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Potential Impact of Hyperscale Data Center Development in Michigan, Prepared for NetChoice

Summary

Mangum Economics prepared this March 23, 2020 study for NetChoice on what one new hyperscale data center could mean for Michigan if the state offered incentives. The hypothetical project is a $750 million investment: $244 million for construction with 1,200 construction workers over 24 months, about $375 million for computer equipment sourced outside the region, and $129 million paid to Michigan wholesale vendors. Once running, it would hire 100 direct employees and spend $60 million a year on electricity. Using the IMPLAN model for Genesee, Jackson and Kalamazoo counties, the study estimates a Genesee County total of 3,787 jobs supported during construction and 528 additional jobs supported once operations begin.

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“Potential Impact of Hyperscale Data Center Development in Michigan, Prepared for NetChoice.” Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/2021-10-19-testimony-comm-2021-steve-delbianco-45817-9d0a44a822/, SHA-256 7a16229e36d5d5713f17d797170e4a551317b418c2230ceff4fad2ad9c1d9bf0.

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                                              MARCH 23, 2020




POTENTIAL IMPACT OF HYPERSCALE DATA
   CENTER DEVELOPMENT IN MICHIGAN



                        PREPARED FOR NETCHOICE




                               4201 DOMINION BOULEVARD, SUITE 114
                                        GLEN ALLEN, VIRGINIA 23060
                                                      804-346-8446
                                         MANGUMECONOMICS.COM


           © 2020 Mangum Economics
About Mangum Economic Consulting, LLC
Mangum Economics, LLC is a Richmond, Virginia based firm that specializes in producing objective
economic, quantitative, and qualitative analysis in support of strategic decision making. Much of our
recent work relates to IT & Telecom Infrastructure (data centers, terrestrial and subsea fiber),
Renewable Energy, Economic Development, and Tax and Regulatory Policy. Examples of typical studies
include:

POLICY ANALYSIS
Identify the intended and, more importantly, unintended consequences of proposed legislation and
other policy initiatives.

ECONOMIC IMPACT ASSESSMENTS AND RETURN ON INVESTMENT ANALYSES
Measure the economic contribution that business, education, or other enterprises make to their
localities.

CLUSTER ANALYSIS
Use occupation and industry clusters to illuminate regional workforce and industry strengths and
identify connections between the two.



The Project Team
David Zorn, Ph.D.
Economist

Martina Arel, M.B.A.
Researcher and Economic Development Specialist

A. Fletcher Mangum, Ph.D.
Founder and CEO




                                                                      Michigan Hyperscale Data Center
Illustrations of the Development Potential of Data Centers
We illustrate the economic and fiscal impact potential if just one new hyperscale data center were to
locate in Michigan. If Michigan were to offer incentives for hyperscale data centers to locate there, the
data center that we describe could possibly be constructed in the state. We estimate the economic and
fiscal impact of constructing and operating the hypothetical data center in three counties in Michigan –
Genesee, Jackson, and Kalamazoo. We use the IMPLAN model to estimate the impacts.

The impact of constructing and operating the same facility in different metropolitan statistical areas
varies because different areas are home to different industries that will feed off of the new
development. The more populated and more economically diverse a regional economy is, the more of
the economic impact the area can absorb. When new development occurs in less populated and less
economically diverse areas, then more of the economic development impact spills over into the
surrounding areas.


THE ILLUSTRATIVE HYPERSCALE DATA CENTER PROJECT
The hypothetical hyperscale data center that we use for illustration would require a $750 million
investment for construction of the building and for purchase and installation of the computer
equipment inside the building. We assume that $244 million would be spent for construction (including
the employment of 1,200 construction workers) in total over the 24 months that a data center of this
scale would typically take for construction. We assume that about $375 million would be spent on
computer equipment that is almost always sourced outside of the region of interest and does not
contribute to local economic activity. We also assume that $129 million would be paid to Michigan state
wholesale vendors for the purchase and installation of cooling and electrical equipment and materials.

After construction and preparation activities have been completed, the computer equipment is installed
and operations can begin. We assume that once it is operational, a data center of this size would hire
100 direct employees, not counting contractors that provide services such as security and maintenance.
We also assume that $60 million would be spent annually on the purchase of electricity. Our
assumptions and calculations are based on actual hyperscale, enterprise data center projects in the
Midwest and elsewhere and on information about expenditures from data center industry sources.




                                      Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                                    1
The Economic Impact in Genesee County, Michigan
Genesee County, Michigan is part of the Detroit-Warren-Ann Arbor Combined Statistical Area. The
operational workforce, connectivity, accessibility, and power in the county would be sufficient to
support the operation of a hyperscale data center. Construction of a hyperscale data center as well as its
ongoing operation would potentially create a direct impact of approximately:
    1,200 total construction jobs over the two-year construction period,
    100 full-time new operational jobs,
    $106.6 million in associated pay and benefits for construction workers,
    $15 million in associated pay and benefits annually for operating employees,
    $341 million in economic output in the Genesee County economy over the two-year
        construction period, and
    $100 million in economic output annually in the Genesee County economy once operations
        begin.

After accounting for all of the additional effects that the project would cause as the new investment
ripples through the Genesee County economy, a new hyperscale data center would have a potential
total economic impact on the Genesee County economy of approximately:
     3,787 jobs supported during the two-year construction period,
     100 data center jobs created and 528 additional jobs supported once data center operations
         begin,
     $281 million over the two-year construction period in total pay and benefits,
     $40.4 million in annual pay and benefits once operations begin,
     $555.8 million during the construction period in total economic output, and
     $244.3 million annually once operations begin.

In addition to the impact on the Genesee County economy, the impact of the hypothetical data center
would create spillover effects in the Michigan economy outside of the Genesee County boundaries.
After accounting for all of the additional effects that the project would cause as the new investment
ripples through the state economy, a new hyperscale data center would have a potential total economic
impact in Michigan (in addition to the impact on the Genesee County economy) of approximately:
     458 jobs supported during the two-year construction period,
     60 jobs supported once data center operations begin,
     $32.7 million over the two-year construction period in total pay and benefits,
     $6.4 million in annual pay and benefits once operations begin,
     $100.7 million during the construction period in total economic output, and
     $14.4 million annually once operations begin.




                                      Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                                   2
Table 1 summarizes the total impacts of all of the new economic activity associated with a new data
center in Genesee County and the entire state of Michigan.

Table 1: Total Economic Impacts of a Hypothetical Hyperscale Data Center in Genesee County

                                                   Construction Period          Annual Operation
 Total Genesee County Jobs Supported                                3,787                             628
 Total Genesee County Pay & Benefits                        $281,000,000                  $40,400,000
 Total Genesee County Economic Output                       $555,800,000                 $244,300,000
 Total Michigan Jobs Supported                                      4,245                             688
 Total Michigan Pay & Benefits                              $313,700,000                  $46,800,000
 Total Michigan Economic Output                             $656,500,000                 $258,700,000




                                     Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                                    3
The Economic Impact in Jackson County, Michigan
Jackson County is one of the smaller counties in Michigan and not part of a larger combined statistical
area. A hyperscale data center located in Jackson County would draw its workforce from Jackson and
surrounding counties. The economic activity that it would generate would also spill over into
surrounding counties. Connectivity, accessibility, and power would be sufficient to support a hyperscale
data center in Jackson County. Construction of a hyperscale data center as well as its ongoing operation
would potentially create a direct impact of approximately:
     1,200 total construction jobs over the two-year construction period,
     100 full-time new operational jobs,
     $113.1 million in associated pay and benefits for construction workers,
     $15 million in associated pay and benefits annually for operating employees,
     $341 million in economic output in the Jackson County economy over the two-year construction
        period, and
     $100 million in economic output annually in the Jackson County economy once operations
        begin.

After accounting for all of the additional effects that the project would cause as the new investment
ripples through the Jackson County economy, a new hyperscale data center would have a potential total
economic impact on the Jackson County economy of approximately:
     3,574 jobs supported during the two-year construction period,
     100 data center jobs created and 436 additional jobs supported once data center operations
         begin,
     $277.1 million over the two-year construction period in total pay and benefits,
     $40.3 million in annual pay and benefits once operations begin,
     $520.4 million during the construction period in total economic output, and
     $235 million annually once operations begin.

In addition to the impact on the Jackson County economy, the impact of the hypothetical data center
would create spillover effects in the Michigan economy outside of the Jackson County boundaries. After
accounting for all of the additional effects that the project would cause as the new investment ripples
through the state economy, a new hyperscale data center would have a potential total economic impact
in Michigan (in addition to the impact on the Jackson County economy) of approximately:
     390 jobs supported during the two-year construction period,
     70 jobs supported once data center operations begin,
     $28 million over the two-year construction period in total pay and benefits,
     $10.8 million in annual pay and benefits once operations begin,
     $88.5 million during the construction period in total economic output, and
     $24.8 million annually once operations begin.




                                     Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                                  4
Table 2 summarizes the total impacts of all of the new economic activity associated with a new data
center in Jackson County and the entire state of Michigan.

Table 2: Total Economic Impacts of a Hypothetical Hyperscale Data Center in Jackson County

                                                    Construction Period         Annual Operation
 Total Jackson County Jobs Supported                                3,574                             536
 Total Jackson County Pay & Benefits                        $277,100,000                  $40,300,000
 Total Jackson County Economic Output                       $520,400,000                 $235,000,000
 Total Michigan Jobs Supported                                      3,964                             606
 Total Michigan Pay & Benefits                              $305,100,000                  $51,100,000
 Total Michigan Economic Output                             $608,900,000                 $259,800,000




                                       Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                                  5
The Economic Impact in Kalamazoo County, Michigan
Kalamazoo County in Western Michigan is part of the Kalamazoo-Battle Creek-Portage, Michigan
Combined Statistical Area. The operational workforce, connectivity, accessibility, and power in the
county would be sufficient to support the operation of a hyperscale data center. Construction of a
hyperscale data center as well as its ongoing operation would potentially create a direct impact of
approximately:
     1,200 total construction jobs over the two-year construction period,
     100 full-time new operational jobs,
     $136.3 million in associated pay and benefits for construction workers,
     $15 million in associated pay and benefits annually for operating employees,
     $341 million in economic output in the Kalamazoo County economy over the two-year
       construction period, and
     $100 million in economic output annually in the Kalamazoo County economy once operations
       begin.

After accounting for all of the additional effects that the project would cause as the new investment
ripples through the economy of Kalamazoo County, a new hyperscale data center would have a
potential total economic impact on the Kalamazoo County economy of approximately:
     3,461 jobs supported during the two-year construction period,
     100 data center jobs created and 337 additional jobs supported once data center operations
         begin,
     $320.4 million over the two-year construction period in total pay and benefits,
     $34.1 million in annual pay and benefits once operations begin,
     $562.9 million during the construction period in total economic output, and
     $189 million annually once operations begin.

In addition to the impact on the Kalamazoo County economy, the impact of the hypothetical data center
would create spillover effects in the Michigan economy outside of the Kalamazoo County boundaries.
After accounting for all of the additional effects that the project would cause as the new investment
ripples through the state economy, a new hyperscale data center would have a potential total economic
impact in Michigan (in addition to the impact on the Kalamazoo County economy) of approximately:
     250 jobs supported during the two-year construction period,
     110 jobs supported once data center operations begin,
     $18 million over the two-year construction period in total pay and benefits,
     $10.2 million in annual pay and benefits once operations begin,
     $58.4 million during the construction period in total economic output, and
     $52.5 million annually once operations begin.




                                     Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                                    6
Table 3 summarizes the total impacts of all of the new economic activity associated with a new data
center in Kalamazoo County and the entire state of Michigan.

Table 3: Total Economic Impacts of a Hypothetical Hyperscale Data Center in Kalamazoo County

                                                   Construction Period          Annual Operation
 Total Kalamazoo County Jobs Supported                              3,461                             437
 Total Kalamazoo County Pay & Benefits                      $320,400,000                  $34,100,000
 Total Kalamazoo County Economic Output                     $562,900,000                 $189,000,000
 Total Michigan Jobs Supported                                      3,711                             547
 Total Michigan Pay & Benefits                              $338,400,000                  $44,300,000
 Total Michigan Economic Output                             $621,300,000                 $241,500,000




                                     Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                                    7
The Known Tax Impacts in Selected Counties in Michigan
We have estimated the local tax impact of a hypothetical, hyperscale data center in the selected
Michigan counties by relying on the 2019 Total Property Tax Rates in Michigan published by the
Michigan Department of Treasury.1 The taxable value of property in Michigan is 50 percent of its
assessed value. We take the construction costs and server equipment purchase costs as the assessed
value. Real property is taxed at the non-homestead millage rate, while data center server equipment
would be taxed at the commercial personal property millage rate.2 There is also a six percent state tax
on electricity purchases.

For the purpose of illustration only in this report, we have selected possible township and school district
jurisdictions for the location of a hyperscale data center in order to identify the applicable taxing
authorities and rates. We have no knowledge that any companies are considering data center
development in any specific jurisdiction. Our estimates are for illustration only. These are
underestimates of total tax revenue because the construction and operation of the data center and its
employees would generate other direct tax revenue. Moreover, we do not estimate the additional tax
revenue generated by the additional indirect and induced economic activity that the data center will
create. Additionally, data centers would be subject to other taxes, such as the state corporate income
tax. However, we only have information to estimate these three sources of revenue.


GENESEE COUNTY
In Genesee County, we have hypothesized a location in Gaines Township in the Linden Community
School District. During its ongoing operational phase, the hypothetical data center would provide local
taxing authorities in Genesee County with tax revenue from two primary revenue sources – real
property tax and personal property tax. The energy tax on electricity consumption would contribute to
state revenues. Table 4 shows our estimates of those annual tax revenues from a hyperscale data center
in Genesee County.

Table 4: Estimated Annual Tax Revenues in Genesee County from the Ongoing Operation of a
         Hypothetical Hyperscale Data Center

 Revenue Source                    Assessed Value        Taxable Value         Rate3        Annual Revenue
 Real Estate                        $375,000,000              $187,500,000     4.88621%          $9,161,644
 Personal Property                  $375,000,000              $187,500,000     3.68621%          $6,911,644
 Energy                              $60,000,000               $60,000,000             6%        $3,600,000
 Total Annual Revenue                                                                          $19,673,288


1 2019 Total Property Tax Rates.
2 Michigan State Tax Commission, Property Classification, November 2018.
3 2019 Total Property Tax Rates, p. 45.




                                             Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                              8
JACKSON COUNTY
In Jackson County, we have hypothesized a location in Waterloo Township in the Stockbridge
Community School District. During its ongoing operational phase, the hypothetical data center would
provide local taxing authorities in Jackson County with tax revenue from two primary revenue sources –
real property tax and personal property tax. The energy tax on electricity consumption would contribute
to state revenues. Table 5 shows our estimates of those annual tax revenues from a hyperscale data
center in Jackson County.

Table 5: Estimated Annual Local Authority Revenues in Jackson County from the Ongoing Operation of a
         Hypothetical Hyperscale Data Center

 Revenue Source                 Assessed Value       Taxable Value           Rate4        Annual Revenue
 Real Estate                       $375,000,000          $187,500,000        4.64630%          $8,711,813
 Personal Property                 $375,000,000          $187,500,000        3.44630%          $6,461,813
 Energy                             $60,000,000           $60,000,000                6%        $3,600,000
 Total Annual Revenue                                                                        $18,773,626




KALAMAZOO COUNTY
In Kalamazoo County, we have hypothesized a location in Climax Township in the Climax-Scotts
Community School District. During its ongoing operational phase, the hypothetical data center would
provide local taxing authorities in Kalamazoo County with tax revenue from two primary revenue
sources – real property tax and personal property tax. The energy tax on electricity consumption would
contribute to state revenues. Table 6 shows our estimates of those annual tax revenues from a
hyperscale data center in Kalamazoo County.

Table 6: Estimated Annual Local Authority Revenues in Kalamazoo County from the Ongoing Operation
         of a Hypothetical Hyperscale Data Center

 Revenue Source                 Assessed Value       Taxable Value           Rate5        Annual Revenue
 Real Estate                       $375,000,000          $187,500,000        5.09093%          $9,545,494
 Personal Property                 $375,000,000          $187,500,000        3.89093%          $7,295,494
 Energy                             $60,000,000           $60,000,000                6%        $3,600,000
 Total Annual Revenue                                                                        $20,440,988



4 2019 Total Property Tax Rates, p. 75.
5 2019 Total Property Tax Rates, p. 76.




                                           Michigan Hyperscale Data Center                              9


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