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Meeting Packet - Insurance & Banking Subcommittee (October 13, 2021)

Summary

A meeting packet for the Insurance & Banking Subcommittee of the Commerce Committee, The Florida House of Representatives, Chair Nick DiCeglie, for Wednesday, October 13, 2021. The agenda lists a Citizens Property Insurance presentation regarding the state of the property insurance marketplace in Florida. The packet contains the slides of Barry Gilway, President/CEO and Executive Director, including tables of Florida domestic insurers with net income and direct premiums written in $000, sourced to S&P Global Market Intelligence. A slide sourced to Guy Carpenter states that for 2022, rate increases of up to 10% are expected, with most insurers in the 5%-10% range, while Citizens' rates are expected to be unchanged to up to 5% higher.

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Cite this document

“Meeting Packet - Insurance & Banking Subcommittee (October 13, 2021).” Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/2021-10-13-3100-insurance-banking-subcommittee-meeting-packets-mtg1312-1bf7e81749/, SHA-256 e07afd6e8c4cf0a326bf183c6804aca5c36a54552ec047dbfb9a1f1c2ff60133.

Full text

                Insurance & Banking
                   Subcommittee
                Wednesday, October 13, 2021
                    9:00 AM - 10:30 AM
                   Morris Hall (17 HOB)


                    Meeting Packet




Chris Sprowls                                 Nick DiCeglie
Speaker                                               Chair
                    The Florida House of Representatives
                                           Commerce Committee
                                 Insurance & Banking Subcommittee
Chris Sprowls                                                                                       Nick DiCeglie
Speaker                                                                                                    Chair


                                         Meeting Agenda

                                    Wednesday, October 13, 2021
                                       9:00 AM – 10:30 AM
                                      Morris Hall (17 HOB)


  I.   Call to Order

 II.   Roll Call

III.   Welcome and Opening Remarks

IV.    Citizens Property Insurance Presentation regarding the state of the property insurance
       marketplace in Florida

 V.    Closing Remarks

VI.    Adjournment




                   303 House Office Building, 402 South Monroe Street, Tallahassee, FL 32399-1300
                                                   (850) 717-4870
Citizens Property Insurance
    House Insurance and Banking Subcommittee

              Barry Gilway, President/CEO and Executive Director

                                               October 13, 2021




~         ITIZ"~~
     PftOPERTY INSURAN
Top 10 Florida Domestic Insurers Net Income

                         Direct
                       Premiums                                         Net Income
                        Written                                              ($000)
                           ($000)

     Company               2020           2Q 2021           2020            2019            2018        2017
           1            $1,507,073          ($2,987) ($100,317)           ($50,169)           $3,587    $36,226

           2            $1,337,257        ($45,628)       ($37,082)       ($29,879)         $27,543     ($6,962)

           3            $1,165,255        ($68,331)       ($59,575)       ($19,408)       ($47,465)    ($22,712)

           4              $791,785        ($44,481)       ($13,329)       ($20,828)       ($13,167)    ($17,178)

           5              $633,523        ($16,616)       ($32,616)       ($23,453)       ($64,998)      $7,587

           6              $618,575        ($59,859)       ($35,392)       ($18,174)         $10,218    ($13,874)

           7              $529,271            $3,446        ($4,695)       ($11,649)        ($1,448)     $5,017

           8              $450,045            $4,779        ($3,988)        ($1,270)            $710    ($9,092)

           9              $410,739              $590      ($27,492)        ($22,111)        ($9,519)    ($5,812)

           10             $406,326        ($12,202)       ($21,748)       ($17,551)        ($11,843)     $2,579

     Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence where top 10 is based on 2020 Direct Premiums Written
 1
Florida Domestic Insurers Net Income

                          Direct
                        Premiums                                           Net Income
                         Written                                                ($000)
                            ($000)

     Company                2020            2Q 2021            2020             2019             2018             2017
           11              $369,788          ($7,455)       ($30,349)            $2,706           $4,598         ($2,209)

           12              $362,695            $2,895         ($1,099)           $3,515           $1,152           $2,560

           13              $357,650            $1,475       ($28,779)          $18,443          $20,758        ($10,511)

           14              $348,560        ($76,290) ($119,191)              ($22,617)          ($1,904)           ($109)

           15              $336,268        ($32,977)          ($8,666)       ($17,433)          $20,903          $17,682

           16              $278,475            $2,226       ($21,135)          ($2,806)         $15,386            $9,877

           17*             $264,140        ($16,440)          ($6,159)         ($5,837)         ($6,832)         ($1,369)

           18              $244,266          ($2,904)       ($19,273)          $10,829          $18,632        ($26,463)

           19              $238,663               $103            $235             $297             $325             $463

           20*             $233,942            $1,995           $4,491           $5,569           $4,278           $2,213
     Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
 2
     *Company is not a Florida domestic but is either part of a company group that is or has a high volume of FL business
Florida Domestic Insurers Net Income

                          Direct
                        Premiums                                           Net Income
                         Written                                                ($000)
                            ($000)

     Company                2020           2Q 2021             2020            2019             2018             2017
           21              $219,430          ($8,665)        ($2,698)         ($2,674)         ($5,257)        ($4,096)

           22*             $213,957        ($31,023)        ($71,625)       ($20,304)          ($3,523)        ($2,709)

           23              $209,891            $6,994        ($3,131)           $4,549             $109        ($1,033)

           24              $147,346            $1,156             $116        ($6,220)       ($10,618)         ($5,281)

           25              $145,081          ($4,783)       ($10,581)            ($350)        ($7,187)         ($2,117)

           26              $143,235             ($118)       ($5,654)         ($6,812)         ($9,175)        ($1,482)

           27              $139,898          ($1,442)        ($1,783)         ($1,985)           ($735)        ($2,030)

           28              $137,027            ($127)        ($1,861)              $598        ($4,833)             $355

           29              $127,220            $3,602        ($6,853)         ($4,554)         ($3,854)        ($2,244)

           30              $125,663              $675          $1,731         ($2,109)             $682        ($2,493)
     Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
 3
     *Company is not a Florida domestic but is either part of a company group that is or has a high volume of FL business
Florida Domestic Insurers Net Income

                          Direct
                        Premiums                                           Net Income
                         Written                                                ($000)
                            ($000)

     Company                2020           2Q 2021             2020            2019             2018             2017
           31              $122,654             -           ($22,552)         ($4,120)               $86       ($2,090)

           32              $120,058          ($5,305)        ($5,410)       ($13,347)            ($435)             $605

           33              $105,816          ($8,656)       ($10,893)         ($5,164)           $2,034           ($797)

           34              $105,383        ($10,018)        ($21,577)           $1,442         ($2,996)          $1,680

           35              $101,497            ($860)        ($2,631)         ($3,710)             $230           ($246)

           36               $98,436        ($21,913)        ($35,955)           $1,456         ($1,303)               $67

           37*              $98,254        ($27,126)        ($14,551)       ($15,085)          ($2,825)        ($2,309)

           38               $91,107          ($2,943)        ($5,129)         ($1,495)           $1,839        ($2,466)

           39               $81,817        ($23,560)         ($8,555)         ($6,059)         ($6,473)       ($16,978)

           40               $71,849             -              $2,169         ($3,846)         ($1,026)        ($1,644)
     Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
 4
     *Company is not a Florida domestic but is either part of a company group that is or has a high volume of FL business
Florida Domestic Insurers Net Income

                          Direct
                        Premiums                                           Net Income
                         Written                                                ($000)
                            ($000)

     Company                2020           2Q 2021             2020            2019             2018             2017
           41*              $70,456              ($42)       ($2,577)            ($241)        ($1,307)          $1,139

           42               $63,308          ($5,767)        ($7,507)         ($2,323)         ($4,579)          $4,314

           43               $57,848            $2,795          $4,127           $2,540           $1,550        ($2,731)

           44               $28,608            ($257)           ($778)        ($1,192)                $65              $57

           45               $24,420            ($105)        ($7,332)              $392        ($1,119)        ($2,379)

           46               $20,820            ($792)        ($7,532)         ($3,535)         ($7,325)        ($5,738)

           47               $19,434        ($12,819)         ($8,613)            ($644)           -                -

           48               $18,634            ($262)           ($843)              ($8)         ($825)           ($749)

           49               $16,109            ($297)             $105          $3,868       ($10,308)         ($2,885)

           50               $13,645          ($3,552)        ($1,253)            ($429)          ($568)             $246
     Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
 5
     *Company is not a Florida domestic but is either part of a company group that is or has a high volume of FL business
Florida Domestic Insurers Net Income



                          Direct
                        Premiums                                    Net Income
                         Written                                      ($000)
                            ($000)

     Company               2020               2Q 2021    2020         2019       2018      2017
          51                $11,798           ($3,421)    $1,237        $898      $312       -

          52                $10,406            $4,167    ($4,022)       $252     ($469)     ($576)

        TOTAL         $13,845,399 ($523,123) ($828,571) ($312,039) ($108,922)             ($88,697)

     Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence



     Insurer Options:

     • Replace lost capital
     • Reduce overall writings
     • Raise rates
 6
   Market Conditions



                           Policies in Force by Year and Account
               1,200,000
                                                                                       Liquidation of 3 FL domestic carriers and
                                            Liquidation of Poe Financial               State Farm partial withdrawal from market
                                              Group due to 2004/2005
               1,000,000                              claims
                                                                             High volume of                                        High volume of depopulation
                                                                           depopulation activity                                             activity
                800,000
                                High volume of
                              depopulation activity                                                                                                                      Liquidation of Florida Specialty
                600,000                                                                                                                                                       Insurance Company



                400,000


                200,000


                       0
                              2003    2004    2005     2006      2007      2008      2009      2010      2011      2012      2013     2014             2015    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020   Aug-21
  PLA                        383,283 416,529 407,387 743,592 845,857 629,467 609,652 829,406 1,003,856 860,502 627,391 373,617                        299,902 293,118 300,507 304,507 322,792 407,325 528,125
  COASTAL                    433,077 453,755 399,418 403,509 446,181 445,200 410,436 445,679 460,161 446,163 386,688 282,863                          200,842 160,834 138,591 121,971 118,673 134,687 158,246
  CLA                         3,863   3,702   3,212    8,841    12,911     9,570     9,126     8,453     8,374     8,146     7,615    4,681            3,121   1,891   1,308    919     738     727     708
  Total                      820,223 873,986 810,017 1,298,922 1,304,949 1,084,237 1,029,214 1,283,538 1,472,391 1,314,811 1,021,694 661,161          503,865 455,843 440,406 427,397 442,203 542,739 687,079
  Tri-County %                59%     52%     49%       45%       45%       40%       40%       43%       43%       44%       45%     47%              50%     51%     50%     51%     50%     54%     53%
  Take-Out Policies Serviced                                                                  12,130 32,048 203,771 248,108 288,519                   121,301 43,494 23,601 13,822     4,962   5,892   1,443




Citizens is currently growing by a net of 5,000 policies per week

Note: Historical data by County prior to 2003 and for Take-Out Policies Serviced prior to 2010 are not available.
        7
Market Conditions



                                                        Week-over-Week Policy Count for lnforce

 10/8/2021                                          713,349                                710,039                                       3,310
                                                                                                                                                     Ylh

     696K
     676K
     656K
     636K
     616K
     596K
     576K
     556K
     536K
     516K
            Nov 2020   Dec 2020   Jan 2021   Feb 2021    Mar 2021    Apr 2021   May 2021      Jun 2021   Jul 2021   Auq 2021   Sep2021    Oct 2021




 8
                                                                                                                                    ~       ITIZENS
    Private Market Guideline Changes


    • Increasing minimum and maximum Coverage A (dwelling) limits
        •   Minimums as high as $500,000+, particularly in SOLO and tri-county
        •   Maximums have increased to $2M+

    • Restricting new business and cancelling/non-renewing business, particularly
      in SOLO and tri-county
        •   Some carriers have stopped writing new business completely

    • Tighter requirements for New business:
        •   Roof age as low as 10 years for shingle roofs
        •   Age of home 10-20 years or newer
        •   Filing for 5 years roof age limitation was disapproved by OIR

    • Restricting water coverage
        •   $10,000 limit still the norm on older homes
        •   Newer homes require inspection for full water coverage in some counties

    • Higher and more frequent rate increases
        •   Some carriers have taken 3-4 increases a year, 20% + not uncommon
                 SOLO = Orlando –area counties of Seminole, Osceola, Lake, Orange
9
     Market Conditions


      Market Impacts
      • Market Capacity - Rate increases & eligibility changes

      • Insolvencies and consent orders – policies written by Citizens
         ◦ Weston – 58 of 391 commercial policies

         ◦ American Capital insolvency – 19 of 1700 commercial policies

         ◦ 45-day cancelations – Gulf Stream, Universal Insurance Company
           of North America, Southern Fidelity – 6,280 of 29,800 policies

         ◦ Gulfstream insolvency – 4,801 of 32,324 policies

      • Commercial Condo Collapse (Commercial Lines & Personal Lines)


10
Citizens’ HO-3 Competitive Position




91% of Citizens’ HO‐3
policies are LESS than the
average competitor’s
approved rates as of                                                                  There’s very little
10/1/20 using Citizens’ in                                                            green on the map
force data as of 9/30/20


In 2020, 105 rate filings for
increases of 10% or more
have been made with the
Office of Insurance
Regulation1                                                        NOTE: Territories in black have
                                                                   no HO-3 policies




 Source: 1 O’Connor, Amy, “Florida’s Property Insurance Market Is ‘Spiraling Towards Collapse’ Due to Litigation Report”, Insurance
            Journal, Web January 20, 2021. <https://www.insurancejournal.com/news/southeast/2021/01/20/598034.htm>
 11
Citizens’ Competitive Position Percent Differences by Territory

                                               %                                                        %                                                        %
                                Policy    Difference                                     Policy    Difference                                     Policy    Difference
          Territory                                               Territory                                                 Territory
                                Count          to                                        Count          to                                        Count          to
                                         Competitors                                              Competitors                                              Competitors
Suwannee (933)                      14       22%        Desoto (712)                         36      (16%)       Lake (692)                          391      (27%)
Levy - Remainder (734)              14       21%        Hendry (553)                         84      (17%)       Monroe - Remainder (5)              724      (27%)
Gulf - Remainder (722)               2       18%        Orange - Orlando (49)               226      (17%)       Indian River - Remainder (561)      426      (28%)
St. Lucie - Coastal (183)           59       11%        Palm Beach - Remainder (38)      16,141      (18%)       St. Lucie - Remainder (562)       1,059      (28%)
Indian River - Coastal (181)        13       10%        Flagler - Coastal (531)              32      (19%)       Seminole (512)                      740      (29%)
Gulf - Coastal (604)                11        4%        Duval - Jacksonville (39)           698      (19%)       Sarasota - Remainder (715)        1,322      (29%)
Nassau - Remainder (892)            27        3%        Taylor - Remainder (737)              4      (20%)       Sarasota - Coastal (583)            803      (29%)
Dade - Hialeah (33)              3,425        3%        Putnam (992)                         63      (20%)       Levy - Coastal (594)                 64      (30%)
Escambia - Coastal (602)             7       (0%)       Jefferson - Remainder (793)          16      (20%)       Bay - Remainder (721)               212      (30%)
Walton - Coastal (609)              26       (1%)       Orange - Remainder (90)           1,748      (20%)       Hernando - Coastal (159)          1,162      (30%)
Dade - Miami Beach (30)            242       (1%)       Martin - Coastal (182)                3      (20%)
                                                                                                                 Duval - Coastal (41)                110      (30%)
Wakulla - Coastal (608)             13       (3%)       Madison (932)                         6      (21%)
                                                                                                                 Dade - Miami (32)                 5,846      (30%)
Wakulla - Remainder (725)           35       (4%)       Gilchrist (923)                      24      (21%)
                                                                                                                 Dixie - Coastal (592)                24      (30%)
Sumter (921)                        51       (4%)       Pasco - Coastal (595)             1,004      (21%)
                                                                                                                 Volusia - Remainder (63)          1,200      (30%)
Broward - Coastal (361)            192       (4%)       Highlands (714)                     111      (21%)
                                                                                                                 St Johns - Remainder (702)          197      (32%)
Franklin (603)                      39       (5%)       Lee - Coastal (542)                 196      (21%)
                                                                                                                 Martin - Remainder (10)             422      (33%)
Marion (792)                       304       (6%)       Pinellas - Coastal (42)             709      (21%)
Collier - Coastal (541)            129       (9%)
                                                                                                                 St Johns - Coastal (533)            153      (34%)
                                                        Palm Beach - Coastal (362)          389      (22%)
Dixie - Remainder (732)             10      (10%)                                                                Santa Rosa - Remainder (724)        174      (34%)
                                                        Volusia - Coastal (62)              252      (22%)
Flagler - Remainder (701)           71      (10%)                                                                Okeechobee (555)                     61      (35%)
                                                        Manatee - Coastal (582)             121      (22%)
Dade - Coastal (31)                264      (10%)       Duval - Remainder (40)                1      (22%)
                                                                                                                 Monroe - Key West (7)                64      (36%)
Walton - Remainder (726)            32      (11%)       Washington (934)                     30      (23%)       Leon (993)                          229      (36%)
Liberty (931)                        6      (11%)       Bay - Coastal (601)                  81      (24%)       Glades (552)                         21      (36%)
Polk (50)                          659      (11%)       Taylor - Coastal (596)               79      (25%)       Pasco - Remainder (736)           7,802      (36%)
Santa Rosa - Coastal (607)           3      (12%)       Citrus - Coastal (591)              137      (25%)       Hillsborough -Tampa (47)          4,759      (36%)
Broward - Hlwd & Ft Laud (35)    7,732      (12%)       Escambia - Remainder (43)           413      (25%)       Manatee - Remainder (735)         1,278      (37%)
Lafayette (893)                      3      (12%)       Collier - Remainder (551)           599      (25%)       Hernando - Remainder (733)        8,878      (38%)
Alachua (192)                      147      (12%)       Hillsborough - Excl Tampa (80)    8,457      (26%)       Jackson (693)                        85      (39%)
Columbia (293)                      29      (12%)       Clay (492)                          183      (26%)       Okaloossa - Remainder (723)         221      (39%)
Broward - Remainder (37)        32,520      (13%)       Okaloossa - Coastal (606)            19      (26%)       Brevard - Remainder (64)          1,662      (40%)
Lee - Remainder (554)            1,159      (13%)       Charlotte - Remainder (711)         658      (26%)       Holmes (593)                         30      (42%)
Baker (292)                         14      (14%)       Citrus - Remainder (731)            538      (27%)       Brevard - Coastal (57)            1,357      (42%)
Dade - Remainder (34)           53,504      (14%)       Union (922)                           4      (27%)       Charlotte - Coastal (581)           558      (42%)
Hardee (713)                        13      (15%)       Calhoun (193)                         5      (27%)       Gadsden (393)                       142      (43%)
Hamilton (493)                       5      (15%)       Nassau - Coastal (532)               72      (27%)       Pinellas - Remainder (81)        19,350      (45%)
Bradford (392)                      14      (16%)       Osceola (511)                       813      (27%)       Pinellas - St Petersburg (46)    11,001      (51%)

Source Data: Rate comparison using competitors approved rates as of 10/1/20 using Citizens’ data as of 9/30/20
    12
Industry Homeowner Rate Filings


                                                                                    Direct Written                    Cumulative
                                                                                                      Approved Rate
                                                                                      Premium                           Rate
                            Company Name                                                                Change %
                                                                                     in millions                      Change %
                                                                                          2020        2020    2021    2020-2021
 Universal Property & Casualty Insurance                                               $ 1,159.4      13%      16%       31%
 State Farm Florida Insurance Company                                                  $ 671.0         0%       5%        5%
 Heritage Property & Casualty Insurance Company                                        $ 409.4        15%       8%       24%
 First Protective Insurance Company                                                    $ 357.8         5%      10%       16%
 FedNat Ins Co                                                                         $ 356.0         8%      16%       25%
 ASI Preferred Insurance Corporation                                                   $ 353.7        35%       0%       35%
 Homeowners Choice Property & Casualty Insurance Company                               $ 316.7        11%       3%       15%
 Tower Hill Signature Ins Company                                                      $ 305.3        14%       0%       14%
 Federal Insurance Company                                                             $ 260.8         9%       4%       12%
 United Services Automobile Association (USAA)                                         $ 249.1         0%       0%        0%
 Family Security Insurance Company                                                     $ 242.5        65%       0%       65%
 United Property & Casualty Insurance Company Inc.                                     $ 189.5        12%       0%       12%
 Tower Hill Prime Insurance Company                                                    $ 165.2        26%       0%       26%
 Tower Hill Preferred Insurance Company                                                $ 135.9        14%       0%       14%
 USAA Casualty Insurance Company                                                       $ 129.0         0%       0%        0%
 Castle Key Indemnity Company                                                          $ 102.3         0%      15%       15%
 Castle Key Insurance Company                                                          $    91.0       0%      13%       13%
 TypTap Insurance Company                                                              $    90.2      14%       0%       14%
 American Strategic Insurance Corporation                                              $    71.1      28%       0%       28%
 Source Data: S&P Global Market Intelligence using homeowner rate filings reported through 9/6/2021
 13
Citizens’ Homeowner Rate Filings




                            Actuarially
                                         Approved
              Year            Sound                                 Difference
                                        Rate Change
                           Rate Change

              2019                24.7%                      5.2%    (19.5%)
              2020                10.5%                      3.1%     (7.4%)
              2021                21.9%                      6.2%    (15.7%)
           Includes HO-3 multi peril and HW-2 wind-only policies




 14
Citizens’ Senate Bill 76 Homeowner Rate Change



                           Initial Rate Change Indicated
                                                          Approved
                                               Additional
              Year                                        Total Rate
                                              Rate Due to
                           Indicated Approved              Change
                                                 SB 76
               2021           21.9%                3.2%                    2.9%   6.2%
            Includes HO-3 multi peril and HW-2 wind-only policies
            Indicated additional rate due to SB 76 is effective 2/1/2022



  • SB 76 requires that Citizens price for the cost of reinsurance to cover the
    projected 100-year PML and include in its rate calculations even when it
    is not purchased.

  • SB 76 amended Citizens’ rate glidepath from 10% per year as follows:
     • 11% for 2022.
     • 12% for 2023.
     • 13% for 2024.
     • 14% for 2025.
     • 15% for 2026 and thereafter.
 15
Property Insurance Clearinghouse




     Existing Carrier Participation
                              Policy Type   Homeowners      Homeowners    Dwelling   Condo   Mobile Home
     Company                                 (Multiperil)   (Wind-Only)

     American Traditions                          X

     Safe Harbor / Cabrillo                       X                          X        X          X

     Edison                                       X                                   X

     FedNat                                       X                         X         X

     Florida Peninsula                            X                                   X

     Heritage                                     X

     Monarch                                      X

     Southern Oak                                 X             X            X        X

     UPC                                          X

     Weston                                                     X



16
SB 76 – 20% Eligibility Change



                     Total New Business Policies Receiving Offers of Coverage
                   New 120% Threshold Results Compared to Prior 115% Threshold

           Results within 120% of Citizens’ premium               Results within 115% of Citizens’ premium

                       Eligible   Ineligible   Grand Total                     Eligible   Ineligible   Grand Total

New Business           23,736      11,838        35,574      New Business      24,664      10,910        35,574

Data from 7/1/21 – 9/30/21



Net impact: An additional 928 New Business risks deemed ineligible to be written by
Citizens (that would not have been rendered ineligible under the old 115% rule).




      17
Carrier Litigation Experience 2013 – September 2021




                                               Carrier Litigation
                                               Experience 2013 –
                                               September 2021



     Jan – Sep 2020 vs Jan – Sep 2021 Notes:
     1. Total Lawsuits Overall Litigation increased by 29% (62,102 to 80,315)
     2. Projected 2021 Year-End Litigation (100,000) would reflect a 25% increase from
        2020.




     Data source – DFS LSOP 2013 – September 2021
18
Carrier Litigation Experience 2019 – September 2021




  2019 vs Sep 2021 Notes:
  1. HB7065 was enacted July 1, 2019, to address rising AOB litigation.
  2. SB76 was enacted July 1, 2021, to address overall litigation.
  3. The majority of Citizens AOB litigation is from pre-HB 7065




  19
Carrier Litigation Experience 2013 – September 2021




     Jan – Sep 2020 vs Jan – Sep 2021 Notes:
     1. Total Lawsuits AOB Litigation increased by 57% (13,012 to 20,391)
     2. Total Lawsuits Overall Litigation increased by 29% (62,102 to 80,315)
     3. The majority of Citizens AOB litigation is from pre-HB 7065


         Data source – DFS LSOP 2013 – September 2021
20
Global Insured Losses

In 2020, there were $97B of insured losses globally, which was mostly driven by smaller events as no
single event incurred more than $3B of insured losses

For the first half of 2021, insured losses were approximately $42B globally, which is above the 10-year
average of $33B for first half of the year and is the second highest first half of the year after 2011 where
$104B was incurred
                                                    Global Losses
                   $600
                          $557
                                                                                                                 The estimated 2021 data
                                                                                                                 does not include Hurricane
                   $500                                                 $485
                                                                                                                 Ida’ estimated losses,
                                                                                                                 which is estimated to be
                   $400                                                                                          approximately $30-$45B
                          $397                                                                                   bringing the global insured

 ($ in Billions)
                                                                        $324                                     losses thus far to
                   $300           $283                          $273            $269           $268              approximately $90B.
                                          $246                                          $247

                   $200                           $172   $169                                                    This is greater than all
                                  $196                                          $165           $171
                                                                $211                    $170                     years since 2012 except for
                                          $186
                                                  $122                                                  $93      2017 when the losses were
                   $100                                  $124
                          $160                                          $161                                     $161 billion, 2018 when the
                                                                                                        $51
                                  $87                                           $104            $97
                                          $60                    $62                    $77                      losses were $104 billion,
                                                  $50    $45                                            $42
                     $0                                                                                          and 2020 when the losses
                          2011    2012     2013   2014   2015    2016   2017    2018     2019     2020 1H 2021   were $97 billion
                                 Insured Losses     Uninsured Losses     10-Yr Avg Insured Losses
       Source: Aon Benfield
            21
           Reinsurance Market Capital


         There is $650B of global reinsurer capital after the first half of 2021, however U.S. property risk transfer ROL
         is up by approximately 30% since 2015

         Even though global risk has exponentially increased over the last decade, risk transfer capital has only
         increased by $155B and therefore reinsurance rates are expected to continue its upward trajectory to account
         for additional risk

         In 2022, global reinsurance capital is expected to remain unchanged based on the insured losses thus far in
         2021
                          Global Reinsurer Capital
                  $700
                                                                                             $650    $660                              Global Reinsurer Capital
                                                                                      $625
                                                          $595    $605                                                         Traditional       Non-Traditional         Total
                  $600                  $575                                   $585
                                                 $565                                                                      Amount      YoY%     Amount     YoY%    Amount     YoY%
                                 $540
                          $505                                                                                   Year        ($B)     Change      ($B)    Change    ($B)     Change
                  $500                                                                                           2012       $461        8%        $44       57%     $505       11%
                                                                                                                 2013       $490        6%        $50       14%     $540       7%
                                                                                                                 2014       $511        4%        $64       28%     $575       6%

($ in Billions)
                  $400
                                                                                             $556    $563
                                                          $514    $516         $488
                                                                                      $530                       2015       $493        -4%       $72       13%     $565       -2%
                                        $511     $493                                                            2016       $514        4%        $81       13%     $595       5%
                  $300           $490
                          $461                                                                                   2017       $516        0%        $89       10%     $605       2%
                  $200                                                                                           2018       $488        -5%       $97        9%     $585       -3%
                                                                                                                 2019       $530        9%        $95       -2%     $625       7%
                                                                                                                 2020       $556        5%        $94       -1%     $650       4%
                  $100
                                                                                                                1H 2021     $563        1%        $97        3%     $660       2%
                                                           $81     $89         $97    $95    $94     $97
                          $44    $50    $64       $72                                                         10-Yr CAGR                2%                   8%                3%
                    $0
                          2012   2013   2014     2015     2016    2017         2018   2019   2020   1H 2021
                                                                                                              Source: Aon Benfield

     Source: Aon Benfield                      Non-Traditional   Traditional

                     22
  Risk Transfer Market Pricing

• While the global markets are improving, the Florida market is still experiencing dislocation due to litigation
  and social inflation as well as continued adverse loss development

• There was increased capacity in the risk transfer markets in 2021 versus 2020
• In 2021, the traditional reinsurance market did not experience as great of a rebound as the capital markets,
  capital market pricing was lower in 2021 than in 2020 and traditional reinsurance pricing was either
  unchanged or experiencing minimal increases in the non-loss layers

• The overall pricing for U.S. Property Catastrophe risks in 2021 is near the risk transfer pricing levels in 2013
                                                                  U.S. Property Catastrophe ROL Index - 2008 to 2021
• U.S. property catastrophe rates were on         115
  the decline from 2012 to 2015 and
  remained relatively flat until global events    105
  including Hurricane Irma led to significant
  losses from 2017 to 2019, which combined         95
  with adverse loss development and
  COVID-19 have contributed to continued           85

  price increases each year from 2017
  through 2021                                     75


• For 2022, rate increases of up to 10% with       65
  most insurers in the 5%-10% range is
  expected while Citizens’ rates are               55
                                                        2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
  expected to be unchanged to up to 5%             Source: Guy Carpenter
  higher
     23
Contact Us



                  Barry Gilway, President/CEO and Executive Director
                             Barry.Gilway@citizensfla.com
                                    (850) 513-3744


       Christine Ashburn, Chief - Communications, Legislative and External Affairs
                           Christine.Ashburn@citizensfla.com
                                     (850) 513-3746

               Candace Bunker, Director – Legislative and Cabinet Affairs
                         Candace.Bunker@citizensfla.com
                                   (850) 513-3757




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