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Catching Up and Coping in the COVID Economy — Safety Net Program Expansions, American Voices Project

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Journal article titled Catching Up and Coping in the COVID Economy. Its abstract says the authors assess the utility of the American Voices Project in supplementing more traditional sources of labor market data, exploring the effects of safety net program expansions on household financial stability and labor force participation during the COVID-19 pandemic. It reports that employment loss was sometimes associated with declines in financial well-being despite the expanded safety net, and that the authors find little evidence of the programs disincentivizing work. The keywords are American Voices Project, pandemic labor market, unemployment insurance benefits, mental well-being, gig work.

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“Catching Up and Coping in the COVID Economy — Safety Net Program Expansions, American Voices Project.” Original at doi.org. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/catching-up-and-coping-in-the-covid-economy/, SHA-256 01f05aba7d873a446ac6ab1d3f480ac682e70e8956668109944c0da2ddbcdbea.

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Catching Up and Coping in the
COVID Economy
K y le Fee, Sl oa n e K a iser, a n d K ei t h Wa r dr ip




In this article, we assess the utility of the American Voices Project in supplementing more traditional sources
of labor market data. To do so, we explore the effects of safety net program expansions on household finan-
cial stability and labor force participation during the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that despite the ex-
panded safety net, employment loss was sometimes associated with declines in financial well-­being. We find
little evidence of the programs disincentivizing work, however. Pandemic relief programs helped cover es-
sential living expenses, but implementation challenges muted their effects for some. Connections between
employment loss and declines in mental well-­being, as well as both the vulnerability and importance of gig
work, emerged as prominent, if unexpected, themes. Our analysis suggests that, with improvements, an on-
going, large-­scale qualitative data collection effort could be an invaluable asset in monitoring labor market
conditions in low-­income communities.

Keywords: American Voices Project, pandemic labor market, unemployment insurance benefits,
mental well-­being, gig work


The first known case of COVID-19 reached                 on a series of efforts to mitigate the economic
American shores in January 2020 (Centers for             harm to workers and the households they sup-
Disease Control and Prevention 2022), and by             ported as the country entered recession.
mid-­March, the disease had set in motion both              The economic impacts of the COVID-19 re-
a public health epidemic and an economic re-             cession and subsequent policy responses to
cession. Many of those who were spared from              mitigate those impacts fed competing narra-
the worst effects of the former were subjected           tives about how expanded safety net programs
to the widespread impacts of the latter. In the          impacted the financial stability and labor mar-
weeks and months following the onset of the              ket decisions of low-­income households. Arti-
pandemic, the federal government embarked                cles and editorials in the popular press debated

Kyle Fee is policy advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, United States. Sloane Kaiser is community
engagement associate at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, United States. Keith Wardrip is senior com-
munity development research manager and advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, United States.

© 2024 Russell Sage Foundation. Fee, Kyle, Sloane Kaiser, and Keith Wardrip. 2024. “Catching Up and Coping
in the COVID Economy.” RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences 10(4): 34–59. https://
doi.org/10.7758/RSF.2024.10.4.02. We thank Dr. Rosemary Frasso at Thomas Jefferson University for her meth-
odological guidance. The views expressed here are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the
views of the Federal Reserve Banks of Cleveland or Philadelphia or the Federal Reserve System. Direct corre-
spondence to: Kyle Fee, at kyle.d.fee@clev.frb.org, 1455 East 6th Street, Cleveland, OH 44114, United States.

Open Access Policy: RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences is an open access journal.
This article is published under a Creative Commons Attribution-­NonCommercial-­NoDerivs 3.0 Unported Li-
cense.
                       catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                    35


whether expanded unemployment benefits re-              affected the employment or job-­search behav-
duced worker participation in the labor force           iors of beneficiaries?
(Mulligan and Moore 2020; Iacurci 2021), or                The AVP interviews in our sample offer a nu-
whether the missing workers were absent due             anced understanding of how low-­income
to other COVID-­related factors, such as fear of        households were experiencing and responding
disease, school closures, or retirements                to pandemic-­induced economic shocks. Con-
(Chaney Cambon and Dougherty 2021). The                 sistent with prior research, we find that for
perception that unemployment benefits were              many low-­income households, the pandemic
keeping workers on the sidelines of the labor           and recession led to a loss of employment that
market were among the reasons that roughly              took many forms, from a slight reduction in
half of the states ended certain benefits prior         hours to a permanent layoff. However, the
to their federal expiration (Whittaker and              depth and prevalence of related financial hard-
Isaacs 2021). Simultaneously, research and pub-         ships described in the interviews challenge the
lic opinion, although not necessarily contradic-        broader notion of households on firm financial
tory, were not always aligned on these topics           footing, propped up by pandemic relief pro-
and at times conveyed varying levels of impact;         grams and disincentivized to return to work.
as an example, Economic Impact Payments                 Instead, interviewees’ experiences with acute
(EIPs) and the refundable child tax credit lifted       financial difficulties during the pandemic were
more than fourteen million people out of pov-           more aligned with quantitative research high-
erty in 2021 (Creamer et al. 2022), but the major-      lighting the financial distress that persisted de-
ity of recipients responding to one survey be-          spite these programs. Some interviewees de-
lieved the funds helped them only “a little”            scribed how pandemic relief funds, when
(Marist Institute for Public Opinion 2021).             delivered, and gig work activities, when not dis-
    With these competing narratives as back-            rupted by the pandemic, were paramount to
drop, we aimed to assess the potential of the           covering essential living expenses. Interviewees
American Voices Project (AVP) as an instrument          also highlighted the important connections be-
for collecting policy-­relevant labor market in-        tween mental well-­being and financial stability
formation that could supplement conventional            as they described heightened levels of stress,
survey and administrative data. As a first-­of-­its-­   worry, and anxiety about making ends meet
kind data collection effort involving immersive         during the pandemic.
interviews with more than two thousand                     We view our analysis as a test-­drive of sorts
households across the United States, we won-            for how a data set such as the AVP could be
dered whether the AVP as designed and exe-              used to contribute to policy-­relevant research
cuted could deliver the breadth and depth of            in the future. When we compare our findings
qualitative data necessary to enrich, validate,         with the literature, we consider none to be
or challenge conclusions reached with quanti-           wholly novel. That is, research preceding ours
tative data while providing additional nuance           and reviewed in this article also finds evidence
around the complex decisions income-­                   of household-­level financial distress and the
constrained households made during this pe-             problematic deployment of unemployment
riod. To assess the AVP’s ability to do so, we          benefits during the pandemic, for example.
leverage seventy-­six interviews conducted be-          However, the alignment between our findings
tween the fall of 2020 and the summer of 2021,          and prior, mostly quantitative, work does not
focusing on low-­income households most                 render AVP data redundant or superfluous. In-
likely to be in the labor force and benefit from        stead, it is a testament to its validity. This arti-
pandemic relief programs. We structured our             cle also deepens our understanding of the pan-
exploration of the AVP data set around these            demic economy at the household level, giving
policy-­relevant research questions: How did in-        robust insight into experiences that might oth-
terviewees experiencing negative employment             erwise be masked by averages and aggregate
effects describe the role that safety net pro-          statistics. We conclude that with some im-
grams played in stabilizing household fi-               provements a generic, immersive-­interviewing
nances? Is there evidence that these programs           platform such as the AVP could serve as a valu-


           r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
36                               building a n open qua li tat i v e science

able complement to the existing and emerging                    creased, although at year end, they would
quantitative infrastructure in monitoring eco-                  remain above and below pre-­pandemic levels,
nomic conditions in low-­income communities.                    respectively.2

B ac kg r o u n d                                               The Federal Safety Net
The COVID-19 pandemic was an unprece-                           Acting quickly to support dislocated workers,
dented shock to the U.S. economy.                               the federal government created and enhanced
                                                                a number of programs to blunt the economic
Employment Disruption for                                       effects of the pandemic and associated reces-
Low-­Income Households                                          sion, including a major expansion of the unem-
Over two months in the spring of 2020, non-                     ployment insurance (UI) system. Passed in
farm payroll employment declined by almost                      March 2020, the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and
22 million jobs, roughly 17.million workers be-                 Economic Security (CARES) Act and subse-
came unemployed, and the unemployment                           quent legislation modified the UI system along
rate increased from 3.5 percent to 14.8 percent.1               three dimensions to amplify its generosity and
Employment losses were concentrated in in-                      reach: benefit levels were increased; eligibility
dustries that relied on face-­to-­face interaction              was expanded; and duration was extended. Be-
and services and, due in part to their higher                   tween April and July 2020, UI claimants re-
representation in susceptible industries, His-                  ceived a supplement of $600 in addition to their
panic and Black, younger, and lower-­income                     regular benefits through the Federal Pandemic
workers, as well as workers with less formal ed-                Unemployment Compensation program; the
ucation, were more likely than others to experi-                supplement expired and in January 2021 was
ence job loss (FRB 2021; Despard et al. 2020;                   replaced by a $300 top-­up. Further, through the
Karpman et al. 2020; Wardrip 2021; Cortes and                   Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA)
Forsythe 2021; Horowitz, Brown, and Minkin                      program, eligibility was extended to those not
2021; Bartik et al. 2020; Bell et al. 2020), which              generally covered by the UI system, including
took the form of reduced hours, the elimina-                    self-­employed workers, gig and contract work-
tion of a position, and the loss of self-­                      ers, and those with a limited work history. Fi-
employment (FRB 2020; FRB 2021; Horowitz,                       nally, the duration of benefits was extended
Brown, and Minkin 2021).                                        through the Pandemic Emergency Unemploy-
   The COVID-19 recession arrived quickly but                   ment Compensation program; with the excep-
lasted only two months, March through April                     tion of the five-­month lapse and subsequent
of 2020 (NBER 2023). The early recovery was                     reduction of the supplement, these programs
characterized by the recall of workers from                     extended benefits through early September
temporary layoff and a subsequent rapid re-                     2021 (BEA 2021). However, roughly half of the
bound in overall employment levels (Wolcott                     states terminated their participation in one or
et al. 2020; Forsythe et al. 2020). The economic                all of these programs in June or July 2021 for
disruption proved to be longer lasting for                      numerous reasons, including concern that pro-
some, however, given that only about half of the                grams were keeping potential workers out of
adults laid off because of the pandemic had re-                 the labor force and in light of the growing num-
turned or expected to return to their former job                ber of job openings (Whittaker and Isaacs
as of late 2020 (FRB 2021) and certain groups of                2021).
workers (such as low-­wage workers, Black work-                     The $600 supplement available to UI recipi-
ers) were less likely to regain employment than                 ents in mid-­2020 was designed to replace the
others (Cortes and Forsythe 2021; Bartik et al.                 earnings of the average worker (Bartik et al.
2020). The broader economic recovery contin-                    2020), but because pandemic job losses were
ued into 2021 as unemployment steadily de-                      concentrated in low-­wage industries, the “re-
clined and payroll employment gradually in-                     placement rate” (share of prior earnings re-

1. Authors’ analysis of data from BLS (n.d.-­a, n.d.-­b, n.d.-­c).

2. Authors’ analysis of data from BLS (n.d.-­a, n.d.-­b).



            r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
                     catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                37


placed by benefits) for many UI recipients ex-      or months (DOL 2021). The rollout of the PUA
ceeded 100 percent. In fact, workers with the       program was notably problematic. Most states
lowest wages were eligible for benefits that        took more than thirty days to implement the
would have doubled their prior earnings, and        program (DOL 2021), payments were subject to
the median replacement rate was estimated to        long delays (Greig et al. 2021), and some states
be 145 percent (Ganong et al. 2020). A survey       initially paid recipients the minimum allow-
conducted in July 2020 suggests that among          able benefit in order to expedite payments,
low-­income households that received UI ben-        with the expectation that recipients would be
efits, the vast majority reported that their in-    made whole retroactively (GAO 2020b).
come was higher than (56 percent) or about the          Compounding their administrative and op-
same as (27 percent) their pre-­layoff earnings     erational challenges, the UI programs did not
(FRB 2020). The expiration of the $600 supple-      provide relief equitably, cushioning the loss of
ment in the summer of 2020 lowered the me-          earnings for some groups of workers more than
dian replacement rate below 50 percent until        for others. UI receipt varied dramatically—but
the smaller $300 supplement was implemented         not randomly—by state, as pandemic-­era ac-
in January 2021, raising the replacement rate       cess to benefits was associated with the states’
again above 100 percent for the lowest-­earning     UI policies and pre-­pandemic coverage levels
half of dislocated workers (Cortes and Forsythe     (Bell et al. 2021; Carey et al. 2021; Forsythe and
2021).                                              Yang 2021). Among those who applied for UI
    The apparent generosity of expanded and         benefits through the end of 2020, Black and
enhanced UI benefits must be considered             Hispanic workers, younger workers, workers
alongside the ability of those experiencing job     from lower-­income households, and workers
loss to access them. An analysis of Department      with less formal education were less likely to
of Labor data shows that only 28 percent of un-     receive them (Carey et al. 2021). The lower re-
employed workers received regular UI benefits       cipiency rate for PUA-­eligible individuals also
in 2019; at least in part due to the longer dura-   likely disproportionately affected low-­wage
tion of benefits permitted during the pan-          workers (Forsythe 2023).
demic, this share rose to 78 percent in 2020,           In addition to UI benefits that directly tar-
even before factoring in the PUA program that       geted workers displaced by the pandemic, the
expanded eligibility (Ganong et al. 2022). A sim-   federal government also approved more
ulation combining publicly available data to es-    broadly targeted direct cash transfers. Between
timate individual eligibility with administrative   March 2020 and March 2021, Congress ap-
data on actual payments suggests that the vast      proved three rounds of EIPs ranging from
majority of those eligible for UI benefits re-      $1,200 to $2,800 for each married couple and
ceived them, although the recipiency rate for       from $500 to $1,400 for each dependent child.
the PUA program (76 percent) appears to have        Payments began phasing out for couples with
been lower than for standard UI (98 percent)        an adjusted gross income of more than
(Forsythe 2023). Survey data tell a less optimis-   $150,000. Married parents earning less than
tic story. Self-­reported receipt of UI benefits    $150,000 and supporting two children would
among seemingly eligible workers was a much         have been eligible for a total of $11,400 (Trea-
lower 36 percent, although benefit receipt in       sury n.d.). Relative to the UI programs, the dis-
survey data is known to be underestimated           bursement of EIPs went smoothly, relying as it
(Forsythe and Yang 2021). Among those who ap-       did on information contained in previously
plied for UI benefits between March and De-         filed federal tax returns. However, an assess-
cember 2020, roughly three-­quarters (77 per-       ment of the first round of EIPs found that
cent) reported being successful (Carey et al.       nearly nine million eligible individuals had not
2021), but even successful applicants may have      received their funds several months after dis-
experienced delays in the delivery of their ben-    bursement began, many because their low level
efits (Bitler et al. 2020) because some state UI    of income did not require them to file a tax re-
offices were suffering from well-­documented        turn. The assessment also uncovered issues re-
backlogs in processing claims stretching weeks      lated to underpayment as well as problems


          r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
38                          building a n open qua li tat i v e science

with the distribution of prepaid debit cards for      Horowitz, Brown, and Minkin 2021). In addi-
recipients with no bank account information           tion to helping cover typical expenses, the re-
on file (GAO 2020a). A survey conducted in May        ceipt of both EIPs and UI benefits led to spend-
2020 indicated that, relative to higher-­income       ing increases for low-­income households
and White respondents, individuals living be-         (Chetty et al. 2020; Chetty, Friedman, and
low the poverty line and Black and Hispanic           Stepner 2021; Greig, Deadman, and Noel 2021).
individuals were less likely to receive the initial   Account balances declined more quickly for un-
EIP (Holtzblatt and Karpman 2020). Additional         employed, younger, and lower-­income account
analyses of bank account and survey data sug-         holders than for their counterparts, however
gest that individuals with lower balances and         (Farrell et al. 2020; Greig, Deadman, and Noel
lower incomes were less likely to receive an EIP      2021). A study using checking account data
than those with greater resources (Ratcliffe et       shows that the lowest-­income account holders
al. 2023).                                            had the highest percent increase in account
                                                      balances (65 percent) in December 2021 relative
Mixed Signals on Household                            to 2019 levels, but given their low starting
Financial Stability                                   points, this amounted to an increase of only
In the aggregate, the UI and EIP programs kept        around $500 (Greig, Deadman, and Sonthalia
millions out of poverty, particularly in the early    2022).
months of the pandemic (Han, Meyer, and Sul-             Given the dramatic level of job loss and the
livan 2020; Parolin et al. 2020), and the UI pro-     temporary and episodic nature of the UI pro-
gram alone lowered the official count of the im-      grams and EIP disbursement, to say nothing of
poverished by 4.7 million in 2020 (Chen and           the noted challenges with their administration,
Shrider 2021). Both safety net programs contin-       improvements in aggregate measures of well-­
ued to lift millions above the poverty threshold      being mask a fair amount of heterogeneity. In
into 2021 (Creamer et al. 2022), a year in which      spite of the safety net programs, those who lost
self-­reported financial well-­being reached its      employment were much more likely than those
highest level in a national survey begun in 2013      who had not been laid off to struggle covering
(FRB 2022). Further, those making less than           their expenses (FRB 2021; Holzer, Hubbard, and
$30,000 annually saw a two percentage-­point          Strain 2021; Despard et al. 2020; Dua et al. 2021),
improvement in their financial health between         with higher levels of financial distress observed
2020 and 2021 (Dunn et al. 2021). There is a vast     both for those with lower levels of education
body of evidence suggesting that those who re-        and for Black and Hispanic adults (Dunn et al.
ceived UI benefits had an economic advantage          2021; FRB 2021). Financial stressors included
over those who applied for but did not receive        difficulty covering food costs, medical ex-
such benefits (FRB 2020; Carey et al. 2021; Dunn      penses, and housing payments (Bitler et al.
et al. 2021); similar findings are associated with    2020; Dua et al. 2021; Despard et al. 2020; GAO
the receipt of EIPs (Dunn et al. 2021; Karpman        2020b; Karpman et al. 2020). Of note, according
and Acs 2020).                                        to a survey administered in early 2021, even
    Evidence is clear that both EIPs and UI ben-      among those using UI benefits to cover spend-
efits provided needed financial support and           ing needs, nearly one-­third had a very difficult
promoted general economic security for those          time meeting usual household expenses, and
who received them (Whittaker and Isaacs 2022),        nearly one-­quarter of those also receiving SNAP
with the benefits accruing to some types of           benefits occasionally experienced food insecu-
households more than others. EIPs dispropor-          rity (Mohanty 2021). A reliance on earnings
tionately supported the spending needs of             rather than benefits was far from a guarantee
lower-­income and unemployed households (Ar-          of financial stability, given that about half of
mantier et al. 2021; Boutros 2020), as well as        those who experienced a pay cut after February
those living paycheck to paycheck, those with         2020 reported earning less money in early 2021
lower account balances and liquid wealth, and         than before the pandemic (Horowitz, Brown,
Black and Hispanic adults (Karger and Rajan           and Minkin 2021).
2021; Baker et al. 2020; Parker et al. 2021, 2022;       Low-­income households facing economic


          r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
                      catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                   39


distress discussed a variety of coping strate-        than the ending of the $300 supplement; this
gies, including increased indebtedness, a re-         effect is characterized as being toward the
duction in spending, and the depletion of sav-        lower end of what historical research on UI
ings (Mattingly et al. 2021; Karpman et al. 2020).    would suggest (Coombs et al. 2022). Other stud-
Some adults who experienced income volatility         ies using a traditional labor market survey also
turned to gig work, a strategy that may have          find employment increases in states that ended
been only partially effective in smoothing earn-      the $300 supplement early (Arbogast and Du-
ings during the pandemic (FRB 2021; Liu 2020),        por 2023; Holzer, Hubbard, and Strain 2021).
but one that may have filled a desire to work         With a few exceptions, the research generally
and, in some cases, to receive income more            suggests that even though the expansion of UI
quickly than UI claims could be processed (Rav-       benefits had measurable impacts on the pro-
enelle, Kowalski, and Janko 2021).                    pensity to seek work, the impacts were rela-
                                                      tively small (Ganong et al. 2022). The temporary
The Work Disincentives Debate                         nature of the pandemic-­era supplements, the
As discussed, whether and the extent to which         difficulty finding a job during a recession, and
workers opted out of the labor force in favor of      the prevalence of workers being recalled after
enhanced UI benefits was a contested topic in         a temporary layoff are offered as explanations
the popular press, and it received a substantial      for the relatively small employment effects as-
amount of attention from the research commu-          sociated with both supplements (Ganong et al.
nity. The evidence is mixed.                          2023), alongside health risks during the pan-
    Focusing on the effects of the $600 supple-       demic and the closure of schools and daycares
ment, analyses of small business payroll data         (Ganong et al. 2022).
suggest that differences in states’ replacement           Workers themselves also shed light on the
rates had little to no effect on a worker’s likeli-   degree to which UI benefits and EIP receipt af-
hood of remaining unemployed or returning to          fected their decision to rejoin or remain in the
work (Bartik et al. 2020; Finamor and Scott           labor force. In nationwide focus groups, non-
2021). Likewise, states’ relative replacement         college workers generally suggested that sup-
rates were not found to be associated with job        port from these programs did not allow them
growth after the supplement ended (Dube               to stop seeking employment altogether but, in
2021). Although one study suggests that the           some cases, gave them the flexibility to find
$600 supplement had a larger effect on job ap-        better-­paying work instead of accepting the
plication activity (Marinescu, Skandalis, and         first offer (Miller et al. 2023). In a survey admin-
Zhao 2021), the effect on recipients’ job-­finding    istered to employees of small businesses in
rates seems to have been only small to moder-         mid-­2020, only 7 percent of those negatively af-
ate (Ganong et al. 2023; Petrosky-­Nadeau and         fected by COVID said they would not look for
Valletta 2023).                                       work because it was not financially necessary
    The decision made by some governors to            to do so (Bartik et al. 2020). Another survey ex-
end the $300 supplement in mid-­2021 prior to         ploring the first round of EIPs found that the
its federal expiration provided another oppor-        payments would not affect the labor force activ-
tunity to test whether enhanced UI benefits           ity of the vast majority of respondents. Among
were affecting workers’ decision to participate       unemployed respondents, more suggested they
in the labor force. When states announced             would begin looking for a job or put more effort
their intention to end the benefit early, their       into their existing search after receiving an EIP
share of national online job postings clicks in-      than said an EIP would reduce their job-­search
creased measurably but fleetingly (Kolko 2021).       activity (Coibion, Gorodnichenko, and Weber
Comparing workers’ behavior in states that            2020). Finally, in response to a survey adminis-
withdrew with those in states that retained the       tered in mid-­2021, unemployed noncollege
supplement, an analysis of bank transaction           workers who were not urgently searching for a
data finds a modest increase in the job-­finding      job suggested that the fear of contracting
rate of workers in the former but attributes the      COVID was the primary reason for their lack of
finding to the exhaustion of UI benefits rather       urgency. For these workers, the three most im-


          r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
40                          building a n open qua li tat i v e science

portant milestones that would encourage a re-         Data
turn to work were the availability of more job        In this analysis, we rely exclusively on AVP in-
opportunities, increased vaccinations, and UI         terview transcripts. The AVP was a large-­scale,
benefits or savings running out, in that order        qualitative data collection effort involving a
(Bunker 2021).                                        representative sample of American households
   Existing research leaves no room for doubt         and led by the Stanford Center on Poverty and
that lower-­wage and noncollege workers bore          Inequality. The interview protocol included
the brunt of the employment disruptions as-           roughly two hundred questions spanning a
sociated with COVID-19 pandemic and reces-            wide range of topics such as life history, family,
sion. Aggregate statistics indicate that the rela-    daily routines, and health; detailed demo-
tively generous expansion of UI benefits and          graphic information was collected for each
the distribution of EIPs fortified household bal-     household member, as were data on living
ance sheets in the wake of this employment            costs, income, and program participation, in-
shock, but there is also evidence that certain        cluding the receipt of UI benefits. The inter-
groups faced unequal access to these resources        views, which were conducted by current college
and persistent economic hardship. Comple-             students or college graduates who received in-
menting more traditional sources of survey and        tensive training in qualitative interviewing,
administrative data, the AVP offers a new             lasted an average of 2.2 hours, and interviewees
source of in-­depth information collected di-         were compensated anywhere from $60 to $145
rectly from scores of low-­income households          for their time (Stanford Center on Poverty and
who shared their stories during this tumultu-         Inequality 2021). In total, more than 2,700 in-
ous period. As a first-­of-­its-­kind, large-­scale   terviews were conducted between July 2019 and
immersive-­interviewing platform, we assess the       August 2021, with those prior to the onset of the
utility of the AVP as a tool to monitor labor mar-    COVID-19 pandemic conducted in person and
ket conditions during a crisis by exploring           the remainder by phone. In March 2020, ques-
these households’ experiences in the labor            tions exploring the impact of the pandemic
market, their efforts to balance a budget, their      were added to the interview protocol, including
interactions with state UI offices, and their de-     a question about the receipt of stimulus funds
cisions surrounding labor force participation.        (that is, EIPs); additional questions about
                                                      crossroads and turning points that tended to
Data a n d M e t h o d s                              yield very rich responses were added in Septem-
This analysis follows as closely as possible the      ber 2020. Interviews were recorded, and tran-
consolidated criteria for reporting qualitative       scripts were deidentified before being made
research (Tong, Sainsbury, and Craig 2007). Our       available for research purposes. Additional in-
three-­person research team (two males, one fe-       formation on the AVP data set can be found in
male) includes members of the Community De-           the introduction to this issue (Edin et al. 2024).
velopment departments at the Federal Reserve
Banks of Cleveland and Philadelphia. Our team         Approach
generally focuses on issues related to workforce      We consider our approach to be aligned with
development and economic mobility for low-­           thematic analysis as described in Virginia
and moderate-­income individuals. We are sea-         Braun and Victoria Clarke (2006). Our research
soned research professionals but less experi-         questions were motivated by an interest in bet-
enced with the type of full-­scale qualitative        ter understanding the COVID-19 pandemic and
research project undertaken in this analysis.         associated federal relief programs on low-­
Recognizing our inexperience, we sought out           income households—and specifically, how
and benefited from the guidance and support           these relief programs affected household finan-
of an experienced qualitative methodologist           cial stability and labor force attachment. As is
throughout this project. Eight Federal Reserve        customary with secondary analysis, we under-
Banks, including our own, were among a coali-         went an inductive process to collect informa-
tion of AVP supporters, but the research team         tion relevant to our research questions, remain-
was not connected to the production of data.          ing flexible to allow the data to guide and refine


          r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
                         catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                         41


our focus (Hinds, Vogel, and Clarke-­Steffen               states represented in the second national sam-
1997; Chatfield 2020). Doing so allowed us to              ple. These interviews were conducted during a
not only address our specific research ques-               period when COVID-19 presented significant
tions but also provide important, if unex-                 health risks, and while the economy was im-
pected, context on the employment and finan-               proving, the unemployment rate was still above
cial experiences of low-­income households                 pre-­pandemic levels (see figure 1).
during this period.
                                                           Analysis
Sample Selection                                           We used an inductive process to develop our
We use the second national sample of AVP in-               codebook as we became familiar with the infor-
terviews, conducted between September 2020                 mation contained in the transcripts. As men-
and August 2021 because it included new ques-              tioned, our initial reading of the transcripts al-
tions that yielded responses relevant to our in-           lowed us to gain familiarity with content and
quiry. More than seven hundred interviews                  develop our codebook. We refined our initial
were completed as part of the second national              codebook through an iterative process of dou-
sample, but only 490 had been transcribed at               ble and triple coding more than twenty tran-
the time of our analysis. We limit our sample              scripts, using NVivo (March 2020 version), a
to households with earnings below 200 percent              qualitative software program to facilitate the
of the poverty level for the corresponding year,           coding of passages, store results, and ensure
using Health and Human Services poverty                    coding consistency. During this process, we
guidelines for 2020 and 2021, adjusted for                 collectively discussed and settled discrepancies
household size. We further restrict the sample             among coders, which helped us refine the defi-
to interviewees younger than fifty-­five years old         nitions of our codes. To ensure a common and
and exclude those who were disabled, retired,              consistent understanding of the codebook
a seasonal worker, or a full-­time student. We             throughout the analysis, we double-­coded ev-
use household earnings to select our sample                ery fifth transcript and discussed and resolved
because research on the pandemic’s employ-                 any differences. After we finished coding the
ment effects shows that low-­wage workers ab-              transcripts, we independently summarized
sorbed the brunt of the job losses and received            what we viewed as the major themes associated
the greatest boost to their income through the             with each code and then met as a team to dis-
expanded safety net programs. The other exclu-             cuss our interpretations and settle on what we
sions allow us to focus on those most likely to            consider to be our primary findings. As part of
be in the labor force, which was critical to our           this process, we used the demographic infor-
research questions. Seventy-­six interviewees              mation collected during the interviews to ex-
satisfied these criteria.                                  plore whether any themes were more or less
    Relative to the second national sample and             prevalent across a variety of household charac-
largely a product of our selection criteria,               teristics, including the number of adults and
households in our sample had much lower                    children present, the ratio of last year’s earn-
earnings in the last year, were considerably               ings to the federal poverty guideline, residence
younger, had lower levels of educational attain-           in an urban, suburban, or rural area, and the
ment, included more people per household,                  race and ethnicity, education, age, and country
and were more likely to be employed or in the              of birth for adults in the household.3
labor force (see table 1). Our sample also has                Figure 2 presents a visual oversimplification
broad geographic representation, including                 of our codebook and a preview of how we pres-
transcripts from twenty-­one of the thirty-­six            ent our findings in the following section. It also

3. Because AVP interviews were intended to capture the experiences of all household members, using house-
hold—rather than interviewee—characteristics is more appropriate for identifying group differences. We devel-
oped separate categories for households with adults of different races or ethnicities or falling into different age
bins. We used the highest educational attainment of adult members to classify households by education, and
we classified any household with an adult born outside the United States as an immigrant household.



           r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
42                           building a n open qua li tat i v e science

Table 1. Interviewee Characteristics

                                                     Study Sample               Second National Sample

                                            Unweighted       Weighted          Unweighted       Weighted

Gender
 Female                                         58%             45%                59%             51%

Race-ethnicity
 White alone, not Hispanic                      50%             47%                53%             58%
 Black alone, not Hispanic                      25%             24%                22%             12%

Average age                                     31              34                 47              48
Average household size                          2.8             3.0                2.4             2.5
Average household earnings last year          $20,634         $19,974            $36,978         $42,355

Employment status
 Employed                                       71%             72%                48%             46%
 Unemployed, looking for work                   14%             15%                 7%              7%
 Not in labor forcea                            14%             13%                38%             43%
 Other-Unknown                                   0%              0%                 6%              4%

Education
 Less than high school diploma                  17%             30%                 8%             11%
 High school diploma                            32%             36%                21%             27%
 Some college (including associate’s            37%             23%                29%             30%
  degree)
 Bachelor’s degree or higher, unknown           14%             11%                42%             31%

Neighborhood type
 Urban                                          57%             39%                40%             27%
 Suburban-rural                                 43%             61%                60%             73%

N                                               76              16%               490             100%

Source: Authors’ calculations using American Voices Project data.
Note: Categories representing ten or fewer interviewees are combined with other categories or ex-
cluded to protect confidentiality.
a
  Includes interviewees classified as unemployed and not looking for work, retired, disabled, full-time
students, and seasonal workers. Among these groups, only the first is included in the study sample.


clearly depicts how our exploration of the tran-         that gig work was both a direct casualty of the
scripts for information related specifically to          pandemic and a common financial coping
household financial stability and the ways that          strategy. For some interviewees, employment
pandemic relief programs might disincentivize            loss and subsequent financial distress led to
work led to the discovery of our primary                 heightened levels of stress and anxiety, which
themes. Although the transcripts contained               we refer to broadly as negative impacts on in-
virtually no information suggesting safety net           terviewees’ mental well-­being.4 Depending on
programs affected household members’ labor               their implementation, pandemic relief pro-
force participation, they were rich in informa-          grams played a role in lessening these hard-
tion on the connection between employment                ships for some and compounding them for
loss and financial hardship. Further, we found           others.
4. We are interested in aspects of financial and mental well-­being that interviewees directly associated with
pandemic-­related employment loss.



           r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
                          catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                 43


Figure 1. U.S. Economic and Public Health Context, 2020–2021

    18                                                                                      100,000

    16                                                                                       90,000

    14                                                                                       80,000
                                                                                             70,000
    12
                                                                                             60,000
    10
                                                                                             50,000
     8
                                                                                             40,000
     6
                                                                                             30,000
     4                                                                                       20,000
     2                                                                                       10,000

   Ja0                                                                                            0
  Fe uan
     br r y
        u a 20
     M r y 20
         a r 20
            ch 2
        A p 20 0
            r i 20
         M 20  l
            a y 20
        Ju 20
            ne 20
          Ju 202
Se Aug ly 2 0
  p t u s 02
      em t 0
   O b e 02
N t o r 20 0
      c
  ov b e 2
D e m r 20 0     2
  ec be 2
      em r 0
    Ja be 02
       n r 0
  Fe ua 20
     br r y 20   2
         u a 20
     M r y 21
         a r 20
            ch 2
        A p 20 1
            ri 21
          M 20 l
            ay 21
         Ju 20
            ne 21
          Ju 202
     A
Se ug ly 2 1
   pt us 02
      em t 1
   O be 021
      c
N t o r 20       2
  ov b e 2
 D e m r 20
  ec be 2
      em r 1
           be 202
               r2 1  1
                   021

                                     Interviews in our sample (left axis)
                                     Unemployment rate (%, left axis)
                                     COVID-19 deaths (right axis)

Source: Authors’ calculations using American Voices Project data; BLS (n.d.-c); Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (n.d.).
Note: The bar on the left spans March and April of 2020 designating the recession. Weekly COVID
deaths aggregated to months using the month corresponding to the first day of the week.


Figure 2. Schema Illustrating Intersection of                Findings
Themes Explored                                              The labor market disruption wrought by the
                                                             COVID-19 pandemic has been well established,
                   Pandemic-related                          but interviewees’ accounts of this disruption
                   employment loss                           provide important context for our findings.
                       (N = 37)                              Given the economy-­wide magnitude of job
                                                             losses and their concentration at the lower end
                                                             of the wage spectrum, it is perhaps unsurpris-
                                                             ing that we find evidence of pandemic-­related
                                                             employment loss for a subsample of thirty-­
                                                             seven of the seventy-­six households (the sub-
       Gig
                  +
                        Financial
                                        –
                                             Mental          sample). Many of these interviewees, or those
     activities         well-being          well-being       in their household, experienced a permanent
                                                             layoff as a direct consequence of the COVID-19
                                                             recession, but reduced hours and temporary
                                                             layoffs of weeks or months were more com-
                                                             mon.5
                                                                It is within the job loss subsample that we
                      Pandemic relief
                         programs                            explore two primary themes emerging from our
                          (N = 76)                           analysis. We discuss the impact of employment
                                                             loss on the subsamples’ financial and mental
Source: Authors’ tabulation.                                 well-­being and then highlight the pandemic’s

5. We use permanent layoff to describe a permanent separation from the employer and temporary layoff to
describe a layoff from a job to which a worker expects to be recalled.



            r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
44                            building a n open qua li tat i v e science

effects on gig work that played a critical role in        “Ouch in My Pocket”
stabilizing household finances. We neither                Even though none of the households in our
searched for nor expected to find rich content            sample earned more than twice the poverty
on mental well-­being and gig work as we re-              level in the prior year, the financial hardship
viewed interviewees’ discussions of employ-               discussed by some interviewees seemed to
ment loss and subsequent financial stability,             mark a turning point toward instability. Re-
but the importance of these issues was evident            flecting on the swiftness of this transition, one
in the transcripts. Our final set of findings re-         worker who was also a student said, “all of a
lated to UI benefits and EIPs draws on the full           sudden, I don’t have my ducks in a row. And it’s
sample to capture the widespread receipt of               not my fault.” Another remarked that as a result
EIPs across low-­income households in our                 of the pandemic, their “income has changed
sample.                                                   tremendously” and they “barely make it.” The
   In an effort to center the voices of those with        health-­care worker lamented that after paying
lived experiences, quotes from fifteen inter-             the rent on time for many years, they had fallen
viewees residing in fourteen states and repre-            behind on payments and may have no choice
senting diversity along such dimensions as                but to move without paying what they owe, de-
self-­identified race and ethnicity, gender, and          spite renting from landlords they considered
age are used throughout this section to support           to be good and patient. When asked to com-
and describe the themes we discuss. The age               pare the last few months with the prior year, an
category of the interviewee, whether the house-           interviewee who worked in the hospitality in-
hold’s earnings were below 100 percent or be-             dustry said, “Like, it’s totally different from last
tween 100 and 199 percent of the federal pov-             year. Last year, I was doing good. This time, the
erty guideline, the season and year of the                hours are short. We’re not getting paid what we
interview, and general type of work are pro-              were. So, it’s like been a big ouch in my pocket”
vided.6                                                   [age 35 to 54, below 100 percent, fall 2020].
                                                             The apparent disconnect between the tem-
Financial and Mental Well-­Being                          porary bouts of under-­ or unemployment de-
In spite of the short-­term nature of the employ-         scribed by most of this subsample and the level
ment disruption for many households and the               of economic hardship described in the inter-
pandemic relief programs available during this            views may reflect the small margin for error in
period, interviewees from more than half of the           the financial conditions of households living
households in our subsample described finan-              in or near poverty. The most common strategy
cial hardships or declining financial stability           interviewees mentioned to make ends meet in-
as a direct consequence of their pandemic-­               volved taking on debt, frequently by borrowing
related employment loss. Interviewees dis-                from family or friends but sometimes by using
cussed their difficulties making ends meet; fall-         more formal lines of credit. Other strategies in-
ing behind on rent and utility payments was               cluded reducing spending, negotiating with
commonly reported and, in some cases, accom-              creditors, and prioritizing which bills to pay
panied by references to subsequent housing                ahead of others. A few also described drawing
instability.7 In the words of one health-­care            down savings, but some households had little
worker who was out of work for months due to              to no reservoir. When asked whether they
the pandemic: “When my rent’s short, I would              would be able to cover an unexpected $400 ex-
pay the rent that I’m short on with the next              pense, one construction worker replied,
check and then catch up. I didn’t catch up really
because I had other expenses like [inaudible].                No, I would not have the money. My bank ac-
I tried to catch up as much as I could” [age 35               count is at zero as of right now, so as far as
to 54, below 100 percent, winter 2021].                       how would I get the money, I might have to

6. The information provided is purposefully limited to protect the identity of interviewees.

7. For more on housing insecurity as seen through the lens of AVP interviews, see Max Besbris and colleagues
(2024, this issue).



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                       catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                     45

   ask my mother for a couple of bucks, and              their “wits’ end” as they contemplated a return
   then maybe go out to one of my old bosses             to criminal activities to stay afloat financially.
   and try to get a loan or something like that. I       Several interviewees alluded to deep-­seated
   don’t really have a lot of resources on extra         concerns about the future and the uncertainty
   funds. We’re living day to day. [age 18 to 34,        surrounding their employment and financial
   below 100 percent, fall 2020]                         situations. Echoing the point made about ris-
                                                         ing financial instability, the worker-­student
“Bad Days”                                               noted, “Because it’s like, you never know what
For some of the households in our subsample,             the next month is going to be like, and I’ve
the consequences extended beyond a weakened              never had that uncertainty, ever in my life.” De-
sense of financial well-­being. During the course        scribing their current financial situation, a for-
of their interviews, many also mentioned                 mer server said, “It scares me to death, that’s
heightened levels of stress, worry, and anxiety;         how I feel, I can’t get a job, I can’t get any help,
we refer to these instances collectively as nega-        and I don’t know what I’m going to do.”
tive effects on the mental well-­being of inter-             Work-­related stressors evident among inter-
viewees or members of their household.                   viewees who lost employment were not limited
Roughly one-­fourth of these thirty-­seven inter-        to the financial implications of this loss. Other
viewees discussed the impact of their employ-            stressors, such as the fear of catching COVID-19
ment loss, or fear of such loss, on their mental         in the workplace and being overworked, arose
well-­being. Most associated declines in mental          but were discussed infrequently. In some cases,
well-­being with the financial hardships stem-           however, interviewees shared experiences that
ming from their loss of employment, such as              reflected the unique, cumulative effects of un-
the inability to pay rent or keep the lights on,         dergoing financial strain during a pandemic,
but this laid-­off worker’s response to a question       as one employee working at a car wash stated:
about struggling with depression and anxiety             “The pandemic has affected my mental health
suggests the loss of the job itself levied its own       with my anxiety because, I mean, my checks
emotional toll:                                          were cut up, so my bills were piling up, being
                                                         around people and thinking, you know, they
   Yeah, I have bad days. I get depressed espe-          might have it has made my anxiety skyrocket
   cially, just not necessarily the lockdown, just       to the point where I can’t be around other peo-
   not having a full-­time job, not being able to,       ple or go to store or go to the restaurant, I don’t
   I’m used to paying for everything in the house        feel safe” [age 18 to 34, 100–199 percent, fall
   and now, having to split a bill here and there        2020].
   with pop, I don’t like that just because he               Among the thirty-­seven interviewees in the
   raised me and I owe him. He doesn’t owe me,           subsample, households with earnings below
   so I mean, I get down on myself not a lot, but        100 percent of the federal poverty guideline and
   a few days here and there, I feel depressed and       those with a lower level of formal education (no
   stuff like that. It’s not overwhelmingly de-          more than a high school diploma) were more
   pressed, but I know when it’s happening. I            likely to discuss negative impacts on both their
   know the days that I’m depressed. I can just          financial and mental well-­being than were their
   feel it, but it’s really more because of the full-­   higher-­income and more formally educated
   time work thing than it is anything else. [age        counterparts, respectively. These differences by
   35 to 54, 100–199 percent, fall 2020]                 educational attainment may be explained by
                                                         the correlation in our sample between educa-
    This quote is illustrative of the depth and          tion and earnings.
acuity of most interviewees’ references to men-
tal well-­being—a heightened sense of concern,           Gig Work
stress, and anxiety but one that does not per-           As stated previously and as illustrated by the
vade the interview. Others, however, conveyed            experiences of the thirty-­seven households in
a deeper level of distress. One interviewee who          our subsample, pandemic-­related employ-
worked in the auto industry described being at           ment loss took many different forms, from a


           r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
46                            building a n open qua li tat i v e science

short-­term reduction in hours to a permanent               took a blow into our finances as well. [age 18
layoff. In some cases, the pandemic disrupted               to 34, 100–199 percent, fall 2020]
the earnings from a traditional employee-­
employer relationship (W-­2 earnings), whereas           “Got to Pay Bills”
in others, earnings from gig work, such as side          Gig work was raised not only as a casualty of
jobs, freelance work, selling items of value, or         the pandemic but also as an important finan-
temporary employment, were casualties of the             cial coping strategy. For some interviewees, it
pandemic.                                                was difficult to discern whether these efforts
                                                         predated the pandemic as part of an estab-
“Blow into Our Finances”                                 lished system for making ends meet, but for
The loss of earnings from gig work was de-               most, they were clearly a direct response to the
scribed by roughly one-­fifth of the subsample.          pandemic-­related employment disruption. Il-
Interviewees discussed experiences ranging               lustrating a hybrid case, one stay-­at-­home
from the loss of seasonal employment at an               mother of two suggested that while finding a
amusement park to the need to curtail babysit-           side job to make ends meet was not atypical,
ting “once COVID numbers started spiking up.”            “it’s been more frequently having to make ends
A chef discussed the opportunity to do private,          meet with the COVID and everything” because
in-­home cooking demonstrations and the im-              a household member had their hours reduced
pact of the pandemic on this nascent entrepre-           at work. Among this group, very few references
neurial activity:                                        were made to jobs in the platform economy,
                                                         such as food delivery or rideshare services (for
     I do some stuff on the side here and there if       an analysis of the app-­based platform economy
     people want — I had this one lady that [inau-       using AVP data, see Jackson 2024, this issue);
     dible] but she wants me to do like a personal       instead, interviewees described more informal
     like a private cooking show for her, and her        efforts to offer services for hire in the commu-
     immediate friends and family. To where I            nity. One interviewee described their daily rou-
     would show up at her house with my equip-           tine as follows: “I wake up and I check my
     ment stuff like that, and actually just cook for    phone and emails and all that stuff to check for
     them make something good for them let’s do          a job. . . . Hopefully, I have jobs. If I have jobs,
     a little dinner show. I can do stuff like that on   then I plan my day according to them, but if
     the side I don’t get it very often like [inaudi-    there’s no work . . . then I got my own little
     ble] one of my first few that I’ve done, but I’ve   room back here and I fill out job applications,
     never been able to get this one done yet, be-       play [video games], find something construc-
     cause it’s just this whole coronavirus thing        tive to do” [age 35 to 54, 100–199 percent, fall
     threw me off. [age 18 to 34, below 100 percent,     2020].
     fall 2020]                                              Other interviewees discussed selling goods
                                                         rather than services. Examples included masks,
   For many of these interviewees, the loss of           digital content for video games, and making
income from gig work was paired with—and                 snacks distributed via both farmers markets
compounded by—a reduction in earnings from               and an online marketplace. Others discussed
their primary form of employment. In the                 selling personal belongings for whatever cash
words of one recent college graduate:                    they could generate after their hours were cut
                                                         at their primary job:
     I did lose a lot of working hours. I worked 40
     hours a week to maybe like 15 or 20. So I was          I had to sell personal items that I didn’t want
     still able to keep my job, which is great, and         to sell, I had to sell things from my house that
     then I also made a lot of money selling [cre-          meant a lot to me, I had to sell other things
     ative works] and when the pandemic hit, no             that were worth a lot more money for less
     one wanted to buy [creative works] because             money just, because it’s like well I got to pay
     nobody wanted to spend extra money on                  bills. . . . So we’ve lost a lot of things that we
     something they couldn’t afford. And so that            didn’t want to lose, but we’ve gotten through


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                       catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                  47

   and we’ve come on the other end of it we’re         children, or compensation to another motorist
   starting to do better now due to my new job.        for an automobile accident. Others discussed
   [age 18 to 34, below 100 percent, fall 2020]        earmarking any surplus funds to cover future
                                                       expenses. Households with earnings below 100
The Role of Pandemic Relief Programs                   percent of the federal poverty guideline and
Shortly after the onset of the pandemic, an un-        households whose adults self-­identified as
precedented number of federal, state, and local        Black were more likely than their counterparts
policies and programs were enacted to protect          to discuss using pandemic relief funds to cover
the U.S. economy and stabilize the labor mar-          essential living expenses. The latter observa-
ket, particularly for vulnerable households. Be-       tion may be explained by the fact that Black
cause the AVP interview guide included direct          households in the sample had lower average
questions about the receipt of UI benefits and         earnings than households in the other race and
stimulus payments (EIPs), and given the level          ethnicity categories.
of employment loss in our sample and wide-                As might be expected in light of our focus
spread eligibility for EIPs, interviewees com-         on low-­income households, only a handful in
monly discussed these programs in particular.8         our sample suggested that they did not need
In this section, we use the full sample of             the pandemic relief funds, spent them on dis-
seventy-­six households to explore interviewees’       cretionary items, or described a stronger
use of these funds and views on program effec-         household balance sheet as a result of their UI
tiveness.                                              benefits or EIP receipt. One unemployed deliv-
                                                       ery worker mentioned how the “free money . . .
“It Did Help a Lot”                                    helped us catch up on a lot of stuff” and ex-
Interviewees who elaborated on how UI bene-            pressed optimism that next year would be even
fits and EIPs were spent primarily discussed           better. This interviewee was the only one in our
covering essential expenses. This included pay-        sample to make a clear connection between re-
ing “the bills” (such as rent and utilities), and      ceipt of pandemic relief funds and labor force
thus the funds helped offset some of the de-           participation, stating that because “the govern-
scribed financial hardships. A handful of inter-       ment has given us free money, we don’t really
viewees suggested that these programs covered          have to work.”
no more—and sometimes less—than their es-                 Only one other interviewee even approxi-
sential living expenses. One interviewee who           mately suggested pandemic relief funds acted
was laid off from their job early in the pan-          as a disincentive to work. After describing their
demic put it plainly, stating “there’s nothing         partner’s ability to find informal work as being
left over for anything” after using their unem-        back and forth—consisting of anywhere be-
ployment check for basic needs. When asked             tween five and forty hours per week—the
how a temporary layoff affected their pay and          worker-­student discussed the tension their
benefits, a worker at a meat processing plant          partner felt between trying to earn income
remarked, “They kind of affected it a lot. Mean-       through gig work and maintaining their cru-
ing I had to make a lot of sacrifices, but at the      cial, albeit unreliable, UI benefits:
same time, the unemployment did help. It did
help a lot. If it wasn’t for that I don’t know how         Okay. So, like, when you’re on like unemploy-
I probably would have made it through to be                ment, like if you make any additional money,
honest with you” [age 18 to 34, below 100 per-             like usually, like put that in, and so it comes
cent, fall 2020].                                          off of what you get every week. So, like, when
    Rather than covering ongoing living ex-                he gets his unemployment check, he just
penses, a few interviewees allocated their EIPs,           won’t work that week, just so we can keep that
in particular, to large, unexpected spending               money coming in. Because when you do like
shocks such as a veterinary bill, braces for their         too many weeks where you’re trying to pick

8. In addition to these programs, a handful of interviewees also discussed enhanced Supplemental Nutrition
Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits and rent and utility assistance.



           r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
48                             building a n open qua li tat i v e science

     ­up side jobs and claim unemployment,                to fill out unemployment, they said that wasn’t
      they’re like, cancel your claim. So, like, he’ll    a reason” [age 18 to 34, below 100 percent, fall
      do like unemployment and then if like, they         2020].
      hold up his account for like identity verifica-         Several interviewees also criticized the pan-
      tion for like a month, then he’ll like go and       demic relief programs for the delays they expe-
      work for it’s like, it’s really inconsistent. Be-   rienced receiving benefits. For most, these ob-
      cause I can’t even say, like he works as much       jections were raised within the context of the
      a week, just because it’s not the same at all,      described financial hardships, when relief
      every week is so different. But normally, he’ll     funds were urgently needed. Administrative
      be a full-­time everyday worker. [age 18 to 34,     hiccups led to months of backpay in one case,
      below 100 percent, winter 2021]                     and, in another, the post approval notification
                                                          that a review specialist would need to get in-
    Earlier in the interview, the same inter-             volved delayed the distribution of funds. A re-
viewee said “it’s like you’re not allowed to              lated but distinct concern with UI implementa-
work” in reference to receiving their UI bene-            tion was the inconsistent nature of payments
fits.                                                     even after they were approved. The former
                                                          server described their frustration with inter-
“Unemployment Has Been a Nightmare”                       rupted or intermittent payments, as illustrated
Although relief programs were intended to ease            by these comments that also allude to delays
the financial stress on vulnerable households             that compounded the inconsistency: “So I
brought on by the pandemic, challenges navi-              started [serving] again, and I was making ends
gating the UI system in particular led to adverse         meet, and COVID hit, that took away the job,
outcomes for some interviewees and their                  unemployment has been a nightmare, you
household members. Interviewees described                 can’t get it hardly, and if you do, they stop, they
interacting with the UI system as the worst,              start it, they stop, they start it, there’s no, and
stressful, and a battle. Criticisms of the system         it takes six months to even get it going, and
fell into four primary categories: being denied           then if it stops, takes another three to four
or failing to receive assistance, delays in benefit       months” [age 35 to 54, below 100 percent,
receipt, inconsistency of payments, and diffi-            spring 2021].
culties contacting program administrators. The                Finally, some interviewees found it difficult
first pertains to both UI benefits and EIPs; the          to get in contact with UI administrators when
last three were raised in connection with the UI          seeking more information about the program
system only.                                              or their eligibility. As interviewees discussed
    Some interviewees felt they were unjustifi-           this and other shortcomings in the UI system,
ably denied benefits on applying, were deemed             feelings of stress and anxiety were shared,
to be ineligible, or did not receive the assis-           which serves as a testament to the criticality of
tance to which they felt entitled. The complex-           funds for underresourced households. This
ity of program eligibility renders it impossible          passage from the worker-­student encapsulates
to tell which denials were supported by fact and          several of the broad categories of complaint
which were unjustified, but it is clear in the            highlighted in this section and illustrates how
transcripts that some interviewees felt as if the         the program’s perceived flaws undermined
programs were not administered equitably. For             both financial and mental well-­being for those
example, the construction worker explained                it was meant to serve:
that they had to take time off of work to super-
vise their children who were attending school                I mean, I feel sick. Sometimes I get headaches
virtually from home. Eventually, the worker was              just because of stress. And I mean that hap-
fired and later denied UI benefits: “So, I lost my           pens being a student and working but it’s all
job. . . . There wasn’t like kids going back to              that stress of like, it’s serious like, I wonder
school, which meant I had to stay home with                  like, “Okay, I have a bill due next month if I
my kids. Which meant I had no . . . I lost my job            can’t pay it, what’s going to happen?” What
because of it. But when I checked, when I tried              am I going to have my lights on? Or am I


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                        catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                  49

   gonna have my heat on what’s going to hap-             of employment that took many forms, from a
   pen here? . . . And really, I mean, you get your       slight reduction in hours to a permanent layoff.
   unemployment so inconsistent when you call             The depth and prevalence of related financial
   try to get help, no one answers. The lines are         hardships described in the interviews chal-
   so busy. I mean, they add that extra $300 here         lenge the broader notion of households on firm
   in [state], no one’s seen it yet. I mean, it’s just,   financial footing as a result of the pandemic
   it’s stressful, and it’s stressful, and it’s nega-     relief programs. The experiences of many of the
   tive. And day-­to-­day stuff right now it’s tough.     interviewees are more illustrative of prior quan-
   [age 18 to 34, below 100 percent, winter 2021].        titative studies highlighting some degree of
                                                          household-­level financial distress than of re-
   When delivered as expected, UI benefits and            search suggesting a suppressed poverty rate or
EIPs helped ameliorate the financial hardships            inflated checking account balances. Many of
that many households in our sample experi-                the interviewees who received pandemic relief
enced during the COVID-19 pandemic and as-                funds described them as paramount to cover-
sociated recession. Implementation and de-                ing at least some essential living expenses, with
ployment challenges encountered by                        fewer references to saving the proceeds or us-
interviewees illustrate how the programs could            ing the funds for discretionary expenses. Criti-
also prove detrimental to both financial and              cisms of the UI system, in particular, gave voice
mental well-­being.                                       to the well-­documented challenges to state of-
                                                          fices facing unprecedented demand for their
Discussion                                                services.
In this article, we present our analysis of tran-             We find little support for the position that
scripts from seventy-­six in-­depth interviews            expanded safety net programs acted as a disin-
conducted with low-­income households as part             centive to participating in the labor force. In
of the American Voices Project. We sought to              our sample of thirty-­seven interviewees with
learn whether and to what extent a large-­scale           evidence of employment loss, in only one clear
qualitative data platform such as the AVP could           case did an interviewee describe UI benefits or
contribute to public policy questions surround-           EIPs in these terms. In only one other instance
ing the federal response to the financial and             did an interviewee describe how UI rules and
employment disruptions brought about by the               the irregular and inconsistent nature of benefit
COVID-19 pandemic that were known to dis-                 receipt affected their partner’s market deci-
proportionately affect low-­income workers and            sions. An important caveat to our findings,
households. Reflecting the direction of both              however, is that the absence of evidence should
quantitative research and active policy debates           not be confused with evidence of absence. Par-
during this period, the research questions we             ticipants were not directly asked about how
used to guide our examination of the data set             relief programs affected their employment
were: How did interviewees experiencing nega-             decisions, so it is entirely possible that inter-
tive employment effects describe the role that            viewees did not discuss “all aspects of their
safety net programs played in stabilizing house-          ­experiences” (GAO 2022, 57) during the semi-­
hold finances? And is there evidence that these            structured interview.
programs affected the employment or job-­                     There is also reason to believe that both the
search behaviors of beneficiaries? In this sec-            study period and our sample selection criteria
tion, we begin by discussing our findings as               could have made it more likely that we would
they relate to our research questions. Shaped              read transcripts describing financial distress
as they are by our experiences with the data, we           rather than work disincentives. To leverage the
end with our thoughts on how an immersive-­                rich responses to new questions added to the
interviewing platform such as the AVP could be             survey protocol in September 2020, we begin
a resource for monitoring labor market condi-              our study period in that month. Our sample
tions and related policy responses.                        therefore includes only interviews conducted
   We find that for many low-­income house-                after the expiration of the $600 UI supplement
holds, the pandemic and recession led to a loss            in July 2020, which may have ushered in a pe-


           r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
50                              building a n open qua li tat i v e science

riod of “material hardship for a multitude of UI          Wade, and Browne 2020). Regarding the asso-
recipients” (Cortes and Forsythe 2021, 25). In-           ciation between UI receipt and mental well-­
terviews conducted between spring and sum-                being, our research appears to be aligned with
mer 2020 may have revealed a different level of           recent work showing that UI benefits were ef-
financial distress or additional evidence of ben-         fective in lessening the probability of anxiety
efits affecting interviewees’ labor force partici-        and depressive symptoms for households re-
pation. The same could be said for a study pe-            ceiving benefits (Berkowitz and Basu 2021; Don-
riod that extended through the summer of                  nelly and Farina 2021).9 In their coverage of the
2021, when some states ended the $300 supple-             stress surrounding denied claims, breakdowns
ment early, but the last interviews available in          in communication, delayed payments, and the
the broader AVP database were conducted early             financial hardships that ensued, AVP inter-
that summer. Further, we intentionally con-               views with disgruntled applicants testify to this
structed our sample to learn more about the               association.
experiences of the lowest-­income households                 Further underscoring the exploratory value
most likely to be affected by the pandemic-­              of using qualitative data, the importance and
induced employment disruptions, but given                 vulnerability of gig work during this period
their income levels, these same households                emerged as integral to some interviewees’ fi-
were also most likely to face difficulty making           nancial experiences. Research suggests that al-
ends meet generally. Even so, the AVP tran-               though overall fewer people participated in gig
scripts allowed us to burrow under the aggre-             work in 2020 than in 2019 (FRB 2021), some
gate statistics and gave us a window into the             who lost a job or had their hours reduced dur-
financial stability of scores of low-­income              ing the pandemic turned to gig work for in-
households during this period, and the view               come (Reynolds and Kincaid 2023; Accenture
was not always as rosy as the top-­line numbers           2021), and gig activity was almost twice as com-
would lead one to believe.                                mon for those saying it is hard to get by than
    The interconnections between household                for those living comfortably (FRB 2022). Earn-
financial stability and mental well-­being high-          ings from gig work were often considered es-
light the opportunity for discovery that we view          sential or important in meeting basic needs
as an important strength of using qualitative             (Anderson et al. 2021) and provided a financial
data in spaces where quantitative analysis may            buoy for Black and Latinx families, before and
be more customary. Consistent with pre-­                  during the pandemic (Fields-­White et al. 2020).
pandemic work illustrating unemployment’s                 In some instances, income from gig work was
negative implications for mental well-­being              a substitute for those who did not apply for, did
(McKee-­Ryan et al. 2005; Paul and Moser 2009;            not receive, or could not wait for UI benefits
Singh and Siahpush 2016), research has found              (Ravenelle, Kowalski, and Janko 2021). Gig
that households experiencing an income shock              work was far from immune to the economic
or employment loss during the pandemic were               disruption caused by the pandemic, however,
more likely than others to experience depres-             as demand shifted away from ride-­sharing and
sion or anxiety (Donnelly and Farina 2021;                other services that required physical contact
Killgore et al. 2021; McDowell et al. 2021; Pan-          and toward delivery services and online plat-
chal et al. 2023; Parker, Igielnik, and Kochhar           forms for selling goods (FRB 2021; Accenture
2021; Singh, Lee, and Azuine 2021; Reading Tur-           2021; Liu 2020; Greig and Sullivan 2021). Put-
chioe et al. 2021; Guerin et al. 2021; Kelley et al.      ting a finer point on this disruption, nearly all
2023). The connections between job loss or fi-            of the dozens of contingent workers inter-
nancial stress and reduced mental well-­being             viewed for a qualitative study reported losing
have been shown to be strongest for low-­                 employment due to decreased demand or re-
income workers (Guerin et al. 2021; Prime,                strictions on in-­person services (GAO 2022).

9. Although the negative association between difficulties with UI receipt and mental well-­being is evident in our
sample of transcripts, those who are highly affected by stress have lower UI recipiency rates than those who are
not (Forsythe and Yang 2021).



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                     catching up a nd coping in the cov id econom y                                  51


Our findings broadly support the literature’s           For any future efforts to create a large-­scale,
depiction of gig work during the pandemic as        immersive-­interviewing data platform, we
both a fallback source of income and a source       make the following suggestions aimed at either
of potential risk in the face of shifting demand    improving access to these data or deepening
during a public health crisis (Greig and Sulli-     the content. Regarding the former, transcripts
van 2021).                                          should be made accessible to researchers on a
    Overall, our analysis suggests that with        rolling basis soon after interview completion,
some improvements, an ongoing effort to col-        and the data set should be made publicly avail-
lect in-­depth, nationally representative, quali-   able. Both steps would drastically improve the
tative data could provide critical information      platform’s ability to inform policy-­relevant re-
to inform sound policy development in the fu-       search. Further, with safeguards in place to en-
ture. Although it is true that our findings are     sure the anonymity of participants, granting
largely aligned with prior research and that we     access to the general public would not only
claim nothing as wholly novel, it is also true      broaden its reach and expand its utility as a
that we did not gain access to the transcripts      tool for evidence-­based policy development
until more than eighteen months after the ear-      (Chetty et al. 2020), but it would also improve
liest interviews in our sample were conducted,      transparency by allowing the results of future
a period during which a robust body of research     research to be replicated.
was published. The value of the AVP, then, lies         To deepen the content collected, we recom-
in the potential for more timely access to a re-    mend developing several topic-­specific inter-
pository of information collected with an inter-    view modules—with a labor market module
view protocol that can be modified to respond       among them—to be delivered alongside a stan-
to the moment. For example, with dedicated          dard set of core questions. Doing so would al-
resources and a process for timely transcrip-       low for the elicitation of richer content without
tion, coding, and analysis, specific challenges     extending an already lengthy interview proto-
surrounding UI receipt for affected workers,        col. Next, to address what we recognized as
which were evident in our sample and likely         missed opportunities in the transcripts, we rec-
present in transcripts preceding our study pe-      ommend additional interviewer training on
riod, could have been quickly and clearly iden-     how to ask probing follow-­up questions, a prac-
tified. To be sure, these issues were raised in     tice that might be more natural in a topically
the press (Murphy Marcos 2020) and richly de-       focused, modular interview. Finally, we propose
scribed in later qualitative analyses (Ravenelle,   a process that makes supplemental data collec-
Kowalski, and Janko 2021; GAO 2022), but a          tion possible, potentially through a short sur-
more rigorous or more streamlined examina-          vey or a tailored interview protocol targeting a
tion may have been possible if a nationally rep-    specific subsample of interviewees. The ability
resentative sample of immersive-­interview          to explore a topic of interest in more depth
transcripts had been readily available as prob-     would leverage the existing strengths of the
lems with UI receipt emerged. A vast array of       AVP’s design and overcome the difficulties we
quantitative data sets that were not available or   sometimes encountered in trying to interpret
widely used during the Great Recession—for          interviewee remarks that lacked depth, clarity,
example, data on checking account balances          or context. We acknowledge that this process
(Greig, Deadman, and Noel 2021), online job ap-     would need to ensure continued participant
plications and postings (Marinescu, Skandalis,      anonymity, be limited in scope so as not to
and Zhao 2021), small business payroll data         overburden those involved, and include addi-
(Finamor and Scott 2021), and mobility track-       tional compensation for interviewees, but such
ing data (Bartik et al. 2020)—were used to mon-     a feature would allow researchers to better use
itor the COVID-19 recession as it unfolded. On-     these data for more directed analyses.
going, systematic interviews could be a
qualitative complement to these data sets, mir-     C o n c lu s i o n
roring their timeliness but improving on their      In this article, we analyze the transcripts from
depth and richness.                                 seventy-­six interviews conducted with low-­


          r sf: t he russell sage f ou n dat ion jou r na l of t he so ci a l sciences
52                          building a n open qua li tat i v e science

income households between the fall of 2020            R e fe r e n c e s
and the summer of 2021 as part of the American        Accenture. 2021. “Platforms Work: Research with
Voices Project. We conducted this analysis be-           Workers Using the Uber App During the First
cause we saw the potential for the AVP as a new          Year of the COVID-19 Pandemic.” Accenture. Ac-
source of rich information on labor market ex-           cessed March 1, 2024. https://www.platforms
periences and wanted to assess the AVP’s abil-           wor​kreport.com.
ity to realize this potential. We did so by explor-   Anderson, Monica, Colleen McClain, Michelle Fave-
ing the revealed experiences of households that          rio, and Risa Gelles-­Watnick. 2021. “The State of
lost employment during the COVID-19 pan-                 Gig Work in 2021.” Washington, D.C.: Pew Re-
demic and that ostensibly benefited from an              search Center. Accessed March 1, 2024. https://​
expanded social safety net. In the transcripts,          www.pewresearch.org/internet/2021/12/08/the​
we find evidence of job loss for roughly half of         -state-of-gig-work-in-2021.
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holds, financial distress was not uncommon               of Ending Pandemic Unemployment Benefits: A
and was sometimes described in terms of the              State-­Level Analysis.” Working Paper no. 2022–
stress and anxiety that often accompany it. Al-          010. St. Louis, Mo.: Federal Reserve Bank of St.
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pandemic, gig work was raised by some inter-          Armantier, Oliver, Leo Goldman, Gizem Kosar, and
viewees as an important economic lifeline, as            Wilbert van der Klaauw. 2021. “An Update on
were UI benefits and EIPs; administrative chal-          How Households Are Using Stimulus Checks.”
lenges associated with the UI system proved an           Liberty Street Economics. New York: Federal Re-
independent source of stress for some house-             serve Bank of New York. Accessed March 1,
holds. We find little evidence that UI benefits          2024. https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed​
or EIPs played a role in the labor market deci-          .org/2021/04/an-update-on-how-households-are​
sions of interviewees or their household mem-            -using-stimulus-checks.
bers.                                                 Baker, Scott R., R. A. Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Mi-
    Our primary goal with this analysis was to           chaela Pagel, and Constantine Yannelis. 2020.
assess the utility of a large-­scale, immersive-­        “Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Re-
interviewing platform such as the American               sponse to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Pay-
Voices Project as a supplement to traditional            ments.” NBER working paper no. 27097. Cam-
market data. In comparing our findings with              bridge, Mass.: National Bureau of Economic
the literature, our conclusion is that although          Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27097.
the experiences of our sample add depth and           Bartik, Alexander W., Marianne Bertrand, Feng Lin,
richness to the available quantitative analyses          Jesse Rothstein, and Matthew Unrath. 2020.
and are a good reminder of the heterogeneity             “Measuring the Labor Market at the Onset of the
that lies beneath averages and aggregates, we            COVID-19 Crisis.” Brookings Papers on Economic
cannot claim any findings as wholly novel. We            Activity, 239–68. Washington, D.C.: Brookings In-
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vast body of relevant research as a testament to         .jstor.org/stable/26996642.
the quality and value of the AVP data set. Simi-      Bell, Alex, Thomas J. Hedin, Peter Mannino, Roozbeh
larly ambitious data collection efforts in the fu-       Moghadam, Geoffrey Schnorr, and Till von
ture would benefit from several modifications            Wachter. 2021. “Disparities in Access to Unem-
to both improve timely access to the data and            ployment Insurance During the COVID-19 Pan-
deepen its topical coverage. Given our experi-           demic: Lessons from U.S. and California Claims
ences with the data and assuming these im-               Data.” Summer Data Challenge Report. Wash-
provements, we believe a platform such as the            ington: U.S. Department of Labor, Chief Evalua-
American Voices Project could represent a pow-           tion Office. Accessed March 1, 2024. https://​
erful complement to the growing suite of real-­          www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/OASP/evaluation​
time quantitative data available to inform both          /pdf/CaliforniaPolicyLab_Final_20220105_508​
public policy and public opinion.                        .pdf.




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