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GAO-22-106159: Unemployment Insurance: Opportunities to Address Long-Standing Challenges and Risks

Summary

GAO testimony GAO-22-106159, "Unemployment Insurance: Opportunities to Address Long-Standing Challenges and Risks," a statement of Thomas Costa, Director, Education, Workforce, and Income Security, before the Subcommittee on Health, Employment, Labor and Pensions, Committee on Education and Labor, House of Representatives, dated September 21, 2022. It states that long-standing challenges with UI administration worsened during the COVID-19 pandemic and that GAO has added the UI system to its High-Risk List. It reports that estimated UI improper payments, some due to fraud, increased from approximately $8.0 billion in fiscal year 2020 to approximately $78.1 billion in fiscal year 2021. The testimony also covers options for transforming the UI system and the economic effects of expanding benefits during adverse times.

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“GAO-22-106159: Unemployment Insurance: Opportunities to Address Long-Standing Challenges and Risks.” Original at www.gao.gov. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/gao-22-106159-unemployment-insurance-opportunities-to-address-long-sta-766950e4b2/, SHA-256 42a6868fb2b08620680bde9a54634ab6ca60aa9f2d09803fe8f3dd2fbdd069fc.

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                                United States Government Accountability Office
                                Testimony
                                Before the Subcommittee on Health,
                                Employment, Labor and Pensions,
                                Committee on Education and Labor,
                                House of Representatives
                                UNEMPLOYMENT
For Release on Delivery
Expected at 10:15 a.m. ET
Wednesday, September 21, 2022

                                INSURANCE
                                Opportunities to Address
                                Long-Standing Challenges
                                and Risks
                                Statement of Thomas Costa, Director, Education,
                                Workforce, and Income Security




GAO-22-106159
                                            September 21, 2022

                                            UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE
                                            Opportunities to Address Long-Standing Challenges
                                            and Risks
Highlights of GAO-22-106159, a testimony
before the Subcommittee on Health,
Employment, Labor and Pensions, Committee
on Education and Labor, House of
Representatives



Why GAO Did This Study                      What GAO Found
The UI system has faced long-standing       In June 2022, GAO reported that long-standing challenges with Unemployment
challenges with effective service           Insurance (UI) administration have affected states’ ability to effectively meet the
delivery, which worsened during the         needs of unemployed workers. These challenges have been identified in prior
pandemic because of historic levels of      GAO reports, in other audits, and by stakeholder panelists with UI expertise.
job loss. In a June 2022 report (GAO-       They have persisted over time and worsened during times of economic
22-105162), GAO found that these            downturn—such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Reported challenges with program
challenges pose significant risks to        design and variation in how states administer UI—such as differences in
effectively delivering benefits to          minimum and maximum UI benefit amounts, duration of benefit periods, and
unemployed workers. Due to these and
                                            eligibility rules—have contributed to declining access, inconsistent levels of
other financial risks, GAO has added
                                            support across states, and disparities in benefit distribution. Other reported
the UI system to its High-Risk List.
                                            challenges for states include providing customer service, delivering timely
This testimony discusses (1)                benefits, implementing new programs, and using and modernizing legacy IT
challenges related to the UI system’s       systems. For example, during the pandemic, some unemployed workers
ability to respond to the needs of          experienced long waits for benefit payments, which sometimes caused financial
unemployed workers and to changing          and other hardships.
economic conditions; (2) actions
needed to address key risks for the UI      GAO designated the UI system as high risk because its administrative and
system; (3) potential options for           program integrity challenges pose significant risks to service delivery and expose
transforming the UI system; and (4) the     the system to significant financial losses. For example, estimated UI improper
economic effects of expanding UI            payments—some of which were due to fraud—increased from approximately
benefits during adverse times.              $8.0 billion in fiscal year 2020 to approximately $78.1 billion in fiscal year 2021.
                                            In June 2022, GAO reported that the Department of Labor (DOL) has some
This testimony is based on two June
2022 reports. For GAO-22-105162,            activities planned and underway that may address the risks GAO identified, but
GAO reviewed audit products;                additional action is needed. GAO recommended that DOL develop and execute a
reviewed relevant literature; convened      transformation plan that outlines actions to address issues related to providing
a panel of stakeholders with UI             effective service and mitigating financial risk, including ways to demonstrate
expertise; and compared findings            improvements. GAO also noted that DOL will need to work closely with states,
against GAO criteria for designating        and potentially with the Congress, to make progress. DOL agreed with the
programs as high risk. For GAO-22-          recommendation and noted that it has a variety of efforts underway. These
104251, GAO conducted a literature          include efforts to enhance equity in program access and benefit distribution;
review to identify relevant studies on      reach worker populations reflective of the modern economy; and rebuild program
the effects of expanded UI benefits for     performance, efficiency in claims processing, and payment timeliness.
individuals and the economy during
adverse times.                              Participants in stakeholder panels GAO convened identified various options for
                                            transforming the UI system. Options include changes to program design to better
What GAO Recommends                         target support, such as broadening eligibility, reducing administrative barriers to
                                            access, and standardizing requirements across states. Other options include
In GAO-22-105162, GAO
                                            strategies to help improve UI IT systems, such as establishing well-defined
recommended that DOL develop and
implement a plan for transforming UI        modernization outcome goals, and enhancing system integrity, such as
that meets GAO’s high-risk criteria.        maintaining employer verification and improving identity verification.
DOL agreed with the recommendation.         Although the UI system faces challenges, GAO’s June 2022 review of empirical
GAO has 21 open recommendations to          studies found that the expansion of UI programs during adverse times—such as
DOL on UI, including several related to     the 2007-2009 recession and the COVID-19 pandemic—helped to stabilize the
managing fraud risk.                        economy, prevented detrimental outcomes from worsening, and had a limited
View GAO-22-106159. For more information,
                                            effect on workers’ incentives to return to work. Some of the studies also showed
contact Thomas Costa at (202) 512-4769 or   that UI expansion had other positive benefits such as an improved labor market.
costat@gao.gov.


                                                                                     United States Government Accountability Office
Letter   Letter




         Chairman DeSaulnier, Republican Leader Allen, and Members of the
         Subcommittee:

         Thank you for the opportunity to discuss our work on the challenges and
         risks facing the Unemployment Insurance (UI) system. The UI system has
         faced long-standing challenges with effective service delivery and
         program integrity, which worsened during the COVID-19 pandemic
         because of historic levels of job loss. For example, in recent years, some
         UI claimants experienced long waits for benefits, and there was a steep
         increase in estimated UI improper payments, some of which were due to
         fraud. 1 In June 2022, we added the UI system to our High-Risk list
         because we found that these and other challenges pose significant risk to
         UI service delivery and expose the UI system to significant financial
         losses. 2 The Department of Labor (DOL) has taken some steps to
         address these challenges. Moving forward, it will be important for DOL to
         take a coordinated and sustained approach—involving state and federal
         stakeholders, as appropriate—to ensure significant progress in improving
         the UI system’s performance and integrity. 3

         This testimony is based on our June 2022 reports, which examined
         issues including (1) challenges related to the UI system’s ability to
         respond to the needs of unemployed workers and to changing economic
         conditions; (2) actions needed to address key risks for the UI system; (3)




         1The Department of Labor estimated that UI improper payments increased over ninefold
         from fiscal year 2020 to fiscal year 2021, from approximately $8.0 billion to approximately
         $78.1 billion. Some, but not all, improper payments are due to fraud. Fraud involves
         obtaining something of value through willful misrepresentation. Whether an act is
         fraudulent is determined through the judicial or other adjudicative systems.
         2The High-Risk List highlights federal programs and operations that we have determined
         are in need of transformation, and also names federal programs and operations that are
         vulnerable to waste, fraud, abuse, and mismanagement. See GAO, High-Risk Series: Key
         Practices to Successfully Address High-Risk Areas and Remove Them from the List,
         GAO-22-105184 (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 3, 2022).
         3For the purposes of this testimony, the UI system includes UI programs that were
         established prior to the COVID-19 pandemic (including the regular UI program and
         Extended Benefits), and programs established in response to the COVID-19 pandemic
         (such as Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and Federal Pandemic Unemployment
         Compensation, among others).




         Page 1                                                                       GAO-22-106159
potential options for transforming the UI system; and (4) the economic
effects of expanding UI benefits during adverse times. 4

For the June 2022 report on which this testimony is primarily based, to
determine the challenges that DOL and states face in responding to
unemployed workers’ needs and to changing economic conditions, we
reviewed audit products by GAO, the DOL Office of Inspector General
(OIG), and state audit agencies, as well as relevant literature. To identify
risks facing the UI system and actions needed to address those risks, we
also reviewed GAO and DOL OIG reports on UI-related issues. To
determine whether UI should be on the High-Risk List, we compared our
findings from prior reports, DOL OIG reports, and our June 2022 reports
against the GAO criteria for determining whether a government program
or function is high risk. 5 We also met with DOL officials to discuss
ongoing and planned activities to address challenges. To obtain
stakeholder views on the challenges facing the UI system, and options for
how it could be transformed, we convened a 2-day virtual roundtable
composed of 16 stakeholder panelists with UI-related academic research
experience, experience running or assessing the UI system, or both. 6
Furthermore, for the other June 2022 report discussed in this testimony,
we conducted a literature review to identify key government, industry, and
academic studies examining the effects of expanded UI benefits for




4The first three objectives of this testimony are based on GAO, Unemployment Insurance:
Transformation Needed to Address Program Design, Infrastructure, and Program Integrity
Risks, GAO-22-105162 (Washington, D.C.: June 7, 2022). The fourth objective is based
on Unemployment Insurance: Pandemic Programs Posed Challenges, and DOL Could
Better Address Customer Service and Emergency Planning, GAO-22-104251
(Washington, D.C.: June 7, 2022). Both reports address additional topics that are not
included in this testimony. We also issued a report in June 2022 focused on the Pandemic
Unemployment Assistance program, one of the four UI programs established in response
to the COVID-19 pandemic. See Pandemic Unemployment Assistance: Federal Program
Supported Contingent Workers amid Historic Demand, but DOL Should Examine Racial
Disparities in Benefit Receipt, GAO-22-104438 (Washington, D.C.: June 7, 2022).
5GAO, Determining Performance and Accountability Challenges and High Risks,
GAO-01-159SP (Washington, D.C.: Nov. 1, 2000).
6We selected potential panelists from government, the private sector, public–private
partnerships, and academia to obtain educated views on topics related to transforming the
UI system. The inclusion in this testimony of individual options that stakeholders provided
for transforming the UI system is meant to be illustrative and should not be interpreted as
an endorsement by GAO or any federal agency or department.




Page 2                                                                      GAO-22-106159
                            individuals and the economy during adverse times. 7 Detailed information
                            on our objectives, scope, and methodology can be found in the issued
                            reports.

                            We conducted the work on which this testimony is based in accordance
                            with generally accepted government auditing standards. Those standards
                            require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain sufficient, appropriate
                            evidence to provide a reasonable basis for our findings and conclusions
                            based on our audit objectives. We believe that the evidence obtained
                            provides a reasonable basis for our findings and conclusions based on
                            our audit objectives.


Background

UI Program Administration   The federal government and states work together to administer UI
and Funding                 programs. States design and administer their own UI programs within
                            federal parameters, while DOL oversees states’ compliance with federal
                            requirements, such as by reviewing state laws to confirm they are
                            designed to ensure payment of benefits when due. According to DOL,
                            state statutes establish specific benefit structures, eligibility provisions,
                            benefit amounts, and other aspects of the program. Regular UI benefits—
                            those provided by state UI programs before the CARES Act was
                            enacted—are funded primarily through state taxes levied on employers
                            and are intended to replace a portion of a claimant’s previous
                            employment earnings, according to DOL. 8




                            7We searched relevant databases to identify scholarly and peer-reviewed research,
                            working papers, government reports, trade and industry articles, as well as association
                            and non-profit publications published in the last 20 years. We determined that 30 studies
                            fulfilled our criteria for inclusion in our literature review. For more information on our
                            literature review methodology, see GAO-22-104251.
                            8To be eligible for regular UI benefits, applicants must generally demonstrate workforce
                            attachment, be able and available to work, and be actively seeking work. 42 U.S.C. §
                            503(a)(12). Administration of the regular UI program is financed by a federal tax on
                            employers, according to DOL.




                            Page 3                                                                       GAO-22-106159
                            The CARES Act created three federally funded temporary UI programs—
                            Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA), 9 Federal Pandemic
                            Unemployment Compensation (FPUC), 10 and Pandemic Emergency
                            Unemployment Compensation (PEUC) 11—that expanded benefit eligibility
                            and enhanced benefit amounts. These programs were amended by the
                            Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021, and the American Rescue Plan
                            Act of 2021. In addition, the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021,
                            created the Mixed Earner Unemployment Compensation (MEUC)
                            program, which was extended by the American Rescue Plan Act of
                            2021. 12 The federal government directly funded the administration of, and
                            benefits for, these pandemic UI programs and relied on states to ensure
                            benefits reached unemployed workers. These programs expired on
                            September 6, 2021, although some states ended their participation before
                            that date.

States’ UI IT Environment   State workforce agencies rely extensively on IT systems to carry out their
                            program functions, including benefit eligibility determinations and
                            calculating benefit amounts. However, many states continue to rely on
                            aging, or legacy, IT systems developed in the 1970s and 1980s. 13 Legacy
                            systems run on outdated or unsupported hardware and software that are
                            expensive to maintain and may use older programming languages. As a

                            9PUA authorized UI benefits for individuals not otherwise eligible for UI benefits, such as
                            self-employed and certain gig economy workers, who were unable to work as a result of
                            specified COVID-19-related reasons. Pub. L. No. 117-2, § 9011(a), (b), 135 Stat. 4, 118
                            (2021); Pub. L. No. 116-260, div. N, tit. II, § 201(a), (b), 134 Stat. 1182, 1950-1951 (2020);
                            Pub. L. No. 116-136, § 2102, 134 Stat. 281, 313 (2020).
                            10FPUC generally authorized an additional weekly benefit for individuals who were eligible
                            for weekly benefits under the permanent UI programs—e.g. regular UI—and the
                            temporary CARES Act UI programs. Pub. L. No. 117-2, § 9013, 135 Stat. 4, 119; Pub. L.
                            No. 116-260, div. N, tit. II, § 203, 134 Stat. 1182, 1953; Pub. L. No. 116-136, § 2104, 134
                            Stat. 281, 318.
                            11PEUC generally authorized additional weeks of UI benefits for those who had exhausted
                            their regular UI benefits. Pub. L. No. 117-2, § 9016(a), (b), 135 Stat. 4, 119-120; Pub. L.
                            No. 116-260, div. N, tit. II, § 206(a), (b), 134 Stat. 1182, 1954; Pub. L. No. 116-136, §
                            2107, 134 Stat. 281, 323.
                            12The MEUC program authorized an additional $100 weekly benefit for certain UI
                            claimants who received at least $5,000 of self-employment income in the most recent tax
                            year prior to their application for UI benefits. Pub. L. No. 117-2, § 9013(a), 135 Stat. 4,
                            119; Pub. L. No. 116-260, div. N, tit. II, § 261(a)(1), 134 Stat. 1182, 1961.
                            13The National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2018 defines a legacy IT system
                            as an IT system that is outdated or obsolete. Pub. L. No. 115-91, § 1076(8), 131 Stat.
                            1283, 1586-87 (2017).




                            Page 4                                                                        GAO-22-106159
                      result, state workforce agencies may not be able to ensure these systems
                      have effective internal controls to address current security vulnerabilities
                      and other IT risks. Furthermore, in May 2021, the DOL OIG found that
                      legacy IT systems were one of the causes of states’ inability to detect and
                      recover UI improper payments, including those as a result of fraudulent
                      activity. 14 According to the National Association of State Workforce
                      Agencies (NASWA), as of July 2022, 32 of the 53 states and territories
                      were still using legacy IT systems to support their UI benefits system, tax
                      system, or both. We previously reported that modernizing legacy IT
                      systems allowed agencies to leverage IT to successfully address their
                      missions and achieve a wide range of benefits. 15

                      Our June 2022 report on UI transformation highlighted the long-standing
Reported Challenges   challenges with UI administration and outdated IT systems that have
with State UI         affected states’ ability to effectively meet the needs of unemployed
                      workers. These challenges have occurred both historically and during
Administration and    times of economic downturn—particularly the COVID-19 pandemic.
Outdated IT Systems   According to our past work and that of the DOL OIG, and the views of our
                      stakeholder panelists, challenges that have affected the responsiveness
Affect UI             of the UI system include those related to (1) program design; (2)
Responsiveness



                      14Department of Labor Office of Inspector General, Report No. 19-21-004-03-315. The
                      Payment Integrity Information Act of 2019 (PIIA) defines an improper payment as any
                      payment that should not have been made or that was made in an incorrect amount
                      (including overpayments and underpayments) under statutory, contractual, administrative,
                      or other legally applicable requirements. It includes any payment to an ineligible recipient,
                      any payment for an ineligible good or service, any duplicate payment, any payment for a
                      good or service not received (except for such payments where authorized by law), and
                      any payment that does not account for credit for applicable discounts. 31 U.S.C. §
                      3351(4). Further, when an executive agency’s review is unable to discern, because of
                      lacking or insufficient documentation, whether a payment was proper, the agency must
                      treat the payment as improper in producing an improper payment estimate. 31 U.S.C. §
                      3352(c)(2).
                      15IT modernization can include transforming legacy code into a more modern
                      programming language, migrating legacy services to cloud computing solutions, and re-
                      designing mainframe applications to cloud-based applications. The benefits of a
                      successful IT modernization effort can include cost savings, improved customer service,
                      enhanced security, and reduced amount of labor needed to maintain legacy systems and
                      software. See GAO, Information Technology: Agencies Need to Develop Modernization
                      Plans for Critical Legacy Systems, GAO-19-471 (Washington, D.C.: June 11, 2019).




                      Page 5                                                                        GAO-22-106159
                        customer service, payment timeliness, and implementing new programs;
                        and (3) states’ ability to use and modernize legacy IT systems. 16

UI Program Design Has   Decline in workers’ participation in UI. Prior to the COVID-19
Led to Challenges       pandemic, the proportion of unemployed workers filing for UI benefits—
                        referred to as the recipiency rate—was near a historic low. According to
                        DOL, the recipiency rate was 54.6 percent in 1958 and declined to 28.1
                        percent in 2019. 17 Program design is among the factors contributing to
                        the decline in the recipiency rate, including states tightening requirements
                        for participation in UI, according to DOL and participants in our
                        stakeholder panels. In addition, some stakeholder panelists noted that, as
                        an employer-based structure, the regular UI program does not cover
                        contingent workers for whom payroll taxes are not paid, such as
                        independent contractors or self-employed workers, who are estimated to
                        number in the millions. 18 Also, contingent workers, who may have
                        irregular work and earnings histories, may be more likely to face
                        difficulties in qualifying for regular UI. 19

                        Differing UI administration across states and territories. The regular
                        UI program was designed as a federal-state partnership that gives states
                        considerable flexibility, resulting in essentially 53 different UI programs
                        across the states and territories. Stakeholder panelists noted that
                        minimum and maximum UI benefit amounts, duration of benefit periods,

                        16There are currently 21 open GAO recommendations related to UI. We identified five of
                        these recommendations as priorities for the Department of Labor. Priority open
                        recommendations are the GAO recommendations that warrant priority attention from
                        heads of key departments or agencies because their implementation could save large
                        amounts of money; improve congressional and/or executive branch decision-making on
                        major issues; eliminate mismanagement, fraud, and abuse; or ensure that programs
                        comply with laws and funds are legally spent, among other benefits. See appendix I for a
                        detailed list of the open recommendations.
                        17In 2019, recipiency rates varied widely by state, from 9.5 percent (North Carolina) to
                        59.0 percent (New Jersey), according to DOL. In 2020, the recipiency rate increased
                        sharply to 78.0 percent. According to DOL officials, this was due to the large number of UI
                        continued claims during the pandemic.
                        18We use the term “contingent workers” to refer broadly to workers without traditional
                        employment arrangements, such as those with temporary or gig employment,
                        independent contractors, and self-employed workers.
                        19During the COVID-19 pandemic, the temporary PUA program was the first nationwide
                        program to provide contingent workers with access to UI benefits, provided they met
                        program eligibility criteria. For more information about the PUA program and the
                        experiences of contingent workers during the pandemic, see GAO-22-104438.




                        Page 6                                                                      GAO-22-106159
and eligibility rules are substantially different by state, resulting in
inconsistent levels of support for workers. In our 2015 report, we found
that reductions in state benefit durations resulted in some individuals
receiving substantially less in total UI benefits. 20

In addition, DOL, panelists, and we have identified concerns about racial
and other disparities in accessing and receiving UI benefits. Specifically,
in our June 2022 report, we found substantial racial and ethnic disparities
in PUA benefit receipt in three of four selected states. For example, in two
states, the percentage of Black applicants who received PUA was about
half that of White applicants. 21 Panelists noted that there is a correlation
between states with low UI recipiency rates and states with a high
percentage of African American residents, as compared to other states.
Moreover, states take different approaches to monitoring ongoing UI
claimant eligibility, including compliance with work search requirements. 22

Limited effectiveness of Extended Benefits program. Stakeholder
panelists noted limitations with the Extended Benefits (EB) program’s
effectiveness amid changing national economic conditions. The EB
program responds to recessions by extending the duration of UI benefits




20GAO, Unemployment Insurance: States’ Reductions in Maximum Benefit Durations
Have Implications for Federal Costs, GAO-15-281 (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 22, 2015).
21Results from two national surveys show similar disparities in UI receipt. Various factors
could explain these disparities, such as how states reviewed claims or whether fraudsters
more frequently used certain demographics when filing. See GAO-22-104438 and GAO,
Management Report: Preliminary Information on Potential Racial and Ethnic Disparities in
the Receipt of Unemployment Insurance Benefits during the COVID-19 Pandemic,
GAO-21-599R (Washington, D.C.: June 17, 2021). As we have previously reported, DOL
has taken a variety of steps to address equity in the UI program, including making grant
funds available to states to address equity issues and deploying equity experts to states to
identify challenges to UI benefit access and best practices for addressing them. In April
2022, DOL released an Equity Action Plan, which among other things summarized DOL’s
ongoing and planned actions to advance equity in the UI system.
22In our 2018 report, we made four recommendations related to monitoring ongoing
claimant eligibility—two of which we designated as high priority—that remain
unaddressed. For example, we recommended that DOL clarify and monitor states’
compliance with work-search verification requirements. GAO, Unemployment Insurance:
Actions Needed to Ensure Consistent Reporting of Overpayments and Claimants’
Compliance with Work Search Requirements, GAO-18-486 (Washington, D.C.: Aug. 22,
2018).




Page 7                                                                       GAO-22-106159
if certain economic criteria, known as triggers, are met. 23 According to
DOL, the program provides, depending on state law, up to an additional
13 or 20 weeks of benefits during periods of high unemployment. 24 Also,
an important part of the mission of UI is to stabilize the U.S. economy
during recessions by helping individuals maintain their purchasing power
by replacing a portion of income lost through unemployment, according to
DOL. However, panelists highlighted various issues with the EB program,
including questions about the statistical validity of the specific triggers that
are used to activate the program. Panelists also noted that in recent
recessions, Congress created temporary programs to expand UI because
the EB program could not respond adequately to national recessions. In
addition, panelists noted that in prior recessions, most workers were re-
employed before their regular UI benefits ran out, and therefore, the EB
program was not relevant for those workers.

State agencies’ struggles to fund UI. States’ benefit amounts and
approaches to UI financing risk the viability of the program. The regular UI
program is generally funded through a combination of federal and state
taxes on employers. 25 When a state exhausts the funds available for
regular UI benefits, it may borrow from the federal government. As we
previously reported, during the 2007–2009 recession, many states took
out federal loans to pay for UI benefits. 26 This also occurred during the




23Specifically, the EB program uses triggers based on the unemployment rate of people
covered by UI (the insured unemployment rate), and the unemployment rate based on the
wider population (the total unemployment rate). Pub. L. No. 91-373, Title II, 84 Stat. 695,
708-13 (codified as amended at 26 U.S.C. § 3304, note).
24During the pandemic, regular UI claimants who exhausted their regular UI and PEUC
benefits also had access to the EB program if their claim was in a state that triggered the
program. The EB program was activated in all states except South Dakota at some point
during the pandemic, according to DOL.
25According to DOL, three states also require employee contributions under certain
conditions.
26For example, in 2010, after the 2007–2009 recession, 30 states and territories held
approximately $40.2 billion in federal loans. See GAO, COVID-19: Additional Actions
Needed to Improve Accountability and Program Effectiveness of Federal Response,
GAO-22-105051 (Washington, D.C.: Oct. 27, 2021). We did not adjust this 2010 loan
balance amount for inflation. In 2015, we found that states that had reduced UI benefit
durations after the 2007–2009 recession had weaker pre-recession trust funds, among
other factors. See GAO-15-281.




Page 8                                                                       GAO-22-106159
                           pandemic. 27 In addition, participants in our stakeholder panels noted that
                           funding for UI administration has been a historical challenge. From fiscal
                           years 2010 to 2019, funding for state UI administration declined by about
                           32 percent, after adjusting for inflation. 28 Several panelists commented
                           that insufficient federal funding for UI administration has resulted in state
                           agencies being understaffed or having outdated technology. 29

State UI Programs Have     We and others have reported on administrative challenges that states
Faced Administrative       encountered as they implemented both the regular and pandemic UI
                           programs, in the areas of providing customer service, delivering timely
Challenges with Customer
                           benefits, and implementing new programs.
Service, Payment
Timeliness, and            Customer service. States reported facing ongoing administrative
Implementing New           challenges in providing effective customer service to UI claimants, even
Programs                   outside of economic downturns. In our 2016 report, we found that during
                           the 2007–2009 recession many states reported facing challenges in
                           processing record numbers of UI claims, including staff turnover and
                           insufficient call center staff, as well as delays in claimants receiving
                           benefits. 30 Furthermore, many states reported that insufficient call center
                           staff was still a challenge in 2014 and 2015. Also, in our focus groups,
                           regular UI claimants who applied for benefits by phone between July
                           2014 and July 2015 reported experiencing long call wait times or having
                           to call multiple times to reach program representatives. During the




                           27For example, as of April 23, 2021, 20 states and territories held loans with a combined
                           total balance of $55.1 billion. By September 7, 2022, the number of states and territories
                           holding federal loans had dropped to six with a total combined balance of about $27.6
                           billion.
                           28Before adjusting for inflation, administrative funding declined by about 21 percent. We
                           adjusted for inflation using the gross domestic product price index.
                           29In its official comments on GAO-22-105162, DOL stated that funding constraints for the
                           UI system have historically posed ongoing threats to states’ ability to administer UI
                           programs with efficiency and integrity.
                           30GAO, Unemployment Insurance: States’ Customer Service Challenges and DOL’s
                           Related Assistance, GAO-16-430 (Washington, D.C.: May 12, 2016).




                           Page 9                                                                        GAO-22-106159
COVID-19 pandemic, similar challenges were again cited by states and
claimants. 31

Payment timeliness. Stakeholder panelists noted the importance of
delivering timely UI benefits to unemployed workers who need
assistance. The long waits for payments during the pandemic caused
financial and other hardships for some workers. For example, some PUA
claimants we spoke with as part of our work examining that program said
they needed to negotiate rent payment delays, defer bills, or accrue credit
card debt while they were waiting for their first PUA payment. 32 Claimants
we spoke with as a part of our work examining CARES Act UI programs
told us that they used funds from their retirement accounts and other
savings, relied on family and friends for loans to meet living expenses,
and accepted assistance from community-based food pantries and other
organizations to get help with food and utilities amidst payment delays. 33

As we previously reported, extensive claims-processing backlogs led to
substantial delays in first payments of regular UI benefits early in the
pandemic, and those delays continued for some states later in the
pandemic. The nationwide percentage of regular UI first benefits paid
within 21 days of a claimant’s initial eligibility fell from about 97 percent in
March 2020 to about 52 percent in June 2020. 34 Since then, the

31GAO-22-104251. In addition, our work examining the PUA program identified a variety
of challenges for PUA claimants. For example, PUA claimants we spoke with faced some
difficulties navigating how to verify their eligibility, including gathering and providing the
appropriate documentation. A few of these workers said these challenges were in part due
to being new to the UI system and unfamiliar with the process and its requirements.
Worker advocacy groups we spoke with in several states also reported various challenges
for PUA claimants, including that non-English speaking claimants had difficulty accessing
translated information in a timely manner. See GAO-22-104438.
32A few PUA claimants we spoke with who were victims of identity theft said they
experienced long delays before receiving benefits as the fraud was investigated. They
also told us they invested substantial time investigating their own cases. See
GAO-22-104438.
33GAO-22-104438 and GAO-22-104251.

34GAO-22-105051 and GAO, COVID-19: Significant Improvements Are Needed for
Overseeing Relief Funds and Leading Responses to Public Health Emergencies,
GAO-22-105291 (Washington D.C.: Jan. 27, 2022). One of DOL’s core performance
measures is the percentage of all regular UI first payments made within either 14 or 21
days of the first week of benefits for which claimants are eligible; DOL considers 87
percent to be an acceptable level of performance. DOL uses 14 days as the timeliness
goal for states with a waiting week requirement and uses 21 days for states without a
waiting week requirement.




Page 10                                                                       GAO-22-106159
                        timeliness of these first payments has fluctuated, and in June 2022, about
                        75 percent of first payments were paid within 21 days. 35

                        Implementing new programs. Prior to the pandemic, the DOL OIG had
                        noted concerns with DOL and states’ ability to deploy program benefits
                        quickly and efficiently while ensuring program integrity and adequate
                        oversight, particularly in response to national emergencies and disasters.
                        During the pandemic, states were overwhelmed by record levels of UI
                        claims as they simultaneously implemented the new CARES Act UI
                        programs. Initial claims for regular UI benefits nationwide reached a
                        historic peak of more than 6 million per week in late March and early April
                        2020, and states reported receiving more than 1.3 million weekly PUA
                        initial claims in late May 2020. We and the DOL OIG have reported that
                        selected states struggled to implement the CARES Act UI programs due
                        to insufficient staffing and unclear guidance from DOL, among other
                        issues. 36 The DOL OIG also reported that states had to develop new
                        systems to implement the CARES Act UI programs, resulting in backlogs
                        in processing claims for weeks, and in some cases, months. 37

State IT Challenges     As discussed in our June 2022 report on UI transformation, many states
Include Using and       rely on legacy systems for their UI programs. The DOL OIG and we have
                        reported on the risks and challenges that legacy systems pose for state
Modernizing Legacy UI
                        UI programs, which have led to, among other things, reduced efficiency
Systems                 and effectiveness. 38 For example:

                        •   Inefficient system performance. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, in
                            May 2016, we reported that legacy IT systems were a challenge for




                        35We analyzed first-payment timeliness data that states had reported to DOL as of August
                        10, 2022. At that point, all 53 states had reported data for June 2022 and prior months.
                        36GAO-22-104251. Also see Department of Labor Office of Inspector General, COVID-19:
                        States Struggled to Implement CARES Act Unemployment Insurance Programs, Report
                        No. 19-21-004-03-315 (Washington, D.C.: May 28, 2021).
                        37Department of Labor Office of Inspector General, Report No. 19-21-004-03-315.

                        34We have ongoing work looking at state UI IT system modernization efforts, including

                        successes and challenges, as well as DOL’s management and oversight of its efforts to
                        assist state agencies with their modernization efforts.




                        Page 11                                                                  GAO-22-106159
    many states, according to our survey. 39 After the start of the
    pandemic, in June 2020, we reported that the unprecedented number
    of UI claims posed challenges for states’ capacity to process them. 40
    Specifically, state UI programs faced system performance issues with
    legacy data systems.
•   Slower processing of payments. In May 2021, the DOL OIG
    reported that states with legacy systems started the PEUC program
    15 days slower than states with modernized systems, and the PUA
    program 8 days slower on average. 41 Further, the DOL OIG reported
    that officials from 17 of 50 states and territories (34 percent) stated
    their IT systems were unable to implement provisions of the CARES
    Act, such as those creating the PUA program. 42
•   Inability to detect improper payments (including from fraud). Also
    in the May 2021 DOL OIG report, state officials mentioned that their IT
    systems did not have the capability to perform cross-matches—a
    method used to detect improper payments, including those as a result
    of fraudulent activity—for such a large volume of claims.
•   Difficulty reporting UI program activities to DOL. The May 2021
    DOL OIG report also identified legacy IT systems as one of the
    causes of states being unable to report their CARES Act UI program
    activities to DOL. For example, state officials noted that they were
    unable to program the newly required reports in their IT systems.
More generally, we have previously reported that the use of legacy
systems can contribute to additional risks, including security
vulnerabilities, staffing issues, and increased cost. 43




39Specifically, 29 of 48 states (60 percent) reported that their IT systems had significant
limitations, which had implications for the ability of state programs to efficiently process UI
claims and serve claimants. We did not receive survey responses from UI programs in the
District of Columbia, North Carolina, and Vermont. Our review did not include UI programs
in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. See GAO-16-430.
40GAO, COVID-19: Opportunities to Improve Federal Response and Recovery Efforts,
GAO-20-625 (Washington, D.C.: June 25, 2020).
41Department of Labor Office of Inspector General, Report No. 19-21-004-03-315.

42Arkansas, Idaho, and Vermont were not included among the states.

43GAO, Information Technology: Agencies Need to Develop Modernization Plans for
Critical Legacy Systems, GAO-19-471 (Washington, D.C.: June 11, 2019).




Page 12                                                                        GAO-22-106159
                       Additionally, our work has identified challenges that states face in
                       modernizing their legacy UI systems. 44 For example:

                       •   Funding uncertainty. In our prior reporting, we identified challenges
                           that states reported regarding declining or inconsistent federal and
                           state funding for UI IT modernization, leading to difficulties in project
                           planning, among other difficulties. 45
                       •   Staffing and vendor limitations. We also found that UI IT system
                           development can be hindered by a shortage of staff with technical and
                           project management expertise to manage IT modernizations efforts.
                           We identified challenges that states reported related to using vendors
                           for UI modernization efforts, such as having too few vendors for
                           selection and lacking sufficient staff expertise to maintain systems
                           once vendor staff left.
                       •   System capacity and scaling limitations. We previously reported
                           that states faced challenges in ensuring sufficient system capacity to
                           process the unprecedented number of UI claims during the COVID-19
                           pandemic. According to NASWA officials, this challenge was due to
                           states not sufficiently load testing their systems to handle large
                           volumes of claims prior to the pandemic.


                       As a result of the many challenges facing the UI system that we and
Transformation Plan    others have identified, we added the UI system to our High-Risk List in
and Sustained Action   June 2022. In designating a program as high risk, we consider: (1)
                       qualitative factors such as whether risks could result in significantly
Are Critical to        impaired service delivery; (2) exposure to financial loss; and (3)
Address Risks to UI    effectiveness of corrective actions that are planned or underway. We
                       determined that the administrative and program integrity challenges
System                 facing the UI system pose significant risks to service delivery and expose
                       the system to significant financial losses. For example, there was a steep
                       increase in estimated UI improper payments—some of which were due to
                       fraud—from fiscal year 2020 to 2021. To address these risks to the UI
                       system, we also recommended that DOL develop and implement a



                       44GAO-20-625, GAO-16-430, and GAO, Information Technology: Department of Labor
                       Could Further Facilitate Modernization of States’ Unemployment Insurance Systems,
                       GAO-12-957 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 26, 2012).
                       45GAO-16-430 and GAO-12-957.




                       Page 13                                                                 GAO-22-106159
transformation plan that meets factors in GAO’s criteria for high-risk list
removal. 46

Risk to service delivery. The chronic management and resource
challenges we and others have identified are extensive enough to pose
significant risk to UI service delivery. During the pandemic, historic and
urgent demand for services and the need to implement new and
expanded UI benefits overwhelmed states, causing benefit payment
timeliness to plummet and significantly straining customer service. These
challenges exacerbated inherent risks in the program that challenge its
ability to respond effectively to economic downturns and to ensure equity
in service delivery across states and workers.

Risk of financial loss. Prior to the pandemic, DOL regularly estimated
that improper payments in the regular UI program totaled billions of
dollars annually. During the pandemic, DOL’s estimated amount of
improper payments for a portion of the UI programs increased over
ninefold, from approximately $8.0 billion in fiscal year 2020 to
approximately $78.1 billion in fiscal year 2021. 47 This increase in
estimated improper payments resulted from (1) the doubling of the
estimated improper payment rate from approximately 9.2 percent in fiscal
year 2020 to approximately 18.9 percent in fiscal year 2021; and (2) the
increase of reported outlays in the UI program from approximately $86.9
billion in fiscal year 2020 to approximately $413.0 billion in fiscal year
2021. 48 DOL expects this elevated estimated improper payment rate to
continue for fiscal year 2022. Some, but not all, improper payments are
due to fraud. 49 We have previously reported that the amount of fraudulent
and potentially fraudulent activity in UI programs increased substantially
after the three CARES Act UI programs were enacted, relative to the
amount of such activity in the regular UI program before the pandemic. 50


46GAO-22-105162.

47The estimated improper payments for the 2021 UI program includes improper payment
estimations for the FPUC and PEUC programs, but does not include PUA and MEUC
improper payment estimations.
48The source for these outlays is www.paymentaccuracy.gov. The sampling period covers
outlays from July 1, 2020 to June 30, 2021.
49Fraud involves obtaining something of value through willful misrepresentation. Whether
an act is fraudulent is determined through the judicial or other adjudicative systems.
50GAO-22-105051.




Page 14                                                                   GAO-22-106159
Federal and state entities continue to investigate and report on high levels
of fraud, potential fraud, and fraud risks in the UI programs. 51

Effectiveness of corrective actions. In designating the UI system as
high risk, we also considered actions—in the areas of leadership
commitment, capacity, action plan, monitoring, and demonstrating
progress—that DOL could take to help address challenges. DOL has
some activities planned and underway that may address the risks we
have identified. For example, DOL has sent teams of experts to states to
provide technical assistance and make recommendations related to
payment timeliness, equity, technology, and fraud. DOL has also offered
grant opportunities to states to implement the expert teams’
recommendations, address equity issues, and improve program access.
However, further action is needed. In June 2022, we recommended that
DOL develop and execute a transformation plan that outlines coordinated
and sustained actions to address issues related to providing effective
service and mitigating financial risk, including ways to demonstrate
improvements. 52 In addition, we noted that DOL will need to work closely
with states to make progress in these areas, and that if DOL determines
that legislative action is needed, providing technical assistance to
Congress could also be helpful.

We reported in June 2022 that action in each of these areas is important
to address the significant risks facing the UI system. For example:

•   Leadership commitment. We and the DOL OIG have identified the
    need for DOL to improve its leadership and coordination of actions to
    address risks to UI service delivery and program integrity. DOL
    leadership has acknowledged the need for significant reform of the UI
    system. In August 2021, DOL announced the establishment of the
    Office of Unemployment Insurance Modernization within the Office of
    the Secretary to provide strategic leadership as the department




51We have ongoing work reviewing the extent of fraud in the UI system.

52GAO-22-105162. DOL agreed with the recommendation and noted that it has related
efforts underway, which we discuss later in this testimony.




Page 15                                                                  GAO-22-106159
    implements its UI modernization plan. 53 While this is promising, the
    office is temporary, consists of a small leadership team, and does not
    have long-term timelines for planned activities due to the temporary
    nature of its role. 54 A long-term strategic plan and sustained
    leadership are critical to fulfill the vision outlined in DOL’s UI
    modernization plan.
•   Capacity. Limitations in state and federal capacity have been
    recurring findings in our UI reports and those of the DOL OIG,
    especially related to ensuring the UI system responds effectively to
    economic downturns. Our June 2022 report identified staffing
    limitations, outdated IT infrastructure, and the limited effectiveness of
    benefit triggers during economic downturns as some of the capacity
    challenges faced by the UI system. 55 DOL has used funding from the
    American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 to support states in modernizing
    their IT systems, including beginning to develop modular technology
    solutions that can be integrated with state IT systems and a blueprint
    for the UI customer experience. However, lasting and system-wide
    solutions are important to meet the vision for infrastructure
    improvements outlined in DOL’s UI modernization plan.
•   Action plan. DOL outlined several principles for reform of the UI
    system in its fiscal year 2022 and 2023 congressional budget
    justifications. 56 In addition, in April 2022, DOL released an Equity
    Action Plan, which outlined existing barriers to equitable outcomes in
    the UI system and summarized DOL’s ongoing and planned actions to
    advance equity. However, we reported in June 2022 that DOL has not
    yet conducted comprehensive analyses of the extent of or potential
    causes of system-wide disparities in benefit receipt or options for

53See Department of Labor, Fact Sheet: Unemployment Insurance Modernization:
American Rescue Plan Act Funding for Timely, Accurate and Equitable Payment in
Unemployment Compensation Programs (Washington, D.C.: Aug. 11, 2021). The office is
also providing oversight and management of $2 billion in funds from the American Rescue
Plan Act of 2021 to prevent and detect fraud, promote equitable access, and ensure timely
benefits payments, according to DOL.
54DOL officials said they expected that the longer-term modernization effort would
eventually be led by the Employment and Training Administration’s Office of
Unemployment Insurance.
55GAO-22-105162.

56These principles included the need for a modern system to provide adequate benefits in
every state, be easily scalable and respond automatically to economic downturns, reflect
the modern economy and labor force, and ensure access and integrity before the next
crisis.




Page 16                                                                    GAO-22-106159
    supporting nontraditional workers and reflecting a modern economy. 57
    In addition, we found that DOL has not comprehensively assessed UI
    fraud risks in alignment with leading practices as provided in our
    Fraud Risk Framework. 58 Additionally, as noted above, in our June
    report we recommended that DOL develop and execute planned
    actions as part of meeting GAO’s high risk criteria for transformation.
    Clear plans to identify root causes and potential solutions to the
    challenges underlying DOL’s reform principles are necessary for long-
    term progress. Action plans can also support DOL’s monitoring efforts
    and help ensure progress.
•   Monitoring. Understanding the effectiveness of DOL’s efforts is
    important to ensuring progress. DOL collects data from states
    including data on UI claims, compensation, payment timeliness, and
    overpayments. However, we have identified some limitations in the
    completeness and accuracy of these data. 59 For example, we have
    made several recommendations related to obtaining more accurate
    and complete data on the number of people who receive benefits and
    the amount of PUA overpayments that were recovered and waived. 60
    We have also recommended that DOL obtain information about
    customer service challenges during the pandemic to identify best
    practices for helping claimants. 61 Monitoring the effectiveness of


57GAO-22-104438.

58To help managers combat fraud and preserve integrity in government agencies and
programs, GAO identified leading practices for managing fraud risks and organized them
into a conceptual framework called the Fraud Risk Framework. The Fraud Risk
Framework encompasses control activities to prevent, detect, and respond to fraud, with
an emphasis on prevention, as well as structures and environmental factors that influence
or help managers achieve their objective to mitigate fraud risks. In addition, the framework
highlights the importance of monitoring and incorporating feedback. For more information
on the Fraud Risk Framework, see GAO, A Framework for Managing Fraud Risks in
Federal Programs, GAO-15-593SP (Washington, D.C.: Jul. 28, 2015) and
GAO-22-105051.
59GAO, COVID-19: Current and Future Federal Preparedness Requires Fixes to Improve
Health Data and Address Improper Payments, GAO-22-105397 (Washington, D.C.: Apr.
27, 2022) and GAO-22-104438.
60GAO, COVID-19: Urgent Actions Needed to Better Ensure an Effective Federal
Response, GAO-21-191 (Washington, D.C.: Nov. 30, 2020), GAO, COVID-19: Critical
Vaccine Distribution, Supply Chain, Program Integrity, and Other Challenges Require
Focused Federal Attention, GAO-21-265 (Washington, D.C.: Jan. 28, 2021), and GAO,
COVID-19: Sustained Federal Action Is Crucial as Pandemic Enters Its Second Year,
GAO-21-387 (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 31, 2021).
61GAO-22-104251.




Page 17                                                                      GAO-22-106159
                           DOL’s UI modernization activities will need high-quality and potentially
                           new data.
                       •   Demonstrated progress. Areas where progress is needed include
                           reducing the improper payment rate; advancing equity in the UI
                           system, including across racial and ethnic groups and states; better
                           reaching current worker populations and reflecting the modern
                           economy; restoring pre-pandemic payment timeliness levels; and
                           improving the UI system’s response to economic downturns.
                           Implementing our UI-related recommendations and those of the DOL
                           OIG can help demonstrate progress in these areas, which align with
                           DOL’s principles and vision for UI reform and are critical for resolving
                           the significant risks in the UI system.


                       Stakeholders participating in our panel discussion identified specific
Panelists Offered      options for transforming the UI system, including changes to program
Options to Transform   design to better target UI support, improvements to UI IT systems, and
                       enhancing system integrity. 62 We discussed these options in our June
UI Program Design,     2022 report on UI transformation.
IT Systems, and
                       Changes to program design to better target UI support. Panelists
System Integrity       identified a variety of potential changes to better target UI support,
                       including: broadening eligibility and reducing administrative barriers;
                       changing how benefits are calculated; standardizing certain UI
                       requirements and operations across states; and increasing federal
                       funding for UI administration and certain UI benefits (see table 1).




                       62We identified options for UI transformation based on our analysis of the stakeholder
                       panel discussions. These options for transformation are not listed in any specific rank or
                       order and their inclusion in this testimony should not be interpreted as GAO endorsing any
                       of them. Implementing any one transformation option or a combination of options might
                       require additional efforts to address program design or legal issues. We did not assess
                       how effective the potential transformation options may be or the extent to which legal
                       changes and federal financial support would be needed to implement them. Options
                       presented do not represent a consensus among panelists but instead represent
                       discussion by the group as a whole. For further discussion of options for UI transformation
                       identified by stakeholder panelists see GAO-22-105162.




                       Page 18                                                                     GAO-22-106159
Table 1: Potential Transformation Options Stakeholder Panelists Identified Related
to Changing Unemployment Insurance (UI) Program Design

                                              Potential transformation options identified by
 Transformation objective                     stakeholder panelists
 Increase                                     •   Create a new program specifically to cover workers
 access to UI                                     not currently covered by regular UI, such as
                                                  independent contractors and self-employed
                                                  workers, to broaden eligibility
                                              •   Narrow the classification of independent
                                                  contractors to increase UI coverage
                                              •   Streamline UI application and employment
                                                  verification processes, thus reducing administrative
                                                  barriers to access
 Better target UI benefit                     •     Use a flexible wage-replacement rate to adjust
 amounts                                            benefits based on economic conditions and income
                                                    level
 Increase consistency of UI                   •     Federalize the UI system
 support                                      •     Tighten federal standards for state UI programs
                                              •     Revise triggers for the Extended Benefits program
                                                    and set parameters for other recessionary
                                                    expansions to make UI expansions more automatic
                                                    and consistent across states
 Ensure sufficient UI funding                 •     Increase federal funding for UI administrationa
                                              •     Provide federal funding for certain UI benefits
                                              •     Require employee contributions to UI
Source: GAO analysis of stakeholder statements. | GAO-22-106159

Note: We identified transformation objectives based on our analysis of the stakeholder panelists’
proposed transformation options. These potential transformation options are not listed in any specific
rank or order and their inclusion in this report should not be interpreted as GAO endorsing any of
them. We did not assess how effective the potential transformation options may be or the extent to
which program design modifications, legal changes, and federal financial support would be needed to
implement any given transformation option or combination of transformation options. Options
presented do not represent a consensus among panelists but instead represent options presented by
at least one panelist and then, in most cases, discussion by the group as a whole.
a
 The Department of Labor’s (DOL) fiscal year 2023 budget justification noted that the factors included
in DOL’s formula for estimating state administrative funding had not been updated in decades, and
proposed updates to two of these factors. Specifically, the budget justification stated that outdated
measures of claims processing rates and staff salary rates had resulted in state administrative
funding estimates that were not reflective of current administrative costs. According to DOL, the use
of these outdated factors consistently left states underfunded, which contributed to them not being
prepared for the surge in claims from the pandemic.


Improving and modernizing IT systems. We and others have reported
that states have faced challenges in modernizing their UI IT systems.
Stakeholder panelists identified strategies to help improve UI systems
and overcome challenges associated with modernizing them (see table
2).




Page 19                                                                                   GAO-22-106159
Table 2: Potential Transformation Options Stakeholder Panelists Identified Related
to Improving Unemployment Insurance (UI) System Infrastructure

                                                Potential transformation options identified by
 Transformation objective                       stakeholder panelists
 Improving and modernizing IT                   •   Increase the focus on the user experience in state
 systems                                            UI IT systemsa
                                                •   Ensure that staff have project and product
                                                    management expertiseb
                                                •   Use incremental or modular development and
                                                    implementation practicesc
                                                •   Establish well-defined modernization outcome
                                                    goals
Source: GAO analysis of stakeholder statements. | GAO-22-106159

Note: We identified transformation objectives based on our analysis of the stakeholders’ proposed
transformation options. These potential transformation options are not listed in any specific rank or
order and their inclusion in this report should not be interpreted as GAO endorsing any of them. We
did not assess how effective the potential transformation options may be or the extent to which
program design modifications, legal changes, and federal financial support would be needed to
implement any given transformation option or combination of transformation options. Options
presented do not represent a consensus among panelists but instead represent options presented by
at least one panelist and then, in most cases, discussion by the group as a whole.
a
 User experience testing can occur as part of usability testing. Usability testing refers to evaluating a
product or service by testing it with representative users. Typically, during a test, participants will try
to complete typical tasks while observers watch, listen, and take notes. The goal is to identify any
usability problems, collect qualitative and quantitative data, and determine the participant’s
satisfaction with the product.
b
 Product management is the practice of identifying customer requirements, prioritizing those
requirements, and interfacing with product owners to confirm alignment between the software
components and enterprise goals.
c
  Incremental or modular development is where an investment may be broken down into discrete
projects, increments, or useful segments, each of which are undertaken to develop and implement
the products and capabilities that the larger investment must deliver. Dividing investments into
smaller parts helps to reduce investment risk, deliver capabilities more rapidly, and permit easier
adoption of newer and emerging technologies.


Enhancing Program Integrity. Stakeholder panelists identified
strategies to help strengthen internal controls and improve the use of
resources to address fraud (see table 3).




Page 20                                                                                    GAO-22-106159
                        Table 3: Potential Transformation Options Stakeholders Identified Related to
                        Enhancing Unemployment Insurance (UI) System Integrity

                                                              Potential transformation options identified by
                         Transformation objective             stakeholder panelists
                         Strengthening existing internal      •   Improve communication and guidance
                         controls                             •   Maintain employer verification requirements
                         Identifying and improving the use of •   Improve identity verification
                         resources to address fraud           •   Obtain additional data sources for analytics
                                                              •   Obtain additional information on fraud
                                                                  schemes
                                                              •   Encourage states’ use of UI Integrity Center’s
                                                                  Integrity Data Hub
                                                              •   Provide additional training
                                                              •   Improve workforce planning
                                                              •   Provide additional resources to investigate and
                                                                  prosecute fraud
                        Source: GAO analysis of stakeholder statements. | GAO-22-106159

                        Note: We identified transformation objectives based on our analysis of the stakeholders’ proposed
                        transformation options. These potential transformation options are not listed in any specific rank or
                        order and their inclusion in this report should not be interpreted as GAO endorsing any of them. We
                        did not assess how effective the potential transformation options may be or the extent to which
                        program design modifications, legal changes, and federal financial support would be needed to
                        implement any given transformation option or combination of transformation options. Options
                        presented do not represent a consensus among panelists but instead represent options presented by
                        at least one panelist and then, in most cases, discussion by the group as a whole.


                        Our June 2022 report on UI pandemic programs reviewed studies on the
Studies Show UI         economic effects of expanding UI benefits. 63 Although UI administration
Expansion in Adverse    has had a challenged history, the 30 empirical studies included in our
                        literature review showed that an expansion of UI programs during
Times Created           adverse times, such as the recession of 2007-2009 and the COVID-19
Economic Stability,     pandemic, created overall economic stability, prevented detrimental
                        outcomes from worsening, and had a limited effect on workers’ incentives
with Limited Negative   to return to work. 64
Effects on Workers’
                        Stabilized economy overall. UI expansion during economic crises
Return to               helped create overall economic stability by helping to maintain consumer
Employment              spending and may even have increased aggregate spending during the

                        63GAO-22-104251.

                        64Among the 30 empirical studies included in our literature review, six measured the
                        benefits of UI expansion, and 13 empirically analyzed the relationship between UI
                        expansion and workers’ incentives to return to work.




                        Page 21                                                                              GAO-22-106159
pandemic. 65 The studies in our review explained that by maintaining
aggregate demand in the economy, expanded benefits acted as an
automatic stabilizer by limiting reductions in expected revenue of firms
and further reductions in jobs offered. In addition, according to the
authors, the extra income from expanded UI benefits was particularly
important for families who did not have alternative income sources or
personal savings during periods of high unemployment or sufficient
access to other income transfer programs. 66

Prevented worsening of detrimental outcomes. A few of these
selected studies demonstrated how expanded UI prevented worsening of
detrimental outcomes in families’ consumption and financial insecurity.
For example, studies conducted during the pandemic noted that specific
occupations, such as service-oriented or low-paying occupations in the
restaurant industry, experienced more layoffs and reductions in hours
than occupations in other industries. The studies added that because
these low-wage occupations disproportionately employ people of color or
women, UI expansion likely also prevented existing inequities among this
group from getting worse. Studies also showed that in the absence of
expanded UI, poverty levels would have been higher during the 2007-
2009 recession and the pandemic.

Limited negative effects on workers’ incentives to return to work.
The studies we reviewed either found that expanded UI had no
disincentive effects or, if they found some effect, it was limited to a small
group of workers. Specifically, eight studies we reviewed found that
expanded UI benefits either during the 2007-2009 recession or the
pandemic had no effect on workers’ incentives to return to work. Four
studies found some disincentive effects but these were limited to a certain
group of workers. For example, one of the studies found that the $600
FPUC benefit had moderate disincentive effects on job-finding rates, but




65Aggregate spending refers to total spending on all goods and services in the economy.
Aggregate demand shows the quantity demanded for all goods and services at the
existing price levels.
66See Jesse Rothstein and Robert G. Valletta, “Scraping By: Income and Program
Participation after the Loss of Extended Unemployment Benefits,” Journal of Policy
Analysis and Management 36, no. 4 (2017).




Page 22                                                                   GAO-22-106159
only for a small share of job seekers, such as janitors or workers in food
service occupations. 67

Other factors affecting employment. Some studies included in our
review explored factors other than disincentive effects that could be
influencing the relationship between expansion of UI and high
unemployment observed during the 2007-2009 recession and the
pandemic. These studies found that factors such as longer labor force
attachment; reduced demand for labor; fear of risk of illness; as well as
loss of childcare could have been responsible for high levels of
unemployment observed during these adverse times. 68

The studies included in our review also found that UI expansion may
enable people to wait longer or search more and potentially find jobs
better matched to their skill level. For example, one study found that
increasing the generosity of UI improved the quality of employee-
employer matches because it allowed workers to search longer and
eventually find jobs better suited to their skills and level of education. 69
The authors state that this could potentially increase the general welfare
by improving the functioning of the labor markets.



67See N. Petrosky-Nadeau and R. G. Valletta, UI Generosity and Job Acceptance: Effects
of the 2020 CARES Act, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2021-13
(San Francisco, CA: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2021).
68Longer labor force attachment can be a factor in high unemployment levels primarily due
to more workers staying attached to the labor force longer because of UI expansion rather
than refusing employment or reducing their job search efforts. The Bureau of Labor
Statistics defines the ‘‘labor force” to include all people age 16 and older who are
classified as either employed or unemployed. Thus the labor force level is the number of
people who are either working or actively looking for work. Farber, Rothstein, and Valletta,
“The Effect of Extended Unemployment Insurance Benefits”; Farber and Valletta, “Do
Extended Unemployment Benefits Lengthen Unemployment Spells?”; Jesse Rothstein,
“Unemployment Insurance and Job Search in the Great Recession,” Brookings Papers on
Economic Activity (Fall 2011) and Robert G. Valletta, “Recent Extensions of U.S.
Unemployment Benefits: Search Responses in Alternative Labor Market States,” IZA
Journal of Labor Policy 3, no. 18 (2014). Three of the seven studies did not explore the
labor market exits. Figura and Ratner, How Large were the Effects; Gabriel Chodorow-
Reich, John Coglianese, and Loukas Karabarbounis, “Macro Effects of Unemployment
Benefit Extensions: A Measurement Error Approach,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics
(2019) and Makoto Nakajima, “A Quantitative Analysis of Unemployment Benefit
Extensions,” Journal of Monetary Economics 59 (2012).
69A.Farooq, D. Kugler, and U. Muratori, Do Unemployment Insurance Benefits Improve
Match Quality? Evidence from Recent U.S. Recession, NBER Working Paper Series
Working Paper 27574 (Cambridge, MA: Federal Reserve Bank, July 2020).




Page 23                                                                     GAO-22-106159
In conclusion, it is critical to address the challenges and risks facing the
UI system, given the important role it plays in supporting unemployed
workers and stabilizing the economy during economic downturns.
Research shows that expanding UI benefits during adverse times has
created overall economic stability and provided needed income support,
with limited negative effects on workers’ incentives to return to work.
However, the UI system has struggled to meet the needs of unemployed
workers efficiently and effectively, and these historical service delivery
challenges have worsened during downturns such as the pandemic.
Similarly, DOL regularly estimated high levels of improper payments for
the regular UI program prior to the pandemic, and the risk of improper
payments—including those due to fraud—greatly increased across all UI
programs during the pandemic.

Our work has identified actions needed to transform the UI system so that
it is better positioned to fulfill its purpose. As noted above, we
recommended that DOL develop and execute a transformation plan that
outlines coordinated and sustained actions to address issues related to
providing effective service and mitigating financial risk, including ways to
demonstrate improvements. DOL agreed with the recommendation and
described efforts underway to enhance equity in program access and
benefit distribution; reach worker populations reflective of the modern
economy; rebuild program performance, efficiency in claims processing,
and payment timeliness; reduce improper payment rates; and improve
responsiveness to economic downturns. Further, DOL recognized that
modernizing the UI system to address these challenges will also require
congressional action.

Additionally, we have identified actions that are needed in the areas of
leadership commitment, capacity, action planning, monitoring, and
demonstrating progress. Implementing the recommendation discussed
above and our other recommendations, as well as taking action in these
areas, will help ensure DOL’s progress in improving the performance of
the UI system. Such actions will also be crucial in responding to future
economic disruptions. We will continue to monitor DOL’s efforts.

Chairman DeSaulnier, Republican Leader Allen, and Members of the
Subcommittee, this concludes my prepared statement. I would be
pleased to respond to any questions that you may have at this time.




Page 24                                                         GAO-22-106159
                  If you or your staff have any questions about this testimony, please
GAO Contact and   contact Thomas Costa, Director, Education, Workforce, and Income
Staff             Security at (202) 512-4769 or costat@gao.gov. Contact points for our
                  Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on
Acknowledgments   the last page of this statement. GAO staff who made key contributions to
                  this testimony are Seto Bagdoyan (Director), M. Hannah Padilla
                  (Director), Danielle Giese (Assistant Director), Cole Haase (Analyst in
                  Charge), and Caitlin Croake. In addition, key support was provided by
                  Lawrance Evans, Gabrielle Fagan, Alex Galuten, Carol Harris, Lee Hinga,
                  Lauren Kirkpatrick, Anne Thomas, Jon Ticehurst, and Adam Wendel.
                  Contributors to the reports on which this statement is based can be found
                  in those reports.




                  Page 25                                                      GAO-22-106159
Appendix I: Open Unemployment Insurance-
                                       Appendix I: Open Unemployment Insurance-
                                       Related Recommendations to the Department


Related Recommendations to the
                                       of Labor




Department of Labor
                                       As shown in table 4, GAO has 21 open recommendations to the
                                       Department of Labor (DOL) to improve the Unemployment Insurance
                                       system. Of these 21 recommendations, GAO currently considers five of
                                       these recommendations to be priority recommendations. 1

Table 4: Unemployment Insurance (UI) System Recommendations to the Department of Labor (DOL) That Are Open as of
September 14, 2022

         Source report and
No.      recommendation number         Priority     Recommendation
1.       GAO-22-105162, #1                -         The Secretary of Labor should develop and execute a transformation plan
                                                    that meets GAO’s high risk criteria for transformation; the plan should
                                                    outline coordinated and sustained actions to address known issues related
                                                    to providing effective service and mitigating financial risk, including ways to
                                                    demonstrate improvements. Planned actions may include addressing audit
                                                    recommendations, and determining whether legislative changes are
                                                    needed, as appropriate. Planned actions may also include achieving
                                                    quantifiable results in reducing improper payment rates, including those
                                                    related to fraud; improving efficiency in claims processing and restoring
                                                    pre-pandemic payment timeliness levels; better reaching current worker
                                                    populations; and enhancing equity in benefit distribution.
2.       GAO-22-104438, #1                -         The Secretary of Labor should study and advise the Congress and other
                                                    policymakers on the costs, benefits, and risks of various options to
                                                    systematically support self-employed and contingent workers during
                                                    periods of involuntary unemployment outside of declared disasters,
                                                    including considering options’ feasibility and approach to fraud prevention.
3.       GAO-22-104438, #2                √         The Secretary of Labor should ensure the Office of Unemployment
                                                    Insurance examines and publicly reports on the extent of and potential
                                                    causes of racial and ethnic inequities in the receipt of Pandemic
                                                    Unemployment Assistance benefits, as part of the agency’s efforts to
                                                    modernize UI and improve equity in the system. The report should also
                                                    address whether there is a need to examine racial, ethnic, or other
                                                    inequities in regular UI benefit receipt, based on the PUA findings.
4.       GAO-22-104251, #1                -         The Secretary of Labor should ensure that the Office of Unemployment
                                                    Insurance review the customer service challenges that states faced during
                                                    the pandemic, identify comprehensive information on customer service
                                                    best practices, and provide states with this information to assist them in
                                                    improving service delivery.
5.       GAO-22-104251, #2                -         The Secretary of Labor should ensure the Office of Unemployment
                                                    Insurance assesses lessons learned from the pandemic to inform its future
                                                    disaster response efforts and support the Congress on ways to address
                                                    future emergencies.




                                       1Priority recommendations are the GAO recommendations that warrant priority attention
                                       from heads of key departments or agencies because their implementation could save
                                       large amounts of money; improve congressional and executive branch decision making on
                                       major issues; eliminate mismanagement, fraud, and abuse; or ensure that programs
                                       comply with laws and funds are legally spent, among other benefits.




                                       Page 26                                                                      GAO-22-106159
                              Appendix I: Open Unemployment Insurance-
                              Related Recommendations to the Department
                              of Labor




      Source report and
No.   recommendation number   Priority     Recommendation
6.    GAO-22-105051,             -         The Secretary of Labor should designate a dedicated entity and document
      #4                                   its responsibilities for managing the process of assessing fraud risks to the
                                           unemployment insurance program, consistent with leading practices as
                                           provided in our Fraud Risk Framework. This entity should have, among
                                           other things, clearly defined and documented responsibilities and authority
                                           for managing fraud risk assessments and for facilitating communication
                                           among stakeholders regarding fraud-related issues.
7.    GAO-22-105051,             -         The Secretary of Labor should identify inherent fraud risks facing the
      #5                                   unemployment insurance program.
8.    GAO-22-105051,             -         The Secretary of Labor should assess the likelihood and impact of inherent
      #6                                   fraud risks facing the unemployment insurance program.
9.    GAO-22-105051,             -         The Secretary of Labor should determine fraud risk tolerance for the
      #7                                   unemployment insurance program.
10.   GAO-22-105051,             √         The Secretary of Labor should examine the suitability of existing fraud
      #8                                   controls in the unemployment insurance program and prioritize residual
                                           fraud risks.
11.   GAO-22-105051,             -         The Secretary of Labor should document the fraud risk profile for the
      #9                                   unemployment insurance program.
12.   GAO-21-387, #15            -         The Secretary of Labor should ensure the Office of Unemployment
                                           Insurance collects data from states on the amount of overpayments waived
                                           in the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program, similar to the regular
                                           unemployment insurance program.
13.   GAO-21-265, #12            -         The Secretary of Labor should ensure the Office of Unemployment
                                           Insurance collects data from states on the amount of overpayments
                                           recovered in the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program, similar to
                                           the regular unemployment insurance program.
14.   GAO-21-191, #8             √         The Secretary of Labor should ensure the Office of Unemployment
                                           Insurance pursues options to report the actual number of distinct
                                           individuals claiming benefits, such as by collecting these already available
                                           data from states, starting from January 2020 onward.
15.   GAO-18-633, #1             -         The Secretary of Labor should systematically collect sufficient information
                                           on state profiling systems, possibly through DOL’s new UI state self-
                                           assessment process, to identify states at risk of poor profiling system
                                           performance. For instance, DOL could collect information on challenges
                                           states have experienced using and maintaining their profiling systems,
                                           planned changes to the systems, or state processes for assessing the
                                           systems’ performance.
16.   GAO-18-633, #2             -         The Secretary of Labor should develop a process to use information on
                                           state risks of poor profiling system performance to provide technical
                                           assistance to states that need to improve their systems. DOL may also
                                           wish to tailor its technical assistance based on state service delivery goals
                                           and technical capacity.
17.   GAO-18-633, #3             -         The Secretary of Labor should update agency guidance to ensure that it
                                           clearly informs states about the range of allowable profiling approaches.




                              Page 27                                                                     GAO-22-106159
                                        Appendix I: Open Unemployment Insurance-
                                        Related Recommendations to the Department
                                        of Labor




              Source report and
No.           recommendation number     Priority     Recommendation
18.           GAO-18-486, #1               √         The Assistant Secretary of DOL’s Employment and Training Administration
                                                     should provide states with information about its determination that the use
                                                     of state formal warning policies is no longer permissible under federal law.
19.           GAO-18-486, #2               -         The Assistant Secretary of DOL’s Employment and Training Administration
                                                     should monitor states’ efforts to discontinue the use of formal warning
                                                     policies.
20.           GAO-18-486, #3               √         The Assistant Secretary of DOL’s Employment and Training Administration
                                                     should clarify information on work search verification requirements in its
                                                     revised Benefit Accuracy Measurement procedures. The revised
                                                     procedures should include an explanation of what DOL considers to be
                                                     sufficient verification of claimants’ work search activities.
21.           GAO-18-486, #4               -         The Assistant Secretary of DOL’s Employment and Training Administration
                                                     should monitor states’ compliance with the clarified work search verification
                                                     requirements.
Source: GAO analysis. | GAO-22-106159




(106159)
                                        Page 28                                                                    GAO-22-106159
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