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Federal Reserve Banks, Small Business Credit Survey: 2022 Report on Nonemployer Firms (2022)

Summary

Small Business Credit Survey 2022 Report on Nonemployer Firms from the Federal Reserve Banks, based on the 2021 survey, by Lucas Misera, Ann Marie Wiersch and Emily Wavering Corcoran of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Nonemployer firms account for approximately four in five small businesses and $1.3 trillion in sales. Thirty-one percent of nonemployers in the 2021 survey reported an increase in revenue, compared to just 14% in the 2020 survey, though most reported financial challenges. Despite policymakers' 2021 changes to the Paycheck Protection Program aimed at the smallest businesses, just half of smaller nonemployer firms applied for PPP funding in 2020 or 2021. The key statistics table shows 26.2 percent applied for financing and 72.4 percent were in fair or poor financial condition.

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“Federal Reserve Banks, Small Business Credit Survey: 2022 Report on Nonemployer Firms (2022).” Original at www.fedsmallbusiness.org. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/federal-reserve-banks-small-business-credit-survey-2022-report-on-none-06f92f5368/, SHA-256 61e6799301326b3514b853a364850778514142d9509686d16f0964c190ac94db.

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                                                                      ISSN 2831-4034 | https://doi.org/10.55350/sbcs-20220929




SMALL BUSINESS
CREDIT SURVEY




2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS




              F E DE R A L R E SE RV E BA N K S of
                 Atlanta • Boston • Chicago • Cleveland • Dallas • Kansas City • Minneapolis
                 NewSURVEY
 SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT York •| Philadelphia    • Richmond
                               2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER    • St. Louis • San Francisco
                                                          FIRMS                                                      1
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS


REPORT TEAM1
Lucas Misera, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Ann Marie Wiersch, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Emily Wavering Corcoran, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Please direct media inquiries to Doug Campbell at doug.campbell@clev.frb.org.
Please direct inquiries about research and data in this report to Lucas Misera, policy analyst, at lucas.misera@clev.frb.org.




The Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS) is made possible through collaboration with business and civic organizations in communities
across the United States. The Federal Reserve Banks thank the national, regional, and community partners who share valuable insights
about small business financing needs and work with us to promote and distribute the survey.2
Special thanks to colleagues within the Federal Reserve System, especially the community affairs officers, for their ongoing support of
the SBCS.3 The 2021 SBCS was the result of the collaborative effort and input of the following individuals in the Federal Reserve System:


NATIONAL SBCS TEAM                                                                  OUTREACH LIAISONS
Emily Wavering Corcoran, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                          Leilani Barnett, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Ayo Ellis, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                                        Alfred Breuer, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Camilla Grigsby, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                                  Brian Clarke, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Grace Guynn, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta                                        Emily Engel, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Mary Hirt, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta                                          Dell Gines, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Alexander Marré, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                                  Nicholas Haltom, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Lucas Misera, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                                     Michou Kokodoko, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Amber Sherman, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                                    Lisa Locke, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Maria Thompson, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                                   Drew Pack, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Ann Marie Wiersch, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland                                Emily Perlmeter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
                                                                                    Alvaro Sánchez, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
SURVEY ADVISORS                                                                     Janelle Williams, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Claire Kramer Mills, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Mark Schweitzer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland




The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Federal Reserve System.
Data used in this report may be subject to updates or changes.

1    The report team appreciates the thoughtful comments and guidance from Mark Schweitzer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Thank you, Heather Ann,
     Ellen Seguin, and Paula Austin of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, for publication review and report design.
2    For a full list of community partners, please visit www.fedsmallbusiness.org.
3    Joseph Firschein, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Karen Leone de Nie, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Prabal Chakrabarti, Federal Reserve
     Bank of Boston; Jane Dokko, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago; Emily Garr Pacetti, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland; Tara Payne, Federal Reserve Bank of
     Dallas; Teesha Miller, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City; Alene Tchourumoff, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis; David Erickson, Federal Reserve Bank of
     New York; Theresa Singleton, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia; Carrie Cook, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond; Daniel Davis, Federal Reserve Bank of St.
     Louis; and Bina Shrimali, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                                                                                                     i
TABLE OF CONTENTS


i     EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                                       10   DEBT AND FINANCING
                                                              10   Financial Services Providers
iii   NOTES AND DEFINITIONS
                                                              11   Debt Outstanding

1     DEMOGRAPHICS                                            12   Financing Demand and Outcomes

1     Firm Owner Characteristics                              13   Financing Needs and Outcomes

2     Firm Characteristics                                    14   Nonapplicants


3     PERFORMANCE AND CHALLENGES                              15   FINANCING APPLICATIONS

3     Revenue Performance                                     15   Loan/Line of Credit/Cash Advance Sources

4     Revenue and Employment Expectations, Next 12            16   Loan/Line of Credit/Cash Advance Approval
      Months
                                                              17   METHODOLOGY
5     Financial Condition and Challenges

6     PANDEMIC-RELATED FINANCIAL
      ASSISTANCE
6     Funding Applications
7     Nonapplicants
8     PPP Applications and Outcomes
9     PPP Applications by Source




SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                                                i
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


INTRODUCTION                                         effects of COVID-19. Earlier in 2021,                Revenue performance improved between
                                                     policymakers made significant changes to             the 2020 and 2021 surveys, though most
Nonemployer firms—that is, businesses                the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) to             nonemployer firms noted experiencing
with no employees other than the owner(s)            ensure that the smallest businesses could            financial challenges.
of the business—are an important piece               access the funds.3 Still, the SBCS found
of the US economy, accounting for                    that just half of smaller nonemployer firms          ƒ    Thirty-one percent of nonemployers in
approximately four in five small businesses          applied for PPP funding in 2020 or 2021,                  the 2021 SBCS reported an increase in
and $1.3 trillion in sales.1 Yet, as                 and among those smaller nonemployer firms                 revenue, compared to just 14% in the
demonstrated in previous Small Business              that applied in 2021, less than half received             2020 SBCS. Despite the improvement
Credit Survey (SBCS) reports, nonemployer            the full amount they sought. Similarly,                   in revenue performance from 2020, a
firms are more likely to experience financial        when smaller nonemployers applied for                     majority of nonemployers reported that
challenges and difficulties accessing                traditional financing such as loans or lines              revenues remain lower than in 2019.
financing than firms with employees                  of credit, they were around half as likely as
                                                                                                          ƒ    The share of nonemployer firms
(employer firms); these trends were only             larger nonemployers to receive all that they
                                                                                                               reporting some type of financial
exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic.2               needed. However, nonemployer firms of all
                                                                                                               challenge grew from 81% in 2020 to
This publication uses 2021 SBCS data to              sizes had challenges accessing financing,
                                                                                                               88% in 2021. Financial challenges
explore the experiences of nonemployer               as just 29% ultimately reported having their
                                                                                                               include dealing with uneven cash flows,
firms and highlight findings around firm             financing needs met.
                                                                                                               paying operating expenses, accessing
performance and access to funding.
                                                     This report highlights SBCS data that show                credit, and growing sales.
While revenue performance numbers                    that nonemployer firms largely have yet to
                                                                                                          ƒ    The recovery of smaller nonemployer
improved between the 2020 and 2021                   recover from the effects of the pandemic,
                                                                                                               firms’ revenues notably lagged that
surveys, evidence of persisting financial            and that financing remains difficult for these
                                                                                                               of larger nonemployer firms, or those
difficulties among nonemployers showed               firms to access. Importantly, the data show
                                                                                                               with more than $100,000 in annual
in the 2021 data. The share of nonemployer           that those trends are particularly evident
                                                                                                               revenues. Thirty-one percent of larger
firms reporting financial challenges                 among smaller nonemployer firms.
                                                                                                               nonemployers reported that revenues
increased. Despite improvements in 2021
                                                                                                               had increased relative to prepandemic
revenues versus 2020, well over half of
                                                                                                               levels, compared to 19% of smaller
nonemployers reported that revenues at
the time of the 2021 survey were still lower
                                                     SURVEY FINDINGS                                           nonemployers.
than in 2019. Findings indicate there were           The 2021 SBCS yielded 6,834 responses                ƒ    While 37% of smaller nonemployer firms
notable gaps in revenue performance                  from a nationwide convenience sample                      reported they were in poor financial
between smaller nonemployer firms                    of nonemployer firms. This publication                    condition, that was the case for just
(that is, nonemployer firms with less                summarizes data for firms that were                       16% of larger nonemployer firms.
than $100,000 in annual revenues) and                currently operating or temporarily closed
their larger-revenue counterparts; in fact,          at the time of survey. Because the SBCS
smaller nonemployer firms were more than             findings represent the experiences of those
twice as likely as larger nonemployers               firms that were operating at the time of the
to report that they were in poor financial           survey, the data do not reflect the collective
condition.                                           experiences of all small firms throughout
                                                     the pandemic. Firms that recently closed
Many pandemic-related financial assistance
                                                     are not included in the sample for this
programs were available in 2021 to help
                                                     report.
small businesses cope with the financial




 1   US Census Bureau, Nonemployer Statistics, 2019.
 2   Small Business Credit Survey 2021 Report on Nonemployer Firms. https://www.fedsmallbusiness.org/survey/2021/report-on-nonemployer-firms.
 3   US Small Business Administration, Biden Administration PPP Reform Fact Sheets, 2021. https://www.sba.gov/document/support-biden-administration-ppp-
     reform-fact-sheets.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                                                                                            i
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
(Continued)



Despite their financial challenges,                     Smaller nonemployer firms were less                      ABOUT THE SURVEY
nonemployer firms were less likely than                 likely than both larger nonemployer firms
employer firms to seek pandemic-related                 and employer firms to apply for financing;
financial assistance in the 12 months prior             they were also less likely to receive the                The SBCS is an annual survey of firms
to the survey.                                          financing they sought.                                   with fewer than 500 employees. The
                                                                                                                 SBCS sample includes nonemployers,
ƒ   Sixty-two percent of nonemployers                   ƒ   Twenty-nine percent of larger                        which represent over 77% of all US
    applied for pandemic-related financial                  nonemployer firms applied for financing              establishments.5 Respondents are asked
    assistance in the prior 12 months, 15                   in the 12 months leading up to the                   to report information about their business
    percentage points fewer than the share                  survey, slightly more than the 25% of                performance, financing needs and choices,
    of employer firms that applied.                         smaller nonemployers that applied.4                  and borrowing experiences. Responses to
                                                                                                                 the SBCS provide insights on the dynamics
ƒ   Twenty-eight percent of nonemployer                 ƒ   Just 16% of smaller nonemployer firms                behind lending trends and shed light on
    firm owners reported collecting                         reported receiving all of the financing              various segments of the small business
    unemployment insurance.                                 for which they applied. In comparison,               population. The SBCS is not a random
                                                            29% of larger nonemployers received all              sample; results should be analyzed with
ƒ   Nonemployers were most likely to                        that they sought, nearly in line with the            awareness of potential biases that are
    apply to the Economic Injury Disaster                   share of employer firms that were fully              associated with convenience samples.
    Loan (EIDL) program (39%). Twenty-                      funded.                                              For detailed information about the survey
    eight percent of nonemployers sought
                                                                                                                 design and weighting methodology, please
    loans through the Paycheck Protection               ƒ   Among firms that sought loans, lines of
                                                                                                                 consult the Methodology section.
    Program (PPP).                                          credit, or cash advances, nonemployer
                                                            firms were less likely than employer
ƒ   Larger nonemployer firms were far more                  firms to apply at banks but more likely
    likely than their smaller counterparts                  to apply at online lenders. At either
    to receive all of the PPP funding for                   banks or online lenders, nonemployers
    which they applied in 2021. While 64%                   were less likely than employer firms to
    of larger nonemployer firms received                    have their credit applications approved.
    all of the PPP funding they sought, that
    was the case for just 46% of smaller
    nonemployers.

ƒ   Nonemployer firms that applied for a
    PPP loan were less likely than employer
    firms to apply through a bank but more
    than twice as likely as employer firms to
    apply at an online lender.




4   The share of firms that applied for financing in 2021 excludes firms that applied for only pandemic-related financial assistance, such as PPP.
5   US Census Bureau, CBP and NES Combined Report, 2019.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                                                                                           ii
NOTES AND DEFINITIONS


TIME REFERENCES
Survey questions in the SBCS ask respondents to reference specific time periods. Most questions ask about respondents’ experiences
in the 12 months prior to the time of their response. In some cases, questions ask about conditions at the time of their response, or how
conditions at that point in time compare to a prior reference period. Finally, some questions ask about respondents’ expectations in the
12 months following the time of their response. The time periods referenced in the survey are defined as follows:
Prior 12 Months. The 12 months prior to the fielding of the survey. For the 2021 SBCS, this is approximately September–November 2020
through September–November 2021.
At Time of Survey. September through November 2021.
Next 12 Months. The 12 months following the fielding of the survey. For the 2021 SBCS, this is approximately September–November 2021
through September–November 2022.


FINANCIAL SERVICES PROVIDERS AND LENDERS
Questions in the SBCS ask respondents about their use of and experiences with lenders and other financial services providers. Because
respondents may not have a uniform understanding of the terms used in the SBCS, the questionnaire provides examples and explanatory
information about the response options. Examples vary between questions to convey the most relevant services and providers.1 The
financial services providers and lenders referenced in the survey are defined as follows:
Large bank, small bank. Large banks are defined as those with at least $10B in total deposits; small banks are those with less than
$10B in total deposits. For application questions, respondents are shown a list of large banks operating in their state to assist them with
proper classification of their institution.
Finance company. Finance companies are nonbanks that provide loans, leases, and other financial services. Examples provided to
respondents vary by question but include mortgage companies, equipment dealers, auto finance companies, investment funds, and
insurance companies.
Online lender/fintech company. Online lenders/fintech companies are nonbanks that operate online. Examples provided to respondents
vary by question but include OnDeck, Kabbage, CAN Capital, Paypal, and Square.
Credit union. Credit unions are nonprofit cooperatives where members can borrow money at competitive rates from pooled deposits.
Community development financial institution (CDFI). CDFIs are financial institutions that provide credit and financial services to
underserved markets and populations. CDFIs are certified by the CDFI Fund at the US Department of the Treasury.
Financial services company. Financial services companies are nonbank providers of business financial services. Examples include
companies that provide payroll processing, merchant services, and accounting services.
Alternative financial source. Examples of alternative financial sources provided to respondents include payday lenders, check cashing
services, pawn shops, and money order/transmission services.


CREDIT RISK
Credit risk is determined by the self-reported business credit score or personal credit score, depending on which is used to obtain
financing for the business. If a firm uses both, the weaker score is used. “Low credit risk” is an 80–100 business credit score or 720+
personal credit score. “Medium credit risk” is a 50–79 business credit score or a 620–719 personal credit score. “High credit risk” is a
1–49 business credit score or a <620 personal credit score.




1   See the SBCS questionnaire for more details.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                                                                             iii
DEMOGRAPHICS
Firm Owner Characteristics


Nonemployer firms are more likely than employer firms to be owned by people
of color and women.


RACE/ETHNICITY OF OWNER(S)1,2                                                         GENDER OF OWNER(S)2
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)                                                 (% of nonemployer and employer firms)



                                          10%         2%
                                                                                                                                          21%
                                        7%            6%
                                             11%
Nonemployer                                                      Employer             Nonemployer                                        42%             Employer
firms                                            15%             firms                firms                                                              firms
N=6,834                                                          N=10,914             N=6,834                                                            N=10,914


                                    67%                                                                                     58%

                                    83%                                                                                     79%


sAsian        sBlack         sHispanic          sWhite                            sWomen-owned              sMen-owned or equally owned



DESCRIPTION OF PRIMARY OWNER’S WORK FOR THE BUSINESS (% of nonemployer firms)                                                                             N=6,399




Business is owner's only job                                                        67%                    40% of nonemployer firms work
                                                                                                           as independent contractors for
Owner has multiple jobs;                                                                                   other businesses or agencies
this is the main job                      17%

                                                                                                           17% of surveyed nonemployer
Owner has multiple jobs;                                                                                   firms perform gig work3
this is not the main job                15%

                                                                                                           76% of nonemployer firms are
Owner does not regularly                                                                                   legally incorporated
                                     1%
work at this business


1    Non-Hispanic Native American firms, not shown, account for less than 1 percent of nonemployer firms and less than 1 percent of employer firms.
2    SBCS responses throughout the report are weighted using Census Bureau data to represent the nonemployer firm population in the United States by age,
     industry, geographic location, gender of owner(s), and race or ethnicity of owner(s). Employer firm responses are weighted using Census Bureau data to
     represent the US small employer firm population on the following dimensions: firm age, number of employees, industry, geography, race/ethnicity of owner, and
     gender of owner. For details on weighting, see Methodology.
3    The SBCS questionnaire describes a gig as a single project or task for which a worker is hired, sometimes through a digital marketplace, to work on demand.
     Examples include Uber driver, freelancer, etc.



SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                      Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks            1
DEMOGRAPHICS
Firm Characteristics


Nonemployer firms are significantly smaller than employer firms, as
measured by annual revenues, and are more likely to be in service industries.


REVENUE SIZE OF FIRM 1,2
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)                                                                                                     > $10M
                                                                                                                                          $1M–$10M
                                                                                                                                          $100K–$1M
                                                                                                                                          ≤ $100K
                                                                          <1%                    4%
                                                                           2%
    For purposes of                                                                                                          In this report, “smaller
                                                          20%
    this report, “smaller                                                                       22%                          employer firms” are
    nonemployer firms”                                                                                                       defined as those with
    are those with $100K                                                                                                     $1M or less in annual
    or less in annual                                                                                                        revenues. “Larger
    revenues. “Larger                                                                                                        employer firms”
                                                                                                52%
    nonemployer firms”                                    78%
                                                                                                                             are those with more
    are those with more                                                                                                      than $1M in annual
    than $100K in annual                                                                                                     revenues.
    revenues.
                                                                                                22%

                                                 Nonemployer firms                        Employer firms
                                                         N=6,287                              N=10,512



INDUSTRY 2,3
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)

                                                     Nonmanufacturing goods                                         Healthcare           Leisure &
                                                     production & associated                                        & education          hospitality Manufacturing
                                                             services
                     Professional services                                              Business support &                                        Finance &
                         & real estate                                                  consumer services                            Retail       insurance
Nonemployer
firms                          26%                                 22%                           21%                    11%           8%         7% 3% 1%
N=6,834

Employer
firms                      20%                        18%                    15%                 13%               13%               11%          6% 4%
N=10,914



1    Categories have been condensed and simplified for readability. Actual categories are ≤$25K, $25,001–$50K, $50,001–$100K, $100,001–$500K, $500,001–$1M,
     $1,000,001–$5M, $5,000,001–$10M, >$10M.
2    SBCS responses throughout the report are weighted using Census Bureau data to represent the nonemployer firm population in the United States by age,
     industry, geographic location, gender of owner(s), and race or ethnicity of owner(s). Employer firm responses are weighted using Census Bureau data to
     represent the US small employer firm population on the following dimensions: firm age, number of employees, industry, geography, race/ethnicity of owner, and
     gender of owner. For details on weighting, see Methodology. Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding.
3    The nonmanufacturing goods production and associated services category includes industries such as agriculture, construction, wholesale trade,
     transportation, and warehousing. Within this industry category, the share of nonemployer firms is higher than the share of employers for transportation and
     wholesale businesses.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                      Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks            2
PERFORMANCE AND CHALLENGES
Revenue Performance


Compared to the 2020 survey, more nonemployer firms reported revenue
growth, though overall revenue performance remains below prepandemic
levels.
NONEMPLOYER FIRM REVENUE PERFORMANCE, Prior 12 Months1,2                                                                                       Increased
(% of nonemployer firms)
                                                                                                                                               No change
                                                                                                                                               Decreased

          42%                    41%                     43%                      44%
                                                                                                                                  31%

                                                                                                          14%

          31%                    34%                     33%                      31%                     12%                     21%



          26%                    25%                     24%                      25%
                                                                                                                                  47%
                                                                                                          75%




    2016 Survey             2017 Survey             2018 Survey              2019 Survey             2020 Survey             2021 Survey
          N=5,225               N=5,380                 N=5,622                 N=3,849                  N=4,520                 N=6,821




REVENUE CHANGE SINCE 20192,3
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)



Smaller nonemployer firms                                                                                            70%          11%                     19%
N=3,474



Larger nonemployer firms                                                                               60%         10%                                    31%
N=732



Employer firms                                                                                             63%          10%                               27%
N=7,212


 Decreased              No change               Increased


1    See Notes and Definitions for details on time period definitions used in the SBCS.
2    Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding.
3    Respondents from firms that were established in 2019 or earlier were asked to compare their revenue and employment levels at the time of the survey to the
     same time in 2019.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                      Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks             3
PERFORMANCE AND CHALLENGES
Revenue and Employment Expectations, Next 12 Months


Revenue expectations among nonemployer firms improved year-over-year,
but firms were still less optimistic about revenue growth than in years prior
to the pandemic.

NONEMPLOYER FIRM REVENUE EXPECTATIONS INDEX, Next 12 Months1,2
(% of nonemployer firms)


       63%
                                   62%
                                                                59%                         59%

                                                                                                                                                     49%




                                                                                                                          7%
    2016 Survey                2017 Survey                 2018 Survey                  2019 Survey                  2020 Survey                2021 Survey
      N=5,225                     N=5,445                      N=5,691                     N=3,854                     N=4,515                      N=6,806




PLANS TO ADD EMPLOYEES, Next 12 Months2
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)




Nonemployer firms
N=6,690
                                                                                             35%                           35% of nonemployer
                                                                                                                           firms are potential
                                                                                                                           employers—that is, they
Employer firms                                                                                                             plan to add employees
N=10,635                                                                                                       41%
                                                                                                                           in the next 12 months.




1      The index is the share reporting expected revenue growth minus the share reporting expected declines.
2      See Notes and Definitions for details on time period definitions used in the SBCS.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                        Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks       4
PERFORMANCE AND CHALLENGES
Financial Condition and Challenges


Among both nonemployer and employer firms, smaller-revenue firms were
more likely to report their businesses were in fair or poor financial condition
at the time of the survey.


FINANCIAL CONDITION, At Time of Survey1,2
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)



Smaller nonemployer firms                                               37%                                               40%                   17% 4%           2%
N=5,075



Larger nonemployer firms                      16%                                           37%                                   30%           11%         6%
N=1,208



Smaller employer firms                                   24%                                                41%                          23%         8%          3%
N=7,689



Larger employer firms                  8%                               29%                                    32%                      20%              12%
N=2,816


 Poor            Fair            Good                Very good              Excellent



SHARE OF FIRMS WITH FINANCIAL CHALLENGES, Prior 12 Months2,3
(% of nonemployer firms)
                                                                                                                                                88%


                                                                                                              81%




                                                                            69%

          64%
                                         62%

    2017 Survey                     2018 Survey                       2019 Survey                       2020 Survey                       2021 Survey
      N=5,511                           N=5,764                           N=3,986                           N=4,511                           N=6,791




1    Self-reported financial condition at time of survey. Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding.
2    See Notes and Definitions for details on time period definitions used in the SBCS.
3    For comparison, 85% of employer firms in the 2021 survey reported financial challenges, an increase of four percentage points since the 2020 survey.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                       Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks            5
PANDEMIC-RELATED FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE
Funding Applications


Overall, nonemployer firms were less likely than employer firms to have
sought pandemic-related financial assistance in the prior 12 months.


TYPES OF FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE SOUGHT, Prior 12 Months1,2
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)
                                                                                                   Nonemployer firms                 Employer firms
                                                                                                       N=6,756                            N=10,760
            48%                   47%

     39%                                                                                                                                 38%
                                                        33%
                                                                              31%
                          28%
                                                24%                   23%                                                                          23%




                                                                                             7%      8%
                                                                                                                   4%       5%
     EIDL loan             PPP loan            Grant from            EIDL advance           Grant from              Loan from            Did not seek
                                               state/local                                  nonprofit or           state/local             financial
                                               government                                   foundation             government             assistance
                                                  fund                                                                fund



PANDEMIC-RELATED FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE APPLICATIONS AND OUTCOMES, Prior 12 Months2,3
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)
                                                                                       Sought assistance and                 Did not seek any form of
                                                                                        were denied funding            assistance and did not need funding
                                                         Sought assistance                                         Did not seek
                                                        and received funding                              assistance but needed funding
Smaller nonemployer firms
                                                                                                58%              13%                     20%         9%
N=5,012

Larger nonemployer firms
                                                                                                      63%         8%              15%                14%
N=1,191

Employer firms                                                                                          65%             12%               15%        8%
N=10,736



                                28% of nonemployer firm owners collected unemployment
                                             insurance benefits in the prior 12 months.2, 4


1   The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) and Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL) are administered through the US Small Business Administration.
    Select response options shown. See Appendix for more detail. Respondents could select multiple options.
2   See Notes and Definitions for details on time period definitions used in the SBCS.
3   Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding. In this chart, unemployment benefits are included with financial assistance.
4   The CARES Act gave states the option of extending unemployment compensation to independent contractors and other self-employed workers who are
    ordinarily ineligible for unemployment benefits.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                 Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks           6
PANDEMIC-RELATED FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE
Nonapplicants


Among firms that did not apply for financial assistance, nonemployer firms
most often said the reason was that they did not think they would qualify.
Employer firms were more likely than nonemployer firms to say they chose
not to apply because they did not need the funding.


REASONS FIRMS DID NOT SEEK FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE, Prior 12 Months1
(% of nonemployer and employer firms that did not apply for assistance)


                                                                                                                                       Nonemployer firms
                                                                                                                           51%             N=1,848
Did not think business would qualify
                                                                                                               44%
                                                                                                                                       Employer firms
                                                                                                                                           N=1,817




                                                                            23%
Could not find a program
to fit business needs
                                                                    18%




                                                                          22%
Programs too confusing
or time consuming
                                                                     19%




                                                    8%
Other reasons
                                                   7%




                                                                                    28%
Business did not need funding
                                                                                                  36%




1    See Notes and Definitions for details on time period definitions used in the SBCS. Respondents could select multiple options.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                       Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks   7
PANDEMIC-RELATED FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE
PPP Applications and Outcomes


Overall, the share of firms that applied for PPP loans declined from 2020
to 2021. Nonemployers were less likely than employers to have sought
PPP loans.

PPP APPLICATIONS, 2020 and 20211
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)

                                                                                                                                 Applied in 2020
                                                                                                       90%
                                                                                                                                 Applied in 2021
                                                                     76%
                                                                                                                                 Did not apply for PPP

                                    56%
                    52%                                                      50%
                                                                                                               44%
    37%                                     35% 37%
           28%

                                                                                      17%
                                                                                                                        8%
Smaller nonemployer               Larger nonemployer              Smaller employer firms            Larger employer firms
        firms                            firms                              N=7,641                           N=2,808
          N=4,991                         N=1,199




PPP FUNDING RECEIVED, AS A SHARE OF AMOUNT SOUGHT BY APPLICANTS, 20212
(% of nonemployer and employer PPP applicants)


Smaller nonemployer firms                                                       46%          9%                   19%                                 27%
N=1,603



Larger nonemployer firms                                                                               64%          11%         10%                   15%
N=426



Smaller employer firms                                                                                 64%               15%         10%              11%
N=1,362



Larger employer firms                                                                                                    80%             13%      4% 4%
N=4,079


 All        Most (51%–99%)               Some (1%–50%)                None

1    The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) is administered by the US Small Business Administration (SBA). PPP loans were available from April through August
     2020 and January through May 2021.
2    Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                    Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks            8
PANDEMIC-RELATED FINANCIAL ASSISTANCE
PPP Applications by Source


Compared to employer firm PPP applicants, nonemployer firms that sought
PPP loans were less likely to apply at banks and more likely to apply at online
lenders.


PPP APPLICATIONS BY SOURCE, 20211,2
(% of nonemployer and employer PPP applicants)

                                                                                                                                          Nonemployer firms
                                         44%                                                                                                  N=2,215

            39%                                                                                                                           Employer firms
                                                                                                                                              N=5,709

    31%                       30%
                                                            26%




                                                                      11%
                                                                                          7%        5%                 7%                            5%        2%
                                                                                                                                  4%
    Large bank                  Small bank                 Online lender/                Credit union              Finance company                      CDFI
                                                         fintech company




SHARE OF PPP APPLICANTS THAT APPLIED AT ONLINE LENDERS, 20212
(% of nonemployer and employer PPP applicants)


Smaller nonemployer firms                                                                                                                                     27%
N=1,672



Larger nonemployer firms                                                                           15%
N=441



Smaller employer firms                                                                    13%
N=4,187



Larger employer firms
N=1,379
                                               4%




1    Respondents could select multiple options.
2    The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) is administered by the US Small Business Administration (SBA). The SBCS lender categories differ somewhat from
     lender classifications used by the SBA to report PPP lending volume by lender type. Of note, the SBA classifies banks that originated PPP loans in partnership
     with fintech platforms as fintech lenders; the SBCS classifies them as banks.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                        Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks               9
DEBT AND FINANCING
Financial Services Providers


Nonemployer firms are less likely than employer firms to use banks for
financial services.


USE OF FINANCIAL SERVICES PROVIDERS 1
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)

                                                                                                                                        Nonemployer firms
                                                                                                           48%                              N=6,779
Large bank
                                                                                                                          56%           Employer firms
                                                                                                                                            N=10,865


                                                                                  34%
Small bank
                                                                                                          47%


                                                        20%
Credit union
                                            13%


                                        11%
Online lender/
fintech company                       10%


                                        11%
Business financial
services company                                                     27%


                              4%
Finance company
                                    8%



                                 2%
CDFI
                                 2%



Business does not                6%
use financial services
                                 2%




1    Financial services providers are those at which the firm has an account or uses other financial services, including loans and payments processing. See Notes
     and Definitions for details on financial services provider descriptions used in the SBCS. Respondents could select multiple options. Select response options
     shown. See Appendix for more details.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                       Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks              10
DEBT AND FINANCING
Debt Outstanding


Among nonemployer and employer firms, the share of firms with outstanding
debt remains elevated compared to prepandemic survey periods.


SHARE OF FIRMS WITH DEBT OUTSTANDING, At Time of Survey1,2
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)
                                                                                                        Nonemployer firms                  Employer firms


                                                                                                                     80%

                                                                                                                                                     74%
    71%                                                     70%                         71%
                                68%


                                                                                                                     59%
                                                                                                                                                     57%

    51%                                                                                 51%

                                45%                         46%


2016 Survey                2017 Survey                 2018 Survey                 2019 Survey                  2020 Survey                  2021 Survey
N=5,298–9,802              N=5,474–8,081               N=5,769–6,540               N=3,962–5,101                N=4,445–9,530               N=6,664–10,679




AMOUNT OF DEBT, At Time of Survey2,3
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)



Nonemployer firms                                                        43%                                                             47%           10%
N=6,664




Employer firms                                     26%                                          34%                                                    40%
N=10,679


sNo debt outstanding            s≤$100K            s>$100K




1    Respondents were instructed to exclude loans they expected would be forgiven from their outstanding debt (for example, PPP loans).
2    See Notes and Definitions for details on time period definitions used in the SBCS.
3    Categories have been simplified for readability. Actual categories are ≤$25K, $25,001–$50K, $50,001–$100K, $100,001–$250K, $250,001–$1M, and >$1M.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                   Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks           11
DEBT AND FINANCING
Financing Demand and Outcomes


Nonemployer firms were less likely than employer firms to have sought
financing in the prior 12 months.


SHARE THAT APPLED FOR FINANCING, Prior 12 Months1,2
(% of nonemployer and employer firms)




              25%                                                      29%                                                             34%


    Smaller nonemployer firms                               Larger nonemployer firms                                               Employer firms
               N=4,932                                                   N=1,175                                                        N=10,578




                     Among potential employers—that is, nonemployer firms expecting
                        to add employees—34% applied for financing in the prior
                        12 months. 59% of potential employers that applied said
                         they were seeking financing to expand their businesses.




TOTAL FINANCING RECEIVED 2,3
(% of nonemployer and employer applicant firms)


Smaller nonemployer firms                        16%         10%                             23%                                                             52%
N=1,322



Larger nonemployer firms                                          29%            12%                             23%                                         36%
N=342



Employer firms                                                      31%               14%                         20%                                        35%
N=3,602


 All        Most (51%–99%)                 Some (1%–50%)                 None
1    See Notes and Definitions for details on time period definitions used in the SBCS.
2    Excludes pandemic-related financial assistance applications.
3    Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding.



SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                           Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks         12
DEBT AND FINANCING
Financing Needs and Outcomes



FUNDING NEEDS AND OUTCOMES 1                                                                                                                             N=6,638
(% of nonemployer firms)



To gauge funding success and shortfalls, we combine applicants’ financing outcomes and nonapplicants’ reasons for not applying.

Firms that had their funding needs met include
1) Applicant firms that received the full amount of financing sought
2) Nonapplicant firms that did not apply for financing because they already had sufficient financing

Firms that did not have their funding needs met include
1) Applicant firms that did not obtain the full amount of financing sought
2) Nonapplicant firms that needed funds but chose not to apply

When applicant firms did not obtain the full amount of financing sought, we consider them to have a funding shortfall. When nonapplicant
firms needed funds but chose not to apply, we consider them to have unmet funding needs.




                                 26%                                                                                74%
                      Applied for financing                                                         Did not apply for financing

     13%                   6%                  2%                  5%                   24%                 23%                 17%                 11%
    Received           Received            Received           Received all           Sufficient         Debt averse         Discouraged              Other
      none              some                 most                                    financing




                        21%                                               29%                                                 50%
                 Had a financing                                        Financing                                         Have unmet
                    shortfall                                           needs met                                        funding needs




1    Excludes pandemic-related financial assistance applications. Discouraged firms are those that did not apply for financing because they believed they would
     be turned down. Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding. For comparison, among employer firms, 24% had a financing shortfall, 42% had their
     financing needs met, and 35% had unmet funding needs.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                      Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks             13
DEBT AND FINANCING
Nonapplicants


Among nonapplicants—that is, firms that did not apply for financing—
nonemployer firms were less likely than employer firms to say their business
had sufficient funding.

PRIMARY REASONS FIRMS DID NOT APPLY FOR FINANCING 1,2
(% of nonemployer and employer nonapplicant firms)


                   46%
                                                                                                            Nonemployer firms                   Employer firms
                                                                                                                N=4,582                              N=6,538




     32%
                                                30%
                                                                26%
                                                                                             23%


                                                                                                             14%                         15%
                                                                                                                                                         13%



Had sufficient funding                           Debt averse                                   Discouraged                                       Other




REASONS DISCOURAGED NONAPPLICANTS DID NOT EXPECT TO BE APPROVED 2,3                                                                                            N=1,040
(% of discouraged nonemployer nonapplicant firms)



        Weak business financials                                                                                                                               56%



    Lender requirements too strict                                                           26%


Lenders do not approve financing
        for businesses like mine                                                             26%


 Was denied financing previously                                         17%



           Missing documentation                  6%



1    Response option “other” includes “credit cost was too high,” “application process was too difficult or confusing,” and “other.” See Appendix for more details.
     Percentages may not sum to 100 because of rounding.
2    Discouraged firms are those that did not apply for financing because they believed they would be turned down.
3    Respondents could select multiple options. Response option “other” not shown. See Appendix for more details.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                         Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks              14
FINANCING APPLICATIONS
Loan/Line of Credit/Cash Advance Sources


Among firms that applied for loans, lines of credit, or cash advances,
nonemployer firms were less likely that employer firms to apply at banks and
more likely to apply at online lenders.

CREDIT SOURCES APPLIED TO 1
(% of nonemployer and employer firm loan, line of credit, and cash advance applicants)


                                                                                                                                       Nonemployer firms
                                                                                                              38%                          N=1,151
Large bank
                                                                                                                                       Employer firms
                                                                                                                           43%             N=2,607




                                                                                                  33%
Online lender
                                                                         23%




                                                                                  27%
Small bank
                                                                                                         36%



                                                       16%
Finance company
                                                          17%




                                               13%
Credit union
                                     8%



                           4%
CDFI
                         3%




1    Excludes pandemic-related financial assistance applications. See Notes and Definitions for details on lender descriptions used in the SBCS. Respondents could
     select multiple options. Response option “other” not shown in chart. See Appendix for more details.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                      Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks            15
FINANCING APPLICATIONS
Loan/Line of Credit/Cash Advance Approval


Across nonemployer and employer firm applicants, approval rates have
declined since prepandemic times. In the 2021 survey, applicants were most
likely to be approved at small banks.


SHARE OF LOAN, LINE OF CREDIT, AND CASH ADVANCE APPLICANT FIRMS THAT WERE FULLY
APPROVED, By Year1 (% of loan, line of credit, and cash advance applicants)
                                                                                                                     2019 Survey             2021 Survey

                                                                                                             64%
                                                         58%


                                                                            47%                                                  48%

    39%

                       31%




 Smaller nonemployer firms                         Larger nonemployer firms                                      Employer firms
          N=512–743                                          N=228–241                                             N=1,837–2,454




SHARE OF LOAN, LINE OF CREDIT, CASH ADVANCE APPLICANTS THAT WERE AT LEAST PARTIALLY
APPROVED, By Source, 2021 Survey1,2 (% of loan, line of credit, and cash advance applicants at source)

                                                                                                        Nonemployer firms                 Employer firms
                        66%                                                                                  N=284–413                         N=534–1,077

     58%
                                                                             52%
                                                                                                                                   47%

                                                          36%                                                   35%




            Small bank                                        Online lender                                            Large bank


1   Excludes pandemic-related financial assistance applications.
2   Select lenders shown. See Appendix for more details. See Notes and Definitions for details on lender descriptions used in the SBCS.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                      Source: 2021 Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks        16
METHODOLOGY


DATA COLLECTION                                          within the industry stratum, the share of                  COMPARISONS TO PAST
                                                         firms in the sample that are manufacturers)                REPORTS
The SBCS uses a convenience sample                       to the share of nonemployer businesses
of establishments. A diverse set of                      in the nation that are in that category.3 As               Because previous SBCS reports have
organizations that serve the small business              a result, underrepresented firms are up                    varied in terms of the population scope,
community contact small firm respondents                 weighted, and overrepresented businesses                   geographic coverage, and weighting
by email.1 The survey instrument is an online            are down weighted. We iterate this process                 methodology, the survey reports are
questionnaire that typically takes 6 to 12               several times for each stratum to derive a                 not directly comparable across time.
minutes to complete, depending on the                    sample weight for each respondent. This                    Geographic coverage and weighting
intensity of a firm’s search for financing.              weighting methodology was developed in                     strategies have varied from year to year.
The questionnaire uses question branching                collaboration with the National Opinion                    For example, the 2016 data were not
and flows based on responses to survey                   Research Center (NORC) at the University                   originally weighted by race, ethnicity,
questions. For example, financing applicants             of Chicago. The data used for weighting                    or gender of owner(s), whereas the
receive a different line of questioning than             come from data collected by the US Census                  2017 through 2021 data (presented in
nonapplicants. Therefore, the number of                  Bureau.4                                                   this report) did include these owner
responses for each question varies by                                                                               demographics in the weighting scheme, as
how many firms receive and complete a                                                                               described previously. In addition to being
particular question.                                                                                                weighted by different firm characteristics
                                                         RACE/ETHNICITY AND GENDER
                                                                                                                    over time, the categories used within each
                                                         IMPUTATION
                                                                                                                    characteristic have also differed across
WEIGHTING                                                Not every respondent provided complete                     survey years. After implementing changes
                                                         information on the gender, race, and/or                    to the weighting methodology, post-2015
A sample for the SBCS is not selected                    the ethnicity of their business’s owner(s).                survey years have been weighted with a
randomly; thus, the SBCS may be subject                  We need this information to correct for                    uniform set of variables. Data for the 2015
to biases not present with surveys that do               differences between the sample and                         survey year are thus not displayed in this
select firms randomly. For example, there                the population data. To avoid losing                       report, as they lack information on several
are likely firms not on our contact lists,               these observations, we use a series of                     of the weighting variables. The data in this
and this may lead to a noncoverage bias.                 statistical models to impute the missing                   report are, however, comparable to the
To control for potential biases, the sample              data. Generally, when the models predict                   report containing 2018 survey data that
data are weighted so that the weighted                   with an accuracy of around 80 percent in                   was published in 2019 and 2017 survey
distribution of firms in the SBCS matches                out-of-sample tests, we use the predicted                  data that were published in 2018. For more
the distribution of the nonemployer firm                 values from the models for the missing                     information on the methodological changes
population in the United States by age,                  data.5 When the model outcomes are less                    to the “time-consistent” weights, please
industry, geographic location (urban or                  certain, those data are not imputed, and the               refer to the methodology section of the
rural location), gender of owner(s), and race            responses are dropped. After the models                    Small Business Credit Survey 2019 Report
or ethnicity of owner(s). We first limit the             impute the data, we compare descriptive                    on Employer Firms. In addition, many survey
sample in each year to only nonemployer                  statistics of key survey questions with and                questions are not comparable over time
firms.2 We then post-stratify respondents                without imputed data to ensure stability of                due to changes in the response options.
by their firm characteristics. Using a                   estimates. In the final sample, five percent
statistical technique known as “raking,” we              of nonemployer firm observations have
compare the share of businesses in each                  imputed values for the gender, race, or
category of each stratum (for example,                   ethnicity of a firm’s ownership.


1    For more information on partnerships, please visit www.fedsmallbusiness.org/partnership.
2    Weights for employer firms are computed separately, and a separate report on employer firms is issued annually.
3    Age strata are 0–2 years, 3–4 years, 5–12 years, and 13+ years. Industry strata are nonmanufacturing goods production and associated services, manufacturing,
     retail, leisure and hospitality, finance and insurance, healthcare and education, professional services and real estate, and business support and consumer services.
     Race/ethnicity strata are Hispanic, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Black or African American, non-Hispanic Native American, and non-Hispanic white. Gender
     strata are men-owned or equally owned, and women-owned. See Appendix for industry definitions and urban and rural definitions.
4    Data on industry and urban/rural location come from the US Census Bureau’s 2018 Nonemployer Statistics (NES). Data from the US Department of Agriculture’s
     Rural-Urban Continuum Codes are used to classify a business’s county as urban or rural. Data on firm age come from the US Census Bureau’s 2012 Survey of
     Business Owners. Data on the race, ethnicity, and gender of business owners are derived from the US Census Bureau’s 2017 NES-D release.
5    Out-of-sample tests are used to develop thresholds for imputing the missing information. To test each model’s performance, half of the sample of nonmissing
     data is randomly assigned as the test group, while the other half is used to develop coefficients for the model. The actual data from the test group are then
     compared with what the model predicts for the test group. On average, predicted probabilities that are associated with an accuracy of around 80% are used,
     although this varies slightly, depending on the number of observations that are being imputed.


SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                                                                                                             17
METHODOLOGY
(Continued)



For example, the option “Finance company”
                                                           Credibility Intervals for Key Statistics in the 2022 Report on Nonemployer Firms
was added as an application source in the
2019 survey; thus, the application rates by                                                                              Percent   Credibility Interval
source displayed in the 2022 report are not                                                                                            (Percent)
directly comparable to reports prior to the
                                                           Share that applied                                             26.2           +/- 1.3
2019 survey.

                                                           Share that received all financing sought                       19.6           +/- 3.7
CREDIBILITY INTERVALS
                                                           Loan/line of credit and cash advance approval rate             54.4           +/- 3.1
The analysis in this report is aided by
the use of credibility intervals. Where                    Share of firms with financial challenges in prior 12 months    88.4           +/- 0.6
there are large differences in estimates
between types of businesses, we perform
                                                           Share of firms in fair or poor financial condition             72.4           +/- 0.8
additional checks on the data to determine
whether such differences are statistically                                                                                               TabTable 1
significant. The results of these tests
help guide our analysis and help us
decide what ultimately is included in the
report. To determine whether differences
are statistically significant, we develop
credibility intervals using a balanced half-
sample approach.6 Because the SBCS does
not come from a probability-based sample,
the credibility intervals we develop should
be interpreted as model-based measures of
deviation from the true national population
values.7 We list 95 percent credibility
intervals for key statistics in the following
table. The intervals shown apply to all
nonemployer firms in the survey. More
granular results with smaller observation
counts will generally have larger credibility
intervals.




6    Wolter. Survey Weighting and the Calculating of Sampling Variance. 2007.
7    American Association for Public Opinion Research. Task Force on Non-probability Sampling. 2013.



SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT SURVEY | 2022 REPORT ON NONEMPLOYER FIRMS                                                                                    18


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