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Walk Through Inflation, April 5, 2022 — Congressional Record, House

Summary

Congressional Record, House, pages H4186 and H4187, dated April 5, 2022. The page includes the close of a tribute to Bob Foote and a one-minute statement by Rice of South Carolina congratulating the University of South Carolina women's basketball team on the NCAA National Championship, a 64–49 victory over second seed UConn. Under the Speaker's announced policy, Schweikert is recognized for 60 minutes as the designee of the minority leader and begins a presentation titled Walk Through Inflation. Schweikert says that inflation tracks back to a stimulus bill and falls hardest on poorer families.

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“Walk Through Inflation, April 5, 2022 — Congressional Record, House.” Original at www.govinfo.gov. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/crec-crec-2022-04-05-crec-2022-04-05-pt1-pgh4186-2-c279b52442/, SHA-256 20f796b90778abb6838ed36de98d22a772e64426266a19a8941d3b9be2bf553b.

Full text

                                            H4186                                              CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — HOUSE                                                         April 5, 2022
                                            him to be the best man that he could                    don’t like math and economics, I sug-                  Here is basically the chart, Mr. Speak-
                                            possibly be.                                            gest you get away from this presen-                    er, and you can see the inflationary ex-
                                              He is now able to reunite with his be-                tation as fast as possible.                            pectations when the Democrats took
                                            loved Colleen and, together, watch over                   Also, another weird aside because I                  power, when they actually passed their
                                            his legacy, the Foote Cattle Company,                   get this question all the time: The                    big stimulus bill, and off to the races.
                                            and gaze proudly on his beloved Gail                    Chamber is empty, but we are probably                    My community in January had a 10.9
                                            and his sons, Scott, Brad, and Greg, as                 on 1,000 televisions throughout the                    percent year-over-year inflation. Some
                                            they continue to lead the industry and                  campus here in the House and the Sen-                  of our models right now say that this
                                            Kansas agriculture forward.                             ate, with staff and Members, and that                  month and next month we are actually
                                              Bob Foote, may you rest in peace.                     is, in many ways, partially who we are                 going to be having inflationary spikes.
                                                             f                                      communicating with to think dif-                         I need you to have a concept. So ev-
                                                                                                    ferently.                                              eryone is fretting right now: Oh, the
                                            CONGRATULATING SOUTH CARO-                                                                                     Federal Reserve is going to raise inter-
                                              LINA GAMECOCKS WOMEN’S BAS-                             First off, 1 year ago, I think it was
                                                                                                    March 21, 2021, the Democrats did one                  est rates. It is 2 percent. They might
                                              KETBALL TEAM ON NCAA NA-                                                                                     actually go one-half of 1 percent. Mr.
                                              TIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP                                   of their huge stimulus bills. Not a sin-
                                                                                                    gle Republican voted for it. That is the               Speaker, if you go back to the early,
                                              (Mr. RICE of South Carolina asked                     moment you can track the explosion in                  early eighties and the Paul Volcker
                                            and was given permission to address                                                                            time, they had to raise the Federal
                                                                                                    inflation.
                                            the House for 1 minute and to revise                                                                           funds rate equal to inflation.
                                                                                                      I am stealing Larry Summers’ quote
                                            and extend his remarks.)                                                                                         If today the actual inflation rate as
                                                                                                    from one of his presentations a couple                 of this moment is not 6 percent but
                                              Mr. RICE of South Carolina. Mr.                       of days ago. There was a piling of dry
                                            Speaker, it is a privilege and honor                                                                           closer to 8, 8.1, are you ready for a Fed-
                                                                                                    kindling, and the Democrats decided to                 eral funds rate at 8?
                                            today to congratulate the University of                 take a kerosene-soaked log, light it on
                                            South Carolina women’s basketball                                                                                Because that is what it takes. Be-
                                                                                                    fire, throw it on that kindling, and                   cause understand, Mr. Speaker, if you
                                            team on winning the NCAA National                       boom. Now, we are having a number of
                                            Championship. It is a great day to be a                                                                        are borrowing money today at a Fed-
                                                                                                    our economists saying we may have in-                  eral funds rate of 2, 21⁄2, and inflation
                                            Gamecock.                                               flation for an entire decade. This is not
                                              After a heartbreaking loss in the                                                                            really is closer to 8, there a huge, huge
                                                                                                    transitory.                                            gap. Those need to actually be in align-
                                            Final Four last year, South Carolina                      Do you remember over and over and
                                            found redemption Sunday night, earn-                                                                           ment because you have a negative ac-
                                                                                                    over when Treasury Secretary Yellen—                   tual interest rate. When you are bor-
                                            ing the program’s second national                       who I used to have amazing respect for,
                                            championship title with a 64–49 victory                                                                        rowing below what inflation is costing,
                                                                                                    but now she has become a partisan—                     if the dollar goes to this value every
                                            over second seed UConn.                                 would say to us, oh, it is transitory. A
                                              The Gamecock women’s basketball                                                                              day and you are paying this, you have
                                                                                                    number of the Democratic economists                    substantial negative interest rates.
                                            team had an incredible season with a
                                                                                                    would say it is transitory. They are no                  What do you think is going to hap-
                                            35–2 record, averaging 70 points a game.
                                                                                                    longer saying that. They basically ad-                 pen?
                                              While every member of the team
                                                                                                    mitted they screwed up, and a lot of                     So back to the reality. This is what
                                            played their hearts out, Aliyah Boston,                                                                        we have done. Actually, I take that
                                            the Southeastern Conference Player of                   people are getting hurt right now.
                                                                                                      I am going to show over and over, if                 back. We didn’t do this. The Repub-
                                            the Year, won the Final Four Most                                                                              licans didn’t do it. The Democrats did
                                            Outstanding Player award. She is the                    you are a middle-class person, if you
                                                                                                    are part of the working poor, you are                  it, and they did it without a single—
                                            first South Carolina player to earn                                                                            without a single—Republican vote.
                                            that honor since A’ja Wilson in 2017.                   poorer today than 14 months ago when
                                                                                                    the Democrats took power.                                This line, functionally, is your in-
                                              Coach Dawn Staley had an incredible                                                                          come, Mr. Speaker, and, yes, it has had
                                            season. Hard work breeds success, and                     Let’s have a little bit of amusement
                                                                                                    here. You may all remember this. This                  a little bit of movement up, but this is
                                            this team is a prime example of that.                                                                          your purchasing power because your
                                            The national title is a win for South                   is from before the stimulus bill, from a
                                                                                                    year ago. Larry Summers, not a big                     income has become worth less. In Jan-
                                            Carolina and every fan who helped                                                                              uary when we got the 2021 basic data,
                                            cheer them to victory.                                  Republican—come on, Larry Summers
                                                                                                    has classically always been one of the                 the mean in our country was about 21⁄2
                                              Congratulations,    Gamecocks,      on                                                                       percent     poorer.    Their   purchasing
                                            being the national champions once                       left’s favorite economists, except when
                                                                                                                                                           power, they became poorer.
                                            again.                                                  he told them: Don’t do this. Don’t do
                                                                                                                                                             Inflation has only increased since
                                                             f
                                                                                                    this. You already have pumped so                       then.
                                                                                                    much cash into the system.                               The reality of it is that really bad ec-
                                                 WALK THROUGH INFLATION
                                                                                                                      b 1630                               onomics end up hurting people. You
                                              The SPEAKER pro tempore. Under                                                                               will notice, Mr. Speaker, it is this
                                            the Speaker’s announced policy of Jan-                    Remember, Mr. Speaker, the world is
                                                                                                    sort of split. The left believes in sort of            White House saying—in an absolutely
                                            uary 4, 2021, the gentleman from Ari-                                                                          almost laughable—well, it is Putin’s
                                            zona (Mr. SCHWEIKERT) is recognized                     a Keynesian model of consumption eco-
                                                                                                    nomics. The right sort of believes in                  inflation. Of course, it was going on
                                            for 60 minutes as the designee of the                                                                          long before Putin invaded Ukraine.
                                            minority leader.                                        productivity: make more things. It is
                                                                                                                                                             Well, it is the Big Oil companies. Ex-
                                              Mr. SCHWEIKERT. Mr. Speaker, one                      referred to as supply side. They decided
                                                                                                                                                           cept it was Democrat policies that cre-
                                            more time, I am going to do something                   to stimulate consumption and hand out
                                                                                                                                                           ated the natural gas shortages last
                                            that is a little difficult, and I apologize             lots of money, and now you are poorer
                                                                                                                                                           year.
                                            for you being the poor person in the                    today than you were a year ago, Mr.                      They are desperate to run away from
                                            chair when we do this. I am going to                    Speaker. The left’s own sort of biggest                the responsibility of what they have
                                            walk through inflation.                                 voice,    Larry    Summers,      basically             done.
                                              I don’t think we understand the dam-                  begged them not to do it. But there is                   It is not part of this board deck, but,
                                            age, the economic violence, that is                     a policy around here: buy your votes                   repeatedly, I have come to this floor
                                            happening to the poor, the working                      and spend lots of taxpayer money.                      and tried to walk through what the two
                                            poor, and the economic future of the                    Even today, The Wall Street Journal                    things are, if you want to kick the
                                            country.                                                has an editorial featuring many of the                 working poor’s head in economically;
                                              Sorry, guys, the Democrats get the                    comments from Larry Summers talk-                      what do you do?




dlhill on DSK120RN23PROD with HOUSE
                                            blame on this one.                                      ing about how he expects actually a                      Well, inflation, right?
                                              We are going to walk through the                      pretty severe recession now.                             Here is another article right now
                                            facts, the mechanisms, but also maybe                     We are going to pay a price for my                   from The Washington Post—a truly
                                            a couple of solutions.                                  brothers and sisters on the left basi-                 conservative publication—‘‘Fed offi-
                                              This is going to be a tough one. So if                cally failing their basic economics                    cial: Inflation falls hardest on poorer
                                            you like economics, stay tuned. If you                  class. So let’s actually walk through it.              families.’’



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                                            April 5, 2022                                      CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — HOUSE                                                                 H4187
                                               So the excuse of saying: Well, infla-                the purchasing power of that $100 be?                  come in, and the supply chain and ev-
                                            tion really wasn’t hurting the poor. I                  It, functionally, is about $40, $46. You               erything will be wonderful. That is not
                                            mean, come on. We are back to reality.                  have lost more than half of it. Basi-                  the math.
                                            You are killing and you are crushing,                   cally, your value and your wealth got                     There is this concept of, well, prices
                                            economically, the poor.                                 cut in half.                                           went up, so I need to be paid more. But
                                               So number one is inflation. Number                     Now, if you are on the rich side, Mr.                if I need to be paid more, the business,
                                            two, if you actually look at the data on                Speaker, you own lots of real estate                   to keep its margins, needs to raise its
                                            those folks we put in that category of                  and you have lots of assets. With infla-               prices. Well, if they raise their prices, I
                                            the working poor, they are individuals                  tion, basically those assets become a                  need to be paid more because the busi-
                                            who often didn’t finish high school or                  hedge. But if you are a young family, if               ness needs to keep their margins, and I
                                            they didn’t go to college. They sell                    you are someone who is retired, you                    need to be able to afford the goods and
                                            their labor.                                            are living on a pension or you are liv-                services. You start this sort of ratchet,
                                               Do what the left has done this last                  ing on your savings or you are trying                  it is referred to as a wage-price spiral,
                                            year: open up the border. Have mil-                     to get a family started, every day being               and it becomes an unholy circle where
                                            lions—millions—of people cross the                      able to participate in the American                    wages and demand make a circle. The
                                            border and come into the country who                    Dream gets harder.                                     firm needs to keep its margins to stay
                                            offer similar skill sets where their eco-                 There is a reason inflation is one of                in business, well, then you have higher
                                            nomic value is they are going to sell                   the most destructive forces in the                     prices and you have higher inflation,
                                            their labor. And now you take the pop-                  world in societies. It is because it is                and you chase each other.
                                            ulation we love and care about, but we                  the ultimate spreader of income in-                       One of the only ways economists
                                            are crushing that working poor, and                     equality. Those who have assets basi-                  have to break this is you have two
                                            say, Hey, you now get to compete with                   cally are indemnified from inflation.                  choices: You do a bunch of policies
                                            a couple of million new residents who                   But if you don’t have a bunch of assets,               very quickly to spike productivity.
                                            are going to sell their labor.                          you are this. That is what happens to                  Well, that would mean my brothers and
                                               The policy of the last 14 months has                 you. Your dollar at the current rate of                sisters on the left will, basically, walk
                                            just been brutal. You see it in the                     inflation will be cut in half in a decade.             away from their economic theory and
                                            budget data, Mr. Speaker. Income in-                    This is the result of the policies of this             say that they just became supply-sid-
                                            equality has gotten worse since the                     place from the last 14 months.                         ers and we are going to do everything
                                            Democrats have taken charge. Food in-                     And now we are seeing models saying                  we can to make more stuff. Or we go
                                            security has gotten worse. Minority                     that it may not be at 7.4. Some are say-               into a recession. A number of econo-
                                            populations’ incredible gains that hap-                 ing it could be 4 or 5. Now, I am a little             mists basically now say that we are
                                            pened in 2018, 2019, and the first quarter              more worried. But some of the best ex-                 heading to recession, and Larry Sum-
                                            of 2020 before the pandemic have been                   perts are now saying that inflation now                mers actually thinks it is a pretty
                                            lost.                                                   may be structurally built in for this                  tough recession coming.
                                               So if you actually care, Mr. Speaker,                next decade.                                              It is a really miserable, horrible
                                            if you say, I care about economic                         Do you understand the damage that                    thing to do to people who are just get-
                                            growth, economic growth is moral,                       is going to do to the American people?                 ting out of a pandemic trying to get
                                            then would you keep doing policies                        Just some of the different slides try-               their lives back together. You hit them
                                            that keep hurting people?                               ing to understand what the trajectory                  with inflation, you flood the borders,
                                               It is math. At some point I would be                 is right now. We are basically looking                 you push up crime, you push up
                                            elated if the left said: Okay, they ac-                 at what was projected to be some of the                fentanyl deaths in my area, and now
                                            cept that their model doesn’t work and                  inflationary trends. The current line,                 you are going to run the country into
                                            basically has never worked, and in-                     basically, is starting to look at about                a recession. Yay team.
                                            stead of spending massive amounts of                    an 8, 8.4. I actually think this year—re-                 This is from last week. I am told
                                            money—we are going to talk about the                    member, last year: Oh, it is transitory.               some of these numbers have actually
                                            danger the country is now in because of                 Oh, it is just a seasonal spike. It is a               gotten worse this week, but we didn’t
                                            the incredible levels of spending and                   supply chain spike.                                    have time to print a new board.
                                            how fragile. There is this fragility con-                 Now we see the studies that say: Hey,                Citibank basically now says 25 percent
                                            cept of interest rates and debt we are                  no, half of the inflation from last                    chance of a recession before the end of
                                            going to walk through in a bit.                         year—so if you are my community, 10.9                  the year. Goldman, they were at 271⁄2
                                               If the Democrats really cared, they                  year over year was policy from this                    last week. I am told some of these
                                            would basically steal the supply-side                   body. It wasn’t Federal Reserve; it was                numbers are now up.
                                            economics, call it their own—they have                  policy from this body. The other half:                    Economists like Larry Lindsey, I
                                            done that before on other things—and                    Well, we will call it supply chain.                    think, is predicting before the end of
                                            say, We care about poor people. We are                    But then you have to read the rest of                this month we will actually start to hit
                                            actually going to help them.                            the article. It basically breaks down                  the very first steps of a recessionary
                                               But you can’t do it this way. Every                  that the stresses in the supply chain                  cycle.
                                            single day the Democrats have had ab-                   were workers, misallocation, those                        Now, remember, Mr. Speaker, prices
                                            solute control, people have gotten                      things, that also happened to be sub-                  have gone up faster than your wages.
                                            poorer.                                                 stantially related to Federal policy.                  So every day you are getting a little
                                               Once again, there was one Democrat                   This is an occasion where the Federal                  bit poorer, then you begin to pull back
                                            that voted ‘‘no,’’ so I will give that per-             Reserve may be a sinner of keeping in-                 on your purchases. The model basically
                                            son credit. Zero Republicans voted                      terest rates too low too long, but Con-                says that is what kicks off a reces-
                                            ‘‘yes,’’ but 220, 211 voting ‘‘no.’’ This is            gress, 1 year ago with their American                  sionary cycle.
                                            what they called the American Rescue                    Rescue Plan—not a single Republican
                                            Plan, except now we need to be rescued                  voted for it—decided to throw kerosene                                  b 1645
                                            from the Democrats’ American Rescue                     and matches when their own Democrat                      Now, in the past, when you did your
                                            Plan.                                                   economist, when Larry Summers is                       high school economics class, it was, oh,
                                               Some of these slides are going to get                saying: Don’t do it.                                   inventories go up too high and you stop
                                            a little thick.                                           Congratulations. You made America                    buying stuff and you bleed down your
                                               Purchasing power of $100—we talk                     poorer.                                                inventories. There is such a thing as an
                                            about inflation, but most people don’t                    Now, there is this concept out there                 inflationary-driven recessionary cycle,




dlhill on DSK120RN23PROD with HOUSE
                                            really process what it means. So let’s                  called a wage-price spiral. This is real-              because all of a sudden, you don’t have
                                            actually pretend that the baseline in-                  ly important to get your head around,                  the same purchasing power. You actu-
                                            flation that we believe we are at this                  Mr. Speaker, because there are those                   ally saw some of the consumer data
                                            last quarter, about 7.4, if you had that                out there who think: Oh, the Federal                   hitting last week that, all of a sudden,
                                            for 10 years, so if I gave you $100 today,              Reserve will raise interest rates a little             consumers are starting to change their
                                            Mr. Speaker, 10 years ago what would                    bit, some of the container ships will                  behavior.



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                                            H4188                                              CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — HOUSE                                                         April 5, 2022
                                              Larry Lindsey may have it right,                      what are the levers you can pull to                      The folks here don’t tell the truth
                                            that these Democrat policies are basi-                  incentivize capital investments by                     about math and say, Oh, you guys did
                                            cally paying off what Larry Summers                     businesses and organizations and then                  tax reform at the end of 2017. Yeah, but
                                            told you was going to happen. Trust                     our brothers and sisters get into or                   we grew the economy at a breakneck
                                            me, I never thought I would be behind                   come back into the labor force.                        pace, the poor got dramatically less
                                            this microphone saying Larry Sum-                         There are also other reasons, and this               poor, and tax receipts came screaming
                                            mers got it right.                                      does tie together. You understand how                  in, particularly from overseas, unlike
                                              Now, you actually go into what are                    fragile—this is a basic chart showing                  what was predicted by the left. Oh, it is
                                            some of the other stressors that will                   how soon Social Security and the Medi-                 a giveaway, except we took in a hell of
                                            make it so inflation doesn’t taper off.                 care part A trust fund—most of Medi-                   a lot more taxes.
                                            Remember: What is inflation? It is too                  care is actually a general fund expendi-                 Remember, the new tax code, that we
                                            many dollars chasing too few goods and                  tures. The hospital portion, what we                   are still under today, was more pro-
                                            services.                                               call part A, is in a trust fund, and they              gressive than the old one. In other
                                              So you can slow down, you can crush,                  are out of money. By 2027, Medicare                    words, the rich are paying a higher per-
                                            you can remove liquidity. You can                       part A is modeled to be empty, and this                centage of Federal income taxes than
                                            have the Federal Reserve basically                      number is actually sooner because of                   they were before we did tax reform at
                                            bleed off some its inventory of bonds                   what we did last year. This board was                  the very end of 2017. But that was a
                                            and other holdings. They can raise in-                  printed last year.                                     supply side type of tax reform, encour-
                                            terest rates, and that squeezes down                      The Social Security trust fund is out                aging people to make more stuff, to
                                            the money supply.                                       of money, I think, in 2032 or 2031, it                 make the society more productive, to
                                              Or the other side, you can make more                  may be our best guess now. If we have                  provide more opportunity. It worked.
                                            stuff. But it would require our brothers                more of our brothers and sisters in the                But it wasn’t, basically, the giveaway
                                            and sisters on the left, who run this                   labor force, these numbers go out, if                  model that the left embraces, and,
                                            place—they run Washington; they have                    you have productivity. But there is a                  therefore, they repeatedly lie about it.
                                            the Presidency; they have the House;                    small problem. As inflation kicks off                    Yes, think about this. Even with all
                                            they have the Senate—to do things to                    and the COLA mechanisms and Medi-                      the horrible things that went on in
                                            incentivize our brothers and sisters not                care healthcare costs keep going up, we                2020, a slight reduction in total tax rev-
                                            to retire early; for young people to get                are not absolutely sure what happens if                enues, receipts; 2021, highest ever. We
                                            into the workforce; for some of the                     we don’t get more labor force partici-                 basically broke through $4 trillion dol-
                                            populations that, you know, it is                       pation, more people in the economy                     lars. Our problem is, we still took that
                                            dystopian policies of COVID where we                    working.                                               $4 trillion and then spent a couple tril-
                                            forced so many working families and                       All the costs here, these numbers,                   lion on top of that, so we borrowed a
                                            working moms out of the labor force                     these bankruptcies, running out of                     couple trillion last year on top of all of
                                            after those miracle years of 2018, 2019,                money, Social Security and Medicare                    the cash that came in through taxes.
                                            first quarter of 2020, where we saw                     part A may be happening a lot sooner.                    With all that borrowing, you start to
                                                                                                      So the brain trust around here has                   realize the fraud, the danger. You see
                                            wages, particularly for women of color,
                                                                                                    this idea that says, hey, let’s take the               this whole section here, that green?
                                            just miraculous numbers.
                                                                                                    Medicare benefit age and instead of                    That is magic money. That is, func-
                                              Then comes the policy of shutting
                                                                                                    making it 65, let’s make it 60, because                tionally, the Federal Reserve buying
                                            down the schools, shutting down the
                                                                                                    that way we can have the bankruptcy                    our debt. So they basically lay a claim
                                            economy. Those are the populations
                                                                                                    of it happen much sooner. It is good                   on banking deposits, a theoretical
                                            who you can see have just been
                                                                                                    politics; it is great virtue-signaling                 claim, and buy it. So when you have $5
                                            crushed. Unless we get back to levels of
                                                                                                    from the speechifying. It may be good                  trillion thrown in, do you blame the
                                            participating in the economy, you
                                                                                                    at getting reelected, but it is horrible               Federal Reserve or do you blame us,
                                            can’t get the productivity.
                                                                                                    economics.                                             who basically are running these mas-
                                              So, could you and I come together, as                   To understand how bad the econom-
                                            people on left and the right, and say we                                                                       sive deficits and debt?
                                                                                                    ics have been, this is a slide I made last               Look, the Federal Reserve is like the
                                            are going to incentivize our brothers                   year, at the end of last year, to under-               family member of an alcoholic family
                                            and sisters who may have chosen to re-                  stand what 2021 was like from a fiscal                 that keeps buying them beer. They ba-
                                            tire to come back in? We are going to                   standpoint.                                            sically have enabled our bad policy de-
                                            incentivize individuals to come back                      The punch line, when you look at all                 cisions. If we had to pay the actual
                                            into the labor force because we need to                 of these numbers, is we were borrowing                 price for a lot of this crazy spending—
                                            make more stuff. This is not com-                       over $47,000 every second. Every second                but by doing what they did here—and
                                            plicated economics. It is just a lot of                 we were borrowing $47,000. You wonder                  the next time you have someone say,
                                            complicated decisions, and it will re-                  why we kicked off inflation—excuse                     Oh, it is Japan, well, Japan is down
                                            quire the left, basically, to walk away                 me—they kicked off inflation? You                      here. China is there. This is the Fed-
                                            from some of their orthodoxy.                           also wonder why your country, from a                   eral Reserve, and then this is, function-
                                              The other thing—I show this slide                     financial standpoint, is so fragile.                   ally, individuals.
                                            just to point out what is happening de-                   I am going to show you a slide here                    I am going to show some of the slides
                                            mographically. It is also an oppor-                     at the end. It is basically the punch                  that really worry me of what is the ap-
                                            tunity, but it is also really tough. We                 line at the end, that if the 2 points                  petite for people to basically buy a U.S.
                                            actually have a situation here, if you                  higher interest rate holds for a couple                bond to help us keep financing this
                                            look where we are at, you come to the                   decades, at the end of those decades,                  crazy debt and deficits and the fact
                                            10-year marks, so at the end of the dec-                every dime of revenue, receipts, into                  that every day the bond is actually
                                            ade, we, functionally, are heading at                   the Federal Government just covers in-                 worth less money.
                                            parts where 20, 22 percent—actually, I                  terest costs.                                            If you go by a 10-year bond today—
                                            think 22 percent of the population at                     Does anyone around here own a cal-                   and I think the post I saw just before I
                                            the end of the decade are 65 and older.                 culator? Don’t give me, oh, we need                    came in here, it was sitting at about
                                              What are the leverages we would                       more tax receipts, because the fact of                 2.5. If it is true that at this moment,
                                            have here in Congress to encourage                      the matter, post tax reform, you had                   inflation may be running somewhere
                                            those individuals to stay in the labor                  number 2 and number 3 highest revenue                  from 6 to 8 percent, how much are you
                                            force? We have already done some                        years in U.S. history, adjusted for in-                losing every single day in your value?
                                            things in regard to the Social Security                 flation, real receipts adjusted for infla-             People are loaning the money and tak-




dlhill on DSK120RN23PROD with HOUSE
                                            tax penalties, but could we do more of                  tion. You are going to notice, even last               ing a negative rate of return. That
                                            that? If this is about a labor shortage                 year was the highest highest ever. And                 isn’t going to go on long. That is when
                                            that is also going to continue the infla-               the only reason these two weren’t num-                 you hear this discussion of inverted
                                            tionary cycle and you have the choice                   ber 1 and number 2 is I think 2014 had                 yield curves.
                                            of making people poorer by shoving us                   a weird timing effect on some paybacks                   I was going to do a whole presen-
                                            into a recession or making more stuff,                  from TARP and some other things.                       tation on yield curves, and the staff,



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                                            April 5, 2022                                      CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — HOUSE                                                                 H4189
                                            basically, looked at me in terror, so I                 These numbers get dramatically worse.                  we, functionally, have well over $21⁄2
                                            am not going to do that to you.                         But there is a scam here. I am going to                trillion of additional debt piled on. It is
                                              Just basically understand, when you                   do my best to try to explain this. You                 a remarkable record. In a time when
                                            hear the term ‘‘inverted,’’ it basically                are retired. You have savings. You are                 we were coming out of the COVID
                                            says, theoretically, if I loan you money                getting your Medicare, your Social Se-                 dystopia, we piled on another $21⁄2 tril-
                                            on a short-term, I should be willing to                 curity. But your savings, as this infla-               lion plus created all sorts of other un-
                                            take a lower interest rate, because                     tion continues, every day is worth a                   funded liabilities.
                                            there is less risk than if I loan you                   little less money.
                                                                                                                                                             The next slide is really important to
                                            money longer. I should ask for a little                   You hear the term, eating away at
                                                                                                    your value. If inflation is eating away                get our heads around. There is this
                                            bit more premium, because more bad
                                                                                                    at your value, where does that value                   concept of fragility. If it is true, we
                                            things, more unknowns, more black
                                            swans can happen.                                       go? It basically goes to this side of the              may be heading into not just—because
                                              When it inverts, it basically says: I                 ledger. When you are paying back                       we all agree the fraud of saying the in-
                                            expect something bad in the short                       those bonds, that debt, you are paying                 flation is transitory, okay, that con job
                                            term, but eventually it will work itself                it back now with less valuable dollars.                has now come to an end. Now, the left
                                            out, so I am willing to give you longer-                It is basically a transfer from everyone               is going to try to say, well, it is Putin’s
                                            term money at a better yield or at a                    that saved, particularly our retired                   inflation, it is Big Oil inflation. Ameri-
                                            better price.                                           population.                                            cans aren’t stupid.
                                              The yield curve has, right now, two                     Remember, at the end of the decade,                    I am particularly blessed, I represent
                                            things that should send you some very                   22 percent of the population is 65 or                  one of the best-educated districts in all
                                            weird messages. The short term is in-                   older. The population that has saved,                  of America, so I have freaky smart peo-
                                            verted and then comes back and in-                      they become poorer, and that money is                  ple in my Phoenix-Scottsdale district,
                                            verts. But at the end of the curve,                     transferred to being able to pay back                  and they get this. But there is this con-
                                            longer term, you start to see people are                our debt. But now you get to pay it                    cept of fragility. What happens to the
                                            getting very worried about those 20                     back with inflated dollars. It’s a secret              country if interest rates are just a bit
                                            years, 30 years of long-term U.S. debt.                 backdoor way to strip savers, older                    higher than we have modeled? Do you
                                            You are starting to see it in the actual                Americans of their wealth, and move it                 have a sense of what happens?
                                            pricing of our debt, and that should be                 to pay back the crazy amounts of bor-
                                            signaling you some very scary mes-                      rowing that are going on.                                This board is from a year ago when
                                            sages.                                                    So now we structurally will also                     we did the math. If interest rates are
                                              A chart like this—and I am not even                   make—it really affects our retired pop-                just 2 points, 2 percent—which is al-
                                            sure it is completely accurate yet. I                   ulation; they get poorer. But it is also               ready happening—2 percent higher
                                            think the numbers are actually worse.                   a way to pay back the amazing amount                   than CBO’s baseline, Congressional
                                            We are right here. We are, functionally,                of debt with what you call inflated dol-               Budget Office’s baseline, functionally,
                                            now working on the 2023 budget, and                     lars, less valuable dollars, and it is a               in 29 years, every dollar of tax receipts,
                                            they are basically trying to tell you:                  wink-wink-nod-nod.                                     tax income, however you want to call
                                            Hey, be prepared; we are going to be                      There are some economists, particu-                  it—in Ways and Means we call it re-
                                            well over a trillion dollars a year.                    larly here in Washington, who will ac-                 ceipts—every dollar just pays the in-
                                            Eight budget years from now, just the                   tually say, Don’t say it out loud,                     terest bill. It buys nothing. There is no
                                            interest cost is a trillion bucks. That is              SCHWEIKERT; but we almost need to do                   more money for education, space trav-
                                            assuming the CBO’s baseline interest                    this because there is no way this body                 el; there is no more money for Medi-
                                            rate that is nowhere near high enough.                  is capable of doing the policies that                  care, Medicaid; there is no more money
                                              So we were already heading, at the                    would create the level of growth and                   because all we are paying is interest.
                                            end of this decade, to trillion-dollar-a-               economic participation that would                        This is the fragility. This is how dan-
                                            year just borrowing cost. That was just                 raise everyone’s wealth, everyone’s                    gerous you have made this country’s
                                            the interest. Remember, it is not what                  prosperity, and, therefore, the tax re-                economics by borrowing so much
                                            we borrow today; it is what we borrow                   ceipts and the less need for social enti-
                                                                                                                                                           money and then screwing up the eco-
                                            today and all of the other debt that has                tlements and social transfer programs.
                                                                                                                                                           nomics.
                                            to be refinanced. Because when the                        We can do really good policy for real-
                                            bond that was sold 10 years ago comes                   ly good economics, or we can just in-                    My point of this 45 minutes of ram-
                                            due, we don’t pay it off. We just sell                  flate our way out of part of the crush-                bling: Inflation—very, very dangerous.
                                            more debt and refinance it.                             ing debt, and it looks like Democrat                   There are policy decisions. Those pol-
                                              If you have a $100 billion option of                  policies have decided we are going to                  icy decisions will require the Demo-
                                            new debt, new borrowing, because of                     inflate our way because that is what                   crats to walk away from their ortho-
                                            our incredible spending, there may be                   has happened here. That is the decision                doxy. They will have to admit they
                                            another $200 or $300 billion on top of                  that has been made.                                    have been worshipping a false econom-
                                            that, that’s what we call the roll, the                   This chart is a little hard to get our               ics god and join us in doing things that
                                            weighted daily average.                                 head around, but what is important                     are, actually, good for society, good for
                                                                                                    about it is to get our sense of how fast,              poor people, good for the working poor,
                                                             b 1700                                 since January ‘21, the levels of bor-                  good for the middle class.
                                              Just have that in your head. Func-                    rowing through the Federal Reserve                       And then, dear God, hopefully we are
                                            tionally, in 8 years, interest—inter-                   are going. This one basically says since               not too late, because if Larry Summers
                                            est—is a trillion dollars a year. And                   January ‘21 there has been another $2,                 is correct that we are actually going to
                                            the hits keep getting worse. This is be-                $21⁄2 trillion of transfer from Federal                go into a pretty harsh recession, you
                                            fore the craziness of the spending.                     Reserve absorbing U.S. sovereign debt.                 want to kick people in the head; you
                                              This board was printed, I think, in                   Basically, they are creating magic
                                                                                                                                                           want to destroy the middle class; you
                                            2021, so it missed trillions of dollars of              money to help us keep financing our
                                            additional borrowing and spending. We                                                                          want to make it so it takes years to
                                                                                                    spending. That is also money because
                                            were already scheduled to borrow $112                                                                          get back to normality; and now you
                                                                                                    of our fiscal decisions.
                                            trillion of running debt in today’s dol-                                                                       have economists saying the inflation
                                                                                                      Inflation didn’t come out of nowhere.
                                            lars in 29 years. Three-quarters of it                                                                         may be with us for a decade. Even if
                                                                                                    This is the third time I am going to say
                                            was Medicare, functionally, one-quar-                   it. Even Democrat economists were                      Republicans take back Congress and
                                                                                                                                                           then take back the White House, it




dlhill on DSK120RN23PROD with HOUSE
                                            ter of it was Social Security. The rest                 warning the majority here that this
                                            of the budget is substantially in bal-                  was coming, and you decided to kick                    could be a decade before we repair the
                                            ance.                                                   Americans in the head.                                 damage that this body did in 14
                                              Inflation now is about to drive med-                    So, think about this: President                      months.
                                            ical costs up, and inflation actually                   Biden, Speaker PELOSI made a decision,                   Mr. Speaker, I yield back the balance
                                            changes the COLA of Social Security.                    and so far in President Biden’s term                   of my time.



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                                            H4190                                              CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — HOUSE                                                            April 5, 2022
                                                        ADJOURNMENT                                 tions Act, 2022 (Div. A, P.L. 117-43); to the                 By Mr. COMER (for himself and Mr.
                                                                                                    Committee on Foreign Affairs.                                  GREEN of Tennessee):
                                              The SPEAKER pro tempore. Pursu-                         EC–3718. A letter from the Senior Bureau
                                            ant to section 11(b) of House Resolu-                                                                            H.R. 7399. A bill to amend the Land Be-
                                                                                                    Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-           tween the Lakes Protection Act of 1998 to
                                            tion 188, the House stands adjourned                    partment of State, transmitting Department             clarify the administration of the Land Be-
                                            until 10 a.m. tomorrow for morning-                     Report Number: 004615, pursuant to Section             tween the Lakes National Recreation Area,
                                            hour debate and noon for legislative                    490(b)(1)(A) of the Foreign Assistance Act of          and for other purposes; to the Committee on
                                            business.                                               1961, as amended; to the Committee on For-             Agriculture, and in addition to the Com-
                                              Thereupon (at 5 o’clock and 8 min-                    eign Affairs.                                          mittee on Natural Resources, for a period to
                                            utes p.m.), under its previous order, the                                 f                                    be subsequently determined by the Speaker,
                                            House adjourned until tomorrow,                                                                                in each case for consideration of such provi-
                                                                                                     PUBLIC BILLS AND RESOLUTIONS                          sions as fall within the jurisdiction of the
                                            Wednesday, April 6, 2022, at 10 a.m. for
                                                                                                      Under clause 2 of rule XII, public                   committee concerned.
                                            morning-hour debate.
                                                                                                    bills and resolutions of the following                       By Ms. CRAIG (for herself and Mr.
                                                             f                                                                                                     MULLIN):
                                                                                                    titles were introduced and severally re-
                                              EXECUTIVE COMMUNICATIONS,                             ferred, as follows:                                      H.R. 7400. A bill to direct the Secretary of
                                                                                                                                                           Health and Human Services to conduct a
                                                             ETC.                                         By Ms. OCASIO-CORTEZ:
                                                                                                                                                           demonstration program to test providing
                                                                                                      H.R. 7393. A bill to direct the Secretary of
                                              Under clause 2 of rule XIV, executive                                                                        preferential treatment under the Medicare,
                                                                                                    Veterans Affairs to develop an employee re-
                                            communications were taken from the                                                                             Medicaid, and CHIP programs for certain
                                                                                                    cruitment strategy that includes partnering
                                            Speaker’s table and referred as follows:                                                                       drugs and biologicals manufactured in the
                                                                                                    with minority-serving institutions, and for
                                                                                                                                                           United States; to the Committee on Energy
                                              EC–3709. A letter from the Associate Direc-           other purposes; to the Committee on Vet-
                                                                                                                                                           and Commerce, and in addition to the Com-
                                            tor, Regulatory Management Division, Envi-              erans’ Affairs.
                                                                                                                                                           mittee on Ways and Means, for a period to be
                                            ronmental Protection Agency, transmitting                     By Ms. BASS (for herself, Ms. MACE,
                                                                                                                                                           subsequently determined by the Speaker, in
                                            the Agency’s final rule — Air Plan Approval;                    and Ms. SPEIER):
                                                                                                                                                           each case for consideration of such provi-
                                            Virginia; Revision to the Classification and              H.R. 7394. A bill to provide for improve-
                                                                                                                                                           sions as fall within the jurisdiction of the
                                            Implementation of the 2015 Ozone National               ments in the treatment of women in the
                                                                                                                                                           committee concerned.
                                            Ambient Air Quality Standard for the North-             criminal justice system; to the Committee
                                                                                                                                                                 By Mr. FOSTER:
                                            ern Virginia Nonattainment Area [EPA-R03-               on the Judiciary, and in addition to the
                                            OAR-2021-0606;     FRL-9176-02-R3]    received          Committees on Ways and Means, and Energy                 H.R. 7401. A bill to amend the Internal Rev-
                                            March 7, 2022, pursuant to 5 U.S.C.                     and Commerce, for a period to be subse-                enue Code of 1986 to establish a program to
                                            801(a)(1)(A); Public Law 104-121, Sec. 251; (110        quently determined by the Speaker, in each             populate downloadable tax forms with tax-
                                            Stat. 868); to the Committee on Energy and              case for consideration of such provisions as           payer return information; to the Committee
                                            Commerce.                                               fall within the jurisdiction of the committee          on Ways and Means.
                                              EC–3710. A letter from the Senior Bureau              concerned.                                                  By Mr. HUIZENGA:
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-                  By Mr. BROWN of Maryland (for him-                 H.R. 7402. A bill to prohibit the Secretary
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department                      self, Mr. ALLRED, Ms. BASS, Ms.                of the Treasury from authorizing certain
                                            Notification Number: DDTC 21-051, pursuant                      BONAMICI, Ms. BROWN of Ohio, Mr.               transactions by a United States financial in-
                                            to Section 36 (c) of the Arms Export Control                    CARSON, Mr. CASTEN, Mrs. CHERFILUS-            stitution in connection with Iran, to prevent
                                            Act; to the Committee on Foreign Affairs.                       MCCORMICK, Mrs. HAYES, Mr. LAN-                the International Monetary Fund from pro-
                                              EC–3711. A letter from the Senior Bureau                      GEVIN, Ms. NORTON, Mr. PANETTA, Ms.            viding financial assistance to Iran, to codify
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-                    PORTER, Mr. RASKIN, Mr. SOTO, Mr.              prohibitions on Export-Import Bank financ-
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department                      SUOZZI, Mr. THOMPSON of Mississippi,           ing for the government of Iran, and for other
                                            Notification Number: DDTC 21-053, pursuant                      Mr. VARGAS, and Ms. WILSON of Flor-            purposes; to the Committee on Financial
                                            to Section 36(c) of the Arms Export Control                     ida):                                          Services.
                                            Act; to the Committee on Foreign Affairs.                 H.R. 7395. A bill to amend the Internal Rev-               By Mr. LATTA (for himself, Mrs.
                                              EC–3712. A letter from the Senior Bureau              enue Code of 1986 to increase the deduction                    LESKO, Ms. CHENEY, Mr. CARTER of
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-            for certain expenses of elementary and sec-                    Georgia, Mr. WALBERG, and Mr.
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department              ondary school teachers; to the Committee on                    DONALDS):
                                            Notification Number: DDTC 21-056, pursuant              Ways and Means.
                                            to Section 36(c) of the Arms Export Control                   By Mr. BUDD (for himself, Mr. PERRY,               H.R. 7403. A bill to require the Secretary of
                                            Act; to the Committee on Foreign Affairs.                       Mr. DAVIDSON, Mr. ROSE, and Mr.                Energy to carry out a program to operate a
                                              EC–3713. A letter from the Senior Bureau                      CLYDE):                                        uranium reserve consisting of uranium pro-
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-              H.R. 7396. A bill to amend the National              duced and converted in the United States
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department              Labor Relations Act and the Labor Manage-              and a program to ensure the availability of
                                            Notification Number: DDTC 21-036, pursuant              ment Relations Act, 1947 to deter labor slow-          uranium produced, converted, and enriched
                                            to Section 36(c) and (d) of the Arms Export             downs and prohibit labor organizations from            in the United States, and for other purposes;
                                            Control Act; to the Committee on Foreign                blocking modernization efforts at ports of             to the Committee on Energy and Commerce,
                                            Affairs.                                                the United States, and for other purposes; to          and in addition to the Committee on Armed
                                              EC–3714. A letter from the Senior Bureau              the Committee on Education and Labor.                  Services, for a period to be subsequently de-
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-                  By Mr. BURGESS:                                  termined by the Speaker, in each case for
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department                H.R. 7397. A bill to restart oil and gas leas-       consideration of such provisions as fall with-
                                            Notification Number: DDTC 21-078, pursuant              ing and permitting on Federal land, and for            in the jurisdiction of the committee con-
                                            to Section 36(c) of the Arms Export Control             other purposes; to the Committee on Natural            cerned.
                                            Act; to the Committee on Foreign Affairs.               Resources, and in addition to the Committee                  By Mr. MCKINLEY (for himself, Mr.
                                              EC–3715. A letter from the Senior Bureau              on Agriculture, for a period to be subse-                      PFLUGER, Mr. ELLZEY, Mr. MAST, Mr.
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-            quently determined by the Speaker, in each                     MOONEY, Mr. SMITH of Nebraska, Mr.
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department              case for consideration of such provisions as                   MCCLINTOCK, Ms. HERRELL, Mr. VAN
                                            Notification Number: DDTC 21-081, pursuant              fall within the jurisdiction of the committee                  DREW, Mr. PERRY, and Mr. CARTER of
                                            to Section 36(c) and (d) of the Arms Export             concerned.                                                     Georgia):
                                            Control Act; to the Committee on Foreign                      By Mr. COHEN (for himself, Mr. BLU-                H.R. 7404. A bill to clarify the authority of
                                            Affairs.                                                        MENAUER, Ms. BUSH, Mr. CONNOLLY,               the President to declare certain national
                                              EC–3716. A letter from the Senior Bureau                      Mr. COOPER, Mr. ESPAILLAT, Mr.                 emergencies under the National Emergencies
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-                    GALLEGO, Mr. GRIJALVA, Ms. JACOBS              Act, certain major disasters or emergencies
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department                      of California, Mr. LEVIN of Michigan,          under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief
                                            Notification Number: DDTC 21-053, pursuant                      Ms. MENG, Mr. NADLER, Ms. NORTON,              and Emergency Assistance Act, or public
                                            to Section 36(c) of the Arms Export Control                     Mr. TAKANO, and Ms. TITUS):                    health emergencies under the Public Health
                                            Act; to the Committee on Foreign Affairs.                 H.R. 7398. A bill to prohibit wildlife killing       Service Act on the premise of climate
                                              EC–3717. A letter from the Senior Bureau              contests on public lands, and for other pur-           change, and for other purposes; to the Com-




dlhill on DSK120RN23PROD with HOUSE
                                            Official, Bureau of Legislative Affairs, De-            poses; to the Committee on Natural Re-                 mittee on Transportation and Infrastruc-
                                            partment of State, transmitting Department              sources, and in addition to the Committee on           ture, and in addition to the Committee on
                                            Report Number: 004646, pursuant to Sec. 7070            Agriculture, for a period to be subsequently           Energy and Commerce, for a period to be
                                            of the Department of State, Foreign Oper-               determined by the Speaker, in each case for            subsequently determined by the Speaker, in
                                            ations, and Related Programs Appropria-                 consideration of such provisions as fall with-         each case for consideration of such provi-
                                            tions Act, 2021 (Div. K, P.L. 116-260), as car-         in the jurisdiction of the committee con-              sions as fall within the jurisdiction of the
                                            ried forward by the Continuing Appropria-               cerned.                                                committee concerned.




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