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VDH Plan for Equitable Distribution of the COVID-19 Vaccine, Vaccine Equity Report (October 2022)

Summary

This is the Vaccine Equity Report for October 2022 from the Office of Health Equity in the Virginia Department of Health, titled VDH Plan for Equitable Distribution of the COVID-19 Vaccine. The monthly report gives an overview of vaccination equity in the Commonwealth of Virginia for September 2022 and compares Virginia with the other states in Region 3 of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). Its key findings state that at the end of September 2022, 72.6% of Virginia's population was fully vaccinated and 82.7% had received one dose, and that as of September 29th, 2022, 31 individuals younger than 20 have died from COVID-19 in Virginia. It also says the BA.5 variant was responsible for over half of all cases in Virginia at the end of July and August, according to CDC estimates.

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“VDH Plan for Equitable Distribution of the COVID-19 Vaccine, Vaccine Equity Report (October 2022).” Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/2022-rd627-8229d2ff06/, SHA-256 3cdd0e2a9b8c66b3ce4a1476219f16decf6427108050237dc0ab88b557d7668e.

Full text

VDH Plan
for
Equitable
Distribution
of the
COVID-19
Vaccine



October 2022


Office of Health Equity in the Virginia
Department of Health




                                           fJ.           HVIRCilNIA
                                                 D
                                           fl                     DEPARTMEr,..'T
                                                                 OF HEALTH
                                          l'roltttintl Yoe, a(ttl Your Enwvnmrnt
                                          w..wvdll. rgln1ag>v
Contents

Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................2
1. Key Equity Announcements and Critical Updates .......................................................... ...... ......3
2. Vaccination Equit:y"in Virginia ........................................................................................................6
   Vaccinations for 65+.........................................................................................................................6
   Vaccinations for Under 45 ....................................................... .......................................................7
   Race and Ethnicity                                                                                                                                      7
                                      1,1.,1 .,1,1••1•••• 1•• 1,, •••• ,1,1•1••••1 •••• •,1,,1 ,1,1,, 1,, 1,, 1•• 11, 1,,.,1.,1,1, •••••• , •••••••••••••••••••• ••••••••••••• ••••



   Rural Areas .............................. ......................................... ,............................................... ......... ... ....9
   Infections and Deaths Since Vaccine Availability.....................................................................12
31 Vaccinations in FEMA Region 3 ............................................................................................. ......15
   FEMA Region 3 and Race/Ethnicity................................................... .........................................16
41 Trends OverTime ...                                                                                                                                   19
                                         1•••••••1,,1,,, ,1,,1,1,,1,, ,,1,1,,,, ••, ••1,,.... ................. .......................................................




   Racial Groups as a Share of Total Vaccinations in Virginia .....................................................19
   Doses Administered ......................................................................................................................20
51 Vaccine                                                                                                                                               21
                    Hesitancy1,,,,1,,1,1,,1 , ,1,1,,1,,1,,,,1,,.,1 ,1,,,,1,,, ,1,1,, •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• •••••• •••••••••••• ••• ••• •••••



   Vaccination Mandates ....................................................................................... ............................22
6. On the Horizon ........................ ... ......................................................... ...........................................23




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                                                                                                  1
Executive Summary

This monthly report is from the Office Qf Health Equjty jn the Yirgjnia Depanmenr of lteaJtb. It
provides an overview of vaccination equity in the Commonwealth of Virginia, including key equity
accomplishments, for September 2022.

This report compares Virginia's equitable vaccination progress with other states in Region 3 of the
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), namely Delaware, the District of Columbia,
Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. Additionally, this report explores vaccine trends over
time, vaccination hesitancy, and equity considerations for vaccine distribution. An overview of
recent legislative, executive, and administrative actions is also included. Key findings include:

Impact of the Omicron Variant BA.5
   • At the end of July and August, the BA.5 variant was responsible for over half ofall cases in
       Virginia, according to CDC estimates (Source; Source}.

Trends in Average Daily Cases
   • As of September 28th, the highest average number of daily cases in Virginia for the month was
        28.9 cases per 100,000 people on September 1.11 (Source).

Vaccination Rates
   • At the end of September 2022, 72.6% of Virginia's population was fully vaccinated and 82.7%
       had received one dose of the vaccine (Source).

Impacts on Children
   • As of September 29th, 2022, 31 individuals younger than 20 have died from COVID-19 in
       Virginia (Source).
   • CDC data shows that three out of every four kids in Virginia has had COVID-19 (Source}.
   • Statewide rates for Virginia show that students have fallen behind on their routine school
       immunizations during the pandemic. It is yet another grim reminder of how the pandemic has
       indirectly and directly impacted life for Virginians (Sgurce}.
   • Ahead of the start of the 2022-2023 academic year, Governor Youngkin announced updated
       guidance on quarantine recommendations for people exposed to COVID-19 in K-12 schools,
       child care, and camp settings. The revised guidance was released on July 14th and states that
       quarantine is no longer recommended for asymptomatic individuals who were exposed to
       COVID-19-infected individuals in these settings().




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                  2
    1. Key Equity Announcements and Critical Updates

This section details equity-related announcements regarding COVID-19 in the Commonwealth of
Virginia during the month. It also provides information on critical updates relevant to Virginia's
responses to COVID-19. Equity announcements and critical updates from September include:

    •  September 1: The Richmond and Henrico County health districts announced that they will
       offer testing at the Fulton Neighborhood Resource Center, 1519 Williamsburg Road, from
       3:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m. on Thursday, September 1st (Source).
   • September 2: Less than a month into the school year, school staff and students continue to
       be affected by COVID-19. Since starting on August 9th, Washington County Virginia Public
       Schools (WCS) reported 485 new cases amongst its students and staff (S.frl.ltce).
   • September 2: The Virginia Beach Department of Public Health announced that it will host a
       free COVID-19 vaccination clinic on Wednesday, September 7th. The clinic will be held from
       4:30 p.m. to 6:30 p.m. at the New Light Full Gospel Baptist Church, located at 5549 Indian
       River Road (Source).
   • September 4: Recent data by the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association (VHHA)
       showed that COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations have started to plateau, indicating that
       COVID-19 may be transitioning from pandemic to endemic. Still, experts say it is hard to
       predict what might happen in the upcoming months, since COVID-19 tends to spread more
       in the fall. "If there's one thing we've learned from this pandemic, it's that COVID-19 is hard
       to predict," said Dr. Elaine Perry, director of the Richmond and Henrico Health Districts
       (Source:).
   • September 5: VD H's Chief Deputy Commissioner for Community Health Services, Dr.
       Parham Jaberi, announced that new COVID booster shots are available to the public starting
       this week. The CDC recommends that teens and adults get updated booster shots from
       Pfizer or Moderna (Pfizer for those aged twelve and up and Moderna for those aged 18 and
       up). "We will get access increasingly over the course of the month," Dr. Jaberi said. "The goal
       with these [boosters] is to give additional protection, specifically against the Omicron
       subvariant b.4 and b.S. That's what's new in these vaccines. They're going to give you
       additional and better protection against the common circulating strains of COVID right now
       in the community." (Source)
   • September 6: The Prince William Health District's mobile vaccine clinic announced that it
       will offer the new Pfizer BioNTech 'bivalent' COVID-19 booster for the first time on
       September 6th and 8th. The new booster shot has been formulated to combat both the
       original strain of the coronavirus as well as the Omicron variant and subvariants BA.4 and
       BAS (Source).
   • September 7: Starting on September 7th, eligible Virginia residents were able to schedule
       appointments with their healthcare providers to receive the new, free COVI D-19 bivalent
       booster vaccinations, manufactured by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna. The new updated
       boosters are targeted specifically at the BA.4 and BAS subvariants of the Omicron variant
       that initially emerged in the United States in November 2021 (Source).
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                  3
    •September 8: The Richmond and Henrico County health districts announced that they are
     offering free community testing for COVID-19. The testing will be held on September 8th and
     15th at the Fulton Neighborhood Resource Center from 3:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m. and on
     September 14th from 8:00 to 10:00 a.m. at the East Henrico Recreation Center (Source).
   • September 9: COVID-19 modeling by the University of Virginia (UVA) indicates that new
     bivalent boosters could have a significant impact on COVID-19, potentially preventing
     225,000 cases, 9,000 hospitalizations, and 850 deaths (Sou).
   • Septem ber 10: VDH announced that it is reopening its Community Vaccination Clinic at
     Military Circle Mall in Norfolk on September 12th. On specific days and times, the
     monkeypox and COVID-19 vaccines (including the new bivalent booster) will be provided
     (Smtrce).
   • September 12: In the last seven days period, Virginia averaged 1,739 newly reported cases a
     day. In the prior seven-day period, Virginia averaged 2,310 newly reported cases a day.
     Since March 2020, Virginia has reported 2,062,984 cases of COVID-19 to date (Source).
   • September 13: According to the CDC's weekly updates of community COVID-19 levels,
     community transmission levels remain high but stable in the Roanoke City and Alleghany
     Health Districts (Source).
   • September 14: The past week's average daily newly reported cases are 11.89% lower than
     the previous seven-day period (Source).
   • September 15: The Rappahannock County Public Schools (RCPS) Superintendent Dr.
     Shannon Grimsley presented the school board with new COVID-19 guidance from VDH on
     Tuesday. For children that experience COVI D-19 symptoms and test positive, VDH
     recommends that they should quarantine at home for five days, and can return to school
     once their symptoms have improved and there is no fever. On days 6 through 10, VDH is
     advising the child to wear a mask. RCPS is no longer conducting contact tracing, data
     gathering, or daily health screenings for staff (Source).
   • September 16: The seven-day positivity rate for COVID-19 in Virginia dropped to 16.7% and
     new cases were down this last week by 12% (Source).
   • Sept e mber 17: Within the past week, VDH reported that 11,600 more people tested positive
     for COVID-19 out of the 63,316 PCR tests that VDH processed (Source).
   • September 20: The CDC announced on September 20th that it granted five-year awards to
     five state public health systems. The awards is part of the Pathogen Genomics Centers of
     Excellence (PGCoE) network. The PGCoE network is intended to foster and improve
     innovation and technical capacity in pathogen genomics, molecular epidemiology, and
     bioinformatics to better prevent, control, and respond to microbial threats of public health
     importance. One of the awardees is the Virginia Division of Consolidated Laboratory
     Services, who will partner with VDH, the Virginia Commonwealth University, and the
     University of Virginia. Combined, the PGCOEs will serve as a network to: perform a
     landscape analysis of gaps, needs, and opportunities for genomics in the United States
     public health system; pilot and implement genomics technologies and applications for
     public health; and prepare for and respond to infectious disease threats (Source).

Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                           4
   •   Septem ber 21: In the last week, Virginia reported 10,239 new cases. In the last seven days,
       Virginia has averaged 1,463 newly reported cases a day. In the prior seven-day period,
       Virginia averaged 1,778 newly reported cases a day (Source).
   •   September 22: The Richmond and Henrico County health districts announced that they are
       offering free community testing at the following locations:
           o Thursday, Sept. 22, 3:30 to 5:30 p.m. - Fulton Neighborhood Resource Center, 1519
               Williamsburg Road.
           o Thursday, Sept. 22 & Sept. 29, 1:00 to 4:00 p.m. - Richmond Henrico Health District,
               400 E. Cary St., Pfizer for ages 6 months and older, Moderna for ages 6 months to 5
               years old and ages 18 years and older.
           o Wednesday, Sept. 28, 1:00 to 4:00 p.m. - Henrico Health District West Headquarters,
               8600 Dixon Powers Drive, Pfizer for ages 6 months and older, Moderna for ages 6
               months to 5 years old and ages 18 years and older (Source).
   •   September 23: According to data from the Virginia Hospital & Healthcare Association
       (VHHA), more than 550 additional COVID-19 patients were discharged from Virginia
       hospitals over the past week. As of Friday, there were 605 hospitalized patients confirmed
       positive for COVID-19, which is down from 657 (-52) last Friday (Source).
   •   September 25: In the last seven days, Virginia's COVI D-19 positivity rate dropped to 13.1%
       and new cases were down by 13% (Source).
   •   Septem ber 26: For the second week in a row, COVID-19 community levels have been low in
       the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District. "COVID remains in our communities. Although
       reported COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations are declining, an average of 400 Americans
       continue to die from COVID every day," stated the weekly Friday update on Sept. 23 from
       the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District (So.utce).
   •   September 28: Shannan Green, M.D., the new medical director of University Student Health
       Services at Virginia Commonwealth University, discussed challenges that the student body
       faces regarding COVID-19, monkeypox, and mental health. "One of the biggest issues l see
       facing the campus as we transition through the COVID-19 pandemic is addressing the
       mental health needs of our community in a way that is inclusive," she said (Source).




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                              5
     2. Vaccination Equity in Virginia

At the end of September, over 16.9 million COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in
Virginia (Source). With 72.6% of the population fully vaccinated, Virginia ranks 11th in the country
for the percentage of the population that has been fully vaccinated against COVID-19 (Souref;
Source). At present, 82. 7% of all Virginians have received at least one dose of a vaccine (Source),
which is above the 79.5% national total vaccination rate receiving at least one dose (Source).
Virginia's fully vaccinated rate, 72.6%, is higher than the 67.8% national total fully vaccinated rate
(Source). On average, Virginia is administering approximately 15,021 vaccination doses per day
(Source).

Figure 1: Vaccinations by Age (One Dose)
 Vaccination Count                                       Percent of the Population Vaccinated with At
 By Age Group                                            Least One Dose - By Age Group
          0-4148,076                                            0-4 .106,-

         5-11 - 337, 087                                       5-11

        12·15 - 325,911                                       12-15

        16-17 • 166,581                                       16·17

        18·24                                                 18·24

        25-34                                                 25·34

        35-44                                                 35-44

        45-54                                                 45.54

        55-64                              1,026,l!liS        55-64

        65·7"                                                 65-74                               97. 71.

        75-34 - 399, 667                                      75·84

          85+ • 137,721

 Not Reported 373,511

Source
Vaccinations for 65+

As seen in Figure 1, VDH reports the following age ranges: 65-74, 75-84, and 85+ (SQUr). At the
end of September, 96.1% of those ages 65+ were vaccinated (Source).




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                        6
Vaccinations for Under 45

The reported age ranges in Virginia are: 0-4, 5-11, 12-15, 16-17, 18-24, 25·34, and 35-44. As seen
on VD H's COVID-19 dashboard, 60.9% ofthose aged 5-17 years have been vaccinated with at least
one dose, up by 0.3% from last month. 87.3% ofindividuals older than 5, up by 0.2% since last
month, have been vaccinated with at least one dose. Furthermore, 92.6% of the population over the
age of 18 have been vaccinated with at least one dose, up by 0.1% from last month. Data are also
reported by each age group for percentages ofthe population vaccinated with at least one dose:
10.6% of0-4 year olds (up from 9.0% last month), 46.5% of5-11 year olds (up from 46.1%), 76.4%
of 12-15 year olds (up from 76.3%), 78.6% of16-17 year olds (up from 78.4%), 78.9% of 18-24
year olds (up from 78.8%), 79.3% of25-34 year olds (up from 79.2%), and 84.9% of 35-44 year
olds (no change since last month) (Source).

Race and Ethnicity

Figure 2: Vaccination Count and Percent of Population Vaccinated by Race and Ethnicity
(One Dose)
   Vaccination Count                                                       Percent of the Eligible Population Vaccinated
   By Race and Ethnicity                                                   with At Least One Dose - By Race and Ethnicity*
     Asmu;r Pacific Islander 11576,765                                      Asian or Pacific lsla11i:ter

                     Black - 1. 062, 393
                                                                                                 Back
                    Lanno 11657,332


           Native American I 29,543

                                                                                                                                  117 8%
                    Wh.te                                      3.448 661

               Olller Race
                             1331.909
                                                                                                Whte

                             OM       1M      2M         3M       4M                                       50.0          1000%
                                           Peop:e Vaccinated                                                Percent 1/acclnated

  Not Reported 999.131

Source
*This data source does not include population estimates for the Other Race category. No population
estimates are available for out-ofstate individuals or those without a reported locality. More
information about population estimates can be found at this link:
httn.;L/www.oic,gpvLncbs,Ln vsslbricJ.ued r:ace.h tm

The percentage of Native Americans that are vaccinated can be above 100% for two reasons.
   1. There are small numbers of vaccinations and small population estimates for Native Americans
       at the city/county level in Virginia. VDH gets population estimates from the National Center
       for Health Statistics (NCHS). For example, there were 3 Native American vaccinations in a
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                                                       7
       county. Population estimates say there were only 2 people who identify as Native American in
       that same county. This means that the data would say there were 3 vaccinations over 2 people
       in the population. This would equal 150%, or a percentage over 100%.
    2. Some people may identify that they are Native American and multi-race when they are getting
       their vaccine. They will be categorized as Native American only in the data system. This is
       because population estimates from NCHS do not include multi-race as an option. I/there was a
       multi-race option, a person who identified as Native American and multi-race would be in the
       multi-race population estimates.

Table 1: Vaccination Distribution by Race and Ethnicity

                        Race and ethnicity                    Percent of people with at least one dose with
                                                                      reported race and ethnicity
 Black                                                                           17.4%
 Latino                                                                          10.8%
 Asian or Pacific Islander                                                        9.4%
 White                                                                           56.5%
Source

According to Figure 2 and Table 1, as of September 28th, the key race and ethnicity breakdowns for
those receiving at least one dose are as follows (with little change since last month):
    • First, Blacks have received 17.4% of all vaccinations and 65.8% of Blacks have been
        vaccinated with at least one dose.
    • Second, Latinos have received 10.8% of all vaccinations and 84.3% of Latinos have been
        vaccinated with at least one dose.
    • Third, Asians or Pacific Islanders have received 9.4% of all vaccinations and 93.4% of Asians
        or Pacific Islanders have been vaccinated with at least one dose.
    • Fourth, Whites have received 56.5% of all vaccinations and 67.6% of Whites have been
        vaccinated with at least one dose (Source.).

Figure 3: Cases by Race and Ethnicity
                Cases by Race and Ethnicity"
                       All Health Districts - Past 13 Weeks
  As.•n"' Poclfi< l,..nde,   I   9,045

                    Block-41,148

                   l.>nno. 14,742

         N•DW Am..    i<.,.1169
                   White                             97.714

              01hef R,aice   I   9,044

       Two or more ra.ce'5o 12,647

            No, Reported


Source
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                          8
"For more information on how VDH is presenting data on race and ethnicity, visit:
https;/fwww.vdh,vJrgfnia,90yj£amnavirusj2D2JU0.Rl16/rnce-and-ethnicit;rrwortin9-updqwL

Case counts continue to occur amongst Virginia's population, making it more important to focus
efforts on vaccination. Moving forward, continuing to collect data on race and ethnicity will be
crucial to making more progress on vaccine equity in Virginia. This is especially true given the
known increased and disproportional risks faced by historically marginalized populations in
experiencing the worst effects and outcomes of COVID-19, including death. Likely explanations for
the unequal burden of disease on these populations include social vulnerability, social determinants
of health, and a pattern of historical disparity. It will be crucial to pay attention to these disparities
as the cooler months begin, possibly bringing another wave of COVID-19 cases.

Rural Areas
Figure 4 below displays the rural (non-metropolitan) areas in Virginia as defined by the Office of
Management and Budget (0MB) (Source;). Areas in pink are rural localities while areas in beige
are considered non-rural (as defined by the 0MB).

Figure 4: Rural and Non-Rural Areas in Virginia


                   D    Rural Looalllles


                   D    Non-Rural Localities




Source

Another way to examine rural and urban disparities is to examine rural, urban, suburban and
exurban areas. The lsserman Classification system (shown in Table 2 below) uses a combination of
urban area population and population density to identify counties as urban, rural, or mixed.

Table 2: Percent Population Vaccinated by Urban and Rural Jurisdictions (by Age Groups)
2013 SRHP lsserman Classlflcatlon              Stoll   Uto17   16to 17    18to30   31 to50   Slto64   65+   Grand Total
Mixed Urban                                    OJ%      69%      3%        68%      69%       8t'i\   88%      72%
Urban                                          38%      69%     15,'11,    60%      72%       82%     86%      70%
Mixed Rural                                    2S%      49%     56%        S4%      60%       73%     82%      62%
Rural                                          17%      41%     47%        48%      54%       69%     78%      58%
Grand Total                                    34"      62"     67"        59"      67"       78"     84"      67"

Source
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                                      9
Rural areas, especially in south-central and southwest Virginia, continue to have lower vaccination
rates as compared to other areas of the state. There have been some improvements, primarily
concentrated in the north-central and northern regions (Figure 5). Vaccination hesitancy continues
to be an issue throughout the Commonwealth. As seen in Figure 6, counties across Virginia are
experiencing medium to high risk levels. Risk levels have improved this month in comparison to
August when almost the entire Commonwealth was experiencing highly elevated risk levels
(Source). As the winter draws nearer, increasing vaccination rates will be crucial to maintaining
lower risk levels.

Figure 5: Vaccinations by Locality - Rate per 100,000 Population - As of September 30th,
2022
   At Least One Dose Rate per
   100,000 Population

     43911 • 47263
     47264 - 50871
   • 50872 - 54755
   • 54756 - 58935
   • 58936 - 63435
   • 63436 · 68277
   • 68278+




  Prople Not Mapped: l 057 ,805

Source




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                             10
Figure 6: COVID-19 Risk Levels by Locality in September




      Risk levels.        Gte.en                     Ytltow       Orange

Source
Third, as shown in Figures 7 and 8, some urban and rural disparities remain in terms of cases as
measured by rates per 100,000 people. Some rural counties continue to show slightly higher rates
of cases throughout the Commonwealth.

Figure 7: Cases of COVID-19 Over the Last 13 Weeks in Virginia: Urban and Rural
                           Rates mat are oas e on counts le;.s
   Rates per 100,000 of    than 15 stwxM be ilcrl)rct with
   Cases by Report Date    caunon
   C' < 250
   0 500.1 • 900.0
   • 900.1 · 1600.0
   • 1600.1 · 2900.0
   • 2900.1 5400.C
   • 5400 1 • 10000.0




Source




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                           11
Figure 8: Deaths from COVID- 19 Over the Last 13 Weeks in Virginia: Urban and Rural
                            Rates tna1 are based on counts iess
  Rates per 100,000 of      tM 15 sl'IOult:l i,e ,ntel'J)rete<:i >;"th
  Deaths by Date of Death   cunon
  0<6
  D6.0-10.0
  D 10.1-20.0
  • 20.1- 50.0
  • 50.1-100.0




Source

Infections and Deaths Since Vaccine Availability

VD H's data reveal that vaccinations have saved lives (So.urce; Source). Despite some progress in
recent months, disparities remain in infections and deaths since the availability of vaccines,
especially concerning: 1) race; 2) age and sex; and 3) urban-rural divides. As shown in Table 3,
disparities detailed in previous vaccine equity reports remain. Whites represent 61 % of the
population, 56% of cases, and 67% of deaths. Blacks represent only 19% of the population yet 23%
of cases and 23% of deaths. Further, Hispanics make up 10% of the population yet 14% of cases
and 6% of deaths. When comparing the percentages in the population, both Blacks and Hispanics
still disproportionately contract COVID-19, and Blacks disproportionately die from it.

Table 3: Comparisons ofCOVID-19 Cases, Deaths, and Population
                                              %of Cases                   %ofDeaths   % of Total Population
 White                                               56%                    67%               61%
 Black                                               23%                    23%               19%
 Hispanic                                            14%                     6%               10%
 Asian                                                 4%                    3%                7%
 Other                                                 3%                    1%                3%
Source

Secondly, as shown below in Figures 9 and 10, patterns concerning cases and deaths by age and sex
remain similar in September as they were in previous months. Concerning cases and age, those

Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                      12
aged between 30-39 continue to comprise the segment of the population with the single largest
number of cases. Regarding cases and sex, those identifying as females tend to represent more
COVID-19 cases. Concerning deaths and age, those ages SO+ comprise most of the deaths from
COVID-19 with noted rises in deaths for successive age groups and with the bulk of deaths
occurring in the age 80+ category. Regarding deaths and sex, those identifying as male tend to die at
a slightly higher rate than those identifying as female.

Figure 9: Cases of COVID-19 in Virginia: Demographics
                                            Cases by Age Group -
                              All Health Districts - Past 13 Weeks
      Ace Group
             0.9

           l(H9

           20.29

           30-39                                            36,970

           40-49

           S0-S9

           60-69

           70.79

             80+-11,070

                   j
    Nol Repo<ted 176


                                    Cases by Race and Ethnicity" •
                               All Health Districts - Past 13 Weeks
      Asian or Pacihc 1,lander      I   9.045

                            Bk-41,148

                           lino • 14,742

             Ha- it.merican 1369

                                                             97,714

                       Othe, Race   I   9.044

          Two or more races 12,647

               Not Reported                       60.862


                                                     Cases by Sex -
                              All Health Districts - Past 13 Weeks
          FemAle                                            131,134

            Male


Source

Afor more information on how VDH is presenting data on race and ethnicity, visit:
https:IJwww.vdh. vir9inia.ooll/cnronavirus/202Q/(l6/16/rac;e-and-ethnici-rwortin9·update.(
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                              13
Figure 10: Deaths by COVID-19 in Virginia: Demographics
                          Deaths by Age Group -
             All Health Districts - Past 13 Weeks
  A,:e Group
          0,913

       10.19   Io
       20,29 2 I
       30,39. 14

       40.49   I    25

       50.59 .52

       6().69-114

       70.79

         80+                                             451

Not Reported O I
                             Deaths by Race and Ethnicity" -
                         All Health Districts - Past 13 Weeks
  Asian or Pacific Islander   I    10

                     Black-156

                     Latino   I   13

         NIDU! Amerkan 2      I
                     White                               644


               Other Race 1   I
       Two or more races      13
            Not Reported      16
                                               Deaths by Sex -
                         All Health Districts - Past 13 Weeks
      female

        Male

Source

"For more information on how VDH is presenting data on race and ethnicity, visit:
https:L/www.vdh. virg{nia.govlcoronavfrus/2020106!16!race-and·ethnicity·reuoning-updatel




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                       14
    3. Vaccinations in FEMA Region 3

Regarding COVID-19 risk levels in September (Figure 11), most of Region 3 is currently
experiencing medium or high risk levels. The risk levels for Virginia in September were lower than
what they were in August. At present, West Virginia is the most at-risk in FEMA Region 3. Virginia
has 1,330.6 new daily cases, a seven-day moving average of 15.6 new cases per 100,000 people
(last month, Virginia saw 2,682.9 new daily cases with a seven-day moving average of 31.4 new
cases per 100,000 people). These numbers place Virginia fourth out of sixth in FEMA Region 3 in
terms of COVID-19 risk level, meaning that this month was better for Virginia's rankings than last
month when Virginia came in second. To compare, in the month of January 2022, Virginia had
9,194.0 new daily cases with a seven-day moving average of107.7 new cases per 100,000 people.

Figure 11: COVID-19 Risk Levels in September by County across FEMA Region 3



                                                                                i
   State/County      Rank Daily new       Daily new
                          cases per       cases(7d




                                                                       ..it!
                           100k people    moving
                          t7d moving      avg.I
                          avg.I
                     A




                                                                            .,
   B West Virginia                 22.9       411.1




                                                                       ·-
   El Delaware                    22.D        214.0
   B Pennsylvania                  19.5      2.501. 4
   B Virginia
   B Maryland
                         t.
                         5
                                   15.6
                                   14.2
                                             1.3306
                                              859.J                            •
   B D1stnct of          I,        13.2         93.1

                                                                  ..
      Columbia
                                                        ""'' •         O..ur        -:.-,   "
Source

Further, as seen in Figure 12 below, updated FEMA data are available concerning linkages
between vaccination coverage (low to high) and rankings on the social vulnerability index (SVI).
As shown below, Virginia particularly faces issues of high SVI and low vaccination coverage. In
Virginia, these issues especially affect the south-central and southwest parts of the state.




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                               15
Figure 12: Percent of Population Fully Vaccinated by Social Vulnerability Index, FEMA
Region 3
                        •counrJa with 1-r rponln6 rMSS
               for IIOCdnarJon COYMJ8': Should W inlu,lrff«I with coufJon.




               1.DwSVI        i.--ModSVI
               LowVC            LowVC


               CMJ.2S          0.2501-0.50        0.5001-CI, 75     0.7501+1.0
                     Social Vulnerabmty Index (SVI}
Source

FEMA Region 3 and Race/Ethnicity
All areas in FEMA Region 3 continue to show racial disparities in the percentages of vaccines
administered. Both Blacks and Hispanics/Latinos continue to see some improvements in
vaccination percentages, but Blacks are still behind in vaccinations. The vaccination disparity for
the Latino population reversed as of July 11, 2022, with 82% of Latinos vaccinated compared to
68% of Whites (Source). Virginia remains a leader in working to close gaps between the percentage
of cases and the percentage of vaccinations for Blacks, Hispanics/Latinos, and Asians. Still,
comparing state vaccination rates by race and ethnicity is challenging because of reporting
inconsistency and missing data on race and ethnicity (Source). Data shown below in Figures 13-16
are current as of April 4, 2022.

Figure 13: Blacks as a Share of COVID-19 Trends, FEMA Region 3
                                         Black         ' Black% of
                                         % of          ·    Total
I         Location                 ;     Cases !          Population !
    Delaware                                    24%                      22%
    District of Columbia                        57%                     45%

    Maryland                                    33%                      30%
    Pennsylvania                                  8%                     10%
    Virginia                                    23%                      19%
    West Virginia                                 5%                         3%

Source
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                             16
                            I                                % of                     % of
                            .                            Vaccinations           Vaccinations
                            '    Black% of               with Known             with Known
       Loc,H,on         ;       Vacc1nat1ons :               Race       :           Ethnicity

 Delaware                                    20%                    97%                         78%
 01stnct of Columbia                         46%                    88%                         92%
 Maryland                                    28%                    97%                         96%

 Pennsylvania t                                  7%                 91%                         78%
 Virgma                                         17',I;              85%                         85%
 West V1rgL,i1a l                                4,                 97%                          NR

Source
Figure 14: Hispanics as a Share of COVID-19 Trends, FEMA Region 3
                                        Hispanic           Hispanic%
                                    I    % of                of Total
          Location              ;        Cases             Population          


 Delaware                                         18%                   10%

 District of Columbia                             14%                   11%

 Maryland                                         17%                   11%

 Pennsylvania                                     14%                       8%

 Virginia                                         14%                   10%

 West Virginia                                      3%                      I'll,

Source
                            I                               %of                      % of
                                Hispanic%                Vaccinations          Vaccinations
                                        of               with Known         I with Known
        lorntion        ;       Vaccinations                Race        :           Ethnicity     :

 Oefaw.ire                                   11%                    97%                         78%
 District of Columbia                         15%                   88%                         92%
 Maryl.ind                                    11%                   97%                         96%
 Pennsylvania 1                                  7%                 91%                         78%
 Virginia                                    11%                    85%                         85%
 West Virginia 2                                 NR                 97%                          NR

Soutee




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                  17
Figure 1S: Asians as a Share of COVID-19 Trends, FEMA Region 3
                                 , Asian            Asian % of
                                    % of              Total
          Location              ; Cases :           Population
                                  1
 Delaware                                   2%                    4%

 District of Columbia                       2%                    4%

 Maryland                                   3%                    6%

 Pennsylvania                               2%                    4%

 Virginia                                   4%                    7%

 West Virginia                            <1%                     1%

Source
                                                    % of               % of
                          !
                                                Vacc1nc1t1ons     Vaccinations
                               Asian% of        with Known        with Known
      Loc .. 110n     ;       Vaccinations :        Race            Ethnicity     ;

DelawJre                                 6'l6              97%                  78%
D,srnct of Columbia                      6%                88%                  92%
Maryland                                 8%                97%                  96%
PennsylvJ,ma 1                           3%                91%                  78%
v,,gm1a                                  9%                85%                  85%
West Virgi111J 1                         NR                97%                   NR

Source
Figure 16: Whites as a Share of COVJD-19 Trends, FEMA Region 3
                                    White          White% of
                                    % of             Total
          Location                 Cases :        Population :

 Delaware                                 47%                    61%

 District of Columbia                     21%                    37%

 Maryland                                 43%                    50%

 Pennsylvania                             74%                    76%

 Virgmia                                  56%                    61%

 West Virginia                            91%                    93%

Source




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                  18
                                             1
                                                    %of                  %of
                                             I Vaccinations           Vaccinations
                                                                  I
                         1   White% of           with Known           with Known
       Locllon         ; i Vaccinations ; ·        Race      :        Ethnicity      :

 lx!lawJre                             70%                 97%                     78%
 D1str ct of Columbia                  47%                 88%                     92%

 Maryland                              53%                 97%                     96%
 Pennsylll,mkl 1                       74%                 91%                     78%

 Virgm•a                               57%                 85%                     85%

 West Vu-g ma 2'                       92%                 97%                       NR

Source
Notes:
   1. Data does not include Philadelphia County due to differences in reporting data. As of 6/21, PA
       total population data was updated to exclude Philadelphia; data should not be compared to
       earlier periods due to these data changes or corrections.
   2. Data prior to 4/12 will not reflect people receiving the single dose ofthe Janssen vaccine
       because the data reflects people receiving the first dose oftwo-dose vaccinations.

    4. Trends Over Time
A little over two years into the COVID-19 pandemic, there are still inequities in overall vaccination
rates. However, these inequities have declined over time in Virginia. Overall, minorities have
consistently had less access to vaccinations, and lower overall vaccination rates, than Whites.
Recently, those gaps have begun to narrow and VDH is working to further dispel disparities. In
addition, the 7-day average number of cases increased last winter due to the Omicron variant,
declined significantly during the spring, and started to climb again in late spring and summer. As
part of its efforts to address inequities, VDH has transitioned its community testing centers to a
mobile clinic model in order to be able to reach areas that have low access to testing. Moving
forward, particular attention should be given to the Black population as they still suffer the worse
vaccination disparity out of all other racial and ethnic groups. These items are discussed further,
with a focus on racial equity, in the sections that follow.

Racial Groups as a Share of Total Vaccinations in Virginia
In Virginia, Whites make up 61% of the total population and 56.5% of the population with reported
race and ethnicity that have been vaccinated with at least one dose (no change since last month).
Blacks make up 19% of Virginia's total population and 17.4% of the one-dose vaccinated population
(no change). 10% of Virginia's population is Hispanic and 10.8% of the vaccinated population in
Virginia is reported to be Latino (no change). Asians make up 7% of Virginia's total population
while Asian and Pacific Islanders make up 9.4% of the vaccinated population in the Commonwealth
(no change) (Smu:re; Source). Looking at vaccination coverage data since the start of the vaccine
rollout, vaccinations occurred amongst Blacks at only 0.9 times the rate of Whites. Cases and deaths
occurred amongst Blacks at 1.2 and 1.5 times the rate of Whites, respectively, when looking at
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                              19
cumulative data across the entire pandemic. While some progress has been made in closing the
disparity gap for vaccinations amongst racial groups, the Black population is notably behind other
minority groups in Virginia when it comes to vaccination percentages.

Blacks especially carry an unequal burden of disease in Virginia when compared to Whites and
Asians, as shown in Figure 17. Amongst Latinos, when analyzing data from the start of the vaccine
rollout, vaccinations occurred at 1.1 times the rate of Whites while cases and deaths each occurred
at 1.3 times the rate of Whites. VDH has been working throughout the pandemic to address these
health disparities. Fortunately, some notable progress occurred in the last three months. As shown
in Figure 17, rate ratios within the time period of the last three months reveal that, when compared
to the cumulative rate ratios discussed above, the disparity gaps in vaccination status amongst
Blacks and Latinos have disappeared. While Blacks continued to experience a disproportionately
higher burden of cases, deaths, and hospitalizations in the last three months when compared to
Whites, the rate ratio gaps are still smaller than what they were cumulatively, indicating some
recent progress in health equity. The data in Figure 17 used to be publicly available on VD H's
Health Equity dashboard, but is now stored internally.

Figure 17: Racial and Ethnic Distribution of Burden of Disease in Virginia Over the Last
Three Months (according to vaccinations, cases, deaths, and hospitalizations)
 Select Helth Oistriict                    Time Period                     • Rate Category
 (Affects all charts on page)               (Affects bar chert only}          • Case               vacdnated
 ------------ "] !3month•
 F:                                                                         "I    .Death
                                                                                  • Hospita1izea


  Asian or Pacific                          0.8
  Islander
                                      0.6
                                0.4
                                                                                 2.1
                                                        1.1
                                                              1.3

                                                                       18
                                                   .o
                                            08




Doses Administered
Between October 2021 and March 2022, Virginia saw a spike in the 7-day average of doses
administered. In general, the number of vaccines administered decreased as the winter Omicron
surge subsided. As of September 29th, the peak average number of vaccines administered in
September occurred on September 24th, with 15,021 doses (Source). These trends in Virginia
generally match that of the United States as a whole, which saw an increase in demand for vaccines
during the winter months when the first Omicron variant was spreading, then a general decrease in
demand from the second half of January onward, and a slight uptake in vaccinations again as the
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                             20
BAS subvariant began to spread (Source; Source). As the fall season begins, the daily number of
vaccines administered is starting to rise again statewide and nationally, as shown below.

Figure 18: Daily Number of Administered COVID-19 Vaccine Doses and 7-Day Average in the
United States

                 Daily Count of Doses by Date of Vaccine Administration, United States



    ,U.01'--------,1-1--------------------------


    t------+ti-tfJt.at+-------------------------




(Blue bars represent daily numbers and red line shows 7-day average) Source

    5. Vaccine Hesitancy
With close to 17 million vaccination doses administered, and a little over 7 million people (82.7%)
vaccinated with at least one dose, Virginia's vaccination rates surpass the national rate of 79.5%
(       ; Source). This percentage includes those who have received at least one dose as well as
those who are fully vaccinated (67.8% of the U.S. population is fully vaccinated while 72.6% of
Virginia's population is fully vaccinated). However, there is still nearly 30% of Virginia's population
who has not been fully vaccinated (Source). Working to vaccinate a larger percentage of the
population and reducing vaccine hesitancy are important factors in combating the pandemic,
especially with the school year now underway across Virginia [Source).

Looking at nationwide trends from Kaiser Family Foundation polling, there has been some change
over time between December 2020 and July 2022 when it comes to individuals who say that they
will "definitely not" get vaccinated. Data indicate that, while 14% said that they would not get
vaccinated in January 2022, 19% said the same in the latest poll from July 2022 (£oun;,e:).
Throughout 2021, there were some changes in attitudes in Virginia as well. A May 2021 poll
conducted by the Research Institute for Social Equity (RISE) at VCU's Wilder School found that 32%
of those not vaccinated (n = 84/259) said that they were "not at all likely" to get vaccinated. In June
2021, the same poll found that 47% of those not vaccinated (n = 91/183) were "not at all likely" to
get vaccinated (Sou). Between these polls, both the percentage and the total number of those
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                 21
who were not at all likely to get vaccinated increased. More recent polls by RISE regarding attitudes
towards vaccination have either not been conducted yet or the results have not yet been released.

According to a statewide survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, 87% of
unvaccinated adults in Virginia say they do not plan on getting vaccinated for COVID-19 (Soorce).
Their reasons for not getting vaccinated included:
    • Concerns that the vaccine could cause other health problems (28% of respondents)
    • Doubts about the health threat posed by COVID-19 (22%)
    • Doubts about vaccines in general
    • Feeling that the vaccine is unnecessary for individuals who have already contracted
        coronavirus (17%)
    • Skepticism about the federal government's role in vaccine development (13%). (Source)
In order to combat vaccine hesitancy, VDH is working to communicate the benefits of vaccination to
the public. VDH experts regularly communicate with local media to answer questions and offer
information about COVID-19 vaccines in Virginia (for example, and).

More recent polling from the Kaiser Family Foundation indicates who remains unvaccinated. The
most recent poll is from July 2022. Of those adults who have not gotten a vaccine:
   • 58% are individuals between the ages of 18-49
   • 28% are between the ages of 30-49
   • 31% have a high school education or less
   • 31% identify as Republican
   • 32% have annual incomes less than $40k
   • 21% reside in suburban areas and 33% reside in rural areas (Source)

Vaccination Mandates
On September 9, 2021, President Biden unveiled an action plan to mandate vaccines for employers
with 100 or more personnel, federal workers, and healthcare providers (Source). In January 2022,
the Biden Administration withdrew its mandate following the Supreme Court's decision to block it.
On January 15, 2022, the Governor of Virginia issued Executive Director Number Two (2022),
rescinding Executive Directive Number 18 (2021), and with it the vaccine mandate for state
employees (S.o:un:e). On January 26, 2022, Virginia's Attorney General issued an advisory opinion
concluding that Virginia colleges and universities did not have the authority to require COVID-19
vaccinations as a condition of enrollment or in-person attendance, superseding a prior opinion
(Ke). These actions effectively ended vaccine mandates in Virginia.

On January 20, 2022, the Governor of Virginia announced the COVID-19 Action Plan with three key
activities: (1) COVID-19 Vaccine Marshall Plan for Virginia, (2) Expanded Healthcare Flexibility &
Support, and (3) Prioritized Testing Guidelines (S:ource). His plan was updated on February 21,
2022 to include Treatment in activity (2) and to replace activity (3) with Charting a Path to
Normalcy. The White House released its March 2022 National COVID-19 Preparedness Plan with
an outline of its four key goals: (1) Protect against and treat COVID-19, (2) Prepare for new
Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                               22
variants, (3) Prevent economic and educational shutdowns, and (4) Continue to lead the effort to
vaccinate the world and save lives (Source). These plans signaled a new phase in the pandemic
response for Virginia and the nation. On July 14th, Governor Youngkin announced updated
guidance on quarantine recommendations for people exposed to COVID-19 in K-12 schools, child
care, and camp settings. The revised guidance states that quarantine is no longer recommended
for asymptomatic individuals who were exposed to COVID-19-infected individuals in these
settings (SJwr.ce).


   6. On the Horizon
Virginia's vaccination rates are better than rates in many other states. However, nearly 30% of
Virginia's population has not been fully vaccinated. Vaccination hesitancy remains of great
concern. Recent reports show that those who were unwilling to be vaccinated in late 2020 were
still unwilling to be vaccinated in the fall of 2021. Vaccinations in children under the age of 18
(including now infants) and frequent testing are essential to keeping children and staff healthy in
schools, daycares, and summer camps. These protocol will be especially critical since the school
year has begun and as Virginia gets ready to enter the winter months. Risks of reinfection and
experiencing more severe symptoms seem to be higher with the BAS variant. Continued efforts
to encourage vaccination, including booster shots when eligible, and reducing vaccine hesitancy
are important factors to ensure Virginia remains on the path to normalcy. Therapeutics, testing,
prevention, outbreak control, and public health information are also important factors.

Despite much progress, a continued focus on vaccine equity remains critical. Fears of virus spread
and breakthrough infections require the critical need to bolster vaccination efforts across the
Commonwealth and center equity in policy and procedures. Given ongoing issues of inequities
concerning who gets infected, as well as who dies from COVID-19, equity remains an important
factor in controlling COVID-19 and maintaining the path to normalcy. Racial and ethnic disparities,
as well as disparities between urban and rural areas, remain a challenge.




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                                  23
Appendix
Charging Statutes

2.022 App:ropdation Act IJem 291 t The Department of Health shall convene a work group, which
shall include the Commonwealth's Chief Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Officer and representatives
of the Office of Health Equity of the Department of Health, the Department of Emergency
Management, and such other stakeholders as the department shall deem appropriate and which
may be an existing work group or other entity previously convened for a related purpose, to (i)
evaluate the methods by which vaccines and other medications necessary to treat or prevent the
spread of COVID-19 are made available to the public, (ii) identify and develop a plan to implement
specific actions necessary to ensure such vaccines and other medications are equitably distributed
in the Commonwealth to ensure all residents of the Commonwealth are able to access such vaccines
and other medications, and (iii) make recommendations for any statutory, regulatory, or budgetary
actions necessary to implement such plan. The Department shall make an initial report on its
activities and any findings to the Chairs of the House Committee on Health, Welfare and Institutions
and the Senate Committee on Education and Health by December 1, 2020, and shall report monthly
thereaf ter htt;//budgetljs.yirginia,gov/itern/2022/2/H B30,L.Chap.ter/1/29l/




Vaccine Equity Report I October 2022                                                             24


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