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Congressional Action Is Essential to Enable a Sustainable Business Model (GAO-20-385)

Summary

A GAO report to congressional requesters, GAO-20-385, dated May 2020, on the U.S. Postal Service (USPS). It states that since GAO's 2009 high-risk designation, USPS's financial viability has progressively worsened because of declining mail volume, rising employee compensation and benefit costs, and growing unfunded liabilities and debt. GAO reports that First-Class Mail volume has declined 44 percent since fiscal year 2006 and that USPS lost about $78 billion from fiscal years 2007 through 2019. Its workforce fell from about 786,000 in fiscal year 2007 to about 617,000 in fiscal year 2013, then rose to about 630,000 in fiscal year 2019. The report's title states that congressional action is essential to enable a sustainable business model.

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             United States Government Accountability Office
             Report to Congressional Requesters




             U.S. POSTAL
May 2020




             SERVICE

             Congressional Action
             Is Essential to Enable
             a Sustainable
             Business Model




GAO-20-385
                                             May 2020

                                             U.S. POSTAL SERVICE
                                             Congressional Action Is Essential to Enable a
                                             Sustainable Business Model
Highlights of GAO-20-385, a report to
congressional requesters




 Why GAO Did This Study                      What GAO Found
 An independent establishment of the         Since GAO’s 2009 high-risk designation, the U.S. Postal Service’s (USPS)
 executive branch, USPS is required          financial viability has progressively worsened due to declining mail volume,
 to provide prompt, reliable, and            increased employee compensation and benefit costs, and increased unfunded
 efficient services to the public. While     liabilities and debt. First-Class Mail volume has declined 44 percent since fiscal
 USPS is to be self-sustaining, it lost      year 2006. Additionally, employee compensation and benefits costs have been
 about $78 billion from fiscal years         increasing. Although USPS’s work force declined from about 786,000 in fiscal
 2007 through 2019 due primarily to          year 2007 to about 617,000 in fiscal year 2013, USPS’s work force increased to
 declining mail volumes and                  about 630,000 in fiscal year 2019. Finally, total unfunded liabilities and debt
 increased costs. Given USPS’s poor
                                             continue their steady upward trend (see figure).
 financial condition, in 2009 GAO
 identified USPS’s financial viability       Total U.S. Postal Service’s (USPS) Unfunded Liabilities and Debt, Fiscal Years 2007 through
 as a high-risk area, a designation it       2019
 retains today.
 GAO was asked to explore issues
 related the transformation of USPS
 and potential implications for
 stakeholders. This report (1)
 examines major challenges facing
 USPS, (2) identifies how selected
 domestic businesses and foreign
 posts reportedly have addressed
 serious challenges, (3) examines
 critical foundational elements of
 USPS’s current business model, and
 (4) identifies key previously issued
 GAO matters for congressional
 consideration regarding USPS and
 actions taken in response.
 GAO reviewed its prior reports and
 related matters for congressional
 consideration, analyzed laws and
 regulations, and assessed USPS
 documents on financial and
                                             Note: Negative unfunded liabilities for pension benefits in fiscal years 2007 and 2010 represent
 operational performance. It also            projected funding surpluses.
 reviewed reports by the USPS Office
 of Inspector General, the Postal
 Regulatory Commission, and other            To address these challenges, USPS has taken a variety of actions such as
 selected groups such as the 2018            providing increased self-service options and reducing facility hours. Statutory
 Task Force on the United States             requirements, however, limit USPS’s ability to make changes in areas such as
 Postal Service.                             certain service offerings, pricing, and its employee compensation and benefits.

                                             In confronting similar types of challenges that are facing USPS, GAO selected
                                             large domestic businesses (companies) and foreign postal entities (widely known
                                             as “foreign posts”) that have seen significant change in foundational elements of
                                             their business models. Specifically, according to GAO’s analysis of publicly
View GAO-20-385. For more information,       available reports and interviews of cognizant officials, these organizations have
contact Lori Rectanus at (202) 512-2834 or   had major changes in services and products, financial self-sustainment, and
rectanusl@gao.gov.
                                             institutional structure:
                                                                                               United States Government Accountability Office
To identify how domestic businesses
and foreign posts addressed similar        •   Companies and foreign posts have modified services and products to focus
serious challenges, GAO selected for           on profitable offerings, and two countries’ posts reduced postal service
review (1) six domestic organizations          levels. For example, New Zealand Post reduced its mail delivery’s frequency
in the airline, automobile, and railroad       from 5 to 3 days per week in urban areas.
industries and (2) five foreign posts in   •   Companies have reduced their workforce, infrastructure, and operational
five countries—Australia, France,              costs, and some accepted government financial assistance to help remain
Germany, New Zealand, and the                  financially viable. Cost reduction has also been a priority for all countries’
United Kingdom. The businesses and             posts, especially in compensation and benefits, while three countries’
countries had characteristics similar to       governments provided financial assistance to their posts.
USPS, such as large unionized work         •   Four of the selected companies declared bankruptcy leading to restructured
forces, and had reportedly made
                                               corporations; some merged with other companies to increase their revenues.
significant changes to their business
                                               Two countries privatized their posts, and three others restructured their posts
models. For each of these businesses
and countries, GAO analyzed public             from government departments into government-owned corporations.
reports on financial and operational
performance, as well as institutional      Regarding USPS, reassessing its business model should start with the level of
structure and requirements. GAO also       required postal services. For example, delivery is USPS’s most costly operation;
interviewed government and postal          USPS officials estimate annual savings of $1.4 billion to $1.8 billion if delivery of
officials from three selected countries    mail were reduced to 5 days rather than 6 days per week. Second, USPS is to
and officials from the National Audit
                                           function as a financially self-sustaining entity; however, it does not. A
Offices of two of the selected
                                           reassessment could include determining whether some of USPS’s costs and
countries. Because questions were
raised regarding the application of the
                                           liabilities should be borne by taxpayers. Third, alternative institutional structures
U.S. Bankruptcy Code to USPS, GAO          for USPS range from a federal agency to a private company. A bankruptcy
also requested the National                proceeding is not an effective or appropriate means to address the issues
Bankruptcy Conference to assess            associated with a potential USPS restructuring, according to the National
whether USPS could use bankruptcy          Bankruptcy Conference.
or other restructuring processes.          Prior GAO reports have included suggestions for Congress to address USPS’s
To examine critical USPS business          financial viability. For example, GAO’s 2010 report identified strategies to reduce
model elements, GAO reviewed its           compensation, benefits, and operational costs. GAO stated that Congress,
prior reports and reports from             among other things, consider all options available to reduce costs. While bills in
numerous other organizations, and          this area were introduced and in some cases passed congressional committees,
obtained the views of stakeholders.        legislation was not enacted. In 2018, GAO reported that the financial outlook for
                                           the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefits Fund was poor—the Office of
What GAO Recommends                        Personnel Management forecasted the fund would be depleted by 2030 if USPS
Congress should consider reassessing       continued not making payments into it. Legislation has not been enacted to place
and determining the (1) level of postal    postal retiree health benefits on a more sustainable financial footing. Postal
services the nation requires, (2) extent   reform legislation has not taken place in part because of the difficulty in obtaining
to which USPS should be financially        compromise among various stakeholders with divergent views (see figure below).
self-sustaining, and (3) appropriate       However, since GAO’s 2010 report, USPS’s financial condition has significantly
institutional structure for USPS. Both     worsened raising fundamental questions about key elements of USPS’s business
USPS and the Postal Regulatory             model. Such questions warrant congressional action.
Commission (PRC) generally
concurred with the matters.                United States Postal Service’s (USPS) Key Stakeholders
Contents


Letter                                                                                   1
               Background                                                                4
               USPS Cannot Become Financially Self-Sustaining under Its
                 Current Business Model due to Three Key Challenges                      8
               Selected Domestic Companies and Foreign Posts Took Key Steps
                 to Address Major Challenges                                           16
               USPS’s Transformation Involves Reassessment of Three Critical
                 Foundational Elements of Its Business Model                           29
               GAO’s Calls for Congressional Action to Address USPS’s
                 Solvency Remain Unaddressed                                           42
               Conclusions                                                             43
               Matters for Congressional Consideration                                 43
               Agency Comments and Our Evaluation                                      44

Appendix I     Reprint of National Bankruptcy Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal
               Service Bankruptcy Issues                                               46



Appendix II    Selected Legal Requirements Applicable to the U.S. Postal Service
               (USPS)                                                                  70



Appendix III   U.S. Postal Service Financial Information for Fiscal Years 1972
               through 2019                                                            72



Appendix IV    Comments from the U.S. Postal Service                                   74



Appendix V     Comments from the Postal Regulatory Commission                          77



Appendix VI    GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments                                   79




               Page i                                        GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Table
          Table 1: Examples of Potential Institutional Structures for the U.S.
                  Postal Service (USPS)                                                             36


Figures
          Figure 1: United States Postal Service’s (USPS) Key Stakeholders                           6
          Figure 2: Total U.S. Postal Service’s (USPS) Unfunded Liabilities
                   and Debt, Fiscal Years 2007 through 2019                                         14

          Abbreviations

          Code         U.S. Bankruptcy Code
          CRS          Congressional Research Service
          CSRS         Civil Service Retirement System
          FEHBP        Federal Employees Health Benefits Program
          EU           European Union
          FERS         Federal Employees Retirement System
          GM           General Motors
          NBC          National Bankruptcy Conference
          Ofcom        United Kingdom’s Office of Communications
          OIG          U.S. Postal Service’s Office of Inspector General
          OPM          Office of Personnel Management
          PAEA         Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act
          PBGC         Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
          PRA          Postal Reorganization Act
          PRC          Postal Regulatory Commission
          SEC          Securities and Exchange Commission
          TFP          total factor productivity
          UPS          United Parcel Service
          UAW          International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and
                       Agricultural Implement Workers of America
          USPS         U.S. Postal Service
          VEBA         voluntary employee beneficiary association


          This is a work of the U.S. government and is not subject to copyright protection in the
          United States. The published product may be reproduced and distributed in its entirety
          without further permission from GAO. However, because this work may contain
          copyrighted images or other material, permission from the copyright holder may be
          necessary if you wish to reproduce this material separately.




          Page ii                                                  GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                       Letter




441 G St. N.W.
Washington, DC 20548




                       May 7, 2020

                       The Honorable Ron Johnson
                       Chairman
                       Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs
                       United States Senate

                       The Honorable Jim Jordan
                       Ranking Member
                       Committee on Oversight and Reform
                       House of Representatives

                       The U.S. Postal Service (USPS) plays a critical role in the nation’s
                       communications and commerce. USPS is the largest postal service in the
                       world, delivering an estimated 47 percent of all mail sent globally. USPS’s
                       financial viability, however, has been on GAO’s High Risk List since 2009
                       due to USPS’s poor financial condition, which has worsened in recent
                       years due to declining mail volumes and rising costs. For example,
                       USPS’s net losses totaled approximately $78 billion from fiscal years
                       2007 through 2019, and its productivity has declined in recent years—a
                       trend that has contributed to its cost pressures. 1

                       USPS has been unable to make broad changes to address its financial
                       and other challenges because Congress, the Administration, USPS and
                       USPS’s stakeholders—including labor unions, mailers, and competitors—
                       have been unable to agree on how to do so. As a result, while major
                       postal reform legislation was enacted in 2006, further postal reform
                       legislation has not been enacted.

                       You asked us to explore issues related to the transformation of USPS and
                       their potential implications for stakeholders. For purposes of this report,
                       we use the term “business model” to refer to three key aspects of postal
                       service operations: “to bind the nation together” by providing universal



                       1USPS’s Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is an index that measures how efficiently USPS
                       uses resources to handle all aspects of its workload. TFP has declined in 4 of the last 5
                       fiscal years, reaching its lowest level in fiscal year 2019 since fiscal year 2013. USPS
                       attributes the decline in fiscal year 2019 to lower labor productivity, declining mail
                       volumes, increased transportation expenses and increased investments. See USPS,
                       FY2019 Annual Report to Congress (Washington, D.C.: December 2019).




                       Page 1                                                    GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
postal service; 2 to be financially self-sustaining by covering its costs,
primarily with revenues generated from its postal operations; and to be an
independent establishment of the executive branch. 3 This report: (1)
examines major challenges facing USPS, (2) identifies how selected
domestic businesses and foreign posts reportedly have addressed
serious challenges, (3) examines critical foundational elements for
transforming USPS’s business model, and (4) identifies key previously
issued GAO matters for congressional consideration regarding USPS and
actions taken in response.

For all of our objectives, we reviewed relevant federal laws and
regulations and interviewed USPS officials. To determine key challenges
to making USPS’s business model financially sustainable, we reviewed:

•   USPS’s documents on financial and operational performance,
•   our prior work, and
•   reports by the USPS Office of Inspector General (OIG), the Postal
    Regulatory Commission (PRC), the 2003 President’s Commission on
    the United States Postal Service, and the 2018 Task Force on the
    United States Postal Service, among others. 4
To examine how selected domestic businesses and foreign posts have
transformed their business models to become more financially viable, we
selected six domestic businesses in the airline, automobile, and railroad
industries. These businesses have or had large unionized workforces and
national network operations and significantly changed their business
models through bankruptcy or other restructuring options in response to




2USPS’s universal service obligation is governed by several statutory provisions, including
the requirement to provide a maximum degree of effective and regular postal services to
rural areas, communities, and small towns where post offices are not self-sustaining. See
39 U.S.C. § 101. For more information, see GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Strategies and
Options to Facilitate Progress toward Financial Viability, GAO-10-455 (Washington, D.C.:
Apr. 12, 2010) and Postal Regulatory Commission, Report on Universal Postal Service
and Postal Monopoly (Washington, D.C.: Dec. 19, 2008).
339 U.S.C. § 201.

4President’s Commission on the United States Postal Service, Embracing the Future:
Making the Tough Choices to Preserve Universal Mail Service (Washington, D.C.: July 31,
2003) and Task Force on the United States Postal System, United States Postal Service:
A Sustainable Path Forward (Washington, D.C.: Dec. 4, 2018).




Page 2                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
market changes in the last 10 to 40 years. 5 We also selected foreign
posts in five industrialized countries that made changes during the same
time period. 6 We selected these five countries based on prior work that
identified them as having made changes to adapt to the changing use of
mail; diverse characteristics, including the extent of privatization of their
postal operators and geography with both urban and rural areas; and the
availability of information in English. We reviewed and summarized key
findings of public reports on the financial and operational performance as
well as institutional structure and requirements of the selected domestic
businesses and the selected countries’ postal operators. Our review
included private company reports filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC), annual reports by the private companies and foreign
posts, reports by GAO and the Congressional Research Service (CRS),
books, and academic articles, among other sources. We also conducted
site visits to France, Germany, and the United Kingdom to interview
government officials and representatives of foreign posts, a labor union, a
private-sector mail delivery company, postal economists, and two former
chief executives of foreign posts, about the changes to postal operations
in their countries. We did not conduct interviews with representatives of
the selected domestic businesses.

To identify the key issues for consideration involved in transformation, we
reviewed our prior work and reports from the USPS OIG and others on
different options. We used information on how our selected domestic
industries and foreign posts made significant changes to provide
examples of how different aspects of USPS’s business model could
change and their potential effects on USPS’s stakeholders. We also
interviewed representatives from three postal labor unions, a mailer group
that represents commercial mailers, and four third-party experts on postal
policy regarding their views on how USPS can change and the potential
effects of such a transformation on mailers, postal employees,
ratepayers, and competitors. We selected the mailer group and the third-
party experts based on our prior work and their differing positions on
USPS reform. While the views of the stakeholders and experts we

5The six businesses we selected were American Airlines, Delta Airlines, and United
Airlines; General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor Company (automobile); and Conrail
(railroad). We did not independently verify the information contained in the public reports
we analyzed from these companies.
6The five postal operators we selected were Australia Post (Australia); La Poste (France);
Deutsche Post (Germany); New Zealand Post (New Zealand); and Royal Mail (the United
Kingdom). We did not analyze applicable foreign postal laws. Instead, we relied on
documentation and interviews with foreign post officials.




Page 3                                                    GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
             interviewed are not generalizable, they provide information and different
             perspectives on options for USPS.

             To provide expert insight into how USPS might be able to use the U.S.
             Bankruptcy Code (Code) or other restructuring processes, we consulted
             with the National Bankruptcy Conference (NBC). NBC is a non-partisan,
             non-profit organization formed in the 1940s and today consists of
             approximately 60 lawyers, law professors, and bankruptcy judges who
             are leading experts in bankruptcy law. NBC’s primary purpose is to advise
             Congress on the operation of bankruptcy and related laws and on any
             proposed changes to those laws. NBC provided a report on whether
             USPS could use the Code or other restructuring processes to address its
             financial obligations and achieve a sustainable business model. We also
             asked NBC what factors Congress should consider in deciding whether to
             amend the Code or enact other legislation to address USPS’s financial
             condition.

             To describe GAO’s previously issued “Matters for Congressional
             Consideration” regarding USPS, we reviewed and summarized our 2010
             report on USPS’s business model, our 2018 report on Postal Retiree
             Health Benefits, and our 2019 High Risk update. 7 We also reviewed
             Congressional actions since 2010 regarding our proposed matters.

             We conducted this performance audit from October 2018 to May 2020 in
             accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards.
             Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain
             sufficient, appropriate evidence to provide a reasonable basis for our
             findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. We believe that
             the evidence obtained provides a reasonable basis for our findings and
             conclusions based on our audit objectives.

             USPS has the mission of providing prompt, reliable, and efficient
Background   universal postal service, and federal law requires USPS to “provide postal
             services to bind the Nation together through the personal, educational,
             literary, and business correspondence of the people.” 8 USPS is required


             7GAO-10-455; GAO, Postal Retiree Health Benefits: Unsustainable Finances Need to Be
             Addressed, GAO-18-602 (Washington, D.C.: Aug. 31, 2019); and GAO, High Risk Series:
             Substantial Efforts Needed to Achieve Greater Progress in High Risk Areas,
             GAO-19-157SP (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 6, 2019).
             839 U.S.C. § 101.




             Page 4                                               GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
to serve, as nearly as practicable, the entire population of the United
States. 9

USPS has a number of key stakeholders, each with different interests in
USPS and its operations (see fig. 1). USPS is a key part of the mailing
industry, and over time, it has become both a competitor and partner to
private companies that also operate in the broader mail and delivery
industries. For example, although United Parcel Service (UPS) and
FedEx both pay USPS to deliver packages that they enter into USPS’s
system at local post offices where carriers pick up their mail, they also
compete with USPS for end-to-end package delivery business, such as
moving packages from the retailer to the purchaser. Similarly, FedEx is
USPS’s largest contractor, providing air transportation for Priority Mail
Express (formerly Express Mail), Priority Mail, and First-Class Mail. UPS
is also one of USPS’s largest contractors, providing long-distance mail
transportation.




939 U.S.C. § 403(a).




Page 5                                          GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Figure 1: United States Postal Service’s (USPS) Key Stakeholders




                                         Over the years, legislation has changed key aspects of the business
                                         model used to provide the nation’s postal services. Until 1970, the federal
                                         government provided postal services via the U.S. Post Office Department,
                                         a government agency that received annual appropriations from
                                         Congress. 10 At that time, Congress was involved in many aspects of the
                                         10In fiscal year 1971, the last fiscal year before USPS was created, the U.S. Post Office
                                         Department’s appropriations were approximately 25 percent of its expenses and
                                         commitments.




                                         Page 6                                                    GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
department’s operations, such as selecting postmasters and setting
postal rates and wages. In addition, the President controlled the hiring
and firing of Postmasters General, as it was a cabinet-level position. By
the late 1960s, the department had several major problems including
financial losses, management problems, service breakdowns, and low
productivity. Because key postal business decisions were made by
Congress through the legislative process, postal management had limited
ability to plan and finance department operations and capital investments
in accordance with postal needs. 11

In order to improve and modernize postal services, the Postal
Reorganization Act (PRA) was enacted in 1970 and replaced the U.S.
Post Office Department with USPS, an independent establishment of the
executive branch of the government of the United States. 12 Congress
designed USPS to be a self-sustaining, business-like entity headed by a
Board of Governors that would cover its operating costs primarily with
revenues generated through the sales of postage and postal-related
products and services. 13

However, by the early 2000s, USPS faced a bleak financial outlook that
put its mission of providing universal postal service at risk, according to
the 2003 Presidential Commission on the United States Postal Service. 14
The Commission evaluated USPS’s business model and concluded that
USPS must have greater flexibility to operate in a business-like fashion,
but that this latitude required enhanced transparency to enable effective

11In response to these growing challenges, President Lyndon B. Johnson appointed a
commission to identify recommendations for improving the nation’s postal services. In
1968, the commission, referred to as the “Kappel Commission,” concluded that the U.S.
Post Office Department should be restructured to become financially self-supporting and
that management authority should be invested in a Board of Directors. See President’s
Commission on Postal Organization, Towards Postal Excellence (Washington, D.C.: June
1968).
12Pub. L. No. 91-375 (1970); 39 U.S.C. § 201.

13USPS received an annual appropriation as a general public service subsidy until 1982.
See USPS, The United States Postal Service: An American History, 1776-2006
(Washington, D.C.: Nov 2012). Currently, USPS receives an annual appropriation for
revenue forgone for providing (1) free and reduced rate mail for the blind and (2) overseas
voting materials for U.S. elections. See e.g., Pub. L. No. 116-93 (2019). Congress
appropriated about $55.2 million to USPS for these purposes in fiscal year 2019. USPS
earned $71.1 billion in operating revenue in fiscal year 2019.
14President’s Commission on the United States Postal Service, Embracing the Future:
Making the Tough Choices to Preserve Universal Mail Service.




Page 7                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                         management and congressional oversight. The Postal Accountability and
                         Enhancement Act (PAEA) was enacted in 2006. 15 PAEA provided USPS
                         additional pricing flexibility for mail products, 16 but with provisions for
                         increased transparency, oversight, and accountability, among other
                         things.

                         Specifically, PAEA gave USPS broader latitude to change postal rates in
                         a more streamlined process that included review by the newly created
                         Postal Regulatory Commission (PRC). 17 The PRC, which replaced the
                         former Postal Rate Commission, is an independent establishment of the
                         executive branch responsible for regulating USPS. PRC is required to
                         make annual determinations of USPS’s compliance with mail delivery
                         standards and postal rate requirements. 18 If PRC finds noncompliance, it
                         is required to specify USPS actions to restore compliance. 19

                         USPS’s current business model is not financially sustainable due to
USPS Cannot              declining mail volumes, increased compensation and benefits costs, and
Become Financially       increased unfunded liabilities and debt. USPS’s costs continue to rise
                         faster than its revenues, and although USPS has made changes over the
Self-Sustaining under    years to address these challenges, its efforts have been limited by
Its Current Business     stakeholder opposition and statutory requirements.
Model due to Three
Key Challenges

Declining Mail Volumes   As online communication and payments have expanded, USPS continues
                         to face decreases in mail volume, its primary revenue source. First-Class
                         Mail volume has declined 44 percent since fiscal year 2006, the year that

                         15Pub. L. No. 109-435 (2006).

                         16USPS’s products are divided into market-dominant and competitive categories. Market-
                         dominant products are those for which USPS “exercises sufficient market power that it can
                         effectively set the price of such product substantially above costs, raise prices
                         significantly, decrease quality, or decrease output, without risk of losing a significant level
                         of business to other firms offering similar products.” 39 U.S.C. § 3642. PAEA also
                         authorized USPS to raise average rates for market-dominant products up to a defined
                         annual cap of the consumer price index. Competitive products are all other products.
                         1739 U.S.C. §§ 501, 3622, 3632.

                         1839 U.S.C. § 3653.

                         1939 U.S.C. § 3653.




                         Page 8                                                     GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
total mail volume peaked. The long-term decline of First-Class Mail
volume, which USPS has stated was exacerbated by the Great
Recession and expects to continue for the foreseeable future, 20 has
fundamental implications for USPS’s business model because First-Class
Mail is USPS’s most profitable class of mail. USPS Marketing Mail—
which comprises most other mail volume—declined 27 percent from fiscal
year 2007 to fiscal year 2019, in part due to electronic advertising
alternatives. The volume of USPS competitive products more than tripled
since fiscal year 2007. This volume, however, began to decline in the
second half of fiscal year 2019 due to growing competition for package
delivery. 21

USPS has taken steps to right size its operations in response to declining
mail volumes. For example, in both 2009 and 2011, USPS announced
plans to close several thousand USPS retail facilities. However, due to
stakeholder opposition—including from members of Congress, postal
unions, and local communities, among others—USPS instead closed a
few hundred retail facilities. USPS also expanded the alternative options
for customers to access retail postal products and services outside of
USPS-operated postal facilities—such as self-service kiosks and
partnerships with other retailers such as contract postal units. According
to USPS, as a compromise effort to right size the retail network and due
in part to USPS’s efforts to expand retail alternatives, USPS began
reducing retail hours at selected post offices in 2012, ultimately
decreasing retail hours at approximately 13,000 post offices. Another
major cost-cutting effort was its 2011 Network Rationalization Initiative, a
multi-part plan to consolidate its mail processing network. USPS
consolidated more than 160 mail processing facilities, but did not fully
implement this initiative following opposition from various stakeholders.

In addition to stakeholder opposition to changing postal services, federal
laws also factor into USPS’s limited ability to respond to declining mail




20The National Bureau of Economic Research reported that the Great Recession lasted
from December 2007 to June 2009.
21Competitive mail volume was 4 percent of total mail volume but about 33 percent of
USPS revenues in fiscal year 2019. Nearly all of USPS’s remaining revenue—about 2/3 of
its total revenue—was generated from the sale of market-dominant products such as First-
Class Mail and USPS Marketing Mail.




Page 9                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
volumes. For example, federal laws define the level of postal services
USPS is to provide, postal products, and pricing. 22

•   Postal services to be provided: USPS has limited ability to make
    changes in the postal services it provides. Specifically, USPS is
    required to provide 6-days-a-week delivery and to operate postal
    facilities across the country. 23 Federal law requires USPS to provide
    the maximum degree of effective and regular postal services to rural
    areas, communities, and small towns where post offices are not self-
    sustaining. 24 Federal law also limits USPS’s ability to close retail
    facilities. For example, USPS cannot close a small post office solely
    because it is unprofitable. 25 As of the end of fiscal year 2019, there
    were approximately 34,600 postal retail outlets nationwide, including
    approximately 31,300 USPS-managed post offices, branches, and
    stations, and, as we recently reported, USPS’s analysis showed that
    about 36 percent of its retail facilities were unprofitable in fiscal year
    2018. 26
•   Postal products and pricing: USPS’s pricing flexibility is limited by a
    price cap on market-dominant products that generally limits rate
    increases for these products to a common measure of inflation. Each
    competitive product is required to cover its attributable costs;
    competitive products collectively are required to recover their
    attributable costs; and competitive products collectively are required
    to cover a PRC-specified minimum of USPS’s institutional costs. In
    addition, USPS is prohibited from providing new nonpostal products
    and services. Such requirements affect USPS’s ability to increase
    revenues.


22See appendix II for more information on selected legal requirements applicable to
USPS.
23See Pub. L. No. 116-93 (2019); 39 U.S.C. § 403(b)(3).

2439 U.S.C. § 101(b).

2539 U.S.C. § 101(b).

26GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Expanding Nonpostal Products and Services at Retail
Facilities Would Likely Present Benefits and Challenges, GAO-20-354 (Washington, D.C.:
Mar. 10, 2020). USPS defines profitable retail facilities as those with a positive net retail
revenue contribution, which is defined as retail revenue less retail costs. Facilities with a
negative net retail revenue contribution are defined as unprofitable. This figure includes
USPS-managed retail facilities including USPS-operated post offices, postal stations,
branches, and carrier annexes, as defined in USPS’s Annual Reports to Congress.




Page 10                                                    GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Increased Compensation   While mail volumes have decreased, USPS’s compensation and benefits
and Benefits Costs       costs for current employees have been increasing since 2014, despite
                         USPS’s efforts to control these costs. Although USPS reduced its total
                         workforce (career and non-career employees) from 785,900 in fiscal year
                         2007, to 617,700 in fiscal year 2013, its workforce increased to about
                         630,000 in fiscal year 2019. 27 Similarly, as we previously reported, 28
                         recent trends show total work hours increased from a combination of new
                         hiring and increased work hours for current employees. Specifically, we
                         reported that from fiscal years 2014 through 2018, work hours increased
                         by 5.4 percent. The number of work hours associated with higher costs—
                         overtime and penalty overtime—have also been increasing. 29 According
                         to USPS, total compensation and benefits costs increased by almost $1
                         billion in fiscal year 2019 alone.

                         USPS has implemented changes to help control employee compensation
                         and benefits costs, including lowering pay for new career employees and
                         increasing use of non-career employees. 30 For example, as we previously
                         reported, starting about 10 years ago, USPS’s collective bargaining
                         agreements have included the ability to hire up to 20 percent of the
                         workforce as non-career employees. 31 Non-career employees are less
                         costly because they generally have lower pay rates and are not entitled to
                         the full federal benefits received by career employees. According to
                         USPS officials, non-career employees are also “more flexible” because

                         27In addition to being classified by occupation type (e.g., letter carrier and mail handler),
                         USPS employees are also divided into “career” and “non-career” employees. Career
                         employees are considered permanent and are entitled to a range of benefits (e.g., health
                         and retirement) and privileges. USPS stated that non-career employees include those with
                         lower-paid positions such as city carrier assistants and postal support employees and
                         temporary employees hired during times of large mail volume such as holidays.
                         28GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Additional Guidance Needed to Assess Effect of Changes to
                         Employee Compensation GAO-20-140 (Washington, D.C.: Jan. 17, 2019).
                         29Overtime hours are paid at one and one-half times the employee’s basic hourly rate and
                         penalty overtime hours are paid at twice the employee’s basic hourly rate for hours as
                         provided for in applicable collective bargaining agreements. USPS stated that while
                         overtime hours have been increasing, its use of regular overtime is less expensive than
                         hiring additional employees.
                         30GAO-20-140.

                         31Collective Bargaining Agreements (CBAs) with postal labor unions generally specify
                         caps for the percentage of non-career employees that USPS may use in positions covered
                         by the agreements. GAO-20-140. USPS hires non-career employees to supplement its
                         regular workforce in a select number of positions including “mail service handler
                         assistant.” Non-career employees do not receive full employee benefits and privileges.




                         Page 11                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
there are fewer restrictions on their tasks and schedules. We recently
reported that our analysis estimated that USPS likely saved about $6.6
billion from fiscal years 2016 through 2018 from increased use of non-
career employees. 32 USPS has recognized trade-offs in increasing the
use of non-career employees in entry-level positions, such as a high
turnover rate, as would be expected for almost any entry-level position in
the private sector.

With respect to benefits costs for current postal employees, we have
recently reported that USPS has also achieved savings by gradually
decreasing its contribution percentage for employee health insurance
premiums over the past decade, with corresponding increases in the
contribution percentage paid by employees. 33 These changes were
negotiated with the four major postal labor unions and were included in
successive collective bargaining agreements, each of which covered a
multi-year period. 34 We found that the reduction in USPS health insurance
contributions generated estimated savings of about $1.4 billion for fiscal
years 2016 through 2018. 35

A number of restrictions limit USPS’s ability to control employee
compensation and benefits costs. As we recently reported, USPS
compensation and benefits costs—which represent about three-fourths of
its total costs—are driven by a mix of USPS contracts and policies,
including collective bargaining agreements negotiated with unions
representing 92 percent of USPS employees, and statutory requirements
governing USPS employee pay and benefits. 36 When USPS and its
unions are unable to agree, the parties are required to enter into binding
arbitration by a third-party panel. USPS’s collective bargaining
agreements with these labor unions, some of which were established
through binding arbitration, have established salary increases and cost-
of-living adjustments and, as mentioned above, have also capped the
number of non-career employees at approximately 20 percent of the

32GAO-20-140.


33GAO-20-140. For this report’s analysis, fiscal year 2018 was the most recent fiscal year
covered.
34USPS’s contribution percentage for retiree health benefits is governed by statute. 5
U.S.C. § 8906(g). For more information, see GAO-18-602.
35GAO-20-140.

36GAO-20-140.




Page 12                                                  GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                       number of employees covered by the agreements. Federal law requires
                       USPS to participate in the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program
                       (FEHBP), which covers current employees and retirees, as well as federal
                       pension and workers’ compensation programs. 37 Further, USPS must
                       provide fringe benefits that, as a whole, are no less favorable than those
                       in effect when the Postal Reorganization Act of 1970 was enacted. 38

Increased Unfunded     USPS’s unfunded liabilities and debt, 39 which consist mostly of unfunded
Liabilities and Debt   liabilities for retiree health and pension benefits, have become a
                       significant financial burden, increasing from 99 percent of USPS’s annual
                       revenues at the end of fiscal year 2007 to 226 percent of its fiscal year
                       2019 revenues. 40 At the end of fiscal year 2019, USPS’s unfunded
                       liabilities and debt totaled approximately $161 billion. However, it has
                       begun paying down this debt in recent years, leaving a balance of $11
                       billion at the end of fiscal year 2019 (see fig. 2).




                       375 U.S.C. §§ 8901 et seq., 39 U.S.C. § 1005(f). USPS is required to participate in FEHBP
                       unless USPS and its unions agree to an alternative health benefits program.
                       3839 U.S.C. § 1005(f).

                       39As of the end of fiscal year 2019, USPS was authorized to borrow up to $15 billion. 39
                       U.S.C. § 2005(a).
                       40Unfunded benefit liabilities are the estimated amount USPS has not sufficiently set aside
                       to cover the benefits earned by its current and retired employees that are attributable to
                       service already rendered.




                       Page 13                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Figure 2: Total U.S. Postal Service’s (USPS) Unfunded Liabilities and Debt, Fiscal Years 2007 through 2019




                                         a
                                          Negative unfunded liabilities for pension benefits in fiscal years 2007 and 2010 represent projected
                                         funding surpluses.


                                         Total unfunded liabilities have risen in part due to USPS not making
                                         payments to fund its retiree health and pension benefits. USPS has
                                         stated that it prioritizes its “primary universal service mission” when it is
                                         unable to fulfill all of its financial obligations, and that it therefore did not
                                         make payments to fund its postal retiree health benefits and pensions to
                                         minimize the risk of running out of cash. 41 In doing so, USPS cited its
                                         41USPS, 2019 Report on Form 10-K (Washington, D.C.: Nov. 14, 2019).




                                         Page 14                                                          GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
precarious financial condition and the need to cover current and
anticipated costs and any contingencies. It has not paid $55.4 billion in
required payments for funding these benefits through fiscal year 2019,
including $47.2 billion in missed funding payments for retiree health
benefits since fiscal year 2010, and $8.2 billion for funding pension
benefits since fiscal year 2014. In addition, for many years, USPS had
been at its statutory debt limit of $15 billion; however, it has begun paying
down this debt in recent years, leaving a balance of $11 billion at the end
of fiscal year 2019.

A number of federal laws define the requirements for USPS’s retiree
health and pension benefits that comprise most of its unfunded liabilities.

Retiree health benefits: Federal law establishes certain requirements for
postal retiree health benefits, including basic requirements for coverage
eligibility and contributions. In administering the FEHBP, the Office of
Personnel Management (OPM) negotiates with the insurance providers to
establish the level of benefits provided to beneficiaries. 42 USPS is
required to prefund its share of health benefits for its retirees. Under
PAEA, the first 10 years of prefunding payments were fixed—ranging
from $5.4 billion to $5.8 billion annually from fiscal years 2007 to 2016. 43
From fiscal years 2007 through 2016, USPS was also required to
continue “pay-as-you-go” payments for its share of premiums for current
retirees. The permanent schedule for USPS payments to prefund postal
retiree health benefits under PAEA required USPS to make annual
payments starting in fiscal year 2017. 44 Currently, USPS no longer makes
payments for retiree health benefits premiums. Starting in 2016, these
premiums are paid out of the RHB Fund until it is depleted, whereupon
USPS will resume paying premiums on a pay-as-you-go basis. 45 As we

42GAO-18-602.

43USPS’s required prefunding payment due in 2009 was reduced from $5.4 billion to $1.4
billion. Pub. L. No. 111-68, § 164(a) 123 Stat. 2023, 2053 (Oct.1, 2009).
44Under the permanent payment schedule, USPS’s payments are based on annual
actuarial determinations of the following component costs: (1) a statutorily determined
amortization schedule to address the unfunded liabilities for postal retiree health benefits
by 2056, or within 15 years, whichever is later, and (2) the “normal costs” of retiree health
benefits for current employees. The “normal cost” is the annual expected growth in liability
attributable to an additional year of employees’ service. OPM is required to annually re-
estimate future expenses for retiree health benefits and adjust USPS’s payment schedule.
See 5 U.S.C. § 8909a.
455 U.S.C.§ 8906(g)(2)(A).




Page 15                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                       previously reported, survey data we reviewed indicated that most
                       companies do not offer retiree health benefits and that the number of
                       companies providing such benefits is decreasing over time. Many
                       companies that have retained their retiree health benefits have done so
                       by making changes to control costs, including tightening eligibility and
                       restructuring benefits. 46 However, all approaches we identified have
                       different potential effects and would require congressional action.

                       Pension benefits: Federal law also requires USPS to finance its pension
                       benefits under the Federal Employees Retirement System (FERS) and
                       the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS) and contains specific
                       provisions defining USPS’s required contribution level to fund these
                       benefits. USPS’s payments consist of a rolling 30-year amortization
                       schedule to address unfunded FERS liabilities, an amortization schedule
                       to address unfunded CSRS liabilities by 2043, and the normal costs of
                       FERS benefits for current employees.

                       The large domestic companies we selected in the airline, auto, and
Selected Domestic      railroad industries took actions over a number of years to address major
Companies and          business challenges. Airlines such as Delta, American, and United faced
                       competition from low-cost airlines, downward pressure on airfares, and
Foreign Posts Took     rising compensation, benefits, and volatile fuel costs. These challenges
Key Steps to Address   were exacerbated by the economic downturn that began in 2000, the
                       terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and the Great Recession that
Major Challenges       began in December 2007, all of which temporarily depressed demand for
                       airline travel. 47 Similarly, General Motors (GM) and Ford Motor Company
                       (Ford) faced competition from lower cost competitors, the Great
                       Recession, a workforce and networks too large to be supported by
                       smaller sales volumes, and other changes in the market. 48 Likewise, large
                       U.S. railroads competed for freight and passengers from other

                       46GAO-18-602. For example, the percentage of all private and public organizations (e.g.,
                       state or local governments) with more than 200 employees that offer employee health
                       benefits and that also offer retiree health benefits is estimated to have declined from 40
                       percent in 1999 to 25 percent in 2017, according to annual surveys conducted by the
                       Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation and the Health Research & Educational Trust.
                       47GAO, Airline Competition: The Average Number of Competitors in Markets Serving the
                       Majority of Passengers Has Changed Little in Recent Years, but Stakeholders Voice
                       Concerns about Competition, GAO-14-515 (Washington, D.C.: June 11, 2014) and
                       Commercial Aviation: Legacy Airlines Must Further Reduce Costs to Restore Profitability,
                       GAO-04-836 (Washington, D.C.: Aug. 11, 2004).
                       48GAO, Auto Industry: Summary of Government Efforts and Automakers’ Restructuring to
                       Date, GAO-09-553 (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 23, 2009).




                       Page 16                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                             transportation modes, such as the trucking and airline industries that
                             operated over publicly provided infrastructure, while railroads had to
                             invest in their own infrastructure.

                             Based on our review of the selected companies’ annual reports and
                             statements to the SEC as well as selected federal laws, and GAO, CRS,
                             and other organizations’ reports, books, and academic articles, among
                             other sources, we found that selected companies made changes to (1)
                             products and services, (2) financial self-sustainment, and (3) use of the
                             bankruptcy process. While some of the selected businesses restructured
                             through a bankruptcy proceeding, other businesses took similar actions
                             outside of the bankruptcy process. 49 Mergers also played an important
                             role for the airlines and railroads.

Actions Taken by
Companies to Address
Challenges
Actions Regarding Products   The selected companies made multiple changes to their products and
and Services                 services. Specifically:

                             •   Airlines: Selected airlines altered pricing by changing route structure
                                 to focus on more profitable routes and adding fees, such as for
                                 checked baggage. 50 In addition, all three selected airlines merged
                                 with other major airlines, thereby broadening their routes and
                                 revenues. 51
                             •   Automakers: Selected automakers focused on producing more
                                 profitable brands and models, discontinuing some models and
                                 introducing others. For example, during its financial difficulties about a
                                 decade ago, GM discontinued a number of unprofitable brands. In
                                 2018, after years of declining car sales, Ford said it would eliminate
                                 some of its most well-known cars in North America, allowing it to
                                 devote more resources to sport utility vehicles and trucks.


                             49GAO, Commercial Aviation: Bankruptcy and Pension Problems Are Symptoms of
                             Underlying Structural Issues, GAO-05-945 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 30, 2005).
                             50GAO, Commercial Aviation: Information on Airline Fees for Optional Services,
                             GAO-17-756 (Washington, D.C.: Sept. 20, 2017).
                             51GAO-14-515 and GAO, Airline Mergers: Issues Raised by the Proposed Merger of
                             United and Continental Airlines, GAO-10-778T (Washington, D.C.: May 27, 2010).




                             Page 17                                                GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                              •   Railroads: Large railroads focused on more profitable routes and
                                  abandoned unprofitable routes or sold them to other railroads. For
                                  example, the federal government created a new freight railroad,
                                  Conrail, by merging several bankrupt railroads in the Northeast and
                                  Midwest. 52 As we have reported previously, federal government
                                  deregulation of railroad pricing and contracts after 1980 also helped
                                  Conrail to reach profitability and increase capital investment. 53
Actions Regarding Financial   Cost reduction was a major theme for the selected businesses in the
Self-Sustainment              airline, automotive, and rail industries, particularly with respect to
                              compensation, benefits, and infrastructure costs. Specifically:

                              •   Airlines: The three selected airlines negotiated wage cuts and work
                                  rule changes with their unions; made workforce reductions, in part by
                                  outsourcing work; and cut pension and retiree health benefit
                                  programs. 54 Wage cuts included all levels of employees, such as
                                  management, pilots, flight attendants, and mechanics. Benefit cuts
                                  involved reducing the level of pensions and retiree health benefits and
                                  transitioning pension programs from defined benefits plans to defined




                              52In 1974, the federal government created the Consolidated Railroad Corporation
                              (Conrail), a government-owned and financed freight railroad and authorized its initial
                              capitalization. Eighty-five percent of Conrail’s shares were owned by the federal
                              government and 15 percent of the shares were owned by Conrail’s employees. See GAO,
                              Budget Issues: Privatization/Divestiture Practices in Other Nations GAO/AIMD-96-23
                              (Washington, D.C.: Dec.15, 1995).
                              53GAO, Guidelines for Rescuing Large Failing Firms and Municipalities, GAO/GGD-84-34
                              (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 29, 1984); GAO, Railroad Regulation: Economic and Financial
                              Impacts of the Staggers Rail Act of 1980, GAO/RCED-90-80, (Washington, D.C.: May 16,
                              1990); and GAO/AIMD-96-23.
                              54Work rules specify the work that employees are expected to do and the amount of
                              compensation they will receive for performing this work. Although such agreements can
                              and do include changes designed to increase employee productivity by increasing or
                              broadening the types of tasks that employees can perform, such agreements can also
                              affect productivity by limiting the amount or type of work that employees can perform.
                              GAO, Intercity Passenger Rail: National Policy and Strategy Needed to Maximize Public
                              Benefits from Federal Expenditures, GAO-07-15 (Washington, D.C.: Nov.13, 2006).




                              Page 18                                                GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
    contribution plans that were structured to be less costly. 55 Airlines also
    reduced infrastructure costs by eliminating some hubs, reducing the
    total number of aircraft, and changing the mix of aircraft in their fleet to
    save on maintenance and fuel costs. The airlines further cut costs by
    restructuring debt, reducing facility leasing costs, and renegotiating
    aircraft leases and vendor contracts.

    While in bankruptcy, the airlines took major actions to reduce their
    costs. For example, United implemented steep pay cuts, cut retiree
    health benefits, and terminated its defined benefit pension plans,
    resulting in the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC)
    assuming responsibility for some of its pension payments, 56 and a
    reduction in benefits for the plan’s participants. 57 United also cut its
    workforce size by 31 percent, reduced the number of airplanes by 19
    percent, and reduced the total number of flights by 13 percent. Delta
    and American also reduced pay and pension benefits while in
    bankruptcy, and the PBGC assumed responsibility for some of Delta’s
    pension liabilities.

•   Automakers: The two selected automakers negotiated pay cuts, lower
    wages for entry-level employees, and changes to work rules designed
    to increase competitiveness; cut the workforce size in about half;
    made changes to employee benefits; closed many auto plants and
    dealerships; eliminated some vehicle brands and models; and
    changed the production process to increase efficiency. Specifically,
    The International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and
    Agricultural Implement Workers of America (UAW) agreed to cuts in

55Defined benefit plans are employer-sponsored retirement plans that traditionally promise
to provide a benefit for the life of the participant, based on a formula specified in the plan
that typically takes into account factors such as an employee’s salary, years of service,
and age at retirement. In contrast, defined contribution plans allow participants to
accumulate savings in an individual account based on the contributions made to the
accounts, and the performance of the investments in those accounts, which may fluctuate
in value. For additional details, see GAO, The Nation’s Retirement System: A
Comprehensive Re-evaluation Is Needed to Better Promote Future Retirement Security,
GAO-18-111SP (Washington, D.C.: Oct.18, 2017).
56The Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 established the PBGC to insure
the pension benefits of participants in qualified defined benefit plans should the plans be
terminated with insufficient funds or become insolvent. See GAO, Retirement Security
Trends in Corporate Restructurings and Implications for Employee Pensions,
GAO-19-447R (Washington, D.C.: July 12, 2019).
57GAO-05-945.




Page 19                                                    GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
    compensation for the automakers’ employees to levels paid by GM
    and Ford’s competitors. UAW also agreed to move retiree health care
    benefits into a private Voluntary Employee Beneficiary Association
    (VEBA) 58 for current and former UAW-represented employees in
    2007; the VEBA took over health benefits for retirees starting in 2010.
    The automakers also closed defined benefit pension plans to new
    participants and moved to defined contribution pension plans for
    eligible new employees.
•   Railroads: The Staggers Rail Act of 1980 was enacted to improve the
    financial stability of the railroad system. 59 Subsequently, railroads
    improved their financial health through, among other things, cost
    reduction measures such as reducing their workforce through layoffs
    and federal buyouts agreed to by unions, and abandoned or sold off
    unprofitable rail lines to reduce infrastructure and operating costs. 60
    Overall railroad employment fell greatly as railroads consolidated,
    reduced service, and changed work rules. For example, Conrail
    reduced its workforce from about 82,000 employees in 1977 to about
    21,000 in 1996. Congress specifically facilitated Conrail’s downsizing
    by passing the Northeast Rail Service Act of 1981, which among other
    things, directed a $200 million a year reduction in labor costs and
    authorized Conrail to terminate employees. 61
The U.S. government provided assistance to selected companies in
various forms, including appropriated funds, loans, and other actions that
helped enable companies to reduce their expenses. For example:

•   Automakers: The federal government committed $49.5 billion in
    funding to help GM continue to operate while restructuring. After the
    government became the majority owner of the GM that emerged from
    bankruptcy, the Administration laid out core principles that included




58A VEBA is an entity that provides and administers health benefits separately from an
employer. The VEBA determines the specific benefits that are provided, the level of
contributions from the VEBA members, and the investing of its assets. GAO-18-602.
59Pub. L. No. 96-448, §§ 101, 201 (1980).

60GAO/RCED-90-80.

61Pub. L. No. 97-35, §§ 1134, 1136, 1143(a) (1981).




Page 20                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                        managing its ownership in a hands-off manner and voting as a
                        shareholder only on core governance issues. 62
                    •   Airlines: Under the 2001 Air Transportation Safety and System
                        Stabilization Act, the federal government provided nearly $5 billion in
                        compensation to airlines for losses due to the September 11, 2001
                        terrorist attacks, including $856 million for American, $668 million for
                        Delta, and $782 million for United. 63 Additionally, under the
                        Emergency Wartime Supplemental Appropriations Act, $2.4 billion
                        was appropriated to the Transportation Security Administration to
                        compensate airlines for certain security expenses and fees, including
                        $358 million to American, $411 million to Delta, and $300 million to
                        United. 64
                    •   Railroads: The federal government spent about $8 billion creating,
                        subsidizing, and preparing Conrail for sale to the private sector. 65 This
                        funding included $7 billion through 1988 for purchasing properties of
                        bankrupt railroads, operating subsidies, and capital improvements and
                        employee buyouts. Amtrak, the national passenger railroad, took over
                        money-losing intercity and commuter passenger rail services 66 and
                        funded federal payments of up to $25,000 for each laid-off employee
                        as authorized by legislation. 67
Use of Bankruptcy   Some airlines, automakers, and railroads made changes through the
                    bankruptcy process. Specifically:

                    •   Airlines: All three selected airlines went through bankruptcy
                        proceedings—United in December 2002, Delta in September 2005,


                    62GAO, TARP: Treasury’s Exit from GM and Chrysler Highlights Competing Goals, and
                    Results of Support to Auto Communities Are Unclear, GAO-11-471 (Washington, D.C.:
                    May 10, 2011) and CRS, The Role of TARP Assistance in the Restructuring of General
                    Motors (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 18, 2014).
                    63Pub. L. No. 107-42, § 101 (2001).

                    64Pub. L. No. 108-11 (2003). Appropriation amounts are those reported by each airline in
                    annual 10-K reports to SEC.
                    65GAO/AIMD-96-23.

                    66GAO, Amtrak: Better Reporting, Planning, and Improved Financial Information Could
                    Enhance Decision Making, GAO-16-67 (Washington, D.C.: Jan. 6, 2016), GAO-07-15, and
                    CRS, Improving Intercity Passenger Rail Service in the United States, R45783
                    (Washington, D.C.: June 25, 2019).
                    67Pub. L. No. 91-518, § 305 (1970); Pub. L. No. 97-35, §§ 1137, 1143 (a) (1981).




                    Page 21                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                              and American in November 2011. The actions these airlines took to
                              reduce costs while in bankruptcy are discussed above.
                          •   Automakers: GM declared bankruptcy in June 2009 to implement its
                              restructuring plan. 68 The federal government became GM’s majority
                              shareholder and continued to provide financial assistance while GM
                              was in bankruptcy. The bankruptcy court approved the sale of
                              substantially all of old GM’s assets to a newly formed company (“new
                              GM”) in June 2009 as well the old GM’s amended bankruptcy plan in
                              March 2011, and its assets and liabilities were transferred to
                              liquidating trusts. These actions and the restructuring—which included
                              major cost reductions described above—helped enable GM to report
                              positive net income in every year from 2010 through 2019.

                          •   Railroads: In 1970, the Penn Central Railroad, one of the largest in
                              the country at the time, filed for bankruptcy. As Penn Central’s losses
                              continued while in bankruptcy, the value of whatever assets that might
                              have been available to satisfy its creditors’ claims was further eroded.
                              Therefore, the bankruptcy proceeding was initiated to liquidate the
                              railroad to meet the demands of its creditors. Faced with the potential
                              cessation of railroad service for an entire section of the country, the
                              federal government created Conrail to take over and operate specified
                              portions of Penn Central as well as several other bankrupt railroads in
                              the Northeast United States. Legislation was enacted that, combined
                              with Conrail actions described above, enabled Conrail to become
                              profitable. 69


Foreign Governments and   In the countries we selected, foreign governments also took actions to
Foreign Posts Took        develop goals for their postal operators that enabled changes in the
                          postal operators’ institutional structures and actions to address
Actions to Address
                          competitive pressures, economic downturns, and market changes. Based
Challenges                on our review of the selected countries’ government reports, including
                          summaries of postal reform legislation, annual reports from foreign posts,
                          and interviews with foreign government officials and representatives of

                          68In contrast, Ford obtained private financing secured by many of its assets; as a result, it
                          did not declare bankruptcy.
                          69See e.g., Pub. L. No. 93-236 (1974); Pub. L. No. 97-35 (1981). Legislation was enacted
                          that, combined with Conrail actions described above, enabled Conrail to become
                          profitable. See GAO/AIMD-96-23. In 1986, the Conrail Privatization Act authorized a
                          public stock offering for the government-owned Conrail shares. Pub. L. No. 99-509, tit. IV
                          (1986). These shares were sold through a public offering in 1987, earning about $1.6
                          billion.




                          Page 22                                                    GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                             foreign posts, we found that changes were made to foreign posts’: (1)
                             products and services; (2) financial self-sustainment; and (3) institutional
                             structure. Some of these actions were authorized by legislation that
                             changed the status and duties of the postal operators; others were taken
                             over a lengthy period that predated passage of key legislation. Some
                             foreign posts also diversified into nonpostal products and services;
                             however, postal-specific challenges and changes are the focus of this
                             discussion.

Actions Regarding Products   The selected foreign posts made multiple changes to their products and
and Services                 services. We found that, when transforming their postal operations,
                             selected countries determined the level of postal services they deemed
                             necessary to adequately serve the public. The main product changes
                             involved expansion of their package delivery business by enhancing
                             service and investing in facilities and sorting equipment dedicated to
                             handling packages. Large increases in their package volumes and
                             revenues helped offset declining letter mail volume and revenues.

                             Two of the selected foreign posts reduced service levels to help control
                             costs. For example, according to New Zealand Post officials, in response
                             to reduced mail volume, New Zealand Post reduced its required
                             frequency of mail delivery in urban areas from 5 to 3 days while
                             maintaining 5-day delivery in rural areas with the stated goal of ensuring
                             that postal service remained viable without government subsidization. 70
                             Australia Post revised the service standards it provided for delivery of
                             letter mail in 2016, resulting in slower delivery of some mail.

                             In addition, the main pricing changes have involved price increases for all
                             mail, as well as the introduction of discounted postal rates for letter mail
                             entered at processing facilities that generally were closer to the final
                             destination of the mail. For example, Royal Mail raised postal rates above
                             the rate of inflation after relaxation of its price cap. 71 In France, the postal
                             regulator established a price cap in 2015 of 3.5 percent per year (in
                             addition to inflation) and established a new cap in 2018 of 5 percent

                             70New Zealand Post media release, Rural Delivery Changes, Feb. 15, 2017, accessed
                             Mar. 2, 2020, https://www.nzpost.co.nz/about-us/media-centre/media-release/rural-
                             delivery-changes.
                             71According to Ofcom, Royal Mail’s First Class letter mail prices increased 40.5 percent
                             (adjusted for inflation) between 2009 and 2018, averaging around 4 percent per year. The
                             steepest increase of about 27 percent came between 2011 and 2012, right after relaxation
                             of its price cap.




                             Page 23                                                GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                              annual rate increases (including inflation) for 2019 through 2022 for letter
                              mail and packages considered part of universal postal service. The 2018
                              price cap allows La Poste more price flexibility than the previous one.
                              Likewise, Australia Post implemented an above-inflation rate increase in
                              January 2020, citing the need to generate revenues to offset growing
                              financial pressures from declining letter mail volume. 72

Actions Regarding Financial   Cost reduction was a major theme for the selected foreign posts,
Self-Sustainment              particularly with respect to compensation, benefits, and infrastructure
                              costs. These actions were stimulated in part by reductions in mail volume
                              and the associated revenues and workload, and in part by legislative or
                              regulatory changes that allowed greater competition and created
                              incentives, such as privatization, which resulted in shareholder pressure
                              to enhance or encourage organizational profitability and efficiency.
                              Because postal operations are labor-intensive, actions to address
                              workforce costs were particularly important to improving financial results.
                              These often went hand in hand with outsourcing, network restructuring,
                              reductions in service levels to better align service with demand, and other
                              changes to increase productivity and achieve cost savings. The
                              governments and the postal operators of selected countries also
                              considered the effects on stakeholders when making postal reform
                              decisions. Specific changes varied from one foreign post to another.

                              •   Workforce: In Germany, Deutsche Post officials told us that its
                                  employees hired after 1990 were designated private sector
                                  employees with lower pay and benefits than postal employees who
                                  were previously hired as civil servants. In France, La Poste officials
                                  told us that La Poste likewise transitioned its workforce in the 1990s
                                  from civil servants to private employees and ended recruitment of civil
                                  servants in 2000. They also said that this transition provided La Poste
                                  with a more flexible workforce and reduced its pension liability.
                                  Australia Post closed its defined benefit pension plan to new
                                  employees in 2012, while Royal Mail is transitioning to a defined
                                  contribution pension plan that it introduced in 2018. Royal Mail and
                                  New Zealand Post also have reduced the size of their workforce in
                                  recent years.

                              •   Infrastructure: Some selected foreign posts consolidated their mail
                                  processing networks to reduce costs. For example, following the

                              72In addition, Australia Post also raised its basic postal rate 13.7 percent above inflation in
                              2014 and by 41.8 percent above inflation in 2016. See Australia Post, Annual Report 2018
                              (Melbourne, Victoria).




                              Page 24                                                     GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
    reunification of Germany, Deutsche Post replaced more than 320 mail
    processing facilities with 82 such facilities. Royal Mail and La Poste
    reduced the number of mail sorting centers by about 40 percent over
    the past two decades.

    In addition, all five selected postal operators have made changes to
    reduce retail network costs. As we reported in 2011, some foreign
    posts reduced the number of postal operator-owned and -operated
    facilities and in some cases closed facilities in an effort to reduce
    costs. 73 At the same time, some minimized this disruption by
    expanding retail access through alternatives such as Internet sales
    and partnerships with retail businesses such as grocery stores or
    pharmacies. We reported that these changes either reduced operating
    and labor costs or improved customer service, in some cases
    because the partner retail facility stays open longer, or both.
    This trend continues. Deutsche Post, Post Office Limited in the United
    Kingdom, La Poste, Australia Post, and New Zealand Post have
    outsourced or franchised most of their postal retail functions to private
    nonpostal operators. For example, Deutsche Post franchised its
    postal retail outlets to local businesses to not only reduce expenses,
    but also increase the availability of postal retail services nationwide by
    putting retail counters in stores that were open longer than traditional
    post offices. Deutsche Post representatives stated that while there
    was some initial resistance to these changes, these concerns abated
    after a few months as customers realized they received better service
    and longer hours. The representatives also said the number of retail
    outlets has increased in recent years in response to increased
    demand for e-commerce package returns. La Poste has a substantial
    and growing proportion of retail facilities operated by private providers
    (in partnership with small shops, especially in rural areas) or co-
    located in local government-owned buildings (in partnership with local
    town halls in rural areas). In addition, Australia Post combined its
    letter and parcel delivery networks in 2018 to obtain efficiencies.
•   Productivity: All of the postal operators in the selected countries took
    actions to enhance productivity, such as improving automation of mail
    processing, modernizing and streamlining operations, and changing
    work processes. For example, Deutsche Post officials stated they had
    streamlined their parcel sorting process and went from 140 parcel
    sorting centers in 1990 to 34 in 2019. Deutsche Post officials stated
    that this streamlining improved service performance for parcels;
73GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Foreign Posts’ Strategies Could Inform U.S. Postal Service’s
Efforts to Modernize, GAO-11-282 (Washington, D.C.: Feb. 16, 2011).




Page 25                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
    previously, most parcels were delivered within 3 or 4 days; by 2019,
    93 percent of parcels were delivered within 1 day. Royal Mail officials
    also stated that they increased their level of automation and
    introduced new methods of parcel delivery, such as new high-capacity
    equipment for mail carriers, to increase efficiency as well.
•   Government Assistance: The governments of some of the selected
    countries provided assistance to their postal operators in various
    forms, including assuming pension costs, granting tax exemptions,
    and providing subsidies to postal retail operations. For example, the
    governments of France and the United Kingdom assumed costs of
    defined benefit pensions for postal employees who are civil servants,
    while the government of Germany assumed these costs to the extent
    that they exceed the costs of private sector pensions. While all new
    employees are employed as private sector employees, German audit
    officials stated that the government’s pension obligation for postal
    employees who are or were civil servants and their dependents will
    last until 2079 and cost the government about €306 billion. 74
    The assumption of these pension plans was important in facilitating
    the privatization of these postal operators, according to Royal Mail
    and Deutsche Post officials, because without the reduced unfunded
    pension liabilities, the stock offerings for the newly created companies
    would have been much less attractive to private investors. 75 France
    also provides subsidies for certain postal activities. 76 In addition, the
    United Kingdom split off the postal retail network from Royal Mail into


74About $333 billion in April 2020.

75Royal Mail representatives stated that its pension deficit meant that Royal Mail was
insolvent according to its balance sheet prior to the government assuming the historic
assets and liabilities of its pension plan. According to Deutsche Post representatives,
Deutsche Post continues to employ former public sector postal employees who are civil
servants and public employees. According to German government officials, those
employees, retained and newly recruited, are subject to private sector working conditions
and enrolled in statutory pension insurance. Pension liabilities for postal civil servants are
covered by a pension fund established by German law. In the course of the postal
transformation, Deutsche Post assumed a fixed share to finance this pension fund. Since
that share does not cover all pension liabilities, the German government contributes the
complementary funds needed.
76According to La Poste, these subsidies included local tax exemptions for locations
where maintaining a retail postal presence is unprofitable (such as rural areas, poor city
suburbs, and overseas territories), subsidies for the transport and delivery of newspapers
and magazines, and subsidies for access to basic banking services through
La Banque Postale, a bank that is part of the La Poste group.




Page 26                                                     GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                                      Post Office Limited, a separate entity owned and subsidized by the
                                      national government. 77
Actions Regarding Institutional   Each of the five foreign countries we selected changed their institutional
Structure                         structure following the development of goals for postal transformation that
                                  were tailored to national needs and priorities. 78 Each of these countries
                                  had definitions of universal postal services including provisions for
                                  nationwide delivery and access to postal retail services. As the following
                                  examples illustrate, the national context of each country has been of
                                  central importance to shaping these goals. In addition, postal
                                  transformation in the three selected European countries—Germany, the
                                  United Kingdom, and France—also had an international context in the
                                  broader effort to create and promote a single European internal market.

                                  •   Germany: In the 1990s, the German government changed its postal
                                      operator, Deutsche Post, from a government agency to a government-
                                      owned corporation. In 2000, the government changed Deutsche Post
                                      to a privately owned company so it could raise capital, modernize, and
                                      create a sustainable infrastructure. Goals for the newly created
                                      Deutsche Post were to maintain the high level of postal services,
                                      increase efficiency, and enhance profit. The legislation that created
                                      Deutsche Post also gave it more flexibility to respond to changes in
                                      the market. Currently, Deutsche Post remains a private company with
                                      the government holding a minority of its shares.

                                  •   United Kingdom: In 1969, the government of the United Kingdom
                                      changed the Post Office, its postal operator, from a government
                                      department to Royal Mail, a government-owned corporation prior to
                                      changing it to a privately owned company. It began privatizing Royal
                                      Mail in 2013 so Royal Mail could become more modern and
                                      competitive by raising private capital, operating with more flexibility,


                                  77According to a representative of Post Office Limited, the United Kingdom has invested
                                  about £1.5 billion (about $1.9 billion as of April 2020) in Post Office Limited, but plans to
                                  eliminate this subsidy by 2021. The government of the United Kingdom provided £70
                                  million (about $87.5 million as of April 2020) to Post Office Limited in 2019.
                                  78USPS has noted that the origin and evolution of the business models of different foreign
                                  posts are deeply rooted in the underlying economic, political, social, cultural, and
                                  geographic history of each country. USPS stated that these models vary according to
                                  national priorities for social and political goals as well as economic considerations. USPS,
                                  Assessment of U.S. Postal Service Future Business Model (Washington, D.C.: November
                                  2009).




                                  Page 27                                                     GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
    and be subject to shareholder scrutiny to drive efficiency. 79 As
    mentioned above, the government of the United Kingdom also split off
    postal retail units into a new government-owned entity called “Post
    Office Limited” that is separate from Royal Mail.

•   France: In 1991, the government of France changed La Poste, the
    postal service of France, from a government department to a public
    industrial and commercial establishment. 80 In 2010, the government of
    France converted La Poste into a state-owned public limited
    company. This step allowed La Poste to raise additional public capital
    for investments to maintain and modernize its network, build a
    European parcel and express network, allow acquisitions outside
    Europe, and add nonpostal products and services, such as expanding
    its banking services.

•   Australia: In 1989, the government of Australia changed its postal
    operator, Australia Post, from a government department to a
    government-owned corporation. It is required to earn a reasonable
    rate of return on its assets, maintain its equity, pay a reasonable
    dividend to the government, and be liable for the same taxes and
    charges as its competitors.


•   New Zealand: According to a recent report, New Zealand Post began
    as a government department and became a state-owned enterprise in
    1987, when legislation (State-Owned Enterprises Act 1986) created
    several such entities to address challenges in the national economy. 81
    Such corporations are required to be as profitable and efficient as a
    comparable business not owned by the state. 82


79Royal Mail was privatized in two stages. In 2013, the government of the United Kingdom
gave 10 percent of shares to employees for free and sold 60 percent of its stake. In 2015,
a further 2 percent of shares were given free to employees and the remaining 28 percent
was sold.
80Specifically, in 1991 La Poste became a government-owned entity with a contractual
relationship with the national government.
81New Zealand Post Limited, NZ Post-Tukurau Aotearoa Integrated Report 2017
(Wellington, New Zealand: Sept. 11, 2017).
82A separate “Deed of Understanding” between the government and New Zealand Post
specifies requirements for universal postal service. Ministry of Communications and
Information Technology and New Zealand Post Limited, Deed of Amendment and
Restatement (Wellington and Porirua, New Zealand: Dec. 12, 2013).




Page 28                                                  GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                            Congress will face difficult choices in fundamentally reassessing the three
USPS’s                      critical foundational elements of USPS’s business model—level of
Transformation              universal postal service, financial sustainability, and institutional structure.
                            These choices are likely to require changes in laws and will have differing
Involves                    effects on postal stakeholders. While the specific impacts will depend on
Reassessment of             the changes made, some or all of USPS’s stakeholders could be affected
                            and these impacts should be considered as part of any reassessment. All
Three Critical              three key areas are interrelated and significant changes in one area may
Foundational                affect another. For example, we have testified that Congress faces a
                            tradeoff between the level of postal services the nation needs and the
Elements of Its             level of postal services the nation is willing to pay for. 83
Business Model

Level of Universal Postal   Based on our prior work, a starting point for a fundamental reassessment
Service Needed              of USPS’s business model should be determining the level of postal
                            services the nation needs. While mail volumes have declined since fiscal
                            year 2006, businesses, governments, and households still pay USPS
                            billions of dollars annually to deliver more than 140 billion of pieces of
                            mail, demonstrating a continued nationwide demand for postal services.
                            We and others—such as USPS, PRC, and USPS OIG—have called for a
                            fundamental reexamination of what postal services the nation needs now
                            and may need in the future. In particular, we have testified that USPS’s
                            growing financial difficulties, combined with changing demand for postal
                            services, have provided Congress with an opportunity to examine and
                            potentially redefine what postal services should be provided on a
                            universal basis and how they should be provided. 84

                            As mentioned above, there are numerous federal laws and requirements
                            related to the provision of universal postal service. 85 For example, 6-day
                            delivery has long been required by annual USPS appropriations acts. 86
                            Over the past decade, legislation has been introduced, and USPS and



                            83GAO-17-404T.

                            84GAO-17-404T.


                            85See appendix II for a list of selected legal requirements that are applicable to USPS.

                            86See e.g., Pub. L. No. 116-6, 133 Stat. 180 (2019).




                            Page 29                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
others have proposed reducing the frequency of delivery. 87 However, no
legislation has been enacted that would allow USPS to reduce delivery
frequency.

There is also no consensus on the level of postal services the nation
needs. Changes in service levels face opposition from some
stakeholders, such as labor unions, affected communities, and the
general public. Currently, legislation has been introduced that supports
the preservation of both 6-day and door-to-door delivery for addresses
that have it, and some mailer groups support one or both of these
positions. 88 Representatives from postal labor unions we spoke with
stated that universal postal service is appropriate as currently defined and
could be expanded to provide more products and services. Stakeholders
have also expressed differing views on whether the frequency of delivery
should be reduced to help USPS address its financial problems. USPS
and PRC have estimated that eliminating Saturday delivery would reduce
USPS’s costs but also would likely affect mail volume sent by business
mailers, although USPS and PRC disagreed on the degree to which it
would do so. 89 USPS estimated that it could save $1.4 billion to $1.8
billion a year by reducing the frequency of mail delivery to 5 days while
maintaining 7-day package delivery. To put these potential savings into
context, delivery is USPS’s most costly operation. We reported, however,
that USPS would face challenges in, among other things, how efficiently
USPS would absorb the additional volume delivered in the remaining
delivery days and its potential effect on mail volume. We also described
potential trade-offs, such as possibly reducing the demand and value of
USPS products if customers are not getting their delivery needs met. 90

Further, key postal stakeholders hold opposing views on many other
options that have been proposed. For example, to raise revenues, USPS
and some postal labor unions favor eliminating or raising the price cap on

87See PRC, Advisory Opinion on Elimination of Saturday Delivery, Docket No. N2010-1
(Washington, D.C.: Mar. 24, 2011). See S. 3831, 111th Cong. (2010), S. 1010, 12th Cong.
(2011), S. 1625, 112th Cong. (2011), S. 1789, 112th Cong (2011), H.R. 2748, 113th Cong.
(2013), S. 1486, 113th Cong. (2013).
88H.R. 54, 116th Cong. (2019) and H.R. 23, 116th Cong. (2019). These bills have 291 and
257 co-sponsors respectively.
89See PRC, Advisory Opinion on Elimination of Saturday Delivery, Docket No. N2010-1 at
103-113 (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 24, 2011).
90GAO-20-140.




Page 30                                                GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                           market-dominant products, which would enable USPS to raise rates more
                           than the rate of inflation but would require changing the current regulatory
                           system. 91 Mailers, however, have expressed opposition to increasing
                           postage rates higher than the rate of inflation.

                           Postal labor unions also favor increasing revenues by introducing new
                           postal and nonpostal products and services. 92 We have recently found,
                           however, that USPS’s nonpostal revenues generated at postal retail
                           facilities are small and that there are limited opportunities to generate
                           revenues from nonpostal products and services from USPS’s delivery
                           network. 93 For example, we reported that nonpostal products and
                           services offered through USPS’s postal retail facilities generated about
                           $431 million in fiscal year 2018, accounting for less than 1 percent of
                           USPS’s total revenue. 94 In addition, we reported several potential
                           limitations to USPS adding nonpostal services to USPS’s mail carrier
                           activities, such as checking in on homebound and older residents and
                           reporting signs of blighted properties. These limitations included, among
                           other things, limited net revenue potential and a potential adverse effect
                           on mail service delivery. 95

Financial Sustainability   A fundamental reassessment of USPS’s business model would include
                           determining the degree to which USPS should be financially self-
                           sustaining, i.e., the degree to which USPS’s operating costs and liabilities
                           should be covered by ratepayers (such as businesses and individuals
                           who pay USPS to send mail). If a reassessment concluded that USPS
                           should be fully self-sustaining, past legislative proposals that would
                           change elements of USPS’s costs and revenues may be worth


                           91PAEA required that PRC establish a modern system of regulating rates and classes for
                           market dominant products and required that PRC review this system 10 years later. Pub.
                           L. No. 109-435 § 201 (2006), codified at 39 U.S.C. §3622(a),(d)(3). As of April 2020, this
                           review was ongoing.
                           92PAEA eliminated USPS’s authority to offer nonpostal services unless they were offered
                           as of January 1, 2006, and expressly grandfathered by the PRC. Pub. L. No. 109-435, §
                           102.
                           93See GAO, Offering Nonpostal Services through Its Delivery Network Would Likely
                           Present Benefits and Limitations, GAO-20-190 (Washington: D.C.: Dec. 17, 2019) and
                           GAO-20-354.
                           94GAO-20-354.

                           95GAO-20-190.




                           Page 31                                                  GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
congressional consideration. 96 Stakeholders, however, have not reached
a consensus on any of these proposals and none has been enacted.

Another avenue is to focus on reducing costs. As we have also reported,
compensation and benefits costs, which comprise about three-quarters of
USPS’s operating costs, are driven by a mix of USPS contracts and
policies, including collective bargaining agreements negotiated with
unions representing 92 percent of USPS employees and statutory
requirements governing USPS employee pay and benefits. 97 USPS
compensation and benefits costs for its active employees increased by
almost $1 billion in fiscal year 2019 despite a slight decrease in the size
of the workforce and declining workload from reduced mail volume.

While USPS has been able to make some reductions in pay and benefits,
its ability to control compensation costs is significantly inhibited by the
collective bargaining process, which results in binding arbitration if an
impasse is reached. According to USPS, all negotiations take place
against the backdrop of binding arbitration (and the arbitrators have
historically been reluctant to deviate from the status quo), resulting in only
incremental changes. We have long supported changing the laws
regarding collective bargaining to require that USPS’s financial condition
be considered in binding arbitration. 98 We have also reported that the
collective bargaining structure, which was established many years ago,
should be reexamined considering the dramatic changes in USPS’s
competitive environment and rising personnel costs that have contributed
to USPS’s losses. 99

Multiple bills have been proposed changing the process and/or criteria for
collective bargaining to a different standard. 100 The 2018 report from the
Task Force on the United States Postal System recommended that
collective bargaining over compensation should be eliminated for postal

96See e.g. S. 3831, 111th Cong. (2010), S. 353, 112th Cong. (2011) and S. 1486, 113th
Cong. (2013).
97GAO-20-140.

98See GAO-19-157SP, GAO-17-404T, and GAO-10-455.

99GAO-10-455.

100For example, S. 3831, 111th Cong. (2010), S. 353, 112th Cong. (2011), S. 1010, 112th
Cong. (2011), S. 1625, 112th Cong. (2011), H.R. 2309, 112th Cong. (2012), S. 1789, 112th
Cong (2012), H.R. 2748, 113th Cong. (2013), S. 1486, 113th Cong. (2013).




Page 32                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
employees. 101 While eliminating or revising the collective bargaining
process could potentially provide USPS greater flexibility in employee
pay, there would be trade-offs. For example, we recently found that the
potential annual cost savings associated with USPS implementing cuts
for all current employee pay by 1 percent would be about $321 million; a
10 percent cut would potentially save $3.2 billion. 102 However, we also
reported that while USPS could reduce its compensation costs through
efforts such as reducing mail delivery frequency, USPS would face
challenges in realizing these savings, such as the extent to which
workhours could be reduced. Furthermore, these savings could be offset
by other factors including service or morale issues.

With respect to benefits, we recently reported on a wide range of possible
changes that would reduce or limit costs for postal retiree health benefits,
nearly all of which would require a legislative change. Some approaches
would shift costs to the federal government; some would reduce benefits
or increase costs to postal retirees or employees; and some approaches
would change how benefits are funded. 103 Similar types of legislative
changes could be considered with respect to postal pension benefits. 104

In addition, if Congress decides that USPS should be financially self-
sustaining but makes no changes to improve USPS’s financial condition,
USPS will be unable to address unfunded liabilities for postal retiree
health and pension benefits, an inability that could eventually translate
into higher costs for future postal ratepayers. Ultimately, if USPS’s
expenses continue to exceed its revenues, USPS is likely to continue to
miss required payments, reduce operations, or seek federal



101Task Force on the United States Postal System, United States Postal Service: A
Sustainable Path Forward.
102GAO-20-140.

103See GAO-18-602. Postal retiree health benefits are provided as part of the Federal
Employees Health Benefits Program (FEHBP), as specified by Chapter 89 of Title 5, U.S.
Code. Proposed bills would require alternative approaches for how the benefits are
funded. See e.g., H.R. 2382, 116th Cong. (2019).
104For example, in 2013 USPS proposed converting postal pensions for future employees
into a defined contribution program. See USPS, Statement of Postmaster General and
Chief Executive Officer Patrick R. Donahoe Before the Committee on Oversight and
Government Reform, United States House of Representatives (Washington, D.C.: July 17,
2013), and S. 1486, 113th Cong.




Page 33                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
appropriations through the annual appropriations process to cover its
operating costs. 105

If Congress determines that USPS should no longer be expected to be
financially self-sustaining or if actions taken do not restore financial self-
sustainability, Congress could provide financial assistance—not unlike
what happened in other countries or for selected domestic business—to
enable USPS to cover its costs, and to fulfill its obligation to provide
federal health and pension benefits to postal employees and retirees.
Federal financial assistance could be provided in various forms, such as:

•   Appropriating funds to help cover USPS’s operating costs, essentially
    the same arrangement that was used to finance the former U.S. Post
    Office Department.
•   Appropriating funds to supplement USPS’s payment of certain costs,
    such as to help fund its capital investments. For example, the federal
    government provides Amtrak, which is operated as a for-profit
    corporation with annual grants to operate and make capital
    investments in passenger rail service to supplement the revenues it
    generates.
•   Assuming some or all of USPS’s unfunded liabilities for retiree health
    benefits. This could take different forms, such as direct assumption of
    responsibility for unfunded liabilities or, more indirectly, requiring
    postal retirees to participate in Medicare which would decrease
    USPS’s costs but increase Medicare’s costs. 106
•   Assuming some or all of USPS’s unfunded liabilities for pension
    benefits.
•   Writing off some or all of USPS’s debts to the U.S. Treasury.
Options regarding the federal government providing ongoing financial
assistance to USPS could have effects on both USPS and the federal

105The most immediate policy issue resulting from USPS missing required payments
concerns postal retiree health benefits. We reported in 2018 that based on OPM
projections requested by GAO, the fund supporting postal retiree health benefits is on
track to be depleted in fiscal year 2030 if USPS continues to make no payments into the
fund. If this fund becomes depleted, USPS would be required by law to make the
payments necessary to cover its share of health benefits premiums for current postal
retirees. Current law does not address what would happen if the fund becomes depleted
and USPS does not make payments to cover those premiums. Depletion of the fund could
affect postal retirees as well as USPS, customers, and other stakeholders, including the
federal government. GAO-18-602.
106GAO-18-602.




Page 34                                                GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                          government as a whole. Notably, this assistance would have to be funded
                          in some way—either through offsetting reductions in federal expenditures
                          in other areas, through tax increases, or through an increase in federal
                          deficits. Moreover, reliance on federal funding could mean that USPS
                          would be exposed to the uncertainty inherent in the annual appropriations
                          process. In addition, access to annual appropriations to cover financial
                          shortfalls could have an unintended consequence of reducing USPS’s
                          incentives to become more cost-efficient.

                          At present, there is no consensus on USPS’s level of financial self-
                          sustainability should be. For example, representatives of labor unions we
                          spoke with stated that Congress should address issues regarding postal
                          retiree benefits before any reassessment of USPS’s financial self-
                          sufficiency can occur. Increased federal financial support of USPS might
                          also face political opposition, due to concerns about minimizing federal
                          deficits and ensuring fair competition between USPS and the private
                          sector.

Institutional Structure   The final area of consideration in any reassessment of USPS’s business
                          model is identifying what institutional structure could best deliver the level
                          of postal services at the level of financial sustainability that Congress has
                          determined. As an independent establishment of the executive branch,
                          USPS must provide universal postal service while being expected to be
                          financially self-sustaining. Thus, there may be a tension between
                          attempting to fulfill public service missions while operating in an efficient,
                          business-like and financially self-sustaining manner. USPS officials told
                          us that as an entity of the federal government, its primary purpose is the
                          achievement of its statutory universal service mission, and it has no
                          incentive to seek to maximize profits at the expense of achieving its public
                          service mission over the long term.

                          Therefore, according to USPS, if it were maintained as an independent
                          establishment of the executive branch or converted into a more typical
                          government agency, it could continue to prioritize this public service
                          mission. Additionally, there is widespread support for USPS’s institutional
                          status as an independent establishment of the executive branch.
                          Congressional resolutions have been introduced stating that “Congress
                          should take all appropriate measures to ensure that the United States
                          Postal Service remains an independent establishment of the Federal
                          Government and is not subject to privatization.” 107 Likewise, all four of the

                          107S. Res. 99, 116th Cong. (2019), H. Res. 33, 116th Cong. (2019).




                          Page 35                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                                                                  largest USPS unions, both of its management organizations, and a
                                                                  number of mailer groups and mailers support keeping USPS an
                                                                  independent establishment of the executive branch.

                                                                  Nonetheless, considering the depth of USPS’s financial problems and its
                                                                  poor financial outlook, now may be an appropriate time for Congress to
                                                                  reconsider what institutional structure will be most appropriate for USPS
                                                                  in the 21st century. However, any substantial change to USPS’s
                                                                  institutional status would require changing federal law. Based on our past
                                                                  work and options identified by USPS and others, Congress has a range of
                                                                  options it could consider in reassessing USPS’s structure (see table 1).

Table 1: Examples of Potential Institutional Structures for the U.S. Postal Service (USPS)

 Structure                              Financing USPS would receive under                      Ownership                     Examples of other Organizations
                                        this structure
 Government Agency                      Postal revenues and federal                             Federal                       Federal agencies, such as
                                        appropriations provided through the                                                   Department of Energy or the
                                        annual appropriations process                                                         Department of Commerce
 Independent                            Postal revenues and appropriations          Federal                                   None
 establishment of the                   provided through the annual
 executive branch with                  appropriations process for certain required
 fewer legal constraintsa               services
 Government-owned                       Postal revenues                                         Federal                       Tennessee Valley Authority, La
 corporationb                                                                                                                 Poste (France), Australia Post, New
                                                                                                                              Zealand Post
 Government-sponsored                   Postal revenues                                         Private sector                Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
 enterpriseb
 Private company                        Postal and other revenues, such as                      Private sector                Royal Mail (United Kingdom),
                                        logistics or banking                                                                  Deutsche Post (Germany),
                                                                                                                              domestic private sector
                                                                                                                              corporations
Source: GAO reports and analysis of foreign post reports and interviews. | GAO-20-385

                                                                  Notes: USPS could potentially receive federal appropriations through the annual appropriations
                                                                  process under all of these structures.
                                                                  Government-sponsored enterprises are federally established private corporations. They typically
                                                                  receive financing from private investment, and the credit markets perceive that they are implicitly
                                                                  financially backed by the federal government. According to CRS, this impression of federal backing
                                                                  has been encouraged by the federal government’s past actions. See CRS, Government-Sponsored
                                                                  Enterprises (GSEs): An Institutional Overview (Washington, D.C.: Apr.23, 2007).
                                                                  a
                                                                   These could include addressing legal requirements such as on pricing, products, and other
                                                                  requirements that restrict USPS’s ability to reduce its costs. For more examples, see GAO, U.S.
                                                                  Postal Service: Mail Trends Highlight Need to Change Business Model, GAO-12-159SP (Washington
                                                                  D.C.: Oct. 14, 2011).
                                                                  b
                                                                   For more information on government-owned corporations and government-sponsored enterprises,
                                                                  see GAO, Government Corporations: Profiles of Existing Government Corporations, GAO/GGD-96-14
                                                                  (Washington D.C.: Dec. 13, 1995).




                                                                  Page 36                                                         GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
The potential advantages and disadvantages of placing USPS into
alternative institutional structures for USPS have long been debated.
Several options have been discussed:

•   USPS could revert to a traditional federal agency. USPS and its
    governance would be more consistent with other federal activities that
    are dependent on federal appropriations provided through the annual
    appropriations process. Many postal stakeholders, however, do not
    support such a change. For example, USPS told us that if it became a
    typical government agency reliant on federal appropriations to fill any
    operating gap, the political constraints that typically apply to
    government agencies could reduce USPS’s adaptability. Furthermore,
    changing USPS to a typical government agency could reduce its
    incentives to increase revenues or reduce costs in response to
    changing communication technologies and patterns. Consistent with
    this point, the 1968 presidential commission found that when it
    operated as a federal agency, the former U.S. Post Office Department
    had a lack of innovation, cost-control, and capital investment with
    major managerial decisions made through the legislative process.
    These and other issues led to persistent operational deficits, low
    productivity, and poor mail service. 108
•   USPS could remain an independent establishment of the federal
    government with additional authority—relative to the status quo—over
    certain aspects of its business model. For example, USPS could be
    provided more flexibility to raise postal rates, introduce new nonpostal
    products, and make various changes to reduce its costs such as
    reducing the frequency of delivery or further consolidating its retail,
    transportation, and processing networks. 109 USPS has long advocated
    for additional flexibility under its current institutional structure—such
    as to eliminate the price cap on market-dominant products and have
    greater flexibility to offer nonpostal products. Representatives from
    postal unions also stated that USPS should be provided additional
    flexibility, such as to expand into nonpostal products, which some
    representatives stated could help preserve its public service mission
    to provide universal postal services. Consensus does not, however,
    exist as to what flexibility should be given to USPS. For example,
    some mailer groups favor keeping the price cap unchanged, stating
    the cap is sufficient and provides incentives for increased efficiency.

108The President’s Commission on Postal Organization, Towards Postal Excellence.

109GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Mail Trends Highlight Need to Fundamentally Change
Business Model, GAO-12-159SP (Washington, D.C.: Oct. 14, 2011) and GAO-10-455.




Page 37                                               GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
    In addition, some stakeholders have supported further limiting USPS’s
    flexibility to reduce service standards, close retail outlets, or
    consolidate processing facilities, while other stakeholders noted that
    greater flexibilities in these areas would reduce USPS’s costs and
    enhance its efficiency.
•   If USPS were to become a government-owned corporation or a
    government-sponsored enterprise, USPS could be incentivized to
    increase efficiency as a federally chartered entity providing a public
    service with a predominantly business nature. For example, three of
    the four third-party experts we spoke with stated that USPS should
    retain its current mission of universal postal service but become more
    like a private company with greater freedom to operate in a business-
    like manner. The new structure could promote greater incentives
    toward cost control and financial success. Government-owned
    corporations are federally chartered entities that provide a public
    service with a predominantly business nature. These corporations can
    have a board of directors that is appointed by the President. 110
    Government-sponsored enterprises are federally chartered entities
    that are privately owned and, typically, have a board of directors
    appointed by private sector owners. 111
•   If USPS were to be a private company it would become accountable
    to the shareholders of that company. USPS told us that as a private
    company, its primary incentive could be to maximize profits and that,
    in USPS’s view, private shareholders would be most focused on
    short-term financial outcomes. Thus, any such design of a private
    USPS would need to balance its profit motive with the nation’s needs
    for universal postal service and the affordability of that service. For
    example, while Royal Mail is a private corporation owned by
    shareholders, the government of the United Kingdom still mandates 6-
    day delivery for letter mail (and 5-day delivery for packages) with
    specified delivery standards, and some mail types are subject to price
    controls. In addition, the United Kingdom monitors the provision of
    universal postal service and can take enforcement actions regarding




110GAO/GGD-96-14. USPS’s Governors who serve on its Board are appointed by the
President and confirmed by the Senate.
111CRS, Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs): An Institutional Overview
(Washington, D.C.: Apr. 23, 2007).




Page 38                                              GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
    regulatory conditions and competition law. 112 Similarly, Germany has
    legal instruments to enforce the provision of universal postal services,
    although according to German government officials these instruments
    have not been used. 113
Although some of the domestic businesses we examined reduced their
costs through bankruptcy, this is likely not an option for USPS. As
detailed in its report (see appendix I), National Bankruptcy Conference
(NBC) found that USPS is not eligible to become a “debtor” under
chapters 11 or 9 of the current Bankruptcy Code. 114 According to NBC, a
court likely would deem USPS to be a “governmental unit”—meaning it
could not file for relief under chapter 11—and a court would deem USPS
not to be a “municipality”—meaning it could not file for relief under
chapter 9. Therefore, legislation amending the Code would be required to
make USPS eligible for relief.

According to NBC, however, even if the Bankruptcy Code were amended
to allow USPS to file as a chapter 11 or 9 debtor, the Code would still not
currently authorize a bankruptcy court to discharge the ongoing statutory




112In the United Kingdom, The Postal Service Act 2011 sets out the minimum
requirements for Royal Mail. These are statutory and can only be amended with the
consent of Parliament. The United Kingdom’s Office of Communications (Ofcom) is an
independent public authority responsible for regulating Royal Mail and has put in place a
detailed monitoring regime focusing on efficiency, financial sustainability, competition and
consumers. Ofcom also defines quality of service standards and maintains the price caps
on certain types of letter mail.
113The European Union (EU) also mandates that its member states deliver mail 5 days a
week. E.U. Directive 97/67/EC (Dec. 15, 1997).
114A chapter 11 proceeding allows a debtor to adjust or reorganize its pre-bankruptcy
obligations to enable it to meet its adjusted obligations, operating expenses and capital
costs after it exits bankruptcy. A chapter 9 proceeding provides a municipal debtor the
ability to adjust unsustainable debt to continue providing public services to its citizens.
Only a “debtor,” defined as either a “person” or a “municipality,” may file for relief under
chapter 11 or chapter 9, respectively. See 11 U.S.C. § 101(13). A “person” is defined to
include corporations but to exclude “governmental units.” 11 U.S.C. § 101(41). A
“municipality” is defined as a political subdivision or public agency or instrumentality of a
State. 11 U.S.C. § 101(40).




Page 39                                                     GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                 obligations that have led to USPS’s current financial situation, 115 and
                 amending the Code to authorize such court action could raise
                 constitutional (separation of powers) concerns. Moreover, NBC noted the
                 bankruptcy process is designed to address obligations that have already
                 accrued, not to override or amend statutes that apply to a debtor’s post-
                 bankruptcy operations and obligations. In NBC’s opinion, because
                 USPS’s pension and health care obligations are imposed by statute
                 instead of by contract as in most bankruptcy reorganization proceedings,
                 the bankruptcy process is not an effective or appropriate mechanism to
                 address USPS’s obligations or potential transformation. NBC thus
                 concluded that “although the bankruptcy process and bankruptcy tools
                 raise interesting ideas for restructuring USPS’s existing and future
                 obligations…all roads for doing so lead back to Congress.”

Implementation   Any changes that Congress makes to USPS’s business model will take
Considerations   time to implement and will need to be reevaluated as market conditions
                 evolve. We have reported that fully implementing major transformations of
                 government agencies can take years, 116 and we also found that to be the
                 case for the selected domestic businesses and foreign posts noted in this
                 report, regardless of the changes needed. For example, railroads in the
                 Northeast, airlines, and automakers took many years to implement a
                 series of changes to their businesses. It took Germany more than a
                 decade to fully liberalize and then privatize its postal operator, and the
                 United Kingdom’s effort to privatize its postal operator took about 5 years.
                 All of these organizations continue to adapt as they address ongoing
                 challenges in a changing and highly competitive business environment.
                 For example, GM recently stated that years after exiting bankruptcy and
                 restoring profitability, it is closing some factories and focusing on
                 developing electric and self-driving cars. 117 Several freight railroads facing



                 115Statutes imposing USPS’s pension and health benefit obligations do not clearly
                 address who would be responsible for these obligations in the event USPS is unable to
                 pay them. In NBC’s view, other parts of the federal government would continue to be
                 obligated to pay current and former USPS employees and the shortfall would need to be
                 addressed either by appropriations, additional contributions to the funds from other federal
                 departments and agencies, or reduced benefits for all civil service employees who are
                 beneficiaries of those funds.
                 116GAO, Government Reorganization: Key Questions to Assess Agency Reform Efforts,
                 GAO-18-427 (Washington, D.C.: June 13, 2018).
                 117General Motors Company, 2018 Report on Form 10-K (Detroit, MI.: Feb. 6, 2019).




                 Page 40                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
a downturn in freight traffic have also decided to run longer trains less
frequently to reduce labor costs and increase efficiencies. 118

Similarly, changes in the use of postal services will continue for the
foreseeable future, necessitating continued adaptation. Some of the
countries we selected are anticipating the need to be prepared for
possible future changes. For example:

•   In August 2019, German government officials said they would
    consider reducing postal delivery frequency from 6 to 5 days a week
    as part of an ongoing review to adapt Germany’s 20-year old postal
    law to changing market conditions and customer demands.
•   In the United Kingdom, the postal regulator assessed postal users’
    needs in 2020 in light of the changes in the postal market and to
    prepare for its regulatory review, which is to be concluded by 2022.
•   A 2018 consultant’s report to the European Union (EU) recommended
    that the EU relax its universal service obligations to accommodate
    future changes in the postal market. 119 The EU is currently studying
    how postal users’ needs are changing to determine if it needs to
    change its framework to allow member states to change their
    definitions of universal service obligations.
•   In November 2019, the Australian government ordered a review of
    Australia Post’s long-term strategy to operate as a sustainable postal
    service provider, considering market conditions such as e-commerce,
    the regulatory environment and changes in business and consumer
    service needs.
•   The government of New Zealand is scheduled to revise its
    memorandum of understanding with New Zealand Post defining
    universal service obligations by 2021.




118For more information, see GAO, Rail Safety: Freight Trains are Getting Longer and
Additional Information Is Needed to Assess Their Impact, GAO-19-443 (Washington, D.C.:
May 30, 2019).
119Copenhagen Economics, Main Developments in the Postal Sector (2013-2016): Study
for the European Commission, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry,
Entrepreneurship and SMEs (Copenhagen, Denmark: July 2018).




Page 41                                                 GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                       PAEA required GAO to evaluate strategies and options for the long-term
GAO’s Calls for        structural and operational reform of USPS by December 2011. 120 As
Congressional Action   USPS continued to face financial challenges, we accelerated this
                       evaluation, which we issued in April 2010. 121 However, we found that
to Address USPS’s      USPS’s business model, which was to provide universal postal service
Solvency Remain        through self-supporting, business-like operations as an independent
Unaddressed            establishment of the executive branch, was not viable due to USPS’s
                       inability to reduce costs sufficiently to respond to continuing declines in
                       mail volume and revenue. In particular, we identified strategies to reduce
                       compensation and benefit costs, reduce other operations and network
                       costs, improve efficiency, and generate revenues through product and
                       pricing flexibility. We also stated that while USPS may be able to improve
                       its financial viability if it took more aggressive action to reduce costs, it
                       was unlikely that those actions alone would fully resolve USPS’s
                       problems unless Congress also took action.

                       Therefore, we stated that Congress should consider, among other things,
                       any and all options available to reduce USPS’s costs. While bills on these
                       issues were introduced and in some cases passed congressional
                       committees, postal reform legislation to address these considerations has
                       not been enacted. In addition, in our most recent update to our High Risk
                       List in 2019, we reiterated the basic elements of our 2010 matter for
                       congressional consideration by stating that Congress should consider
                       various options to better align USPS’s costs with its revenues. We stated
                       that Congress should consider addressing constraints and legal
                       restrictions that limit USPS’s ability to reduce costs and improve efficiency
                       through considering a comprehensive package of legislative actions. To
                       date, such a legislative package has not been enacted.

                       Furthermore, we reported in 2018 that the financial outlook for the Postal
                       Service’s Retiree Health Benefits Fund was poor, as USPS had not made
                       any payments into it since 2010. 122 OPM then forecasted the fund would
                       be depleted by 2030 if USPS continued to not make payments.
                       Therefore, we stated that Congress should consider passing legislation to
                       put postal retiree health benefits on a more sustainable financial footing.
                       However, legislation has not yet been enacted to address this issue.



                       120Pub. L. No. 109-435 § 710 (2006).

                       121GAO-10-455.

                       122GAO-18-602.




                       Page 42                                          GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                We have often reported over the past 10 years that USPS’s ability to take
Conclusions     actions taken under its current authority is insufficient to fully address its
                financial situation. Absent congressional action on critical foundational
                elements of the USPS business model, USPS’s mission and financial
                solvency are increasingly in peril. USPS’s growing difficulties to provide
                universal postal service in a financially self-sustaining matter provide
                Congress with the need to consider fundamental reform of the entire
                framework of postal services in the United States. In so doing, we
                continue to believe that as we stated in 2010, Congress should consider
                any and all available options. Comprehensive postal reform has not taken
                place in part because of the difficulty in obtaining compromise among
                various stakeholders with divergent views. Comprehensive, effective, and
                successful reform cannot occur until there is leadership and clarity
                around:

                •   what services should be provided,
                •   whether USPS is to be fully financially self-sustaining or the extent of
                    federal financial support, and
                •   what institutional structure best supports these changes.
                Congressional leadership is critical in transforming USPS because
                consensus on policy decisions involving value judgments, trade-offs, and
                effects on postal stakeholders will be difficult to achieve. In addressing
                these issues, while all stakeholders’ interests should be understood and
                taken into consideration, the fundamental needs of the nation must take
                precedence. Continued inaction will result in deepening financial
                problems—putting USPS’s mission to provide universal postal service at
                greater risk and minimizing the ability to make the most appropriate or
                sustainable policy decisions.

                We are making the following three matters for congressional
Matters for     consideration:
Congressional
                Congress should consider reassessing and determining the level of
Consideration   universal postal service the nation requires. (Matter for Consideration 1)

                Congress should consider determining the extent to which USPS should
                be financially self-sustaining and what changes to law would be
                appropriate to enable USPS to meet this goal. (Matter for Consideration
                2)




                Page 43                                          GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                     Congress should consider determining the most appropriate institutional
                     structure for USPS. (Matter for Consideration 3)

                     We provided a draft of this report to USPS and PRC. USPS and PRC
Agency Comments      provided written responses which are reproduced in appendixes IV and V,
and Our Evaluation   respectively.
                     In its response, USPS concurred with our first two matters to reassess
                     and determine the level of universal postal services the nation requires
                     and to determine the extent to which USPS should be financially self-
                     sustaining. USPS noted that the recent COVID-19 pandemic has both
                     highlighted USPS’s essential role in the nation’s infrastructure and has
                     caused a significant and sudden decline in mail volume, leading to a
                     short-term liquidity crisis. USPS stated that while action by Congress is
                     critical to ensure its ability to operate in the short-term, its financial
                     situation has long been unsustainable due to statutory and regulatory
                     structures that limit their ability to increase revenues and decrease costs.
                     USPS noted that these changes require Congress to adopt reforms to
                     secure USPS’s long-term financial viability. In addition, USPS concurred
                     with the National Bankruptcy Conference’s legal analysis that Federal
                     bankruptcy laws do not apply to USPS and that all roads for USPS
                     restructuring lead back to Congress.
                     USPS generally agreed with our third matter, stating that determining the
                     institutional structure could logically be a part of a comprehensive
                     congressional examination of its business model. USPS stated that it
                     does not believe that corporatization or privatization would unlock new
                     efficiency potential in USPS and that sustainable postal service does not
                     hinge on the provider’s institutional form. However, as we and USPS
                     have stated, its current legal and regulatory structure does not provide
                     flexibility in some key areas. While our report states that a corporate or
                     privatized institutional structure could provide both the flexibility and a
                     greater incentive to operate in a more business-like manner than USPS’s
                     current structure, we also recognize there are advantages and
                     disadvantages to any institutional structure. As a result, we are not
                     recommending any particular institutional structure for USPS, but are
                     urging that Congress identify what institutional structure could best deliver
                     the level of postal services at the level of financial sustainability that
                     Congress determines.
                     In its response, PRC agreed with all of our matters for congressional
                     consideration. Particularly, PRC noted that the matter to reassess and
                     determine the level of universal postal service the nation requires must be
                     addressed as soon as possible. The PRC noted that given USPS’s
                     severe and worsening financial situation (even before the impacts of the



                     Page 44                                         GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
current pandemic crisis), a clear and specific definition of universal postal
service and how that obligation can be funded must be provided. The
PRC stated that Congress may want to consider mandating that PRC
define and update the universal service definition by regulation.
Both USPS and PRC provided technical comments, which we
incorporated as appropriate.



We are sending copies of this report to the appropriate congressional
committees, the Postmaster General, the Chairman of PRC, and other
interested parties. In addition, the report will be available at no charge on
the GAO website at http://www.gao.gov.

If you or your staff have any questions about this report, please contact
me at (202) 512-2834 or rectanusl@gao.gov. Contact points for our
Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on
the last page of this report. GAO staff making key contributions to this
report are listed in appendix VI.




Lori Rectanus, Director
Physical Infrastructure Issues




Page 45                                          GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
              Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
              Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service


Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
              Bankruptcy Issues




Bankruptcy Issues




              Page 46                                      GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix I: Reprint of National Bankruptcy
Conference’s Report on U.S. Postal Service
Bankruptcy Issues




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Appendix II: Selected Legal Requirements      Appendix II: Selected Legal Requirements
                                              Applicable to the U.S. Postal Service (USPS)


Applicable to the U.S. Postal Service (USPS)


Citation(s)                               Legal requirements
Geographic scope of service               USPS is required to provide prompt, reliable, and efficient services to patrons in all areas,
39 U.S.C. §§ 101(a), 403(a)               render postal services to all communities, and serve as nearly as practicable the entire
                                          population of the United States. USPS is specifically required to receive, transmit, and deliver
                                          written and printed matter, parcels, and like matter throughout the United States, its territories
                                          and possessions, and pursuant to certain agreements, throughout the world.
Degree of service and post office         USPS is required to provide a maximum degree of effective and regular postal services to
closings                                  rural areas, communities, and small towns where post offices are not self-sustaining. No
39 U.S.C. §§ 101(b), 404(d); 39 C.F.R.    small post office can be closed solely for operating at a deficit, it being the specific intent of
§ 241.3                                   the Congress that effective postal services be insured to residents of both urban and rural
                                          communities. Statutory and regulatory requirements specify the process and criteria for post
                                          office closings, including appellate review by the Postal Regulatory Commission (PRC).
Mail delivery quality and frequency       In determining all policies for postal services, USPS is required to give the highest
39 U.S.C. § 101(e),(f); see, e.g., Pub.   consideration to the requirement for the most expeditious collection, transportation, and
L. 116-6, 133 Stat. 180 (2019)            delivery of important letter mail. In selecting modes of transportation, USPS is required to
                                          give the highest consideration to the prompt and economical delivery of all mail.

                                          For many years, provisions in annual appropriations acts have stated “[t]hat 6-day delivery
                                          and rural delivery of mail shall continue at not less than the 1983 level.”
Service standards                         USPS is required to establish modern service standards for each market-dominant product
39 U.S.C. § 3691, 39 C.F.R. Pt. 121       (e.g., delivery of First-Class Mail within the continental United States in 2-3 delivery days);
                                          these service standards are defined in the Code of Federal Regulations.
Letter mail monopoly                      USPS’s letter delivery monopoly is codified in criminal and civil laws known as the Private
18 U.S.C. §§ 1693-99; 39 U.S.C. §§        Express Statutes. These laws generally prohibit anyone from establishing, operating, or using
601-06                                    a private company to carry letters for compensation on regular trips or at stated periods over
                                          postal routes or between places where mail regularly is carried.
Mailbox monopoly                          Restricts access to mailboxes by prohibiting anyone from knowingly and willingly placing
18 U.S.C. § 1725                          mailable matter without postage in any mailbox, providing USPS exclusive access to
                                          mailboxes.
Collective bargaining                     USPS negotiates collective bargaining agreements with its labor unions. If the parties are
39 U.S.C. §§1004,1206-07                  unable to reach an agreement, binding arbitration by a third-party panel will ultimately be
                                          used to establish agreement. USPS is also required to consult with postal supervisory and
                                          managerial organizations concerning changes in pay, benefits, and other programs that affect
                                          their membership.
Benefit programs                          USPS is required to participate in federal pension and health benefit programs, with specific
39 U.S.C. § 1005; 5 U.S.C. §§             provisions regarding the required level of USPS’s funding of these programs. For example,
8348(h), 8423, 8909a                      USPS is required to prefund both postal pension benefits and postal retiree health benefits,
                                          each with payments that fully cover USPS’s share of future benefit costs.
Level of benefits                         The law requires USPS’s fringe benefits to be at least as favorable as those in effect when
39 U.S.C. § 1005(f)                       the Postal Reorganization Act of 1970 was enacted, unless variation of benefits is collectively
                                          bargained.
Comparability                             Compensation for USPS officers and employees is required to be comparable to the rates
39 U.S.C. §§ 101(c), 1003(a)              and types of compensation paid in the private sector of the U.S. economy. USPS policy also
                                          is required to maintain compensation and benefits for all officers and employees on a
                                          standard of comparability to comparable levels of work in the private sector.
Workers’ compensation                     USPS is required to participate in the federal workers’ compensation program, which covers
39 U.S.C. § 1005(c)                       postal and other federal employees and provides compensation to federal employees, as well
                                          as dependents, in the event of an employee’s death.



                                              Page 70                                                     GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                                                                 Appendix II: Selected Legal Requirements
                                                                 Applicable to the U.S. Postal Service (USPS)




 Citation(s)                                               Legal requirements
 Access to facilities                                      USPS is required to establish and maintain postal facilities of such character and in such
 39 U.S.C. § 403(b)                                        locations, that postal patrons throughout the Nation will, consistent with reasonable
                                                           economies of postal operations, have ready access to essential postal services.
 Appropriations restrictions             Generally, annual appropriations prohibit USPS from using funding to consolidate or close
 See, e.g., Pub. L. 116-6, 133 Stat. 180 small rural or other small post offices.
 (2019)
 Processing/logistics facilities         The law requires USPS to provide public information and opportunities for public input and
 Pub. L. 109–435 § 302(c)(5), (2006),    comment before closing or consolidating any mail processing or logistics facilities, and take
 120 Stat. 3219, codified at 39 U.S.C. § comments into account when making a final decision.
 3691 note
 Price cap                                                 An inflation-based price cap generally limits rate increases for market-dominant products,
 39 U.S.C. § 3622(d)                                       including First-Class Mail, USPS Marketing Mail, Periodicals and Package Services such as
                                                           Bound Printed Matter, Media Mail, and Library Mail.
 PRC review                                                The PRC, an independent establishment of the executive branch, must review USPS
 39 U.S.C. §§ 501, 3661, 3622                              proposals to change domestic postal rates and fees.
 Advisory opinions                                         Whenever USPS proposes a change in the nature of postal services that will have an effect
 39 U.S.C. § 3661                                          on a substantially nationwide basis, it must request an advisory opinion from the PRC on the
                                                           proposal.
 Debt limits                                               USPS has the authority to borrow up to $15 billion from the U.S. Treasury. The annual net
 39 U.S.C. § 2005                                          increase of obligations for capital improvements and defraying operating expenses is limited
                                                           to $3 billion.
 Restriction on nonpostal lines of                         USPS is limited to providing nonpostal services to those offered as of January 1, 2006 that
 business                                                  PRC has authorized USPS to continue. Nonpostal service is defined to mean any service that
 39 U.S.C. §§ 404(e), 102(5)                               is not a postal service. A postal service is defined as the delivery of letters, printed matter, or
                                                           mailable packages, including acceptance, collection, sorting, transportation, or other function
                                                           ancillary thereto.
 Investment of postal retiree funds                        Funds set aside for postal pensions and retiree health benefits are required by law to be
 5 U.S.C. §§ 8348(c), 8909a(c)                             invested in U.S. Treasury securities.

Sources: GAO analysis of selected statutes and regulations. | GAO-20-385

                                                                 Note: GAO identified the selected legal requirements based on past GAO work. Additionally, USPS is
                                                                 not subject to many federal laws that other federal agencies may be subject to dealing with public or
                                                                 federal contracts, property, works, officers, employees, budgets, or funds. 39 U.S.C. § 410(a).
                                                                 However, USPS is required to comply with specific laws that relate to federal purchases of products
                                                                 and services, such as the Davis-Bacon Act. Under the Davis-Bacon Act, USPS’s contracts for public
                                                                 buildings and public works in a given local area worth more than $2,000 must require the contractors
                                                                 involved to pay all the laborers and mechanics they employ on those contracts the prevailing wage for
                                                                 that area, as calculated by the U.S. Department of Labor. See 40 U.S.C. §§ 3141-3147; 39 U.S.C. §
                                                                 410(b)(4)(A).




                                                                 Page 71                                                        GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix III: U.S. Postal Service Financial
                               Appendix III: U.S. Postal Service Financial
                               Information for Fiscal Years 1972 through 2019


Information for Fiscal Years 1972 through
2019

Dollars in millions
Fiscal year           Net income (loss)            Total revenues               Total expenses                   Debt
1972                             $-175                      $9,354                      $9,529                   $250
1973                                -13                      9,931                       9,944                    250
1974                              -438                      10,875                      11,314                    765
1975                              -989                      11,662                      12,650                   1,783
1976                             -1,176                     12,915                      14,090                   3,030
1976 TQa                            15                       3,462                       3,446                   3,530
1977                              -688                      14,842                      15,530                   2,468
1978                              -379                      16,031                      16,410                   2,405
1979                               470                      18,174                      17,705                   1,888
1980                              -306                      19,253                      19,559                   1,841
1981                              -588                      21,874                      22,462                   1,608
1982                               802                      23,727                      22,925                   1,536
1983                               616                      24,789                      24,173                   1,464
1984                               117                      26,557                      26,440                   1,465
1985                              -251                      29,016                      29,267                   2,075
1986                               305                      31,135                      30,830                   3,234
1987                              -223                      32,505                      32,728                   4,728
1988                              -597                      35,939                      36,536                   5,880
1989                                61                      38,920                      38,859                   6,476
1990                              -874                      40,075                      40,948                   6,971
1991                             -1,469                     44,202                      45,671                   8,440
1992                              -537                      47,105                      47,642                   9,924
1993                             -1,765                     47,986                      49,751                   9,748
1994                              -914                      49,577                      50,490                   8,988
1995                             1,770                      54,509                      52,739                   7,280
1996                             1,567                      56,544                      54,977                   5,919
1997                             1,264                      58,331                      57,067                   5,872
1998                               550                      60,116                      59,566                   6,421
1999                               363                      62,755                      62,392                   6,917
2000                              -199                      64,581                      64,780                   9,316
2001                             -1,680                     65,869                      67,549                  11,315
2002                              -676                      66,688                      67,364                  11,115
2003                             3,868                      68,764                      64,896                   7,273
2004                             3,065                      69,029                      65,964                   1,800




                               Page 72                                                   GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
                                                             Appendix III: U.S. Postal Service Financial
                                                             Information for Fiscal Years 1972 through 2019




 Dollars in millions
 Fiscal year                                        Net income (loss)             Total revenues                Total expenses                            Debt
 2005                                                          1,445                        69,993                        68,548                              0
 2006                                                             900                       72,817                        71,917                          2,100
 2007                                                          -5,142                       74,973                        80,115                          4,200
 2008                                                          -2,806                       74,968                        77,774                          7,200
 2009                                                          -3,794                       68,116                        71,910                        10,200
 2010                                                          -8,505                       67,077                        75,582                        12,000
 2011                                                          -5,067                       65,739                        70,806                        13,000
 2012                                                         -15,906                       65,248                        81,154                        15,000
 2013                                                          -4,977                       67,342                        72,319                        15,000
 2014                                                          -5,508                       67,854                        73,362                        15,000
 2015                                                          -5,060                       68,951                        74,011                        15,000
 2016                                                          -5,591                       71,530                        77,121                        15,000
 2017                                                          -2,742                       69,694                        72,436                        15,000
 2018                                                          -3,913                       70,783                        74,696                        13,200
 2019                                                          -8,813                       71,306                        80,119                        11,200
Source: U.S. Postal Service reports. | GAO-20-385
                                                             a
                                                              1976 TQ represents transition quarter, a period beginning July 1, 1976, and ending September 30,
                                                             1976. In a change taking effect October 1, 1976, the U.S. government changed its fiscal year from a
                                                             period ending June 30 to a period beginning each October 1 and ending the following September 30.




                                                             Page 73                                                        GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix IV: Comments from the U.S. Postal
              Appendix IV: Comments from the U.S. Postal
              Service


Service




              Page 74                                      GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix IV: Comments from the U.S. Postal
Service




Page 75                                      GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix IV: Comments from the U.S. Postal
Service




Page 76                                      GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix V: Comments from the Postal
             Appendix V: Comments from the Postal
             Regulatory Commission


Regulatory Commission




             Page 77                                GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix V: Comments from the Postal
Regulatory Commission




Page 78                                GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
Appendix VI: GAO Contact and Staff
                  Appendix VI: GAO Contact and Staff
                  Acknowledgments


Acknowledgments

                  Lori Rectanus, (202) 512-2834 or rectanusl@gao.gov.
GAO Contact
                  In addition to the individual named above, Derrick Collins (Assistant
Staff             Director); Greg Hanna (Analyst-in-Charge); Amy Abramowitz; Kenneth
Acknowledgments   John; Hannah Laufe; Serena Lo; Michael Mgebroff; Joshua Ormond;
                  Joshua Parr; Susan Sawtelle; Crystal Wesco; and Laurel Voloder made
                  key contributions to this report.




(103068)
                  Page 79                                      GAO-20-385 USPS Transformation
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