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Alicia Rihn et al., Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry April 3-August 8, 2020 (2021)

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A University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture publication, W 975, titled Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee's Landscape Services Industry April 3-August 8, 2020, by Alicia L. Rihn, Sreedhar Upendram and Kimberly L. Jensen of the Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, dated January 2021. It describes the landscape services industry, which in Tennessee consists of 1,679 firms employing 12,475 workers, and the CARES Act and the Paycheck Protection Program. It states that the report summarizes PPP loans approved to landscaping firms in Tennessee and neighboring states, covering the number of loans, geographic concentration, jobs retained and loan amounts, and includes only loans up to $150,000.

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“Alicia Rihn et al., Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry April 3-August 8, 2020 (2021).” Original at solutions.tennessee.edu. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/alicia-rihn-et-al-paycheck-protection-program-loans-in-tennessee-s-lan-ae6732d0f2/, SHA-256 c1fe519fb399e01d114db09c61260687e4fba97ed79485c12eea225674ec93ea.

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                                                                                                          W 975




                Paycheck Protection Program Loans in
               Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry
                       April 3-August 8, 2020

                                                         Alicia L. Rihn
                                                      Sreedhar Upendram
                                                      Kimberly L. Jensen
                             Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics

                                                           January 2021




         Landscape service firms provide commercial landscaping services including design,
         installation and maintenance of turfgrass lawns, ornamental plant beds, gardens and other
         outdoor areas for private residences and commercial properties. In 2020, the U.S. landscaping
         services industry consisted of 510,000 firms who had a revenue of nearly $102 billion and
         employed one million people with wages of $32.9 billion (Diment, 2020). In Tennessee, the
         landscaping industry consists of 1,679 firms employing 12,475 workers with an annual payroll
         of $424.5 million indicating an annual average wage of $34,000 (U.S. Census Bureau, 2018).
         The majority (82 percent) of the industry’s products and services are related to landscape
         maintenance activities (Diment, 2020). Thus, this industry’s revenue is closely tied to new
         housing developments, the housing market (in general) and consumers’ disposable incomes.

         On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO, 2020) declared the Novel
         Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) a pandemic. Shortly after, on March 13, 2020, the COVID-19
         outbreak was declared a national emergency by President Trump (White House, 2020).
         Actions were taken to decrease community spread and Americans were encouraged to stay
         home, avoid large group gatherings and avoid unnecessary outings. Aligning with these
         directions, Tennessee’s Governor Lee passed the Executive Order No. 22 (EO 22) encouraging
         people to stay at home except for essential activities or services (State of Tennessee, 2020).
         Under EO 22, landscape management was deemed an essential infrastructure operations
         service and landscaping firms were allowed to remain open. However, several factors
         related to the COVID-19 pandemic and economic downturn could negatively impact the
         landscaping service industry. For example, businesses who closed or reduced their activities
         could influence product availability through supply chain disruptions, as well as customers’
         employment and disposable incomes potentially dropping, reducing spending on
         non-essentials. Furthermore, the landscaping service industry is heavily influenced by the
         housing market which experienced a drop in March and April, 2020 potentially due to the




Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry                                  1
         uncertainty caused by the pandemic (U.S. Census Bureau, 2020). Despite this momentary
         drop, the housing market rebounded and continued to have positive growth after those
         first few months of the pandemic meaning the impact of this drop on the landscape service
         industry was likely temporary.

         In order to mitigate potential economic hardships from the pandemic, the Coronavirus Aid,
         Relief and Economic Security (CARES) Act was passed on March 27, 2020 (U.S. Department
         of Treasury, 2020). As part of the CARES Act, the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP)
         was implemented and administered by the Small Business Administration through local
         lending firms. The goal of the PPP was to provide support for payroll and other operating
         expenses to small businesses during the pandemic and economic downturn. The PPP
         provided over $660 billion in forgivable loans (Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2020).
         This report summarizes the PPP loans approved to landscaping service firms in Tennessee
         and several neighboring states to provide an overview of the aid and its influence in
         Tennessee’s landscaping services industry.

         Data Description
         Metrics summarized in this report include the number of loans approved, geographical
         concentration of loan approvals, jobs retained through the program and loan amounts. Only
         loans up to $150,000 were included in this analysis. Several neighboring states, including
         Alabama (AL), Georgia (GA), North Carolina (NC), South Carolina (SC) and Virginia (VA), were
         also analyzed for comparison purposes. The states were selected to align with the previous
         report on the nursery and greenhouse industry and the Paycheck Protection Program (Rihn &
         Jensen, 2020). The PPP loans, sourced from the U.S. Department of Treasury on September
         2, 2020, includes data from April 3, 2020, through August 8, 2020. At the time of this report,
         data was not available for the PPP after August 8, 2020. The 2017 North American Industry
         Classification (NAICS) codes were used to isolate and extract data on the landscaping service
         industry. Specifically, the NAICS code 561730 – “Landscape services” was used in this report
         which includes firms engaged in “landscape care and maintenance services and/or installing
         trees, shrubs, plants, lawns or gardens” and firms who provide “these services along with the
         design of landscape plans and/or the construction (i.e., installation) of walkways, retaining
         walls, decks, fences, ponds and similar structures.”

         Paycheck Protection Program Loans to Tennessee
         Landscaping Service Firms
         The number of PPP loans approved to landscaping service firms by month of approval
         is presented in Figure 1. Landscaping service firms in the surveyed states primarily obtained
         PPP loan approval in April with 54 percent of all landscape service firm PPP loans, followed
         by May (21 percent), June (10 percent), July (9 percent), and August (6 percent). Georgia
         received the greatest number of approved loans at 1,533 loans, followed by North Carolina
         (1,328 loans), Virginia (1,055 loans), Tennessee (1,055 loans), South Carolina (781 loans) and
         Alabama (718 loans).




Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry                              2
                       800




                       700                                                                                       August
                                                                                                          July    6%
                                                                                                          9%

                                                                                                   June
                       600                                                                         10%


                                                                                                                              April
                                                                                                                              54%
                       500                                                                           May
                                                                                                     21%




          # of Loans
                       400




                       300




                       200




                       100




                         0
                             April              May                        June             July                          August

                                                            AL   GA   NC   SC     TN   VA



            Figure 1. Number of PPP Loans to Landscaping Service Firms, by Month of Approval


         The geographical hotspot distribution of the landscaping service firms who received PPP loan
         approvals is shown in Figure 2. The hotspot (Getis-Ord Gi*) statistic tool in ArcGIS was used
         to generate the maps. The resultant Z score identifies statistically significant spatial clusters
         (95 percent) of high values identified as hot spots (red dots) and low values identified as cold
         spots (blue dots). The yellow dots indicate that no statistically significant spatial clusters are
         identified in those locations. In Tennessee, most of the PPP loans were approved near large
         urban areas including Nashville, Memphis and Knoxville. Rural areas identified as cold spots
         include Stewart, Henry, Marion and Franklin counties who received fewer loans. This result
         is consistent with landscaping service firms being larger and more concentrated in areas
         where their customer bases are located (i.e., homeowners and businesses with properties to
         maintain). Additionally, higher income households tend to be clustered around larger urban
         centers and metropolitan areas (Semega et al., 2020). A similar trend was observed in the
         neighboring states (Figure 2). Notably, landscaping service firms near Norfolk, VA, Charleston,
         SC, and the suburbs of Washington D.C. in northeastern Virginia had high concentrations of
         landscaping service firm loan approvals. The spatial cluster maps of Tennessee and Southeast
         U.S. differ slightly because of the higher number of loans approved in Georgia and North
         Carolina as compared to Tennessee (Table 1).




Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry                                                          3
         A. Tennessee Landscaping Service Firms’ PPP Loan Approval Locations




                         B. Surrounding States’ PPP Loan Approval Locations




         Figure 2. Geographical Distribution of PPP Loans Approved to Landscaping Service Firms for
         Tennessee (A) and the Surrounding States (B)




Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry                          4
         Jobs Retained
         The number of jobs retained in the landscape service industry through PPP loans is reported
         in Table 1. In total, PPP loans accounted for 28,240 jobs retained in the surveyed states. In
         Tennessee, 842 firms received PPP approval for loans with the PPP loans resulting in 4,257
         jobs retained or 15 percent of all jobs retained in the surveyed states. North Carolina had a
         total of 6,938 jobs retained (25 percent of the total), while Georgia had 22 percent of the total
         jobs retained, followed by Virginia, Tennessee, South Carolina, and Alabama.


         Table 1. Number of Jobs Retained from PPP Loans to Landscape Service Firms

          State                           Total No. of Loans             Total No. of Jobs         Percent of Total Jobs
                                              Approved                       Retained                   Retained

          AL                                       620                          2,555                          9%
          GA                                      1,447                         6,235                          22%
          NC                                       1,074                        6,938                          25%
          SC                                       675                          3,787                          13%
          TN                                       842                          4,257                          15%
          VA                                       688                         4,468                           16%


          TOTAL                                   6,160                        28,240                         100%
        Note: Only firms that received PPP loan approval and indicated greater than one jobs retained were included in this table.




         PPP Loan Amounts
         The landscaping service firms in the surveyed six states received approval for $175 million
         in PPP loans (Table 2). North Carolina received approval for the most at nearly $42 million,
         followed by South Carolina ($38.8 million), Alabama ($28.4 million), Virginia ($27.6 million),
         Tennessee ($22.6 million), and Georgia ($15.9 million). The average amount per job retained
         was $6,197. Alabama landscape service firms averaged a little over $11,000 per job retained.
         South Carolina’s loans were just over $10,000 per job retained, Virginia’s average loan per
         job retained was nearly $6,188, North Carolina’s loan per job retained was $6,010, Tennessee
         averaged $5,297 per job retained, and Georgia averaged $2,554 per job retained. Georgia
         retained the highest number of jobs per PPP loan at nearly 4 jobs per $10,000 approved,
         followed by Tennessee (1.9 jobs/$10,000 approved), North Carolina, Virginia, South
         Carolina and Alabama.




Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry                                                         5
         Table 2. Total PPP Loan Amounts and by Number of Jobs Retained

          State                              Loan Amount                  Average Loan               Jobs Retained Per
                                                                         Amount Per Job               $10,000 Loans
                                                                            Retained                    Approved
          AL                               $ 28,403,842.00                     $ 11,116.96                    0.90
          GA                                $ 15,925,874.00                    $ 2,554.27                     3.92
          NC                                $ 41,697,024.00                    $ 6,009.95                      1.66
          SC                                $ 38,771,336.00                    $ 10,238.01                    0.98
          TN                                $ 22,550,145.00                    $ 5,297.19                      1.89
          VA                                $ 27,646,012.00                    $ 6,187.56                      1.62


          TOTAL                            $ 174,994,233.00                    $ 6,196.68                      1.61
        Note: Only firms that received PPP loan approval and indicated greater than one jobs retained were included in this table.



         The distribution of the PPP loans approved by amount are presented in Figure 3. Overall, small
         loan amounts ($30,000 or less) were the most prevalent in the landscape service industry.
         Alabama, Georgia and Tennessee had the largest proportions of loans that were $30,000 or
         less with 78 percent, 71 percent and 70 percent of approved loans, respectively. Although
         North Carolina and South Carolina had a large portion of loans in this category (59 percent
         and 65 percent), they also had larger proportions of their states’ loans in the more than
         $30,000 category. Virginia presented an interesting distribution with 17 percent of its loans
         being approved in the $125,001 to $150,000 range while 50 percent of the loans were in
         the $30,000 or less category.




                    Note: Only firms that received PPP loan approval and indicated greater than one jobs retained
                    were included in this table.

                  Figure 3. Distribution of PPP Loan Amounts Approved to Landscape Service Firms



Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry                                                         6
         Summary
         Together, the information in this report provides an overview of landscaping service firms’
         participation in the PPP and its influence on job retention in this industry for Tennessee and
         neighboring states. The PPP serves to mitigate negative economic impacts on small firms
         and aid in contributing to economic recovery. In the landscaping service industry, PPP loans
         helped retain an average of 5.4 jobs per firm for a total of 28,240 jobs in Tennessee and the
         surrounding states. In Tennessee, the program provided nearly $22.6 million to landscaping
         service firms which amounted to 4,257 jobs. Seventy percent of the loans approved to
         Tennessee landscaping service firms were for amounts less than $30,000 with firms primarily
         being located near large customer bases (i.e. urban centers).

         Although this report summarizes the PPP loans in Tennessee’s landscaping service industry,
         it does not reflect multiplier effects through the state and surrounding state’s economies.
         Beyond payroll and operating expenses, PPP loans likely also contribute to local economies
         through employee spending and other activities. This information was not analyzed in this
         report. Furthermore, the results presented here are only through August 8 and additional PPP
         loans will likely be approved in the second wave of the program given the continuation of the
         pandemic and its influence on the economy.

         References
         Diment, D. 2020. “US Industry (NAICS) Report 56173 – Landscaping Services in the U.S.”
         IBISWorld #56173.

         Rihn, A., and K.L. Jensen. 2020. “Paycheck Protection Program Participation in Tennessee’s
           Green Industry April 3-June 30, 2020.” UTIA Extension Publication, W937.

         Semega, J. M. Kollar, J. Creamer and A. Mohanty. 2020. “Income and Poverty in the
          United States: 2018.” U.S. Census Bureau Current Population reports P60-266 (RV), U.S.
          Government Printing Office, Washington DC. Available at: https://www.census.gov/content/
          dam/Census/library/publications/2019/demo/p60-266.pdf

         State of Tennessee. 2020. “An Order Directing Tennesseans to Stay Home Unless Engaging in
           Essential Activities to Limit Their Exposure to and Spread of COVID-19.” Executive Order
           No. 22. March 30, 2020. Available at: https://publications.tnsosfiles.com/pub/execorders/
           exec-orders-lee22.pdf. Accessed 7/28/2020.

         White House. 2020. “Proclamation on Declaring a National Emergency Concerning the
          Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Outbreak.” March 13, 2020. Available at: https://
          www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/proclamation-declaring-national-emergency-
          concerning-novel-coronavirus-disease-covid-19-outbreak/. Accessed 7/28/2020.

         U.S. Census Bureau. 2018. “2018 County Business Patterns.” Available at https://www.census.
           gov/programs-surveys/cbp/data/tables.html. Accessed 11/07/2020.

         U.S. Census Bureau. 2020. “New Residential Construction.” Available at https://www.census.
           gov/construction/nrc/pdf/newresconst.pdf. Accessed 7/28/2020.

         U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). “How Does the Paycheck
           Protection Program of 2020 Impact the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPAs)?”
           Available at: https://www.bea.gov/help/faq/1408. Accessed 7/28/2020.U.S. Department of
           Treasury (US Dept of Treasury). 2020.
           “The CARES Act Works for All Americans.” Available at: https://home.treasury.gov/policy-
           issues/cares. Accessed 7/28/2020.




Paycheck Protection Program Loans in Tennessee’s Landscape Services Industry                              7
                                            W 975     1/21   21-0123
    Programs in agriculture and natural resources, 4-H youth development, family and consumer sciences, and
resource development. University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture, U.S. Department of Agriculture and county
       governments cooperating. UT Extension provides equal opportunities in programs and employment.


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