capita), and now ranks
                                                                                                  ■   Land use and growth management has created an amenity value and produced
      4th lowest among peer states.
                                                                                                      environment benefits, but has also contributed to a limited number of available and
  ■   The economy has consistently performed well on traditional economic development                 suitable sites for business expansion.
      indicators (capacity builders), but that has not translated into shared prosperity
                                                                                                  ■   The Wharton Residential Land Use Regulatory Index ranks the Puget Sound region
      (realized outcomes).
                                                                                                      as the 4th most regulated region in the country for permitting and land use, behind
  ■   Only one third of the jobs in the state pay enough for families to support their                only New York, San Francisco, and Providence (Portland is ranked 10th).
      living expenses.
                                                                                                  Washington has historically performed well on traditional economic indicators and has
  Limited Access to Capital                                                                       leading businesses that have driven success for a subset of the population. However,
                                                                                                  this success has masked growing problems—decreasing high-propensity business
  ■   There are a variety of barriers that are preventing businesses of all sizes from forming,   formation fueled by inequitable access to capital and business supports, and a regulatory
      growing, and competing in the global economy.                                               environment that disproportionately hurts small businesses. Current initiatives and
      •    Venture capital is funding smaller deal sizes in Washington State than the             programs are inadequate to address the extent of these problems.
           national average.
  ■   Small businesses, particularly those owned by communities of color, have limited
      access to capital needed to grow.                                                                Why does this matter for economic development?
  ■   BIPOC-owned firms were half as likely as White-owned firms to use a financial                    Declining rates of business formation, a trend accelerated by
      services provider.                                                                               complex regulations and limited access to capital, limits the
  Burdensome Regulatory Environment                                                                    potential for future economic expansion and shared prosperity
                                                                                                       in Washington.
  ■   The variety of permits required from all levels of government are complicated, costly,
      and time consuming.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                    THREE BIG IDEAS   38
                                                                                       APPENDIX A
                                                                            SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Aerospace

                                                                                              AEROSPACE PRODUCTS AND PARTS MANUFACTURING JOBS,
                                                                                              WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                                 120

                                                                                                       113.0   113.8
                                                                                                                                                                    112.0
                                                                                                                       110.4

                                                                                                                                                            105.1
                                                                                                                               101.3
                                                                                                 100                                                                        98.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              96.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       94.2          93.9   93.8
                                                                                                                                       90.7                                                                                                                                                        90.8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        88.5
                                                                                                                                                     86.4                          86.2   87.2                                                                  86.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           82.9   82.9                                                    84.0   83.4
                                                                                                                                              80.2                                                                                  80.0                 80.8                                                                  80.0
                                                                                                  80
                                                                                                                                                                                                 75.7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             73.2

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      67.7
                                                                                                                                                                                                        65.3          65.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                               61.4
                                                                                                  60




                                                                                                  40




                                                                                                  20




                                                                                                   0
                                                                                                       1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (EST.)




                                                                                              Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2021; Community Attributes, 2021.




                                                                                                        STRENGTHS

                                                                                                       ■               Boeing assembly lines and related facilities; production increases
  Washington’s aerospace sector has a long history in the state, starting with the founding                            in Renton anticipated
  of The Boeing Company in 1916. More than 1,300 aerospace-related firms are located in
                                                                                                       ■               Skilled aerospace workforce and a strong training and education
  Washington State, primarily in Snohomish, Spokane, and King counties. Washington State
                                                                                                                       network
  aerospace companies are vital links in the global supply chain for aircraft manufacturers
  around the world. Washington is second only to California in hosting US companies                    ■               Robust supply chain and related infrastructure
  that supply parts to Airbus. Prior to the pandemic, the aerospace products and parts                 ■               Defense contracts
  manufacturing sector employed more than 88,000 workers throughout the state.
                                                                                                       ■               Competitive tax and incentive environment tuned for aerospace
  Another 40,000+ workers were employed in related industries with strong overlapping
  services and linkages with the core aerospace sector.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                        APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | AEROSPACE                                                                                             40
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Aerospace

        CHALLENGES                                                                     OPPORTUNITIES

       ■   Most aerospace sector strengths are Boeing derived                      ■     Proactively pivoting to the state’s entrepreneurial commercial
       ■   Continued pandemic impacts on the travel industry                             space industry

       ■   Managing and retaining a diverse workforce                              ■     Remaining at the forefront of emerging clean fuel technologies

       ■   Aerospace is a mature industry with declining long-term                 ■     Supply chain innovations to help create a more resilient sector
           projections                                                             ■     Continued innovations in maintenance and repairs driven by
                                                                                         technological advancements in robotics and augmented and
                                                                                         mixed reality
                                                                                   ■     Capacity utilization at Paine Field
                                                                                   ■     The New Market Aircraft (NMA)




                                                                            Florida’s proactive pivot towards commercial space.
                                                                            Space Florida, created in 2006 to serve as Florida’s aerospace economic development
                                                                            organization, has worked to drive economic development across the global aerospace
                                                                            and commercial space sectors. This has been followed by continued investment, research,
                                                                            and exploration of the commercial space sector. Today, Florida’s commercial space
                                                                            industry boasts a rocket launching and landing site at the Cape Canaveral Spaceport,
                                                                            manufacturing of rocket engines in West Palm Beach, and small satellite development in
                                                                            Gainsville. Additionally, major commercial space companies currently with operations in
                                                                            Florida include SpaceX, Blue Origin, and OneWeb Satellites.


                                                                            Source: https://www.spaceflorida.gov/




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                           APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | AEROSPACE   41
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Agriculture and Agribusiness

                                                                                           TOP 10 COMMODITIES, WASHINGTON STATE, 2020 (MILS $)

                                                                                             APPLES                                                                                $2,095

                                                                                               MILK                                                                   $1,193
                                                                                             WHEAT                                                       $949
                                                                                           POTATOES                                            $753
                                                                                             CATTLE                                          $693
                                                                                           CHERRIES                                   $562
                                                                                                HAY                               $501

                                                                                               HOPS                            $445

                                                                                             GRAPES                     $302

                                                                                               EGGS                 $220

                                                                                           Source: Washington State Department of Agriculture, 2021; Community Attributes, 2021.




                                                                                                  STRENGTHS

                                                                                                  ■     Washington’s natural features
                                                                                                  ■     Proximity to and demand from Asian markets
  Washington’s agriculture and agribusiness industry is supported by 15 million acres
                                                                                                  ■     Diversity in highest production crops
  of farmland. Washington produces more than 300 commodities, and is the leading
  producer of apples, hops, cherries, and more. Agriculture is Washington’s second-               ■     Leader in specialty crops, including seafood
  largest export category, making the state a key supplier of food for export markets.            ■     Infrastructure and transportation system supporting agricultural
  Overall, the industry supports more than 164,000 jobs in Washington (2013), and 35,700                exports, notably the state’s extensive ports network
  farms of which 89% are small farms, as well as more than 200 food processing companies          ■     Partnership with Washington State University
  (2017). Agriculture and food manufacturing are spread throughout the state, supporting
  jobs in rural communities as well as food manufacturing jobs in urbanized areas.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                       APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | AGRICULTURE AND AGRIBUSINESS          42
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Agriculture and Agribusiness

         CHALLENGES                                                                                         OPPORTUNITIES

        ■      High-risk sector depending on factors beyond a farmer’s control                          ■    Increasing consumer demand for non-conventional types of
        ■      Impacts of climate change                                                                     production, such as organic, local, sustainable, free-range, and
                                                                                                             grass-fed products
        ■      Access to resources, including land and water
                                                                                                        ■    Enhance marketing, statewide and commodity-based, to increase
        ■      Historically and increasingly low margins industry                                            demand for both conventional and non-conventional agricultural
        ■      Regulatory framework acting as a barrier                                                      products
        ■      Labor shortages faced by both labor-intensive crop producers, as                         ■    Research and innovation in automation and drones to increase
               well as food manufacturers                                                                    efficiency and address labor shortages
        ■      Financial pressures on smaller farms who can not scale                                   ■    Technology innovation and data resources to enhance efficiency,
               operations                                                                                    including water use, monitoring of production density, as well as
                                                                                                             storage and packaging
        ■      Pandemic disruptions to the food distribution network
                                                                                                        ■    Capacity for growing the wine and craft beer markets




  U.S. universities focusing on innovation in agricultural automation.
  Washington State University, in partnership with the U.S. Department of Agriculture-
  National Institute of Food and Agriculture, is leading the AgAID Institute—a multi-
  institutional research institute to develop aritifical intelligence solutions to tackle some
  of agriculture’s biggest challenges. In total, 17 land-grant universities located throughout
  the U.S. are working together to develop innovative automated systems for agricultural
  production, specifically focusing on labor-intensive crops. For example, the University
  of Florida has developed a robot that counts and maps fruit in citrus trees, while the
  University of California-Davis has developed a fruit picking cart with instruments that
  can map orchard fruits. Iowa State University is working to manufacture technology that
  reduces pesticide drift, Washington State University developed drones to deter birds
  that prey on fruit crops, and the University of Hawaii has given coffee growers handheld
  devices that can spot leaf water stress and optimize irrigation.


  Source: https://www.usda.gov/media/blog/2020/08/27/automation-helps-solve-specialty-crop-challenges




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                        APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | AGRICULTURE AND AGRIBUSINESS   43
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Climate and Energy

                                                                                             CLEAN JOBS SHARE OF TOTAL COUNTY EMPLOYMENT, 2022




                                                                                             CLEAN ENERGY JOBS BY DENSITY (CLEAN ENERGY JOBS PER 1,000 TOTAL JOBS)
                                                                                                  11–13             14–17               18–19             20–23             24–27    28–35   36–64

                                                                                             Source: Washington State Department of Agriculture, 2021; Community Attributes, 2021.




                                                                                                    STRENGTHS

                                                                                                    ■     Expansive hydroelectric system
  As state and federal policy continue to increase focus on addressing climate change,
  clean energy jobs present an important opportunity for Washington State. Statewide,
                                                                                                    ■     100% clean energy goal set for 2045
  one in 50 workers in the state were employed in the clean energy industry in 2019, 11             ■     Local education and research institution partnerships
  times more than in the state’s fossil fuel sector. Washington’s clean energy economy is           ■     Support from other industries in the state
  driven primarily by growth in energy efficiency, grid modernization, energy storage, and
                                                                                                    ■     Continued commitment to invest in clean-tech R&D, energy
  clean fuels. The state’s abundant water resources provide significant renewable energy
                                                                                                          innovation, and support existing clean energy businesses (e.g.,
  resources. However, to reach the state’s goal of 100% clean energy by 2045, emerging
                                                                                                          Clean Energy Fund)
  technology and innovation will be vital.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                           APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | CLIMATE AND ENERGY         44
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Climate and Energy

          CHALLENGES                                                                                                   OPPORTUNITIES

         ■     Ensuring an equitable transition to clean energy for rural, low-                                    ■    The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act proposing significant
               income and communities of color and for all workers impacted                                             investments in clean energy
               by electrification efforts                                                                          ■    Battery technology for energy storage
         ■     Ensuring resource adequacy                                                                          ■    Biofuels, biomass, mass timber, and cross laminated timber
         ■     Recruiting and retaining skilled workforce                                                          ■    Aging existing infrastructure, providing a business opportunity
         ■     Grid modernization                                                                                       for replacement
         ■     Statewide access to broadband as a factor in reaching state and                                     ■    Smart cities initiatives
               federal energy goals                                                                                ■    Trade alliances and regional branding of Pacific Northwest clean
         ■     COVID-19 impacts on clean tech jobs                                                                      energy sector




  Continued expansion in California’s battery storage system.
  California is leading the nation in battery storage facilities and gained more capacity with
  a recent expansion finished in September 2021. Paired with the wind and solar energy
  generated within the state, California’s use of lithium-ion batteries has successfully
  provided substantial support to the power grid and is accelerating the transition to clean
  energy. As of June 2021, California had 1,438 megawatts of utility-scale battery storage
  capacity, 1,000 megawatts more than the next closest state’s battery storage capacity.
  California is poised to continue their world leading build out of ion-battery storage
  as they work towards a legislative goal to provide 100% renewable and zero-carbon
  electricity by 2045 and continue to alleviate stress on a power grid that can suffer during
  peak consumption times.


  Source: https://insideclimatenews.org/news/02092021/inside-clean-energy-california-energy-storage-vistra-corp/
  https://www.energy.ca.gov/news/2021-03/california-releases-report-charting-path-100-percent-clean-electricity




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                               APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | CLIMATE AND ENERGY   45
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Forest Products

                                                                                                TIMBER HARVEST, WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                                     8,000

                                                                                                                      7,050
                                                                                                     7,000


                                                                                                     6,000                           5,850


                                                                                                     5,000
                                                                                                                                               4,330                 4,380

                                                                                                     4,000
                                                                                                                                                                                    3,320
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3,180
                                                                                                     3,000                                                                                                                              2,760
                                                                                                                                                                                                          2,220

                                                                                                     2,000


                                                                                                     1,000


                                                                                                        0
                                                                                                             1985    1987     1989   1991    1993      1995   1997   1999    2001   2003    2005   2007   2009    2011   2013    2015   2017



                                                                                                         OTHER PUBLIC LANDS                            FEDERAL LANDS                  STATE LANDS                  PRIVATE LANDS

                                                                                                Source: Washington State Department of Natural Resources, 2021; Community Attributes Inc., 2021.




                                                                                                        STRENGTHS

  Washington State’s forestry industry stretches across the state, with concentrations in              ■            Millions of acres of publicly and privately owned forestland in
  Western Washington and the Olympic Peninsula.                                                                     the state
  Across the state there are 22 million acres of forestland, of which 4 million acres are              ■            Historically a foundational sector in the state economy
  privately owned. Roughly 70% of timber comes from private forests. Washington’s forest               ■            Important resource for rural economic development
  products sector encompasses a broad range of business lines, from traditional cutting
                                                                                                       ■            Diversified sector encompassing all phases of the supply chain
  and lumber production, to pulp and paper and value-added products.
                                                                                                       ■            Local educational institutions supporting innovation through
  Forestry and forest products supported about 42,000 workers statewide in 2017, earning                            research
  nearly $3 billion in wages per year. Washington’s working forests sustain the third largest
  manufacturing sector in the state.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                           APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | FOREST PRODUCTS                                       46
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Forest Products

         CHALLENGES                                                                           OPPORTUNITIES

        ■     Declining employment due to technological innovation, the                   ■    Wildfire prevention, such as fuel reduction, forest management
              recession in the 1990s, trade barriers and/or foreign competition,               and thinning
              and increasing forest and environmental protections                         ■    Increasing demand for mass timber and cross laminated timber,
        ■     Wildfires driven by climate change, threatening the supply of                    as a result of changes in legislation and building codes
              timber resources                                                            ■    Biomass as a renewable energy resource
        ■     Workforce shortages                                                         ■    Enactment of HB 2528 into law as an opportunity for the forestry
        ■     Urbanization and loss of forestland available to harvest                         and forest products sector to expand its services and contribute
        ■     Declining resources to support publicly owned forestland                         to the state’s climate goals




  Oregon’s established mass timber manufacturing.
  Oregon boasts large operations in timber product processing and mass timber
  manufacturing. CutMyTimber, with an office in Portland, was deemed one of the
  largest timber product manufacturers in the United States by the U.S. Forest Service.
  Additionally, Oregon possesses numerous mass timber manufacturers including Freres
  Lumber, Rosboro, and DR Johnson. Rosboro is the largest producer of Glulam beams
  in North America, while DR Johnson was the first United States company certified by
  the American National Standards Institute to manufacture CLT panels. Oregon State
  University’s College of Forestry is also heavily involved in mass timber research.


  Source: https://www.archpaper.com/2021/04/2021-timber-map/




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                       APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | FOREST PRODUCTS   47
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Information and Communication Technology

                                                                                            NET TECH EMPLOYMENT, WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                            450,000
                                                                                                                                                                          400,600   405,800
                                                                                            400,000                                                             381,400
                                                                                                                               355,100                365,300
                                                                                            350,000        341,100

                                                                                            300,000

                                                                                            250,000

                                                                                            200,000

                                                                                            150,000

                                                                                            100,000

                                                                                             50,000

                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                             2015                2016                  2017      2018      2019      2020


                                                                                            Source: CompTIA, 2021; Community Attributes Inc., 2021.




                                                                                                      STRENGTHS

  Washington State is the birthplace of legendary businesses like Microsoft, Amazon,
                                                                                                   ■      Microsoft and Amazon (anchor employers)
  F5 Networks, Zillow, and Expedia. The Information and Communications Technology                  ■      Diverse base of high-tech companies
  (ICT) industry employs roughly 278,000 people across Washington, including software              ■      High employment growth over the past decade
  developers, computer systems analysts, and web developers. The largest concentration
                                                                                                   ■      Ecosystem of innovation supported by world-class universities
  of these workers are in Seattle and King County’s eastside, particularly the Innovation
  Triangle (Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland). An additional 271,000 workers are employed               ■      Strong talent base and talent recruitment
  in tech occupations across other industry sectors in Washington State. Over the last 10          ■      Growing startup community
  years, tech employment in the state grew by 34%.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                   APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY                    48
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Information and Communication Technology

          CHALLENGES                                                                                                              OPPORTUNITIES

         ■     Lacking high-tech manufacturing subsector                                                                      ■    Expand artificial intelligence (AI) activity and reap broader
                                                                                                                                   economic benefits from AI
         ■     Pandemic impact on recruiting, relocation, and workplace
               choices                                                                                                        ■    Pandemic driven increase in the trend of gaming and spending
                                                                                                                                   on gaming as an avenue for future growth in the video game
         ■     Urban centers struggle to rebound from the pandemic
                                                                                                                                   industry
         ■     Extensive gender and racial inequities
                                                                                                                              ■    Leveraging the tech sector and public-private partnerships to
         ■     Tensions between tech and local government, with an impact on                                                       drive workforce development
               policies and taxes that target the industry directly
         ■     Housing affordability, homelessness, gentrification, and traffic




  Louisville’s workforce development gains in ICT.
  Through a program named LouTechWorks, six universities were brought together,
  alongside Jefferson County Public Schools, Code Louisville, and Tech Louisville to help
  accelerate growth within the local tech pipeline. Such workforce development has
  been associated with a positive loop effect, supporting growth within local firms and
  ultimately creating more jobs. LouTechWorks was started to help support a growing tech
  industry in Louisville. From 2016 to 2019, the number of tech jobs in Louisville, Kentucky
  grew by 28%, a higher rate than peer cities Nashville, Raleigh, and Indianapolis. Despite
  being launched in 2019, LouTechWorks has seen immediate success. For example, 62%
  of high school students now have access to computer science related coursework, 590
  graduates of Code Louisville have been placed in tech jobs, and tech-related degree
  completions have increased by 37% in the region.


  Source: https://www.bizjournals.com/louisville/news/2021/04/16/tracking-louisvilles-tech-talent-development-prog.html




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                 APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY   49
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Life Science and Health

                                                                                             NET TECH EMPLOYMENT, WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                                                                              125



                                                                                                                                              120




                                                                                                              INDEXED EMPLOYMENT (2015=100)
                                                                                                                                              115



                                                                                                                                              110



                                                                                                                                              105



                                                                                                                                              100
                                                                                                                                                    2015      2016         2017        2018     2019


                                                                                                             WA PRIVATE SECTOR                                       WA LIFE SCIENCE          US LIFE SCIENCE

                                                                                             Source: Life Science Washington, 2021. https://lifesciencewa.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Economic-Impact-
                                                                                             Report_2019data.pdf



                                                                                                    STRENGTHS

  More than 1,100 life science firms and 170 global health organizations are located in             ■     One of the top 10 life science clusters in the United States
  Washington, employing nearly 40,000 workers statewide as of 2019. The average annual              ■     Strong job growth (23.5% from 2015 to 2019)
  wage for life science jobs in Washington was $106,000 in 2019. The Seattle-Bothell                ■     Strong venture capital funding growth
  area houses a substantial amount of life science firms, while the Spokane area has
                                                                                                    ■     Growing startup community and expanding lab and R&D space
  implemented an economic development strategy to create robust health care and life
  sciences growth. Washington’s Life Sciences and Health sector boasts top research                 ■     Top STEM-based industry for women (women make up 44% of
  institutions such as the Gates Foundation, the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research                          the industry)
  Center, the Allen Institute, the Seattle Cancer Care Alliance, and the Pacific Northwest
  National Laboratory.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                           APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | LIFE SCIENCE AND HEALTH   50
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Life Science and Health

          CHALLENGES                                                                                 OPPORTUNITIES

         ■     Competition for labor with ICT and aerospace                                      ■    rDNA technology
         ■     Limited connections between the industry and Washington’s                         ■    Future pandemic preparedness
               colleges and universities                                                         ■    Intersection of big data with population health research and anti-
         ■     Engaging diverse populations that are typically under-                                 microbial resistance
               represented in life sciences and STEM-related fields                              ■    Emerging areas of innovation like agricultural and marine
         ■     Affordability of office and lab space                                                  biosciences, precision medicine, and digital health/health
                                                                                                      information technologies
         ■     Decreasing government support and a lack of tax incentives
         ■     Translating research into industry-led R&D and related job
               growth




  Digital health cluster focus in Massachusetts.
  Digital health was identified as an emerging industry cluster in 2015 by the Commonwealth
  of Massachusetts. As a result, in early 2016, Massachusetts established a Digital Health
  Initiative to further strengthen the state’s digital health ecosystem. The Initiative is a
  collaboration of the state’s public, private, academic, and healthcare leaders. For the past
  six years, the collaborative digital health initiative has been focusing on attracting and
  retaining digital health firms. As of 2020, Massachusetts ranked as the #2 destination in
  the U.S. for digital health investment and contained more than 350 digital health firms.


  Source: https://massdigitalhealth.org/ehealth-cluster/initiative
  https://masstech.org/sites/mtc/files/images/Test/Digital%20Health%20Pitch%20Deck.pdf




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                        APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | LIFE SCIENCE AND HEALTH   51
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Maritime

                                                                                             WASHINGTON’S MARINE CARGO PORTS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             CANAD A
                                                                                                                                  G
                                                                                                                                      eo
                                                                                                                                           rg
                                                                                                                                            ia
                                                                                                                                                St
                                                                                                                                                  ra
                                                                                                                                                    it
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           97
                                                                                                                                                                                                             N ORTH C ASCADES
                                                                                                                                                                Bellingham             Bellingham
                                                                                                                                                                                                              N ATIONAL P ARK                                                                                                                        C OLVILLE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       N.F.
                                                                                                                                                                            Anacortes                                                   20

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       River

                                                                                                        St
                                                                                                             ra
                                                                                                                  it o                                                                                                                                                                                 mbia
                                                                                                                         f Ju                                                                                                                                                     21
                                                                                                                                an de Fuca
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Colu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    M T.              La
                                                                                                                                                                                           5                                                                                                                                                         395
                                                                                                                                                                                                           B AKER- S NOQUALMIE         ke
                                                                                                                   Port Angeles                                                                                                            C
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   N.F.                        hel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     an
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           25
                                                                                                                                                                                               Everett                                                                                                                                               River
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 O KANOGAN-                                                                       S
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      p ok
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ane

                                                                                                                                O LYMPIC                                                                                                                              L a ke
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 W ENATCHEE
                                                                                                                                N ATIONAL                                                                                           N.F.                         ks                                                                                   Spokane
                                                                                                                                  P ARK                                                                                                                         Ban
                                                                                                                                                                          Seattle                                                 2
                                                                                                                                                                                         Seattle
                                                                                                         101




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   90

                                                                                                                                                                                       Tacoma                                                                                                                    90


                                                                                              n                                                                                                              410
                                                                                                                     Grays Harbor                                Olympia


                                                                                              Ocea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Potholes
                                                                                                                                                Olympia                                                                                                   Reservoir
                                                                                                                                                                                                     M T R AINIER
                                                                                                                                                                                                   N ATIONAL P ARK


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ver                                               Whitman County
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Ri




                                                                                              Pacific
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Yakima                                       e
                                                                                                                                                                                                    iver
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        k
                                                                                                                                                                                       C o w litz R
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Sn
                                                                                                                                                            5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Garfield
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     82
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Benton                                                                                         Clarkston
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Pasco
                                                                                                                                                                                                G IFFORD                                                                                                          12
                                                                                                                                                            Longview                            P INCHOT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Tri- Cities                                           Walla Walla
                                                                                                                                                                 Kalama           er
                                                                                                                                                                                                  N.F.
                                                                                                                                                                                Ri v
                                                                                                                                                                          wis
                                                                                                                                                                     Le




                                                                                                                                                                                                              Klickitat
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ports of Washington
                                                                                                                                                                          Vancouver
                                                                                                                                                           Vancouver                                                                                                                                                             Railroads
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Marine Terminals
                                                                                                  0      12.5             25                    50 Miles
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Or ego n                                                                                    Source: CAI 2016, WPPA 2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       WSDOT 2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Se rvice Laye r Cr edits:




                                                                                                        STRENGTHS
  Maritime activities in Washington are diverse, extending across multiple corners of the               ■                 Natural features (coastline, river mileage, deep-water ports)
  state’s economy, and include boat and ship building, recreational boat construction,
  commercial fishing and seafood processing, maritime logistics and shipping, and
                                                                                                        ■                 Proximity to western trading partners
  passenger water transportation. 75 public ports are spread throughout 33 of Washington’s              ■                 Engaged with a diverse set of industries
  39 counties, connected by 3,200 miles shoreline and 50,000 miles of rivers and streams.               ■                 Well built out maritime infrastructure
  Washington’s maritime industry employed about 70,000 statewide and encompassed
                                                                                                        ■                 Focus on sustainability (Maritime Blue strategy) and innovation
  2,300 companies in 2015.
                                                                                                                          (Port of Seattle Maritime Accelerator program)




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                                 APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | MARITIME                                                                                                    52
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Maritime

          CHALLENGES                                                                                       OPPORTUNITIES

         ■     Keeping pace with infrastructure updates to address industry                            ■    Washington State’s Department of Commerce’s Maritime Blue
               changes                                                                                      Strategy for 2050
         ■     Access to capital for research and development in the maritime                          ■    New maritime innovation, such as advanced metering of
               industry                                                                                     mechanical and fuel systems, the electrification of ferry fleets,
                                                                                                            and clean energy technologies tied to maritime projects
         ■     Competition from other ports, such as west coast, Gulf Coast, and
                                                                                                            and vessels
               Midwest ports
                                                                                                       ■    Recapitalization of the fishing fleet
         ■     Geographic shift in cheap manufacturing labor
         ■     Climate change impact on fisherman and their local communities
         ■     Pandemic impacts on the supply chain
         ■     Aging maritime workforce




  Maritime biofuel research in Tennessee.
  Oak Ridge National Laboratory, located in Tennessee, is the largest multi-program
  science and energy research lab in the United States. A team of Oak Ridge’s scientists is
  leading a multi-laboratory study testing the feasibility and use of biofuels for cargo ships.
  Since the team first examined the use of biofuels in 2018, they have begun engaging
  with industry leaders such as Exxon Mobil to gain interest. Initial results have been
  promising, suggesting blended bio-oil and heavy fuel oil could be suitable for use as fuel
  for maritime cargo vessels.


  Source: https://www.ornl.gov/
  https://www.energy.gov/eere/bioenergy/articles/anchors-aweigh-examining-biofuels-maritime-shipping




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                              APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | MARITIME   53
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Military, Defense, and National Security

                                                                                             DEFENSE SPENDING AS PERCENTAGE OF STATE GDP, WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                             3.5%

                                                                                                                                                                                                3.0%
                                                                                             3.0%                                                     2.9%                 2.9%
                                                                                                             2.7%
                                                                                                                                 2.5%
                                                                                             2.5%                                                                                                            2.4%


                                                                                             2.0%


                                                                                             1.5%


                                                                                             1.0%


                                                                                             0.5%


                                                                                             0.0%
                                                                                                             2015                 2016                 2017                 2018                2019         2020

                                                                                             Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2021; U.S. Department of Defense, 2021; Community Attributes Inc., 2021.




                                                                                                     STRENGTHS
  Washington’s military, defense, and national security sector possesses nearly 100,000              ■     Second largest public employer in Washington
  active duty, reserve, guard, and civilian personnel and the state houses an additional
                                                                                                     ■     Connection to key Washington industries
  600,000 veterans. Washington’s military installations are primarily located in the Puget
  Sound Region, while the Fairchild Air Force Base is located in Spokane.                            ■     Current military, defense, and national security presence
  In the past three years, businesses in Washington State were awarded nearly $15 billion            ■     Military infrastructure
  in contracts, which represented roughly 4% of the state’s GDP. Nearly 2,000 businesses             ■     Six active-duty military installations
  provide support to the military and defense sector, with some of the largest military
                                                                                                     ■     Federally funded laboratories that pursue training and research
  contractors such as Boeing, Microsoft, and Vigor Industries located in Washington.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                           APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | MILITARY, DEFENSE, AND NATIONAL SECURITY                                  54
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Military, Defense, and National Security

        CHALLENGES                                                                     OPPORTUNITIES

       ■   Changes to the global supply chain                                      ■     Cybersecurity to set the pace for cyber resiliency and
                                                                                         independence along the state’s defense and ICT supply chain
       ■   Adapting to environmentally friendly practices
                                                                                   ■     Further develop relationship between Washington’s Military,
       ■   Significant shifts in the global geopolitical dynamic
                                                                                         Defense, and National Security sector and commercial sectors to
       ■   Climate change as a national security issue                                   drive innovation
       ■   Long-term effect of the pandemic and the impact on the nature           ■     Leverage Washington’s strong ICT industry to attract the
           or size of the defense effort                                                 Department of Defenses’ growing investment in artificial
                                                                                         intelligence, machine learning, advanced networking, cyber, and
                                                                                         Joint All-Domain Command and Control
                                                                                   ■     Establish a system for credential reciprocity to help military
                                                                                         dependants and spouses more easily enter the qualified
                                                                                         workforce
                                                                                   ■     Increased investment in transition services for military members
                                                                                         transitioning out of the military




                                                                            Cybersecurity Hub: Maryland.
                                                                            More than 40 government agencies call Maryland home, providing the state with
                                                                            a natural advantage in leading the cybersecurity movement within the military,
                                                                            defense, and national security sector. Agencies include the National Security Agency,
                                                                            National Institute of Standards and Technology, Defense Information Systems Agency,
                                                                            Department of Defense Cyber Crime Center, and NASA. Maryland also boasts more than
                                                                            150,000 cyber-related engineering and data science professionals, comprising the #1
                                                                            cyber workforce in the world. Additionally, Maryland is the first state to have set up a
                                                                            cyber investing arm directly funded by the state government.


                                                                            Source: https://cybersecurityventures.com/the-cyber-hub-war-is-on-maryland-aims-to-become-global-headquarters/




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth       APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | MILITARY, DEFENSE, AND NATIONAL SECURITY                               55
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Trade and Logistics

                                                                                              IMPORTS AND EXPORTS THROUGH WASHINGTON PORTS


                                                                                                   $250


                                                                                                                                                                  $199.9   $197.9   $200.1   $199.9
                                                                                                   $200                                                  $188.0                                       $194.2   $189.9   $190.4
                                                                                                                    $183.7   $184.5
                                                                                                           $173.7                              $169.3                                                                            $172.4
                                                                                                                                      $149.7
                                                                                                   $150                                                           $105.3   $98.9    $98.4    $98.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                      $98.3                               $136.8
                                                                                                                             $104.6                       $99.5                                                 $98.3   $101.9
                                                                                                                    $104.0
                                                                                                           $101.8                               $93.6                                                                             $96.3
                                                                                                                                      $80.4
                                                                                                   $100                                                                                                                                   $80.6




                                                                                                    $50                                                            $94.6   $98.9    $101.7   $101.7
                                                                                                                                                          $88.5                                       $95.9     $91.5
                                                                                                                    $79.7    $79.9              $75.7                                                                   $88.5     $76.1
                                                                                                           $71.9                      $69.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          $56.2

                                                                                                     $0
                                                                                                           2006     2007     2008     2009     2010       2011     2012    2013     2014     2015     2016     2017     2018      2019    2020



                                                                                                                                                        IMPORTS                EXPORTS

                                                                                              Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2020-2021; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2020; Community Attributes Inc., 2021.




                                                                                                      STRENGTHS
  Washington’s economy relies on the state being a trade hub, utilizing rail lines, roads,
                                                                                                     ■      Proximity to western trading partners
  and waterways to connect the state’s expansive network of ports to transport goods in
  and out of the state. Supporting this strong trade sector are logistics firms responsible          ■      Established trade hub (in top five for exports by value in 2019 in
  for ensuring imports and exports travel efficiently. A report by The Trade Partnership                    the U.S.)
  estimated that 921,400 jobs were supported by trade (exports and imports) in Washington            ■      Large talent pool and strong educational partnerships
  in 2017, approximately 28% of total statewide employment.
                                                                                                     ■      Well-established shipping infrastructure
                                                                                                     ■      Diversity in products imported and exported




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                               APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | TRADE AND LOGISTICS                                                  56
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Trade and Logistics

          CHALLENGES                                                                                   OPPORTUNITIES

         ■     Continued national tensions with China                                              ■    Growth in e-commerce
         ■     Pandemic impacts to the global supply chain                                         ■    Relocation of western manufacturing
         ■     Competition from British Columbia ports Prince Rupert and                           ■    Foreign Direct Investment
               Vancouver, as well as LA-Long Beach and the newly widened                           ■    Emerging technologies that reduce carbon and reduce the
               Panama Canal                                                                             amount of time to get goods to consumers
         ■     Coordination among international organizations                                      ■    Trucking and rail automation and advanced air mobility
         ■     Public support for trade
         ■     Changes to customer expectations (faster, more flexible, lower
               price shipments)
         ■     Keeping pace with infrastructure updates needed to support
               the industry




  El Paso’s new role in trade and logistics as manufacturing
  undergoes nearshoring.
  El Paso, Texas, has seen a large influx of logistics companies and investment in the logistics
  sector since 2014. As reshoring and nearshoring has gained speed in recent years,
  especially hastened by the COVID-19 pandemic, El Paso has continued to evolve into a
  trade and logistics hub along the United State’s southern border. With the equalization
  of manufacturing wages in China and Mexico strengthening Mexico’s manufacturing
  presence, El Paso has played an increasingly important role in the global supply chain.
  Among the logistics companies with operations in the city, DHL has been among the
  leaders shaping El Paso’s up and coming trade and logistics sector. Other factors driving
  the city’s evolution include El Paso’s workforce trends, transportation infrastructure, pro-
  business political leadership, vibrant downtown, and incentive packages helping attract
  private investment.


  Source: https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/el-paso-texas-DHL-border-logistics-trade/588614/




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                             APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | TRADE AND LOGISTICS   57
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Manufacturing

                                                                                        MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT AND OUTPUT, WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                            350,000                                                                                                                  16.0%
                                                                                                           14.4%
                                                                                                                             300,400                              298,600            305,300
                                                                                            300,000                                             294,600                                                              14.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           283,800
                                                                                                          301,200
                                                                                                                              12.5%                                                                                  12.0%
                                                                                            250,000
                                                                                                                                                 11.8%              11.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                       11.3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10.0%
                                                                                            200,000                                                                                                         10.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     8.0%
                                                                                            150,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     6.0%
                                                                                            100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4.0%

                                                                                             50,000                                                                                                                  2.0%

                                                                                                   0                                                                                                                 0.0%
                                                                                                            2015               2016              2017               2018               2019                 2020



                                                                                                 MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT                                MANUFACTURING OUTPUT AS PERCENTAGE OF STATE GDP

                                                                                        Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2020-2021; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2020; Community Attributes Inc., 2021.




  As of 2019, manufacturing employment was responsible for nearly 300,000 Washington            STRENGTHS
  jobs. While aerospace manufacturing makes up the largest proportion of Washington’s
  manufacturing by value of goods produced, the sector is rather diverse and includes          ■       Low state energy costs
  many subsectors, including petroleum products, computer and electronic products,             ■       Major employer statewide and source of high paying jobs
  chemical manufacturing, and medical manufacturing. Geographic concentration
                                                                                               ■       Connection with key regional sectors
  depends on the subset of manufacturing; generally manufacturing employment is well
  distributed throughout the state. Medical manufacturing and aerospace manufacturing          ■       Extensive port system and history as a trade leader
  are concentrated in the Puget Sound Region while agricultural manufacturing is more
  prominent in central and eastern Washington.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                               APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | MANUFACTURING                                  58
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Manufacturing

        CHALLENGES                                                                     OPPORTUNITIES

       ■   Maintaining infrastructure                                              ■     Commercial space, agritech, and biotech manufacturing
       ■   Skilled labor shortage                                                  ■     Workforce development, re-branding of entry level
                                                                                         manufacturing jobs, and engaging with broader talent ecosystem
       ■   Lacking presence of high-tech manufacturing
                                                                                   ■     Continue leading research and innovation in energy intensive
       ■   Increased cyberattacks adding business risk for manufacturers
                                                                                         manufacturing for regional industries: food processing, advanced
       ■   Pandemic impacts: supply chains and decreasing margins                        materials, and forest products
                                                                                   ■     Advances in technology (Industry 4.0)
                                                                                   ■     De-carbonizing and revitalizing industrial manufacturing
                                                                                   ■     Potential cross-industrial and -institutional partnerships to
                                                                                         achieve shared goals of innovation, resiliency, and efficiency




                                                                            Biotech manufacturing gains in Minnesota
                                                                            Headquartered at the University of Minnesota in St. Paul, the BioIndustrial Manufacturing
                                                                            and Design Ecosystem (BioMADE) received an $87 million, seven-year grant from the
                                                                            Department of Defense. BioMADE will use the grant to advance sustainable bioindustrial
                                                                            manufacturing technologies in collaboration with public and private entities. The
                                                                            Department of Defense cited their commitment to promoting the United States biotech
                                                                            innovation when interviewed about the grant. Anticipated manufacturing applications
                                                                            to come as a result of the grant include chemicals, solvents, detergents, reagents, plastics,
                                                                            electronic films, fabrics, polymers, agricultural products, crop protection solutions, food
                                                                            additives, fragrances, and flavors.


                                                                            Source: https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/2388087/dod-approves-87-million-for-newest-bioindustrial-
                                                                            manufacturing-innovation-insti/




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | MANUFACTURING                          59
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Construction

                                                                                          CONSTRUCTION JOBS, WASHINGTON STATE


                                                                                                250

                                                                                                                                                                                       200    206    200
                                                                                                200                                                                             187
                                                                                                                                                                         175
                                                                                                                                                                  163
                                                                                                                                                       150
                                                                                                150                                        140
                                                                                                          130        127        130


                                                                                                100


                                                                                                  50


                                                                                                   0
                                                                                                          2010       2011       2012       2013       2014        2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020



                                                                                          Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2021; Community Attributes, 2021.




                                                                                                  STRENGTHS

  Washington’s construction sector employs an estimated 223,000 workers. Nearly                  ■      Robust industry growth and demand for new construction
  two-thirds of these workers are classified as specialty trade contractors. The sector
                                                                                                 ■      Abundance of local natural resources
  proved rather resilient during the pandemic, with employment levels returning
  to 95% of pre-pandemic capacity by July 2020, and employment returning fully                   ■      State investments in wood energy and materials innovation
  to pre-pandemic capacity by March 2021. However, the industry remains in flux                  ■      Investments in innovative construction methods
  as a result of pandemic-related labor shortages, automation, supply chain issues,
                                                                                                 ■      Active Labor associations implementing workforce programs
  remote work, and rising costs, as well as non-pandemic-related issues like federal
  and state policy, and work stoppages due to contracting and bargaining disputes.               ■      Seattle’s growth anchoring statewide return to pre-pandemic
  The industry will need to remain agile and adapt to changing economic conditions
                                                                                                        operations
  and innovations.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                   APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | CONSTRUCTION              60
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Construction

         CHALLENGES                                                                               OPPORTUNITIES

        ■     Rising land and raw materials costs                                             ■    The American Jobs Plan and the Infrastructure Investment and
                                                                                                   Jobs Act
        ■     Policy and regulatory issues related to land availability, density,
              and intensity of development                                                    ■    Sustainability movement
        ■     Uncertain demand for commercial real estate due to increases in                 ■    Mass timber and cross laminated timber
              remote work                                                                     ■    High demand for new construction with up-zoning
        ■     Shifts in labor demands and automation
        ■     Federal policy around immigration and assistance impacting the
              labor pool
        ■     Pandemic impacts on labor, supply chains, and productivity
        ■     Aging construction workforce




  Mass timber in British Columbia, Canada.
  Canada has been the western hemisphere’s most eager adopter of mass timber
  technologies for use in construction. In April of 2021, British Columbia announced eight
  new mass timber construction projects to be undertaken as a part of a mass timber
  demonstration aimed to grow the regions expertise in mass timber construction. The
  program also works to support jobs and employment recovery in the construction
  industry. Previous success with mass timber construction in the region provides
  evidence for the benefits of the relatively new building materials, most prominently seen
  in Vancouver’s Brock Commons. One notable achievement of Brock Commons’ was the
  length of construction. The project was completed in 70 days following the delivery of
  the prefabricated mass timber components, which is approximately four months faster
  than a typical project of the same size.


  Source: https://www.naturallywood.com/blog/mtdp/
  https://www.thinkwood.com/projects/brock-commons-tallwood-house




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                              APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | CONSTRUCTION   61
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Hospitality and Tourism

                                                                                                  STATE PARK VISITATION, WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                                       45,000,000

                                                                                                       40,000,000                                                              38.5M   37.5M
                                                                                                                                                                       37.5M
                                                                                                                                            35.9M             36.3M
                                                                                                       35,000,000        32.8M

                                                                                                       30,000,000

                                                                                                       25,000,000

                                                                                                       20,000,000

                                                                                                       15,000,000

                                                                                                       10,000,000

                                                                                                        5,000,000

                                                                                                                0
                                                                                                                           2015              2016               2017   2018    2019    2020




                                                                                                  Source: Washington State Parks, 2021; Community Attributes, 2021




  Historically, hospitality and tourism has been on of Washington’s largest sectors and                  STRENGTHS
  has employed more than 180,000 workers statewide. Washington has something to
  offer for every potential visitor, with attractions spreading into every corner of the state.          ■     Strong tourism assets
  Attractions include a plethora of beautiful scenery and outdoor experiences, in addition               ■     Established sector presence
  to bustling urban centers promoting arts, culture, and sports.
                                                                                                         ■     Current funding and marketing opportunities
                                                                                                         ■     Sea-Tac International Airport as a major hub for Delta and
                                                                                                               Alaska Airlines




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                         APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | HOSPITALITY AND TOURISM   62
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Hospitality and Tourism

         CHALLENGES                                                                                                           OPPORTUNITIES

        ■      Workforce shortage                                                                                         ■    Increased tourism marketing and targeted marketing around
                                                                                                                               urban, rural, and natural assets
        ■      Low to moderate wages and high job volatility
                                                                                                                          ■    Surging demand in the cruise industry
        ■      Pandemic disruptions to travel and lifestyles, such as decreasing
               household income spending on food and entertainment away                                                   ■    Capitalizing on pandemic induced trends sending visitors to rural
               from home                                                                                                       and remote destinations
        ■      Climate change, wildfires, rising sea levels                                                               ■    Increased demand for ancillary, allied spending among
                                                                                                                               spectators either before and/or after events, such as at local
        ■      Historical lack of investment in tourism marketing
                                                                                                                               restaurants and bars




  Tourism marketing success in Michigan.
  Michigan’s current tourism marketing campaign Pure Michigan commenced in 2008.
  Funding for the state’s tourism office jumped significantly from 2008 to 2009, with a
  proportion of the new funds being dedicated to the campaign. The campaign aimed to
  attract visitors to the Great Lakes state and thus far has accomplished its goal of raising
  Michigan’s profile with tourists. While estimates of the campaign’s total economic impacts
  vary, Longwoods International conducted a study that assigned $1.2 billion in economic
  impacts generated by more than four million trips in 2012. Meanwhile, Travel Michigan,
  the state’s tourism office, estimates that the Pure Michigan campaign generated $153
  million in state tax revenue in 2018.


  Source: https://www.ncsl.org/research/fiscal-policy/state-tourism-office-budgets.aspx;
  https://www.networksnorthwest.org/news-events/news/pure-michigan-campaign-drives-12-billion-in-visitor-spending.html.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                 APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | HOSPITALITY AND TOURISM   63
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Financial Services

                                                                                                    FINANCE AND INSURANCE JOBS, WASHINGTON STATE

                                                                                                                        100                                                        93     94     94      95    95
                                                                                                                                                       90        91         92
                                                                                                                               88     87     88
                                                                                                                        90
                                                                                                                        80
                                                                                                                        70




                                                                                                    THOUSANDS OF JOBS
                                                                                                                        60
                                                                                                                        50
                                                                                                                        40
                                                                                                                        30
                                                                                                                        20
                                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                         0
                                                                                                                               2010   2011   2012      2013     2014        2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020

                                                                                                    Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2021; Community Attributes, 2021.



                                                                                                                              STRENGTHS
  Washington’s financial services sector includes the subsectors of accounting, banking,
  credit and lending, financial investing, insurance, and public finance. Defined as NAICS                                ■    Diverse workforce
  52—Finance and Insurance, the financial services sector employs more than 100,000                                       ■    Large network of commercial banks
  Washington workers throughout the state. About half of all financial services workers
                                                                                                                          ■    Growing startup community
  were employed within the Seattle Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). Compared to
  other Seattle or regional industry clusters, financial services is fairly nascent; however, its                         ■    Local tech talent pool
  intersection with existing clusters—including ICT, tech, and innovation—positions it as a                               ■    Emerging dependency on ICT sector
  potential high-growth and opportunity sector.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                           APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | FINANCIAL SERVICES          64
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | Financial Services

        CHALLENGES                                                                       OPPORTUNITIES

       ■   No major banks are headquartered in Washington                            ■     Seattle and the state are potentially strong fintech hubs due
                                                                                           to existing industry and innovative sectors and educational
       ■   Increasing cybercrime attacks inflicted on financial institution
                                                                                           institutions
       ■   Legislative and regulatory landscape
                                                                                     ■     Traditional financial services companies growing investment
       ■   Increasing barriers for small and medium size firms                             in modern data and analytics tools, artificial intelligence
                                                                                           capabilities, and digital platforms
                                                                                     ■     Established group of incubators, investors, and institutions in
                                                                                           tech or tech-enabled businesses can facilitate a new focus on
                                                                                           fintech startups and innovation




                                                                              Fintech in New York.
                                                                              New York is one of many up-and-coming fintech hubs. New York’s fintech industry
                                                                              includes companies specializing in digital wealth, crytpo, lending, insurance, and B2B
                                                                              fintech. Leading fintech companies include Lemonade and Oscar (insurance), Betterment
                                                                              (robo-advising), Forter (fraud protection), Petal (credit), and Stash (micro-investing). New
                                                                              York also contains incubator and accelerator companies such as TechStars, Citi Innovation
                                                                              Labs, and Fintech Innovation Lab. To date, Fintech Innovation Labs has helped startups
                                                                              raise $1.8 billion in capital investments.
                                                                              Source: https://thefintechtimes.com/guide-to-north-american-fintech-hotspots-covering-atlanta-boston-chicago-los-angeles-new-
                                                                              york-and-san-francisco/
                                                                              https://www.fintechinnovationlab.com/regions/new-york/




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                            APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | FINANCIAL SERVICES                                 65
  Appendix
  SWOT Sector Cut Sheets | References




  1.   “Space Florida: One Place. Infinite Possibilities,” Space Florida, n.d.                  12. “As supply chains cut costs, El Paso, Texas, takes on a new role,” Supply Chain Dive,
                                                                                                    November 2020.
  2.   “Automation Helps Solve Specialty Crop Challenges,” Department of Agriculture, July
       2021.                                                                                    13. “DOD Approves $87 Million for Newest Bioindustrial Manufacturing Innovation
                                                                                                    Institute,” Department of Defense, October 2020.
  3.   “Clean Jobs Washington,” Environmental Entrepreneurs, November 2020.
                                                                                                14. “8 mass timber demonstration projects announced,” Naturally Wood Timber Trends,
  4.   “Mapping the timber industry boom in 2021,” The Architect’s Newspaper, April 2021.
                                                                                                    April 2021.
  5.   “Cyberstates 2021: The definitive guide to the U.S. tech industry and tech workforce,”
                                                                                                15. “Brock Commons Tallwood House,” Think Wood, n.d.
       CompTIA, March 2021.
                                                                                                16. “Visitation Reports,” Washington State Parks, n.d.
  6.   “Talent Show: Louisville’s push for a more tech-focused workforce takes center stage,”
       Louisville Business Journal, April 2021.                                                 17. “SEA Airport Statistics,” Port of Seattle, n.d.

  7.   “Massachusetts’ Digital Health Initiative,” Mass Digital Health, n.d.                    18. “State Tourism Office Budgets,” National Conference of State Legislatures, August
                                                                                                    2019.
  8.   “Massachusetts: A Leading Global Digital Health Ecosystem,” Mass Tech, n.d.
                                                                                                19. “Pure Michigan Campaign Drives $1.2 Billion in Visitor Spending,” Networks
  9.   “Anchors Aweigh: Examining Biofuels for Maritime Shipping,” Department of Energy,
                                                                                                    Northwest, 2013.
       June 2021.
                                                                                                20. “Guide to North American Fintech Hotspots; Covering Atlanta, Boston, Chicago, Los
  10. “Black light biotech,” Oak Ridge National Laboratory, n.d.
                                                                                                    Angeles, New York and San Francisco,” The FinTech Times, December 2020.
  11. “The Cyber-Hub War Is On: Maryland Aims To Become Global Headquarters,” Cyber
                                                                                                21. “Regions,” FinTech Innovation Lab, n.d.
      Security Ventures, January 2019.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                             APPENDIX | SWOT INDUSTRY CUT SHEETS | REFERENCES      66
                                                                                         APPENDIX B
                                                                            ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

                                                                                     Below are the dates, participant lists, and notes from each of the focus group meetings.
       Focus Group Participant Lists & Notes                                         OCTOBER 8
                                                                                     COMMISSION ON ASIAN PACIFIC AMERICAN AFFAIRS FOCUS GROUP NOTES
       During the months of October-December 2021, Triangle conducted focus groups
       with the following:                                                           Participants:
       1.   Commission on Asian Pacific American Affairs                              •   Toshiko Hasegawa, CAPAA
       2.   Washington State Women’s Commission                                       •   Brenda O’Brien, CAPAA
       3.   Washington State Women’s Commission Stakeholders                          •   Chongsun Abbott, CAPAA

       4.   Quinault Prosperity, Health, and Human Services Subcommittee              •   Chairman Diaz, CAPAA
                                                                                      •   Lalita Uppala, CAPAA
       5.   Washington State Labor Council Manufacturing Labor Roundtable
                                                                                      •   Sam Cho, CAPAA
       6.   Department of Commerce Small Business Resiliency Network
       7.   Latino Education and Training Institute                                  Notes:

       8.   Seattle Metropolitan Chamber of Commerce REACH                           There is a need for idiomatic and culturally specific support and structural support.
       9.   Washington State Labor Council Worker Group                              ■    Small business owners face bureaucratic and administrative challenges and need
        •                                                                                 support with paperwork, bookkeeping and tax duties, hiring and employment, and
                                                                                          digital access.

                                                                                     ■    Specialized support for businesses to ask questions and seek support.

                                                                                     ■    Provide structural support for businesses to access information, resources, and set
                                                                                          up lasting systems.

                                                                                     ■    Create a trusted space and resiliency network and utilize the trusted messenger model.

                                                                                     Invest in OWMBE businesses and the organizations that support them.

                                                                                     ■    Contract with OWMBE businesses for state and government work and invest in small
                                                                                          businesses through contracts.

                                                                                          •   Provide incentives for procurement managers.

                                                                                     ■    Empower, educate, and train CBOs or legal clinics on how to support small businesses
                                                                                          and provide the resources they need.

                                                                                     ■    Support immigration and refugee documentation for employers and employees.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                               APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR         68
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  Talk with communities and small businesses to understand the barriers and issues          Protect employee rights and consider what is best for workers.
  they face.
                                                                                            ■   Protect the right to organize, the right to unionize.
  ■    Conduct community and business interviews to understand the minority-owned
                                                                                            ■   Amplify labor groups and employee leadership.
       business environment and why small businesses face the barriers they do.
                                                                                            ■   Give employees a voice in the workplace.
  ■    Provide training on how to start a business.
                                                                                            ■   Provide jobs that allow people to support their families.
  ■    Provide cultural and geographic accessibility.
                                                                                            ■   Provide benefits and overtime pay for all workers, including in the agricultural sector.
                                                                                            ■   Protect employees in customer service roles, especially after COVID.
                                                                                            ■   Reduce the barriers to receive credit and loans for undocumented workers.
  OCTOBER 22
                                                                                            ■   Think about showing up in the workplace more holistically to consider lives outside
  WASHINGTON STATE WOMEN’S COMMISSION FOCUS GROUP NOTES
                                                                                                of work.
  Participants:
                                                                                            Provide support for small businesses and invest in infrastructure solutions.
   •   Jaxon Riley, Executive Director of Leadership Spokane
                                                                                            ■   Fund government programs and departments that support small businesses, such
   •   Maami Hudson, Small Business Support Navigator for the Tacoma Urban League
                                                                                                as the Department of Commerce.
   •   Ginger Ewing, Terrain Spokane
                                                                                            ■   Recognize and support the role of organizations that support language and cultural
   •   Amal Joury, Director of Operations at Derma Medical Spa
                                                                                                access needs for small businesses.
   •   Terran Echegoyen, Inland Northwest Business Alliance
                                                                                            ■   Support equitable solutions that are already underway.
  Notes:
                                                                                            Improve access to resources and information.
  Understand the barriers and challenges that employees face.                               ■   Information and paperwork required for grants and assistance can be hard
  ■    There is a shortage of professional jobs and jobs that provide living wages.             to produce.
                                                                                            ■   Businesses experience digital barriers.
       • Provide incentives for skills training at community colleges (medical and dental
         assistants, nurses).                                                               ■   Smaller business and BIPOC organizations have limited access to capital, financial
                                                                                                loans, and PPP aid.
       • Offer mentorship and training.
                                                                                            ■   Improve the accessibility and overall knowledge of assistance programs.
  ■    There is a lack of available and affordable workforce housing.
                                                                                            There are needed infrastructure improvements, including:
  ■    Understand the causes of current and past workforce migration.

  ■    License transfers between states and for immigrant workers create a barrier.         ■   Affordable and accessible childcare.
                                                                                            ■   Affordable workforce housing.
                                                                                            ■   Training for businesses and microenterprises.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                      APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR          69
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  OCTOBER 29                                                                                    ■   Provide living wages.
  WASHINGTON STATE WOMEN’S COMMISSION FOCUS GROUP NOTES
                                                                                                Invest in employee well-being:
  Participants:
                                                                                                ■   Support flexibility for employees (i.e., being able to work at 80-90% rather than 100%
   •   6th Councilwoman Clarinda Underwood, Subcommittee Member
                                                                                                    all the time to accommodate personal schedules, childcare, eldercare, etc.).
   •   3rd Councilman John Bryson, Subcommittee Member
                                                                                                ■   Create room for employees to work at different capacity levels to balance out
   •   Treasurer Larry Ralston, Subcommittee Member
                                                                                                    workload surges. Provide mental health support for small businesses and employees
  Notes:                                                                                            by investing in long-term mental health support and a follow up system.
  Re-think structural systems and investments:                                                  ■   Create safe and comfortable workspaces where employees can bring their full selves
                                                                                                    to work:
  ■    Shift state investment priorities to focus on supporting small businesses and the
       organizations that support them to reduce burdens on impacted communities.                   •       Normalize pronoun usage.

  ■    Adjust state investment priorities to adjust for communities throughout the state;           •       Policies that require education around workplace conduct and how to
       they may be different from one geography to the next.                                                treat others.

  ■    Create equitable opportunities for small businesses and non-profits.                     Barriers:

  ■    Consider distributed leadership models to empower employees and encourage                ■   Cost of healthcare.
       democratic decision making.
                                                                                                ■   Licensing barriers.
  ■    Provide universal healthcare (including mental health) to reduce burdens on small
                                                                                                ■   Stigma around hiring formerly incarcerated employees.
       businesses and support employees transitioning between jobs.
                                                                                                ■   Stability issues (i.e., houseless, sobriety requirements for housing, access to addiction
  ■    Provide living wages.
                                                                                                    services, mental health case management/ensure follow through).
  Provide administrative and professional development support:
                                                                                                ■   Housing affordability and availability.
  ■    Provide culturally specific and in-language resources for small businesses.              ■   Business rental space affordability and availability.
  ■    Lower the barrier to entry for small businesses and entrepreneurs with sector specific   ■   Infrastructure issues (i.e., access to broadband, etc.).
       business professional development support.
                                                                                                ■   Lack of diversity within companies and Black, Indigenous, and People of Color not
  ■    Promote and provide vocational work and education/training, starting at a                    feeling welcome or culturally accepted.
       young age.
                                                                                                ■   Access to resources for entrepreneurs.
  ■    Provide equity training to boards with investing or funding power.
                                                                                                ■   Subsidized childcare.
  ■    Build trust with communities.
                                                                                                ■   Two-way trust with communities being served (i.e., must trust the communities that
  ■    Provide universal healthcare (including mental health) to reduce burdens on small            are being served to receive trust).
       businesses and support employees transitioning between jobs.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                           APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR          70
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  NOVEMBER 9                                                                                   ■   There are significant investments in education that have been, which is viewed as a
  QUINAULT PROSPERITY, HEALTH, AND HUMAN SERVICES SUBCOMMITTEE FOCUS                               partnership with the State.
  GROUP NOTES
                                                                                               Changes to the mill and fishing industries have significant impacts on the Quinault.
  Participants:                                                                                ■   There is a need for support and strategies for displaced workers.
   •   Regina Malveaux, Director                                                                   • Competitive salaries.
   •   Michelle Merriweather, Chair
                                                                                                   • Provide state unemployment funds for recently displaced workers.
   •   Rituja Indapure, Vice-Chair
                                                                                                   • Provide workforce transition training for skill development.
   •   Quinn Dalan, Secretary
                                                                                                   • Provide options and support for entrepreneurship or artistry.
   •   Anna Franklin
   •   Grace Huang                                                                             ■   It is difficult to encourage change in workers with life-long careers without financial
                                                                                                   incentives or free training.
   •   Chris Kobdish
   •   Vicki Lowe                                                                              There is a lack of trade workers or employees with trade expertise.
   •   Kasi Perreira                                                                           ■   Provide physical and online training opportunities for vocational and trade work.
   •   Dawn Rains
                                                                                               ■   Nursing and clinic positions are underfilled.
  Notes:                                                                                           • Paid for online and in-person vocational training for young adults and adults (i.e.,
  Infrastructure is a priority.                                                                      carpentry, electrical, plumbing), as well as in other industries such as nursing,
                                                                                                     forestry, light manufacturing, IT, trans-oceanic communication cable, etc.
  ■    The lack of housing infrastructure and affordable housing on the reservation impact
                                                                                               ■   Once paid for training is provided, incentives for folks to stay on the reservation
       job retention.
                                                                                                   are needed.
  ■    Commuting onto the reservation for jobs is too cumbersome for most.
                                                                                               ■   Invest in additional education programs, such as Computer Science, at the
  ■    There is a lack of infrastructure and an outdated and overburdened energy grid (i.e.,       local college.
       power, water, sewer, internet).
                                                                                               ■   Experienced trade workers move away to work on larger projects and are not
  ■    Interest in building energy infrastructure and addressing climate change.                   available as a resource for the tribe.

  ■    Broadband accessibility is an important part of the infrastructure, and the Quinault    Consider the unique challenges the Quinault and other tribes face.
       built out (and paid for) their own network.
                                                                                               ■   The Quinault have different needs and issues compared to tribes located on or near
       • More reliable and faster internet access with more bandwidth internet access is           the I-5 corridor.
         needed, and to provide this on the reservation the Tribes need grants, not loans.
                                                                                                   • Employees have longer commutes.
       • Communicate clearly with the Tribes on broadband opportunities and networks.
                                                                                                   • Access is limited.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                         APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR         71
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  ■   Challenges related to COVID-19 continue to cause economic hardship (ex. Sweetgrass     Workforce barriers include lack of training, access to living-wage, high-quality jobs,
      Motel still non-operational even after financial incentives added to hiring).          and employee benefits.

  Improve access to resources and information.                                               ■   Disconnect between employers and employees:

  ■   Information and paperwork required for grants and assistance can be hard                   •   Employers are looking for ways to address supply chain issues by cutting corners
      to produce.                                                                                    with training and hiring younger workers.

  ■   Businesses experience digital barriers                                                     •   Access to healthcare and delays around retirement security hinder people from
                                                                                                     taking on jobs, especially the younger workforce.

                                                                                                 •   Shortage of employers that are willing to provide living wages and
                                                                                                     high-quality jobs.
  DECEMBER 13
                                                                                             ■   Employees need state registered apprenticeship programs with the
  WASHINGTON STATE LABOR COUNCIL MANUFACTURING LABOR ROUNDTABLE
                                                                                                 following considerations:
  Affordable housing and cost of living have broad impacts on the workforce.
                                                                                                 • Pre-apprenticeship as a proven best practice to support equity models
  ■   Workers are moving to areas with more affordable housing (North Puget Sound to
                                                                                                 • Accountability within training programs to recruit and retain workers
      South Puget Sound). On top of manufacturing jobs being in-person, this migration
      can create longer commutes, which can impact job performance                               • Requirements and outcomes for results the industry can count on, including the
                                                                                                   number of jobs in the region, set wages, and job standards.
  ■   Many workers have required response times and must be within a certain distance
      or time from their jobs                                                                There can be misrepresentation around the industry that masks workforce issues.
  ■   Housing prices have significant impacts on lots of jobs, especially at the lower end   ■   The term “skill gap” can oversimplify other barriers the workforce faces, including age
      of the manufacturing scale and workers may have to work more than one job to               discrimination, lack of understanding around transferable skills, and other issues.
      afford housing.
                                                                                             ■   Energy intensive and trade exposed industries can face bad press.
  ■   Workers experience sticker shock if they are transferred within their industry to a
      new location                                                                           Provide technical, permitting, and regulation support.

  ■   Suggestions included:                                                                  ■   Streamline siting and permitting process, including labor standards.

      •    Investing in housing for workforce and providing infrastructure (Kaiser was       ■   Provide technical support for registered apprenticeships.
           an example)                                                                       ■   Enforce regulations to address supply chain issues, foreign competition, and leakage
      •    Investing in worker welfare                                                           to other states.

      •    Investing in childcare options, particularly for non-standard hours               ■   Address issues around misclassification and access to state social safety nets so
                                                                                                 employees know what resources they have access to.



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                       APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR         72
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  DECEMBER 14                                                                                  ■   Airbnbs and vacation houses impact available housing.
  DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE SMALL BUSINESS RESILIENCY NETWORK
                                                                                                   • Olympic Peninsula and Jefferson County housing.
  GROUP 1                                                                                          • Forces more workers to commute.
  Affordable housing is a significant issue.                                                   ■   Suggestions included:

  ■   There is a housing shortage, a lack of affordable housing, and a large houseless             • Zoning code adjustments for more affordable housing, including eliminating
      population. Suggestions to address this included:                                              exclusionary zoning and height restrictions to maximize the number of new units
                                                                                                     that can be built on available suitable parcels near amenities. Incremental tweaks
      ■    Community living that allows more than one family to live on one parcel. A
                                                                                                     in this regard have show a lack of response in the market already, contributing to
           statewide law currently limits county ability to have community living without
                                                                                                     the statewide housing deficit.
           individual ownership or build ADUs.

      ■    Zoning code adjustments for more affordable housing.                                Small businesses lack access to resources, language and technical support, and
                                                                                               safe workspaces.
      ■    Direct solutions for houseless populations by addressing housing shortages,
           affordability, and accessibility.                                                   ■   Small business and the workforce encounter language barriers, technological
                                                                                                   barriers (Zoom and social media), and access to workforce training.
      ■    Promote equity in new development (example: new apartment buildings
           should have a percentage of units dedicated to low-income housing.)                     • Lack of childcare.

  ■   Financial, technological, and cultural literacy impact access to housing.                ■   Workforce training and navigating COVID protocols falls on local communities.

       • There are language barriers.                                                          ■   Suggestions included:

       • Technological literacy (social media, Zoom, use of the internet) impacts housing          • Conversations with the Chamber of Commerce
         access for those who rely on newspapers or mail.                                          • Support for administrative and paperwork requirements, especially for taxes and
       • Financial literacy and access to funding support, especially for immigrant,                 finances. Ex: help people understand how to select banks, financial support, and
         refugee and BIPOC-owned businesses. These businesses do not qualify for                     things to look out for.
         commercial rent assistance opportunities because most of them have borrowed               • Focus on small businesses. Most state support is directed towards institutions.
         from community brokers, family, and friends and owe debt outside of rent.
                                                                                               Access to capital and lending is a significant barrier.
       • Marketing for housing is not reaching cultural communities, and the application
         process is burdensome and difficult to navigate.                                      ■   Lending, interest rates, and access to capital are barriers.

  ■   Available housing and lack of transportation make it difficult for workers to commute.   ■   There is a stigma around taking on debt.

       • Ex: Little Saigon and International District housing is too expensive, and            ■   The environment around traditional lending does not support small businesses.
         employees live further away, which makes it difficult to access.
                                                                                               ■   Applications are complicated and time consuming.
       • Lack of transportation exacerbates this issue.


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                         APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR      73
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  ■   Suggestions included:                                                                         costs to make some units in these projects affordable unites, contributing to
                                                                                                    highly desirable mixed-income housing stock.
       • Patience capital to ensure programs and assistance are available.
                                                                                                 • Remove or at least increase caps to numbers of residents allowed to cohabitate
       • One-on-one business coaching. It is more time-intensive but necessary.
                                                                                                   in a common dwelling to recognize the increasing necessity and popularity of
       • Provide information about what is available and support for applications.                 co-living arrangements.
       • Implement Community Development Financial Institutions to provide lending in            • Make sure additional tenant protections take into account “tenant in common”
         a non-traditional way.                                                                    living situations.
       • Help small businesses find good matches for loans with fair interest rates and      Small businesses don’t have the same resources as larger competitors.
         reasonable timeframes for repayment by creating a partnership between lenders
         and small businesses.                                                               ■   Costs associated with fringe benefits are high for small businesses and they can’t
                                                                                                 always offer those benefits to employees.
  GROUP 2
                                                                                             ■   Bigger businesses have more capacity to provide in-house training, putter smaller
  Affordable housing is a big barrier with financial and cultural impacts.                       and independently owned businesses at a workforce disadvantage.

                                                                                             ■   Cost of healthcare, insurance, and benefits impact small businesses.
  ■   There are housing inequities across the state and housing prices have exploded.
      Wages don’t match the growth of housing prices, especially in the working class.       ■   Bigger businesses, such as Amazon, monopolize advertising space and workforce
                                                                                                 recruitment, especially for mobile employees.
       • Ex: Spokane has the 3rd largest anticipated housing price hike in the country for
         2022.                                                                               ■   Suggestions included:
  ■   Individuals can’t invest or accrue generation wealth.                                      • Small business support for health insurance and trainings through policy
                                                                                                   initiatives.
  ■   Movement and migration impacts: Workforces are moving outside of urban centers
      for more affordable housing, or leaving the state entirely.                                • Offer portable benefits to workers in the labor pool rather than through individual
                                                                                                   employers.
  ■   Owning a house is an indicator of success, especially in Asian communities.

       • Families or small businesses are selling homes or properties to support their       Small businesses and employees don’t have the resources they need.
         businesses, which impact what is considered success for them.
                                                                                             ■   There are barriers to access across all sectors, including lack of program coordination
  ■   Suggestions included:                                                                      and lack of access to specialized technical assistance.

       • Providing housing and residential assistance (Ex. El Centro).                       ■   There is a large time investment for trainings.

       • Alternative models to housing, including alternative cooperative ownership.         ■   Access to technology and financial support is a barrier.

       • State run program that helps people participate in co-buying contracts.             ■   Norms around interviews, professionalism and workplace training can be barriers
                                                                                                 for employees.
       • Modify Washington State Housing Trust Fund grant programs to allow community-
         driven co-housing projects to be eligible for funds to help offset development

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                       APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR         74
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  ■   Documentation and paperwork required for training is a barrier.                      DECEMBER 15
                                                                                           LATINO EDUCATION AND TRAINING INSTITUTE
  ■   Suggestions included:

       • Access to the internet and bringing technology to underrepresented communities.   Economic success means stability, balance, and equality.

       • Establish collaborative and inclusive ecosystems across funding and programs.     ■   Stability includes housing that is affordable and available. The rapid increase for
                                                                                               cost-of-living impacts workers.
       • Provide workshops for individuals without access interview knowledge or
         networks to help with interviewing and hiring processes.                          ■   Success is a community that is financially stable and self-sufficient.

  Lack of capital and access to grants is a barrier.                                       ■   Provide economic balance: having a good, living wage job and the ability to afford
                                                                                               or achieve your goals.
  ■   Small businesses often face too many barriers to overcome – there are barriers at
                                                                                           ■   Equal competitive conditions.
      every step of the process.
                                                                                           ■   Competitive equality: Employers know the laws and government provides equal
  ■   Systemic and administrative barriers, including language barriers, prevent small
                                                                                               service for everyone and equally distributed benefits.
      businesses from getting the help they need.
                                                                                               • Ex: The pandemic affects people who don’t have the information or the resources
       • Ex: There is not enough help along the way and businesses have issues accessing
                                                                                                 that can help them.
         their money or grants.

  ■   There is a lack of access to grants and financial support.                           It is difficult for employees/employers to get the resources and support they need.

  ■   Supply chain issues, shipping delays, and increase in the cost of goods impact       ■   Banks are being extremely cautious with lending and it is difficult to find investors.
      small businesses                                                                     ■   There is a lack of resources in Spanish, and those that exist are hard to find.
  ■   COVID mandates, vaccine verification and lack of clarity around COVID polices are    ■   There is uncertainty around the support and resources available for small businesses.
      difficult to navigate and businesses choose to stay closed.
                                                                                           ■   Employees may have skills and experience, but it is difficult to secure work without
  ■   Suggestions included:                                                                    a degree.
       • Clear policy communications and guidelines, especially around COVID               ■   Employees are balancing work, school, and family and still trying to save up for
       • Support for small businesses (especially restaurants) to understand COVID             homes or provide for their families.
         mandates and regulations.                                                             • Sacrifice savings, time with children, etc.
       • Support for small businesses in the face of supply chain shortages.               ■   During COVID, people are not investing professional growth.

                                                                                           ■   Suggestions included:

                                                                                               • Creating businesses and a business environment with resources to navigate
                                                                                                 accessing capital or loans with low interest rates.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                     APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR        75
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

       • Improve access to banking and loans and general understand of policies, laws,            • Provide instruction or assistance to business owners to legally validate their
         and resources.                                                                             businesses.

       • Improve access to resources and support.                                                 • Provide information on how to obtain small business loans.

       • Provide government support for programs that offer education and training for            • Chamber of Commerce and small businesses should partner to analyze products
         higher-wage jobs.                                                                          to import and export and offer business fairs in different sectors.

       • Educate communities on available resources and how to take advantage                     • Provide training as soon as possible.
         of them.
                                                                                                  • Reduce the cost of education.
       • Provide economic resource and financial literacy training. Ex: Ho to save for
         college and retirement and savings programs for elders.

       • Offer more meetings or trainings related to economic development, especially
         for youth.                                                                           DECEMBER 15
                                                                                              QUINAULT PROSPERITY, HEALTH, AND HUMAN SERVICES SUBCOMMITTEE
       • Offer job training in primary languages.
                                                                                              MEETING #2
       • Offer more virtual classes and trainings.
                                                                                              Participants:
       • Provide bilingual instructional courses for employees (computer skills, marketing,
         basic office programs, email, etc.) at low or no cost.                                   • Aiyana Underwood, Quinault Indian National Policy Coordinator

  It is difficult to utilize transferable skills or transition to a new career.                   • Christine Winn, QNIB CEO

  ■   Many Latinos who have come to the U.S. don’t use the skills or the accreditations           • 6th Councilwoman Clarinda Underwood, Subcommittee Member
      they’ve acquired in their own country.                                                      • Guy Capoeman, President of Quinault Indian Nation
  ■   For employees or businesses that struggled during the pandemic, transitioning jobs          • 3rd Councilman John Bryson, Subcommittee Member
      or utilizing transferable skills was difficult.
                                                                                                  • Treasurer Larry Ralston, Subcommittee Member
  ■   Smaller communities don’t receive the same information around economic
                                                                                                  • Marie Sullivan, State Lobbyist for Quinault Indian Nation
      opportunities and resources.
                                                                                                  • Scott Richards, State Lobbyist for Quinault Indian Nation
  ■   The cost of education and obtaining college credits is a big barrier.
                                                                                                  • Kryn Sausedo, EcoNorthwest
  ■   Suggestions included:
                                                                                                  • Jade Aguilar, EcoNorthwest
       • Easier process to validate titles or experience.
                                                                                                  • Annie Kilburg Smith, Triangle Associates
       • Provide programs for non-traditional students (first generation Latinos, etc.) to
         validate and acquire titles to increase their income.                                    • Claire Wendle, Triangle Associates



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                      APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR    76
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  There is a lack of affordable and available housing.                                              • Strategies to continue services: Shortened hours, streamlined and reduced
                                                                                                      services and closed departments.
  ■   Housing prices are unattainable for $15/hour wages.
                                                                                                    • There is less interest in QNIB jobs because of non-standard hours (9-5).
       • Grays Harbor County is experiencing extremely high real estate prices.
                                                                                                ■   Trade jobs are struggling:
  ■   There is a lack of new housing due to the recession from the 1980’s that stunted
      housing construction.                                                                         • There is a lack of homebuilders and workers are outsourced for home construction.

       • There are no available or affordable rentals.                                              • It is difficult to obtain county permits.

       • People are coming from other places to live in the County.                                 • The fishing industry lacks funds even though there is potential for economic
                                                                                                      development or growth.
       • New-build houses are not affordable.
                                                                                                    • Grays Harbor Community College lacks the curriculum for trade jobs.
  ■   Available real estate impacts businesses, and there is a tax incentive (Opportunities
      Zone) to invest in the County, but investors buy properties to hold and sell for later,       • Natural resource collapse is forcing people to seek other work or slowing down
      which pushed out businesses and results in empty buildings.                                     some industries.

  ■   Suggestions included:                                                                         • Climate change and ocean acidification are affecting the crab and shellfish
                                                                                                      harvests.
       • Workforce housing on the reservation.
                                                                                                ■   Suggestions included:
       • Housing for the wellness clinic.
                                                                                                    • Infrastructure to help people transition.
       • More affordable housing.
                                                                                                    • Use timber resources to boost housing industry.
  Industry changes and COVID have caused workforce shifts and impacted
  recruitment.                                                                                      • Offer technical training.

                                                                                                    • Invest in timber and fish industries.
  ■   The older workforce isn’t returning to work (ex. casino workers or workers at the
      Sweetgrass in Ocean Shores) and there is growth in union membership.                          • Provide alternatives and post-secondary education apprenticeships and
                                                                                                      pre-apprenticeships.
  ■   There have been COVID-induced career changes, which comes with transitioning
      skillsets and navigating different careers.                                               There are infrastructure, policy, and administrative barriers.
  ■   Cost of logging has gone down, which has maximized efficiency but eliminated jobs.        ■   There is a severe childcare shortage, even for employees that work standard hours.
  ■   Hiring benefits are in place but there is a lack of interest from potential employees.        There are long waitlists and only 4-5 desirable childcare centers.

       • Strategies to recruit and retain employees: Benefits include $15/hour minimum          ■   There is inadequate broadband that impacts ability to do virtual school.
         wage, hiring, Christmas, and referral bonuses, overtime                                ■   Changes to immigration reform and federal immigration policy negatively impact
                                                                                                    the Quinault.



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                          APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR     77
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  ■   Federally recognized tribes are not eligible for state funds for water, sewer, and      DECEMBER 16
                                                                                              SEATTLE METROPOLITAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE REACH
      storm repairs.

       • Goals to relocate villages to higher ground.                                         Affordable housing and cost of living impact the ability to build wealth and
                                                                                              the workforce
       • Inadequate broadband, water, and sewer prevents additional housing or
         construction.                                                                        ■   Housing is a primary means to build wealth, and the increase in housing prices
                                                                                                  impacts access to housing as a wealth building tool.
       • The Quinault moved forward with their wellness clinic without additional funding.
                                                                                              ■   It is difficult to find employees for all job levels because they cannot afford to live
  ■   Projects are delayed due to permitting and associated costs; long EIN processes.
                                                                                                  nearby.
  ■   Affordable electricity is an issue, especially with newer developments (ex. Seabrook)
                                                                                              ■   There is a lack of transportation to jobs.
  ■   There is poor education in Grays Harbor County, and the only options are private
                                                                                              ■   Suggestions included:
      schools and the school in Montesano.
                                                                                                  • Find short term ways to help people build good wealth.
  ■   Enterprises are suffering with a need for employees that can’t be filled.
                                                                                                  • Pair transportation and affordable housing for all income levels.
       • Ex: Hiring at the Sweetgrass Hotel in Ocean Shores.
                                                                                                  • Involve employers in affordable housing to address the needs they have.
  ■   Lack of infrastructure to support economic growth (housing, jobs).
                                                                                                  • Develop community ownership methods.
  ■   Suggestions included:
                                                                                                  • Investing in childcare options, particularly for non-standard hours.
       • Tribal access to grants for infrastructure improvements, including water, sewer,
         and broadband.                                                                       Workforce barriers include training and access to resources.

       • Streamline regulation and permitting fees.                                           ■   It is difficult to navigate the ecosystem on a state level. CBOs and network
       • Support to help burdened communities access funds, including tribes.                     partnerships help address this.

       • Invest in natural resources.                                                         ■   Education is the entry to high level jobs.

       • Continue grants for river restoration and continue restoration work on the           ■   Suggestions included:
         Quinault River.                                                                          • Vocational and traditional training.

                                                                                                  • Help employees and small businesses get the information they need.

                                                                                              Business growth is stymied by access to capital, access to resources, and lack
                                                                                              of support.

                                                                                              ■   Support for small businesses and availability of technical assistance has room
                                                                                                  for growth.



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                        APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR         78
  Appendix
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)

  ■   Small businesses, start-ups, and venture capital need access to capital and           ■   Construction Worker:
      alternatives to credit.
                                                                                                • Layoffs for workers were extended after negotiations for strike.
  ■   Commercial availability is a barrier to business growth.
                                                                                                • Filed for unemployment and didn’t receive help for several months.
  ■   Suggestions included:
                                                                                                • Went back to school but had to return to work to continue to earn wages.
       • Coordinated access to export opportunities.
                                                                                                • Job instability is a risk and very hard.
       • Resources to help people start and grow their businesses, including:
                                                                                                • Suggestions included:
          - Culturally appropriate and in-language resources.
                                                                                                   - Online or hybrid programs that are offered on the weekends to accommodate
          - Technical assistance to build knowledge base and financial access, and access            workers with 8-10 hour weekday shifts.
            to capital.
                                                                                            ■   Former Aerospace Consultant:
          - Static and interactive resources.
                                                                                                • Called unemployment in December 2020 but wasn’t placed into TAA orientation
                                                                                                  until August and will start school in early 2022.

                                                                                                • Was not assigned a case manager for several months.

  DECEMBER 20                                                                                   • Automated unemployment process was hard to navigate with lots of hoops to
  WASHINGTON STATE LABOR COUNCIL WORKER GROUP                                                     jump through.

  Workforce barriers include training and access to resources.                                  • Lack of support.

                                                                                                • Had to pay back wages.
  ■   Public School District bus drivers and nutrition services:

       • Workforce was laid off at the beginning of the pandemic. Hours and shared work     The unemployment process is broken—it takes too long, there is no clear point of
         program were cut, leaving the workforce without enough jobs.                       contact or direction for support or help.
       • Many employees moved to different states.

       • Workers filed for unemployment, and some were denied or disqualified because
         of reasonable assurance that jobs will be provided.

       • Working to bargain with the school district and ESD and appeals won’t be heard
         until March 2022.

       • Wages are being garnished.

       • Eliminated contracts, and difficult to find qualified workers or those that have
         been certified to be school bus drivers.

       • Unclear on point of contact or where to go for help or answers.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                      APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR   79
  Washington State Legislative Committee on Economic Development & International Relations (WA LCEDIR)
  Outreach to collect perspectives from community.

                                                                                         In most focus groups, participants emphasized the importance of outreach to gather
                                                                                         community perspectives on barriers. Participants felt this was important for the State to
       In addition to the key topics listed above, employees stated that they
                                                                                         understand the unique barriers each community faces across the geography of the state
       need support in the following areas:
                                                                                         to make necessary investments. Location, cultural and language needs, and historical
       ■   Health care costs reduced or paid for, including for mental health            context are among a few factors that participants shared.

       ■   Overtime compensation for hourly workers
                                                                                         Next Steps & Best Practices
       ■   Financial support for displaced workers
                                                                                         Input from focus group participants either helped to confirm existing barriers identified
       ■   Reduced cost or paid for childcare
                                                                                         by EcoNW in their analysis of Washington State’s economy, highlighted additional barriers
       ■   Support for employee rights and wellbeing, including the right                and issues in the engaged communities, or supported the overall recommendations
           to unionize, employee flexibility to accommodate schedules and                made in this report. Facilitators followed up with participants to share the notes from
           other commitments, mental health resources, and diversity, equity and         each meeting and will share with them the final recommendations report submitted to
           inclusion training                                                            the Lieutenant Governor in January 2022.

       ■   Quality jobs defined by flexibility during work hours to care for children,
           elders, or handle other daytime commitments, side hustles, etc.               Two key limitations in engaging communities throughout this process included the:

       ■   Safe and supportive workplaces for LGBTQI groups, including education          1    Condensed timeline for connecting with hard-to-reach communities
           or workplace conduct training
                                                                                          2    Inability to compensate participants for their time
       Small business owners stated that they need support in the following areas:
                                                                                         In the future, Triangle recommends instilling best practices including extending the
       ■   Cultural and linguistically specific support, including in-language
                                                                                         outreach timeline to maximize participation and offering stipends or compensation to
           materials, administrative assistance, digital access, consistent access to
                                                                                         participants to increase participation and reach a broader swath of communities across
           resources, and professional development
                                                                                         the state.
       ■   Incentives to contract with small or minority-owned businesses

       ■   Improved access to resources and information, including financial aid,
           small business support, and how to find assistance

       ■   Universal employee benefits, including healthcare and other luxury
           expenses to reduce cost burdens on small business expenses

       ■   Equitable opportunities for small businesses and non-profits to receive
           funding and employment opportunities



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                  APPENDIX | ENGAGEMENT – DETAILED NOTES | WA LCEDIR        80
                                                                                           APPENDIX C
                                                                            FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES
REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
                            Housing
                            Washington State has the fewest housing units per household of any state

  One way to track housing supply and availability is by calculating the number of homes
  per household. Washington has only 1.06 housing units per household compared to the
  national average of 1.14. When accounting for normal vacancy and second homes, this low
  housing ratio means that there are not enough units to meet housing need in Washington.
  Even counties with seemingly higher ratios tend to have higher ratios of second homes. This
  lack of supply is putting strong upward pressure on home prices and rents. Homeownership
  is becoming more unattainable, particularly for households of color, and affordable rental
  housing continues to be out of reach across the state.1 Since 2010, the housing crises is
  getting worse as the number of units built has not kept pace with household formation
                                                                                                                                                                                        1.14
                                                                                                                                                                              housing units per household
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1.06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              housing units per household
  over the last decade.2                                                                                                                                                               nationally                                   in Washington
  The underproduction of housing is limiting economic productivity, the creation of
                                                                                                                                                            An inadequate supply of housing causes challenges for:
  jobs and perpetuating disparate outcomes of wealth inequity for the next generation
  of Washingtonians.                                                                                                                                               ■ Talent attraction—Relocating workers who must compete for already
                                                                                                                                                                     limited housing.1
  RATIO OF HOUSING UNITS TO HOUSEHOLDS IN 2020
                                                                                                                                                                   ■ Costs due to higher wages—Employers need to pay workers more to afford
                                                                                                                                                                     the region.3
                                                                                                                                                                   ■ Ability to replace workers—Employers may have to recruit workers from
                                                                                                                                                                     hours away.
                                                                                                                                                                   ■ Retain customers—Housing costs may drive lower / middle income residents
                                                                                                                                                                     / customers to other areas.
                                                                                                                                                                   ■ Business attraction—Businesses may not want to expand to the area due to
                                                                                                                                                                     risk of not being able to secure labor
                                                                                                                                                                   ■ Job stability and educational outcomes—People are priced out of already
                                                                                                                                                                     precarious living situations.4


                                                                                                                                                                                       “Misallocation arises because the constraints on housing supply in
                                                                                                                                                                                       the most productive US cities effectively limit the number of workers
                                                                                                                                                                                       who have access to such high productivity. Instead of increasing
                                                                                                                                                                                       local employment, productivity growth in housing-constrained cities
               1.0 – 1.05                  1.05 – 1.1                  1.1 – 1.14                  1.14 – 1.25                  1.25 or More
                                                                                                                                                                                       primarily pushes up housing prices and nominal wages.”
  Source: U.S. Census, Washington Office of Financial Management
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       — Hsieh and Moretti, 2019
  1
    Ilina Logani. “Washington State’s Housing Affordability Crisis.” Office of Lieutenant Governor Denny Heck. (2021).
  2
    U.S. Census, Washington Office of Financial Management
  3
    Chang-Tai Hsieh and Enrico Moretti. “Housing Constraints and spatial misallocation.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 11(2): 1-39. (2019). https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/mac.20170388
  4
    Up for Growth. “Housing underproduction in Washington State.” (2020).

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                      APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | HOUSING   82
                          Housing
                          Washington State has the fewest housing units per household of any state

  Current Efforts                                                                                                                                      to overturn local bans on “missing middle” housing. This would allow for the creation
                                                                                                                                                       of a greater variety of housing types such as duplexes and townhouses in most areas
  The Department of Commerce provides a variety of tools to local governments, nonprofits
                                                                                                                                                       of large and mid-size cities, effectively banning single-family zoning.7 The proposed
  and community action agencies to support affordable housing including administering
                                                                                                                                                       legislation, meant to address homelessness, also includes $800 million in investments in
  the housing trust fund (HTF). While investments are significant, they are not enough to
                                                                                                                                                       permanent supportive housing and behavioral health facilities. However, similar bills (HB
  support the growing need for affordable homes.
                                                                                                                                                       2780 and SB 6536) which sought to re-legalize middle housing in most of the state were
                                                                                                                                                       killed in 2020.

                                                                                                                                                       Remaining Gaps
                                                                                                                                                       Despite current efforts Washington is still not building enough homes, especially
                                                                                                                                                       homes that are affordable at lower incomes. Many of the barriers to increasing housing
                                                                                                                                                       production identified in the 2020 Housing Underproduction in Washington State report
                                                                                                                                                       and the 2021 Housing Affordability Crisis report remain, including:
                                                                                                                                                             ■ Zoning restrictions, biased against high-density sites, that prevent adding
                                                                                                                                                               “missing middle” units in single-family neighborhoods often driven by NIMBYism.
                                                                                                                                                               Statewide policies to overturn local bans on “missing middle” housing have been
                                                                                                                                                               proposed but not yet passed.
                                                                                                                                                             ■ Escalating and misaligned fee structures, such as impact and linkage fees.
  Recent notable legislation to address the housing crisis include:
                                                                                                                                                             ■ Poorly calibrated inclusionary housing requirements.
        ■ HB 1406 (2019) allows local jurisdictions to impose a local state-shared sales and                                                                 ■ Lengthy review processes that invite gaming and abuse by growth opponents.
          use tax to fund affordable or supportive housing.
                                                                                                                                                             ■ Future labor concerns especially in the construction trades.
        ■ HB 1923 (2019) establishes incentives to encourage more urban residential building
          capacity. HB 2343 and SB 6334 build on HB 1923 to expand housing capacity.5

        ■ HB 1220 (2021) strengthened the Growth Management Act Housing goal from
          “encourage the availability of affordable housing to all economic segments of the
          population” to “plan for and accommodate housing affordable to alle economic
          segments of the population of the state.”6 Requires anti-displacement measures.

  Governor Inslee recently put forward a package of housing policies for the legislature
  to consider in 2022 to address some of these gaps which included a statewide policy
  5
    “2019 affordable housing update.” Washington State Department of Commerce. (2020). https://www.commerce.wa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/2019-AHAB-Annual-Report.pdf
  6
    “2021 legislative changes to the housing laws: guidance for HB 1220 and related bills.” Washington State Department of Commerce. (2021). https://deptofcommerce.app.box.com/s/i01k0sghwo0oo8pf8tnk307i96c689s0
  7
    Governor Jay Inslee. “Inslee announces bold proposals for homelessness.” (December 15, 2021). https://www.governor.wa.gov/sites/default/files/Homelessness_PolicyBrief_Dec14.pdf

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                   APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | HOUSING   83
                         Workforce Replacement
                         Businesses of all sizes are struggling to find workers to fill vacancies

  One of the basic inputs of any enterprise is labor, and that input is lacking in 2021. This is
  likely the overlap of various factors including: a larger than normal wave of retirements
  brought on by the COVID pandemic, hesitancy to return to environments some workers
  may consider unsafe, financial flexibility to wait and pursue jobs that provide better pay
  or benefits, limited access to childcare, and an economy rebounding from the pandemic.
  Many Americans were able to increase their savings in 2020 and 2021. Various federal
  one-time and ongoing financial assistance programs provided extra cash while pandemic
  limitations reduced spending on typical goods and services. Some also had equity
  investments that saw high returns. Placed in stronger financial situations, many were
  able to wait to return to work. At the same time, certain parts of the economy were
  thriving, significantly increasing their hiring to keep up with demand. E-commerce
  increased dramatically, and with it the need for transportation, warehousing, and
  delivery services. Health care was further fueled by the pandemic. This has resulted in an
  advantageous position for workers, as employers are in great need while laborers have
  the financial stability to wait and move around to higher paying positions or careers with
  greater benefits.


  PERCENT OF ALL WORKERS AGED 55 AND OLDER, STATEWIDE IN WA


  25%
                                                                                                   While many of the factors driven by the pandemic will likely resolve themselves,
  20%                                                                                              vacancies will be a continuing challenge as a large share of the workforce reaches
                                                                                                   retirement age e.g., “the Silver Tsunami.” The share of workers aged 55 and older in
                                                                                                   Washington is at an all-time high, and a strong stock and real estate market may
  15%
                                                                                                   provide the financial stability many need to step away from working. Some may also
                                                                                                   be retiring early to assist with childcare responsibilities for their children or extended
  10%
                                                                                                   family due to the issues surrounding schools and childcare. Many of these vacancies
                                                                                                   will be in high-skill positions including the trades and may take years to replace the
   5%
                                                                                                   knowledge developed over decades. Continued business growth, especially in STEM
                                                                                                   and other high demand fields will further fuel the need for workers.
   0%
             90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18
           19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
  Source: Quarterly Workforce Indicators




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                       APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | WORKFORCE REPLACEMENT                84
                             Workforce Replacement
                             Businesses of all sizes are struggling to find workers to fill vacancies

                                                                                                                                             Remaining Gaps
                                                                                                                                             Despite current efforts to boost educational attainment, particularly in high-demand
                                                                                                                                             fields such as STEM and healthcare, there is a chronic skills gap between the skills
                                                                                                                                             employers need and the skills jobseekers have. The 2017 Skilled and Educated Workforce
                                                                                                                                             report projected a shortage of 20,000 skilled workers annually between 2020 to 2025.
                                                                                                                                             This would require a 30% increase in the number of certificates and degrees granted
                                                                                                                                             in the state. Despite this data being several years old, the prognosis is unlikely to have
                                                                                                                                             improved given the ongoing challenges with the pandemic. While strong workforce
                                                                                                                                             demand is seen at all education levels, particularly in STEM, workers with mid-level
                                                                                                                                             skills (associates, certificates, and apprenticeship completers) are in particular demand
                                                                                                                                             making up half of the projected need. The 2019 Skilled and Educated Workforce report
                                                                                                                                             identified the greatest mid-level workforce needs are in production and trades; business,
  Current Efforts                                                                                                                            management, and sales; human and protective services; health professions; and
   Some of the workforce shortage caused by the pandemic will likely resolve itself without                                                  computer and information science.8
  state intervention. Employers are increasing wages and adding various benefits, both
  the traditional health insurance and more time off, and now educational assistance                                                                                                                Midlevel          Bachelor’s           Graduate         Total
  for upskilling. In addition, severe COVID cases are declining, and vaccine utilization is                                                   Projected annual job openings for
                                                                                                                                                                                                       43,500             33,397              17,410       94,307
  growing, hopefully allowing some additional comfort to return to work. Most likely                                                          skilled workforce (2020–2025)
  savings are also starting to slide as no new stimulus has been provided in recent months,                                                   Current annual supply of workers                         34,996             28,455              10,698       74,149
  and enhanced unemployment insurance has expired.                                                                                            Net In-Migration (2011–2015)                              1,487               3,246              5,852       10,585
  However, replacing a skilled, retiring workforce will be more challenging. State and local                                                  Remaining Gap                                            7,017              1,696                  860       9,573
  workforce development entities offer a variety of programs to help develop the talent
  pipeline and connect workers with training programs and job opportunities. Additionally                                                    Source: Adapted from “A Skilled and Educated Workforce 2017 Update.” Washington Student Achievement Council

  targeted state funding for expanding STEM programs at Washington’s public universities
  has helped drive success in degree production. Private organizations are also working to
  improve workforce development efforts. The Washington Workforce Portal, a project of
  the AWB Institute released in 2021 as a pilot effort, is underway in Spokane and the Tri-
  Cities as a free workforce-based learning matching program.
  The Workforce Education Investment Act (2019) has made workforce education more
  affordable. Starting in the 2020-21 academic year, students with family incomes at or
  below 100% of the state’s median family income qualify for full tuition scholarships to
  college or apprenticeship training programs (aid is determined on a sliding scale).

  8
      Washington Skilled and Educated Workforce, 2019-2020. https://wsac.wa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-20.WASkilledEducatedWorkforce.pdf


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                         APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | WORKFORCE REPLACEMENT                                  85
                          Child Care
                          Washington has the 9th most expensive infant care of any state 9

  According to 2019 Child Care Aware data, the average monthly price of full-time childcare
  was $939 per child or 16% of the median household income for a family with children under
  six. Many families also lack access to licensed childcare facilities with only 35 childcare slots
  for infants, toddlers, or preschoolers for every 100 children whose parents work.10
  Limited and unaffordable childcare prevents many parents from fully engaging in the
  workforce, restricting family economic advancement, and employers from filling jobs.
  According to a 2019 report from the Eastern Washington University Institute, employee
  childcare issues cost the state’s gross domestic product (GDP) an estimated $6.5 billion in
  lost contributions.11
                                                                                                                                                                       $939
                                                                                                                                                                      average monthly
                                                                                                                                                                                                               16%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           of the median household
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         childcare slots for
                                                                                                                                                                      price of full-time                   income for a family with   every 100 children whose
                                                                                                                                                                          childcare                            children under six           parents work
  AVERAGE CHILDCARE COSTS BY MEDIAN INCOME


                                                                                                                                                            Additionally, childcare providers tend to make low wages and lack access to other
                                                                                                                                                            benefits including health care. This results in high turnover in the industry with
                                                                                                                                                            providers having to compete with other sectors such as retail that offer comparable
                                                                                                                                                            or better pay with less training and education.12
                                                                                                                                                            Current Efforts
                                                                                                                                                            The Fair Start for Kids Act, which was signed into law on May 7, 2021, aims to make
                                                                                                                                                            childcare more accessible and affordable throughout the state. The legislation
                                                                                                                                                            increases the number of families who can qualify for financial assistance through the
                                                                                                                                                            Working Connections Child Care Program (WCCC) by raising income eligibility limits
                                                                                                                                                            and reducing income cliffs.13 Over the next seven years the limits will be raised three
                                                                                                                                                            times from 200% of the federal poverty level prior to October 1, 2021 to 85% of the
                                                                                                                                                            state median income (SMI) by July 1, 2027. The legislation also reduces income cliffs
                                                                                                                                                            by preventing co-payments over 7% of family income, which will allow families to
                                                                                                                                                            accept raises and promotions without experiencing an offsetting increase in childcare
                                                                                                                                                            costs.13

      The darker the color, the greater the percent of the median household income for a family spent on child care per child.
  Source: https://www.childcareaware.org/our-issues/research/ccdc/state/wa/

  9
     Economic Policy Center Institute https://www.epi.org/child-care-costs-in-the-united-states/#/WA
  10
     Child Care Aware Data. (2019). https://www.childcareaware.org/our-issues/research/ccdc/state/wa/
  11
     The Mounting Costs of Childcare. (2019). Department of Commerce.
  12
     Washington State Child Care Access Strategy, Child Care Collaborative Task Force Report to the Legislature and Governor under 2SHB 1344, Laws of 2019. (2021). Washington Department of Commerce.
  13
     FINAL BILL REPORT E2SSB 5237 https://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2021-22/Pdf/Bill%20Reports/Senate/5237-S2.E%20SBR%20FBR%2021.pdf?q=20210917092716


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | CHILD CARE   86
                             Child Care
                             Washington has the 9th most expensive infant care of any state 9

  The legislation increases the subsidies providers earn to 85% of market rate from 65% in
  2020, enhancing providers ability to pay higher wages.14 The legislation also instructs the
  Department of Children, Youth, and Families (DCYF) to build upon the work of the Child
  Care Collaborative Task Force to develop and implement a childcare cost estimate model.
  This completed model would be used to identify and recommend subsidy rates sufficient
  to compensate for the full costs of providing high quality childcare in the future. The
  DCYF was further instructed to evaluate options to support access to affordable health
  care insurance coverage for licensed or certified childcare providers.
  Remaining Gaps
  The Fair Start for Kids Act provides a solid foundation for addressing Washington’s gaps in
  childcare access and affordability, including providing direction for future research and
  improvements. . While it is hard to know right now how effective this legislation will be
  at meeting the extent of need in Washington, it certainly provides a strong path forward.
  The state should continue to monitor the efficacy of this Act to identify if additional
  policy action is warranted in the future.




  14
       2020 Childcare Policy Recommendations, Child Care Collaborative Task Force Report to the Legislature and Governor under 2SHB 1344, Laws of 2019. (2020).


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                         APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | CHILD CARE   87
                            Broadband
                            Over 338,000 Washingtonians lack access to a broadband connection

  Washington ranks 16th of all states in terms of broadband connection­     .15 However
  current regulatory definitions and measurement techniques may not adequately capture
  broadband needs. For example, target speeds of 25/3 are no longer considered adequate
  to meet growing demand. Recent work by the U.S. Department of Commerce’s National
  Telecommunications and Information Administration indicates that Washington’s
  broadband infrastructure needs are much greater.16
  Limited access to reliable, affordable, and fast internet access prevents workers from taking
  advantage of work from home opportunities or other training opportunities that enhance
  economic mobility. Businesses that do not have adequate broadband cannot maintain a
  web presence or access certain services. Additionally, the ability to telework may “increases
  employee retention and job satisfaction.17” Rural residents are more likely to lack access due
  to infrastructure deficiencies, whereas urban residents may have the infrastructure but be
  unable to afford it.

  MANY WASHINGTONIANS LACK ACCESS TO BROADBAND EITHER ENTIRELY OR AT
                                                                                                                                                                           Current Efforts
  SUFFICIENT SPEEDS TO MEET MODERN DEMANDS                                                                                                                                 The FCC, through its Broadband Data Collection (BDC) program is in the process of
                                                                                                                                INDICATOR OF                         NO
                                                                                                                                                                           updating its current broadband maps with more detailed and precise information
                                                                                                                    LEVEL                                  YES NO   DATA
                                                                                                                              BROADBAND NEED
                                                                                                                                                                           on the availability of fixed and mobile broadband services. The BDC program will
                                                                                                                            Speed Tests – M-lab Median
                                                                                                                   COUNTY   Speeds Fixed Broadband
                                                                                                                            Below 25/3 Mbps
                                                                                                                                                                           give the FCC, industry, state, local and Tribal government entities, and consumers
                                                                                                                            Usage – 75% or More of                         the tools they need to improve the accuracy of existing maps. This is important for
                                                                                                                            Devices Connect to Microsoft
                                                                                                                            Updates/Services via Fixed
                                                                                                                            Broadband Download Speeds
                                                                                                                                                                           local and state governments as they determine where to focus efforts to improve /
                                                                                                                            below 25 Mbps
                                                                                                                                                                           expand infrastructure.
                                                                                                                   CENSUS   Speed Tests – Ookla Median
                                                                                                                            Speeds Fixed Broadband
                                                                                                                    TRACT   Below 25/3 Mbps                                Washington State is also working on improving broadband infrastructure. In 2019 the
                                                                                                                            American Community Survey
                                                                                                                            – 25% or More of Households
                                                                                                                                                                           State Legislature enacted legislation that established access and download / upload
                                                                                                                            Report No Internet Access
                                                                                                                                                                           speed goals for residences, businesses, and communities as well as a grant and loan
                                                                                                                            American Community Survey
                                                                                                                            – 25% or More of Households                    program to support the extension of broadband infrastructure to unserved areas.18
                                                                                                                            Report No Computer,
                                                                                                                            Smartphone or Tablet
                                                                                                                                                                           The Washington State Broadband Office mapping initiative will help identify areas of
                                                                                                                   CENSUS
                                                                                                                    BLOCK
                                                                                                                            FCC Form 477 – No Provider
                                                                                                                            Reports Consumer Fixed
                                                                                                                                                                    NA
                                                                                                                                                                           broadband infrastructure need in order to advance the state’s goal to have universal
                                                                                                                            Broadband Services at
                                                                                                                            25/3 Mbps
                                                                                                                                                                           broadband access in Washington by 2024.
  Source: NTIA Indicators of Need Map. Accessed October 2021 https://broadbandusa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.
  html?id=ba2dcd585f5e43cba41b7c1ebf2a43d0

  15
     BroadbandNow, Washington Internet Coverage and Availability, accessed February 2022. https://broadbandnow.com/Washington
  16
     The U.S. Department of Commerce’s National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) has a newly released Indicators of Broadband Need Tool. In addition to using the internet service provider’s (ISP) volunteer data that the FCC primarily relies on, NTIA takes data from
     the Microsoft update services, the M-Lab and Ookla speed tests, and the American Community Survey data about internet access and device use. This tool paints a much clearer picture of which areas have the greatest need.
  17
     Urban Land Institute. “Broadband and Real Estate.” (2021).
  18
     Second Substitute Senate Bill 5511. https://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2019-20/Pdf/Bills/Session%20Laws/Senate/5511-S2.SL.pdf?q=20210629153124

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                                       APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | BROADBAND                                88
                            Broadband
                            Over 338,000 Washingtonians lack access to a broadband connection

  Goals are:


          BY 2024                                       BY 2026                                       BY 2028
                                                                                                   150/150 Mbps all residents
           25/3 Mbps scalable                             1/1 Gbps all anchor
                                                                                                        and businesses

  Additionally, the Public Broadband Act which went into effect in July 2021, ended the
  restriction on public utilities offering public broadband services directly to residents.
  Municipalities will now be better positioned to access federal funding which often
  requires telecommunication grant applicants to also deliver service to customers.19
  The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act allocates a minimum of $100 million to
  help provide broadband coverage across the state. The Act will also benefit 19% of
  Washingtonians who will be eligible for the Affordability Connectivity Benefit which
  helps low-income families afford internet access.20
  Remaining Gaps
  Washington is already addressing the gaps in access and affordability of broadband by
  establishing goals, providing funding, and allowing public utility districts to directly
  provide broadband to residents. Established goals go above and beyond current FCC
  standards. While there is still a “last mile” challenge for some businesses / workers, the
  influx of money from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act will go a long way in
  achieving these goals. The real question is how to best leverage the broadband that is
  coming to have a strong effect on business.




  19
       Aaron Kunkler. “Two big broadband bills became effective yesterday.” (July 26, 2021). https://washingtonstatewire.com/two-big-broadband-bills-became-effective-yesterday/
  20
       The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act will Deliver for Washington. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/WASHINGTON_Infrastructure-Investment-and-Jobs-Act-State-Fact-Sheet.pdf

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                                             APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | BROADBAND   89
                            High-growth / Innovation Firms
                            Washington is forming fewer high-growth potential businesses than a decade ago and less than most peer states

  Entrepreneurship has been on the decline nationally and in Washington over the past 40                                                                            HIGH-PROPENSITY BUSINESS APPLICATIONS (PER 1K POPULATION) 2020
  years.21 Of particular concern, Washington’s high-propensity business formation—those
  most likely to turn into a business with a payroll and living wage jobs—have declined
  30% from the early 2000s (per capita), and now rank 4th lowest among peer states.22 While
  Washington remains competitive on most traditional economic development measures,
  low growth in high-propensity firms could indicate limited potential for future economic
  expansion and shared prosperity. Factors contributing to the decline of entrepreneurship
  include macroeconomic conditions such as population growth and aging, market conditions
  / concentration, and microeconomic policies including the regulatory environment and
  access to business supports.23
  Limited business formation in after the Great Recession hindered the country’s economic
  recovery, however, the pandemic recovery is shaping up differently. Nationally, in 2020
  business applications including high-propensity business applications reached all-
  time highs. Given the role that employer startups play in job creation, innovation, and
  productivity growth, this surge could indicate economic restructuring.24 While most peer
  states experienced growth in high-propensity business applications from 2019 to 2020,                                                                             Source: Business Formation Statistics, Census
  Washington declined.




  21
     Business Dynamics Statistics
  22
     The identification of high-propensity applications is based on the characteristics of applications revealed on the IRS Form SS-4 that are associated with a high rate of business formation. High-propensity applications include applications: (a) from a corporate entity, (b) that indicate they are hiring
     employees, purchasing a business or changing organizational type, (c) that provide a first wages-paid date (planned wages); or (d) that have a NAICS industry code in manufacturing (31-33), a portion of retail (44), health care (62), or accommodation and food services (72). https://ssti.org/blog/useful-
     stats-high-propensity-business-applications-state-2006-2020
  23
     Lisa Abraham and Benjamin K. Master. “Entrepreneurship in America: Challenges and Opportunities.” Rand Corporation. (March 2021).
  24
     John C. Haltiwanger. “Entrepreneurship during the Covid-19 pandemic: evidence from the business formation statistics.” NBER working paper series. National bureau of Economic Research. (June 2021).

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                    APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | HIGH-GROWTH / INNOVATION FIRMS                                                                 90
                 High-growth / Innovation Firms
                 Washington is forming fewer high-growth potential businesses than a decade ago and less than most peer states


  Current Efforts
  As the state’s economic development agency, the Washington State Department of
  Commerce is involved in ongoing efforts to improve and increase jobs and facilitate
  business development in Washington. Commerce focuses on strengthening key high-
  growth industries by promoting public-private partnerships, enhancing the workforce,
  and advancing strategies that support small business growth and expansion. Small
  business supports encompass a variety of programs including education and technical
  assistance, grants and loans, and crisis planning. There are also a variety of local and
  regional entities that provide supports for entrepreneurship and small business growth.
  Recent legislation that could support formation in high-growth businesses includes SHB
  1170. Enacted in July 2021, it established the goal of doubling the state’s manufacturing
  employment base, the number of small manufacturing businesses, and the number of
  women-and minority-owned manufacturing businesses in the next 10 years. It tasks
  commerce with identifying and developing strategies to achieve this goal.
  Remaining Gaps
  Washington has historically done well when measured by traditional economic
  indicators. A few leading industries and businesses have driven great success for a subset   has room to improve targeted regulatory policies and business supports for high-growth
  of the population. This success has masked the need for greater support for, and focus       firms. Doubling manufacturing in the state would improve high-propensity business
  on, high-growth business formation. Washington, like the rest of the nation, can expect      formation, but to date, no specific policies have been developed to achieve this goal.
  to continue to grapple with the macroeconomic conditions of an aging population as
  well as unstable market conditions exacerbated by the pandemic. However, Washington




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                             APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | HIGH-GROWTH / INNOVATION FIRMS         91
                             Regulatory Environment
                             A variety of regulatory barriers are discouraging businesses of all kinds from forming, growing, and competing in
                             the global economy

  The regulatory environment is a limiting factor that comes up across industries for both                                                                      RESIDENTIAL LAND USE REGULATORY RANKING
  small and startup businesses as well as expanding businesses. The Wharton Residential                                                                         LARGEST 44 REGIONS (CBSAS)
  Land Use Regulatory Index ranks the Puget Sound regions as the 4th most regulated
  region in the country for permitting and land use, behind only New York, San Francisco,
  and Providence.
  Stakeholders consistently expressed frustration with the complex, costly, growing and
  competing regulations that often disproportionately impact small businesses. The
  Washington State Auditor’s Office in 2015 found that 26 state agencies administer 1100+
  regulations. One rule filing can impose dozens of changes to different sections of the
  Washington Administrative Code (WAC) making it challenging for small businesses to
  keep track. Studies also suggest that more regulations lead to less business entry and a
  greater likelihood of a startups closing. Regulations may harm startups more than large
  and established businesses in three ways:25



                            Disproportionate cost burdens


                            Economies of scale in compliance
                                                                                                                                                                               MOST REGULATED                            MODERATELY REGULATED                            LEAST REGULATED

                                                                                                                                                                Source: Wharton Residential Land Use Regulatory Index, 2018
                            Entry barriers

  Stakeholders also noted that there is limited shovel-ready land for industrial uses due to
  land use laws, zoning limitations, and lack of infrastructure. Industrial uses require larger
  plots of land which can be hard to come by in urban areas where competing commercial
  and residential uses can drive up costs and eat away at current land. Areas that have
  larger parcels of land may not be served by adequate infrastructure to sustain industrial                                                                                                                  “Growth in our town cannot happen without
  operations. While land use and growth management has created amenity value and                                                                                                                             the general infrastructure to be addressed.”
  produced environmental benefits in Washington, it has contributed to the limited number
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   —Survey Respondent
  of available and suitable sites for business expansion. An industrial lands analysis in the
  Central Puget Sound Region in 2017 found that while the region seems to have sufficient
  industrial land for future demand, non-industrial land will likely continue to absorb
  industrial jobs and may increasingly do so.

  25
       Chris Edwards. “Entrepreneurs and regulations: removing state and local barriers to new businesses.” CATO Institute. (May 5, 2021). https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/entrepreneurs-regulations-removing-state-local-barriers-new-businesses#regulations-businesses


REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                           APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | REGULATORY ENVIORNMENT                                      92
                            Regulatory Environment
                            A variety of regulatory barriers are discouraging businesses of all kinds from forming, growing, and competing in
                            the global economy

  Current Efforts
  Washington has made some strides to centralize and coordinate efforts across regulatory
  agencies. The state has improved support for small businesses as they navigate regulatory
  processes through infrastructure investments such as the Office of Regulatory Innovation
  and Assistance, the Small Business Liaison Team, and the Washington Business Hub.
  For the most part individual agencies work to simplify state regulations and improve
  practices and policies.
  HB 1352, adopted in 2017, required the Attorney General to review the Administrative
  Procedure Act, related administrative rules, similar statutes, and case law to identify rights
  and protections afforded to small business owners selected for agency enforcement
  action. The Attorney General then recommended steps to improve those rights or
  protections and/or access to timely information about them.




                                                                                                                                                    Remaining Gaps
                                                                                                                                                    The regulatory environment is a barrier to business formation and growth. Businesses
                                                                                                                                                    would benefit from reduced regulatory complexity as well as further assistance
                                                                                                                                                    navigating regulatory processes. A report by the Attorney General’s Office recommended
                                                                                                                                                    the following changes26:

                                                                                                                                                       1          Improve efforts to provide transparent, accessible information and assistance
                                                                                                                                                                  to operating businesses early in the process.
                                                                                                                                                       2          Improve efforts to share effective practices among agencies.
                                                                                                                                                       3          Expand the role of business associations and other groups in coordinating
                                                                                                                                                                  the sharing of information between small business owners and agencies.
                                                                                                                                                       4          Be deliberate about how “small business” is defined.
                                                                                                                                                       5          Consider targeted expansion of the use of special advocates or Ombud’s to
                                                                                                                                                                  help disseminate information and resolve noncompliance issues or disputes.


  28
       Bob Ferguson Attorney General. “Report to the Legislature, HB 1352.” (November 30, 2017). https://app.leg.wa.gov/ReportsToTheLegislature/Home/GetPDF?fileName=HB%201352%20Final%20Report_b96c86e0-a9ea-4955-ba75-edb5b7180a6a.pdf



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                  APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | REGULATORY ENVIORNMENT      93
                         Access to Capital
                         Both new and existing businesses lack the capital they need to succeed

  Capital is a necessary ingredient to fuel business growth throughout the state. While                                                            While data is unavailable at the state level, lack of access to capital remains a
  Washington is in the top quartile of states for venture capital investments (trailing the big                                                    consistent theme across industries in Washington. It came up in both the focus
  two states: California and Massachusetts) many businesses struggle to access it due to a                                                         groups and survey results. Stakeholders indicated challenges accessing:
  variety of reasons: poor credit or insufficient collateral, discriminatory lending practices
  (conscious or unconscious), language barriers, digital barriers, and lack of information on                                                         1          Startup capital to get new businesses off the ground.
  resources available and how to obtain them. These barriers are especially acute for people
                                                                                                                                                      2          Working capital which includes lines of credit to continue and grow
  of color. Black-owned applicant firms were half as likely as White-owned applicant firms to
                                                                                                                                                                 business. In many cases, federal grant money (in response to COVID) has
  be fully approved for loans, lines of credit, and cash advances in 2019.
                                                                                                                                                                 ceased but businesses are still struggling.

                                                                                                                                                   This challenge can be worse for some industries due to the level of risk tolerance
                                                                                                                                                   banks are willing to accept. For example, businesses like restaurants and hospitality
                                                                                                                                                   can be highly seasonal in nature or have a lot of competitors which may make them
                                                                                                                                                   less desirable for bank lending.




  AVERAGE SIZE OF VENTURE CAPITAL DEAL BY STATE


  $20,000.00




  $10,000.00




                 0
                       PR WV MS WY IA AL OK ND AK LA NE NV AR SC WI HI ID RI ME IN OH MO MI NH MT KS KY MD TX FL SD NJ NC VA VT TN IL NM AZ CT MN DC GA OR DE PA CO WA UT NY MA CA
                       1st Quartile                                                        2nd Quartile                                                           3rd Quartile                                                         4th Quartile
                      $1.92–$478.97                                                      $539.44–$1,600.82                                                    $1,737.22–$2,616.84                                                  $2,920.74–$21,138.46

  Source: National Science Foundation: PitchBook, Venture capital and private equity database, data available as of February 2021; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Gross Domestic Product data (various years), data as of May 2020; Government of Puerto Rico, Office of the
  Governor, Gross Domestic Product data (various years), data available as of May 2020



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                         APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | ACCESS TO CAPITAL                                    94
                         Access to Capital
                         Both new and existing businesses lack the capital they need to succeed

  Current Efforts
  The Washington Department of Commerce supports several loan programs targeted                                         SMALL BUSINESS FLEX FUND
  toward small business. The Small Business Flex Fund helps small businesses and nonprofits
  access up to $150,000 in low-interest loans through Community Development Financial
  Institutions (CDFIs). CDFIs have a lower barrier to assistance than traditional funding
                                                                                                                       UP TO $150,000
  institutions. In addition, ARPA reauthorized and expanded the Small Business Jobs Act                                IN LOW-INTEREST LOANS THROUGH CDFIS
  of 2010, which established the original State Small Business Credit Initiative (SSBCI)
  program. The new version of the program provides a combined $10 billion to states, the
                                                                                                                                          SMALL BUSINESS JOBS ACT OF 2010
  District of Columbia, territories, and Tribal governments to empower small businesses
  to access capital needed to invest in job-creating opportunities. The funds will support
  recipient jurisdictions in promoting American entrepreneurship and democratizing
                                                                                                                                                 COMBINED $10B
  access to startup capital across the country, including in underserved communities.                                                             FOR JOB-CREATING OPPORTUNITIES
  The Equitable Access to Credit Act (HB1015) is also under consideration by the Washington
  State legislature. If passed it would award grants to qualified lending institutions (QLIs) to   Remaining Gaps
  provide access to credit for underserved, largely rural communities.
                                                                                                   Many of these programs are time limited and rely on funds being reallocated. There is
                                                                                                   not a consistent source of funding. Additionally, while equity has risen to the forefront
                                                                                                   of consideration fueled by the pandemic, ensuring that underserved groups are able to
  OUTCOMES OF LOAN, LINE OF CREDIT,                                                                access funding will require more than just ensuring funding is available. It will also require
  AND MERCHANT CASH ADVANCE APPLICANT, PRIOR 12 MONTHS                                             flexible opportunities for access (due to lack of collateral), as well as technical assistance
  (% OF EMPLOYER FIRM LOAN, LINE OF CREDIT, AND CASH ADVANCE APPLICANTS)
                                                                                                   and language and culturally appropriate information. There may also be opportunities to
                                                                                                   target certain high-propensity businesses which are desirable to grow jobs.




                          FULLY APPROVED                       PARTIALLY APPROVED        DENIED

  Source: Small Business Credit Survey, 2021 Report on Firms Owned by People of Color.




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                  APPENDIX | FOUNDATIONAL ITEMS AND THEMES | ACCESS TO CAPITAL             95
                                                                                            APPENDIX D
                                                                            BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS METRICS

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth
  Appendix
  Business Competitiveness Metrics

  A comparative metrics dashboard designed to create a data-driven narrative and shape state strategy.
  To keep this new definition of economic competitiveness front-and-center in policy
  and strategy discussions, the following section details a repeatable approach to create
  a dashboard that assigns specific metrics that measure capacity builders and realized
  outcomes as described throughout the report. This section:

     ■   Creates an approach for a dashboard.

     ■   Identifies appropriate peer states for Washington.

     ■   Specifies data points that best capture key realized outcomes and capacity builders.

     ■   Documents how data can be used to track performance over time.


                               Peer State Selection
                               In each of the metrics in this dashboard, Washington is
                               compared against a set of 16 other states that meet the
                               following criteria:

                                ■   Size: between half the size of Washington and twice         Metrics and Definitions
                                    the size of Washington (3.5 million to 14 million).         This section details the 14 specific measures selected for the comparative metrics
                                ■   Innovation: rank in top 30 of ITIF’s State New              dashboard and the rationale for including each.
                                    Economy Ranking, which combines data on                     The general approach to selecting these metrics was to identify those that were
                                    knowledge jobs, globalization, economic dynamism,           aligned with the realized outcomes and capacity builders described in the report and
                                    digital infrastructure, and innovation.                     met these criteria:
                                ■   Economic Geography: the second largest metro area
                                                                                                   ■   Regularly updated.
                                    in the state has a population of at least 400,000, in
                                    order to capture states that have to balance the needs         ■   Can be disaggregated by race.
                                    of multiple metro areas in addition to rural areas.            ■   Available at the state and local level (county or metro area).

                               In addition to these 16 states, Washington is also               In several cases, it wasn’t possible to satisfy all three of these criteria, but overall the
                               compared to California, Idaho, Texas, and South Carolina,        dashboard focuses heavily on racial equity. Where possible, the dashboard includes data
                               because they are of particular interest to leaders in            on the state’s Black population rather than the BIPOC or minority populations, because in
                               Washington, despite not meeting the above criteria. The          some cases that aggregated data can obscure the size of White-Black disparities, which
                               group of 21 states, including Washington, is as follows.         are typically the most disparate.



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                 APPENDIX | BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS METRICS          97
  Appendix
  Business Competitiveness Metrics

  Metrics for Key Outcomes — Quality Jobs
                                                                                               QUALITY JOBS HOURLY WAGE THRESHOLD BY COUNTY, 2021

      Quality Jobs
      The following two metrics were used to represent quality jobs:

      ■   Share of working-age adults (18-64 years old) with a quality job.

      ■   Share of Black working-age adults with a quality job.




  Definition and Rationale
  There is no simple way to define a quality job. At minimum, however, a quality job should
  allow families to cover their basic expenses: food, childcare, health insurance, housing,
  transportation, and other necessities. There are several “living wage” calculators that
  measure, by region and family type, what hourly wage meets this threshold. The living
  wage in a given region can vary substantially based on family type. According to the MIT     Source: MIT Living Wage Calculator, The Brookings Institution, Census PUMS
  Living Wage calculator, the living wage in the Seattle metro area ranges from about $19
  per hour for a single adult without children to $58 per hour for a single adult with three   represents approximately the wage that would lift half of currently-struggling families
  children. For the purposes of economic strategy and policy, however, there needs to be a     in each county to self-sufficiency. This approach was then replicated for each of the peer
  single wage threshold that can be used to measure performance.                               states, allowing for the calculation of the number of jobs in each state that pay above
                                                                                               the threshold of “family-sustaining”, and for the purpose of this report are referred to as
  In 2021, The Brookings Institution did an analysis of wage levels required to lift half of   quality jobs.
  economically struggling families to self-sufficiency in different regions. For example, in
  Seattle, almost 35% of families are economically struggling, and a wage of about $25         It is important to note again that this is a self-sufficiency wage, not a thriving wage.
  per hour would be enough to lift half of those families to self-sufficiency. For example,    It enables only half of families to be self-sufficient – and self-sufficiency is a low bar. It
  earning a $25 per hour wage would be enough to move a family with two working adults         does not provide for entertainment, restaurant meals, any time off work for leisure or
  and two children to self-sufficiency, but not enough for a family with one working adult     education, or savings for housing or education. Some may perceive this to be too modest
  and three children. The Brookings Institution called these “family-sustaining” wages. To     a goal for Washington leaders to have in mind when making policy and investment
  apply this approach to all of Washington, we compared Brookings “family-sustaining”          decisions, but the reality is that currently only 34% of workers in the state have a job that
  wages to data from the MIT Living Wage Calculator, which is available for every county       meets this threshold. Strategies and policies that aimed to create more jobs that meet
  in Washington to analyze how they compare. This approach to defining a quality job           this threshold would substantially improve the quality of jobs in the state.



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                  APPENDIX | BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS METRICS   98
  Appendix
  Business Competitiveness Metrics

  Metrics for Key Outcomes — Wealth Creation

                                                                                   Definition and Rationale
       Wealth Creation                                                             There is very limited data available to directly measure individual or household wealth,
                                                                                   and no data that does so directly with detail by race/ethnicity. The metrics selected for this
       The following four metrics were used to represent wealth creation:
                                                                                   portion of the dashboard use proxies to explore wealth creation trends and disparities in
       ■      Share of households 18 to 64 years old that own their homes.         Washington. As previously mentioned in the report, there is an opportunity for the State
                                                                                   to conduct additional research to produce and maintain metrics that directly measure
       ■      Share of Black households 18 to 64 years old that own their homes.
                                                                                   wealth by race/ethnicity.
       ■      High-growth potential business applications per capita.
                                                                                   This dashboard uses homeownership and ownership of high-growth businesses as
       ■      Proportion of businesses owned by minorities in high                 proxies for wealth. Homeownership, and in this instance measured as the rate of
              growth industries.                                                   homeownership, is well documented as a key contributor to household wealth. The
                                                                                   emphasis on high-growth businesses merits further explanation. A small share of
                                                                                   businesses are responsible for the majority of growth, and therefore wealth creation.
                                                                                   The metrics in this dashboard are designed to capture these high-growth potential
                                                                                   businesses, as the growth of a business is what leads to wealth creation. The Census
  BIPOC-OWNED HIGH-GROWTH POTENTIAL BUSINESSES — FAIR SHARE RATIO                  Bureau tracks firms whose business applications are for corporate entities, or indicate
                                                                                   that they plan on hiring employees, or fall into certain high-growth industries.

                                                                                   There isn’t data available on ownership of these high-growth potential businesses by
                                                                                   race/ethnicity. To fill this gap, the Annual Survey of Entrepreneurs measures ownership
                                                                                   of businesses by race/ethnicity within individual industries at the state level. The
                                                                                   dashboard summarizes data on BIPOC-owned business in three traded-sector industries
                                                                                   (professional services, manufacturing, and information technology) in which high-
                                                                                   growth, innovation-driven firms are concentrated. In order to evaluate if businesses
                                                                                   owned by people of color are underrepresented, the share of BIPOC-owned businesses
                                                                                   needs to be weighted by the share of population in each state. For example, 9.9% of
                                                                                   businesses in these growth oriented traded sector industries are BIPOC-owned in
                                                                                   Washington State, compared to 33% of the total statewide population. Weighted by the
                                                                                   share of population in Washington State these business owners are underrepresented by
                                                                                   3.29 times—higher proportions indicate more underrepresentation.



  Source: Census Annual Survey of Entrepreneurs



REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                     APPENDIX | BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS METRICS           99
  Appendix
  Business Competitiveness Metrics

  Metrics for Key Outcomes — Talent Development and Innovation

      Talent Development                                                         Innovation
      The following four metrics were used to represent talent development:      The following four metrics were used to represent innovation:

      ■   Share of young adults (age 25-34) with associate’s degree              ■    Share of workers in advanced industries

      ■   Share of Black young adults with associate’s degree                    ■    Share of Black workers in advanced industries

      ■   Share of young adults with bachelor’s degree                           ■    Share of jobs in young firms

      ■   Share of Black young adults with bachelor’s degree                     ■    Output per worker (productivity)



  Definition and Rationale                                                    Definition and Rationale
  Educational attainment does not translate as                                As with education, innovation does not translate directly to widespread and equitable
  directly into economic opportunity as is often                              opportunity. Many measures of innovation, including patent rates, R&D spending, and
  believed. For example, wages of the bottom                                  venture capital funding, tend to reflect what is happening among just a few large and
  60% of earners among college graduates fell                                 fast-growing firms. A state like Washington can excel in these measures due to the
  from 2000 to 2018. There is, however, still on                              outsized impact of a few large Seattle-area employers, while at the same time many
  average a wage premium for workers with a                                   workers across the state are excluded from the benefits of this innovation. It is important
  college degree: those with an associate’s degree                            to understand whether the typical Washington firm is innovating and becoming more
  make 33% more over their lifetime than high                                 productive. Data on individual firm performance isn’t available in any public datasets.
  school graduates, and those with a bachelor’s                               However, the quality jobs metric can serve as proxy, capturing whether Washington firms
  degree make almost 75% more. Even if the wage                               are successful enough to pay a family sustaining wage. Nevertheless, innovation is still a
  premium for graduates continues to decrease in                              crucial precondition for quality, sustained growth.
  coming years, creating equitable opportunities
  for Washington residents to develop their talents                           Advanced Industries are a set of 50 industries, as defined by The Brookings Institution
  is fundamental to quality growth. Data for other                            and McKinsey, that are highly R&D-intensive and employ above-average shares of
  forms of talent development (e.g., certificates and                         workers with STEM skills. These industries not only provide quality jobs for workers within
  apprenticeships) is limited, these are important                            them, but also create many “spillover” jobs in supply chains and local services. Similarly,
  and valuable opportunities for skill development.                           employment in young firms matters because it captures the impact of entrepreneurship
  Creating a more robust dataset in the State would                           —as in, whether newly-created firms are actually achieving significant growth in their first
  be valuable for tracking progress, and could be                             five years. Productivity is a crucial measure of an economy’s ability to create opportunity
  included in the dashboard in the future.                                    —without increased productivity, it is difficult to achieve sustained increases in wages.
                                                                              As Nobel laureate Paul Krugman has said: “Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long
                                                                              run it is almost everything”.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                               APPENDIX | BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS METRICS          100
  Appendix
  Business Competitiveness Metrics

  Pulling the Data Together: A Business Competitiveness Index

    While each of the fourteen data points in this dashboard is meaningful in its own right, there may be venues in which it is important to have just one or two top-line numbers
    that capture whether Washington’s economy is moving in the right direction and improving relative to peer states. This new set of metrics is an alternative to existing high-
    profile rankings for public- and private-sector leaders that focuses on prioritized outcomes and the leading indicators enabling those outcomes. We propose a straightforward
    approach to creating such an index.



      The index includes two metrics:
        1   Washington’s overall performance on capacity builders relative to peer states.
        2   Washington’s overall performance on key realized outcomes relative to
            peer states.
      Overall performance is calculated as a simple average of the state’s rank on
      each metric in the category.


  Following this approach, using the latest data available, Washington ranks 1st among 21
  states on capacity builders, ahead of the next highest performers Colorado, Virginia, and
  Massachusetts. However, Washington ranks 15th out of 21 states on realized outcomes
  (between Missouri at 14th and South Carolina at 16th).
  The discrepancy between Washington’s rank on capacity builders and realized outcomes
  is what this index is designed to highlight. It emphasizes that despite having more “raw
  material” than any other state, in terms of talent and innovation, Washington does not
  currently have the policies and practices in place to generate widespread and equitable
  opportunity. The index providers a framework for policymakers to evaluate priorities and
  the effectiveness of their implementation through a consistent evaluation tool. Currently
  the dashboard reveals that a more targeted portfolio of policies and investments is
  needed that are focused on improving realized outcomes. Washington cannot simply
  continue to boost its performance on capacity builders (bachelor’s attainment, advanced
  industries employment, etc.) and expect widespread and equitable opportunity to result.
  Rather, more targeted interventions are needed that prioritize creating quality jobs and
  opportunities to create wealth, particularly for people of color. For example, specifically
  targeting growth in industries or occupations that create quality jobs for workers without
  college degrees, or creating programs and funds specifically targeted at entrepreneurs
  of color.

REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                            APPENDIX | BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS METRICS     101
  Appendix
  Business Competitiveness Metrics

  Pulling the Data Together: A Business Competitiveness Index


  BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS PEER STATE DASHBOARD — CAPACITY BUILDERS                                                                  BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS PEER STATE DASHBOARD — REALIZED OUTCOMES

                                                                                                     ADV       JOBS IN                                                                                                                   HIGH-GROWTH HIGH-GROWTH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        POTENTIAL
                    CAPACITY   CAPACITY             BACHELOR’S            ASSOCIATE’S    ADV     INDUSTRIES,   YOUNG     JOBS PRO-                     REALIZED    REALIZED                                 HOMEOWN-      HOMEOWNER-      POTENTIAL    BUSINESSES,
                    BUILDERS   BUILDERS BACHELOR’S BLACK ASSOCIATE’S BLACK INDUSTRIES, BLACK                    FIRMS    DUCTIVITY                    OUTCOMES    OUTCOMES    QUALITY JOBS, QUALITY JOBS,   ERSHIP, ALL    SHIP, BLACK   BUSINESSES, MINORITY-OWNED
   PEER STATE       AVERAGE      RANK    ALL (2019)   (2019)   ALL (2019)   (2019)    ALL (2020)    (2020)      (2020)     (2020)    PEER STATE        AVERAGE      RANK        ALL (2019) BLACK (2019)       (2019)         (2019)        ALL (2020)     (2020)


   WASHINGTON         4.4         1          9           8          3          4          1           4          5          1        WASHINGTON         12.8         15            8             5             17             21             18             8
   ARIZONA           13.3        18          21         11          9          9          19         14          8          15       ARIZONA            16.7         20            17            16            20             20             13            14
   CALIFORNIA         8.4         5          10          4         17         16          7          10          1          2        CALIFORNIA         12.7         13            19            11            21             18              4             3
   COLORADO           6.4         2          4           5         16          3          5           6          3          9        COLORADO           10.0         10            9             12            12              8              3            16
   CONNECTICUT       11.9        13          3           6         20         15          8          19          21         3        CONNECTICUT        9.8          9             1             4              9              5             21            19
   GEORGIA           11.6        11          13         10         13         10          16         11          9          11       GEORGIA            9.0          7             16            13            15              3              1             6
   IDAHO             12.9        16          20         16          1          1          21         21          2          21       IDAHO              12.3         11            15            14             2             13              9            21
   ILLINOIS          11.8        12          6          12         10         11          14         15          19         7        ILLINOIS           7.5          3             6             10             6             12              2             9
   MARYLAND           9.8         6          5           2         18         20          6           5          16         6        MARYLAND           3.3          1             4             1              5              1              5             4
   MASSACHUSETTS      8.1         4          1           1         21          5          4          17          12         4        MASSACHUSETTS      13.3         17            5             15            18             14             16            12
   MICHIGAN          12.1        14          17         21          6         14          3           1          18         17       MICHIGAN           8.8          5             11            17             1              9              8             7
   MISSOURI          12.9        16          11         18          4          6          17         13          15         19       MISSOURI           12.7         13            13            9              7             17             15            15
   NEW JERSEY        11.1         9          2           3         19         18          13         18          11         5        NEW JERSEY         5.5          2             2             3             13              7              6             2
   NORTH CAROLINA    11.4        10          12         14          5         17          12          8          10         13       NORTH CAROLINA     14.2         18            18            20            14              6             10            17
   OHIO              15.9        21          16         20         11         21          11         12          20         16       OHIO               14.2         18            7             19             8             19             19            13
   OREGON            12.4        15          14         17         12          2          18         16          6          14       OREGON             16.7         20            20            18            19             16             17            10
   PENNSYLVANIA      14.5        20          8          13          7         19          20         20          17         12       PENNSYLVANIA       8.8          5             3             6              3             10             20            11
   SOUTH CAROLINA    10.9         8          19         19          2          8          9           3          7          20       SOUTH CAROLINA     13.2         16            21            21             4              2             11            20
   TENNESSEE         14.1        19          15         15         15         12          15          9          14         18       TENNESSEE          12.3         11            14            7             10             11             14            18
   TEXAS             10.1         7          18          7         14         13          10          7          4          8        TEXAS              9.2          8             10            2             16             15              7             5
   VIRGINIA           7.3         3          7           9          8          7          2           2          13         10       VIRGINIA           7.8          4             11            8             11              4             12             1




REDEFINING ECONOMIC SUCCESS IN WASHINGTON STATE: 3 Keys to Quality Growth                                                                                                               APPENDIX | BUSINESS COMPETITIVENESS METRICS                                   102


File and source

File
2022-02-23_a29912_d244190_redefining-economic-success-in-wa-3-keys-to-quality-growth.pdf
Size
8,108,464 bytes
SHA-256
50f3b3edd51985c00291eb675a783c524931e288750888b791a293e9c1e69bb8
Our copy
2022-02-23_a29912_d244190_redefining-economic-success-in-wa-3-keys-to-quality-growth.pdf
Original
app.leg.wa.gov
Back to top