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Meeting Packet — Commerce Committee, The Florida House of Representatives (January 14, 2021)

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Meeting packet for the Commerce Committee of The Florida House of Representatives, Thursday, January 14, 2021, 9:00 AM – 10:00 AM, Webster Hall (212 Knott), with Blaise Ingoglia as Chair. The agenda lists Overview of Property Insurance Cost Drivers in Florida, with topics on cost drivers in recent private insurer rate filings, in Citizens Property Insurance rates and as reported by insurance agents. The packet includes slides by Barry Gilway, President/CEO and Executive Director of Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, for the House Commerce Committee, including a History of Policies In-Force chart with yearly figures and tables by close year of severity and loss figures.

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“Meeting Packet — Commerce Committee, The Florida House of Representatives (January 14, 2021).” Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/2021-01-14-3098-commerce-committee-meeting-packets-fn-com-1-14-21-fe8415f6fd/, SHA-256 464401d75dc3f606860f6b4cd1fdcfb86abb8124b04ff53bb719966a3bfceea6.

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                Commerce Committee
                 Thursday, January 14, 2021
                    9:00 AM – 10:00 AM
                  Webster Hall (212 Knott)




                  Meeting Packet




Chris Sprowls                                 Blaise Ingoglia
Speaker                                                 Chair
                    The Florida House of Representatives
                                           Commerce Committee

Chris Sprowls                                                                                       Blaise Ingoglia
Speaker                                                                                                      Chair


                                        Meeting Agenda

                                    Thursday, January14, 2021
                                       9:00 AM – 10:00 AM
                                     Webster Hall (212 Knott)
  I.   Call to Order

 II.   Roll Call

III.   Welcome and Opening Remarks

IV.    Overview of Property Insurance Cost Drivers in Florida:
          • Cost Drivers in Recent Private Insurer Rate Filings
          • Cost Drivers in Citizens Property Insurance Rates
          • Cost Drivers as Reported by Insurance Agents

 V.    Closing Remarks

VI.    Adjournment




                   303 House Office Building, 402 South Monroe Street, Tallahassee, FL 32399-1300
                                                   (850) 717-4870
                Citizens Property Insurance Corporation
                  Barry Gilway, President/CEO and Executive Director
                                        House Commerce Committee
                                                   January 14, 2021




~        ITIZ"~~
    PftOPERTY INSURAN
  Risk and Assessment Reductions




Notes:
 1. Storm Risk is as measured by 1-in-100 year probable maximum loss (PML) plus estimated loss adjustment expenses using the Florida Hurricane                   VALUES ARE NOT DRAWN TO
    Catastrophe Fund (FHCF) account allocation where PLA and CLA are combined. PLA/CLA combined PMLs are added to the Coastal PMLs to be                                  SCALE
    consistent for surplus distribution. In general, the PMLs presented are as projected at the beginning of storm season; with the exception of 2017 which is
    as of August 31, 2017.
 2. Surplus and Assessments are as projected at beginning of storm season. Not all PLA/CLA surplus is needed to fund storm risk in 2014. In 2015 - 2020,
    not all surplus in PLA/CLA and the Coastal Account is needed to fund storm risk. Remaining surplus is available to fund a second event.
 3. Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF) is as projected at beginning of storm season; with the exception of 2017 and 2018 which are Citizens' initial
    data submission to the FHCF.
 4. Depopulation PMLs are not included in storm risk totals and are presented as year end totals. PMLs from 2011-2014 use a weighted average of 1/3
    Standard Sea Surface Temperature (SSST) and 2/3 Warm Sea Surface Temperature (WSST). 2015 - 2019 PMLs reflect only SSST event catalog. 2020
    Depopulation PMLs are not yet available for inclusion in this exhibit.
History of Policies In-Force
     1,200,000
                                                                                                                       Liquidation of 3 FL domestic
                                                                                                                      carriers and partial withdrawal
                                                                                        Liquidation of Poe                   from la rge carrier                     High volume of
                                     Personal Lines Account
                                                                                        Financial Group                                                            depopulr on a ctivity
     1,000,000
                                     Coastal Account
                                                                                                                                        \
D 800,000
C:
:,
0
                                    • Commercial Lines Account
                                                                                            I                  High volume of
                                                                                                             depopulafon activity

u
                                                              High volume of
.~ 600,000                                                  depopulation activity
0
Q.                                                                       I
      400,000                                     ,..

      200,000




            0
                  1996       2001       2002      2003            2004       2005        2006      2007        2008           2009   2010      201 1    2012       2013     2014      2015      2016          2017    2018       2019   Nov 2020


                                               PeBonal Lines                                Commercial                                                  PeBonal Lines                         Commercial
                                                             Coastal Account                                          Total                                           Coastal Account                                Total
                                                 Account                                   Lines Account                                                  Account                            Lines Account

                                 1996                   936,837              465,739                   0           1,402,576                 2011            1,003,856          460,161             8,374            1,472,391
                                 2001                   102,792              414,123                198               517,113                2012              860,502          446,163             8,146            1,314,811
                                 2002                   164,274              397,676               2,157              564,107                2013              627,391          386,688             7,615            1,021,694
                                 2003                   383,283              433,077               3,863              820,223                2014       ,-     373,6 17         282,863             4,681             661,161
                                 2004                   416,521              453,765               3,650              873,936                2016       ,~     299,902          200,842             3,121             503,865
                                 2006                   407,387              399,417               3,145              809,949                2016              293,118          160,834             1,891             455,843
                                2006C2J                 743,592              403,509               8,347           1,298,428                 2017              300,507          138,591             1,308             440,406
                                 2007                   845,857              446,184              12,908           1,304,949                 2018              304,507          121,971                91 9           427,397
                                 2008               629,467                  445,200               9,570           1,084,237                 2019              322,792          118,673                738            442,203
                                 2009                   609,652              41 0,436              9,126           1,029,214                Nov 2020           398,462          133,603                723            532,788
                                 2010                   829,406              445,679               8,453           1,283,538




Notes:
          1) Excludes takeout policies
          2) In 2006, there were 142,980 policies assumed from the Poe Financial Group included in Citizens' total policy count. As these policies remained on the Poe system at the end of that calendar                    ~          ITIZENS
             year, they are not allocated at the account level.
    Policy Count Trend



                                                          Citizens' Policy Count Trend
                    1,200,000


                    1,000,000


                      800,000


                      600,000


                      400,000


                      200,000


                             0



                                   2013       2014       2015      2016      2017      2018      2019        2020             2021
                                                                                                           Proje cted       Proj ected

    Citizens' Policy Count       1,021 ,694   661 ,161   503,865   455,843   440,406   427,397   442,203    532,135          630,257
I




       Page 4
                                                                                                                        ~       ITIZENS
Depopulation Policy Count Trend


                                           Depopulation Policy Count Trend
                    450,000

                    400,000

                    350 ,000

                    300 ,000

                    250,000

                    200 ,000

                    150 ,000

                    100 ,000

                     50,000




                               2013      2014      2015      201 6     2017      2018      2019          2020 (Oct.)

I Depopulation Policy Count    365,833   416,453   272,596    88,000    34,008    17,902    10,084             4,653




     Page 5
                                                                                                     ~          ITIZENS
Clearinghouse Submission and Outcome (Jan – Sept 2020)


                                         Submission Results by Carrier (Volume)
    400,000


    350,000


    300,000


    250,000


    200,000


    150,000


    100,000


     50,000


          -
                Carrier A   Carrier B   Carrier C   Carrier D   Carrier E   Carrier F   Carrier G   Carrier H   Carrier I      Carrier J   Carrier K



  Successful Offers    No Offers Due to Underwriting Issues     No Offers Due to Geographical Location    Blocked Due to Agent Appointment (ONLY)




                                                                                                                            Page 6
Financial Trends for Florida Domestic Insurers


                                            Financial Trends for Florida Domestics
                                                                  ($000's Omitted)

                  $1 ,000,000

                    $750,000                                                                           • Net Income/Loss

                                                                                                       • Net Underwriting Gain/Loss



                                11 II II --
                    $500,000

                    $250,000

                          $0

                   ($250,000)

                   ($500,000)

                   ($750,000)

                 ($1,000,000)
                                                                                                                 •1 I
                 ($1,250,000)

                 ($1,500,000)

                                  2013        2014       2015           2016           2017         2018           2019          2020YTD
            Net Income/Loss     $347,337    $447,159   $462,668       ($1 3,772)     ($142,445)   ($150,696)    ($372,269)       ($727,361)

Net Underwriting Gain/Loss      $416,01 0   $577,643   $532,630      ($194,112)      ($426,472)   ($414,266)    ($725,099)    ($1,260,208)




   Page 7
                                                                                                                             ~         ITIZENS
Citizens Homeowners Rates Compared to Industry


                                        91% of Citizens’ HO‐3
                                        policies are charged
                                        LESS than the
                                        average
                                        competitor’s rate.




 Page 8
Citizens Rates

Prior to 2007, rates were required to be non-competitive with the private market.

Rates for personal and commercial residential policies were frozen by statute from January 1,
2007 through December 31, 2009.

Rates are now required to be actuarily sound, but not to exceed 10% increase annually per
policy, excluding the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund Rapid Cash Build-Up Factor.

Citizens Board makes annual recommended rate changes to the Office of Insurance Regulation
(OIR) and they establish rates for Citizens.

Citizens is not required to purchase reinsurance at the same level as the private market is
required. Citizens provision for reinsurance is much lower than the private market, thus leading
to a lower rate need for Citizens. If Citizens needed the same level of reinsurance as a typical
private insurer then its Homeowners multiperil and wind-only indication would nearly triple.




   Page 9
Citizens’ Premium Drivers for Homeowners and Homeowners
Wind-Only
                          Projected HO3/HW2 Cost Categories for 2021

                                                      Projected Dollar Amount   % of Total
                Fund Future Hurricanes                      $208,989,500         31.7%
            Cost of Litigated Water Claims                  $133,918,208         20.3%
         Cost of Non-Litigated Water Claims                  $60,251,336          9.1%
                Cost of Sinkhole Claims                      $5,547,127           0.8%
      Cost of All Other Perils (Fire, Liability, etc)        $33,191,728          5.0%
                Commission to Agents                         $47,550,602          7.2%
                  Administration Costs                      $102,081,294         15.5%
                    Premium Taxes                            $11,245,075          1.7%
     Net Cost of Reinsurance (including FHCF BU)             $57,128,463          8.7%
          Total Needed HO3/HW2 Premium                      $659,903,332         100.0%



      Projected premium need for each cost driver of HO3/HW2 policy forms
      for 2021



Page 10
Carrier Litigation Experience 2013 – 2020




     2019 vs 2020 Notes:
     1.     Citizens AOB Litigation decreased by 48% (3,886 to 2,007)
     2.     Citizens Overall Litigation decreased by 20% (9,877 to 7,853)
     3.     All Other Carriers AOB Litigation decreased by 37% (24,694 to 15,676)
     4.     All Other Carriers Overall Litigation increased by less than 1% (84,087 to 85,007)

     Data source – DFS LSOP 2013 – 2020
  Page 11
Citizens Litigated vs Non-Litigated Water Claim Costs

  HO3*                                        HO3*                                   HO3*
   Closed Water Claims as of                   Closed Water Claims as of              Closed Water Claims as of
   3/31/2020                                   3/31/2020                              3/31/2020

                                               Non - Litigated                        Total - Litigated and Non-
  Litigated
                                               Claims                                 Litigated
  Claims

                   Loss     ALAE**                          Loss   ALAE**                            Loss   ALAE**
  Close Year     Severity   Severity Loss/ALAE Close Year Severity Severity Loss/ALAE Close Year   Severity Severity Loss/ALAE
      2012       $18,904     $4,941 $23,845        2012    $7,016   $860     $7,876       2012      $7,670 $1,084     $8,754
      2013       $20,174     $6,787 $26,961        2013    $8,391 $1,032     $9,423       2013     $10,270 $1,950 $12,220
      2014       $22,609     $6,348 $28,956        2014    $8,684 $1,087     $9,771       2014     $14,075 $3,123 $17,198
      2015       $25,892     $6,182 $32,073        2015    $8,705   $928     $9,633       2015     $16,538 $3,322 $19,860
      2016       $29,157     $7,034 $36,191        2016    $5,143   $866     $6,009       2016     $17,429 $4,021 $21,450
      2017       $27,547     $9,439 $36,986        2017    $6,167 $1,245     $7,412       2017     $14,024 $4,256 $18,280
      2018       $29,089    $12,255 $41,343        2018    $7,504 $1,640     $9,144       2018     $17,942 $6,773 $24,715
      2019       $31,653    $14,338 $45,990        2019   $10,169 $1,933 $12,102          2019     $17,872 $6,381 $24,254
      2020       $33,591    $15,223 $48,814        2020    $8,281 $1,816 $10,097          2020     $15,540 $5,662 $21,202
   Grand Total   $26,281     $8,687 $34,969 Grand Total $7,833 $1,116        $8,950 Grand Total    $13,029 $3,248 $16,277
  *Homeowners
  **Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense




  Page 12


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