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Fox, Burns, The Supplemental Poverty Measure: 2020 (P60-275) (Current Population Reports P60-275, 2021-09)

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Current Population Reports P60-275, "The Supplemental Poverty Measure: 2020," by Liana E. Fox and Kalee Burns, dated September 2021. The report presents estimates of poverty using the official measure and the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM), based on "Current Population Survey" supplements. Its highlights state that the overall SPM rate in 2020 was 9.1 percent, the lowest rate since estimates were initially published for 2009, and that this was the first time in the history of the SPM that poverty was lower using the SPM than the official poverty rate of 11.4 percent. They also state that Social Security moved 26.5 million individuals out of poverty and that stimulus payments moved 11.7 million.

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“Fox, Burns, The Supplemental Poverty Measure: 2020 (P60-275) (Current Population Reports P60-275, 2021-09).” Original at www.census.gov. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/fox-burns-the-supplemental-poverty-measure-2020-p60-275-current-popula-a42ca0021e/, SHA-256 43d7a9f4f67fd67d08114df4a503c92c672fdf0fa40a882f806a03e1e3333a0d.

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The Supplemental Poverty Measure: 2020

Current Population Reports
By Liana E. Fox and Kalee Burns
September 2021
P60-275




INTRODUCTION
                                            Figure 1.
Since the publication of the first          Supplemental Poverty Measure Rates for Total Population
official U.S. poverty estimates             and by Age Group: 2019 and 2020
in the 1960s, researchers and               (In percent)
                                                                                                          20191           2020
policymakers have continued to
discuss the best approach to mea-
                                                                                   12.6                           12.8
sure income and poverty in the                   11.8
                                                                                                   11.2
United States. Beginning in 2011,                                                         9.7                            9.5
                                                         9.1                                              8.8
the U.S. Census Bureau began
publishing the Supplemental
Poverty Measure (SPM), which
extends the official poverty
measure by taking account of
many of the government pro-
grams designed to assist low-                    All people                        Under 18         18 to 64      65 years
                                                                                    years            years        and older
income families and individuals
that are not included in the official
                                            1
                                             The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental Poverty Measure
                                            methodology. More information is available in the report appendix.
poverty measure. The SPM is pro-            Note: Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and
                                            definitions is available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps
duced with the support of the               /techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics             Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2020 and 2021 Annual Social
                                            and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).
(BLS), and this report is the
eleventh in the series. This report
presents estimates of the preva-
                                           2.6 percentage points lower                          to 64, and adults aged 65 and
lence of poverty in the United             than the 2019 SPM rate of 11.8                       older between 2019 and 2020
States using the official measure          (Figure 1).1, 2                                      (Figures 1 and 2).
and the SPM based on informa-
                                        • SPM rates were down for all                     • The SPM rate for 2020 was 2.3
tion collected in 2021 and earlier        major age categories: children                    percentage points lower than
Current Population Survey Annual          under age 18, adults aged 18                      the official poverty rate of 11.4
Social and Economic Supplements                                                             percent (Figure 3). This is the
                                           1
                                             Calculated differences here and
(CPS ASEC).                             throughout this report may differ due to            first time in the history of the
                                        rounding.                                           SPM that poverty was lower
HIGHLIGHTS                                 2
                                             SPM rate reflects methodological
                                        changes from published results in Fox               using the SPM than the official
• In 2020, the overall SPM rate         (2020). More information is contained in            poverty rate.
                                        the appendix of this report.
  was 9.1 percent. This was
• The 2020 SPM rate of 9.1 per-        This report presents estimates               SPM, compares the distribution
  cent was the lowest rate since       of the prevalence of poverty in              of income-to-poverty threshold
  estimates were initially pub-        the United States, overall and for           ratios between the two, and pres-
  lished for 2009 (Figure 4).          selected demographic groups,                 ents poverty rates by state. In the
• There were 11 states plus the        using the official poverty measure           third section, individual compo-
  District of Columbia for which       and the SPM. 3, 4 The first section          nents of the SPM are subtracted
  SPM rates were higher than           provides detailed information                from resources to assess the
  official poverty rates, 30 states    about changes in SPM rates from              marginal impacts of taxes, trans-
  with lower rates, and 9 states
                                       2019 to 2020. The second section             fers, and necessary expenses on
  for which the differences were
                                       presents differences between the             poverty rates.
  not statistically significant
                                       official poverty measure and the
  (Figure 7).
                                                                                    DATA
• Social Security continued to            3
                                             The estimates in this report (which
  be the most important anti-
                                       may be shown in text, figures, and tables)   This report provides estimates for
                                       are based on responses from a sample of
  poverty program, moving              the population and may differ from actual    calendar year 2020, which coin-
  26.5 million individuals out of      values because of sampling variability       cided with the COVID-19 pan-
                                       or other factors. As a result, apparent
  poverty.                             differences between the estimates for two    demic, the end of the economic
                                       or more groups may not be statistically      expansion in February 2020, and
• Stimulus payments, enacted as        significant. All comparative statements
  part of economic relief legisla-     have undergone statistical testing and are   the 2-month recession that began
  tion related to the COVID-19         significant at the 90 percent confidence     in March 2020. The data collec-
                                       level, unless otherwise noted. Standard
  pandemic, moved 11.7 million         errors were calculated using replicate       tion period for the 2021 CPS ASEC
  individuals out of poverty.          weights. Further information about the
                                                                                    occurred about 1 year into the
                                       source and accuracy of the estimates is
  Unemployment insurance               available at <https://www2.census.gov        COVID-19 pandemic and the asso-
  benefits, also expanded dur-         /programs-surveys/cps/techdocs
                                                                                    ciated public health response. For
                                       /cpsmar21.pdf>.
  ing 2020, prevented 5.5 million          4
                                             The Census Bureau reviewed this data   details on the effect of COVID-
  individuals from falling into        product for unauthorized disclosure of
                                       confidential information and approved the
                                                                                    19 on CPS ASEC data collection
  poverty (Figure 8).
                                       disclosure avoidance practices applied to    in 2021, refer to the text box
                                       this release: CBDRB-FY21-POP001-0206.




    THE IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) PANDEMIC ON THE CURRENT POPULATION
    SURVEY ANNUAL SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SUPPLEMENT (CPS ASEC)
    The U.S. Census Bureau administers the CPS ASEC           quite returning to the prepandemic trend. While the
    each year between February and April by tele-             response rate improved, it is important to exam-
    phone and in-person interviews, with the majority         ine how respondents differ from nonrespondents,
    of data collected in March. In 2020, data collection      as this difference could affect income and pov-
    faced extraordinary circumstances due to the onset        erty estimates. Using administrative data, Census
    of the COVID-19 pandemic as the Census Bureau             Bureau researchers have documented that the
    suspended in-person interviews and closed both            nonrespondents in both 2020 and 2021 are less
    telephone contact centers. The response rate for          similar to respondents than in earlier years. Of
    the CPS basic household survey was 73 percent in          particular interest for the estimates in this report,
    March 2020, about 10 percentage points lower than         are the differences in median income and educa-
    preceding months and the same period in 2019,             tional attainment, indicating that respondents in
    which were regularly above 80 percent.                    2020 and 2021 had relatively higher income and
                                                              were more educated than nonrespondents. For
    During collection of the 2021 CPS ASEC, for the
                                                              more details on how these sample differences
    safety of both interviewers and respondents, in-
                                                              and the associated nonresponse bias impact
    person interviews were only conducted when tele-
                                                              income and official poverty estimates, refer to
    phone interviews could not be done. In March 2021,
                                                              <www.census.gov/newsroom/blogs/research
    the response rate for the CPS basic household
                                                              -matters/2021/09/pandemic-affect-survey
    survey improved to about 76 percent, though not
                                                              -response.html>.




2                                                                                                         U.S. Census Bureau
“The Impact of the Coronavirus                 the SPM, poverty is estimated to            differences between the official
(COVID-19) Pandemic on the                     have been lower using the SPM               and supplemental measures. 5
Current Population Survey Annual               than using the official poverty
                                                                                           The SPM does not replace the
Social and Economic Supplement                 definition.
                                                                                           official poverty measure and is not
(CPS ASEC).”
                                               BACKGROUND                                  designed to be used for program
In response to the COVID-19                                                                eligibility or funding distribution.
pandemic, Congress passed                      After many years of research,               The SPM is designed to provide
legislation to aid individuals and             analysis, and debate, the                   information on aggregate levels of
families. This legislation included            Interagency Technical Working               economic need at a national level
the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and               Group (ITWG) on Developing a                or within large subpopulations or
Economic Security Act (CARES                   Supplemental Poverty Measure                areas. As such, the SPM provides
Act), the Coronavirus Response                 reviewed methods and data                   an additional macroeconomic
and Relief Supplemental                        needed for poverty measurement.             statistic for further understanding
Appropriations Act (CRRSA Act),                The group listed suggestions for a          economic well-being, conditions,
and the Families First Coronavirus             new measure that would supple-              and trends.
Response Act (FFCRA). The                      ment the current official measure
CARES and CRRSA Acts provided                  of poverty (ITWG, 2010). The                CHANGES IN SPM RATES
households with additional income              appendix to this report includes            BETWEEN 2019 AND 2020
in the form of stimulus payments               detailed descriptions of how these
                                                                                           Figure 2 shows SPM rates for 2019
and tax credits. FFCRA autho-                  suggestions have been applied to
                                                                                           and 2020.6 In 2020, the percent-
rized expansions in Supplemental               the SPM. In 2020, several meth-
                                                                                           age of people who were poor as
Nutritional Assistance Program                 odological improvements were
                                                                                           estimated using the SPM was 9.1
(SNAP) benefits. The SPM is a                  applied to both the resources and
                                                                                           percent, compared to 11.8 percent
post-tax and transfer poverty                  threshold estimation to the SPM.
                                                                                           in 2019, a decline of 2.6 percent-
measure, so it captures expansion              Details of those improvements are
                                                                                           age points. The poverty rate
of unemployment insurance (like                available in the report appendix.
                                                                                           declined for all groups shown in
the official poverty measure), but             All 2019 and 2020 estimates in
                                                                                           Figure 2 between 2019 and 2020.
also includes stimulus payments                this report reflect implementation
and expansions to SNAP that are                of the revised SPM methodology.                5
                                                                                                Thresholds for the SPM are produced
not included in the official poverty           The “Poverty Measure Concepts:              by the BLS Division of Price and Index
                                                                                           Number Research and presented for 2019
definition. As a result, in 2020,              Official and Supplemental” table
                                                                                           and 2020 in Appendix Table 3.
for the first time in the history of           summarizes the most important                  6
                                                                                                Appendix Table 1 contains rates for a
                                                                                           more extensive list of demographic groups.


                        POVERTY MEASURE CONCEPTS: OFFICIAL AND SUPPLEMENTAL
    Concept             Official Poverty Measure                             Supplemental Poverty Measure

 Measurement         Families (individuals related by    Resource units (official family definition plus any coresident unrelated
  Units               birth, marriage, or adoption) or    children, foster children, and unmarried partners and their relatives)
                      unrelated individuals.              or unrelated individuals (who are not otherwise included in the family
                                                          definition).

 Poverty             Three times the cost of a           Based on expenditures of food, clothing, shelter, and utilities (FCSU).
  Threshold           minimum food diet in 1963.

 Threshold    Vary by family size, composition, Vary by family size, composition, and tenure, with geographic
  Adjustments  and age of householder.           adjustments for differences in housing costs.

 Updating            Consumer Price Index for All        Five-year moving average of expenditures on FCSU, lagged 1 year.
  Thresholds          Urban Consumers: all items.

 Resource            Gross before-tax cash income.       Sum of cash income, plus noncash benefits that resource units
  Measure                                                 can use to meet their FCSU needs, minus taxes (or plus tax credits),
                                                          work expenses, medical expenses, and child support paid to another
                                                          household.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                  3
    Figure 2.
    Change in Percentage of People in Poverty Using the Supplemental Poverty Measure:
    2019 to 2020
                                                                                               Decrease                 Increase
                                                                                          (       Statistically different from zero)
                                          20191      2020
    All people                             11.8         9.1                                         -2.6
    Sex
    Male                                   11.1         8.6                                       -2.4
    Female                                 12.4         9.6                                            -2.8
    Age
    Under 18 years                         12.6         9.7                                             -2.9
    18 to 64 years                         11.2         8.8                                       -2.4
    65 years and older                     12.8         9.5                                              -3.3
    Type of Unit
    Married couple                          6.8         5.0                      -1.8

    Cohabiting partners                    12.1         8.5                                            -3.5
    Female reference person                23.8       18.2                                                                                    -5.6
    Male reference person                  14.2       11.7                                                    -2.5
    Unrelated individuals                  21.6       17.5                                                                             -4.1
    Race and Hispanic Origin
    White                                  10.5         8.1                                     -2.4
     White, not Hispanic                    8.2         6.5                             -1.7
    Black                                  18.9       14.6                                                                  -4.3
    Asian                                  11.3         8.8                                       -2.5
    Hispanic (any race)                    18.8       14.0                                                                  -4.9
    Educational Attainment2
    No high school diploma                 27.7       20.3                                                                                                -7.4
    High school, no college                13.9       11.1                                                    -2.9
    Some college                            9.5         7.3                                -2.1
    Bachelor’s degree or higher             5.6         4.3                    -1.2
    Work Experience3
    All workers                             6.8         4.6                      -2.2
    Worked full-time, year-round            3.9         1.9             -2.0
    Less than full-time, year-round 14.6                9.8                                                     -4.7
    Did not work at least 1 week           27.0       22.9                                                                                              -4.1
                                                              0            5               10                   15            20               25                30
                                                                                                          Percent
    1
      The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) methodology. More information is available in
    the report appendix.
    2
      Population limited to individuals aged 25 and older. In 2020, the overall SPM rate for this group was 8.4 percent.
    3
      Population limited to individuals aged 18 to 64. In 2020, the overall SPM rate for this group was 8.8 percent.
    Notes: Statistically significant indicates the change is statistically different from zero at the 90 percent confidence level. Details may not sum
    to totals due to rounding. More details are available in Appendix Table 1. More information on confidentiality protection, sampling error,
    nonsampling error, and definitions is avaiable at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2020 and 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




4                                                                                                                                                    U.S. Census Bureau
POVERTY ESTIMATES FOR                            Census Bureau estimates for the               Comparisons over time should be
2020: OFFICIAL AND SPM                           SPM are available back to 2009.9              made with caution.11
                                                 Since the SPM’s initial produc-
Using the SPM definition of pov-
                                                 tion, the SPM rate has been higher                11
                                                                                                      This report provides SPM and official
erty, Figure 3 shows that 9.1 per-                                                             poverty estimates from 2009 to 2020.
                                                 than the official poverty rate. This
cent of people were poor, lower                                                                However, it is important to be aware that
                                                 marks the first year that the offi-           the CPS ASEC is updated periodically to
than the 11.4 percent using the                                                                improve data quality. These improvements
                                                 cial poverty rate is higher than the          include changes to survey design such as
official definition of poverty with
                                                 SPM rate. Figures 4 and 5 present             sampling and survey instrument changes,
the comparable universe.7, 8 While                                                             as well as changes to data processing
                                                 estimates for the official measure            such as weighting and data imputation
the SPM rates were lower than
                                                 and the SPM from 2009 to 2020.                methods. When feasible, the Census
official poverty rates for most                                                                Bureau provides data users with resources
                                                 The charts show two values for                that allow them to evaluate the impact of
groups, the SPM shows higher
                                                 2013, one using the traditional               these survey changes across years. Most
than official poverty rates for indi-                                                          recently, the 2014 CPS ASEC introduced
                                                 income questions comparable to                new income questions, new relationship
viduals 65 years and older, individ-
                                                 estimates from 2009 to 2012, and              categories were phased in over the 2015
uals living in a male reference unit,                                                          and 2016 CPS ASEC, and the 2019 CPS
                                                 the second using the redesigned               ASEC reflects the implementation of
those with a bachelor’s degree or                                                              an updated data processing system.
                                                 income questions used for this
higher, and people who worked                                                                  Given these changes over time, historical
                                                 report and comparable to the                  comparisons should be made with caution.
full-time, year-round (Figure 3).                                                              In this report, 2020 SPM estimates are
                                                 2014 to 2017 estimates presented
Official and SPM poverty rates for                                                             compared to published estimates for
                                                 here. Additionally, there are two             earlier years when the questionnaire and
Asian individuals were not statisti-                                                           processing system changes did not result
                                                 sets of SPM numbers for 2017,
cally different.                                                                               in statistically significant differences.
                                                 with one set using the legacy data            When survey changes did have statistically
                                                                                               significant impacts on income or poverty
    7
      Since the CPS ASEC does not ask            processing system and the other               estimates, comparisons are made by
income questions for individuals under the       using the updated processing sys-             adjusting historical published estimates
age of 15, all unrelated individuals under the                                                 to approximate the magnitude of these
age of 15 are excluded from the universe         tem. Finally, there are two sets for          impacts. More details on the adjustment
for official poverty calculations in Shrider,    SPM rates for 2019 to reflect the             used for these comparisons is available at
Kollar, Chen, and Semega (2021). However,                                                      <www.census.gov/library/stories/2019/09
these individuals are included in the official   revised SPM methodology.10                    /us-median-household-income-not
poverty universe for this report and are                                                       -significantly-different-from-2017.html>.
assigned the official poverty status of the
householder. The appendix contains more
                                                     9
                                                        SPM estimates from 1967 to 2012 are
details.                                         available in Fox et al. (2015).
    8
      Appendix Table 2 contains rates for a
                                                     10
                                                        Research at BLS and the
more extensive list of demographic groups.       Census Bureau is ongoing to extend
                                                 the methodological improvements
                                                 implemented this year to historical
                                                 estimates. Revised estimates and public-
                                                 use datasets will be available in the
                                                 future to allow for historically consistent
                                                 comparisons.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                        5
    Figure 3.
    Percentage of People in Poverty by Different Poverty Measures: 2020

                                      Official1   SPM Difference                                 Official1           SPM

    All people                           11.4       9.1       *-2.3
    Sex
    Male                                 10.2      8.6         *-1.6
    Female                               12.6       9.6       *-3.0
    Age
    Under 18 years                       16.0       9.7       *-6.3
    18 to 64 years                       10.4      8.8         *-1.6
    65 years and older                     9.0     9.5         *0.5
    Type of Unit
    Married couple                        5.3      5.0        *-0.2
    Cohabiting partners                  23.1      8.5       *-14.5
    Female reference person              23.9     18.2        *-5.7
    Male reference person                10.5     11.7         *1.2
    Unrelated individuals                18.9     17.5         *-1.4
    Race and Hispanic Origin
    White                                10.1      8.1         *-2.0
     White, not Hispanic                  8.2      6.5         *-1.7
    Black                                19.5     14.6        *-4.9
    Asian                                  8.1     8.8          0.7
    Hispanic (any race)                  17.0     14.0        *-3.0
    Educational Attainment2
    No high school diploma               24.7     20.3        *-4.4
    High school, no college              13.2     11.1         *-2.1
    Some college                          8.4       7.3        *-1.1
    Bachelor's degree or higher           4.0      4.3         *0.3
    Work Experience3
    All workers                            5.0     4.6        *-0.4
    Worked full-time, year-round          1.6      1.9         *0.3
    Less than full-time, year-round 11.3           9.8         *-1.5
    Did not work at least 1 week         28.8     22.9        *-5.9
                                                                       0         5         10        15         20        25        30        35
                                                                                                       Percent

    * An asterisk preceding an estimate indicates change is statistically different from zero at the 90 percent confidence level.
    1
      Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
    2
       Population limited to individuals aged 25 and older. In 2020, the overall Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) rate for this
    group was 8.4 percent.
    3
       Population limited to individuals aged 18 to 64. In 2020, the overall SPM rate for this group was 8.8 percent.
    Notes: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. More details are available in Appendix Table 2. More information on
    confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is avaiable at <https://www2.census.gov
    /programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
      Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC).




6                                                                                                                                   U.S. Census Bureau
    Figure 4.
    Poverty Rates Using the Official and Supplemental Poverty Measures: 2009 to 2020

                                                                                                                                  Recession
                Percent
           18
           16    15.1                                                              SPM
           14    14.5
                                                                          Official1
           12
                                                                                                                                         11.4
           10
                                                                                                                                         9.1
            8
            6
            4
            2
            0
                     2009     '10       '11       '12        '13       '14        '15       '16        '17       '18        '19      2020

    1
      Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
    Notes: The Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) estimates for 2019 and 2020 reflect the implementation of revised SPM methodology. More
    information is available in the report appendix. The data for 2017 and beyond reflect the implementation of an updated processing system. The
    data for 2013 and beyond reflect the implementation of the redesigned income questions. More information on confidentiality protection,
    sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2010 to 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




Figure 4 shows the official mea-                      Figure 5 shows the poverty rate                        the first time in the history of the
sure (with the comparable uni-                        using both measures for three                          SPM. The gap between official and
verse) and the SPM since 2009.                        major age groups. While the SPM                        SPM rates for individuals 65 and
The SPM ranged from 0.6 to 1.6                        rate for children declined between                     older declined from 3.9 percent-
percentage points higher than                         2019 and 2020, the official pov-                       age points in 2019 to 0.5 percent-
the official measure through 2019.                    erty rate increased over the same                      age points in 2020. Even after
In contrast, the 2020 SPM was                         period, widening the gap between                       accounting for breaks in series,
2.3 percentage points lower than                      the two measures from 1.8 per-                         SPM rates for each major age
the official measure. SPM rates in                    centage points to 6.3 percentage                       group in 2020 were at their lowest
2020 were at their lowest level                       points. SPM rates for individuals                      level since 2009.
since the first year for which the                    aged 18 to 64 were also lower than
Census Bureau published SPM                           official poverty rates in 2020, for
estimates, even after adjusting for
the breaks in series.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                  7
    Figure 5.
    Poverty Rates Using the Official and Supplemental Poverty Measures by Age Group:
    2009 to 2020
                                                                                                                         Recession
                                                                        Under 18 years
                             Percent
                        25
                               21.2                                     Official1 children
                        20

                                                                                                                                16.0
                               17.0
                        15
                                                                         SPM children

                        10
                                                                                                                                 9.7

                         5


                         0
                              2009      '10      '11     '12      '13      '14     '15       '16     '17      '18     '19    2020

                                                                        18 to 64 years
                             Percent
                       25


                       20

                                                                           SPM 18–64
                               14.4
                       15

                               13.0                                                                                             10.4
                                                                         Official1 18–64
                       10
                                                                                                                                 8.8

                         5


                         0
                             2009       '10      '11     '12      '13      '14     '15       '16     '17     '18      '19    2020


                             Percent
                                                                   65 years and older
                        25


                        20

                               14.9                                         SPM 65+
                        15

                                                                                                                                 9.5
                        10
                                 8.9                                      Official1 65+                                          9.0

                         5


                         0
                              2009      '10      '11     '12      '13      '14     '15       '16     '17      '18     '19    2020
    1
      Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
    Notes: The Supplemental Poverty Mesaure (SPM) estimates for 2019 and 2020 reflect the implementation of revised SPM methodology.
    More information is available in the report appendix. The data for 2017 and beyond reflect the implementation of an updated processing system.
    The data for 2013 and beyond reflect the implementation of the redesigned income questions. More information on confidentiality protection,
    sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2010 to 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




8                                                                                                                                         U.S. Census Bureau
DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME-                              their poverty threshold using the                  children. When these policies and
TO-POVERTY RATIOS:                                   SPM compared to the official mea-                  programs are taken into account
OFFICIAL AND SPM                                     sure. Including targeted noncash                   in the SPM, the share of children
Comparing the distribution of                        benefits and tax credits/stimulus                  with income below 50 percent
pretax cash income with that of                      payments, and subtracting neces-                   of their poverty thresholds is
SPM resources also allows an                         sary expenses, reduced the per-                    lower using the SPM definition of
examination of the effect of taxes                   centage of the population in the                   resources (2.9 percent) than with
and noncash transfers across                         lowest category for children under                 the official measure (7.6 percent).
the income/resource distribu-                        the age of 18 and adults aged 18 to
                                                                                                        At the other end of the distribu-
tion. Figure 6 shows the percent                     64. The share of individuals aged
                                                                                                        tion, relative to the official mea-
distribution of income-to-poverty                    65 and older with income below
                                                                                                        sure, the SPM shows a smaller
ratio categories for all people and                  half their poverty threshold was
                                                                                                        percentage of the population
by major age category. Dividing                      not statistically different between
                                                                                                        with income four or more times
income by the respective poverty                     SPM and the official measure.
                                                                                                        the poverty threshold relative
threshold controls income by unit                    Many of the noncash benefits                       to the official measure. The SPM
size and composition. Appendix                       included in the SPM, such as                       resource measure subtracts
Table 4 shows the distribution of                    SNAP, Program for Women,                           taxes—compared with the
income-to-poverty ratios for vari-                   Infants, and Children (WIC),                       official measure, that does not—
ous groups in 2019 and 2020.                         and school meals, as well as tax                   bringing down the percentage of
Overall, the comparison shows                        credits and stimulus payments are                  people with income in the highest
that a smaller share of the popu-                    targeted at families with children                 category.
lation had incomes below half of                     or increase in benefit value with




    Figure 6.
    Distribution of People by Income-to-Poverty Ratios: 2020
    (In percent)


                                 Less than 0.50   0.50 to 0.99   1.00 to 1.99            2.00 to 3.99               4.00 or more

    Total population
                     Official1      5.5              5.9                16.1                         28.3                               44.1

                         SPM       3.3               5.9                        26.4                       38.4                 26.0

    Under 18 years

                     Official1      7.6               8.4                 19.7                          28.7                        35.5

                         SPM       2.9               6.8                          32.1                     39.0              19.1

    18 to 64 years

                     Official1     5.2              5.3                13.8                         27.8                                   48.0

                         SPM       3.3               5.6                    24.3                            39.2                 27.8

    65 years and older

                     Official1     3.9              5.1                   19.7                          29.7                            41.6

                         SPM       3.8               5.7                        26.8                      35.1                   28.6


    1
      Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
    Notes: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. More information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error,
    and definitions is available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC).




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                9
Another notable difference                  the United States from 2018–2020       Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West
between the distributions using             was 11.2 percent with the offi-        Virginia, and Wisconsin. Lower
these two measures was the                  cial measure and 11.2 percent          SPM rates could occur due to
larger number of individuals with           using the SPM. The difference in       lower thresholds reflecting lower
income-to-threshold ratios in the           these rates was not statistically      housing costs, a different mix of
middle categories, 1.00 to 3.99,            significant.                           housing tenure, or more generous
using the SPM. Since the effect                                                    noncash benefits.
                                            While the 3-year average national
of taxes and transfers is often to
                                            SPM rate was not statistically dif-    The nine states that were not
move income from the extremes
                                            ferent from the official rate, there   statistically different under
of the distribution to the center of
                                            was variation by geographic area.      the two measures include
the distribution, that is, from the
                                            Figure 7 shows the United States       Alaska, Connecticut, Illinois,
very bottom with targeted trans-
                                            divided into three categories          Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Vermont,
fers or from the very top via taxes
                                            by state. States where the SPM         Washington, and Wyoming.
and other expenses, the increase
                                            rates were higher than official are    Details are provided in Appendix
in the size of these middle catego-
                                            shaded blue; states where SPM          Table 5.
ries is to be expected.
                                            was lower than official are shaded
Appendix Table 4 shows similar              orange; and states where the           THE SPM AND THE EFFECT
calculations by race and ethnic-            differences in the rates were not      OF CASH AND NONCASH
ity. For all groups, except Asians,         statistically significant are gray.    TRANSFERS, TAXES, AND
                                                                                   OTHER NONDISCRETIONARY
smaller percentages had income
                                            The 11 states for which the SPM        EXPENSES
below half of their poverty thresh-
                                            rates were higher than the offi-
olds when using the SPM com-                                                       This section moves away from
                                            cial poverty rates were California,
pared with the official measure.                                                   comparing the SPM with the
                                            Colorado, Delaware, Florida,
The share of Asians with income                                                    official measure and looks only
                                            Hawaii, Maryland, Massachusetts,
below half of their poverty thresh-                                                at the SPM. This analysis allows
                                            New Hampshire, New Jersey, New
olds in the SPM was not statisti-                                                  one to gauge the effects of taxes
                                            York, and Virginia. The SPM rate
cally different than the share                                                     and transfers and other necessary
                                            for the District of Columbia was
below half in the official measure.                                                expenses using the SPM as a mea-
                                            also higher. Higher SPM rates by
                                                                                   sure of economic well-being.
POVERTY RATES BY STATE:                     state may occur for many rea-
OFFICIAL AND SPM                            sons. Geographic adjustments for       Income used for estimating the
                                            housing costs, as well as differ-      official poverty measure includes
To create state-level estimates                                                    cash benefits from the govern-
                                            ent mixes of housing tenure, may
using the CPS ASEC, the Census                                                     ment (e.g., Social Security, unem-
                                            result in higher SPM thresholds.
Bureau recommends using 3-year                                                     ployment insurance benefits,
                                            Higher nondiscretionary expenses,
averages for additional statistical                                                public assistance benefits, and
                                            such as taxes or medical
reliability.12, 13 Appendix Table 5                                                workers’ compensation benefits),
                                            expenses, may also drive higher
shows 3-year averages of poverty                                                   but does not take into account
                                            SPM rates.
rates by poverty measure for the                                                   taxes or noncash benefits aimed
United States and each state. The           The 30 states for which SPM rates
                                                                                   at improving the economic situ-
3-year average poverty rate for             were lower than the official pov-
                                                                                   ation of the population. The SPM
                                            erty rates were Alabama, Arizona,
                                                                                   incorporates all of these elements,
    12
       The Census Bureau recommends using   Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana,
the American Community Survey (ACS) for
                                                                                   adding cash benefits, noncash
                                            Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana,
state-level poverty estimates. In 2020, a                                          transfers, and stimulus payments,
working paper detailing a methodology for   Maine, Michigan, Minnesota,
implementing the SPM in the ACS, as well
                                                                                   while subtracting necessary
                                            Mississippi, Missouri, Montana,
as research data extracts and tables for                                           expenses such as taxes, medical
2009–2018 were released. More information   Nebraska, New Mexico, North
is available in Fox, Glassman, and Pacas                                           expenses, and expenses related
                                            Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio,
(2020).                                                                            to work. An important contribu-
    13
       The data for 2019 and 2020 reflect   Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode
the implementation of a revised SPM                                                tion of the SPM is that it allows us
                                            Island, South Carolina, South
methodology. The estimates for 2018                                                to gauge the potential magnitude
reflect the previous methodology.




10                                                                                                       U.S. Census Bureau
                      AK
                                                Figure 7.
                                                Difference in Poverty Rates by State Using the Official and Supplemental
                                                Poverty Measures: 3-Year Average 2018 to 2020
                      0        500 Miles




                                     WA

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        ME
                                                             MT                  ND

                                OR                                                              MN                                                                                                              VT
                                                  ID                                                                                                                                                                                            NH
                                                                                 SD                            WI                                                     NY                                                        MA
                                                                                                                                 MI
                                                              WY                                                                                                                                                                CT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        RI
                                                                                                     IA                                                    PA
                                                                                 NE
                                           NV                                                                                              OH                                                       NJ
                                                                                                                                                                MD
                                                        UT                                                          IL          IN                               !!
                                                                                                                                                                      ! !
                                                                                                                                                                            !
                                                                                                                                                                                !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                DE
                                                                                                                                                 WV
                                                                                                                                                                                        !




                          CA
                                                                                                                                                                                    !           !




                                                                       CO
                                                                                                                                                                                            !           !
                                                                                                                                                                                                            !
                                                                                                                                                                                                    !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    !
                                                                                                                                                                                                        !                   !
                                                                                                                                                                                                            !                       !




                                                                                                                                                           VA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    !




                                                                                      KS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        !                                   !




                                                                                                          MO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        !




                                                                                                                                      KY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                !




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        DC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                !
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    !




                                                                                                                                                           NC
                                                                                                                               TN
                                                                                           OK
                                                   AZ                                                     AR
                                                                  NM                                                                                  SC

                                                                                                                    MS          AL          GA                                                                                                                          SPM higher than official1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Not statistically different
                                                                                 TX
                                                                                                          LA                                                                                                                                                            SPM lower than official1
                                                                                                                                                      FL



                                                                                                               0         100 Miles
              HI

      0   100 Miles



    1
      Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
    Notes: The data for 2019 and 2020 reflect the implementation of revised SPM methodology. More information is available in the report
    appendix. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available at <https://www2.census
    .gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2019 to 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




of the effect of tax credits and                                            included only in the SPM. This                                                  payments had the largest impacts,
transfers in alleviating poverty. We                                        allows us to examine the effects of                                             preventing 26.5 million and 11.7
can also examine the effects of                                             government transfers on poverty                                                 million individuals, respectively,
nondiscretionary expenses such                                              estimates. Since child support                                                  from falling into poverty. Medical
as work and medical expenses.                                               paid is subtracted from income,                                                 expenses were the largest con-
                                                                            we also examine the effect of child                                             tributor to increasing the number
Figure 8 shows the effect that
                                                                            support received on alleviating                                                 of individuals in poverty.
various additions and subtrac-
                                                                            poverty. Child support payments
tions had on the number of people                                                                                                                           Appendix Table 6 shows the effect
                                                                            received are counted as income
who would have been consid-                                                                                                                                 that various additions and sub-
                                                                            in both the official measure and
ered poor in 2020, holding all                                                                                                                              tractions had on the SPM rate in
                                                                            the SPM (but child support paid is
else the same and assuming no                                                                                                                               2019 and 2020, holding all else the
                                                                            only deducted in the SPM).
behavioral changes. Additions                                                                                                                               same and assuming no behavioral
and subtractions are shown for                                              Figure 8 allows us to compare the                                               changes. Appendix Table 7 shows
the total population and for three                                          effect of transfers, both cash and                                              the same set of additions and sub-
age groups. Additions shown in                                              noncash, and nondiscretionary                                                   tractions but shows the number of
the figure include cash benefits,                                           expenses on numbers of individu-                                                people affected by removing each
also included in the official mea-                                          als in poverty, all else equal. Social                                          element from the SPM, rather than
sure, as well as noncash benefits                                           Security transfers and stimulus                                                 the change in the SPM rate.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    11
Removing one item from the                         resources, 11.7 million fewer peo-                    In comparison to 2019, the 2020
calculation of SPM resources and                   ple were considered poor, all else                    antipoverty impacts of refundable
recalculating poverty rates shows,                 constant. On the other hand, when                     tax credits, school lunch, and WIC
for example, that Social Security                  the SPM subtracts amounts paid                        all decreased (Appendix Table
benefits decreased the SPM rate                    for child support, income and pay-                    7).15 The antipoverty impacts of
by 8.1 percentage points, from 17.3                roll taxes, work-related expenses,                    unemployment insurance and
percent to 9.1 percent (Appendix                   and medical expenses, the num-                        Temporary Assistance for
Table 6).14 This means that with                   ber and percentage in poverty                         Needy Families (TANF)/general
Social Security benefits, 26.5                     were higher. When subtracting                             15
                                                                                                                In 2020, pandemic electronic benefits
million fewer people were living                   medical expenses from income,                         transfer (P-EBT) benefits were distributed
                                                                                                         to free and reduced-price school lunch
below the poverty line (Figure                     the SPM rate was 1.5 percentage                       recipients. SNAP recipients had this benefit
8 and Appendix Table 7). When                      points higher. In numbers, 5.0 mil-                   added directly to their SNAP EBT cards.
                                                                                                         Due to likely comingled reporting of P-EBT
including stimulus payments in                     lion more people were classified                      benefits as part of SNAP values, these
                                                   as poor.                                              programs are reported both jointly and
   14
      Details do not sum to totals due to                                                                separately this year. See report appendix
rounding.                                                                                                for details.



     Figure 8.
     Change in Number of People in Poverty After Including Each Element: 2020
     (In millions)
                                       Under 18 years                 18 to 64 years                65 years and older

                     Social Security             –26.5
     Economic Impact/stimulus1                                                    –11.7
         Unemployment insurance                                                                  –5.5
          Refundable tax credits2                                                                 –5.3
             SNAP + school lunch                                                                        –3.2
                              SNAP                                                                       –2.9
                                 SSI                                                                     –2.7
                Housing subsidies                                                                         –2.4
           Child support received                                                                               –0.5
         TANF/general assistance                                                                                –0.5
                       School lunch                                                                             –0.3
          Workers' compensation                                                                                  –0.2
                Energy assistance                                                                                –0.1
                                WIC                                                                              –0.1
               Child support paid                                                                                       0.2
               Federal income tax                                                                                       0.5
                               FICA                                                                                        2.0
                     Work expenses                                                                                            2.5
                Medical expenses                                                                                                    5.0


     1
      Includes the first two rounds of stimulus payments. Additional details available in the report appendix.
     2
       Refundable tax credits do not include stimulus payments.
     Notes: SNAP: Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program; SSI: Supplemental Security Income; TANF: Temporary Assistance
     for Needy Families; WIC: Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children; FICA: Federal Insurance
     Contributions Act. More information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available at
     <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>.
     Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC).




12                                                                                                                                        U.S. Census Bureau
assistance increased in 2020               income, while Social Security           As such, there are lower percent-
compared with 2019. Conversely,            benefits lowered poverty rates          ages of the SPM poverty popula-
federal income taxes, Federal              by 33.1 percentage points for this      tions in the very high and very
Insurance Contributions Act                group, lifting 18.5 million individu-   low resource categories than we
(FICA), work expenses, and medi-           als above the poverty line.             find using the official measure.
cal expenses pushed fewer indi-                                                    Since noncash benefits help those
viduals into poverty in 2020 than          SUMMARY                                 in extreme poverty, there were
in 2019. In the absence of stimulus        This report provides estimates          lower percentages of individu-
payments, which were authorized            of poverty using the SPM for the        als with resources below half the
in 2020 in response to the COVID-          United States. The results illustrate   SPM threshold for most groups.
19 pandemic and the resulting              differences between the official        In addition, the effect of benefits
economic disruption, the poverty           measure of poverty and a pov-           received from each program and
rate in 2020 would have increased          erty measure that takes account         taxes and other nondiscretion-
from 11.8 percent in 2019 to 12.7          of noncash benefits received            ary expenses on SPM rates were
percent in 2020.16 Instead, poverty        by families and nondiscretion-          examined.
declined to 9.1 percent in 2020.           ary expenses that they must pay.
                                                                                   COMMENTS
Appendix Tables 6 and 7 also               The SPM also employs a poverty
show effects of individual ele-            threshold that is updated by the        The Census Bureau welcomes the
ments for different age groups.            BLS with information on expen-          comments and advice of data and
In 2020, accounting for stimu-             ditures for food, clothing, shelter,    report users. If you have sugges-
lus payments resulted in a 4.5             and utilities. In 2020, multiple        tions or comments on this report,
percentage-point decrease in the           pieces of legislation (CARES Act        please write to:
child poverty rate, representing           and CRRSA Act) were passed in
                                                                                   Liana E. Fox
3.2 million children prevented             response to the COVID-19 pan-
                                                                                   Chief, Poverty Statistics Branch
from falling into poverty by the           demic that provided households
                                                                                   Social, Economic, and Housing
inclusion of these payments.               with additional income in the
                                                                                   Statistics Division
Subtracting medical expenses,              form of stimulus payments and
                                                                                   U.S. Census Bureau
such as contributions toward the           expanded unemployment, SNAP,
                                           and pandemic electronic benefits        Washington, DC 20233–8500
cost of medical care and health
                                           transfer (P-EBT) benefits. As a         Or e-mail
insurance premiums, from the
                                           result, in 2020, for the first time     <Liana.E.Fox@census.gov>.
income of families with children
resulted in a child poverty rate           in the history of the SPM, poverty
                                                                                   IN MEMORIAM
1.2 percentage points higher. For          is estimated to be lower using the
                                           SPM than using the official pov-        In memory of Mark Levitan,
the group aged 65 and older, SPM
                                           erty definition.                        a champion of poverty
rates increased by 2.7 percent-
                                                                                   measurement.
age points with the inclusion of           The SPM allows us to examine the
medical expense deductions from            effect of taxes, noncash transfers,
                                           and necessary expenses on the
    16
       Additional analysis of the effect   population in and near poverty.
of stimulus payments on poverty rates
is available at <www.census.gov
/america-counts/impact-of-stimulus>.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                    13
REFERENCES                              Citro, Constance F. and Robert        , “The Supplemental
                                           T. Michael (eds.), “Measuring     Poverty Measure: 2017,”
Many of the working papers
                                           Poverty: A New Approach,”         Current Population Reports,
listed below are available at
                                           National Academy Press,           P60-265, U.S. Census Bureau,
<www.census.gov/topics
                                           Washington, DC, 1995, available   Washington, DC, September
/income-poverty/supplemental
                                           at <www.census.gov/library        2018, available at
-poverty-measure/library
                                           /publications/1995/demo           <www.census.gov/content
/working-papers.html> or
                                           /citro-01.html>.                  /dam/Census/library
<https://stats.bls.gov/pir
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Betson, David, “Is Everything             “Work-Related Expenses in           , “The Supplemental
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Bridges, Benjamin and Robert V.           Children under Age 15 in the        , Brian Glassman, and Jose
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  /pir/spm/spm_thresholds_2012            2020, available at                 Jane Waldfogel, “Waging War
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                                          /p60-268.pdf>.




14                                                                                             U.S. Census Bureau
        and Thesia Garner,           Johnson, Paul, Trudi Renwick,            , Eric Figueroa, and Bettina
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  a Supplemental Poverty               Survey 5-Year Data on Housing       at <www.census.gov/library
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                                       /SEHSD-WP2017-38.html>.             <www.census.gov/library
                                                                           /publications/2012/demo
                                                                           /p60-244.html>.



U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                           15
      , “The Research Supplemental      , “The Supplemental Poverty       Smith, Jessica C. and Carla
     Poverty Measure: 2010,”           Measure: 2013,” Current              Medalia, “Health Insurance
     Current Population Reports,       Population Reports, P60-             Coverage in the United States:
     P60-241, U.S. Census Bureau,      251, U.S. Census Bureau,             2013,” Current Population
     Washington, DC, November          Washington, DC, October              Reports, P60-250, U.S. Census
     2011, available at                2014b, available at                  Bureau, Washington, DC, 2014,
     <www.census.gov/library           <www.census.gov/library              available at <www.census.gov
     /publications/2011/demo           /publications/2014/demo              /library/publications/2014
     /p60-241.html>.                   /p60-251.html>.                      /demo/p60-250.html>.
      , “The Supplemental Poverty       , Thesia Garner, David            Wheaton, Laura and Kathryn
     Measure in the Survey             Johnson, and Patricia Doyle,        Stevens, “The Effect of
     of Income and Program             “Experimental Poverty               Different Tax Calculators on
     Participation,” U.S. Census       Measures: 1990 to 1997,”            the Supplemental Poverty
     Bureau, Washington, DC,           Current Population Reports,         Measure,” Urban Institute,
     October 2014a, available at       P60-205, U.S. Census Bureau,        April 2016, available at
     <www.census.gov/library           Washington, DC, June 1999,          <www.census.gov/content
     /working-papers/2014              available at <www.census.gov        /dam/Census/library/working
     /demo/short-01.html>.             /library/publications/1999          -papers/2016/demo/Effect-of
      , “The Supplemental Poverty      /demo/p60-205.html>.                -Different-Tax-Calculators
     Measure: 2014,” Current         Shrider, Emily A., Melissa Kollar,    -on-the-SPM.pdf>.
     Population Reports, P60-          Frances Chen, and Jessica
     254, U.S. Census Bureau,          Semega, “Income and Poverty
     Washington, DC, September         in the United States: 2020,”
     2015, available at                Current Population Reports,
     <www.census.gov/library           P60-273, U.S. Census Bureau,
     /publications/2015/demo           Washington, DC, September
     /p60-254.html>.                   2021, available at
                                       <www.census.gov/library
                                       /publications/2021/demo
                                       /p60-273.html>.




16                                                                                            U.S. Census Bureau
APPENDIX                              To estimate a household’s stimu-       who reported that they received
                                      lus amount, the following ques-        a stimulus payment. Full details
Data Challenges for 2021              tion was added: “Since April 1,        of the methodology for valuing
The COVID-19 pandemic created         2020, have you or anyone in your       stimulus payments, as well as
challenges to data collection, as     household received a ‘stimulus         upper and lower-bound estimates
well as changes to safety-net pro-    payment,’ that is the coronavirus      of stimulus payment values and
grams included in Supplemental        (COVID-19) related Economic            impacts on SPM rates can be
Poverty Measure (SPM) resources.      Impact Payment from the Federal        found at <www.census.gov/library
Data collection challenges are dis-   Government?” However, due to           /working-papers/2021/demo
cussed in <www.census.gov             the timing of EIP payments, the        /SEHSD-WP2021-18.html>.
/newsroom/blogs/research              stimulus values reported on the
                                                                             In addition to stimulus payments,
-matters/2021/08/how-did-the          survey could have included one–
                                                                             school lunch programs and SNAP
-pandemic-affect-survey               three rounds of EIP payments. The
                                                                             benefits changed during calendar
-response.html>. For calen-           second round of payments began
                                                                             year 2020. The COVID-19 pan-
dar year 2020, several pieces         disbursement on December 28,
                                                                             demic resulted in nationwide tran-
of legislation were passed that       2020. As such, some households
                                                                             sitions from in-person to virtual
affected resources available          received one stimulus payment in
                                                                             or hybrid schooling, with consid-
to households. The Families           calendar year 2020, while other
                                                                             erable variation throughout the
First Coronavirus Response            households received two pay-
                                                                             country. The U.S. Census Bureau’s
Act (FFCRA); Coronavirus Aid,         ments. Additionally, the third
                                                                             traditional valuation of school
Relief, and Economic Security         round of stimulus payments were
                                                                             lunch benefits, which assumes 179
Act (CARES); and H.R. 133—            disbursed during 2021 ASEC data
                                                                             in-person days (for free, reduced-
Consolidated Appropriations           collection. The yes/no indicators
                                                                             price, and paid lunches) was not
Act, 2021 all contained legislative   for receipt of payments were used
                                                                             able to capture the value of bene-
changes to ensure households          to estimate recipiency among
                                                                             fits received by families, especially
had economic security amid            presumed nonfilers, but the value
                                                                             given the substantial variation
the ongoing coronavirus pan-          of EIP payments were estimated in
                                                                             in in-person school attendance
demic. These legislative changes      the CPS ASEC Tax Model. The CPS
                                                                             across states. Additionally, states
included increased Supplemental       ASEC Tax Model does not assume
                                                                             rolled out pandemic electronic
Nutritional Assistance Program        full take-up of stimulus payment
                                                                             benefits transfer (P-EBT) benefits
(SNAP) benefits, three rounds of      receipt. Instead, it follows logical
                                                                             to individuals who would normally
Economic Impact Payment (EIP)/        assignment of potential receipt,
                                                                             receive free or reduced-price
stimulus payments, and expanded       assigning stimulus payments to
                                                                             meals. For households receiving
unemployment benefits among           all tax units who were assumed
                                                                             SNAP, the value of P-EBT ben-
other provisions. To fully capture    to be filers absent stimulus pay-
                                                                             efits was added directly to their
these changes in the data, the        ments, all tax units who received
                                                                             SNAP EBT cards. For households
2021 Current Population Survey        Supplemental Security Income
                                                                             not receiving SNAP, but nor-
Annual Social and Economic            (SSI), Social Security, or Veterans
                                                                             mally receiving free or reduced-
Supplement (CPS ASEC) added           Affairs (VA) benefits (and for
                                                                             price lunches, P-EBT cards were
several new questions related to      whom stimulus checks were sent
                                                                             mailed to their homes or added
receipt of stimulus and school        out automatically) and all pre-
                                                                             to another benefit card such as
lunch benefits.                       sumed nonfilers in our tax model
                                                                             Medicaid.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                              17
For 2020, an alternative approach     The SPM was developed fol-               public.18 In November 2011, the
to school lunch valuation was         lowing decades of research on            Census Bureau released the first
taken that accounts for state-level   poverty measurement. Concerns            SPM report, providing SPM esti-
variation in the average number       about the adequacy of the offi-          mates for 2009 and 2010.
of in-person school days, as well     cial measure culminated in a
                                                                               In 2016, OMB convened a new
as the possibility of receiving       congressional appropriation in
                                                                               ITWG on improving the SPM to
P-EBT benefits either directly        1990 for an independent scientific
                                                                               provide advice on challenges and
or on their SNAP EBT card. For        study of the concepts, measure-
                                                                               opportunities brought before it
individuals who reported receiv-      ment methods, and information
                                                                               by the Census Bureau and the
ing SNAP benefits, the value of       needed for a poverty measure. In
                                                                               BLS concerning data sources,
P-EBT is assumed to be collected      response, the National Academy
                                                                               estimation, survey production,
in their reported SNAP value. For     of Sciences (NAS) convened a
                                                                               and processing activities for
individuals not reporting SNAP        Panel on Poverty and Family
                                                                               development, implementation,
but reporting that they normally      Assistance, which released its
                                                                               publication, and improvement
received free or reduced-price        report, “Measuring Poverty: A
                                                                               of the SPM. With OMB as chair,
school lunch, a value of P-EBT is     New Approach,” in 1995 (Citro
                                                                               the SPM working group is com-
added to their school lunch value.    and Michael, 1995).
                                                                               prised of career federal employ-
Full details of the 2020 school
                                      The Interagency Technical                ees representing their respective
lunch valuation methodology can
                                      Working Group (ITWG) on                  agencies. The agencies currently
be found at <www.census.gov
                                      Developing a Supplemental                represented include the Bureau
/library/working-papers/2021
                                      Poverty Measure was formed in            of Economic Analysis, the BLS,
/demo/SEHSD-WP2021-20.html>.
                                      2009 and charged with develop-           the Council of Economic Advisors,
The introduction of P-EBT bene-       ing a set of initial starting points     the Census Bureau, the Economic
fits and distribution through SNAP    to permit the Census Bureau,             Research Service, the Food and
EBT cards poses a measurement         in cooperation with the BLS,             Nutrition Service, the Department
challenge to SNAP benefits values     to produce the SPM. In 2010,             of Health and Human Services,
as well. The Food and Nutrition       this ITWG (which included rep-           the Department of Housing and
Service of the U.S. Department        resentatives from the BLS, the           Urban Development (HUD), the
of Agriculture (USDA) has indi-       Census Bureau, the Economics             Internal Revenue Service (IRS),
cated that it is unlikely a house-    and Statistics Administration, the       the National Center for Education
hold would be able to distinguish     Council of Economic Advisers, the        Statistics, the National Center for
increases in SNAP benefits due to     U.S. Department of Health and            Health Statistics, OMB, and the
benefit expansions authorized by      Human Services, and the Office of        Social Security Administration. As
FFCRA from benefit increases due      Management and Budget [OMB])             discussed in the next section, in
to the inclusion of P-EBT benefits.   issued a series of suggestions to        September 2020, the ITWG rec-
In this year’s report, we show        the Census Bureau and the BLS on         ommended changes to be imple-
the combined marginal impact          how to develop the SPM.17 Their          mented in the 2021 SPM report.
of SNAP and school lunches in         suggestions drew on the recom-           Additionally in 2020, a new NAS
Figure 8, in addition to the indi-    mendations of the 1995 NAS               Committee on National Statistics
vidual impacts, as reporting of       report and the subsequent exten-         expert panel was convened to
benefits across the two programs      sive research on poverty measure-        further evaluate and improve the
is likely commingled.                 ment. These suggestions were             SPM. Recommendations from the
                                      published in the Federal Register,       panel are expected in 2022.
SPM HISTORY                           and the Census Bureau and the
This is the eleventh report           BLS reviewed comments from the
describing the SPM that has been
released by the Census Bureau,
                                                                                  18
                                                                                     Federal Register notice Volume 75,
                                                                               Number 101, page 29513 was issued on
                                        17
                                           Refer to <www.census.gov/content
with support from the                                                          May 26, 2010, soliciting public comments
                                      /dam/Census/topics/income/supplemental
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics                                                regarding specific methods and data
                                      -poverty-measure/spm-twgobservations
                                                                               sources in developing the SPM.
                                      .pdf>.
(BLS).



18                                                                                                       U.S. Census Bureau
SPM Changes Implemented in              e. Telephone expenditures are                 A microdata extract with revised
2021                                       no longer geographically                   2019 SPM variables is available at
                                           adjusted.19                                <www.census.gov/topics/income
Since the first publication of
SPM estimates in 2011, no major         f.   Add home internet expendi-               -poverty/supplemental-poverty
changes have been made to the                tures to thresholds.                     -measure/data/datasets.html>.
SPM, but research has been ongo-        g. Use a composite food,                      Additional extracts extending the
ing at the BLS and Census Bureau           clothing, shelter, and utili-              adjustments historically will be
on potential improvements and              ties (FCSU) consumer price                 available soon.
                                           index as opposed to the All
validation of prior assumptions.
In 2018, the ITWG on improving
                                           Items, All Urban index to                  SPM METHODOLOGY
                                           adjust components.
the SPM announced a process                                                           Poverty Thresholds
and timeline for considering         These changes have been imple-
                                     mented in all 2019 and 2020                      Consistent with the NAS panel
changes to be made to the SPM.
                                     estimates in this report. The com-               recommendations and the sug-
In September 2020, the ITWG
                                     bined threshold changes did not                  gestions of the ITWG, the SPM
convened to review proposals by
                                     change any of the thresholds by                  thresholds are based on out-of-
the Census Bureau and BLS on
                                     a statistically significant amount,              pocket spending on a basic set of
improvements that could feasibly
                                     but did reduce the portion of the                goods and services that includes
be implemented by September
                                     thresholds that are geographically               food, clothing, shelter, utilities,
2021. Methodological improve-
                                     adjusted. 20 The impact of these                 and telecommunications (FCSU),
ments were approved for the esti-
                                     changes on 2019 SPM rates can be                 and a small additional amount
mation of both resources and the
                                     found in Appendix Table 8 in this                to allow for other needs (e.g.,
thresholds. Below are changes to
                                     report and in this working paper                 household supplies, personal care,
the SPM methodology that were
                                     <www.census.gov/library                          nonwork-related transportation).
voted on during the September
                                     /working-papers/2021/demo                        SPM thresholds are produced by
30, 2020, SPM ITWG meeting.
                                     /SEHSD-WP2021-17.html>.                          the Bureau of Labor Statistics
1. Resources                                                                          (BLS) Division of Price and Index
                                     For more details on the research
   a. Move from a national value                                                      Number Research (BLS DPINR),
      to state-varying values for    behind these changes, please
                                                                                      using 5 years of quarterly CE
      the Special Supplemental       refer to <www.census.gov/topics
                                                                                      interview data for all consumer
      Nutrition Program for          /income-poverty/supplemental
                                                                                      units with children, lagged 1
      Women, Infants and             -poverty-measure/library/working
                                                                                      year. 21, 22 All individuals who share
      Children (WIC).                -papers/topics/potential-changes
                                                                                      expenses with others in the house-
2. Threshold                         .html> and <www.bls.gov/pir
                                                                                      hold are included in the consumer
   a. Move the base of thresholds    /spmhome.htm>.
                                                                                      unit. 23 FCSU expenditures are con-
      from the average between                                                        verted to equivalized values using
                                         19
                                            Since the inception of the SPM,
      the 30th–36th percentile to    telephone expenditures were categorized          a three-parameter equivalence
      83 percent of the average of   as utilities and, therefore, included in the
                                     housing portion of the thresholds and            scale (refer to the “Equivalence
      the 47th–53rd percentiles.     subject to geographic adjustment. Going          Scales” section for more detail).
                                     forward, telephone expenditures will be
   b. Expand the estimation sam-
                                     taken out of the shelter component and
      ple from all consumer units    included with home internet as a separate           21
                                                                                            For information on the CE, refer to
      with exactly two children      threshold component.                             <https://stats.bls.gov/cex/>.
                                         20
                                            The portion adjusted is restricted           22
                                                                                            Changes to the threshold estimation
      to all consumer units with     to housing; housing is defined to include        were implemented in 2021. Refer to
      children.                      shelter and utilities. The housing share for     <www.census.gov/library/working
                                     the 2019 published thresholds included           -papers/2021/demo/SEHSD-WP2021-17
   c. Lag Consumer Expenditure       telephone in utilities, while for the 2019       .html> and <www.bls.gov/pir/spmhome
      Survey (CE) data used to       reestimated thresholds utilities are limited     .htm> for details.
                                     to energy (i.e., electricity, natural gas, and      23
                                                                                            This includes unmarried partners and
      estimate the thresholds by     other fuels) and water and related public        others making joint expenditure decisions.
      1 year.                        utilities. In the 2019 reestimated thresholds,   For full definition, refer to <www.bls.gov
                                     telephone joined food and clothing and the       /cex/csxfaqs.htm>.
   d. Add imputed in-kind ben-       introduction of internet as the parts of the
      efits to the thresholds.       thresholds not geographically adjusted.
                                     This change has been implemented for
                                     future years.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                            19
The three-parameter equivalence            levels. This method produces                 based on ACS 5-year estimates of
scale is used to convert the esti-         thresholds that are consistent with          median gross rents for two-bed-
mation sample FCSU expenditures            the resource measure. 25                     room units with complete kitchen
to those of a reference consumer                                                        and plumbing facilities. Separate
unit composed of two adults with           Equivalence Scales                           medians were estimated for each
two children.                              The ITWG guidelines state that               of the 260 metropolitan statistical
                                           the “three-parameter equivalence             areas large enough to be identi-
SPM thresholds are produced for
                                           scale” is to be used to adjust SPM           fied on the public-use version of
three housing tenure groups to
                                           reference thresholds for the num-            the CPS ASEC file. For each state,
account for differences in hous-
                                           ber of adults and children. 26 The           a median is estimated for all non-
ing costs. The three groups are
                                           three-parameter scale allows for             metropolitan areas (47 areas) and
owners with mortgages, owners
                                           a different adjustment for single            for a combination of all smaller
without mortgages, and renters.
                                           parents (Betson, 1996). This scale           metropolitan areas within a state
Thresholds reflect 83 percent
                                           has been used in several BLS and             (35 areas). This results in 342
of the median of FCSU expendi-
                                           Census Bureau studies (Short, et             adjustment factors. For details,
tures for the estimation sample,
                                           al., 1999; Short, 2001). The three-          refer to Renwick (2011). 27 The
multiplied by 1.2 to account for
                                           parameter scale is calculated in             movement of telephone expendi-
additional basic needs, with
                                           the following way:                           tures from the utility category to
adjustments for shelter and
                                                                                        the telecommunications category
utilities for each housing group.          One and two adults: scale =                  reduced the share of the thresh-
Refer to the BLS DPINR Research            (adults)0.5                                  olds subject to geographic adjust-
Experimental Poverty Measures
                                           Single parents: scale = (adults              ment for all tenure categories.
Web page for specifics regarding
the production of the SPM thresh-          + 0.8 * first child + 0.5 * other
                                                                                        Unit of Analysis
olds and related statistics. 24            children)0.7
                                                                                        The ITWG suggested that the
The thresholds used here include           All other families: scale = (adults +
                                                                                        resource unit in the SPM include
the value of all noncash benefits          0.5 * children)0.7
                                                                                        all related individuals who live at
included in the resources. CE data         In the calculation used to produce           the same address, any coresident
used to produce the thresholds             thresholds for two adults, the               unrelated children who are cared
reflect the use of SNAP benefits           scale is set to 1.41. The economy of         for by the family (such as foster
for food since these benefits are          scale factor is set at 0.70 for other        children), and any cohabiters and
considered equivalent to cash.             family types, which is within the            their children. 28, 29 This definition
However, the CE data as collected          0.65 to 0.75 range recommended               corresponds broadly with the unit
does not account for the value             by the NAS panel.                            of data collection (the consumer
of in-kind benefits from other                                                          unit) that is employed for the CE
food programs, rent, and energy            Geographic Adjustments                       data that are used to calculate
assistance. The value of these                                                          poverty thresholds. They are
                                           The American Community Survey
other in-kind benefits are imputed                                                      referred to as SPM Resource Units.
                                           (ACS) is used to adjust the hous-
to the CE data using data col-
                                           ing portion of the FCSU thresh-
lected in the CPS ASEC to assign                                                            27
                                                                                               Renwick, Figueroa, and Aten (2017)
                                           olds for differences in prices
recipiency of school lunch, WIC                                                         examined an alternative method of
                                           across geographic areas. The                 calculation for the geographic indexes
and energy assistance, CE data                                                          using Regional Price Parities from the
                                           geographic adjustments are                   U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
on rental assistance receipt, and                                                           28
                                                                                               Foster children up to the age of 22
program data on average benefit                25
                                                  Additional information available at   are included in the new unit.
                                           <www.bls.gov/pir/spm/smp-thresholds              29
                                                                                               The official measure of poverty uses
   24
      These are referred to as BLS DPINR   -and-missing-data-problem-6-16.pdf>.         the Census Bureau-defined family that
Research Experimental Supplemental             26
                                                  The official measure adjusts          includes all individuals residing together
Poverty Measure (SPM) Thresholds.          thresholds based on family size, number of   who are related by birth, marriage, or
Additional information is available at     children and adults, as well as whether or   adoption and treats all unrelated individuals
<https://stats.bls.gov/pir/spmhome.htm>.   not the householder is aged 65 or older.     aged 15 and older independently.




20                                                                                                                 U.S. Census Bureau
For all resource units that contain              of their countable monthly cash      National School Lunch Program
a set of male/female unmarried                   income to the purchase of food,      This program offers children free
partners, the female partner’s                   and SNAP benefits make up the        school lunches if family income
weight is used as the SPM family                 remaining cost of an adequate        is below 130 percent of federal
weight. For all other units, there is            low-cost diet. This amount is set    poverty guidelines, reduced-price
no change in family weight. 30                   at the level of the USDA’s Thrifty   school meals if family income is
                                                 Food Plan. In the CPS ASEC,          between 130 and 185 percent of
Official Poverty Treatment of                    respondents report whether           the federal poverty guidelines,
Unrelated Individuals Under the
                                                 anyone in the household received     and a subsidized school meal for
Age of 15
                                                 SNAP benefits in the previ-          all other children. 31 In the CPS
Unrelated children under the age                 ous calendar year and, if so, the    ASEC, the reference person
of 15 are excluded from the official             face value of those benefits. The    is asked how many children
poverty measure universe but                     annual household amount is pro-      “usually” ate a complete lunch
included in the SPM universe. To                 rated to the SPM Resource Units      at school, and if so, if it was a
compare the two measures in the                  within each household.               free or reduced-price school
SPM report, unrelated individuals                                                     lunch. The value of school meals
under the age of 15 are assigned                 The FFCRA authorized states to
                                                                                      is assigned based on the assump-
an official poverty status to match              distribute P-EBT payments to
                                                                                      tion that the children received the
that of the reference person of the              households with children who
                                                                                      lunches every day during the last
household in which they reside.                  would have received free or
                                                                                      school year. Note that this method
The official poverty status is not               reduced-price school lunches
                                                                                      may overestimate the benefits
recalculated for anyone else in                  under the National School Lunch
                                                                                      received by each family. To value
the household. A comparison of                   Act, if not for a reduction in in-
                                                                                      benefits, we obtain amounts
official poverty estimates using                 person learning due to the pan-
                                                                                      on the cost per lunch from the
different methods is available                   demic. These temporary food
                                                                                      USDA Food and Nutrition Service,
at Fox (2017a). Prior to the 2016                benefits were provided to help
                                                                                      that administers the school
SPM report, all unrelated children               cover the cost of meals children
                                                                                      lunch program. There is no value
under the age of 15 were consid-                 would have otherwise received
                                                                                      included for school breakfast.
ered poor in the official poverty                at school. For SNAP recipients,
estimates used in the SPM reports.               the value of P-EBT was added         Due to the COVID-19 pandemic,
Since these children were not                    to existing SNAP EBT cards. As       which resulted in a transition from
asked any income questions, they                 such, CPS ASEC respondents           in-person to virtual schooling and
were assigned income of $0 and                   who reported SNAP values likely      disbursement of school lunch
a poverty threshold for a single-                included the value of P-EBT in       benefits for some free/reduced-
person unit.                                     their SNAP amount as expan-          price school lunch recipients via
                                                 sions to SNAP values happened        P-EBT cards, the methodology for
Noncash Benefits                                 at the same time and respondents     valuing school lunch changed for
                                                 were likely unable (and were not     2020. 32 The revised school lunch
Supplemental Nutrition Assistance
                                                 asked) to separate out SNAP
Program (SNAP)
                                                 benefits from P-EBT benefits in           31
                                                                                              The poverty guidelines are issued
SNAP benefits (formerly known                                                         each year by the Department of Health
                                                 their response. Due to the poten-    and Human Services. The guidelines are a
as food stamps) are designed to
                                                 tial of commingled response, this    simplified version of the Census Bureau’s
allow eligible low-income house-                                                      poverty thresholds used for administrative
                                                 report also shows the joint mar-     purposes—for instance, determining
holds to afford a nutritionally
                                                 ginal impacts of SNAP and school     financial eligibility for certain federal
adequate diet. Households that                                                        programs. For more details and guidelines,
                                                 lunch, as well as the individual     refer to <https://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty
participate in the SNAP program
                                                 impacts.                             -guidelines>.
are assumed to devote 30 percent                                                           32
                                                                                              The traditional school lunch valuation
                                                                                      is still available on the public-use CPS ASEC
   30
      Appropriate weighting of these new                                              file at the family level as F_MV_SL, while
units is an area of additional research at the                                        the new valuation is available at the SPM
Census Bureau.                                                                        unit level as SPM_SCHLUNCH.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                               21
methodology for 2020 considers                  someone reports receiving WIC          and mortgage-interest subsidies
state-level variation in average                are also assigned receipt of WIC.      targeted to very-low-income rent-
number of in-person school days,                If the child is aged 0 or 1 year,      ers and are either project-based
potential reporting of P-EBT bene-              then we assume that the mother         (public housing) or tenant-based
fits in SNAP values, and responses              also gets WIC. If there is no child    (vouchers). The value of hous-
to a new ASEC survey question                   in the family, but the household       ing subsidies is estimated as the
regarding receipt of meals during               reference person said “yes” to the     difference between the “market
virtual schooling. 33                           WIC question, we assume this is a      rent” for the housing unit and the
                                                pregnant woman receiving WIC.          total tenant payment. The “market
Supplementary Nutrition Program                                                        rent” for the household is esti-
for Women, Infants, and Children                Energy Assistance                      mated using a statistical match
(WIC)                                           Energy assistance typically falls      with HUD administrative data from
This program is designed to pro-                into three categories. Under the       the Public and Indian Housing
vide food assistance and nutri-                 federal Low-Income Home Energy         Information Center and the Tenant
tional screening to low-income                  Assistance Program (LIHEAP)            Rental Assistance Certification
pregnant and postpartum women                   or similar state/local programs,       System. For each household
and their infants and to low-                   states may help pay heating or         identified in the CPS ASEC as
income children up to the age of                cooling bills, provide allotments      receiving help with rent or living
5. Incomes must be at or below                  for low-cost weatherization, or        in public housing, an attempt was
185 percent of the poverty guide-               provide assistance during energy-      made to match on state, core-
lines and participants must be                  related emergencies. States            based statistical area (CBSA), and
nutritionally at-risk (having                   determine eligibility and can pro-     household size. 35 The total tenant
abnormal nutritional conditions,                vide assistance in various ways,       payment is estimated by apply-
nutrition-related medical condi-                including cash payments, vendor        ing HUD program rules to total
tions, or dietary deficiencies).                payments, two-party checks,            household income reported in the
Benefits include supplemental                   vouchers/coupons, and payments         CPS ASEC. Generally, participants
foods in the form of food items or              directly to landlords. In the CPS      in either public housing or tenant-
vouchers for purchases of specific              ASEC, the question on energy           based subsidy programs admin-
food items. There are questions on              assistance asks for information        istered by HUD are expected to
current receipt of WIC in the CPS               about the entire previous year.        contribute the greater of one-third
ASEC. Lacking additional infor-                 Many households receive both a         of their “adjusted” income or 10
mation, we assume 12 months of                  “regular” benefit and one or more      percent of their gross income
participation and value the benefit             crisis or emergency benefits.
using state-level average monthly               Since energy assistance payments
WIC values obtained from the                    are often made directly to a utility
USDA. 34 As with school lunch,                  company or fuel oil vendor, many
assuming yearlong participation                 households may have difficulty
may overestimate the value of                   reporting the precise amount of
WIC benefits received by a given                the payment made on their behalf.
SPM unit. In these estimates, we
                                                                                           35
                                                                                              HUD operates two major housing
                                                                                       assistance programs: public housing
assume that all children less than              Housing Assistance                     and tenant-based or voucher programs.
5 years old in a household where                                                       Previous research has found that
                                                Households can receive hous-
                                                                                       households misreport whether they receive
                                                ing assistance from a plethora         public housing or rental assistance in the
    33
       The details of the revised 2020 school                                          CPS ASEC and that the value of public
lunch valuation methodology can be found
                                                of federal, state, and local pro-      housing is not unambiguously worth
at <www.census.gov/library/working              grams. Federal housing assistance      less than the value of rental assistance
-papers/2021/demo/SEHSD-WP2021-20                                                      (Renwick, 2017). Given these ambiguities
.html>.
                                                consists of a number of programs       and increasing challenges in the reporting
    34
       Details of changing from national        administered primarily by the          of housing subsidy values across various
average WIC benefit values to state-varying                                            types of housing assistance, beginning in
average WIC values can be found at              HUD. These programs traditionally      the 2016 SPM report, we have eliminated
<www.census.gov/library/working-papers          take the form of rental subsidies      the adjustment factor previously applied to
/2020/demo/SEHSD-WP2020-16.html>.                                                      public housing subsidy values.




22                                                                                                                U.S. Census Bureau
towards housing costs. 36 More              paid by the family. The measure            Work-Related Expenses
details on this method are avail-           subtracts federal, state, and local        Going to work and earning a wage
able in Johnson, et al. (2010).             income taxes and Social Security           often entails incurring expenses
Initially, subsidies are estimated          payroll taxes (FICA) before                such as travel to work and pur-
at the household level. If there            assessing the ability of a family          chase of uniforms or tools. For
is more than one SPM unit in a              to obtain basic necessities such           work-related expenses (other than
household, then the value of the            as FCSU. Taking account of taxes           child care), the NAS panel and
subsidy is prorated based on the            allows us to account for receipt           original SPM ITWG recommended
number of people in the SPM unit            of the federal or state Earned             subtracting a fixed amount for
relative to the total number of             Income Tax Credit (EITC) and               each earner 18 years or older.
people in the household.                    other tax credits. The CPS ASEC            Their calculation was based on
                                            does not collect information on            the 1987 Survey of Income and
Housing subsidies help families
                                            taxes paid, but instead relies on          Program Participation (SIPP)
pay their rent and, as such, are
                                            a tax calculator to simulate taxes         data that collected information
added to income for the SPM.
                                            paid. These simulations include            on work expenses in a set of
However, there is general agree-
                                            federal and state income taxes             supplementary questions. They
ment that, while the value of
                                            and FICA taxes. 37 These simula-           calculated 85 percent of median
a housing subsidy can free up
                                            tions also use a statistical match         weekly expenses—$14.42 per
a family’s income to purchase
                                            to the IRS Statistics of Income            week worked for anyone aged
food and other basic items, it will
                                            public-use microdata file of tax           18 or older in the family in 1992.
do so only to the extent that it
                                            returns.                                   Total expenses were obtained by
meets the need for shelter. Thus,
                                                                                       multiplying this fixed amount by
the values for housing subsidies            The first two EIP are included
                                                                                       the number of weeks respondents
included as income are limited to           in the CPS ASEC Tax Model and
                                                                                       reported working in the year.
the proportion of the threshold             are modeled based on 2020
                                                                                       Each person in the SIPP reports
that is allocated to housing costs.         adjusted gross income, number
                                                                                       their own expenditures on work-
The subsidy is capped at the                of dependents under age 17, and
                                                                                       related items in a given week. The
housing portion of the appropriate          filing status. Presumed nonfilers
                                                                                       most recent available data are
threshold minus the total tenant            were assigned EIP values if they
                                                                                       used to calculate median weekly
payment.                                    either reported receiving Social
                                                                                       expenses. 38 The number of weeks
                                            Security, SSI, or VA payments, or
Necessary Expenses Subtracted                                                          worked, reported in the CPS
                                            responded affirmatively to the
From Resources                                                                         ASEC, is multiplied by 85 percent
                                            new receipt of stimulus payment
                                                                                       of median weekly work-related
Taxes                                       question asked in the 2021 CPS
                                                                                       expenses for each person to arrive
The NAS panel and the ITWG                  ASEC. This
                                                                                       at annual work-related expenses. 39
recommended that the calculation            methodology assumes less than
of family resources for poverty             100 percent take-up among
                                                                                       Child Care Expenses
measurement should subtract                 potentially eligible recipients.
                                                                                       Another important part of work-
necessary expenses that must be             Additional details, as well as
                                                                                       related expenses is paying some-
                                            sensitivity tests, are available
    36
       HUD regulations define “adjusted                                                one to care for children while par-
household income” as cash income,           at <www.census.gov/library
excluding income from certain sources
                                                                                       ents work. These expenses have
                                            /working-papers/2021/demo
minus numerous deductions. Three of                                                    become important for families
the income exclusions can be identified     /SEHSD-WP2021-18.html>.
from the CPS ASEC: income from the
                                                                                       with young children in which both
employment of children, student financial                                              parents (or a single parent) work.
assistance, and earnings in excess of
$480 for each full-time student 18 years
or older. Deductions that can be modeled       37
                                                  Wheaton and Stevens (2016) compare       38
                                                                                              Median weekly work expenses were
from the CPS ASEC include $480 for each     the Census Bureau’s tax calculator to      $46.60 for 2020 using the 2018 SIPP.
dependent, and $400 for any elderly or      TAXSIM and the Bakija tax model and find       39
                                                                                              Edwards, et al. (2014) examined an
disabled family member, child care, and     consistency in tax estimates across the    alternative method of valuing work-related
medical expenses.                           models.                                    expenses using the ACS.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                             23
To account for child care expenses          Medical Expenses                       Medicare, Medicare Part B premi-
while parents worked, the CPS               The ITWG recommended sub-              ums are simulated using the rules
ASEC asks parents whether they              tracting medical expenses from         for income and tax filing status for
pay for child care and how much             income, following the NAS panel.       people aged 65 and older (refer to
they spent. The amounts paid for            The NAS panel was aware that           <www.medicare.gov/>).41 For mar-
any type of child care while par-           expenditures for health care are a     ried respondents with a “spouse
ents are at work are summed over            significant portion of a family bud-   present,” combined reported
all children. The ITWG, following           get and have become an increas-        income is used to determine the
the recommendations of the NAS              ingly larger budget item since the     appropriate Medicare Part B pre-
report, suggested capping the               1960s. These expenses include          mium assuming that these couples
amount subtracted from income,              the payment of health insurance        filed married, joint returns. Finally,
when combined with other work-              premiums plus other medically          the simulation model assumes two
related expenses, so that these do          necessary items such as prescrip-      groups paid zero Part B premi-
not exceed total reported earn-             tion drugs and doctor copayments       ums: (1) respondents enrolled in
ings of the lowest earning refer-           that are not covered or reim-          Medicare and Medicaid, and (2)
ence person or spouse/partner of            bursed by insurance. Subtracting       those with a family income less
the reference person in the family.         these amounts from income, like        than 135 percent of the federal
This capping procedure is applied           taxes and work expenses, leaves        poverty level.42 This strategy for
before determining poverty                  the amount of income that the          estimating Medicare Part B premi-
status.40                                   family has available to purchase       ums largely follows the method-
                                            the basic bundle of goods.             ology developed by Caswell and
Child Support Paid                                                                 Short (2011). Estimates for 2017
                                            When reporting medical
 The NAS panel recommended                                                         and beyond reflect the implemen-
                                            expenses, respondents are asked
that since child support received                                                  tation of an updated processing
                                            not to report Medicare Part B
from other households is counted                                                   system.43
                                            premiums. Instead, Medicare Part
as income, child support paid
                                            B premiums are estimated using
out to those households should                                                         41
                                                                                          We make the simplifying assumption
                                            other information collected in         that respondents were insured by Medicare
be deducted from the resources
                                            the CPS ASEC. If respondents           for the entire year.
of those households that paid it.                                                      42
                                                                                          The family income assumption is
                                            received Social Security benefits,     based on a rough estimate of eligibility and
Without this subtraction, all child                                                participation in at least one of the following
                                            they may have reported Medicare
support is double counted in over-                                                 programs: Qualified Medicare Beneficiary,
                                            premiums, and the reported             Specified Low-Income Medicare
all income statistics. Questions                                                   Beneficiary, or Qualified Individual or
                                            amount is taken. For respondents
ascertaining amounts paid in                                                       Qualified Disabled and Working Individuals.
                                            aged 65 and older who reported         We do not take into account the possibility
child support are included in the                                                  of (state-specific) asset requirements.
                                            that their Social Security pay-
CPS ASEC, and these reported                                                           43
                                                                                          For more details on changes to the
                                            ment was after deductions but did      medical expenditures estimation, reference
amounts are subtracted in the                                                      Edward R. Berchick and Heide M. Jackson,
                                            not report a deduction amount          “Health Insurance Coverage in the 2017
estimates presented here.
                                            greater than $0, the Medicare Part     CPS ASEC Research File,” SEHSD
                                                                                   Working Paper Number 2019-01, 2019,
                                            B premium is set at the standard       <www.census.gov/library/working-papers
                                            amount per month and added to          /2019/demo/SEHSD-WP2019-01.html>,
                                                                                   and U.S. Census Bureau, “Updates to
    40
       Some analysts have suggested that    income and medical expenditures.       the Processing of Out of Pocket Medical
this cap may be inappropriate in certain    For the remaining respondents          Expenditures and Medicare Premiums,”
cases such as if the parent is in school,                                          SEHSD Working Paper 2019-31,
looking for work, or receiving types of     who reported being covered by          <www.census.gov/library/working-papers
compensation other than earnings.                                                  /2019/demo/SEHSD-WP2019-31.html>.




24                                                                                                             U.S. Census Bureau
Appendix Table 1.
Number and Percentage of People in Poverty Using the Supplemental Poverty Measure:
2019 and 2020—Con.
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                                  SPM 2020                                    SPM 20191
                                                                                                                                               Difference
                                                        Number                 Percent              Number                 Percent
             Characteristic
                                                             Margin of             Margin of             Margin of             Margin of
                                                    Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Number     Percent
             All people. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .     29,805         766         9.1       0.2    38,300         876        11.8       0.3    *–8,496     *–2.6
Sex
Male. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     13,837        418          8.6       0.3     17,666       485         11.1       0.3    *–3,829         *–2.4
Female. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       15,968        438          9.6       0.3     20,634       498         12.4       0.3    *–4,667         *–2.8
Age
Under 18 years. . . . . . . . . . . . .               7,079        325         9.7       0.4      9,253       358         12.6       0.5     *–2,174    *–2.9
18 to 64 years. . . . . . . . . . . . . .            17,433        521         8.8       0.3     22,073       603         11.2       0.3    *–4,640     *–2.4
65 years and older. . . . . . . . .                   5,293        246         9.5       0.4      6,975       251         12.8       0.5    *–1,682     *–3.3
Type of Unit
Married couple. . . . . . . . . . . . .               9,728       457         5.0        0.2     13,479       620          6.8       0.3    *–3,751     *–1.8
Cohabiting partners. . . . . . . .                    2,466       233         8.5        0.8      3,147       330         12.1       1.2      *–681     *–3.5
Female reference person . . .                         7,668       429        18.2        1.0      9,732       474         23.8       1.0    *–2,064     *–5.6
Male reference person. . . . . .                      1,818       204        11.7        1.2      2,141       236         14.2       1.5      *–323     *–2.5
Unrelated individuals. . . . . . .                    8,125       265        17.5        0.5      9,801       319         21.6       0.6    *–1,676     *–4.1
Race3 and Hispanic Origin
White. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      20,156        587         8.1        0.2    26,029        645         10.5       0.3    *–5,872     *–2.4
  White, not Hispanic . . . . . .                   12,646        481         6.5        0.2    15,921        477          8.2       0.2    *–3,275     *–1.7
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      6,369        348        14.6        0.8     8,144        409         18.9       1.0    *–1,775     *–4.3
Asian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      1,770        200         8.8        1.0     2,257        189         11.3       0.9      *–487     *–2.5
Hispanic (any race). . . . . . . . .                 8,570        436        14.0        0.7    11,437        478         18.8       0.8    *–2,867     *–4.9
Nativity
Native-born . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            23,657       678         8.4        0.2    30,460        733         10.9       0.3    *–6,803     *–2.5
Foreign-born. . . . . . . . . . . . . .               6,148       296        13.7        0.6     7,840        322         17.5       0.7    *–1,693     *–3.7
  Naturalized citizen . . . . . . .                   2,335       163        10.3        0.7     3,076        200         13.5       0.9      *–741     *–3.2
  Not a citizen. . . . . . . . . . . . .              3,813       243        17.2        1.0     4,764        259         21.5       1.2      *–951     *–4.3
Educational Attainment
      Total, aged 25 and
       older. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           18,866        505         8.4        0.2     24,312       547         10.9       0.2    *–5,446         *–2.5
No high school diploma . . . .                       4,068        202        20.3        0.9      5,600       261         27.7       1.1    *–1,532         *–7.4
High school, no college. . . . .                     6,929        280        11.1        0.4      8,588       305         13.9       0.5    *–1,659         *–2.9
Some college. . . . . . . . . . . . . .              4,177        207         7.3        0.3      5,449       231          9.5       0.4    *–1,273         *–2.1
Bachelor’s degree or
 higher . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         3,692       212          4.3       0.2      4,674        214         5.6       0.2      *–982         *–1.2
Tenure
Owner/mortgage . . . . . . . . . .                    5,283       344          3.9       0.2      7,035       389          5.1       0.3    *–1,752         *–1.2
Owner/no mortgage/rent-
 free. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      7,313       390          8.2       0.4     9,726         424        10.9       0.4    *–2,413     *–2.7
Renter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       17,210       634         17.1       0.6    21,540         760        22.1       0.7    *–4,331     *–5.0
Residence4
Inside metropolitan
 statistical areas. . . . . . . . . . .             26,286        719         9.3        0.2    33,359         871        11.8       0.3     *–7,074     *–2.5
  Inside principal cities. . . . .                  12,573        553        11.9        0.5    15,654         673        14.9       0.6    *–3,081      *–3.1
  Outside principal cities . . .                    13,712        464         7.7        0.3    17,705         631        10.0       0.3    *–3,992      *–2.2
Outside metropolitan
 statistical areas. . . . . . . . . . .               3,519        376         8.3       0.7      4,941       458         11.6       0.7    *–1,422     *–3.3

Region
Northeast. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            4,686       337         8.5        0.6      6,341       366         11.5       0.7    *–1,655         *–3.0
Midwest. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          4,498       299         6.7        0.4      6,081       355          9.0       0.5    *–1,584         *–2.3
South. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       12,704       550        10.1        0.4     15,662       644         12.6       0.5    *–2,958         *–2.5
West. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       7,918       415        10.1        0.5     10,216       405         13.1       0.5    *–2,298         *–3.0

     Footnotes provided at end of table.


U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                            25
Appendix Table 1.
Number and Percentage of People in Poverty Using the Supplemental Poverty Measure:
2019 and 2020—Con.
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                               SPM 2020                                      SPM 20191
                                                                                                                                              Difference
                                                     Number                 Percent              Number                   Percent
            Characteristic
                                                          Margin of             Margin of               Margin of             Margin of
                                                 Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate   error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Number    Percent
Health Insurance Coverage
With private insurance. . . . . .                  8,976        376         4.1       0.2    11,933          500          5.4       0.2    *–2,956         *–1.3
With public, no private
 insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       15,290        558        18.8        0.6    19,993          534         25.8       0.6    *–4,703      *–6.9
Not insured. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        5,538        319        19.4        1.0     6,375          323         23.8       1.1      *–836      *–4.3
Work Experience
      Total, 18 to 64 years.. .                   17,433        521         8.8       0.3     22,073         603         11.2       0.3    *–4,640      *–2.4
All workers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         7,056        275         4.6       0.2     10,491         365          6.8       0.2    *–3,435      *–2.2
Worked full-time,
 year-round. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           1,864       118          1.9       0.1      4,371         225          3.9       0.2    *–2,508         *–2.0
Less than full-time,
 year-round. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           5,192       234          9.8       0.4      6,120         255         14.6       0.5     *–928       *–4.7
Did not work at least
 1 week . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     10,377       369        22.9        0.7    11,582          388         27.0       0.8    *–1,205      *–4.1
Disability Status5
     Total, 18 to 64 years.. .                    17,433       521          8.8       0.3    22,073          603         11.2       0.3    *–4,640      *–2.4
With a disability . . . . . . . . . . .            2,562       161         17.6       1.0     3,203          164         22.2       1.1      *–641      *–4.6
With no disability. . . . . . . . . .             14,842       469          8.2       0.3    18,804          554         10.3       0.3    *–3,962      *–2.2

    * An asterisk preceding an estimate indicates change is statistically different from zero at the 90 percent confidence level.
    1
      The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental Poverty Measure methodology. More information is available in the
report appendix.
    2
      A margin of error (MOE) is a measure of an estimate's variability. The larger the MOE in relation to the size of the estimate, the less reli-
able the estimate. This number, when added to and subtracted from the estimate, forms the 90 percent confidence interval. MOEs shown in
this table are based on standard errors calculated using replicate weights.
    3
      Federal surveys give respondents the option of reporting more than one race. Therefore, two basic ways of defining a race group are
possible. A group, such as Asian, may be defined as those who reported Asian and no other race (the race-alone or single-race concept) or
as those who reported Asian regardless of whether they also reported another race (the race-alone-or-in-combination concept). This table
shows data using the first approach (race alone). The use of the single-race population does not imply that it is the preferred method of pre-
senting or analyzing data. The Census Bureau uses a variety of approaches. Data for American Indians and Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians
and Other Pacific Islanders, and those reporting two or more races are not shown separately.
    4
      Information on metropolitan statistical areas and principal cities is available at <www.census.gov/programs-surveys/metro-micro/about
/glossary.html>.
    5
      The sum of those with and without a disability does not equal the total because disability status is not defined for individuals in the
U.S. armed forces.
    Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2020 and 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




26                                                                                                                                           U.S. Census Bureau
Appendix Table 2.
Number and Percentage of People in Poverty by Different Poverty Measures: 2020—Con.
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                                      Official1                                  SPM                       Difference
                                                            Number                 Percent            Number             Percent
           Characteristic
                                                               Margin of           Margin of           Margin of           Margin of
                                              Number1 Estimate error2 (±) Estimate error2 (±) Estimate error2 (±) Estimate error2 (±)    Number Percent
           All people. .  .  .  .  .  .  .   326,195    37,314       891          11.4       0.3 29,805        766      9.1        0.2 *–7,509     *–2.3
Sex
Male. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  159,977 16,370        461          10.2       0.3 13,837        418      8.6        0.3 *–2,532     *–1.6
Female. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  166,219 20,944          540          12.6       0.3 15,968        438      9.6        0.3 *–4,976     *–3.0
Age
Under 18 years. . . . . . . . . . . .  72,777 11,674                 416          16.0       0.6    7,079      325      9.7        0.4 *–4,595     *–6.3
18 to 64 years. . . . . . . . . . . . .  197,582 20,640              524          10.4       0.3   17,433      521      8.8        0.3 *–3,207     *–1.6
65 years and older. . . . . . . .  55,836         5,000              243           9.0       0.4    5,293      246      9.5        0.4    *293      *0.5
Type of Unit
Married couple. . . . . . . . . . . .  193,316          10,193       508           5.3       0.3   9,728       457      5.0        0.2   *–464 *–0.2
Cohabiting partners. . . . . . .  28,856                 6,661       331          23.1       1.0   2,466       233      8.5        0.8 *–4,194 *–14.5
Female reference person . .  42,090                     10,073       492          23.9       1.1   7,668       429     18.2        1.0 *–2,405 *–5.7
Male reference person. . . . .  15,571                   1,636       189          10.5       1.2   1,818       204     11.7        1.2    *182   *1.2
Unrelated individuals. . . . . .  46,362                 8,752       265          18.9       0.5   8,125       265     17.5        0.5   *–627 *–1.4
Race3 and Hispanic Origin
White. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  248,163 25,052         666          10.1       0.3 20,156        587      8.1        0.2   *–4,896   *–2.0
  White, not Hispanic . . . . .  194,524 15,974                      514           8.2       0.3 12,646        481      6.5        0.2   *–3,327   *–1.7
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  43,490  8,493         416          19.5       1.0  6,369        348     14.6        0.8   *–2,124   *–4.9
Asian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  20,157  1,629         173           8.1       0.8  1,770        200      8.8        1.0       141     0.7
Hispanic (any race). . . . . . . .  61,304 10,422                    474          17.0       0.8  8,570        436     14.0        0.7   *–1,852   *–3.0
Nativity
Native-born . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  281,396 31,292              786          11.1       0.3 23,657        678      8.4        0.2   *–7,635   *–2.7
Foreign-born. . . . . . . . . . . . .  44,799     6,022              314          13.4       0.7  6,148        296     13.7        0.6       126     0.3
  Naturalized citizen . . . . . .  22,667         2,080              153           9.2       0.6  2,335        163     10.3        0.7      *255    *1.1
  Not a citizen. . . . . . . . . . . .  22,132    3,942              260          17.8       1.1  3,813        243     17.2        1.0      –129    –0.6
Educational Attainment
      Total, aged 25 and
       older. . . . . . . . . . . . . .  224,580 21,443              540           9.5       0.2 18,866        505      8.4        0.2 *–2,578     *–1.1
No high school diploma . . .  20,054                4,953            219          24.7       1.0  4,068        202     20.3        0.9   *–886     *–4.4
High school, no college. . . .  62,547              8,273            290          13.2       0.4  6,929        280     11.1        0.4 *–1,343     *–2.1
Some college. . . . . . . . . . . . .  56,942       4,781            210           8.4       0.4  4,177        207      7.3        0.3   *–604     *–1.1
Bachelor’s degree or
 higher . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  85,037 3,436            214           4.0       0.2   3,692       212      4.3        0.2     *256     *0.3
Tenure
Owner/mortgage . . . . . . . . .  136,077              5,570         336           4.1       0.2   5,283       344      3.9        0.2     –288     –0.2
Owner/no mortgage/rent-
 free. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  89,492 9,707         484          10.8       0.5    7,313      390      8.2        0.4 *–2,394     *–2.7
Renter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  100,627 22,036         729          21.9       0.7   17,210      634     17.1        0.6 *–4,827     *–4.8
Residence4
Inside metropolitan
 statistical areas. . . . . . . . . .  283,834 31,337                851          11.0       0.3 26,286        719      9.3        0.2 *–5,051     *–1.8
  Inside principal cities. . . .  106,022 15,128                     631          14.3       0.5 12,573        553     11.9        0.5 *–2,554     *–2.4
  Outside principal cities . .  177,812 16,209                       615           9.1       0.3 13,712        464      7.7        0.3 *–2,497     *–1.4
Outside metropolitan
 statistical areas. . . . . . . . . .  42,362   5,977                580          14.1       0.9   3,519       376      8.3        0.7 *–2,458     *–5.8
Region
Northeast. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  54,850         5,558       340          10.1       0.6  4,686        337      8.5        0.6   *–872     *–1.6
Midwest. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     67,561    6,840       377          10.1       0.6  4,498        299      6.7        0.4 *–2,342     *–3.5
South. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  125,612   16,651       621          13.3       0.5 12,704        550     10.1        0.4 *–3,947     *–3.1
West. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  78,173    8,265       410          10.6       0.5  7,918        415     10.1        0.5   *–347     *–0.4

    Footnotes provided at end of table.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                      27
Appendix Table 2.
Number and Percentage of People in Poverty by Different Poverty Measures: 2020—Con.
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                                   Official1                                   SPM                            Difference
                                                         Number                  Percent            Number             Percent
           Characteristic
                                                         Margin of           Margin of           Margin of           Esti-   Margin of
                                        Number1 Estimate error2 (±) Estimate error2 (±) Estimate error2 (±)          mate    error2 (±)    Number Percent

Health Insurance Coverage
With private insurance. . . . . .  216,532          8,642         384           4.0        0.2    8,976      376      4.1         0.2        *335       *0.2
With public, no private
 insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  81,149 22,182         628          27.3        0.6 15,290        558     18.8         0.6     *–6,892      *–8.5
Not insured. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  28,515  6,490         355          22.8        1.1 5,538         319     19.4         1.0       *–952      *–3.3
Work Experience
      Total, 18 to 64 years . .  197,582 20,640                   524          10.4        0.3   17,433      521      8.8         0.3     *–3,207      *–1.6
All workers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  152,246    7,593      266           5.0        0.2    7,056      275      4.6         0.2       *–537      *–0.4
Worked full-time,
 year-round. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  99,404       1,609      121           1.6        0.1   1,864       118      1.9         0.1        *255       *0.3
Less than full-time,
 year-round. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       52,842  5,984      231          11.3        0.4   5,192       234      9.8         0.4       *–792      *–1.5
Did not work at least
 1 week . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  45,336 13,047      392          28.8        0.7 10,377        369     22.9         0.7     *–2,670      *–5.9
Disability Status    5

     Total, 18 to 64 years . .  197,582 20,640                    524          10.4        0.3 17,433        521      8.8         0.3     *–3,207      *–1.6
With a disability . . . . . . . . . . .  14,559 3,643             183          25.0        1.1  2,562        161     17.6         1.0     *–1,081      *–7.4
With no disability. . . . . . . . . .  181,934 16,966             465           9.3        0.3 14,842        469      8.2         0.3     *–2,124      *–1.2

   * An asterisk preceding an estimate indicates change is statistically different from zero at the 90 percent confidence level.
   1
     Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
   2
     A margin of error (MOE) is a measure of an estimate's variability. The larger the MOE in relation to the size of the estimate, the less reliable
the estimate. This number, when added to and subtracted from the estimate, forms the 90 percent confidence interval. MOEs shown in this
table are based on standard errors calculated using replicate weights.
   3
     Federal surveys give respondents the option of reporting more than one race. Therefore, two basic ways of defining a race group are
possible. A group, such as Asian, may be defined as those who reported Asian and no other race (the race-alone or single-race concept) or as
those who reported Asian regardless of whether they also reported another race (the race-alone-or-in-combination concept). This table shows
data using the first approach (race alone). The use of the single-race population does not imply that it is the preferred method of presenting or
analyzing data. The Census Bureau uses a variety of approaches. Data for American Indians and Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians and Other
Pacific Islanders, and those reporting two or more races are not shown separately.
   4
      Information on metropolitan statistical areas and principal cities is available at <www.census.gov/programs-surveys/metro-micro/about
/glossary.html>.
   5
     The sum of those with and without a disability does not equal the total because disability status is not defined for individuals in the
U.S. armed forces.
   Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.
   Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC).




28                                                                                                                                        U.S. Census Bureau
Appendix Table 3.
Two-Adult, Two-Child Poverty Thresholds: 2019 and 2020
(In nominal dollars)
                                Measure                                             20191   Standard error    2020      Standard error
Official Poverty Measure
Official poverty measure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                   25,926               N    26,246                    N
Research Supplemental Poverty Measure
Owners with mortgages. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                     29,080             210    29,959                  241
Owners without mortgages. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                        24,413             344    25,222                  402
Renters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .    29,194             179    30,150                  255

    N Not available.
    1
      The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) methodology. More information is avail-
able in the report appendix.
    Source: The thresholds were produced by Juan D. Munoz under the guidance of Thesia I. Garner. Munoz and Garner work in the Division of
Price and Index Number Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The SPM thresholds are based on consumer unit weighted data; standard
errors of the SPM thresholds are derived using replicate weights available on the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CE) data files (information
regarding the estimation of standard errors based on CE replicate weights is available at <www.bls.gov/cex/pumd-getting-started-guide.
htm>). The SPM thresholds and statistics are produced for research purposes only using the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey.
The thresholds are not BLS production quality. Methodological details and related research regarding the SPM thresholds are available at
<https://stats.bls.gov/pir/spmhome.htm>. The thresholds and related statistics were finalized as of July 28, 2021.




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                    29
Appendix Table 4.
Percentage of People by Ratio of Income/Resources to Poverty Threshold: 2019 and 2020—Con.
(Margin of error in percentage points. People as of March of the following year. Information on confidentiality protection,
sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs
/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                               Less Margin      0.50 Margin      1.00 Margin       1.50 Margin      2.00 Margin        4.00 Margin
           Characteristic                      than of error1     to of error1      to of error1     to of error1      to of error1       or of error1
                                               0.50       (±)   0.99       (±)   1.49        (±)   1.99       (±)   3.99        (±)    more        (±)
                 2020
             OFFICIAL2
             All people. .  .  .  .  .  .       5.5      0.2     5.9      0.2     7.9       0.2     8.2      0.2    28.3       0.4     44.1        0.4
Age
Under 18 years. . . . . . . . . . .             7.6      0.4     8.4      0.4     9.8       0.4     9.9      0.4    28.7       0.7     35.5        0.6
18 to 64 years. . . . . . . . . . . .           5.2      0.2     5.3      0.2     6.8       0.2     7.0      0.2    27.8       0.4     48.0        0.5
65 years and older. . . . . . .                 3.9      0.3     5.1      0.3     9.6       0.4    10.1      0.4    29.7       0.6     41.6        0.8
Race3 and Hispanic
 Origin
White. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      4.8      0.2     5.3      0.2     7.3       0.2     8.0      0.2    28.2       0.4     46.4        0.5
  White, not Hispanic . . . .                   4.1      0.2     4.1      0.2     5.9       0.2     6.8      0.3    27.0       0.5     52.1        0.6
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     9.9      0.7     9.7      0.7    11.3       0.8     9.9      0.7    30.7       1.0     28.5        1.1
Asian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     3.8      0.6     4.3      0.7     6.2       0.8     6.1      0.8    23.3       1.4     56.3        1.5
Hispanic (any race). . . . . . .                7.3      0.5     9.7      0.6    12.4       0.6    12.0      0.6    32.5       0.9     26.1        0.7

                  SPM
             All people. .  .  .  .  .  .       3.3      0.1     5.9      0.2    12.5       0.3    13.9      0.3    38.4       0.4     26.0        0.4
Age
Under 18 years. . . . . . . . . . .             2.9      0.3     6.8      0.4    15.1       0.5    17.0      0.6    39.0       0.6     19.1        0.6
18 to 64 years. . . . . . . . . . . .           3.3      0.1     5.6      0.2    11.3       0.3    13.0      0.3    39.2       0.4     27.8        0.5
65 years and older. . . . . . .                 3.8      0.3     5.7      0.3    13.6       0.5    13.2      0.5    35.1       0.7     28.6        0.8
Race3 and Hispanic
 Origin
White. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      3.0      0.1     5.1      0.2    11.4       0.3    13.1      0.3    39.1       0.4     28.3        0.5
  White, not Hispanic . . . .                   2.8      0.2     3.7      0.2     8.7       0.3    11.2      0.3    40.4       0.5     33.2        0.6
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     4.7      0.4     9.9      0.7    18.6       0.9    18.2      1.0    34.9       1.1     13.7        0.8
Asian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     3.4      0.5     5.4      0.8    11.3       1.1    12.9      1.1    36.9       1.6     30.2        1.5
Hispanic (any race). . . . . . .                4.0      0.4    10.0      0.6    21.2       0.8    20.0      0.8    34.7       0.9     10.2        0.5

                 20194
             OFFICIAL2
             All people. .  .  .  .  .  .       4.7      0.2     5.7      0.2     7.7       0.2     8.2      0.2    28.4       0.4     45.3        0.5
Age
Under 18 years. . . . . . . . . . .             6.2      0.4     8.2      0.4    10.3       0.5     9.8      0.4    29.0       0.6     36.6        0.7
18 to 64 years. . . . . . . . . . . .           4.5      0.2     5.0      0.2     6.4       0.2     7.4      0.2    27.8       0.4     49.0        0.5
65 years and older. . . . . . .                 3.7      0.3     5.2      0.3     8.8       0.4     9.1      0.4    29.6       0.7     43.6        0.8
Race3 and Hispanic
 Origin
White. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      4.1      0.2     5.0      0.2     7.1       0.2     7.8      0.2    28.3       0.5     47.7        0.5
  White, not Hispanic . . . .                   3.5      0.2     3.8      0.2     5.7       0.2     6.7      0.2    27.0       0.5     53.4        0.6
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     8.2      0.6    10.6      0.7    10.8       0.7    10.5      0.8    30.4       1.2     29.5        1.1
Asian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     4.1      0.6     3.2      0.6     6.0       0.8     6.3      0.9    23.7       1.5     56.7        1.6
Hispanic (any race). . . . . . .                6.4      0.5     9.4      0.6    12.3       0.7    12.2      0.6    32.6       1.0     27.0        0.9

    Footnotes provided at end of table.




30                                                                                                                                    U.S. Census Bureau
Appendix Table 4.
Percentage of People by Ratio of Income/Resources to Poverty Threshold: 2019 and 2020—Con.
(Margin of error in percentage points. People as of March of the following year. Information on confidentiality protection,
sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs
/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                               Less Margin      0.50 Margin      1.00 Margin       1.50 Margin      2.00 Margin       4.00 Margin
           Characteristic                      than of error1     to of error1      to of error1     to of error1      to of error1      or of error1
                                               0.50       (±)   0.99       (±)   1.49        (±)   1.99       (±)   3.99        (±)   more        (±)

                  SPM
             All people. .  .  .  .  .  .       4.0      0.2     7.8      0.2    14.0       0.3    12.7      0.3    36.4       0.4    25.1       0.4
Age
Under 18 years. . . . . . . . . . .             3.5      0.3     9.1      0.5    17.9       0.6    15.0      0.5    36.3       0.7    18.1       0.5
18 to 64 years. . . . . . . . . . . .           4.0      0.2     7.2      0.3    12.6       0.3    12.2      0.3    37.3       0.5    26.7       0.5
65 years and older. . . . . . .                 4.7      0.3     8.1      0.4    13.8       0.5    11.4      0.5    33.4       0.7    28.6       0.8
Race3 and Hispanic
 Origin
White. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      3.6      0.2     6.9      0.2    12.7       0.3    12.4      0.3    37.1       0.5    27.4       0.5
  White, not Hispanic . . . .                   3.2      0.2     5.0      0.2     9.9       0.3    11.1      0.3    38.8       0.5    32.0       0.6
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     6.2      0.6    12.7      0.8    21.0       1.1    14.6      0.8    33.0       1.2    12.6       0.7
Asian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     4.5      0.6     6.8      0.8    13.3       1.2    10.8      1.1    35.2       1.5    29.4       1.4
Hispanic (any race). . . . . . .                4.9      0.4    13.9      0.7    22.9       0.9    16.8      0.8    31.0       1.0    10.5       0.6
    1
      A margin of error (MOE) is a measure of an estimate's variability. The larger the MOE in relation to the size of the estimate, the less reli-
able the estimate. This number, when added to and subtracted from the estimate, forms the 90 percent confidence interval. MOEs shown in
this table are based on standard errors calculated using replicate weights.
    2
      Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
    3
      Federal surveys give respondents the option of reporting more than one race. Therefore, two basic ways of defining a race group are
possible. A group, such as Asian, may be defined as those who reported Asian and no other race (the race-alone or single-race concept) or
as those who reported Asian regardless of whether they also reported another race (the race-alone-or-in-combination concept). This table
shows data using the first approach (race alone). The use of the single-race population does not imply that it is the preferred method of pre-
senting or analyzing data. The Census Bureau uses a variety of approaches. Data for American Indians and Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians
and Other Pacific Islanders, and those reporting two or more races are not shown separately.
    4
      The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental Poverty Measure methodology. More information is available in
the report appendix.
    Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2020 and 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                 31
Appendix Table 5.
Number and Percentage of People in Poverty by State: 3-Year Average of 2018–2020—Con.
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at, see <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                                Official1                                     SPM                            Difference
                                                     Number                  Percent             Number                Percent
                  State
                                                          Margin of             Margin of             Margin of               Margin of
                                                 Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate   error2 (±)   Number    Percent
          United States .  .  .  .  .            36,525         536         11.2       0.2   36,508        500        11.2          0.2       –16            Z
Alabama. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .               712        95          14.6       2.0       588         88       12.0          1.8     *–125         *–2.6
Alaska . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            87         8          12.2       1.1        86          8       12.0          1.1        –1          –0.1
Arizona . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            822       105          11.2       1.5       767         97       10.4          1.3      *–54         *–0.7
Arkansas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              432        40          14.7       1.4       336         35       11.4          1.2      *–96         *–3.3
California. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          4,328       190          11.0       0.5     6,041        223       15.4          0.6    *1,713          *4.4
Colorado. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              535         88          9.3       1.6       644         83       11.2          1.5      *109         *1.9
Connecticut. . . . . . . . . . . . .                 343         47          9.9       1.4       370         50       10.7          1.4        28          0.8
Delaware. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .               80         10          8.1       1.0        95         11        9.8          1.1       *16         *1.6
District of Columbia. . . . . .                      104          8         14.7       1.1       116         10       16.5          1.4       *13         *1.8
Florida. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         2,740        185         12.8       0.9     2,992        161       14.0          0.8      *252         *1.2
Georgia. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           1,399        145         13.4       1.4     1,264       112        12.1          1.1     *–135         *–1.3
Hawaii . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           131         18          9.5       1.3       166        21        12.0          1.5       *35          *2.5
Idaho. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           166         17          9.2       0.9       135        17         7.5          0.9      *–31         *–1.7
Illinois. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      1,150        103          9.2       0.8     1,195       109         9.5          0.9        46           0.4
Indiana. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           751         68         11.3       1.0       576        62         8.7          0.9     *–175         *–2.6
Iowa. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          286         48          9.1       1.5       206         37        6.6          1.2       *–79        *–2.5
Kansas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            246         31          8.7       1.1       182         24        6.4          0.8      *–64         *–2.2
Kentucky. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              637         84         14.4       1.9       481         65       10.9          1.5     *–156         *–3.5
Louisiana. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .             792         51         17.4       1.1       634         52       13.9          1.1     *–158         *–3.5
Maine. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           134         19         10.0       1.5        98         17        7.3          1.3      *–35         *–2.6
Maryland. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              488         65          8.1       1.1       652         71       10.8          1.2      *163          *2.7
Massachusetts. . . . . . . . . . .                   565         59          8.2       0.9       649         66        9.4          1.0       *84          *1.2
Michigan. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            1,044         97         10.6       1.0       865         85        8.8          0.9     *–178         *–1.8
Minnesota. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .               415         49          7.3       0.9       332         48        5.9          0.8      *–84         *–1.5
Mississippi. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .             549         61         18.8       2.1       422         35       14.5          1.2     *–126         *–4.3
Missouri. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            653         96         10.8       1.6       489         68        8.1          1.1     *–164         *–2.7
Montana . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              109         11         10.3       1.1        96         10        9.1          1.0       *–13        *–1.3
Nebraska. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              175         21          9.2       1.1       154         23        8.1          1.2      *–21         *–1.1
Nevada . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .             373         37         12.1       1.2       357         36       11.5          1.2        –16         –0.5
New Hampshire. . . . . . . . . .                      72         11          5.3       0.8        89         13        6.5          0.9        *17         *1.2
New Jersey. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                664        67           7.6       0.8       871         74       10.0          0.8      *207          *2.4
New Mexico . . . . . . . . . . . . .                 332        25          16.1       1.3       252         21       12.2          1.1      *–81         *–3.9
New York. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            2,252       125          11.8       0.7     2,549        142       13.3          0.7      *298          *1.6
North Carolina. . . . . . . . . . .                1,379       100          13.2       1.0     1,247        101       11.9          1.0     *–131         *–1.3
North Dakota. . . . . . . . . . . .                   71         8           9.5       1.1        65          8        8.6          1.1        *–7        *–0.9
Ohio. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        1,428       138          12.4       1.2     1,070        110        9.3          1.0     *–358         *–3.1
Oklahoma. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                516        61          13.2       1.5       403         52       10.3          1.3     *–113         *–2.9
Oregon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .             379        53           9.1       1.3       389         36        9.4          0.9         10          0.2
Pennsylvania . . . . . . . . . . . .               1,299       119          10.4       1.0     1,188         96        9.5          0.8     *–111         *–0.9
Rhode Island . . . . . . . . . . . .                  92        13           8.8       1.3        65         10        6.2          1.0       *–27        *–2.6
South Carolina. . . . . . . . . . .                  704         62         13.7       1.2       620         61       12.1          1.2      *–84         *–1.6
South Dakota. . . . . . . . . . . .                   94         20         10.9       2.4        73          9        8.5          1.1       *–21        *–2.4
Tennessee. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .               863         93         12.7       1.3       729         73       10.8          1.1     *–134         *–2.0
Texas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        3,718        191         12.9       0.7     3,587        193       12.5          0.7     *–132         *–0.5
Utah. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          231         56          7.2       1.8       228         50        7.1          1.6         –3         –0.1

     Footnotes provided at end of table.




32                                                                                                                                           U.S. Census Bureau
Appendix Table 5.
Number and Percentage of People in Poverty by State: 3-Year Average of 2018–2020—Con.
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at, see <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                             Official1                                     SPM                            Difference
                                                  Number                  Percent             Number                Percent
                 State
                                                       Margin of             Margin of             Margin of               Margin of
                                              Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate   error2 (±)   Number    Percent
Vermont . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            55          7          8.9       1.2        51          7        8.3          1.1         –4         –0.7
Virginia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        741         95          8.8       1.1       846        106       10.1          1.3      *106          *1.3
Washington . . . . . . . . . . . . .              601        108          7.9       1.4       571         86        7.5          1.1        –30         –0.4
West Virginia. . . . . . . . . . . .              257         29         14.6       1.6       184         22       10.5          1.3       *–72        *–4.1
Wisconsin. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            480         65          8.3       1.1       393         53        6.8          0.9      *–88         *–1.5
Wyoming. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .             54          8          9.5       1.5        50          7        8.8          1.3         –3         –0.6

    * An asterisk preceding an estimate indicates change is statistically different from zero at the 90 percent confidence level.
    Z Rounds to zero.
    1
      Includes unrelated individuals under the age of 15.
    2
      A margin of error (MOE) is a measure of an estimate's variability. The larger the MOE in relation to the size of the estimate, the less reli-
able the estimate. This number, when added to and subtracted from the estimate, forms the 90 percent confidence interval. MOEs shown in
this table are based on standard errors calculated using replicate weights.
    Notes: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding. The data for 2019 and 2020 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental
Poverty Measure methodology. More information is available in the report appendix.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2019 to 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                       33
Appendix Table 6.
Effect of Individual Elements on Supplemental Poverty Measure Rates: 2019 and 2020
(Margin of error in percentage points. People as of March of the following year. Information on confidentiality protection,
sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs–surveys/cps
/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                                           All people           Under 18 years         18 to 64 years      65 years and older
                          Element                                                Margin of              Margin of             Margin of               Margin of
                                                                        Estimate error1 (±)    Estimate error1 (±)   Estimate error1 (±)   Estimate   error1 (±)
                             2020
All people .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .       9.14        0.23       9.73      0.45        8.82       0.26       9.48         0.44
                 ADDITIONS
Social Security. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                         –8.12        0.20      –1.53      0.17       –3.50       0.18     –33.07         0.77
Economic Impact/stimulus2. . . . . .                                       –3.58        0.17      –4.46      0.30       –3.23       0.17      –3.70         0.28
Unemployment insurance. . . . . . . .                                      –1.70        0.11      –1.97      0.22       –1.95       0.12      –0.48         0.10
Refundable tax credits3. . . . . . . . . .                                 –1.62        0.12      –3.75      0.30       –1.27       0.10      –0.09         0.04
SNAP4 and school lunch. . . . . . . . .                                    –0.98        0.09      –1.79      0.21       –0.81       0.09      –0.55         0.09
SNAP4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                    –0.89        0.08      –1.55      0.20       –0.74       0.08      –0.53         0.08
SSI4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                –0.83        0.07      –0.49      0.11       –0.93       0.08      –0.90         0.13
Housing subsidies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             –0.74        0.07      –1.08      0.16       –0.58       0.06      –0.84         0.12
Child support received . . . . . . . . . .                                 –0.16        0.03      –0.42      0.09       –0.10       0.02      –0.01         0.01
TANF/general assistance 4. . . . . . . .                                   –0.14        0.03      –0.29      0.08       –0.12       0.03      –0.03         0.02
School lunch. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                        –0.09        0.03      –0.22      0.07       –0.07       0.02      –0.01         0.02
Workers’ compensation . . . . . . . . .                                    –0.06        0.02      –0.06      0.04       –0.07       0.03      –0.02         0.02
Energy assistance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             –0.04        0.02      –0.04      0.03       –0.05       0.02      –0.05         0.03
WIC4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  –0.03        0.02      –0.09      0.05       –0.02       0.01       0.00         0.00
           SUBTRACTIONS
Child support paid. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               0.06        0.02       0.08       0.03       0.06       0.02       0.04         0.03
Federal income tax. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               0.15        0.03       0.10       0.04       0.19       0.04       0.11         0.04
FICA4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                   0.63        0.07       0.72       0.12       0.72       0.08       0.17         0.05
Work expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             0.78        0.08       0.97       0.15       0.86       0.08       0.23         0.05
Medical expenses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               1.53        0.09       1.17       0.14       1.35       0.09       2.65         0.22

                             20195
All people .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .      11.78        0.27      12.65      0.49       11.18       0.31      12.76         0.46
                 ADDITIONS
Social Security. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                         –8.13        0.20      –1.99      0.21       –3.78       0.18     –32.07         0.78
Unemployment insurance. . . . . . . .                                      –0.16        0.04      –0.19      0.06       –0.17       0.04      –0.10         0.05
Refundable tax credits . . . . . . . . . .                                 –2.40        0.14      –5.69      0.36       –1.78       0.11      –0.21         0.06
SNAP4 and school lunch. . . . . . . . .                                    –1.11        0.10      –2.13      0.23       –0.87       0.09      –0.60         0.10
SNAP4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                    –0.80        0.08      –1.41      0.19       –0.65       0.08      –0.54         0.09
SSI4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                –0.85        0.07      –0.72      0.13       –0.89       0.08      –0.87         0.12
Housing subsidies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             –0.67        0.06      –0.84      0.14       –0.53       0.06      –0.95         0.13
Child support received . . . . . . . . . .                                 –0.20        0.04      –0.52      0.11       –0.14       0.03      –0.02         0.02
TANF/general assistance 4. . . . . . . .                                   –0.08        0.03      –0.21      0.07       –0.06       0.02      –0.02         0.02
School lunch. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                        –0.34        0.06      –0.80      0.13       –0.25       0.05      –0.07         0.04
Workers’ compensation . . . . . . . . .                                    –0.04        0.02      –0.02      0.02       –0.05       0.02      –0.05         0.04
Energy assistance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             –0.06        0.02      –0.06      0.04       –0.05       0.02      –0.10         0.04
WIC4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  –0.07        0.03      –0.16      0.07       –0.05       0.03      –0.01         0.01
           SUBTRACTIONS
Child support paid. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               0.08        0.03       0.11      0.07        0.09       0.03       0.02         0.02
Federal income tax. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               0.28        0.04       0.18      0.06        0.36       0.06       0.09         0.03
FICA4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                   1.21        0.11       1.77      0.22        1.26       0.11       0.29         0.07
Work expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             1.52        0.12       2.16      0.23        1.57       0.12       0.46         0.09
Medical expenses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               2.28        0.12       1.81      0.19        1.96       0.13       4.04         0.29
    1
      A margin of error (MOE) is a measure of an estimate's variability. The larger the MOE in relation to the size of the estimate, the less reli-
able the estimate. This number, when added to and subtracted from the estimate, forms the 90 percent confidence interval. MOEs shown in
this table are based on standard errors calculated using replicate weights.
    2
      Includes the first two rounds of stimulus payments. Additional details available in the report appendix.
    3
      Refundable tax credits do not include stimulus payments.
    4
      SNAP: Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program; SSI: Supplemental Security Income; TANF: Temporary Assistance for Needy
Families; WIC: Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children; FICA: Federal Insurance Contributions Act.
    5
      The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental Poverty Measure methodology. More information is available in
the report appendix.
    Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2020 and 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




34                                                                                                                                               U.S. Census Bureau
Appendix Table 7.
Effect of Individual Elements on the Number of Individuals in Poverty: 2019 and 2020
(Numbers and margin of error in thousands. People as of March of the following year. Information on confidentiality
protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions are available at <https://www2.census.gov/programs
-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar21.pdf>)
                                                                           All people          Under 18 years      18 to 64 years         65 years and older
                          Element                                              Margin of             Margin of           Margin of                   Margin of
                                                                        Number error1 (±)     Number error1 (±)   Number error1 (±)       Number     error1 (±)
                              2020
All people .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .    29,805         766     7,079       325    17,433           521      5,293         246
                 ADDITIONS
Social Security. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                      –26,502         657    –1,115       123    –6,923           350    –18,464         435
Economic Impact/stimulus2. . . . . .                                    –11,684         543    –3,246       221    –6,373           328     –2,065         156
Unemployment insurance. . . . . . . .                                    –5,545         359    –1,430       157    –3,845           243       –270          58
Refundable tax credits3. . . . . . . . . .                               –5,281         391    –2,729       220    –2,505           192        –48          20
SNAP4 and school lunch. . . . . . . . .                                  –3,209         301    –1,302       156    –1,601           170       –306          48
SNAP4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  –2,888         276    –1,131       144    –1,460           158       –298          46
SSI4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              –2,698         222      –354        80    –1,839           161       –505          71
Housing subsidies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                           –2,407         228      –785       119    –1,154           127       –468          67
Child support received . . . . . . . . . .                                 –514         108      –305        69      –205            43         –4           5
TANF/general assistance 4. . . . . . . .                                   –472         105      –211        58      –243            60        –18          10
School lunch. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                        –298          89      –157        48      –136            46         –5           9
Workers’ compensation . . . . . . . . .                                    –193          75       –41        27      –142            55        –10           9
Energy assistance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             –142          54       –27        18       –90            42        –26          14
WIC4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  –102          53       –66        34       –35            20          0           0
           SUBTRACTIONS
Child support paid. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               197          57        58        25       119            32         20          15
Federal income tax. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               504          95        75        30       370            74         59          24
FICA4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                 2,039         225       525        88     1,417           166         96          26
Work expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                           2,537         246       704       111     1,707           168        127          30
Medical expenses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             5,002         292       854       102     2,667           186      1,482         122

                             20195
All people .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .    38,300         876     9,253       358    22,073           603      6,975         251
                 ADDITIONS
Social Security. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                      –26,454         652    –1,454       153     –7,474          352    –17,525         432
Unemployment insurance. . . . . . . .                                       –524        119      –142        42      –329            78        –53          26
Refundable tax credits . . . . . . . . . .                                –7,792        446    –4,161       263    –3,514           212       –117          31
SNAP4 and school lunch. . . . . . . . .                                  –3,600         317    –1,561       169    –1,710           171       –328          55
SNAP4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                  –2,603         267    –1,030       140    –1,280           151       –293          51
SSI4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .              –2,760         242      –529        94    –1,758           167       –473          68
Housing subsidies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                           –2,189         198      –614       101    –1,053           115       –522          73
Child support received . . . . . . . . . .                                 –665         132      –382        79      –271            59        –12           9
TANF/general assistance 4. . . . . . . .                                    –276         83      –151        51      –112            36        –13          11
School lunch. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                      –1,116         184      –582        94      –494            94        –39          21
Workers’ compensation . . . . . . . . .                                     –142         52       –18        13        –95           38        –30          20
Energy assistance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                              –189         64       –43        27        –90           38        –56          23
WIC4. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                   –227        106      –120        54       –102           51         –5           7
           SUBTRACTIONS
Child support paid. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               273         100        79        50       181            56         13          10
Federal income tax. . . . . . . . . . . . . .                               896         135       130        41       719           110         47          18
FICA4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                 3,929         341     1,292       157     2,479           220        158          38
Work expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                           4,935         376     1,577       168     3,109           238        249          50
Medical expenses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                             7,400         402     1,326       136     3,867           253      2,206         158
    1
      A margin of error (MOE) is a measure of an estimate's variability. The larger the MOE in relation to the size of the estimate, the less reli-
able the estimate. This number, when added to and subtracted from the estimate, forms the 90 percent confidence interval. MOEs shown in
this table are based on standard errors calculated using replicate weights.
    2
      Includes the first two rounds of stimulus payments. Additional details available in the report appendix.
    3
      Refundable tax credits do not include stimulus payments.
    4
      SNAP: Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program; SSI: Supplemental Security Income; TANF: Temporary Assistance for Needy
Families; WIC: Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children; FICA: Federal Insurance Contributions Act.
    5
      The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplemental Poverty Measure methodology. More information is available in
the report appendix.
    Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2020 and 2021 Annual Social and Economic Supplements (CPS ASEC).




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                          35
Appendix Table 8.
Comparison of 2019 Supplemental Poverty Estimates Using Production and Revised
Supplemental Poverty Measure Files
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar20.pdf>)
                                                              SPM 2019—Revised1                           SPM 2019—Published                  Difference
                                                        Number                 Percent              Number                 Percent
             Characteristic
                                                             Margin of             Margin of             Margin of             Margin of
                                                    Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Number    Percent
             All people. .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .     38,300         876       11.8        0.3    38,163         895       11.7        0.3      138            Z
Sex
Male. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      17,666       485        11.1        0.3    17,655         489       11.1        0.3        11            Z
Female. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        20,634       498        12.4        0.3    20,508         508       12.4        0.3      *126         *0.1
Age
Under 18 years. . . . . . . . . . . . .               9,253       358        12.6        0.5      9,119        354       12.5        0.5      *134         *0.2
18 to 64 years. . . . . . . . . . . . . .            22,073       603        11.2        0.3     22,072        606       11.2        0.3         1            Z
65 years and older. . . . . . . . .                   6,975       251        12.8        0.5      6,972        258       12.8        0.5         3            Z
Type of Unit
Married couple. . . . . . . . . . . . .              13,479       620         6.8        0.3     13,703        625        6.9        0.3     *–224      *–0.1
Cohabiting partners. . . . . . . .                    3,147       330        12.1        1.2      3,167        324       12.1        1.1       –20       –0.1
Female reference person . . .                         9,732       474        23.8        1.0      9,526        478       23.3        1.0      *207       *0.5
Male reference person. . . . . .                      2,141       236        14.2        1.5      2,162        237       14.3        1.5       –21       –0.1
Unrelated individuals. . . . . . .                    9,801       319        21.6        0.6      9,605        320       21.2        0.6      *196       *0.4
Race3 and Hispanic Origin
White. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      26,029        645        10.5        0.3    26,089         669       10.5        0.3        –60         Z
  White, not Hispanic . . . . . .                   15,921        477         8.2        0.2    15,914         492        8.2        0.3          8         Z
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      8,144        409        18.9        1.0     7,907         408       18.3        0.9      *237       *0.5
Asian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      2,257        189        11.3        0.9     2,327         191       11.7        1.0       *–70     *–0.4
Hispanic (any race). . . . . . . . .                11,437        478        18.8        0.8    11,464         475       18.9        0.8        –27         Z
Nativity
Native-born . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           30,460        733        10.9        0.3    30,238         761       10.8        0.3      *222       *0.1
Foreign-born. . . . . . . . . . . . . .              7,840        322        17.5        0.7     7,924         318       17.6        0.7      *–84      *–0.2
  Naturalized citizen . . . . . . .                  3,076        200        13.5        0.9     3,109         197       13.7        0.9       –33       –0.1
  Not a citizen. . . . . . . . . . . . .             4,764        259        21.5        1.2     4,815         261       21.7        1.2       –51       –0.2
Educational Attainment
      Total, aged 25 and
       older. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            24,312       547        10.9        0.2     24,319        558       10.9        0.2        –7            Z
No high school diploma . . . .                        5,600       261        27.7        1.1      5,563        267       27.5        1.1        37          0.2
High school, no college. . . . .                      8,588       305        13.9        0.5      8,543        319       13.9        0.5        45          0.1
Some college. . . . . . . . . . . . . .               5,449       231         9.5        0.4      5,472        238        9.5        0.4       –23            Z
Bachelor’s degree or
 higher . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         4,674        214         5.6       0.2      4,741        219         5.7       0.3      *–67      *–0.1
Tenure
Owner/mortgage . . . . . . . . . .                    7,035       389          5.1       0.3      7,146        385         5.2       0.3     *–111      *–0.1
Owner/no mortgage/rent-
 free. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .     9,726         424       10.9        0.4    10,057         458       11.2        0.5     *–331      *–0.4
Renter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      21,540         760       22.1        0.7    20,960         765       21.5        0.7      *580       *0.6
Residence4
Inside metropolitan
 statistical areas. . . . . . . . . . .             33,359         871       11.8        0.3     33,426       881        11.8        0.3       –67          Z
  Inside principal cities. . . . .                  15,654         673       14.9        0.6     15,527       672        14.8        0.6       127        0.1
  Outside principal cities . . .                    17,705         631       10.0        0.3     17,898       640        10.1        0.3     *–194      *–0.1
Outside metropolitan
 statistical areas. . . . . . . . . . .               4,941       458        11.6        0.7      4,737        442       11.2        0.7      *205         *0.5
Region
Northeast. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .            6,341       366        11.5        0.7     6,431         383       11.7        0.7       –90         –0.2
Midwest. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .          6,081       355         9.0        0.5     5,944         347        8.8        0.5      *137         *0.2
South. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .       15,662       644        12.6        0.5    15,466         628       12.4        0.5      *195         *0.2
West. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .      10,216       405        13.1        0.5    10,321         402       13.2        0.5      –105         –0.1

     Footnotes provided at end of table.



36                                                                                                                                           U.S. Census Bureau
Appendix Table 8.
Comparison of 2019 Supplemental Poverty Estimates Using Production and Revised
Supplemental Poverty Measure Files—Con.
(Numbers in thousands. Margin of error in thousands or percentage points as appropriate. People as of March of the
following year. Information on confidentiality protection, sampling error, nonsampling error, and definitions is available
at <https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/techdocs/cpsmar20.pdf>)
                                                           SPM 2019—Revised1                           SPM 2019—Published                 Difference
                                                     Number                 Percent              Number                Percent
             Characteristic
                                                          Margin of             Margin of             Margin of               Margin of
                                                 Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate error2 (±)   Estimate   error2 (±) Number   Percent

Health Insurance Coverage
With private insurance. . . . . .                11,933        500          5.4       0.2    12,202         491        5.5         0.2   *–269     *–0.1
With public, no private
 insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        19,993       534        25.8        0.6    19,600         556       25.3         0.6    *393         *0.5
Not insured. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .         6,375       323        23.8        1.1     6,361         322       23.7         1.1      14          0.1
Work Experience
      Total, 18 to 64 years.. .                   22,073        603       11.2        0.3     22,072        606       11.2         0.3       1         Z
All workers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .        10,491        365        6.8        0.2     10,599        368        6.9         0.2   *–108     *–0.1
Worked full-time,
 year-round. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           4,371       225          3.9       0.2      4,487        226        4.0         0.2   *–116     *–0.1
Less than full-time,
 year-round. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .           6,120        255       14.6        0.5      6,112        256       14.6         0.5       8           Z
Did not work at least
 1 week . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .    11,582        388        27.0        0.8     11,473        390       26.8         0.8    *109         *0.3
Disability Status5
     Total, 18 to 64 years.. .                   22,073        603        11.2        0.3    22,072         606       11.2         0.3       1         Z
With a disability . . . . . . . . . . .           3,203        164        22.2        1.1     3,107         168       21.5         1.2     *96      *0.7
With no disability. . . . . . . . . .            18,804        554        10.3        0.3    18,899         556       10.4         0.3     –95      –0.1

    * An asterisk preceding an estimate indicates change is statistically different from zero at the 90 percent confidence level.
    Z Rounds to zero.
    1
      The data for 2019 reflect the implementation of revised Supplement Poverty Measure methodology. More information is available in the
report appendix.
    2
      A margin of error (MOE) is a measure of an estimate's variability. The larger the MOE in relation to the size of the estimate, the less reli-
able the estimate. This number, when added to and subtracted from the estimate, forms the 90 percent confidence interval. MOEs shown in
this table are based on standard errors calculated using replicate weights.
    3
      Federal surveys give respondents the option of reporting more than one race. Therefore, two basic ways of defining a race group are
possible. A group, such as Asian, may be defined as those who reported Asian and no other race (the race-alone or single-race concept) or
as those who reported Asian regardless of whether they also reported another race (the race-alone-or-in-combination concept). This table
shows data using the first approach (race alone). The use of the single-race population does not imply that it is the preferred method of pre-
senting or analyzing data. The Census Bureau uses a variety of approaches. Data for American Indians and Alaska Natives, Native Hawaiians
and Other Pacific Islanders, and those reporting two or more races are not shown separately.
    4
      Information on metropolitan statistical areas and principal cities is available at <www.census.gov/programs-surveys/metro-micro/about
/glossary.html>.
    5
      The sum of those with and without a disability does not equal the total because disability status is not defined for individuals in the
U.S. armed forces.
    Note: Details may not sum to totals due to rounding.
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2020 Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC).




U.S. Census Bureau                                                                                                                                      37


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