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Attachment to Maintenance of Effort (MOE) Waiver Request

Summary

This Attachment to Maintenance of Effort (MOE) Waiver Request says that in fiscal year 2023 the State of Minnesota continued to provide state funding for elementary and secondary education and higher education, and that total state support was higher on a total dollar basis and a per-pupil basis than the average of state fiscal years 2017, 2018, and 2019. It says that because the ARP's definition of Maintenance of Effort looks at support as a proportion of total state spending, Minnesota did not technically achieve compliance and requests a waiver under section 2004(a)(2) of the ARP Act. It states that Minnesota failed to meet the proportional requirement for FY 2023 by $994.9 million for E-12 education and $46.6 million for higher education.

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“Attachment to Maintenance of Effort (MOE) Waiver Request.” Original at www.ed.gov. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/department-of-education-pdf-www-ed-gov-ff286325fc/, SHA-256 8c6c10108bd6b482bcba5ce71f1d395efd6ee87738933476a4f7dff770c578aa.

Full text

                 Attachment to Maintenance of Effort (MOE) Waiver Request
Summary:

In fiscal year 2023, the State of Minnesota continued to provide crucial state funding for elementary and
secondary education as well as higher education, areas that are vital to the current and future success of
Minnesotans. Compared to the average level of support provided during state fiscal years (FY) 2017,
2018, and 2019, total state support for elementary and secondary education (“E-12”) and higher
education in FY 2023 was higher on a total dollar basis and on a per-pupil basis. Federal funding
provided in the American Rescue Plan (ARP) Act was intended to expand resources for schools and
students, not replace existing state commitments; and that is exactly what happened in Minnesota. In
fact, the state’s commitment to education in FY 2023 was stronger than ever, despite declining student
enrollment. However, due to the ARP’s unique definition of Maintenance of Effort (MOE), which looks at
support for E-12 education and higher education as a proportion of total state spending, Minnesota did
not technically achieve compliance. As such, Minnesota is requesting a waiver under the authority
provided to the Secretary of Education in section 2004(a)(2) of the ARP Act.

Minnesota failed to meet the ARP’s proportional MOE requirement for FY 2023 by $994.9 million for E-
12 education and $46.6 million for higher education due to several factors described in this waiver
request. Minnesota experienced fiscal burdens preventing, preparing for, and responding to the
coronavirus, particularly in FY 2020 and FY 2021. These commitments left fewer resources available in
spring 2021 when Minnesota set its budget for FY 2022 and FY 2023.

However, after spring 2021 Minnesota began accruing and projecting substantial surpluses. A large
portion of that surplus was “one-time” in nature, meaning it was not expected to be available for
ongoing commitments that are necessary to provide predictable and stable funding for education. Much
of those one-time funds were enacted by the legislature in 2023 for expenditure in FY 2023, which
increased total state spending in that year, thereby decreasing the percent of total state spending on
education (despite the fact that education spending increased overall and on a per-pupil basis in that
year). This is discussed further in response to question number 3 later in this document.

But a considerable amount of the ongoing surplus was in fact dedicated to education. The table below
shows that the year-over-year increases for E-12 education and higher education in FY 2024 far
outweigh the amounts by which Minnesota failed to achieve compliance in FY 2023. The year-over-year
spending increase projected for FY 2024 in E-12 education is nearly twice the size of the E-12 education
FY 2023 shortfall, the higher education FY 2024 increase is more than six times the FY 2023 shortfall.

                                                                        E-12                 Higher Ed
                                                                   (State support for   (State support for higher
                                                                    elementary and          education minus
 ($ thousands)                                                   secondary education)           research)
 FY 2023 spending                                                $ 10,270,162           $      1,713,800
 Additional spending that would have been needed in FY
 2023 to achieve compliance*                                     $      994,933         $         46,595
 FY 2024 projected year-over-year spending increase              $    1,877,543         $        281,691
 Amount that FY 2024 projected year-over-year spending
 exceeds spending needed in FY 2023 to achieve compliance        $       882,610        $         235,096




                                                   Minnesota MOE Waiver Request Attachment - page 1
*This is the amount that would have been needed to be added to E-12 and Higher Ed spending in FY 2023 to achieve
compliance with the MOE requirement, assuming that – per US Ed guidance – the difference between the FY 2023 percent and
the baseline percent may be rounded to the nearest whole number.

Minnesota’s increased commitment to education does not end in FY 2024; rather, these total spending
and per-pupil increases continue into the future. Minnesota currently forecasts state spending through
FY 2027. In FY 2027, E-12 spending is expected to be $13.0 billion, which is a 41% increase over the
MOE baseline period. Higher Ed spending is expected to be $1.9 billion, which is a 24% increase over
the MOE baseline period. These increases are in spite of the fact that enrollment in both E-12 and
higher education is expected to be lower in the near future than in the baseline period.

The primary pieces of legislation that increased education funding for FY 2024 and later are Minnesota
Laws 2023, Chapter 55 (K-12 education) and Minnesota Laws 2023, Chapter 41 (Higher Education).
Further information to help in the consideration of Minnesota’s waiver application is provided in the
following pages.




                                                           Minnesota MOE Waiver Request Attachment - page 2
Additional Submission Requirements

1. A description of the extent to which the State experienced fiscal burdens in preventing, preparing
   for, and responding to the coronavirus and an explanation of how those fiscal burdens affected
   the State’s ability to maintain fiscal effort (e.g., the status of and any changes to the State’s rainy
   day fund, whether the State experienced a decline in revenues, or an increase in other emergency
   expenses resulting from the pandemic, such as expenses related to health care, unemployment
   insurance, or support for small businesses).

Minnesota experienced a number of fiscal burdens that impacted our ability to maintain effort under
the proportional MOE calculation. State tax revenues in fiscal year 2020 dropped $584 million (2.5
percent) compared to the prior year. FY 2020 was the most recent closed fiscal year at the time the
biennial budget for FY 2022 and FY 2023 was established. If FY 2020 revenues had instead been in line
with Minnesota’s prior revenue trend, state policymakers would have had significantly more funding
available to them when setting the FY 2022-23 biennial budget in spring 2021.

In addition to revenue losses experienced during fiscal year 2020, the state also committed $755 million
in state funds (not including federal sources) to pandemic response in FY 2020 and FY 2021. State
funded response activities included testing, emergency food shelf response, housing, shelter, personal
protective equipment, long term care staffing, business payments, grants to health care providers, and
staffing for local public health. These expenditures are detailed in response to Question 2 below.
Despite these limitations, Minnesota enacted large increases in funding for E-12 education and higher
education in its FY 2022-23 biennial budget established during the 2021 legislative session.

In the 2022 legislative session, which was considered a “supplemental” budget year in Minnesota,
additional budget investments were primarily pandemic-related. These included:

    -   $405.8 million payment into the state’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) Trust Fund
    -   $499.9 million in payments to pandemic frontline workers
    -   $190 million for miscellaneous pandemic response items such as testing and vaccines

Like many states, Minnesota experienced increased demands on its unemployment insurance program
during the pandemic. In 2022, Minnesota’s UI Trust Fund owed $1.4 billion to the U.S. Treasury
Department. Legislation (https://www.revisor.mn.gov/laws/2022/0/Session+Law/Chapter/50/) enacted
in 2022 used a combination of ARP State Fiscal Recovery Funds and state general funds to repay that
outstanding loan with the federal government and to replenish the state’s UI Trust fund. This action
meant that businesses across the state were held harmless from the effects of the pandemic, and it
ensured that vital UI benefits would be available to Minnesotans in the future. The same legislation also
provided bonus pay to frontline workers who worked during the pandemic to keep Minnesotans safe,
healthy, fed, and cared for. Finally, the legislation included $190 million for testing, vaccines, COVID-19
outbreak management, and health system supports. More detail is available here:
https://mn.gov/deed/newscenter/press-releases/?id=526839.

As noted in the response to Question 3 below, Minnesota increased support for E-12 and higher
education in FY 2023 despite these fiscal burdens. In the absence of these fiscal burdens, Minnesota
would have had an even greater ability support education as a percentage of overall state spending.




                                                    Minnesota MOE Waiver Request Attachment - page 3
2. Documentation and data supporting the description of the State’s fiscal burdens (e.g., revenue
   data, appropriation tables, unemployment statistics, etc.) including any State action that
   impacted State revenue (e.g., tax increases or decreases).

The $405.8 million Unemployment Insurance payment in FY 2022 is shown on page 8 of the November
2022 General Fund Balance Analysis published by Minnesota Management and Budget:
https://mn.gov/mmb-stat/documents/budget/operating-budget/forecast/nov-2022/nov22-fba-
summary.pdf.

The $499.9 million for Frontline Worker payments in FY 2023 is shown on page 12 of the October 2023
General Fund Balance Analysis published by Minnesota Management and Budget, and expenditures
from the $190 million in COVID-19 response appropriation are included throughout the same document:
https://mn.gov/mmb-stat/documents/budget/operating-budget/actual23/close23-fba.pdf.

Additional General Fund investments totaling $755 million are detailed in Table 1 below. Expenditures
were primarily in FY 2020 and FY 2021 and are included in the November 2021 General Fund Balance
Analysis published by Minnesota Management and Budget: https://mn.gov/mmb-
stat/documents/budget/operating-budget/forecast/nov-2021/nov21fcst-fba-detail.pdf


 Table 1. State of Minnesota COVID Response
 General Fund Commitment
 $ in thousands
 COVID-19 MN Fund                                                                            200,000
 Peacetime Emergency Child Care Grants                                                        29,964
 Military Veterans COVID-19 Response Assistance                                                6,200
 Emergency Food Shelf Response                                                                 9,000
 Housing Support                                                                               5,530
 Emergency Services Grants - Shelter, PPE, Supplies, & Staffing                               26,537
 Tribal Nations Staffing                                                                      11,000
 Business Relief Payments                                                                     87,750
 Unemployment Trust Fund                                                                      25,000
 Movie Theater and Convention Center Grants                                                   13,900
 County Relief Grants                                                                        114,728
 Health Care Response Fund - Provider Grants                                                 150,000
 Public Health Contingency Account - Provider Grants                                          50,000
 Public Health Contingency Account - Staffing and Local Public Health                         25,511
 Total General Fund Investment                                                               755,120

Documentation of Economic Impact of Pandemic on Minnesota

Minnesota Management and Budget (MMB) issues two Budget and Economic Forecasts each year, in
November and February. In addition, MMB issued a special interim projection in May 2020 when it was
clear that the pandemic would have a significant budget and economic impact. Below are links to
published forecasts since the beginning of the pandemic. In each document, the executive summary,
economic outlook and appendix contain charts and tables showing economic indicators such as GDP,
consumer spending, employment, wage and salary, personal income, and business impact. Each of these
indicators show the impact of the pandemic on Minnesota’s economy.


                                                  Minnesota MOE Waiver Request Attachment - page 4
   May 2020 Interim Budget Projection: https://mn.gov/mmb-stat/budget/may-interim-budget-projection-
   document.pdf

   November 2020 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-
   stat/000/az/forecast/2020/budget-and-economic-forecast/november-2020-forecast.pdf

   February 2021 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-stat/000/az/forecast/2021/budget-
   and-economic-forecast/february-2021-forecast.pdf

   November 2021 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-
   stat/000/az/forecast/2021/budget-and-economic-forecast/november-2021-forecast.pdf

   February 2022 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-stat/000/az/forecast/2022/budget-
   and-economic-forecast/february-2022-forecast.pdf

   November 2022 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-
   stat/000/az/forecast/2022/budget-and-economic-forecast/november-2022-forecast.pdf

   February 2023 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-stat/000/az/forecast/2023/budget-
   and-economic-forecast/february.pdf

   November 2023 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-
   stat/000/az/forecast/2023/budget-and-economic-forecast/november.pdf

   February 2024 Budget and Economic Forecast: https://mn.gov/mmb-
   stat/000/az/forecast/2024/budget-and-economic-forecast/february.pdf



   3. In addition, in its waiver request, a State should submit information on the relevant factors listed
      below to support its request. The Secretary may ask States for additional information after States
      submit the MOE waiver request form.

   Has the State increased support for education?

   As indicated on the data submission table and Table 2 below, Minnesota has increased its state support
   for E-12 education and higher education every year from the baseline period to FY 2023, with annual
   average growth of 2.41% for E-12 Education and 2.49% for Higher Education. The state’s primary E-12
   education per-pupil formula -- which is set via legislation -- has increased every year since 2011, most
   frequently at 2.0% per year. June 2021 legislation enacted a 2.45% increase for FY 2022 and 2.0% for FY
   2023, and May 2023 legislation enacted a 4.0% increase for FY 2024 and a 2.0% increase for FY 2025,
   which both outpace per-pupil increases during the MOE baseline period.

   Table 2. E-12 Education and Higher Education Spending and Enrollment

                                  E-12                                         Higher Education
                                   Public                            Total           Public
                   Total          Student      Expenditures      Expenditures       Student     Expenditures
    Year       Expenditures      Enrollment     per Student     (minus research)   Enrollment Per Student
FY 2017      $8,901,333,000         861,624          $10,331    $1,478,603,000         259,600       $5,696
FY 2018      $9,233,048,000         868,952          $10,625    $1,568,081,000         255,209       $6,144
FY 2019      $9,587,811,000         873,022          $10,982    $1,559,334,000         249,536       $6,249
                                                      Minnesota MOE Waiver Request Attachment - page 5
Avg. FYs
2017-2019     $9,240,731,000         867,866         $10,648    $1,535,339,000        254,782           $6,026
FY 2020       $9,835,739,000         874,999         $11,241    $1,610,260,000        247,276           $6,512
FY 2021       $9,919,135,000         855,704         $11,592    $1,631,223,000        238,342           $6,844
FY 2022       $10,000,769,000        856,357         $11,678    $1,675,105,000        226,686           $7,390
FY 2023       $10,270,162,000        855,224         $12,009    $1,713,800,000        223,093           $7,682


   Are there exceptional circumstances that caused the State to be unable to maintain support for
   education?

   Minnesota has a long record of not just maintaining but regularly increasing support for education.
   However, there are exceptional circumstances that have caused Minnesota to not achieve compliance
   with the proportional MOE in the ARP Act, including declining E-12 enrollment, one-time FY 2023
   expenditures in areas other than education, and increased health and human services spending.

   Like many other states, Minnesota has experienced declining enrollment in its public K-12 schools. The
   number of pupils in K-12 public schools declined 1.5 percent from the baseline period to FY 2023.
   Because Minnesota’s K-12 education funding is primarily tied to the number of students enrolled in
   public schools, declining enrollment leads to lower spending than would otherwise occur. Enrollment
   dropped sharply in FY 2021, due in large part to families delaying enrollment into kindergarten or
   pursuing non-public or homeschool options because of the pandemic. Enrollment rebounded slightly in
   FY 2022 and then decreased slightly in FY 2023, remaining 12,642 students below the average
   enrollment during the baseline period. It is unsurprising that Minnesota’s per-pupil funding has
   increased year-over-year, since statutory increases in the primary per-pupil funding and a special
   education formula that largely reimburses prior year costs make this all but inevitable. What is notable,
   however, is that year-over-year total spending has increased, even when enrollment decreased.
   Declining enrollment had a significant impact on total E-12 expenditures in FY 2023, limiting Minnesota’s
   ability to achieve MOE compliance.

   In addition, as discussed above, the state used balances in FY 2022 to pay back federal government
   loans for the unemployment insurance program during the pandemic as well as replenish this fund’s
   balance to ensure a safety net for families in the future.

   In FY 2023, Minnesota made an atypically large number of one-time expenditures that increased total
   state spending, thereby decreasing the percentage of state spending that went towards education.
   These included both pandemic-related spending and non-pandemic-related spending. This one-time
   spending was possible due to a large budget surplus, much of which was one-time in nature, i.e. the
   available funds were not anticipated to be available for ongoing spending. This anomalously high
   amount of one-time FY 2023 spending makes a proportional spending comparison between the baseline
   period of FY 2017-19 and FY 2023, as required by the ARP Act, misleading in what it suggests about
   Minnesota’s E-12 education and higher education spending. Large one-time expenditures made in FY
   2023 include:

       -    $499.9 million for pandemic frontline worker pay
       -    $378.3 million for early repayment of debt taken out to support stadium construction, allowing
            freed up resources in future years to be used for other state priorities (such as education)
       -    $300.1 million to support the individual health insurance market through operating a
            reinsurance program
                                                      Minnesota MOE Waiver Request Attachment - page 6
    -   $115 million to match federal funds coming into the state through the Infrastructure Investment
        and Jobs Act (IIJA) and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)

In addition, health and human services (HHS) spending increased substantially in FY 2023 relative to the
baseline period of FY 2017-19. The primary causes of this increase are 1) increased Medicaid
reimbursement rates to providers; 2) increases in Medicaid waiver programs; and 3) additional supports
for personal care assistance. These investments are vital to the health and well-being of Minnesotans,
issues which the pandemic brought to the front and center.

In the absence of declining E-12 enrollment, significant one-time spending, and increased HHS spending,
Minnesota would not need a waiver of the proportional maintenance of effort requirement for FY 2023.

Minnesota has not only maintained state support for education on a year-over-year basis, but it has also
chosen to direct certain resources from the State Fiscal Recovery Fund (SFRF) to elementary and
secondary education as well as to higher education as a supplement to state funds. SFRF allocations
include $75 million for E-12 summer learning, $29 million for school districts that have experienced
declining enrollment, $35 million for higher education tuition assistance, and smaller amounts for
education-related nonprofits and grants.

Has the state used or will the state use ESSER, GEER, or Higher Education Emergency Relief (HEER)
funding to replace State funding for education?

No. Minnesota has enacted increases to General Fund spending on elementary and secondary education
as well as Higher Education. ESSER, GEER, and HEER funds are supplementing these increases.




                                                   Minnesota MOE Waiver Request Attachment - page 7


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