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Workplace Warnings: The Need for a New and Improved Paycheck Protection Program

Issuer
Small Business Administration (SBA) belatedly
Document type
PDF source document
Date
2020-12-01

Source document: Reporting Requirem ents During the CO VID-19 Pandem ic .................................................. 10; document type: court-filings.

Full text

WORKPLACE WARNINGS:
 The Need for a New and
   Improved Paycheck
  Protection Program

        COVID STIMULUS
        WATCH




          D E C E M B E R   2 0 2 0
     Workplace Warnings:
The Need for a New and Improved
 Paycheck Protection Program
               By: Mellissa Chang




                 December 2020
                 Good Jobs First
                  202-232-1616
               www.goodjobsfirst.org

         © Copyright 2020 by Good Jobs First
      TABLE OF CONTENTS
            Executive Summary .................................................................................................................... 2


            Background: Federal Response to the COVID-19 Economic Crisis .............................. 4

                    The CARES Act ................................................................................................................................... 4


                     The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) ................................................................................. 5


            Measuring Success of the PPP................................................................................................ 8

                    Tracking Layoffs –The WARN ACT ................................................................................................ 9


                    Reporting Requirements During the COVID-19 Pandemic .................................................. 10


            Layoffs Among PPP Recipients – Key Findings .................................................................... 11

                     Timing .................................................................................................................................................. 11


                     Location .............................................................................................................................................. 13


                     Industry .............................................................................................................................................. 13


                     Jobs to Be Retained ....................................................................................................................... 13


            Redesigning the Paycheck Protection Program ............................................................... 14

                     Expanded Support .......................................................................................................................... 14


                     Stricter Loan Forgiveness Provisions ...................................................................................... 14


                     Increased Layoff Monitoring ........................................................................................................ 15


                     Stricter Eligibility ............................................................................................................................ 15


            Appendix A: Methodology ........................................................................................................ 16


            Appendix B: Results by State ................................................................................................. 17


            Endnotes ...................................................................................................................................... 18


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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

More than 190,000 American workers have been laid off since March across
1,900 companies that received loans through the Paycheck Protection Program
(PPP). The companies intended to support 251,000 workers – instead, they laid
off 76 percent of them. About one in eight of those workers lost their jobs
permanently.


Among the affected workers in 41 states and the                    Small Business Administration (SBA) belatedly
District of Columbia, virtually none got 60 days’                  disclosed on December 1, 2020 would yield more
advance notice of their layoffs and more than two-                 PPP-WARN matches.
thirds got no advance warning at all. Indeed, four
out of five of the PPP loans were approved after                   Furthermore, because the WARN Act does not cover
layoffs had already occurred. For transactions with                all businesses and layoffs, the number of PPP loan
sufficient disclosure, loans were approved an                      recipients that laid off workers is certainly far more
average of 32 days after WARN notices were                         widespread than even the most comprehensive WARN
issued.                                                            analysis can estimate.


These discoveries come from Good Jobs First’s                      Through our investigation, we conservatively
national analysis of Worker Adjustment and                         identified 1,892 businesses that both received a PPP
Retraining Notification (WARN) Act notices. The                    loan of $150,000 or more and filed a WARN Act
WARN Act requires certain employers to provide                     notice since the beginning of the pandemic. In total,
advance notice of layoffs to workers and the state.                these layoffs affected 190,917 jobs across 41 states
At the time of analysis, only PPP loans of $150,000                and the District of Columbia. The corresponding
or above had been disclosed, so our analysis                       PPP loans for these businesses amount to more than
matches only those loan recipients with WARN                       $3.6 billion – an estimated $1.9 million per
notices.                                                           business.i

Although smaller firms are less likely to give                     These job losses raise serious questions about the
WARN notices, we speculate that the additional 4.5                 success of the PPP, which was specifically designed
million loans (for less than $150,000), which the                  to keep workers on payroll despite substantial


i At the time of analysis, PPP loan amounts were disclosed in ranges. The midpoint of each range is used in our calculations.



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declines in business revenue caused by the COVID-       The recent spikes in COVID-19 cases and threat of
19 pandemic.                                            more lockdowns has reignited stimulus talks and,
                                                        more specifically, renewed interest in extending or
Of these employment losses, more than 72 percent        even expanding the PPP. If the PPP is reauthorized,
(138,230) were classified as layoffs, 21 percent        these major flaws will need to be addressed to
(40,275) were tied to business closures, and the        guarantee high rates of compliance and job
remaining 8 percent, (14,541) were uncategorized.       retention.
For notices that indicate whether the employment
loss is temporary or permanent, 347 notices –           Based on our observations, we propose four
which covered almost 31,000 jobs – were explicitly      modifications to correct these weaknesses in any
specified as a permanent.                               extension of PPP by Congress:

The timing of WARN notice filings, layoff start
dates, and PPP loan approval dates also raise
                                                         Businesses should be given more sizeable loans
                                                          for longer-term payroll support.
concerns about how effective the PPP was in saving
jobs. Although most WARN Act notices were filed
                                                         Loan forgiveness requirements should be
                                                          tightened to encourage job retention.
in March and April, the overwhelming majority of
layoffs took place in March alone, meaning that
                                                         Companies with regulatory penalties for
                                                            misconduct such as wage theft or defrauding the
many employers laid off workers before issuing any          federal government should only be offered less-
WARN Act notice. Specifically, 129,466 workers –            favorable loan terms.
or 68 percent of the dislocated workers – received
no advance warning of their dismissal. Further
                                                           The SBA should implement layoff monitoring
                                                            procedures to track job retention throughout the
concerning is that of the loans with approval dates,        duration of the PPP.
80 percent were approved after layoffs occurred.


Each PPP-WARN overlap identified in this report
represents a case in which an employer may failed
to meet its promise of job retention; however, our
findings are not a blanket criticism of all the 1,900
companies, as the specific circumstances
surrounding each layoff is unknown. Instead, our
findings bring to light flaws in the PPP that allowed
these layoffs to occur, namely: delayed loan
approvals, insufficient loan amounts, and overly
generous loan forgiveness provisions.




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Background: Federal Response to
the COVID-19 Economic Crisis

On February 29, 2020, the United States recorded its first coronavirus-related
death – a man in his 50s from Washington state.1 That same day, the state declared
a state of emergency, and within 20 days, every state had followed suit. By April 7,
almost every state had imposed a stay-at-home order, placing unprecedented limits
on travel and in-person gatherings and forcing non-essential businesses to close.2 3 4



The economic effects of these lockdowns were
widespread and severe. According to Yelp,
                                                            The CARES Act
approximately 180,000 businesses that were open on          To respond to the growing health crisis and its
March 1 had been closed by April 15.5 From March to         impending economic fallout, Congress passed four
April, the unemployment rate increased by more than         pieces of legislation, allocating more than $1.4
10 percentage points – the largest one-month increase       trillion to government agencies, health care
ever recorded – to 14.7 percent – the highest post-war      providers, small businesses, workers, and entire
unemployment rate ever recorded.6 The number of             industries.
individuals on temporary layoff had increased ten-fold
and the number of individuals who had permanently           On March 27, the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and
lost their jobs had quadrupled. Between March 14 and        Economic Security Act (CARES Act),11 the largest
March 21, the number of individuals filing initial          and most notable of Congress’ coronavirus
claims for unemployment benefits increased by over          stimulus packages, was signed into law. Among the
1,000 percent and the last week of March would break        many allocations in the CARES Act was $342
the record for the greatest number of filings in a single   billion for the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP),
week at over 6.6 initial claims.7 8                         which was intended to support small businesses
                                                            impacted by the pandemic.
With 23.1 million Americans out of work, an
estimated 5.6 million suddenly without health               The PPP reflected Congress’ desire to reduce the
insurance, and state unemployment insurance agencies        strain on unemployment insurance programs and
buckling under the weight of the demand, the pressure       allow as many workers as possible to retain
was on the federal government to save the economy           employer-sponsored benefits – especially health
from total collapse.9 10                                    insurance coverage.

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Congress hoped that the PPP would, through             The Program was also open to non-profit corporations,
forgivable payroll loans, encourage businesses to      Tribal businesses and organizations, independent
retain or rehire workers despite significant           contractors, and self-employed individuals. Businesses
lockdown-induced revenue losses.                       could only receive one loan from the Program.


The Paycheck                                           By April 16, the SBA had issued over 1.6 million loans
                                                       and depleted its entire $342 billion allocation.13 On
Protection Program                                     April 24th, Congress appropriated to the Program an
                                                       additional $310 million.
The PPP was designed to support small businesses
impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic through low-         By the end, the SBA approved 5.2 million loans
interest loans which carry generous loan               amounting to $525 billion. The average loan size
forgiveness provisions if funds are mainly used to     was approximately $101,000 and more than 87
maintain payrolls. The Program opened to               percent of the loans were under $150,000.14 Loans
applicants on April 3 and offered loans amounting      of $150,000 and above account for 12 percent of
to up to 2.5 months’ worth of payroll costs,           all approved transactions but over 70 percent of all
including benefits, with a ceiling of $10 million.     loan amounts.15
The loans are funded by the Small Business
Administration (SBA) and processed by private
                                                       Endless Rule Changes
banks and non-profit lending institutions.
                                                       It did not take long for the public to learn that not
To qualify for loan forgiveness at maturation, at      all approved loans were going to businesses that fit
least 60 percent of the loan must have been spent      SBA size criteria for small businesses. SEC filings
on payroll. The remaining 40 percent may be used       revealed that a substantial number of publicly
to cover rent, utilities, and interest on debt         traded companies, often through subsidiaries,
obligations, such as mortgages. If a business          received PPP loans.16 After these early
knowingly uses funds for unauthorized purposes         controversies emerged, the SBA began issuing
(i.e. expenses not related to payroll or business      eligibility rule changes to prevent other large
operations), it will be subject to fraud charges.12    corporations from accessing PPP funds.

Generally, only businesses with fewer than 500         The first major rule clarifications came with “safe
workers or businesses that qualified as a small        harbor” provisions that allowed businesses to
business under the SBA’s industry-specific size        return PPP loans in excess of $2 million without
standards were eligible for PPP loans.                 penalties if the clarifications indicated they were
                                                       not, in fact, eligible for a loan.17




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 Case Study: How Corporate Structuring Frustrates Program Goals
 Despite its relative anonymity and veiled relationships with cosmetics distributors, Spatz Labs has been leading
 the cosmetics industry in R &D and manufacturing since it opened in the 1950s.

 Spatz Labs has a complicated ownership structure. Under its corporate umbrella, it houses SEED Beauty, Beta
 Beauty, and ColourPop. The latter has annual sales estimated in excess of $70 million and product rollouts that
 often sell out within hours of release. On paper, they are all distinct legal entities but functionally are all owned
 by Spatz Labs and run by the same management team. The Spatz Labs’ incubator, SEED Beauty, also has
 significant research, design, and manufacturing relationships with Kylie Cosmetics and Kim Kardashian-West’s
 line KKW, each of which is valued at $1 billion. In 2017 alone, Spatz Labs’ contract with Kylie Cosmetics
 brought in an estimated $180 million in revenue.[i]Spatz Labs also has manufacturing relationships with an
 undisclosed number of major cosmetics brands. Notably, in 2015 Spatz reportedly produced $28 million in
 product for L’Oreal.


 In early April 2020, Spatz Labs, ColourPop, and Beta Beauty received three separate PPP loans of $1.2 million,
 $4.6 million, and $860,000, respectively, for a total of $6.4 million in loans given to Spatz companies.
 Meanwhile, Spatz, ColourPop, and Beta Beauty laid off a combined 900 workers – twice as many workers as
 they said they intended to retain with their PPP funds. Of these 900 layoffs, 100 were permanent.


 PPP rules state that borrowers are only entitled to one loan, however, company franchisees and subsidiaries can
 also receive their own PPP loan. The only requirement is that franchisees and subsidiaries include employees at
 all affiliate companies in their headcount to determine eligibility, but numerous companies have been
 documented breaking these rules.[i]


 This fragmented approach to granting PPP loans may allow companies to artificially make themselves look
 smaller to potentially skirt eligibility rules and receive multiple PPP loans. Because of the sheer number of PPP
 loans, it may never be possible to identify all the businesses that have found creative methods for obtaining
 multiple PPP loans.


 This fragmented approach to obtaining loans also inflates the overall number of businesses that were apparently
 assisted by the Program: each loan might not be supporting a unique business, further complicating evaluations
 of the PPP’s results. Moreover, that a company with millions in sales between its high-profile brands and
 affiliates could receive PPP loans raises questions about the effectiveness of PPP eligibility requirements and
 the criteria used to classify small businesses.




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For loans under $2 million affected by the rule         For a worker earning $19.33 an hour – the median
changes, the SBA deemed that the businesses             non-supervisory wage in 2019 – that would allow an
applied in “good faith” and would not need to repay     hourly decrease of almost $5.24
their loan or be subject to an audit.19 As the public
uncovered more cases of businesses exploiting           It is worth noting that there are also safe harbor
eligibility loopholes, the SBA continued to issue       provisions and exceptions to these staffing
additional eligibility rule changes in response.        requirements. Borrowers would not be penalized if
                                                        staffing levels were reduced under one of the following
To date, the SBA had issued two dozen rule              four conditions: (1) the business was not able to
changes. However, subsequent rule changes did not       resume full operations because of health guidelines; (2)
offer opportunities to return loans penalty-free.       employees that were laid off prior to the loan
Instead, the SBA carved out exceptions for these        disbursement declined rehire offers; (3) an employee
businesses that allowed them to keep their loans or     was fired for cause; or (4) an employee voluntarily
maintain eligibility for loan forgiveness.              resigned or requested a reduction in hours, and the
                                                        business was unable to hire similarly qualified
Despite widespread allegations of misuse, the SBA       individuals.25
has only committed to reviewing loans more than
$2 million.20 21 22                                     Businesses that decreased staffing levels for other
                                                        reasons would have the share of their loan forgiveness
                                                        reduced to reflect these staff reductions and would
                                                        need to repay the remaining balance and interest.
Loan Forgiveness
Loans from the PPP program carry an interest rate       Although the Program was intended to support jobs
of one percent; however, if a business complies         with exceptionally generous loan forgiveness
with certain job retention requirements, its PPP        provisions, businesses also have the right to spend PPP
loan principal and interest can be forgiven in whole    funds on non-forgivable businesses expenses and then
or in part. Initial loan forgiveness provisions         not seek loan forgiveness. In comparison to the 1
required at least 75 percent of the loan be spent on    percent interest rate on a PPP loan, the median interest
payroll costs, but that threshold was later reduced     rate for a fixed-rate small business loan in the second
to 60 percent.23 The remaining 40 percent could be      quarter of 2019 was 5.68 percent.26 For a five-year
used to cover nonpayroll expenses, such as rent         $150,000 loan, this is almost a $19,000 difference in
and utilities. To be eligible for forgiveness,          interest; for a $2 million loan that difference is more
employers must have also maintained pre-                than $250,000. In other words, a business could treat
pandemic staffing levels and paid workers at least      the Program as a deeply discounted source of working
75 percent of their pre-pandemic salary or wage for     capital even while laying workers off.
the loan coverage period.



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Measuring Success of the PPP

PPP was an unprecedented program intended to address an unprecedented economic
disaster. As such, there is no standard through which the results of the Program can
be benchmarked. Nevertheless, the ultimate goal of the PPP was to keep workers
employed amidst extraordinary declines in economic activity.


Preliminary reports released by the SBA on June 30     Despite the rigor of these estimates, more concrete
claimed that the Program supported 51.1 million        job retention numbers remain elusive. SBA job
jobs.27 However, these figures were taken from PPP     retention data will only be available after all loan
loan applications in which businesses themselves       forgiveness applications have been processed, but
reported how many jobs they intended to support        these numbers will also be self-reported and only
with their loan. As detailed, the acceptable uses of   loans of $2 million and above will be audited.
PPP loans extended beyond just payroll costs, and      Because the deadline for some loan forgiveness
the only penalty for businesses that did not           applications is set at five years after loan approval,
maintain reported staffing levels is a reduction in    it is also unclear when such firm data will be
loan forgiveness on loans that were extremely          available.
cheap. Therefore, these estimates may not
accurately reflect the number of jobs actually         The companies we found with PPP loans and
retained.                                              WARN Act notices may or may not represent cases
                                                       where an employer reneged on its promise of job
Several independent research groups have issued        retention by laying off workers – exactly what the
far smaller impact estimates. Opportunity Insights,    Program sought to prevent. In other cases,
a non-profit, non-partisan policy research group       companies may have laid workers off after their
based at Harvard University, estimates that, at a      PPP job-retention period expired. Other companies
cost of $377,000 per job, the Program saved 1.29       may have lowered their job-retention obligations by
million jobs from April through August 15.28           laying workers off before or as they were obtaining
Additionally, economists at MIT estimated that the     PPP loans. We leave the question of possible PPP
Program boosted employment by between 1.36             violations to the SBA and other authorities.
million and 3.20 million at a cost of between
$162,000 and $381,000 per job.29




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Tracking Layoffs –                                               For example, unforeseeable businesses
                                                                 circumstances such as the loss of a large contract, a
The WARN Act                                                     deep economic downturn, or a natural disaster are
                                                                 all grounds for exemption.31
The Worker Adjustment and Retraining
Notification (WARN) Act requires businesses                      In addition to the WARN Act, which covers all states,
with 100 or more full-time employees to provide                  eight states have so-called “mini-WARN Acts” with
workers, the locality, the state, and the workplace              enhanced layoff notice requirements.32
union(s) if it has any, with 60 days’ notice of
employment losses.30                                             The highest level at which WARN Act notices have
                                                                 ever been collected is at the state level; there has
The WARN Act specifically applies to plant                       never been a national or centralized database of
closings affecting more than 50 workers, layoffs                 WARN Act data. State disclosure of WARN Act
affecting more than 50 percent of workers where                  notices is entirely voluntary: 47 seven states and
these workers also account for 33 percent or more                the District of Columbia publish compilations of
of total staff, and layoffs affecting 500 or more                their notices online.ii
workers. The Act defines employment loss as
involuntary separations, layoffs in excess of six                Since it took effect in 1989, there have been many
months, and reductions in working hours of 50                    critical studies of the WARN Act’s limitations,
percent or more. Short-term layoffs that extend                  loopholes and lack of enforcement by sources
beyond six months or several layoffs in a 90-day                 ranging from the Government Accountability
period may also trigger the WARN Act reporting                   Office33, academic studies, non-profit
requirements.                                                    organizations, and legal assistance centers such as
                                                                 the Sugar Law Center.34 There have also been
When businesses are found to be in violation of                  recurring proposals to reform the law.The WARN
the WARN Act, they can be sued for back pay –                    Act is a flawed law, but it remains the best
including benefits – for those days workers                      publicly-available sources of up-to-date, firm-level
received less than 60 days’ notice and fined $500                job loss data. This makes the data useful for this
for each day their notice was below the 60-day                   analysis and allows us to highlight potential
threshold.                                                       shortcomings in the PPP.

There are exceptions to these reporting
requirements if an employer could not reasonably
anticipate the employment loss.



ii Three states which do not post their WARN notices online and from which we were not able to receive data upon request are
Arkansas, New Hampshire, and Wyoming.


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WARN Reporting                                        Because mini-WARN Acts often expand the scope
                                                      of businesses that are required to report closings
Requirements During                                   and layoffs beyond the federal requirements, the

the COVID-19                                          relaxing of state requirements likely resulted in
                                                      fewer reports than would have been the case under
Economic Crisis                                       normal circumstances. Conversely, many
                                                      businesses that are not technically subject to the
As businesses shuttered en masse due to the
                                                      WARN Act have voluntarily reported layoffs as a
COVID-19 pandemic, employers were unsure
                                                      precautionary or goodwill measure during the
whether the WARN Act applied to these closings
                                                      pandemic.
and layoffs. At the beginning of the pandemic,
many did not anticipate layoffs would exceed six
months – after all, the PPP covered eight weeks’
worth of payroll expenses. However, the U.S.
Department of Labor (DOL) quickly released
guidance indicating that the WARN Act would
apply in full force throughout the pandemic.35


While the DOL held the line with federal WARN
requirements, some states relaxed their own layoff
reporting standards. In the face of the pandemic,
California suspended the state-level 60-day notice
requirement.36


In New Jersey, state-level notice requirements were
suspended, as were pending adjustments to the state
WARN Act that would have required severance
payments, increased the required notice period, and
lowered the threshold for what is considered a mass
layoff.37 Other states, including Hawaii and
Vermont, instituted similar suspensions of state-
level WARN requirements.38 39




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Layoffs Among PPP Recipients –
Key Findings

Our analysis of PPP loan data and state and federal WARN notices identifies,
conservatively, 1,892 businesses that both received a PPP loan of $150,000 or more
and also filed a WARN Act layoff or closing notice between the beginning of
March and early October 2020. These notices cover approximately 194,136 jobs in
41 states and the District of Columbia.iii The corresponding PPP loans for these
businesses amount to over $3.6 billion.iv The average layoff or closing affected 103
workers and the average loan amount was just over $1.9 million.

Of the notices, more than 72 percent (138,230)                    The day on which notices were submitted most
were classified as layoffs, 21 percent (40,275) were              frequently was March 20, three days after emergency
classified as closures, and the remaining 8 percent,              stay-at-home orders had been issued in all states.40
(14,541) were uncategorized. For notices that
indicate whether the employment loss is temporary                 A close comparison of the effective layoff dates with
or permanent, 347 notices – which covered almost                  the notice-filing dates reveals that the vast majority of
31,000 jobs – were explicitly specified as                        layoff events (67 percent) occurred in March, and that
permanent. This actual number of permanent                        many employers laid off workers before notifying local
layoffs is likely larger, as only a handful of states             or state governments. Specifically, there are over 920
disclose whether employment losses are temporary                  notices that indicate layoffs started before WARN
or permanent.                                                     notices were filed and 395 notices with the same
                                                                  reporting and start dates.
Timing
                                                                  For these notices, layoffs occurred, on average, 23 days
Data from WARN notice submissions indicate that                   before the WARN notices were filed. This means that
over 75 percent of notices were submitted in March                129,466 workers, or 68 percent of all workers
and April, with 46.9 percent (889) submitted in                   identified in this report, apparently received no
March and 26.6 percent (503) submitted in April.                  advance warning of their dismissal.



iii Three states which do not post their WARN notices online and from which we were not able to receive data upon request are
Arkansas, New Hampshire, and Wyoming. There were no matches for the remaining six states.
iv PPP loan amounts were disclosed in ranges. The midpoint of each range is used in our calculations.



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There are only 317 notices in which the scheduled          There are several possible explanations for this
layoff date comes after the date the WARN Act              pattern of layoffs occurring before loan approvals.
notice was issued. And instead of 60 days’ notice,         The most obvious is that federal support was not
the average lead time was only 17 days.                    available to some businesses quickly enough to
                                                           prevent layoffs. Although the PPP distributed an
Further concerning is that of the loans with               unprecedented number of loans in record time,
approval dates, more than 75 percent were                  research from the House Select Subcommittee on
approved after the loan recipient had issued a             the Coronavirus Crisis indicates that wealthier
WARN Act notice and 80 percent were approved               borrowers and large corporate clients had their
after the layoff actually occurred. Only 17 percent        loans approved faster. The PPP’s biggest lender, J.P.
of the loans have an approval date earlier than the        Morgan Chase had a wait time of 3.7 days for loans
corresponding WARN Act notice-issue date. For all          over $5 million compared to 14.5 days for loans of
loans with loan approval information, loans were           $100,000 and below.41
approved an average of 32 days after WARN
notices were issued.


   Case Study: Giti Tire – A Foreign Company Recklessly Exploiting the PPP
  In April 2020, Giti Tire Pte. Ltd, a Singaporean-based company with over $3.04 billion in annual sales
  and 35,000 employees in 130 countries across 40 subsidiaries, managed to secure two PPP loans
  through its two American subsidiaries. Despite receiving these two loans, it still laid off all 589 South
  Carolina workers that it said it intended to support, plus an additional 47 workers. That a company of
  this size received loans speci cally meant for small businesses and may have reneged on its promise of
  job retention raises serious concerns.


  In the most technical sense, Giti could claim PPP eligibility. At the time of its application, limited SBA
  guidance and a team of skilled lawyers helped Giti get approved. Under nal SBA rulings now in place,
  Giti would have been unambiguously ineligible.


  Unfortunately, these same SBA clari cations also grandfathered eligibility for the companies they
  weren’t able to disqualify earlier, like Giti. These “safe harbor” provisions generally exempt businesses
  that would no longer be eligible under the new rules if they applied for and received their loans “in
  good faith.” From April to November, the SBA issued 24 of these rulings – almost one per week –
  suggesting many businesses were slipping through the cracks.

  Giti’s exploitation of the looser early SBA rules diverted funds from more-deserving small businesses in
  need of federal aid. It is regrettable that a large foreign corporation with billions in annual sales and an
  almost $700 million market capitalization was able to receive over $9.8 million in American taxpayer
  dollars intended for small businesses. More dismaying is the fact that Giti might qualify for forgiveness
  despite laying off the majority of its workforce. If Giti rehires workers before the end of the year and
  pays them at least 75 percent of their wages, it can apparently still have portions of its loan forgiven.


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We also recognize that that some businesses may                Louisiana had the worst (i.e., most negative days)
have rehired workers after receiving loans, but this           average lead time, with WARN notices filed 71
does not remedy the significant disruptions in                 days after a layoff started. The remaining 14 states
income that workers experienced while                          included in this study did not have information on
unemployed.                                                    both layoff start dates and WARN filing dates.v

Additionally, while expanded unemployment
benefits provided by the CARES Act alleviated                  Industry
many individuals’ financial woes, expanded
benefits were only retroactive to March 29 – nine              Industry information taken from North American
days after the most frequent submission date                   Industry Classification System (NAICS) codes
among the identified matches.42                                submitted on PPP loans show that “Full-service
                                                               Restaurants” (722511) account for the greatest
                                                               number of WARN/PPP matches at 25 percent. The
Location                                                       second most common industry is “New Car
                                                               Dealers” (441110) at 9 percent. The overarching
Although businesses in California and New York                 NAICS categories WARN/PPP align with the retail
only account for 45 percent of all the WARN                    sales trend; the “Accommodation and Food
notices collected for this study, they represent 64            Services” NAICS category (72) accounts for over
percent of all WARN-PPP matches. (This could                   37 percent of all WARN-PPP matches and “Retail
reflect the two states’ mini-WARN Acts covering                Trade” (44-45) at 13 percent.
more employers.) The top five states by number of
workers affected – California, New York, Florida,              When categorized by share of job losses, subsets of
Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania – represent 141,860                “Accommodation and Food Services” represent
workers or 74 percent of all employment losses.                four out of the top five industries, with 76,241 jobs
                                                               impacted. “New Car Dealers” round out the top
In only ten states did workers, on average, receive            five industries with 10,942 jobs affected.
their WARN notices before their layoff date.
Excluding New Mexico, which only had one
WARN-PPP match, North Carolina had the most
time, on average, between the WARN filing and
                                                               Jobs to Be Retained
layoff start at 15 days.                                       When categorized by share of job losses, subsets of
                                                               “Accommodation and Food Services” represent
Seventeen states and the District of Columbia had              four out of the top five industries, with 76,241 jobs
a negative lead time, meaning that, on average,                impacted. “New Car Dealers” round out the top
notices were filed after layoffs took place.                   five industries with 10,942 jobs affected.

v Six states had no PPP-WARN notice matches and three states don’t disclose their WARN notices.




www.goodjobsfirst.org                           WORKPLACE WARNINGS: THE NEED FOR A NEW AND IMPROVED PPP                13
Redesigning the Paycheck
Protection Program
In order to more closely align program outcomes with program goals and ensure
high rates of job retention, major flaws in the program design must be addressed if
PPP is extended. We propose the following four modifications to correct these
weaknesses:

support.
 First, businesses should be given more sizeable loans for longer-term payroll

retention
 Second, loan forgiveness requirements must be tightened to encourage job
           and salary level maintenance
retention
 Third, the SBA should implement layoff monitoring procedures to track job
           throughout the duration of the PPP.
defrauding
 Fourth, Companies with regulatory penalties for misconduct such as wage theft or
             the federal government should only be offered less-favorable loan
  terms.


Expanded Support                                      Stricter Loan
Until the virus is contained, and until confidence    Forgiveness Provisions
in public safety is restored, expanded support for
payroll costs for the duration of the pandemic will   Current loan forgiveness standards allow employers to
be essential to ensuring that small businesses stay   reduce worker salaries by up to 25 percent without
afloat. Analysis from McKinsey suggests that the      penalty. For low-wage workers, these reductions are
pandemic will functionally endure through 2021,       especially detrimental. Borrowers should be required
which will prolong the need to support small          to maintain worker salaries at 100 percent of pre-
businesses strained by the pandemic for at least an   pandemic levels in order to qualify for loan
additional six to eight months.43                     forgiveness.

Instead of 2.5 months of payroll coverage,            Additionally, PPP loans should carry interest rates
borrowers should be allowed to receive loans that     comparable to other CARES Act loan programs, like
cover payroll costs for at least six months.          the Economic Injury Disaster Loan Program (EIDL)



www.goodjobsfirst.org                     WORKPLACE WARNINGS: THE NEED FOR A NEW AND IMPROVED PPP             14
and Main Street Lending Program (MSLP), to
                                                      Stricter Eligibility
more strongly encourage job retention (i.e., by
raising the price of non-compliance with job          A September 2020 report by Good Jobs First
retention).                                           found that over 38,000 PPP and EIDL loan
                                                      recipients have paid over $3.3 billion in fines for
Seeking loan forgiveness is also entirely optional,   serious regulatory violations, including wage and
making the PPP an extremely attractive offer for      hour claims (i.e., wage theft), Occupational Safety
companies seeking discounted working capital.         and Health Administration violations, and False
The EIDL and MSLP also offer low-interest             Claims Act violations (such as defrauding
business loans with rates ranging from 2.75 percent   Medicare).44
to 3.75 percent. If PPP loans had comparable
interest rates, these borrowers would be directed     Similar to our recommendation for raising interest
toward these other programs that have more            rates on PPP loan balances to align with other
favorable repayment terms.                            CARES Act programs, future iterations of the PPP
                                                      could levy higher interest rates for businesses with
                                                      a history of serious regulatory violations, like
Increased Layoff                                      False Claims Act convictions or substantial wage
Monitoring                                            theft settlements or fines.


We recommend two job-retention monitoring
enhancements: audits of a random sample of loan
recipients (of all loan sizes) and use of
unemployment insurance (UI) premium records,
again on a random testing basis. The UI records,
filed by employers on Form ES202, are a
recognized best practice by state economic
development agencies to verify job creation or
retention by employers that have received
incentives.




www.goodjobsfirst.org                     WORKPLACE WARNINGS: THE NEED FOR A NEW AND IMPROVED PPP            15
Appendix A: Methodology

PPP loan data was obtained through Covid Stimulus Watch, Good Jobs First’s
CARES Act-monitoring website.45 Forty-seven states and the District of Columbia
post compilations of WARN notices online. Arkansas, New Hampshire, and
Wyoming do not disclose WARN notices. For states that do report, WARN data was
either downloaded or scraped from each state’s respective employment agency
website.

Two methods of record linking were used to match    The second match relies on probability matching,
PPP loan recipients to companies that filed WARN    also known as fuzzy matching, to determine the
notices.                                            likelihood of a match. Company name, city, and
                                                    state fields are all used in this match. These
The first regularizes company names and then        suggested matches are also verified manually.
returns potential matches based on the first five
characters in a company name, and matching city     When both sets of matches were complete, the two
and state fields. These suggested matches were      lists were then reconciled to create a final list of
then manually checked for verification.             matches.




www.goodjobsfirst.org                    WORKPLACE WARNINGS: THE NEED FOR A NEW AND IMPROVED PPP           16
Appendix B: Results by State
                                             Days                                                   Days
                                        Between                                                Between
                        Workers                                                Workers
State     Matches                      Filing and        State   Matches                      Filing and
                        Affected                                               Affected
                                            Layoff                                                 Layoff
                                             Start                                                  Start
AK                  2        698                     8   MI                9        778                -12
AZ                  6       1,135              N/A       MT                1          10               -28
CA              839        77,282                -4      NC            11          1,493                15
CO                  6        463                 -1      NE                1          99              N/A
CT               11         2,125                12      NJ            17          1,833              N/A
DC                  3        808                -24      NM                1          64                51
DE                  3       1,173              N/A       NV                9       1,180              N/A
FL               56         8,509                -4      NY           502         45,321               -19
GA               25         1,706              N/A       OH            32          3,566               -21
HI               19         3,098              N/A       OK                2        203               N/A
ID                  2          77                10      OR            12          1,890                    4
IL               50         3,885              N/A       PA            38          4,757              N/A
IN               11          964                 15      RI                2        358                     9
KS                  2              -           N/A       SC                6       1,472              N/A
KY                  7        473                     5   TN            23          2,698               -12
LA                  5        942                -72      TX            23          2,436               -10
MA               14         2,604               -25      VA            12          1,313                -7
MD               13          720                -28      VT                1              -           N/A
MI               16         1,065               -36      WA            33          4,438               -10
MN               13         1,422              N/A       WI            47          6,863                -6
MO                  6        906                 15      WV                1          90               -11




www.goodjobsfirst.org                      WORKPLACE WARNINGS: THE NEED FOR A NEW AND IMPROVED PPP              17
Endnotes
1. CDC. “CDC, Washington State Report First              8. U.S. Department of Labor. “UNEMPLOYMENT
COVID-19 Death,” February 29, 2020.                      INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS,” April 2, 2020.
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State COVID-19 Emergency Orders.” National               pandemic-and-resulting-economic-crash-have-
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emergency-orders/.
                                                         11. Pub. L. 116-136
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2020,” May 13, 2020.                                     08/PPP_Report%20-%202020-08-10-508.pdf.
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                                                         https://www.propublica.org/article/different-names-
                                                         same-address-how-big-businesses-got-government-
                                                         loans-meant-for-small-businesses.

www.goodjobsfirst.org                         WORKPLACE WARNINGS: THE NEED FOR A NEW AND IMPROVED PPP          18
17. Small Business Administration. “Business          23. Small Business Administration, and U.S.
Loan Program Temporary Changes; Paycheck              Department of the Treasury. “Joint Statement by
Protection Program-Requirements-Extension of          SBA Administrator Jovita Carranza and U.S.
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Concerning Need for PPP Loan Request.” Federal        Enactment of the Paycheck Protection Program
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05/19/2020-10649/business-loan-program-               https://www.sba.gov/article/2020/jun/08/joint-
temporary-changes-paycheck-protection-program-        statement-sba-administrator-jovita-carranza-us-
requirements-extension-of.                            treasury-secretary-steven-t-mnuchin-regarding-0.

18. Kiel, Paul, and Jack Gillum. Op. Cit.             24. Gould, Elise. “State of Working America Wages
                                                      2019: A Story of Slow, Uneven, and Unequal Wage
19. Department of the Treasury. “Paycheck             Growth over the Last 40 Years.” Economic Policy
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21. U.S. House. Select Subcommittee on the            26. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. “Small
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01.PPP%20Interim%20Report.pdf.                        =z.

22. U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Joint           27. Small Business Administration. “Paycheck
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Procedure for Paycheck Protection Program             07/PPP%20Results%20-%20Sunday%20FINAL.pdf.
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https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-
releases/sm991.




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28. Chetty, Raj, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel        36. CA. Executive Order N-31-20, March 4, 2020.
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