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Business Leaders for Michigan: Michigan Has a Ways to Go to Get to Top 10

Summary

Business Leaders for Michigan, the state's business roundtable, gave testimony to the Economic Development Committee with data on the state's economy. It says members drive 40% of the state's economy and employ more than 540,000 people, and that Michigan is ranked 31st, slipping two spots from 29th last year, against a goal of a Top 10 state. It cites Federal Reserve per capita income data from 1980-2021 and Bureau of labor and statistics projections for professional and business services. It then presents a Holistic Economic Development Framework under which Michigan becomes the Scale-Up State.

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“Business Leaders for Michigan: Michigan Has a Ways to Go to Get to Top 10.” Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/2023-05-09-testimony-hecon-2023-gabe-rodriguez-garriga-and-lindsay-cas-c25ec3be90/, SHA-256 6842eb114389b477d4996f8b9e6f6ecf56abadf297f0db62a811ecad3d0abf8b.

Full text

Economic Development
     Committee

                       1
Who We Are
Who We Are
Business Leaders for      Our members:
Michigan, the state’s
                          Drive 40% of the state’s economy
business roundtable, is
dedicated to making       Generate over $1 trillion in annual
Michigan a Top 10 state   revenue
for jobs, education,
                          Employ more than 540,000 people
widely shared             in Michigan
prosperity and a
healthy economy.          Educate more than half of all
                          Michigan public university students.
Michigan has a ways to go to get to Top 10



                       We are ranked
                       31st
                       slipping two spots
                       from 29th last year


            37   -2
  Michigan’s income has not kept pace with US

                                                                                                     US:$66,555       70,000
                                                  Per capita income ($) 1980-2021
                                                                                                                      60,000
             Michigan                                                                                    MI:$56,494
                                                                                                                      50,000
             US
                                                                        $39,887
                                                                                                                      40,000
                                                     $30,344            $35,760
                                                                                                                      30,000
                                                     $30,015
                                                                                                                      20,000
MI: $10,230                                                       This divergence coincides with a decline in
                                                                   manufacturing jobs in MI and lack of new           10,000
US: $9,843                                                         Professional and Business services jobs
                                                                                                                    0
   1980        1985       1990          1995          2000     2005       2010        2015        2020          2025




                        Source: Federal Reserve                                                                            5
  Professional and Business Services has seen one of the largest
  growth rates in the US, but not in Michigan
                                     Professional and Business Services                      Michigan
                                      Jobs (indexed on 2000 # of jobs)                       US
140                                                                                                     135%
                                                                                             129%

120
                                      110%
      100%
                                                                                             100%       100%
100
                                               100%
 80                                    90%
                                              77%
 60

 40
  01/00   01/02   01/04   01/06       01/08      01/10       01/12   01/14   01/16   01/18   01/20   01/22     01/24

                      US is projected to see an additional 2 million jobs in
                                  this area in the next 10 years
                                                                                                                   6
                    Source: Bureau of labor and statistics
Knowledge Economy Jobs will make up most of future growth

                                Projected employment change 2020-2030 (K)
                                                                                           Annual
                                                          US projections                  wage ($)
     Professional and
                                                                               2,020       73,263
    business services
          Construction                315                                                  70,007

    Financial activities              303                                                  80,184

           Information                283                                                  87,310

        Manufacturing           144                                                        64,768

              Logistics         141                                                        70,493

                           Michigan’s largest portion of Professional and Business Services, is
                               Research, Engineering and Design, a sector ripe for growth
                 Source: Bureau of labor and statistics                                              7
  Michigan is losing talent to knowledge
  economy hubs
              Top 10 net worker migration destinations (2010-2021)

Seattle
 3,800




     San                                                               9 of top destinations are
     Francisco                                                         Top 10 for knowledge
      2,800              Denver                                        economy jobs
                          3,000
  Los                                       Nashville
  Angeles     Phoenix                        3,000
    3,500        5,100                               Atlanta
                                                     3,900
                                  Dallas
                                   5,800                     Tampa
                                  Houston                      5,500
                                   3,500
These jobs require higher education, creating an income
gap for those without post-high school education
                      US weekly income 1981-2021 (adjusted for inflation)
                                    1981                             2021
                                                                                   1,452
                                                                +31%

                                +8%           1,049                  1,057
                                                                             925
                                    794 835                    809
                              737
                        618                              626




    No H.S. Degree    Only H.S. Degree     All workers     Some College/Associates         Bachelors or more



                Source: UofM RSQE                                                                              9
K-12 education improvement supports
economic development
Voters rank Michigan’s K-   Actual Rankings:
12 system

February 2022               Kids Count ranking       40th
26.5 out of 50

September 2022
                            Fourth grade reading     40th -1
26.2 out of 50
                            High school graduation   42nd   -1
   Michigan’s educational attainment rankings
   are last in Midwest
                                 Educational attainment rate
                                     (% of adults with degree or certificate)

                  62
     Michigan                                                                             Minnesota
                 60
    Target 60%
                 58
                                                                                          Illinois
                 56
                                                                                          Wisconsin
                 54
                                                                                          Indiana
                  52                                                                      Ohio
                 50                                                                       Michigan (37th)
                 48
                 46
                 44
Michigan (32nd)   42
                 40
                       2014   2015       2016      2017     2018     2019       2020   2021
~170K jobs at stake with the electric vehicle transition

                                169K jobs at risk


                                  123K indirectly
                                  impacted jobs


                                      46K directly
                                       impacted
                                         jobs




                                          California has announced a commitment to ban sale of new gasoline cars by 2035.
                                          Washington, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon and Vermont are likely to follow suit
* Source: CAR analysis of data provided by MEDC (D&B Hoover’s)
In 2021 Michigan was underperforming for battery plants,
but has landed 33% of new battery plants

Sept. 2021: NAM                              Feb. 2023: NAM            Recently announced plants
 battery plants                               battery plants

                                                               Jan.
                                                                             4,000 new jobs; $7B investment
                                                               2022
                      10              +15
                                                      25       Mar.
                                                                             1,200 new jobs; $1.7B investment
                                                               2022
                                                               Sept.
                                                                             2,350 new jobs; $2.4B investment
                                                               2022
                         2             +5
                                                      7        Oct.
                                                                             2,112 new jobs; $1.6B investment
                                                               2022
        Michigan has ~25% internal combustion
                                                               Feb.
        engine job share and 28% of announced                                2,500 new jobs; $3.5B investment
                     battery plants                            2023
                                                                                                          13
 * Source: Press search, previous data CAR research
Holistic Economic Development Framework
                         Defend and expand the core +
                              Diversify our state


                                    Entrepreneurs/      Customer           Competitive
     Place           Talent           Innovation         Service            Incentives
 • Industrial    • 4-yr degrees   • Spark and        • Make it easy for   • An effective
 • Community     • CC improvement   Anchor             businesses and       toolbox
   development   • K-12 reform      institutions       entrepreneurs        (SOAR, Payroll
 • Housing       • Attraction/    • VC, seed &         to grow (Local       tax credit, R&D
                   retention        angel funding      gov’t, MEDC,         tax credit)
                 • Employer led   • Ecosystem for      EGLE, etc.)
                   collaboratives   growth

                          Michigan becomes the Scale-Up State
                                                                                              14
The Why– Building a future that inspires

  • Opportunities for our kids so they don’t have to OR WANT TO move away
  • A welcoming state that acts as a magnet for talent and entrepreneurship
    from across the world
  • World class education and pathways to prosperity for all residents
  • High quality and affordable childcare, healthcare, housing and a feeling of
    security
  • Vibrant, safe communities with high quality of life, supported downtowns
    and small business growth




                                                                               15


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