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Private Investment in Residential Housing

Summary

Morgan Shook, Senior Policy Advisor at ECONorthwest, presents "Private Investment in Residential Housing" with a date of December 1, 2020. The presentation states that since 2010 only 68 units were built per 100 households formed, and that since 1981, per RCW 35.21.830, local jurisdictions in Washington have been prohibited from enacting controls on rent. It states that rent control does not make housing more affordable. It estimates 15,000 fewer units built over the next 10 years in Washington, equivalent to 11% of the multifamily stock built in the last decade, and closes with housing policy solutions.

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Issuer
Congressional materials
Document type
2020 12 01 A28047 D223961 Private Investment In Residential Housing Ppt Econw
Date
2020-12-01
Case
2020 12 01 A28047 D223961 Private Investment In Residential Housing Ppt Econw

Cite this document

“Private Investment in Residential Housing.” Original at app.leg.wa.gov, dated 2020-12-01. Archived at Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/source-documents/2020-12-01-2020-12-01-a28047-d223961-private-investment-in-residential-housing-ppt-econw/, SHA-256 a28070ae9bbccbd960616966f95aec05f1ac08fdda731bc022e7635ba329aa94.

Full text

Private Investment in
 Residential Housing

  Morgan Shook, Senior Policy Advisor,
           ECONorthwest
          December 1, 2020
The Problem: Underproduction
                    Since 2010 only 68 units built per 100 households formed
                            Housing Units to Households Formed Ratio 2010 to 2017




Excerpted: Up For Growth
  Most areas of the state have created more jobs than housing




Historic ratio is 1:1                                      Excerpted: Up For Growth
                   Challenges to Housing Creation
Housing production is characterized by headwinds…

       Growth management and land scarcity

                                          Permitting, permit processing, etc.
    Zoning and design regulation (i.e.
   exclusionary zoning, design review,
                                  etc.)         Fees and taxes


              COVID-19 economic impacts



                                              Public opposition to
                                                     growth                     5
Rent Control Overview
                Rent Control in Washington



Since 1981, per RCW 35.21.830, local jurisdictions
throughout Washington state have been prohibited from
enacting controls on rent.




                                                        7
A short summary of our research on rent control…



It is proven to negatively impact the
housing market in jurisdictions where it
has been enacted.


                                                   8
A Rare Consensus Among Economists…




                                     9
                           The Impacts of Housing Price Controls

                                                             Rent control does not make
                                                              housing more affordable.
                                                              Lower returns encourage
 Price controls lead to tenant
  selection based on income
  and make renting to lower-
                                           Less             landlords to convert units into
                                                            uncontrolled or nonresidential
  income households riskier
and more expensive. Housing
                                       Affordability        space or discourage investors
                                                              to develop new buildings.
 scarcity also impacts lower-
      income households
       disproportionately.



                                 Increased        Lower                 Housing quality deteriorated

                                  inequity        Quality              because landlords have fewer
                                                                          incentives/resources to
                                                                           maintain the building.
                                                                           Regardless of housing
                                                                        condition, demand remains
                                                                                    high.

                                                                                                  10
Rent control has changed over time.



        First         Second
      Generation     Generation



                                      11
How rent control can threaten housing
Research Overview + Findings
                A Quick Summary of the Research



                                      Lower housing costs
                                        in the short-term



Available supply of housing
Higher rents in the uncontrolled market-place
Poor targeting of benefits
Less economic and social mobility
                                                            14
          Rent Control on San Francisco

“While rent control prevents displacement of
 incumbent renters in the short run, the lost
rental housing supply likely drove up market
rents in the long run, ultimately undermining
             the goals of the law.”

                     Diamond, McQuade, Qian
                                                15
               Rent Control in Cambridge, MA


   $300
                                                    $2.0 billion
million loss              $1.7 billion
     on                                               in lost
                          in spillover               property
controlled                  effects                    value
   units




$2.0 billion in costs to local property owners, but only
$300 million of that cost was transferred to renters in
rent-controlled apartments.
                                                                   16
Impacts in Washington, not just housing




             Housing


       Taxes            Jobs

                                          17
                Impact to Washington’s Housing Stock


• 15,000 fewer units built
  over the next 10 years.
 (1,500 per year
 statewide.)


• Equivalent to 11% of the
 multifamily stock
 statewide built in the last
 decade


• 78%  of the units are
  located King, Pierce, and
 Snohomish
                                                       18
         Impact to Washington’s Economy


$3.5 billion   $301 million         $200 million




   ECONOMIC     CONSTRUCTION       PROPERTY
  INVESTMENT     SALES TAXES         TAXES
                                              19
Moving Forward + Solutions
                      COVID -19 Impacts



§ Monitoring housing
  dynamics
§ Targeted assistance to
  renters
§ Housing market supports




                                          21
                              Housing Policy Solutions

Promote more housing development to meet future demand
 •Regulation supporting more housing options in more places
 •Increase financial subsidies for development
 •Examine housing taxation
 •TOD investments and leveraging transportation investments


Promote a diverse housing stock by preserving existing units
 •Preserve and expand the Multifamily Tax Exemption (MFTE) program
 •WA Housing Trust Fund investments


Support rental assistance to stabilize housing
 •Housing levy assistance
 •Expanding the uses of WA Housing Trust Fund (i.e. supporting providers who keep rents below market)
                                                                                                22
Eugene   Portland   Seattle   Boise


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