Workforce Development & Tourism Subcommittee — Meeting Packet (October 23, 2019)
Summary
Meeting packet for the Workforce Development & Tourism Subcommittee of the Florida House of Representatives Commerce Committee, Wednesday, October 23, 2019, 3:00 pm - 5:00 pm, in 12 HOB, chaired by Rene Plasencia with Jose R. Oliva as Speaker. The agenda lists a presentation on workforce impacts and workforce development efforts following Hurricane Michael by Michelle Dennard of CareerSource Florida, Kimberly Bodine of CareerSource Gulf Coast and Richard Williams of CareerSource Chipola, then a Department of Economic Opportunity presentation by Adrienne Johnston. The CareerSource Florida response slides cite a digital outreach campaign with 8.4 million impressions and a $1 million disaster recovery fund, and the CareerSource Gulf Coast slides list ongoing needs including housing.
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“Workforce Development & Tourism Subcommittee — Meeting Packet (October 23, 2019).”
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Workforce Development & Tourism
Subcommittee
Wednesday, October 23, 2019
3:00 PM - 5:00 PM
12 HOB
Meeting Packet
Jose Oliva Rene Plasencia
Speaker Chair
The Florida House of Representatives
Commerce Committee
Workforce Development & Tourism Subcommittee
Jose R. Oliva Rene Plasencia
Speaker Chair
Meeting Agenda
Wednesday, October 23, 2019
3:00 pm - 5:00 pm
12 HOB
I. Call to Order
II. Roll Call
Ill. Welcome and Opening Remarks
IV. Presentation and discussion relating to workforce impacts and workforce
development efforts following Hurricane Michael
• Michelle Dennard, President and CEO, CareerSource Florida
• Kimberly Bodine, Executive Director, CareerSource Gulf Coast; Past
President, Florida Workforce Development Association
• Richard Williams, Executive Director, CareerSource Chipola
V. Presentation by the Department of Economic Opportunity relating to workforce
issues in Florida
• Adrienne Johnston, Bureau Chief, Bureau of Workforce Statistics and
Economic Research
VI. Closing Remarks
VII. Adjournment
3 17 House Office Building, 402 South Monroe Street, Tallahassee, FL 32399-1 300
(8 50) 717-4870
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• Michelle Dennard, President and CEO, CareerSource Florida
• Kim Bodine, Executive Director, CareerSource Gulf Coast;
Past President, Florida Workforce Development Association
• Richard Williams, Executive Director, CareerSource Chipola
/ . Care rSource
/. FLORIDA
- - -- - - -- - -- - - - -- - - - -- - - ---J
CAREERSOURCE FLORIDA RESPONSE
• Digital outreach campaign
o Promoting awareness of available programs
o 8.4 million impressions
• $1 million disaster recovery fund
o Enhanced job seeker services
o Provided for long-term recovery
/ . C"ee<So,,ce
/ .fl FLORIDA
- - - -- - -- - -- - - -- - - - - -- -- -_._J
.. • c.,e~ Sour~ flonda
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We~ hdO you file tor oiuster unemofoyment
u5ffl•nc:el.nclfin4,1.11»
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Lost WOik due to the
hurou,ne?
•
Recovery Employment Resources
... .Jcb see,..,.. ano ous,,,ess
~ sw:rer•·or
resot.ree5 !O '/OJ r
TOTAL JOB ORDERS - MONTHLY TREND
Calendlt 2019. Create Job
- Referral RegftMlon
Caltnelar 2019 · Crealt Job
- OrderRegres1100
• Cllendlr2019
Calendar 2019 · Crute Job
- o,,enongsReg"""'
calendar 2018 • Oeate Job
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calendar 201& . Oe.lte Job
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Calendar 201& • CreN Job
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Calendar 2017. Crute Job
- Referral Regreum
ca1enc1a, 2011 . Create JOO
- Order RtgrenlOl'I
• calendir2017
calendar 2011 • Cl'Nte Joo
..., OpenirlglRegression
Month Year
CareerSource
GULF COAST
CAREER CENTER VISITOR TRAFFIC
2,500 o 0
2,000 0 0
1,500 o 0
1,000 o 0
500 0 0
0
Jan Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
- 2017 - 2018 - 2019
_ _ _ _ _ /. CareerSource
GULF COAST
ONGOING NEEDS
• Housing shortage creates workforce shortage
• Consider utilizing Sadowski Funds for disaster recovery housing
• Utilize the workforce system to market housing funds to job
seekers
• Work with Florida Housing Finance Corporation on concepts to
attract private investment for workforce housing
_ _ _ _ __ /. CareerSource
GULF COAST
THE NOT FORGOTTEN COAST - RECOMMENDATIONS
• Affordable Housing Initiatives
• Additional Training Resources
• Help with Data
• Keep Michael Money in Florida
• Rural Economic Development Plan
_ _ _ _ _ /. CareerSource
CH IPOLA
• CareerSource
FLORIDA
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Innovation and the Future of Work in Florida
Bureau of Workforce Statistics and Economic Research
Adrienne Johnston, Bureau Chief
DSC,
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT•/
ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
October 2019
Bureau of Workforce Statistics and Economic Research
Our mission is to produce, analyze and deliver labor statistics
to improve economic decision-making
• Employment data are the state's most important economic indicators.
• Data collected under Federal/State Cooperative Statistical Programs.
• Comparable nationwide for all states, counties and metro areas.
• Collected through a combination of employer surveys, modeling and
administrative records.
Thanks to Florida employers, without them we would not be able to
provide data.
2
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ef ECONOMIC OPPORTUN ITY
Sustained Growth in Employment
9,000,000
8,000,000
.,
c:
~
~ 7,000,000
} 6,500,000
w
6,000.000
5,500,000
994 1999 2004 2009 2 4 2019
Years
Over the Year Percent Change (Seasonally Adjusted)
5.00%
-"t:....
""'
5"' QOO% - - - - -----------------------
..
>
~
ti
t
6 ·5.00%
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 20 12 2014 2016 20 18 2020
Yea rs
Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Workforce Statist ics and Eco no mic Research .
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
3
Job Openings have Surpassed Hires
5.0% 5 .0%
4.5% 4 .5%
4.0% 4 .0%
3.5% 3.5%
..,Cl
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g 2.5% 2.5% :r
.ll
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2.0% 2.0%
1.5% 1.5%
1.0% 1.0%
• Hire Rate
0.5% 0.5%
• Job Open in gs Rate
0.0% 0 .0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Year
Source : Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey .
4
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ef ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
Job Roles in Florida's Economy
Transform Florida Specialization
Science I Engineering I Design I Technology I Art
These jobs tend to be highly specialized and require an
This segment drives innovation and improved
advanced degree and/or are more technical in nature .
productivity.
Inform Florida Management and Professional Services
Teachers I Counselors I Professional Services
Jobs tend to be professional or management related .
Th is segment ensures citizens have information , They often require several years of experi ence in the
education and services needed for a high quality of life. field and/or a Bachelor's degree or higher.
Protect Florida Career Building
Emergency Services I Trades I Repair These jobs tend to be skilled professional or career
building in nature. They often require a post-
Th is segment provides essential services secondary certificate or certification
necessary for any community to function and grow. and/or a license .
Face of Florida Soft Skill Development
Sales I Entertainment I Basic Services Many are part-time jobs and do not require
education beyond high school. They may serve
This segment serves as the primary source as chance to build experience, gain soft skills
of state revenue through sales tax . and often are entry points in the labor market.
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT .J ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
5
Fastest Growing Industries in Florida 2018-2026
Top Industri es by Employm ent Growth Rate
Florid a
Ran ki ng Industry
1 Hea lth Care and Social Assistance
2 Educational Services
Management of Companies and
3
Enterprises
Pro fessional, Scientific, and
4
Technical Services
Administrat ive an d Support and
5
Waste Management and Remedi ..
6 Construct ion
Accommodation and Food
7
Services
8 Transportation and Warehousing -
9
Rea l Estate and Rent al and
Leas ing II
10
Arts, Ent erta inment. and
Recreation II
9% 10~0 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17%
Employment Growth Rat e
Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Workforce Statist ics and Economic Research, Occupational and Industry Employment Projections 2018-2026 .
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT '!! ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
6
Occupational Projections - Employment Changes 2018-2026
Occupat i ona l Gr oup Emp l oyment Grow th Rate
Group
Fa ce of Florida
Protect Florida
Inform Florida
Transform Florida
OK SOK lOOK lSOK ZOOK ZSOK 300K 3SOK 400K 4SOK
Level Change
Occupat iona l Gr oup Emp loyment Grow t h Rate
Group
Transform Florida
Inform Florida
Protect Florida
Fa ce of Florida
1.0% 2 .0 % 3.0% 4.0% 5 .0 % 6 .0 % 7.0% 8.0% 9 .0 % 10.0 % ll.0% 12.0% 1 3 .0% 14.0 %
Percent Growth
Source : Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Workforce St atistics and Economic Research .
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
7
2018 Population by Age Group - Florida
Age Group
18 -24
Prime Working Age
25-54
55-64
65-79
80+
OK SOO K lOOOK 1500K ZOOOK ZSOOK 3000K 3SOOK 4000K 4SOOK SOOOK SSOOK 6000K 6SOOK 7000K ?SOOK 8000K 8SOOK 9000K
2018 Population
Source: Source : U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies, LEHD (2017 Data)
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY 8
2030 Population by Age Group - Florida
Age Group
18-24
Prime Working Age
25-54
,._f.'u1 ,11 ..
55-64
+'!t -1.•• .. ~.
65-79
80+
OK SOOK lOOOK lSOOK 2000K 2SOOK 3000K 3SOOK 4000K 4SOOK SOOOK SSOOK 6000K 6SOOK 7000K 7SOOK 8000K 8500K 9000K
2030 Popul ati on
Source : Source : U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies, LEHO (2017 Data)
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ,t ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
9
Who Comes and Leaves Florida for Work - 2017
Net Job Flows
•
-1,430 3,090
-764
-1,224
-685
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic St udies, LEH O
2019 iipbo• OpenstreetM•p
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT o/ ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY 10
Future of Work
• Task Automation
• Machine Learning I Artificial Intelligence
• Autonomous Vehicles
• Platforms for Gig Work
• Improved Mobile Technology
• Changes in Employer I Employee Relationships
• Demographic Shifts
• Changing Consumer Preferences
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY 11
Future of Work
• Task Automation
• Machine Learning I Artificial Intelligence
• Autonomous Vehicles
I
• Platforms for Gig Work
• Improved Mobile Technology
• Changes in Employer I Employee Relationships
• Demographic Shifts
• Changing Consumer Preferences
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
12
Future of Work
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Occupation Rank by SML (Erik Brynjolfsson , Tom Mitchell, and Daniel Rock )
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
13
worker s In Alternati ve Arrangments as a % ofTota l l:rnployment
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Automation Potential by Industry - US by 2030
. . Annual l_a~or Automation
Industrial family product1v1ty t t"
qrow1h, 2000-16 po en ta 1
Accomm oda ion and Food Serv ices -0.8 % 73%
Manufactur ing 2.9% 59%
Transportation and arehousing 0.2% 58%
Agriculture, Forestry, fi shing and Hunt ing 3.3% 57%
Retail Trade 0.9% 53%
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Ext raction 3.2% 51%
Other Services (except Public Adminis ra ti on) -1.6% 49%
Const ruction -1.0% 47%
Whol esale Trade 1.7% 44%
Utilit ies -0.2% 43%
Finance and Insurance 1. % 42%
Ar ts, Entertainment, and Recreation 0.4% 41%
Administrative and Support and Waste anagement and
2. % 41%
Remediation Services
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 2.1% 40%
Governm ent -0.1% 37%
Hea lth Care and Social Assistance 0.2% 36%
Information 6.2% 35%
Management of Companies and Enterprises 0.1% 34%
Professional, Sci ent ific, and Technical Services 0.9% 34%
Educational Services -0.7% 27%
U.S. tot al 0 .8 % 46%
Source: Brookings analysis of 2016 American Community Survey 1-Year microdata
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ,f ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
15
Most Jobs are Not Highly Susceptible to Automation - 2030
Potential for automation
(volum e of tasks within th e j ob th at
are susceptible t o automation)
II High (70 % of mor e)
II Medium (30% - 70% )
II Low (0 % - 30%)
Source: Brookings analysis of BLS, Census, EMSI, and McKinsey data
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
16
The Share of Middle-Wage Jobs May Decline Further in the US
Occupational categories by wage ba:nd,1 % • Low • t,, id 2 • Hig
M agers
Heaflh p ofessi s
S E ,if proi essio a • ••
B si es!i/ leg p oiessi s lllle•IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIDIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII
a, i
es a darts manage me 3 54 43
Co ices 20 55 26
Mee ical i stallabon a d rep r 4 79 i7
De SU p1J1Drt 10 76 14
Bu lders 89 11
Produc io mr 36 58 6
Heatt des, tee nic d tel ness fil 37 6
IB 00 4
ice.a sales ol . 31 2
te ce and agricutt e
90 ' 10
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; McKinsey Global Institute analysis .
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
17
Employment Changes by Skill - Florida
Smoothed Employment Changes by Occupational Skill Percentile , Florida 1979-2014
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Skill Percentile (Ranked by Occupation's 1979 Mean Log Wage)
- - - 1979-1989 - • - 1989·1999 • • • 1999-2007 - • • - 2007·2014
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
18
Employment Changes by Skill - Florida
Smoothed Employment Changes by Occupational Skill Percentile, Florida 1979-2014
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Skill Percentile (Ra nke d by Occ upation's 1979 Mean Log W age)
- - - 1979- 1989 - • - 1989-1 999 1999-20 10 - • • - 2010-2014
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ef ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
19
Non-College Workers Will See Greater Job Change from Automation - 2030
54°/o
52°/o
490/o
4 5°/o
31°/o
29°/o
25°/o
Less t han High Some Bac helor's Gradu ate or Less t han a Bac helor's
hi gh school school co llege deg ree professional Bachelo r 's or higher
degree
Source : Brookings analysis of 2016 American Community Survey 1-Year microdata
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
20
Florida's Job Growth and Wage by Training Level
*Size of bubble indicates level of employment growth
•
1600%
1400%
1200%
Q)
ro • Less Than High School
CY
..c. 1000% • High School
j • Postsecondary Vocational
....
0
(9 • Associate
8.00% • Bachelor's
• Master's or Higher
6.00%
4.00%
$0 .00 $1000 $20 .00 $30.00 $40 .00 $50 .00
Median Wage
Source : Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Workforce Statistics and Economic Research .
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ef ECONOM IC OPPORTUNITY
21
Automation and Shifting Demand for Different Types of Skills
Skills that ar11 bocoming mor11 important
Skill Physical anc Basx: cog 1tJve Social and Tech ology
cat11gory ual emo io al
2017 hours
worked, 02 57 71 62 34
t>i llron
Change in 48
hours
work11d by
2030, %
9
-
B
-2
-14
Skills T Gooer equ,pme t T Bas:ic data i put A Creativity A Entrepre11eur p A Advariced IT ski Is
opernt 10 and and proces ng and it e and p ogrammi g
v1g,atJon
A Campi infer tion
T Basic literacy, processi d A l.eadersh p d A Basic dlQ- skil ls
I spec, gand numeracy, d i le pretation anag ng ers
momtonng commu icabon
Source : US Bureau of Labor Statistics; McKinsey Global Institute analysis .
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ef ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
22
Workers Lack Soft Skills More Often than Hard Skills
Soft & Hard Skills Gap Totals
Communication 46,604
Reliability 46,066
Leadership 37,881
Problem-Solving 23,417
Information Technology/Research 21,603 • Soft Ski lls
• Hard Skills
Other - 7,945
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Source : Skills Gap and Job Vacancy Survey, Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Workforce Statistics and Economic Research
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ef ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
23
Smaller & Rural Places Will Face More Automation Risk
Average Automation Potential
90th by County
54 % Percentile
., 50th
10th
--
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> ~ 31.6% -44%
< 42 %
c=i 44% -4 6%
40 % 1111 4 6% - 48%
Nonmet ro areas Met ro ar eas Nonmet ro Me ro 1111 48% - 50%
Small
<2.SK
Medium
2.SK · 20K
Large
>20K
Small
<250K
Medium
<250K - I mil
Large
>I mil
1111 50% - 6 4 .4%
Source : Brookings analysis of BLS, Census, EMSI , Moody's, and McKinsey data
24
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT ef ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
Net job Gains are Concentrated in Urban Areas 2017 -2030
Net growth, %
0
• > 15
• 10- 15
• 5-10
• 0-5
<O
,.
,. ,,-
Sotff'ce: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; McKinsey Globa l Institute analysis .
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
25
Future of Work - What We Do Know
• Common Themes among major studies:
• Job elimination is most likely in very routine office or production
tasks. Most of this has already occurred.
• In the future , most jobs will be redesigned not eliminated .
• The shift to autonomous vehicles and machine learning is happening
faster than disruptions of the past, but may not happen as fast as we
once thought.
• Although there will be an inflection point that is hard to predict.
• Thinking back to our pyramid:
• Face of Florida - most susceptible , shift towards more specialized
service delivery
• Protect Florida - impact to speed and quality of services
• Inform Florida - change access to education , information and high
end services
• Transform Florida - accelerate all of these changes
F LORIDA DEPARTMENT ,J ECONOM IC OPPORTUNITY
26
Contact Information
Thank You.
If you have questions or comments about this presentation or need to
discuss a future project, please contact us.
WSER.info@deo.myflorida.com
Visit: floridajobs.org/wser
DEO Bureau of Workforce Statistics and Economic Research
Adrienne Johnston: 850-245-7257
FLORIDA DEPARTMENT of ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY
27
Overview
• The Florida Talent Development Council {FTDC) is tasked with
creating a strategic plan to ensure 60 percent of working-age
Floridians hold a high-value postsecondary credential by 2030.
• The FTDC is tasked with developing a strategic plan by December
31, 2019.
• The FTDC is administered by the Florida Department of Economic
Opportunity.
Update
• The FTDC held its first meeting on October 7, 2019.
• During the meeting, stakeholders and subject matter experts
provided background information on workforce efforts in the state
of Florida.
• The FTDC created workgroups based on five strategic priorities.
• The workgroups are tasked with developing and proposing goals,
benchmarks and strategies for the strategic plan .
• FTDC members volunteered to participate in, lead and provide
designees for the workgroups.
File and source
- File
- 2019-10-23_3015_workforce-development-tourism-subcommittee_meeting-packets_mtg12279.pdf
- Size
- 9,409,458 bytes
- SHA-256
- 9506be915658643c2896e0efbc5b0a331d0abedde01849ab2e741c6cad6639bc
- Original
- No public link identified.