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Discrimination in Lending? Evidence From the Paycheck Protection Program — Small Business Economics (2022)

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Small Business Economics (2022) 58:843-865, Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program, is by Rachel Atkins, Lisa Cook and Robert Seamans, accepted 21 June 2021 and published online 5 July 2021. The abstract says the authors assess the role of race in loans made through the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) and, using newly released data, find that Black-owned businesses received loans approximately 50% lower than observationally similar White-owned businesses. It says the effect is marginally smaller in areas with more bank competition and disappeared over time as changes to the program allowed entry by fintechs and other non-traditional lenders. The authors recommend that policy makers account for existing racial inequalities within banking or other systems in program design.

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Discrimination In Lending Evidence From The Paycheck Protection Program
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Discrimination In Lending Evidence From The Paycheck Protection Program

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“Discrimination in Lending? Evidence From the Paycheck Protection Program — Small Business Economics (2022).” Original at europepmc.org. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/discrimination-in-lending-evidence-from-the-paycheck-protection-program/, SHA-256 31e86da59e080523a4f5947304d16266fa13499749e2a70263b589ca5c90962c.

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Small Bus Econ (2022) 58:843–865
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-021-00533-1




Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck
Protection Program
Rachel Atkins · Lisa Cook · Robert Seamans




Accepted: 21 June 2021 / Published online: 5 July 2021
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2021


Abstract We assess the role of race in loans made                 and began approving PPP loans. Loan size differences
through the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP). The                were also slightly smaller in zip codes containing a
PPP program, created by the U.S. government as a                  larger number of bank branches. These results are
response to the Covid-19 pandemic, provides loans                 consistent with prior research which shows lending
to small businesses so they can keep employees on                 discrimination by commercial banks against Black
their payroll. We argue that the historical record and            borrowers. It is also consistent with studies showing
PPP program design choices made it likely that many               that greater access to and competition among banks
Black-owned businesses received smaller PPP loans                 and other lenders can reduce discrimination. In light
than White-owned businesses. Using newly released                 of these results we recommend that policy makers
data on the PPP program, we find that Black-owned                 account for existing racial inequalities within banking
businesses received loans that were approximately                 or other systems in their program design to produce
50% lower than observationally similar White-owned                more equitable outcomes.
businesses. The effect is marginally smaller in areas
with more bank competition and disappeared over                   Keywords Minority-owned firms · Racial
time as changes to the PPP program were imple-                    discrimination · Discrimination in financial markets ·
mented allowing for entry by fintechs and other non-              Overcoming discriminatory barriers
traditional lenders.
                                                                  JEL Classifications G21 · J16 · L2 · L26
Plain English Summary We find that Black-owned
businesses received loans through the Paycheck Pro-
tection Program that were approximately 50 percent                1 Introduction
lower than White-owned businesses with similar
characteristics. However, this difference in loan size            The Covid-19 pandemic caused one of the sharpest
shrank over time as more non-bank lenders such as                 economic downturns in U.S. history. Mandated and
fintechs were allowed to participate in the program               voluntary stay-at-home orders decimated revenues for
                                                                  small businesses, leaving them unable to meet their
R. Atkins · R. Seamans (*)                                        expenses and causing massive increases in temporary
NYU Stern School of Business, New York City, USA                  and permanent firm closures. The Paycheck Protec-
e-mail: rcs10@stern.nyu.edu                                       tion Program (PPP) was one of the many policy inter-
                                                                  ventions by the U.S. government during the crisis.
L. Cook
Michigan State University and NBER, East Lansing, USA             Between April 10, 2020 and August 8, 2020, PPP

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                                                                                                                     13
844                                                                                                                          R. Atkins et al.


provided nearly 5.2 million loans through nearly 5500                           differentials in loan amounts. Black-White differences
lenders totaling $525 billion for small businesses                              in PPP loan amounts decrease in areas with more
(500 employees or less) that could be used for operat-                          commercial bank branch locations, but this difference
ing expenses including payroll, mortgage interest or                            is not statistically significant. Thus, we find limited
rent, utilities, and approved expenses.1 The program                            evidence consistent with Becker’s (1957) theory that
was administered using established financial institu-                           competition in commercial credit markets reduces
tions and initially relied heavily on commercial banks                          taste-based discrimination. Finally, we study how
to distribute the funding.                                                      changes to the PPP program affected Black-White dif-
   Prior research provides much evidence of racial                              ferences in loan amounts. We find that over time the
discrimination against Black-owned businesses by                                Black-White difference in loan amounts decreases,
banks and other commercial lenders, raising con-                                and this seems due in particular to a change in the
cerns about whether Black-owned businesses would                                PPP program that approved more non-bank lenders to
also face discrimination while seeking PPP funds.                               participate in the program, including fintechs.
Early reports from media outlets and minority-owned                                 One challenge with the PPP loan data is that race
business advocates highlighted the difficulties Black                           is reported for only 10%of the loans. To address this
business owners faced when attempting to access PPP                             challenge, we conduct our analyses on both the full
loans. Of surveyed Black business owners who sought                             set of loans and on the subset of loans for which race
assistance through the PPP, it is reported that 41% did                         is reported. When working with the full set of loans,
not receive the funds and an additional 21% never                               we treat “unanswered race” as the omitted category
heard back from lenders (Global Strategy Group,                                 and compare loan sizes between Black and White
2020). A New York Times report based on data from                               business owners (both relative to the unanswered race
the Small Business Administration (SBA) and inter-                              category). When working with the subset of loans for
views with small businesses argues that a lack of con-                          which race is reported, we treat White business owner
nections with banks, together with some of the PPP’s                            as the omitted category and consider how Black loan
rules, contributed to this low level of access (Trevizo,                        sizes compare to the omitted White category. We
2020). However, Humphries et al. (2020) present data                            also include a Mills ratio derived from a first-stage
from the first round of PPP funding indicating that                             Heckman selection approach to account for selection
smaller businesses generally (not accounting for race)                          effects. The results are similar across both of these
were less aware of the program, faced longer process-                           approaches.
ing times, and were less likely to have their applica-                              Our analysis makes several contributions. To our
tions approved than larger businesses. They attribute                           knowledge, this is the first study to systematically
this skewness to the “first-come, first-served” nature                          examine whether there were differences in PPP loans
of the program design. Thus, it is unclear whether the                          to White- and Black-owned businesses or to inves-
reported difficulties that Black business owners faced                          tigate evidence of lending discrimination as a result
while trying to access PPP funds was due to race or                             of the PPP program. Black-owned businesses were
due to other factors such as firm size.                                         among the hardest hit in the wake of the Covid-19
   In this paper, we use newly released PPP loan                                crisis; hence, this study offers insight into whether the
data from the Small Business Administration (SBA)                               federal government’s primary intervention reached
to investigate whether Black business owners were                               one of the most vulnerable groups of business own-
disproportionately underserved by the program. Our                              ers. Estimates from the first few months of the cri-
results indicate that Black-owned businesses received                           sis indicate that business activity fell 41% among
loan amounts that were approximately 50% lower                                  Black-owned businesses, the largest drop of any racial
than observationally similar White-owned businesses.                            sub-group (Fairlie, 2020). Nearly 20% of Black firm
We also investigate whether differences in the num-                             owners surveyed reported temporarily closing their
ber of banks in an area contributed to Black-White                              businesses due to Covid-19 (Global Strategy Group,
                                                                                2020). Though language in the CARES Act indicates
                                                                                that Congress explicitly intended for the PPP to prior-
1
  https://​www-​sba-​gov.​proxy.​libra​ry.​nyu.​edu/​sites/​defau​lt/​files/​   itize businesses owned by “socially and economically
2020-​08/​PPP_​Report%​20-%​202,020-​08-​10-​508.​pdf.                          disadvantaged individuals” (U.S. Congress, 2020),

13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                             845


we show that the program fell short of meeting this                   features. Section 3 reviews literature on lending dis-
stated goal with respect to Black-owned businesses.                   crimination and access to bank financing and then
   We contribute to the nascent body of literature on                 presents hypotheses. In Sect. 4 we describe our data
the PPP program (Fairlie & Fossen, 2021; Hubbard                      and analytical methods. We present results in Sect. 5
& Strain, 2020; Humphries et al., 2020; Li, 2020;                     and Sect. 6 concludes with recommendations for pol-
Shuai et al., 2020), small business outcomes during                   icy and future research.
Covid 19 (Fairlie, 2020; Kalogiannidis, 2020; Ong
et al. 2020), and government intervention during
ongoing economic crises (Feyrer & Sacerdote, 2011;                    2 The Paycheck Protection Program
Chodorow-Reich et al., 2012; Parker et al., 2013) by
focusing on the challenges faced by Black business                    The Covid-19 pandemic caused one of the sharpest
owners and by governments seeking to reach them                       economic downturns in U.S. history. According to the
during crises. Prior research on racial equity in the                 Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), gross domes-
PPP program examined whether loans were allocated                     tic product dropped by about 33% in the ­2nd quarter
to communities based on the share of minority resi-                   of 2020.2 Following guidelines from public health
dents or businesses in a geographic location. Calem                   officials, state and local governments issued a variety
and Freedman (2020) find a positive relationship                      of directives including stay-at-home orders, manda-
between a community’s minority share of residents                     tory business closures, and social distancing require-
and receipt of PPP loans. Likewise, Fairlie and Fossen                ments. Even in locations where governments did not
(2021) report that the relationship between the minor-                mandate tight restrictions, residents often voluntarily
ity share of a community’s residential or business                    followed public health guidance by social distanc-
population and PPP loan receipt was positive but                      ing, avoiding large gatherings, and working from
small in magnitude. However, they show that loan                      home where possible. These mandated and voluntary
size per employee had a negative relationship with                    actions decimated revenues for small businesses leav-
minority share of the population. We build on these                   ing them unable to meet their expenses causing mas-
existing studies by conducting our analysis at the firm               sive increases in temporary and permanent firm clo-
rather than community level.                                          sures (Fairlie, 2020). Chetty et al. (2020) show that
   We also contribute to literature on racial discrimi-               much of the effects were driven by voluntary actions;
nation in small business lending (Bates & Robb,                       state mandated re-openings had little effect on spend-
2013; Bates et al., 2018; Blanchard et al., 2008; Chen                ing and employment. Many businesses were forced to
et al., 2021) by assessing whether government inter-                  furlough or lay off employees which led to massive
ventions in small business credit markets mirror or                   increases in unemployment (Bartik et al., 2020).
ameliorate discrimination and through what mecha-                        The U.S. federal government created multiple pol-
nisms. Our findings indicate that if governments uti-                 icy interventions in response to the pandemic under
lize existing systems to enact policy or administer                   the CARES Act, including the PPP. PPP was designed
programs without accounting for the pre-existing                      both to slow or stabilize the rate of small business
inequities in those systems, then the enacted poli-                   closures and to reverse the rise in unemployment
cies and programs will likely reproduce those same                    rates. In Round One of the PPP, Congress appropri-
inequities. The SBA relied heavily on commercial                      ated $349 billion for small businesses in the form
banks to administer the PPP. As we describe below,                    of loans that could be used for operating expenses
these are institutions with a long history of racial                  including payroll, mortgage interest or rent, utilities,
discrimination, and Black-owned firms therefore had                   and approved expenses. They attempted to curb rising
less access to PPP funds. When the SBA expanded                       unemployment by offering to forgive PPP loans pro-
the number and types of participating lenders, Black-                 vided firms retain their employees or quickly rehire
owned businesses gained access to more funding                        furloughed or previously laid-off workers. Moreover,
through the PPP.
   The remainder of this article proceeds as follows:
Sect. 2 presents an overview of the PPP’s history and                 2
                                                                        https://​www.​bea.​gov/​news/​2020/​g ross-​domes​tic-​produ​ct-​
                                                                      2nd-​quart​er-​2020-​advan​ce-​estim​ate-​and-​annual-​update.


                                                                                                                           13
846                                                                                                                                R. Atkins et al.

to reach a broad swath of workers through the PPP,               Chetty et al. (2020) estimate that the PPP loans
Congress made loans widely available to employers                increased employment at small businesses by only
including businesses, nonprofits, Tribal businesses,             about 2% (with an implied cost of $377,000 per job
and veterans’ organizations with 500 employees or                saved). Reports speculate that since lenders were able
less.                                                            to extract more in fees from larger businesses more
   The program was administered by the Federal                   quickly, they were dis-incentivized from granting
Small Business Administration (SBA). However,                    loans requested by smaller businesses (Egan, 2020).
as always, SBA does not make loans to businesses                 Data from the Census Small Business Pulse Survey
directly and relies on SBA-qualified lenders which               (SBPS) also identify challenges many small busi-
include depository institutions, such as banks and               nesses faced when trying to access PPP loans. While
credit unions, as well as non-depository institution             75% of small businesses applied for PPP loans, only
lenders, such as some Community Development                      38% received them (Buffington et al., 2020). According
Financial Institutions (CDFIs). Though loan recipi-              to Biz2Credit, prior to the pandemic small business
ents are not charged fees, SBA lenders can still charge          loan approval rates were about 28% at large banks
fees associated with the loans which were paid by the            and 50% at small banks.4 Furthermore, since the PPP
federal government. SBA began accepting PPP loan                 was designed as a “first-come-first-served program”
applications on April 3, 2020. By April 16, 2020,                (Granja et al., 2020), small businesses may have been
funding had already run out. Congress acted by allo-             at a disadvantage given their lag time in knowledge
cating an additional $310 billion in funding for a sec-          about the program’s eligibility requirements and ben-
ond round of PPP loans. In Round Two, Congress                   efits. Indeed, preliminary survey evidence reveals that
made a few modifications, including allowing the                 smaller firms had less access to information about
smallest businesses and other businesses that were               PPP and other programs when compared with large
initially to be targeted to access program funding first.        firms and that this information gap did not close
   The Federal Reserve created the Paycheck Protec-              much over time (Humphries et al., 2020).
tion Program Liquidity Facility (PPPLF) to give a                   Black-owned firms, which were already in a more
financial boost to the PPP. The PPPLF provided credit            fragile financial state relative to their White coun-
to SBA lenders using PPP loans as collateral. In doing           terparts, were particularly hard hit by the Covid-19
so, the Federal Reserve supplied added liquidity and             crisis. This is partly due to Black-owned firms being
thus expanded the capacity of financial institutions to          more likely to operate in environments that produce
make PPP loans. When announcing that the PPPLF                   poor business outcomes (McKinsey, 2020). Prior
was fully operational on April 16, 2020, the Federal             to the pandemic, 58%of Black-owned businesses
Reserve had only made the facility available to deposi-          reported being at risk or financially distressed as com-
tory institutions. By April ­30th, it had extended access        pared with only 27% of White-owned firms (Mills &
to all SBA-authorized lenders. This later action pro-            Battisto, 2020). Black-owned firms are heavily con-
vided credit to smaller non-depository institutions that         centrated in sectors most negatively affected by the
are more likely to lend in communities underserved by            pandemic—accommodation and food service, retail,
commercial banks, such as CDFIs and fintech opera-               and healthcare and social assistance. Fairlie (2020)
tors (Liu & Volker, 2020). Furthermore, these non-               reports findings from the April 2020 Current Popula-
traditional lenders benefited disproportionately from            tion Survey that African American owned businesses
the PPPLF’s affordable credit thus bolstering the like-          experienced a 41% decline in owner activity. These
lihood of their participation in the PPP.                        firms were among those most in need of relief under
   Starting with the SBA Inspector General, many                 the PPP.
have highlighted the difficulties small business own-
ers faced when attempting to access PPP funds
(Global Strategy Group, 2020; Trevizo, 2020).3
                                                                 4
                                                                   https://​www.​globe​newsw​ire.​com/​news-​relea​se/​2020/​04/​07/​
3
  In contrast, others have highlighted that many organizations   20129​11/0/​en/​Small-​Busin​ess-​Loan-​Appro​val-​Rates-​Plumm​
received loans that probably should not have, including Shake    eted-​ i n-​ M arch-​ 2 020-​ B iz2C​ r edit-​ S mall-​ B usin​ e ss-​ L endi​ n g-​
Shack, Harvard University and others (Jeschke, 2020).            Index.​html.


13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                    847

   Yet, early evidence suggests that minority busi-                   home equity were only associated with a higher prob-
ness owners faced unique challenges when attempt-                     ability of starting a business for White but not for
ing to access PPP loans (Flitter, 2020; Kurlyandchick,                Black households.
2020). For example, of the 723 businesses in Salem                       Literature on discrimination presents two primary
MA that received PPP loans as of July 2020, only 7                    types of discrimination: statistical and taste-based
identified as Black-owned (Leighton, 2020). One                       (Arrow, 1998; Fang & Moro, 2010). When engag-
local preschool franchise owner explained that his                    ing in statistical discrimination, loan officers may use
existing relationship with a commercial bank allowed                  race as a proxy for unobserved characteristics that are
him to acquire PPP funding but that “many Black                       correlated with both race and the probability of loan
owners don’t have relationships with banks.” He also                  default. We do not expect PPP lenders to engage in
noted that “banks would choose to focus on their                      statistical discrimination because the SBA guarantee
customers first” given the volume of loan requests                    on all PPP loans shifts 100% of the default risk from
brought on by Covid-19 and the PPP. Thus, one might                   private banks to the federal government. Instead, we
predict disproportionately lower access to PPP loans                  surmise that any observed discrimination is taste-
for Black-owned firms given that loans originated                     based, stemming from either conscious or uncon-
primarily with commercial banks (at least initially),                 scious racial biases rather than being statistical in
because these institutions traditionally underserve the               nature.
Black community in at least two ways: (1) discrimi-                      Banks discriminate against potential borrow-
nation in lending decisions and (2) restricted access                 ers through at least four different mechanisms: loan
to bank branch locations. In the section that follows,                application denial, discouraging borrowers, demand-
we describe prior literature that provides more detail                ing a price premium, and supplying lower quanti-
on these two ways, and then draw from this literature                 ties of credit. Data from the 2014 Annual Survey of
to derive formal hypotheses about differences in PPP                  Entrepreneurs show that among loan applicants, 53%
loans for Black- and White-owned businesses.                          of Black firm owners were denied loans as compared
                                                                      with only 24.7% of White firm owners. Studies using
                                                                      the Survey of Small Business Finance (SSBF) find
3 Prior literature and hypothesis development                        that Black firm owners were twice as likely to be
                                                                      denied credit than their White counterparts (Blanchflower
3.1 Discrimination in lending                                        et al., 2003; Cavalluzzo & Wolken, 2005). Fairlie
                                                                      et al., (2020) address critiques of analysis using these
Traditional commercial banks have a long history                      cross-sectional data sources by examining access to
of racial discrimination (Blanchflower, et al., 2003;                 capital among startups in the longitudinal Kauffman
Blanchard et al., 2008; Hu et al., 2011; Bates &                      Firm Survey. Controlling for both credit scores and
Robb, 2013). As a result, Black and other non-White                   net worth, they show that Black-owned ventures were
business owners enjoy less access to credit markets.                  three times less likely than Whites to report that their
Chatterji and Seamans (2012) attribute the finding                    loan applications were always approved.
that credit card deregulation had a positive effect on                   Fairlie et al., (2020) also estimate higher levels
Black entrepreneurship to Black entrepreneurs having                  of discouraged borrowing among Black firm owners
less access to capital from traditional sources such as               even among those deemed “creditworthy.” Discour-
banks, where they faced discrimination in lending.                    aged borrowers report not applying for credit for fear
Their analysis shows greater post-deregulation rates                  they will be turned down. Though Fairlie is not able
of Black entrepreneurship in areas with higher levels                 to observe why discouraged borrowers believe they
of historical discrimination. Similarly, Atkins (2021)                will be denied, accounts from audit studies illustrate
finds evidence that Black households are less able                    how Black firm owners are treated differently by
than Whites with similar amounts of home equity to                    bank employees. Lederer et al. (2020) conducted an
access commercial credit to finance new ventures.                     audit study of financial institutions in Washington DC
Since home equity is a useful source of collateral                    between April 27 and May 29, 2020. They sent 63
lowering lender risk, it should reduce statistical dis-               matched pairs of Black and White testers to 32 bank
crimination. However, Atkins finds that increases in                  branches and found that in 44% of tests where the


                                                                                                                   13
848                                                                                                  R. Atkins et al.

testers requested PPP loans, White testers received       to PPP loans for Black-owned firms. Since the federal
more favorable treatment. Black testers were more         government assumes 100% of the default risk asso-
likely to be discouraged from applying for a loan or      ciated with PPP loans, we argue that any observed
were more likely to be steered towards a home equity      discrimination is more likely to stem from racial bias
line-of-credit product rather than SBA loan products      rather than statistical correlations. We formally state
made available by PPP.                                    this idea in the following hypothesis:
   In cases of taste-based discrimination, lenders
may also operationalize discrimination by demand-           H1: Black-owned businesses access less PPP loan
ing a price premium for transactions with less desired      funds than White-owned businesses, all else equal.
clients. They can do so by charging higher interest
rates on loans. Empirical results on interest rate dif-
ferentials are mixed. Asiedu et al. (2012) use SSPF       3.2 Role of banks
data from1998 and 2003 to estimate racial differences
in interest rates on approved loans. Controlling for      In addition to discrimination, banks have historically
owner and firm characteristics including credit his-      provided Black business owners with less access to
tory they find no differences in interest rates charged   commercial credit through location decisions. Prox-
to Black firm owners when compared with Whites            imity to bank branch locations increases access to
though they do find differences for Hispanic borrow-      commercial credit and prior literature suggests that
ers. Likewise, Blanchard et al. (2008) find no evi-       traditional banks choose to locate branches in fewer
dence of interest rate discrimination on bank loans       minority neighborhoods than White neighborhoods.
though they do find that other lenders such as mutual     For example, several studies find negative correla-
fund and leasing companies exhibited discrimina-          tions between the proportion of minority residences
tory behavior against Black-owned businesses. On          and the probability of a commercial bank branch
the contrary, Hu et al. (2011) use propensity score       location (Wheatly, 2010; Cover, 2011; Hegerty,
matching to estimate that Black business owners pay       2020). In a comparative case study, Hegerty (2016)
approximately 0.8 percentage point higher interest        considers Milwaukee and Buffalo in search of bank-
rates than corresponding White owners on average.         ing “deserts.” He finds that block groups with fewer
   Bates and Robb (2013) find substantial differences     banks are more likely to occur in areas with fewer
in loan sizes awarded by race. Among firms with less      White residents. Kashian et al. (2018) examined the
than $500,000 in sales, the gap in average loan size      growth of bank deserts during the Great Recession
between minority and non-minority-owned firms             period. African Americans living in inner cities were
was approximately $35,000. Bates (1989), using data       more likely to live in bank deserts and saw that prob-
from the Characteristics of Business Owners survey,       ability increase over the course of the recession.
finds that firms located in minority neighborhoods            Proximity to branch locations increase access to
were extended substantially smaller loans. Similarly,     loans through at least two mechanisms. First, poten-
Fairlie et al., (2020), using data from the Kauffman      tial borrowers are able to establish relationships with
Firm Survey, find persistent differences in the amount    lenders through more frequent interactions to nearby
of bank loans offered to Black-owned businesses           branches. Lack of access to bank branches thus hin-
when compared with White-owned businesses.                ders Black business owners from establishing rela-
   To summarize, historical and contemporary evi-         tionships with lenders. Historically, Black households
dence reveals lending discrimination against Black        are less likely to have a bank account as compared
firm owners by commercial banks. Though there is          with White households. According to the Survey of
mixed evidence on interest rate discrimination, banks     Consumer Finances, the percent of unbanked Black
consistently deny credit to Black-owned firms more        and Hispanic households has decreased over time, but
frequently, discourage them from borrowing more           still greatly outpaces the percent of unbanked White
often, and offer them smaller loan amounts than their     households. A report by the Council of Economic
White counterparts. Thus, given the SBA’s heavy reli-     Advisers (2016) reports that while the White–Non-
ance on these institutions to administer the PPP, we      white gap has decreased from about 30 percentage
predict that lending discrimination will reduce access


13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                  849

points in 1989, it was still about 10 percentage points               and should invite entry to secure uncaptured prof-
as of 2013.                                                           its. While Ferguson and Peters (2000) explain that
    In addition, lack of proximity to bank branches                   discrimination may persist indefinitely even in com-
can hinder Black business owners from developing                      petitive markets when discrimination is not costly to
vital relationships with lenders. Through relationship                the lender, Michell and Pearce (2011) provide some
lending, banks collect information about firms, their                 evidence that the types of lenders that enter a market
owners and their communities that they use to assess                  can influence the extent to which competition drives
risk and structure credit terms accordingly (Berger &                 down discrimination.
Udell, 2002). These relationships help address infor-                     In summary, proximity to bank locations increases
mation asymmetries and potentially increase credit                    access to commercial credit. Proximity increases
availability. Banks are able to collect this soft infor-              access by more readily facilitating banking relation-
mation on firms at a lower cost when borrowers are                    ships and by increasing credit market competition.
close by (Elyasiani & Goldberg, 2004). Without an                     Since banks locate near Black-owned firms less often,
established relationship to a commercial bank many                    Black business owners have fewer opportunities to
Black households and Black business owners struggle                   establish banking relationships and therefore enjoy
to acquire credit from these lenders for business start-              less access to commercial credit. Early reporting sug-
ups or other purposes.                                                gested that banks had incentives to prioritize borrow-
    Furthermore, early studies of the PPP program                     ers with whom they had existing relationships when
indicate that such relationships were vital to securing               making PPP loans. Thus, we predict that the dispro-
the funds (Cororaton, & Rosen, 2020). Li and Strahan                  portionately low access to PPP loans among Black-
(2020) conclude that PPP lending reflects character-                  owned businesses will be most evident in neighbor-
istics of relationship lending including prior experi-                hoods with fewer bank branches. We formally state
ence with the lender. Though the program poses none                   this idea in the following hypothesis:
of the default risks that relationships are intended
to shield banks from, Li and Strahan surmise that                          H2: The effect in H1 is stronger in areas with
banks may be using the program to ensure that their                        fewer bank branches.
borrowers survive the crisis. Additionally, the exist-
ing relationships lower the cost of the transaction.
Amiram and Rabetti (2020) show that borrowers                         3.3 Role of non‑traditional lenders
benefitted from relationship lending when applying
for PPP loans. Firms with existing lending relation-                  Since many Black firm owners lack access to bank
ships received larger PPP loan amounts and faster                     branches and bank credit, Black-owned firms may
approvals.                                                            rely on non-traditional lenders such as fintech firms,
    A second mechanism through which bank branch                      CDFIs, or other nonprofits for business loans more
locations facilitate lending is increased credit mar-                 often than White firm owners (Erel & Liebersohn,
ket competition. Areas with more bank branches are                    2020). CDFIs typically raise capital via grants or low
associated with more credit market competition and                    interest loans from government entities, foundations,
less concentration (Cavalluzzo & Cavalluzzo, 1998).                   banks seeking to fulfill Community Reinvestment
In areas with fewer bank branches, lenders have                       Act (CRA) requirements, individual donors, and reli-
greater market power and are able to act on racial                    gious institutions (Benjamin, 2004). da Motta (2020)
preferences when rationing credit without sacrificing                 estimates that Black-owned businesses had 1.7 times
revenue. Cavalluzzo et al. (2002) evaluate racial dif-                greater odds of applying for funding from a CDFI
ferences in several lending outcomes controlling for                  than White-owned firms.
a rich set of borrower characteristics. They find evi-                    Mitchell and Pearce (2020) explain that non-bank
dence that White male business owners fared better                    lenders often have fewer incentives to engage in sta-
than their Black counterparts but that outcome gaps                   tistical discrimination than banks. One reason is
narrowed in more competitive geographic credit mar-                   that these institutions are often better able to repos-
kets. The authors point to Becker’s theory (1957)                     sess and redeploy loan collateral in the event of
which posits that taste-based discrimination is costly                default due to complementary business lines. Indeed,


                                                                                                                  13
850                                                                                                              R. Atkins et al.




Fig. 1  Histogram of loan amounts ($)                    Fig. 2  Histogram of Ln loan amounts ($)


Mitchell and Pearce analyze data from the National       through working with local banks and fintech compa-
Survey of Small Business Finance and find that non-      nies like Kabbage and Square.”5 Indeed, Howell et al.
banks gave equal treatment to minority and non-          (2020) examine which institutions supplied PPP loans
minority borrowers seeking non- line-of-credit loans     to businesses by race of the owner. They report that
while banks tended to deny loans to minority borrow-     fintechs, minority development institutions, and non-
ers more often than White borrowers. Furthermore,        profits accounted for the largest share of PPP loans
many non-profit lenders such as community develop-       to Black-owned firms by far. Combined CDFI and
ment financial institutions were explicitly created to   MDIs accounted for just 4.3% of the total number of
meet the funding needs of underserved communities.       loans and fintech accounted for 4.8% of the total as
   Having a variety of lender types may increase the     of August 2020 (SBA, 2020). Most of these non-bank
supply of credit in a given market and increase access   institutions were not approved to participate in the
to credit for Black-owned firms. Carey et al. (1998)     program until the second round of PPP funding was
find that while banks were just as likely as financing   authorized.
companies to offer credit to low information firms,         Thus, since non-traditional lenders provided most
financing companies were willing to take on the risk-    of the loans to Black-owned firms and non-traditional
ier borrowers by comparison. Daniels and Ramirez         lenders were approved to participate after April ­30th,
(2008) also examine lender specialization and find       we predict that access to PPP funds likely increased
that non-bank lenders are more willing to generate       for Black-owned businesses in round 2 of funding
loans to less transparent firms. Evidence from the UK    after April ­30th. In turn, this likely led to a decrease in
reiterates the role of non-bank lenders in increasing    effects we hypothesize for H1. We formally state this
credit supply for minority business owners. Smallbone    idea in the following hypothesis:
et al., (2003) find that ethnic minority businesses
were more likely than White-owned business to uti-           H3: The effect of H1 decreases after April 30,
lize non-bank lenders having experienced higher rates        2020
of denial from traditional bank lenders.
   Non-traditional lenders appear to have played a
role in delivering PPP loans to Black-owned busi-
nesses as well. According to a 2020 article in For-
tune, “black businesses had more success obtain-         5
                                                           https://​fortu​ne.​com/​2020/​06/​12/​black-​owned-​busin​ess-​coron​
ing funds in the second round of PPP relief, in part     avirus-​sean-​diddy-​combs-​enter​prises-​tarik-​brooks/.




13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                                       851

Table 1  Summary statistics
                                     A: Full sample (N ~ 4.5 M)                                B: Sub-sample for race answered (N ~ 500 K)

Variable                             Mean          St. dev         Min       Max               Mean             St. dev          Min     Max
Loan amount                          89,498        206,692         1000      1,500,000         112,761          223,691          1000    1,500,000
Ln loan amount                       10.252        1.438           6.908     14.221            10.579           1.445            6.908   14.221
Jobs reported                        10.622        30.925          0.000     500.000           14.219           32.798           0.000   500.000
Asian owner                          0.012         0.107           0.000     1.000             0.112            0.316            0.000   1.000
Black owner                          0.003         0.058           0.000     1.000             0.032            0.176            0.000   1.000
Hispanic owner                       0.008         0.090           0.000     1.000             0.078            0.269            0.000   1.000
White owner                          0.080         0.271           0.000     1.000             0.771            0.420            0.000   1.000
Other race owner                     0.000         0.006           0.000     1.000             0.000            0.018            0.000   1.000
Unanswered race owner                0.896         0.305           0.000     1.000
Veteran                              0.007         0.081           0.000     1.000             0.032            0.176            0.000   1.000
Female owner                         0.049         0.216           0.000     1.000             0.233            0.423            0.000   1.000
Corporation                          0.293         0.455           0.000     1.000             0.339            0.473            0.000   1.000
Non-profit                           0.035         0.183           0.000     1.000             0.019            0.137            0.000   1.000
LLC or LLP                           0.283         0.450           0.000     1.000             0.310            0.463            0.000   1.000
Median income (zip code)             5445          4309            751       210,964           5341             3963             751     123,591
% Bachelors (zip code)               0.227         0.096           0.000     1.000             0.206            0.093            0.000   1.000
% Rural (zip code)                   0.136         0.255           0.000     1.000             0.222            0.318            0.000   1.000



4 Data and methods                                                          of the loan amounts appear to have been recorded
                                                                             incorrectly with values such as “0” or “1.” To address
4.1 Data                                                                    these issues, we winsorize the loan amounts (any
                                                                             loan less than $1000 is coded as $1000 and any loan
We test our hypotheses using several sources of data.                        more than $1.5 million is coded at $1.5 million) and
Data on individual PPP loans comes from the U.S.                             take the natural log of the loan amount. (In Appendix
Treasury.6 The PPP loan-level data provides us with                          Table 8, we present a set of results without winsoriz-
information about the size of the loan, which is the                         ing; the results are almost identical.) The PPP data
main dependent variable in most of our regressions. We                       also provides us with information about the number
use this dependent variable to study how race affects                        of jobs that the loan supports, the race of the owner
loan size. We use differences in race to study the role                      (if reported), the gender of the owner (if reported)
of discrimination. Since the PPP program sets interest                       and the veteran status of the owner (if reported). Data
at 1% for all loans, the price mechanism for rationing                       about bank branches comes from the FDIC.7 We
this credit is unavailable to banks; thus, we would not                      aggregate the bank branch data to the zip code level
expect to observe interest rate discrimination. We do                        to match to the PPP loan data. We use the FDIC data
not measure discrimination using loan denial rates since                     to create a count of the number of bank branches in
SBA does not provide data on loan applications. The                          the county. Demographic data at the zip code level
data does not capture the ways potential borrowers are                       comes from the U.S. Census Bureau.
treated by loan officers hence we are unable to measure                         Summary statistics of the variables are reported in
discrimination in borrower discouragement.                                   Table 1. Panel A reports data from the full sample.
   Loan amounts are highly skewed (see Figs. 1, 2                            There are approximately 4.5 million loans in the full
and Tables 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7). In addition, some                       sample. The average loan was about $90,000. Most
                                                                             loan recipients did not report race (unanswered race
6
  https://​home.​treas​ury.​gov/​policy-​issues/​cares-​act/​assis​tance-​
for-​small-​busin​esses/​sba-​paych​eck-​prote​ction-​progr​am-​loan-​
                                                                             7
level-​data.                                                                     https://​www.​fdic.​gov/​bank/​stati​stical/.


                                                                                                                                         13
852                                                                                                                     R. Atkins et al.

Table 2  Prediction of unanswered race
                                                     (1)               (2)                (3)            (4)             (5)

Dependent variable: race unanswered
% Asian population (zip code)                        0.253***          0.231***           0.221***       − 0.067***      − 0.067***
                                                     [0.010]           [0.011]            [0.011]        [0.013]         [0.013]
% Black population (zip code)                        0.476***          0.422***           0.417***       0.292***        0.248***
                                                     [0.006]           [0.006]            [0.006]        [0.007]         [0.007]
% Hispanic population (zip code)                     0.447***          0.437***           0.432***       0.151***        0.148***
                                                     [0.005]           [0.005]            [0.005]        [0.007]         [0.007]
% Native American population (zip code)              − 0.327***        − 0.248***         − 0.197***     0.311***        0.309***
                                                     [0.035]           [0.038]            [0.038]        [0.044]         [0.044]
% Other race population (zip code)                   0.802***          0.921***           0.940***       0.813***        0.793***
                                                     [0.024]           [0.026]            [0.026]        [0.035]         [0.035]
Median Income (zip code)                             0.000***          0.000***           0.000***       0.000***        0.000***
                                                     [0.000]           [0.000]            [0.000]        [0.000]         [0.000]
% Bachelors (zip code)                               1.127***          1.156***           1.017***       0.883***        0.872***
                                                     [0.011]           [0.012]            [0.012]        [0.013]         [0.013]
% Rural (zip code)                                   − 0.341***        − 0.362***         − 0.299***     − 0.183***      − 0.173***
                                                     [0.004]           [0.004]            [0.004]        [0.004]         [0.004]
Jobs reported                                                          -0.001***          -0.000***      -0.000***       − 0.002***
                                                                       [0.000]            [0.000]        [0.000]         [0.000]
Loan amount                                                            − 0.000***         − 0.000***     − 0.000***
                                                                       [0.000]            [0.000]        [0.000]
Veteran                                                                − 1.226***         − 1.235***     − 1.237***      − 1.237***
                                                                       [0.007]            [0.007]        [0.007]         [0.007]
Female owner                                                           − 1.325***         − 1.337***     − 1.303***      − 1.303***
                                                                       [0.003]            [0.003]        [0.003]         [0.003]
Corporate form dummies                                                 Yes                Yes            Yes             Yes
2-Digit NAICS Dummies                                                                     Yes            Yes             Yes
State dummies                                                                                            Yes             Yes
Observations                                         4,833,101         4,516,504          4,403,731      4,403,709       4,403,709
Log likelihood

Standard errors in brackets
***
      p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1




Table 3  PPP national-level statistics
Race/ethnicity                         Number      Percent Total loans ($)   Total emp     Loan ($) per org Emp per Org Loan per emp

American Indian or Alaska              2794        0.06    391,000,000       41,204        139,943        14.75        9489
 Native
Asian                                  58,274      1.17    5,320,000,000     726,329       91,293         12.46        7325
Black or African American              16,453      0.33    1,360,000,000     177,989       82,660         10.82        7641
Hispanic                               41,171      0.83    4,230,000,000     546,148       102,742        13.27        7745
Unanswered                             4,450,201   89.44   421,000,000,000   40,000,000    94,602         8.99         10,525
White                                  406,663     8.17    53,400,000,000    5,600,000     131,313        13.77        9536



13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                                   853

Table 4  Top lenders by                       Panel A
type, over time
                                                                   Loans prior to April 30                Loans after April 30
                                                                   Number                     Percent     Number                       Percent
                                              Top 5 bank           652,138                    19%         265,335                      19%
                                              Top 5 alternative    177,869                    5%          437,808                      32%
                                              Panel B
                                                                   Loans prior to April 30                Loans after April 30
                                                                   White                      Black       White                        Black
                                              Top 5 bank           1934                       72          2803                         298
                                              Top 5 alternative    444                        30          2525                         636



Table 5  PPP loan-level results
                                        (1)                 (2)             (3)              (4)             (5)                 (6)

Dependent variable: Ln loan amount
Asian owner                   0.247***                      0.234***        0.074***         0.044***        0.028***            0.022***
                              [0.006]                       [0.006]         [0.005]          [0.005]         [0.005]             [0.005]
Black owner (H1)              − 0.144***                    − 0.138***      − 0.158***       − 0.140***      − 0.137***          − 0.162***
                              [0.011]                       [0.011]         [0.010]          [0.010]         [0.009]             [0.009]
Hispanic owner                0.152***                      0.151***        0.080***         0.050***        0.106***            0.089***
                              [0.007]                       [0.007]         [0.006]          [0.006]         [0.006]             [0.006]
White owner                   0.424***                      0.496***        0.363***         0.334***        0.349***            0.357***
                              [0.002]                       [0.002]         [0.002]          [0.002]         [0.002]             [0.002]
Other race owner              − 1.113***                    − 1.113***      − 0.752***       − 0.828***      − 0.281***          − 0.298***
                              [0.114]                       [0.116]         [0.100]          [0.098]         [0.098]             [0.098]
Median income (zip code)                                    0.000***        0.000***         0.000***        0.000***            0.000***
                                                            [0.000]         [0.000]          [0.000]         [0.000]             [0.000]
% Bachelors (zip code)                                      0.214***        0.348***         0.404***        0.333***            0.159***
                                                            [0.008]         [0.007]          [0.007]         [0.007]             [0.008]
% Rural (zip code)                                          − 0.493***      − 0.313***       − 0.320***      − 0.310***          − 0.213***
                                                            [0.003]         [0.003]          [0.003]         [0.003]             [0.003]
Jobs reported                                                               0.022***         0.021***        0.021***            0.022***
                                                                            [0.000]          [0.000]         [0.000]             [0.000]
Veteran                                                                     0.294***         0.268***        0.256***            0.895***
                                                                            [0.007]          [0.007]         [0.007]             [0.011]
Female owner                                                                − 0.123***       − 0.103***      − 0.098***          0.549***
                                                                            [0.003]          [0.003]         [0.003]             [0.009]
Mills ratio                                                                                                                      − 1.079***
                                                                                                                                 [0.015]
Corporate form dummies                                                      Yes              Yes             Yes                 Yes
2-Digit NAICS dummies                                                                        Yes             Yes                 Yes
State dummies                                                                                                Yes                 Yes
Observations                            4,855,505           4,833,101       4,516,504        4,403,731       4,403,711           4,403,709
R-squared                               0.007               0.016           0.298            0.333           0.340               0.341

Standard errors in brackets
***
      p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, *p < 0.1




                                                                                                                                 13
854                                                                                                           R. Atkins et al.

Table 6  PPP loan results                                  (1)                (2)              (3)             (4)
split by number of bank
branches                      Dependent variable: Ln loan amount
                              Number of branches            1–3               4–6              7–9             10 +
                              Asian owner                   − 0.012           0.022*           0.055***        0.023**
                                                            [0.015]           [0.013]          [0.015]         [0.011]
                              Black owner (H2)              − 0.241***        − 0.143***       − 0.143***      − 0.104***
                                                            [0.021]           [0.022]          [0.026]         [0.020]
                              Hispanic owner                0.028             0.095***         0.085***        0.116***
                                                            [0.017]           [0.018]          [0.021]         [0.017]
                              White owner                   0.267***          0.360***         0.386***        0.398***
                                                            [0.006]           [0.007]          [0.009]         [0.006]
                              Other race owner              − 0.098           − 0.300*         − 0.734*        − 0.531***
                                                            [0.115]           [0.160]          [0.424]         [0.183]
                              Median income (zip code)      0.000***          0.000***         0.000***        0.000***
                                                            [0.000]           [0.000]          [0.000]         [0.000]
                              % Bachelors (zip code)        − 0.066           − 0.108          − 0.086         0.074
                                                            [0.058]           [0.066]          [0.099]         [0.069]
                              % Rural (zip code)            − 0.149***        − 0.112***       − 0.156***      − 0.100***
                                                            [0.010]           [0.019]          [0.028]         [0.032]
                              Jobs reported                 0.023***          0.022***         0.022***        0.021***
                                                            [0.000]           [0.000]          [0.000]         [0.000]
                              Veteran                       0.855***          1.014***         0.930***        1.017***
                                                            [0.034]           [0.043]          [0.050]         [0.038]
                              Female owner                  0.519***          0.646***         0.598***        0.672***
                                                            [0.033]           [0.041]          [0.047]         [0.037]
                              Mills ratio                   − 0.967***        − 1.232***       − 1.166***      − 1.340***
                                                            [0.050]           [0.067]          [0.079]         [0.064]
                              Corporate form dummies        Yes               Yes              Yes             Yes
                              2-Digit NAICS dummies         Yes               Yes              Yes             Yes
                              State dummies                 Yes               Yes              Yes             Yes
Standard errors in brackets   Observations                  949,920           911,154          773,230         1,769,405
***
      p < 0.01, **p < 0.05,   R-squared                     0.357             0.343            0.342           0.331
*
    p < 0.1



of owner is about 90 percent). Approximately 0.3%                    In Table 2, we assess the demographic character-
of loan recipients self-reported as Black (represent-            istics of the zip codes for the recipients that did not
ing approximately 16,000 loans), 0.8% self-reported              report race, as well as other loan-level information.
as Hispanic (representing approximately 39,000                   Column 1 includes only demographic information,
loans), 1.2% self-reported as Asian (representing                Column 2 adds in additional loan-level information,
approximately 56,000 loans) and approximately 8%                 Column 3 adds indicators for industry (at the 2-digit
self-reported as White (representing approximately               NAICS level), Column 4 adds in indicators for state in
388,000 loans). It is notable that most loan recipients          which the loan recipient is based, and Column 5 rep-
did not report race. Panel B reports data from the sub-          licates Column 4 after dropping the loan amount. We
sample of loans for which race is reported (of which             exclude percent of the population that is White, so the
there are approximately 500,000). Some notable dif-              variables for race can be interpreted as relative to White
ferences include the higher mean loan amount and                 population. Looking at the coefficients for each variable
higher mean jobs reported for the sub-sample of loans            across the columns, there are some interesting patterns.
for which race is reported. This suggests a selection            First, recipients appear less likely to report race when
issue that will need to be addressed in our economet-            in higher income, more educated, and less rural areas.
rics, as described below.                                        Second, many of the race variables drop in magnitude


13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                      855

Table 7  PPP loan results, by timing of grant
                                  (1)       (2)             (3)            (4)          (5)          (6)          (7)

Dependent variable: Ln loan amount
                            Pre-May 1       Early May       Late May       Early June   Late June    Early July   Late July
Asian owner                 − 0.037***      0.069***        0.043*         0.008        0.056**      0.014        0.046
                            [0.007]         [0.018]         [0.025]        [0.030]      [0.024]      [0.057]      [0.034]
Black owner (H3)            − 0.099***      − 0.040         − 0.021        0.066        0.071**      0.129*       0.115**
                            [0.014]         [0.027]         [0.034]        [0.045]      [0.031]      [0.066]      [0.047]
Hispanic owner              0.133***        0.093***        0.098***       0.144***     0.170***     0.011        0.096**
                            [0.010]         [0.019]         [0.025]        [0.032]      [0.024]      [0.066]      [0.039]
White owner                 0.287***        0.147***        0.148***       0.234***     0.217***     0.172***     0.166***
                            [0.003]         [0.009]         [0.014]        [0.018]      [0.013]      [0.031]      [0.019]
Other race owner            − 0.684                         0.081          0.252*       0.14         0.482        0.489*
                            [0.899]                         [0.195]        [0.151]      [0.110]      [0.435]      [0.288]
Median income (zip code) 0.000***           0.000***        0.000***       0.000***     0.000***     0.000***     0.000***
                            [0.000]         [0.000]         [0.000]        [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
% Bachelors (zip code)      0.107***        0.265***        0.121***       0.107*       − 0.090**    − 0.376***   − 0.432***
                            [0.036]         [0.037]         [0.043]        [0.056]      [0.044]      [0.075]      [0.052]
% Rural (zip code)          − 0.366***      − 0.091***      − 0.091***     − 0.085***   − 0.133***   − 0.109***   − 0.088***
                            [0.008]         [0.012]         [0.017]        [0.022]      [0.016]      [0.035]      [0.021]
Jobs reported               0.020***        0.019***        0.022***       0.022***     0.020***     0.030***     0.024***
                            [0.000]         [0.001]         [0.001]        [0.001]      [0.001]      [0.004]      [0.001]
Veteran                     0.803***        0.695***        0.756***       0.660***     0.585***     1.017***     1.012***
                            [0.021]         [0.046]         [0.070]        [0.098]      [0.065]      [0.169]      [0.100]
Female owner                0.480***        0.367***        0.355***       0.309***     0.206***     0.670***     0.655***
                            [0.021]         [0.038]         [0.057]        [0.076]      [0.051]      [0.128]      [0.078]
Mills ratio                 − 1.021***      − 0.748***      − 0.809***     − 0.760***   − 0.742***   − 1.436***   − 1.385***
                            [0.033]         [0.064]         [0.099]        [0.136]      [0.092]      [0.220]      [0.131]
Corporate form dummies      Yes             Yes             Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
2-Digit NAICS dummies       Yes             Yes             Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
State dummies               Yes             Yes             Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
Observations                3,142,619       429,427         170,402        95,896       227,700      47,551       133,746
R-squared                   0.347           0.217           0.226          0.217        0.183        0.176        0.173

Standard errors in brackets
***
      p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1



or even switch signs when adding in the state dum-                    4.2 Methods
mies. Third, the higher the loan amount and the more
jobs reported, the less likely the recipient is to leave              To test our hypotheses, we run a series of regressions
race unanswered (i.e., the more likely the recipient                  using the data described above. The regressions are of
is to report race). We drop loan amount in Column 5                   the following form:
because we use the results from this regression to con-
                                                                                                                         (1)
                                                                        (              )
struct a Heckman selection variable (Mills Ratio) that                ln loanamountiz = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 Blacki + Xiz B + 𝜀iz
we include in some of our regression results below to
                                                                         for loan recipient i in zip code z. The dependent
account for selection into self-reporting of race.
                                                                      variable, loan amount, has been transformed as has
                                                                      been described in the prior sub-section. The main
                                                                      independent variable of interest Black is an indicator
                                                                      for whether the loan recipient self-reported as Black.


                                                                                                                  13
856                                                                                                            R. Atkins et al.

We include a variety of firm level, loan level, and        we included county-level demographic variables
zip code level control variables X, including gender,      in the construction of our Mills ratio that we do not
veteran status, jobs reported, and dummy variables         include our regressions. We also provide results on
for industry (at the 2-digit NAICS code level) and         the full sample, in which case unanswered race is
state. Data on jobs reported are an important control      the excluded category, and (in an Appendix) on the
for variance in firm size that may be correlated with      smaller sub-sample that provides information on race,
the race of business owners. Black-owned businesses        in which case White is the excluded category.
tend to be smaller in size employing fewer workers
(Tareque et al., 2021). Since PPP loan amounts are
a function of firm payroll, we would expect smaller        5 Results
firms to qualify for smaller loans. By controlling for
reported jobs, we can estimate the average difference      Before turning to regression results, we first aggre-
in loan amounts given to Black and White firms of          gate the loan data to the national level. These results
comparable size.                                           are presented in Table 3. The average loan per recipi-
   It is also important to control for industry level      ent (“Org”) for Black recipients is $82,660. This is
effects, given evidence that the pandemic has differ-      about 13% less than recipients who report race as
entially affected sectors of the economy. For example,     unanswered ($94,602) and about 37% less than White
data from Yelp suggests that retail establishments         recipients ($131,313). Of course, these differences
have struggled to stay open, whereas professional ser-     could be reflective of many other factors, includ-
vice establishments such as law firms and accountants      ing the industry in which the business operates, the
have not.8 It is important to control for state, given     region of the country, the size of the business, and
that states instituted different policies in response to   others. In order to systematically account for these
the pandemic. We use robust standard errors, clus-         factors, we next turn to our regression results.
tered at the zip code. For hypothesis 1, we expect that        Next, we consider how the lender characteristics
β1 < 0. For hypotheses 2 and 3, we split the sample        evolved over time. For this, we compare loans made by
(based on number of bank branches for hypothesis           a “Top 5 bank” and a “Top 5 alternative lender” before
2 and timing of loan approval for hypothesis 3), run       and after April 30, 2020. A “Top 5 bank” indicates
(1) separately for each sub-sample, and compare the        that the lender was one of Bank of America, JP Mor-
coefficients on β1 across the sub-samples.                 gan Chase, Wells Fargo, U.S. Bank, or Citibank. These
   There are two issues with our approach. First, our      banks are the largest U.S. commercial banks by depos-
data is cross-sectional; it provides us with demo-         its, and the first three of those accounted for approxi-
graphic, geographic, and industry characteristics of       mately 12% of all PPP loans made. A “Top 5 alternative
the borrower, as well as the loan amount. We do not        lender” indicates that the lender was one of Cross River
have a natural experiment that we can use to tease         Bank, Kabbage, Celtic Bank, WebBank, or Customer’s
out causal effects of race on loan amounts. Instead,       Bank. Kabbage is a fintech bank based in Georgia. The
we use our regressions to control for as many observ-      other banks are the lenders behind leading fintech lend-
able differences across borrowers as we can. Second,       ers such as Coinbase and RocketLoans (Cross River),
there is a lot of non-response on the race of owner        Square and OnDeck (Celtic Bank), LoanBuilder.com
variable—as reported above, only about 10% of loans        (WebBank), and Upstart (Customer’s Bank), to name
report race of owner. This potentially introduces a        a few. We classify these five banks as “alternative” as
selection bias if, for example, Black borrowers that       they are not traditional depository institutions like the
receive larger loans are systematically more likely        Top 5 banks. Cross River and Kabbage together account
to not report race than White borrowers that receive       for approximately 6% of all PPP loans made. We report
large loans. We have no reason to believe that to be       results in Table 4. Panel A of this table indicates that
the case, but in order to address the selection issue      prior to April 30, about 19% of all loans were made by a
and account for unanswered race, we include a Heck-
man selection correction term—the Mills ratio—in
all our regressions. The construction of the Mills         8
                                                             https://​www.​yelpe​conom​icave​rage.​com/​busin​ess-​closu​res-​
ratio is described in the prior sub-section. Note that     update-​sep-​2020.


13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                      857

Top 5 bank, whereas only about 5% were made by a Top                  statistics presented in Table 3, suggesting that com-
5 alternative. However, this changes after April 30. Top              positional factors (such as location, size and indus-
5 banks still account for about 19% of all loans (though              try) mask some of the difference in loans received by
there are fewer loans made after April 30), but Top 5                 White and Black borrowers. Overall, the results from
alternative lenders account for approximately 30% of all              Table 5 provide support for H1.
loans—a dramatic increase. Panel B of this table indi-                   Next, we consider how the main result varies
cates that prior to April 30, the Top 5 alternative lend-             depending on the presence of bank branches. Table 6
ers made 444 loans to White borrowers and 30 to Black                 presents results from a series of split-samples. Col-
borrowers, whereas after April 30 the Top 5 alternative               umn 1 replicates Column 6 from Table 5 on the sub-
lenders made 2525 loans to White borrowers and 636 to                 sample of zip codes that have 1–3 bank branches,
Black borrowers. This amounts to about a 6 × increase                 Column 2 does the same but on the sub-sample of zip
in loans to White borrowers and a 21 × increase in loans              codes that have 4–6 bank branches, Column 3 does
to Black borrowers. Thus, the Top 5 alternative lenders               the same on the sub-sample of zip codes that have 7–9
increased loans to both White and Black borrowers, but                bank branches, and Column 4 is for the sub-sample of
much more to Black borrowers on a proportional basis.                 zip codes that have 10 or more bank branches. The
    In Table 5, we present our main results (Eq. (1)).                coefficient on Black in Column 4 (− 0.104) is larger
In Column 1 we include only loan-level race vari-                     than the coefficient on Black in Column 1 (− 0.241),
ables, in Column 2 we add in zip code level demo-                     suggesting that higher numbers of bank branches
graphics, in Column 3 we add in other loan-level var-                 helps to attenuate the main effect.
iables, in Column 4 we add in dummy variables for                        Some care needs to be taken when interpreting these
2-digit NAICS code, in Column 5 we add in dummy                       results, however. In Table 6, the coefficient on White
variables for the state, and in Column 6 we add in                    also increases when increasing the number of bank
the Mills Ratio to correct for selection. All the coef-               branches (0.267 in Column 1 and 0.398 in Column 4),
ficients are quite stable across the various specifica-               suggesting that everyone benefits from larger loans as
tions. The coefficient on Black is negative and statis-               the number of bank branches increases. To understand
tically significant across all the specifications. Since              whether the differential between Black and White bor-
our dependent variable is logged, we can interpret the                rowers changes, we compare the differences in Black
coefficient in terms of percentage changes. The coef-                 and White coefficients in each case. The difference in
ficients suggest that Black borrowers received loans                  Column 1 (0.267–(− 0.241)) is 0.508. The difference
that were 14 to 16% smaller than those of borrowers                   in Column 4 (0.398–(− 0.104)) is 0.502. The difference
who did not answer their race. These estimates from                   between these two is quite small (0.006), and not statisti-
our loan-level regressions line up closely with what                  cally significant based on the standard errors. To see this
we observe from the national-level statistics pre-                    more directly, we can look at the coefficient on Black
sented in Table 3. To assess the difference between                   for the equivalent split-sample regressions on the sub-
Black and White borrowers, we can assess the differ-                  sample of loans for which race is reported, which is pre-
ence between the coefficients on these two variables.                 sented in Appendix Table 10. The coefficient on Black
The coefficient on Black in Column 6, the fully speci-                goes from − 0.587 in Column 1 to − 0.507 in Column 4.
fied model, is − 0.162; the coefficient on White in                   Again the difference between these two is quite small
Column 6 is 0.357. The difference is approximately                    (0.08). Overall, the results presented in Table 6 and in
0.519, suggesting that loans to Black borrowers were                  Appendix Table 10 are directionally consistent with
about 50% lower than observationally similar White                    what we expect from H2, but not statistically significant.
borrowers. Appendix Table 9 replicates the specifica-                    Finally, we consider how the main result varies
tions in Table 5, but on the sample of borrowers that                 depending on timing. Table 7 Column 1 replicates Col-
report race (White is the excluded category in Appen-                 umn 6 from Table 5 on the sub-sample of loans that
dix Table 9). The coefficient on Black in Column 6                    were approved before April 30, 2020. The coefficient
of Appendix Table 9 is − 0.550, suggesting that loans                 on Black in Column 1 is negative and statistically sig-
to Black borrowers were about 55% lower than obser-                   nificant. Recall from Table 4 that there are relatively
vationally similar White borrowers. These figures are                 few loans made by alternative lenders during this time
larger than the figures obtained from the aggregated                  period. Columns 2 7 repeat the analysis but for the six


                                                                                                                     13
858                                                                                                               R. Atkins et al.

2-week periods following April 30 until the end of July.            Black firm owners were denied loans disproportion-
It is notable that the coefficient on Black almost mono-            ately. While our results are consistent with lending
tonically increases in each successive time period. By              discrimination, we cannot directly observe discrimi-
late June, the coefficient on Black is positive and sta-            nation in the data. We are however able to show that
tistically significant. Over this same time period, the             the PPP loan program produced disparate outcomes
coefficient on White remains positive and statistically             for Black and White business owners.
significant, but declines in magnitude. By late July, the               Our study makes several contributions to the litera-
coefficients on Black and White are nearly identical                ture. It joins the growing corpus on the PPP program
from a statistical standpoint.9 Recall from Table 4 that            and the larger body of work on government responses
there is a large increase in the percent of loans made              to crises such as the Covid-19 pandemic. While prior
by alternative lenders during this time period, and that            work examined whether PPP loans were reaching pre-
alternative lenders dramatically increased the propor-              dominately Black neighborhoods at the zip code or
tion of loans to Black borrowers. Overall, the results              census tract level (Calem & Freedman, 2020; Fairlie &
presented in Table 7 provide support for our H3. In                 Fossen, 2021), our study evaluates differences in PPP
Appendix 4 we replicate the results on the sub-sample               loan sizes granted to Black business owners as com-
for which race was reported.                                        pared with White business owners. Prior work shows
                                                                    that Black-owned firms closed at a higher rate than oth-
                                                                    ers due to the pandemic (Fairlie, 2020). Our study sug-
6 Conclusion                                                       gests that one possible explanation is inadequate access
                                                                    to PPP funds, a vital source of relief for many small
We show that the PPP loan program produced different                businesses. Our analysis highlights the need for policy
outcomes for Black and White business owners. Spe-                  makers to account for embedded inequalities when
cifically, Black-owned firms were approved for smaller              using existing systems to administer relief programs.
loans than their White counterparts controlling for                     Our paper also contributes to the literature on minor-
observed characteristics. We also show that SBA reli-               ity-owned business finance and access to capital. We
ance on commercial banks to administer the program                  confirm prior findings that Black-owned firms tend to
drives this outcome in two ways. First, Black–White                 be approved for smaller loans than White-owned firms,
disparities in PPP loans appear (marginally) greater in             controlling for observed characteristics. We extend the
areas with fewer bank branches where Black firm own-                literature by examining whether density of local bank
ers may have been less likely to have prior relationships           branches and access to more non-bank lenders alter out-
with SBA approved lenders. Second, the Black–White                  comes for Black-owned firms. Future research should
disparities in PPP loans decreased during the second                examine the mechanisms through which non-profit, com-
round of funding when more non-bank entities were                   munity development, minority development, and fintech
approved by SBA to participate in the program.                      lenders supply additional capital to Black business own-
    Data limited the scope of our analysis. Data on                 ers in contrast to commercial banking institutions.
the race of business owner was only available for                       A few possible policy interventions seem warranted.
10% of loan recipients, potentially creating selection              First, in preparation for the next financial crisis or
bias. We address this by conducting our analyses for                national emergency, racial disparities in lending through
the entire sample as well as the sub-sample for which               traditional financial institutions need to be investigated
race is reported, and by including a Mills ratio from               and addressed by the various regulators who oversee
a first-stage Heckman selection approach to control                 these institutions. Discriminatory lending and banking
for potential selection bias. Also, we were unable to               practices should not be allowed to stand anywhere in the
examine lending discrimination in loan approval rates               financial system. Second, the next SBA Inspector Gen-
since SBA did not require reporting on all loan appli-              eral’s report should include a systematic accounting of
cants. More research is needed to determine whether                 the factors negatively affecting the participation of Black
                                                                    business owners in the PPP. In general, between finan-
9
  The difference between Black and White coefficients is 0.05       cial and economic crises, the SBA infrastructure and
and the sum of the standard errors is 0.063. The ratio of the
two is less than 2, indicating one cannot reject that the differ-   capacity should be increased such that all loans, whether
ence is 0.                                                          standard or emergency, can be processed significantly


13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                          859

more quickly than is currently the case. Fourth, ex ante
demographic data collection should be applied to PPP
loans and other emergency funding facilities going for-
ward. This is standard for other SBA loans and will
help with targeting funding better in the future. Finally,
serious consideration should be given to increasing the
capacity of CDFIs to reach and service businessowners
in underserved communities.



Appendix

Please see Tables 8, 9, 10, 11



Table 8  PPP loan-level results, on full sample, no Winsorizing
                                       (1)         (2)             (3)          (4)          (5)          (6)

Dependent variable: Ln loan amount (no winsorizing)
Asian owner                   0.247***         0.233***            0.070***     0.044***     0.028***     0.022***
                              [0.011]          [0.011]             [0.008]      [0.007]      [0.007]      [0.007]
Black owner (H1)              − 0.148***       − 0.142***          − 0.162***   − 0.144***   − 0.141***   − 0.165***
                              [0.016]          [0.016]             [0.012]      [0.012]      [0.011]      [0.011]
Hispanic owner                0.150***         0.148***            0.074***     0.044***     0.102***     0.085***
                              [0.015]          [0.015]             [0.011]      [0.011]      [0.010]      [0.009]
White owner                   0.426***         0.499***            0.360***     0.330***     0.345***     0.353***
                              [0.006]          [0.006]             [0.004]      [0.004]      [0.003]      [0.003]
Other race owner              − 1.119***       − 1.120***          − 0.749***   − 0.824***   − 0.273***   − 0.290***
                              [0.088]          [0.092]             [0.087]      [0.084]      [0.088]      [0.088]
Median income (zip code)                       0.000***            0.000***     0.000***     0.000***     0.000***
                                               [0.000]             [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
% Bachelors (zip code)                         0.219***            0.360***     0.415***     0.344***     0.172***
                                               [0.050]             [0.038]      [0.036]      [0.034]      [0.036]
% Rural (zip code)                             − 0.499***          − 0.311***   − 0.319***   − 0.309***   − 0.213***
                                               [0.012]             [0.009]      [0.008]      [0.008]      [0.008]
Jobs reported                                                      0.023***     0.023***     0.022***     0.023***
                                                                   [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
Veteran                                                            0.292***     0.266***     0.255***     0.884***
                                                                   [0.007]      [0.007]      [0.007]      [0.021]
Female owner                                                       − 0.125***   − 0.104***   − 0.099***   0.539***
                                                                   [0.003]      [0.003]      [0.003]      [0.020]
Mills ratio                                                                                               − 1.064***
                                                                                                          [0.033]
Corporate form dummies                                             Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
2-Digit NAICS dummies                                                           Yes          Yes          Yes
State dummies                                                                                Yes          Yes
Observations                           4,855,504   4,833,100       4,516,503    4,403,730    4,403,710    4,403,708
R-squared                              0.007       0.016           0.319        0.353        0.360        0.361

Standard errors in brackets
***
      p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1


                                                                                                          13
860                                                                                                    R. Atkins et al.

Table 9  PPP loan-level results, on sub-sample reporting race
                                       (1)       (2)            (3)          (4)          (5)          (6)

Dependent variable: Ln loan amount
Asian owner                   − 0.177***         − 0.373***     − 0.380***   − 0.377***   − 0.445***   − 0.446***
                              [0.006]            [0.006]        [0.005]      [0.005]      [0.006]      [0.006]
Black owner (H1)              − 0.568***         − 0.728***     − 0.557***   − 0.534***   − 0.548***   − 0.550***
                              [0.012]            [0.011]        [0.009]      [0.009]      [0.009]      [0.009]
Hispanic owner                − 0.272***         − 0.448***     − 0.345***   − 0.350***   − 0.338***   − 0.340***
                              [0.008]            [0.008]        [0.006]      [0.006]      [0.006]      [0.006]
Other race owner              − 1.537***         − 1.742***     − 1.227***   − 1.265***   − 0.671***   − 0.670***
                              [0.115]            [0.114]        [0.094]      [0.093]      [0.093]      [0.093]
Median income (zip code)                         0.000***       0.000***     0.000***     0.000***     0.000***
                                                 [0.000]        [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
% Bachelors (zip code)                           0.409***       0.460***     0.580***     0.517***     0.482***
                                                 [0.025]        [0.021]      [0.021]      [0.021]      [0.022]
% Rural (zip code)                               − 1.026***     − 0.676***   − 0.597***   − 0.510***   − 0.495***
                                                 [0.008]        [0.006]      [0.006]      [0.007]      [0.007]
Jobs reported                                                   0.022***     0.021***     0.021***     0.021***
                                                                [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
Veteran                                                         0.074***     0.059***     0.035***     0.122***
                                                                [0.009]      [0.009]      [0.009]      [0.018]
Female owner                                                    − 0.306***   − 0.275***   − 0.270***   − 0.182***
                                                                [0.004]      [0.004]      [0.004]      [0.017]
Mills ratio                                                                                            − 0.139***
                                                                                                       [0.026]
Corporate form dummies                                          Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
2-Digit NAICS dummies                                                        Yes          Yes          Yes
State dummies                                                                             Yes          Yes
Observations                           502,807   500,096        486,827      486,625      486,625      486,625
R-squared                              0.008     0.061          0.375        0.408        0.419        0.419

Standard errors in brackets
***
      p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1




13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                          861

Table 10  PPP loan results,                                               (1)   (2)          (3)          (4)
alternate split by num
bank branches, on sample           Dependent variable: Ln loan amount
reporting race
                                   Number of branches:           1–3            4–6          7–9          10 +
                                   Asian owner                   − 0.451***     − 0.457***   − 0.432***   − 0.440***
                                                                 [0.016]        [0.016]      [0.016]      [0.013]
                                   Black owner (H2)              − 0.587***     − 0.541***   − 0.558***   − 0.507***
                                                                 [0.022]        [0.024]      [0.027]      [0.019]
                                   Hispanic owner                − 0.339***     − 0.338***   − 0.368***   − 0.328***
                                                                 [0.019]        [0.019]      [0.022]      [0.016]
                                   Other race owner              − 0.387***     − 0.688***   − 1.295***   − 0.929***
                                                                 [0.126]        [0.155]      [0.408]      [0.213]
                                   Median income (zip code)      0.000          0.000**      0.000***     0.000***
                                                                 [0.000]        [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
                                   % Bachelors (zip code)        0.480***       0.354***     0.282***     0.435***
                                                                 [0.078]        [0.093]      [0.102]      [0.070]
                                   % Rural (zip code)            − 0.430***     − 0.458***   − 0.565***   − 0.433***
                                                                 [0.017]        [0.030]      [0.053]      [0.048]
                                   Jobs reported                 0.024***       0.021***     0.020***     0.020***
                                                                 [0.000]        [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
                                   Veteran                       0.077*         0.256***     0.097*       0.160***
                                                                 [0.042]        [0.050]      [0.058]      [0.037]
                                   Female owner                  − 0.204***     − 0.061      − 0.187***   − 0.159***
                                                                 [0.040]        [0.046]      [0.052]      [0.034]
                                   Mills ratio                   − 0.052        − 0.323***   − 0.151*     − 0.206***
                                                                 [0.058]        [0.072]      [0.085]      [0.056]
                                   Corporate form dummies        Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes
                                   2-Digit NAICS dummies         Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes
                                   State dummies                 Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes
                                   Observations                  124,920        100,400      81,885       179,420
                                   R-squared                     0.450          0.419        0.404        0.389

                                   Standard errors in brackets
                                   ***
                                         p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1




                                                                                                          13
862                                                                                                              R. Atkins et al.

Table 11  PPP loan results by timing of grant, on sub-sample reporting race
                                  (1)      (2)             (3)            (4)          (5)          (6)          (7)

Dependent variable: Ln loan amount
                            Pre-May 1      Early May       Late May       Early June   Late June    Early July   Late July
Asian owner                 − 0.408***     − 0.199***      − 0.220***     − 0.338***   − 0.250***   − 0.260***   − 0.274***
                            [0.008]        [0.022]         [0.032]        [0.039]      [0.029]      [0.071]      [0.044]
Black owner (H3)            − 0.385***     − 0.235***      − 0.197***     − 0.183***   − 0.142***   0.031        0.008
                            [0.014]        [0.029]         [0.040]        [0.050]      [0.035]      [0.080]      [0.054]
Hispanic owner              − 0.208***     − 0.100***      − 0.100***     − 0.164***   − 0.098***   − 0.184**    − 0.127***
                            [0.010]        [0.023]         [0.031]        [0.041]      [0.030]      [0.075]      [0.047]
Other race owner            − 1.099                        − 0.139        − -0.092     − 0.119      0.171        0.217
                            [0.879]                        [0.204]        [0.157]      [0.125]      [0.388]      [0.285]
Median income (zip code) 0.000***          0.000***        0.000***       0.000**      0.000**      0.000**      0
                            [0.000]        [0.000]         [0.000]        [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]      [0.000]
% Bachelors (zip code)      0.526***       0.536***        0.475***       0.482***     0.188        0.282        0.515***
                            [0.041]        [0.097]         [0.140]        [0.178]      [0.123]      [0.287]      [0.196]
% Rural (zip code)          − 0.543***     − 0.242***      − 0.180***     − 0.189***   − 0.242***   − 0.320***   − 0.161**
                            [0.012]        [0.031]         [0.047]        [0.063]      [0.043]      [0.104]      [0.065]
Jobs reported               0.020***       0.020***        0.024***       0.025***     0.020***     0.030***     0.022***
                            [0.000]        [0.002]         [0.003]        [0.004]      [0.002]      [0.008]      [0.004]
Veteran                     0.099***       0.233***        0.381***       0.25         0.065        − 0.074      0.240*
                            [0.023]        [0.075]         [0.113]        [0.154]      [0.099]      [0.255]      [0.145]
Female owner                − 0.189***     − 0.04          0.036          0.031        − 0.198**    − 0.371*     − 0.098
                            [0.022]        [0.064]         [0.099]        [0.132]      [0.085]      [0.207]      [0.116]
Mills ratio                 − 0.114***     − 0.271***      − 0.378**      − 0.365      − 0.048      0.391        − 0.132
                            [0.034]        [0.104]         [0.168]        [0.228]      [0.148]      [0.354]      [0.198]
Corporate form dummies      Yes            Yes             Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
2-Digit NAICS dummies       Yes            Yes             Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
State dummies               Yes            Yes             Yes            Yes          Yes          Yes          Yes
Observations                407,927        26,005          11,447         7086         15,659       2241         6720
R-squared                   0.422          0.297           0.317          0.324        0.278        0.289        0.276

Standard errors in brackets
***
      p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1




13
Discrimination in lending? Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program                                                                   863

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