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Compete to Win: Michigan’s Path to Top 10

Summary

Slide presentation titled Compete to Win: Michigan's Path to Top, A Framework for Holistic Economic Development, in which Business Leaders for Michigan state that they released a holistic strategy for economic development in May 2023. The key principles are to prepare for the future we want, to ensure Michigan's talent is a differentiator, to make Michigan the easiest state for people and businesses to grow, and to take a smart, consistent approach to incentives. The slides state that Michigan continues to confront stiff headwinds, with income that has not kept pace and underperformance in the knowledge economy. A closing slide cites a Glengariff Group statewide survey of likely 2024 General Election voters on incentives.

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“Compete to Win: Michigan’s Path to Top 10.” Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/2024-02-13-testimony-hecon-2023-hbs-5413-5414-and-5415-business-leader-23a48b1618/, SHA-256 35b870c07ba5ca37829840f84c77636fea3e55e5c29d65b1f6071fe16467cf40.

Full text

      Compete to Win:
  Michigan’s Path to Top 10
A Framework for Holistic Economic Development
In May 2023, Business Leaders for Michigan released a
holistic strategy for economic development

                        Key Principles

                        1. Prepare for the future we want

                        2. Ensure Michigan’s talent is a differentiator

                        3. Make Michigan the easiest state for people
                           and businesses to grow

                        4. Take a smart, consistent approach to
                           incentives
Michigan continues to confront stiff headwinds on the path
to becoming a Top 10 state

  • Income has not kept pace


  • We’ve underperformed in the knowledge economy

  • “The Michigan 180”
  Incomes in Michigan have grown, but not fast enough to
  catch the rest of the nation
                                                                                                     US:$66,555        70,000
                                                  Per capita income ($) 1980-2021
                                                                                                                       60,000
             Michigan                                                                                     MI:$56,494
                                                                                                                       50,000
             US
                                                                        $39,887
                                                                                                                       40,000
                                                    $30,344             $35,760
                                                                                                                       30,000
                                                    $30,015
                                                                                                                       20,000
MI: $10,230                                                       This divergence coincides with a decline in
                                                                   manufacturing jobs in MI and lack of new            10,000
US: $9,843                                                         Professional and Business services jobs
                                                                                                                    0
   1980        1985       1990          1995          2000     2005       2010        2015         2020         2025




                        Source: Federal Reserve
  Professional and Business Services jobs have seen one of
  the largest growth rates in the US, but not in Michigan
                                     Professional and Business Services                      Michigan
                                      Jobs (indexed on 2000 # of jobs)                       US
140                                                                                                     135%
                                                                                             129%
130
120
                                      110%
110   100%
                                                                                             100%       100%
100
                                              100%
 90
                                      90%
 80
 70                                           77%
 60
 50
  01/00   01/02   01/04   01/06      01/08      01/10        01/12   01/14   01/16   01/18   01/20   01/22     01/24



                    Source: Bureau of labor and statistics
Knowledge Economy Jobs will make up most of future
growth
                               Projected employment change 2020-2030 (K)
                                                                                         Annual
                                                         US projections                 wage ($)
     Professional and
                                                                             2,020       73,263
    business services
         Construction                315                                                 70,007

   Financial activities              303                                                 80,184

          Information                283                                                 87,310

       Manufacturing           144                                                       64,768

             Logistics         141                                                       70,493

                            Michigan’s largest portion of Professional and Business Services
                          sector is Research, Engineering and Design – a sector ripe for growth
                Source: Bureau of labor and statistics
Unlike competitors, Michigan has been unable to sustain
consistent polices to support job and income growth
                          “The Michigan 180”
                          Michigan’s economic toolbox

   1996                        2017                  2021
   Michigan Economic           Good Jobs for         Strategic Outreach
   Growth Authority            Michigan payroll      and Attraction
   (MEGA) Credit               tax credit created    Reserve cash closing
   created                                           fund created           What
                       2012              2019                               Now?
                       All economic      Good Jobs for
                       development tax   Michigan program
                       credit programs   sunsets; not
                       eliminated        renewed
It will put Michigan on a level playing field with the rest of
the country


                                                                             Michigan is one
                                                                             of only 7 states
                                                                             without a job
                                                                             creation tax
                                                                             incentive


           Source: https://info.siteselectiongroup.com/blog/state-tax-credits-for-job-creation-capital-investments,
           March 22, 2022
HIRE is modeled after the successful Good Jobs for
Michigan program

                                From 2017 to 2019….

                                •    $6.61 billion in private investment

                                •    11,300+ jobs committed

                                •    $31.51 average hourly wage, more than
                                     140% above Michigan’s median wage

                                •    $1.56 billion net new revenue


                                    a return of $5.40 to Michigan for
                                       every GJFM dollar invested
H.I.R.E.: same needed tool with new enhancements:


 HBs 5413-5415 (Hoskins, Martus, Filler)- High Income Regional Employment
 •   Targets and allows for smaller and mid-size companies to move and grow here, or bigger companies to
     grow high wage jobs incrementally here that might otherwise be sited elsewhere

 Businesses can capture personal income tax withholding from new jobs they create if they add:
  • 250+ new jobs at 125% of the regional median wage; or
  • 25+ new jobs at 150% of the regional median wage

 Cap mirrors GJFM: Cannot exceed $200M in total awards (outstanding promises, not appropriated
 revenue) at any one time

 Sunsets after 8 years – transcends administrations
H.I.R.E. job creation and wage requirements are higher than
other Great Lakes states

         Economic                  Economic
    IL   Development for a
                              IN   Development for a   MN    Minnesota Job    OH   Job Creation
         Growing Economy           Growing Economy           Creation Fund         Tax Credit
         (EDGE) Credit             (EDGE) Credit



   •50 new jobs              •Any number of            •10 new jobs          •10 new jobs
                              new jobs
   •No wage                                            •Wages at least       •Wages at least
    requirement              •No wage                   110 percent of        150 percent of
                              requirement               federal poverty       federal
                                                        level                 minimum wage
The HIRE program is …

            SMART                                                                    PERFORMANCE-BASED
• Grows high-wage jobs. Businesses        It’s fiscally responsible.                 • Must create jobs at required wages
  can only capture personal income        "Foregone revenue means the jobs             to qualify. If the jobs aren’t created,
  from new jobs if average wages          would not have been here without the         no incentive is awarded.
  exceed regional median.                 incentive, so it does not impact the
                                                                                     • Has transparency and
                                          general fund
                                                                                       accountability. Required regular
• Does not favor only large projects or
                                          • It’s net positive long-term. The state     public reporting and evaluations of
  certain industries. Open to smaller
                                            forgoes some personal income tax           the program’s effectiveness, a 10%
  and mid-size companies who pay
                                            in the short-term, but it, as well as      penalty if any part of an agreement
  high wages. Only casinos, retail and
                                            sales tax and property taxes, accrue       with the State was misrepresented
  professional sports are ineligible.
                                            to the state over the long-term.
KLA: A Good Jobs for Michigan Case Study


                                      • A Silicon Valley based company that chose Michigan
                                        over 350 other North American locations for its new
                                        R&D facility and second headquarters

                                      • The Good Jobs for Michigan incentive was critical to
                                        bringing KLA to Michigan, along with our large
Industry:             Semiconductor     concentration of engineering and skilled talent
Approved:             2018
New Jobs Committed:   600             • Since receiving the Good Jobs for Michigan
Private Investment:   $217.83M          incentive in 2018, KLA has more than doubled its
Average Wage:         $112, 104         planned investment and increased its commitment
Incentive Award:      $16.2M            from 500 to 600 jobs, paying an average salary of
                                        $112,000 – almost 2.5 times the median wage for
                                        the region
  Michigan voters support efforts to match the incentives
  offered by our neighbors and other competitor states
Question: Do you support Michigan using more, the same, or less incentives as Ohio and Indiana to attract jobs and investment?



                More incentives to attract jobs                            45.7
                                                                                                      Michigan voters
                                                                                      80.3%           strongly support
                Same incentives to attract jobs                        34.6
                                                                                                      competing with
                                                                                                      neighboring
                 Less incentives to attract jobs           6.6                                        states on
                                                                                                      incentives
        Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER                      13.1


                       Source: The Glengariff Group, Inc. statewide survey of likely 2024 General Election voters, 600 sample,
                       live operator telephone survey, September 6-11, 2023, +/-4.0% MOE, 95% level of confidence


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