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COVID-19 Impact on Small Business Revenue — 2021 E-Insights Report, State of the Region, USF Muma College of Business

Summary

This page of the USF Muma College of Business 2021 E-Insights Report tracks the seven-day moving average of small business revenue in 18 cities, including Tampa, relative to January 2020, using data from the Opportunity Insights Economic Tracker; no data was available for Orlando. The revenue data comes from Womply.com, which the report says is used by 10 million American businesses, and the report notes the sample covers only those businesses. Revenue fell sharply from March 15 through May 1 and in most cities remained at least 10 percent below January levels. Tampa dropped to almost half of its January level by the end of May and recovered to 80 percent by the end of September. Miami fell to 40 percent, San Antonio had recovered to only 43 percent by the end of November, and Charlotte fell to 35 percent before recovering to 90 percent.

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2021 E-Insights Report

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COVID-19 Impact on Small Business Revenue

Small business revenue statistics track the seven-day moving average small business
 revenue for a small business located in a city of the MSA relative to January 2020.
 Researchers calculated the percentage change of daily revenue over the days with respect
 to January. They tracked the small business revenue over 11 months for 18 cities including
 Tampa. They were unable to gather data for Orlando.

They gathered the data for this through Opportunity Insights Economic Tracker. The
 information for small business revenue comes from Womply.com, a software suite which
 is used by 10 million American businesses across all 50 states. Womply.com has point-of-sale
 systems and software through which consumers pay businesses that allowed researchers
 to estimate the overall revenue generated per day on an average.

The data was available at the city level, with city defined by Womply.com as all the
 businesses that are physically located in and around the city with the city address
 on the business store. Researchers filtered the cities belonging to comparison MSAs
 and plotted the graphs.

Over time, it is easy to see a decrease in business revenue, which fell very sharply
 from March 15 through May 1. In most cities, revenues began to rise from the dip in
 May but have not reached the levels in January. Numbers in most cities have not come
 back up to zero, indicating that the relative revenue is still at least 10 percent
 lower than pre-pandemic levels seen in January.

The major limitation with this data is that the sample only represents businesses
 which use the Womply.com software suite. Nonetheless, researchers believe this to
 be an accurate representation of the trend of revenue generated across all businesses.

Insights

- San Antonio has made the slowest recovery. It recovered to only 43 percent of that
 in January by the end of November.
- All cities experienced a downfall in small business revenue in the second week of
 February and recovery in the first week of May.
- For the city of Tampa, small business revenue dropped to almost half of that in January
 by the end of May. It has recovered to 80 percent by the end of September.
- Miami was worse hit than Tampa with small business revenue dropping to 40 percent
 of that in January by the end of May.
- The city of Charlotte was the most impacted and the best recovered city in the comparison
 group. The small business revenue dropped to 35 percent and has recovered to 90 percent
 of that in January by September.

Small Business Revenue-Percentage Change - Tampa

Small Business Revenue-Percentage Change

Small Business Revenue-Percentage Change-Florida

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