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Derived table · Unemployment insurance

Unemployment fraud and overpayment figures, by what they measure

Official figures for fraud, improper payments and overpayments in the pandemic unemployment programs, by what each measures: 32 figures.

Download CSV 27 KBData dictionary CSVAt a glancePreviewColumnsHow to useBefore you quote a row

At a glance

Measured on the served file on 2026-09-24; the checksum above is the file these numbers describe.

Rows32
Columns24
Keyestimate_id · unique
Cells left blank108 of 768 · 14.1%
Figures32
Documents11
Definition classes11

What it is

One row is one figure as one document prints it: the Government Accountability Office's statistical estimate of fraud, the Labor Department inspector general's improper-payment and potential-fraud figures, the Labor Department's own improper payment rates, the overpayments states established and recovered, and the inspector general's counts of people charged and convicted. Each row carries a definition class, derived from the documents themselves, that says what kind of quantity the figure is; definition-classes.csv defines each of the 11 classes.

The method is the one used for the site's table of pandemic fraud estimates across all programs, applied to unemployment insurance and extended to figures that table does not hold. Six of these rows repeat figures that table already carries (GAO-23-106696 and the inspector general's $191 billion, $163 billion, $45.6 billion, $30.4 billion and $9.9 billion).

How it was built

Figures were copied from the documents. amount_as_printed keeps the document's string; amount_low and amount_high hold it as a number for sorting, with unit saying whether that number is dollars, people or a percentage. Every verbatim span was found again in the document file when the table was built (32 of 32), with whitespace collapsed and typographic ligatures folded, and pinned to its PDF page. The SHA-256 of each file is in the row.

The Labor Department's improper payment rates come from PaymentAccuracy.gov, the federal government's improper payments site, which draws them as a chart; the rows quote the value in the page's chart data and the outlays sentence printed beside it.

Preview

estimate_idissuerissuer_typedocument_titledocument_iddocument_dateprograms_coveredissuer_term_verbatimdefinition_classclass_groupamount_as_printedamount_qualifieramount_lowamount_highunitdenominator_as_printedshare_as_printedperiod_coverednoteverbatim_spanpindocument_sha256onsite_pagepublic_url
GAO106696-01U.S. Government Accountability Officeaudit agencyUnemployment Insurance: Estimated Amount of Fraud during Pa…GAO-23-1066962023-09All UI programs, including PUA, PEUC, FPUC and MEUCfraudFRAUD-ESTIMATE-STATISTICALfraud estimatelikely between $100 billion and $135 billionlikely between100000000000135000000000USDabout 11 percent and 15 percent, respectively, of the total…April 2020 through May 2023GAO estimates that the amount of fraud in unemployment insu…PDF page 2d27a191447769930433b1374c788ab8e90361fabc96ea62b34f583aaebc…/source-documents/2023-05-01-gao-23-106696-unemployment-ins…https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-23-106696.pdf
DOLOIG191-01U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalThe Greatest Theft of American Tax Dollars: Unchecked Unemp…DOL-OIG testimony, February 8, 20232023-02-08Pandemic UI programsimproper paymentsIMPROPER-PAYMENTSimproper paymentat least $191 billionat least; could have been191000000000USDapproximate $888 billion in pandemic UI expenditures21.52 percent improper payment rateUI pandemic periodDerived by applying DOL's regular-UI improper payment rate …21.52 percent improper payment rate to the approximate $888…PDF page 80b256f5aae55f06d4b84a829e6d38eabdefb9e0d0933086d9a1c23dbf00…/court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2023-02-08-te…https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG163-01U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalThe Greatest Theft of American Tax Dollars: Unchecked Unemp…DOL-OIG testimony, February 8, 20232023-02-08Pandemic UI programsimproper paymentsIMPROPER-PAYMENTSimproper paymentat least $163 billionat least; could have been163000000000USDan estimated $872.5 billion in federal pandemic UI funding18.71 percentAs estimated in 2021The OIG's earlier figure, restated in the same testimony.applying the 18.71 percent to an estimated $872.5 billion i…PDF page 80b256f5aae55f06d4b84a829e6d38eabdefb9e0d0933086d9a1c23dbf00…/court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2023-02-08-te…https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG54-01U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalAlert Memorandum: The Employment and Training Administratio…DOL-OIG alert memorandum, February 22, 20212021-02-22Regular and pandemic UIpotentially fraudulent UI benefitsPOTENTIALLY-FRAUDULENT-DISBURSEDpotential fraudmore than $5.4 billionmore than5400000000USDMarch 2020 through October 2020The '1' after the amount is a footnote marker in the docume…We identified more than $5.4 billion 1 of potentially fraud…PDF page 1604f4b8daea3113286d6855f1b2166394a64fc8ad7a27924ec857562efb…/court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2021-02-22-al…https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG16-01U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalAlert Memorandum: Potentially Fraudulent Unemployment Insur…DOL-OIG report 19-22-005-03-3152022-09-21Regular and pandemic UIpotentially fraudulent unemployment insurance (UI) pandemic…POTENTIALLY-FRAUDULENT-DISBURSEDpotential fraudmore than $16 billionmore than16000000000USDAs identified in the February and June 2021 memorandaRestates the combined total of the OIG's February and June …cumulatively identified more than $16 billion 3 in potentia…PDF page 130520a615021aceaa6cba9a5cf04d12e63ffbfe9f7fd77a5c11cf2da307…/court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2022-09-21-al…https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG456-01U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalAlert Memorandum: Potentially Fraudulent Unemployment Insur…DOL-OIG report 19-22-005-03-3152022-09-21Regular and pandemic UIcumulative total for these high-risk areasPOTENTIALLY-FRAUDULENT-DISBURSEDpotential fraud$45.6 billioncumulative total45600000000USDMarch 2020 to April 2022The four high-risk areas are Social Security numbers filed …raising the cumulative total for these high-risk areas to $…PDF page 230520a615021aceaa6cba9a5cf04d12e63ffbfe9f7fd77a5c11cf2da307…/court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2022-09-21-al…https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG4ST-01U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalCOVID-19: ETA and States Did Not Protect Pandemic-Related U…DOL-OIG report 19-22-006-03-3152022-09-30PUA and FPUC in four tested statespaid improperlyIMPROPER-PAYMENTSimproper payment$30.4 billionestimated30400000000USD$71.7 billion in PUA and FPUC benefits42.4 percentMarch 28, 2020, through September 30, 2020Four states only; the OIG does not project this to the nati…we estimated $30.4 billion of the $71.7 billion in PUA and …PDF page 281e38c30a733b8f8756ad459ac01365fb3987282e125d1fda47d5000e75…/court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2022-09-30-au…https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG4ST-02U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalCOVID-19: ETA and States Did Not Protect Pandemic-Related U…DOL-OIG report 19-22-006-03-3152022-09-30PUA and FPUC in four tested statespaid to likely fraudstersLIKELY-FRAUD-SAMPLEpotential fraud$9.9 billionestimated9900000000USDMarch 28, 2020, through September 30, 2020A subset of the $30.4 billion in the row above.We estimated $9.9 billion of that was paid to likely frauds…PDF page 281e38c30a733b8f8756ad459ac01365fb3987282e125d1fda47d5000e75…/court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2022-09-30-au…https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG25-01U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalETA and State Workforce Agencies Need to Do More to Recover…DOL-OIG report 19-25-003-03-3152025-04-01PUA, PEUC and FPUC, all 53 state workforce agenciesoverpayments that should have been establishedIMPROPER-PAYMENTSimproper payment$118.1 billionestimated118100000000USDApril 1, 2020, through September 30, 2022Prepared for the OIG by Regis & Associates, PC, using ETA's…We performed a similar analysis for all SWAs and estimated …PDF page 13f42762fbfebb40bd5cf432f76bf837d2f63282866212d2cae6462a4d7fa…/source-documents/2020-04-01-recovery-act/https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…
DOLOIG25-02U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector Generalinspector generalETA and State Workforce Agencies Need to Do More to Recover…DOL-OIG report 19-25-003-03-3152025-04-01PUA, PEUC and FPUC, all 53 state workforce agenciesreported established overpaymentsOVERPAYMENTS-ESTABLISHEDestablished (administrative determination)$36.9 billionas reported by the states36900000000USDApril 1, 2020, through September 30, 2022This amount is much higher than the reported established ov…PDF page 14f42762fbfebb40bd5cf432f76bf837d2f63282866212d2cae6462a4d7fa…/source-documents/2020-04-01-recovery-act/https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/rep…

First 10 of 32 rows · cells longer than 60 characters are cut with an ellipsis · shown as text, unformatted.

Files

FileRowsSizeSHA-256
ui-fraud-estimates.csv
CSV, UTF-8, header row
3227,173 Ba5051a3f6d8a6a4eda0ee83bdd748fa635911bd65596b624c504ff868f90d9feDownload ↓
dictionary.csv
data dictionary, 29 rows
29—built with this pageDownload ↓
definition-classes.csv
one-line definition of each class
112,161 B45c15825278b9f78a5be651ad9fbae7c77a568eba7fedf3aa2f0af8877cb160fDownload ↓
README.md
what the table is, what it does not measure, and how every number can be checked
—5,696 Bad35a7d6d645bc5b5db57b87d39bc50af68c560b4b88fb9fe5bf1f65ed3c2ac4Download ↓
SHA256SUMS
SHA-256 of every other file on this page
—0 B—Download ↓

Columns

ColumnType, measuredBlankDistinctRange / valuesMeaning
estimate_idtext032Stable identifier: issuer-document token plus a sequence or program suffix.
issuertext06U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector General (14), U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (9), U.S. Department of Labor (reported on PaymentAccuracy.gov) (5), U.S. Department of Labor Office of Inspector General (reported in the COVID-19 Fraud Enforcement Task Force 2024 Report) (2), U.S. Government Accountability Office (1), U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (as reported by DOL-OIG) (1)The body that published the figure, as it names itself; where one body reports another's figure, both are named.
issuer_typetext03inspector general (16), disbursing agency (15), audit agency (1)inspector general, audit agency or disbursing agency.
document_titletext012UIPL No. 11-26, Attachment I: Pandemic Overpayments Established and Recovered by State (9), ETA and State Workforce Agencies Need to Do More to Recover Pandemic UI Program Improper Payments (5), PaymentAccuracy.gov: Employment & Training Administration - Federal State Unemployment Insurance (5), The Greatest Theft of American Tax Dollars: Unchecked Unemployment Fraud (testimony) (2), Alert Memorandum: Potentially Fraudulent Unemployment Insurance Payments in High-Risk Areas Increased to $45.6 Billion (2), COVID-19: ETA and States Did Not Protect Pandemic-Related UI Funds from Improper Payments Including Fraud or from Payment Delays (2)Title of the document the figure appears in.
document_idtext011UIPL No. 11-26 (9), DOL-OIG report 19-25-003-03-315 (6), PaymentAccuracy.gov program page (5), DOL-OIG testimony, February 8, 2023 (2), DOL-OIG report 19-22-005-03-315 (2), DOL-OIG report 19-22-006-03-315 (2)The issuer's report number or a short description of the document.
document_datetext0112026-05-18 (9), 2025-04-01 (6), 2026-09-23 (retrieved) (5), 2023-02-08 (2), 2022-09-21 (2), 2022-09-30 (2)Date of the document, ISO format; a month where the document gives only a month.
programs_coveredtext012PUA, PEUC and FPUC, all 53 state workforce agencies (5), State UI, UCFE, UCX, EB, EUC08, PEUC and FPUC (the page's list for its monetary-loss calculation); PUA is not in it (5), PUA (4), Regular and pandemic UI (3), FPUC (3), PEUC (3)The unemployment programs the figure covers, in the document's terms.
issuer_term_verbatimtext021The document's own words for what the figure counts, copied from the span.
definition_classtext011IMPROPER-PAYMENT-RATE (6), IMPROPER-PAYMENTS (5), POTENTIALLY-FRAUDULENT-DISBURSED (4), OVERPAYMENTS-ESTABLISHED (4), OVERPAYMENTS-RECOVERED (4), PROGRAM-SIZE (3)What kind of quantity the figure is, from definition-classes.csv. Figures in different classes measure different things.
class_grouptext07improper payment (11), recovery measure (6), potential fraud (5), established (administrative determination) (4), program size (3), charged or convicted (2)The broad group the class belongs to: fraud estimate, improper payment, potential fraud, established (administrative determination), recovery measure, charged or convicted, or program size.
amount_as_printedtext032The figure exactly as the document prints it, with its words. For the PaymentAccuracy.gov rates, the value in the page's chart data.
amount_qualifiertext011as reported by the states (10), rate as published in the page's chart data (5), more than (3), estimated (3), as printed (3), at least; could have been (2)The document's hedge on the figure (at least, more than, estimated, likely between) or how it was reported.
amount_lownumber03213.14 – 443.6B · median 7.7BThe figure as a number, for sorting: dollars, a count, or a percentage, as the unit column says. The lower end where the document prints a range.
amount_highinteger311135B – 135B · median 135BThe upper end of a range; blank where the document prints a single figure.
unittext04USD (24), percent of outlays (5), people (2), percent (1)What amount_low counts: USD, people, percent of outlays or percent.
denominator_as_printedtext2012approximate $888 billion in pandemic UI expenditures (1), an estimated $872.5 billion in federal pandemic UI funding (1), $71.7 billion in PUA and FPUC benefits (1), $49.6 billion in established nonfraudulent UI overpayments (1), $443.62 billion total benefits paid (1), $131.75 billion total benefits paid (1)What the document divides by or compares against, in its words; blank where it gives none.
share_as_printedtext266about 11 percent and 15 percent, respectively, of the total amount of UI benefits paid during the pandemic (1), 21.52 percent improper payment rate (1), 18.71 percent (1), 42.4 percent (1), 22 percent (1), of which 17 percent was the overpayment rate (1)The share or rate the document attaches to the figure, in its words.
period_coveredtext117The period the figure covers, in the document's words.
notetext1616What the row does and does not establish, written for this table. Not a quotation.
verbatim_spantext024The words of the document that carry the figure, with whitespace collapsed and typographic ligatures folded.
pintext010PDF page 18 (9), PDF page 2 (5), page text (5), PDF page 8 (2), PDF page 1 (2), PDF page 13 (2)Where the span sits: the PDF page, or 'page text' for a web page.
document_sha256text011f9e95eff3dd00df9e6d1bbf090923e77c135d8f3e0975fef60103ce3a52843ae (9), f42762fbfebb40bd5cf432f76bf837d2f63282866212d2cae6462a4d7fa6ff0a (6), cbf4c67a9dd3c35a928baa96d8a8b1b357ff5afa60ddbae8c13c42cc858adbcd (5), 0b256f5aae55f06d4b84a829e6d38eabdefb9e0d0933086d9a1c23dbf0064e52 (2), 30520a615021aceaa6cba9a5cf04d12e63ffbfe9f7fd77a5c11cf2da30797654 (2), 81e38c30a733b8f8756ad459ac01365fb3987282e125d1fda47d5000e752037e (2)SHA-256 of the file the span was checked against.
onsite_pagetext149/source-documents/2020-04-01-recovery-act/ (6), /court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2023-02-08-testimony-greatest-theft/ (2), /court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2022-09-21-alert-potentially-fraudulent-ui-payments/ (2), /court-filings/dol-oig-unemployment-insurance/2022-09-30-audit-eta-states-did-not-protect-ui-funds/ (2), /source-documents/2024-04-09-covid-19-fraud-enforcement-task-force-2024-report-april-2024-council-of-the-ins/ (2), /source-documents/2023-05-01-gao-23-106696-unemployment-insurance-estimated-amount-of-fraud-during-pandemic/ (1)Address on pandemicdarlings.com of the page that serves the document; blank where the site has no page for it.
public_urltext011https://www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov/files/ETA/advisories/UIPL/2026/UIPL%2011-26/UIPL%2011-26%20Complete.pdf (9), https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/reports/2025-04/19-25-003-03-315%20COVID-19%20-%20UI%20Improper%20Payments%20Final%20Rpt_040125.pdf (6), https://paymentaccuracy.gov/program/dol-employment-training-administration-federal-state-unemplo-f85701dc (5), https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/reports/2024-04/19-23-003-03-315.pdf (2), https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/reports/2022-09/19-22-005-03-315.pdf (2), https://www.oversight.gov/sites/default/files/documents/reports/2022-10/19-22-006-03-315-COVID-19-ETA-and-States-Did-Not-Protect-Pandemic-Related-UI-Funds-Improper-Payments.pdf (2)The document's address on the issuer's website.

Type, blanks, distinct count, and range are measured on the file. The same table as CSV: dictionary.csv.

How to use it

Specific to this file, measured on it: keys, joins, encodings, units, and the values that will trip a naive count.

  • One row per estimate_id. Filter on definition_class or class_group before comparing any two rows.
  • amount_low is not always dollars. The unit column says whether it is USD, people or a percentage.
  • onsite_page is blank for 14 rows whose documents have no page on this site; public_url is always filled.
  • LF line endings, UTF-8, 27,173 bytes.

Before you quote a row

  • Do not add the rows. They sit in 11 classes and several overlap: the $9.9 billion is part of the $30.4 billion, the $16 billion is part of the $45.6 billion, and the established, recovered and waived amounts are pieces of the same overpayments. Adding across rows produces a number no issuer published.
  • Improper payment is not fraud. The inspector general's "at least $191 billion" applies the Labor Department's 21.52 percent improper payment rate to about $888 billion in pandemic unemployment spending; improper payments include error and ineligibility as well as fraud, and the inspector general says only that "a significant portion" was fraud.
  • Only one row estimates fraud itself. GAO's range of $100 billion to $135 billion, for April 2020 through May 2023, is the only statistical estimate of the amount of fraud in the table.
  • Potential fraud is flagged, not found. The $5.4 billion, $16 billion and $45.6 billion are payments to Social Security numbers the inspector general's data matching flagged in four high-risk areas: filed in multiple states, belonging to deceased people, belonging to federal prisoners, or used with suspicious email accounts.
  • The published rates leave PUA out. PaymentAccuracy.gov lists the programs in the Labor Department's monetary-loss calculation as "traditional state UI, UCFE, UCX, EB, EUC08 benefits, and PEUC and FPUC CARES Act benefits". The 35.9 percent PUA rate comes from a separate Employment and Training Administration review, as the inspector general reports it; that review, the inspector general says, "was not designed to produce a statistically valid rate for individual states".
  • Established overpayments are determinations, and far below the estimates. States reported $36.9 billion established in PUA, PEUC and FPUC through September 30, 2022; the inspector general estimated $118.1 billion should have been.
  • Counts of people are for a stated window. The 512 charged and 531 convicted are the Labor Department inspector general's figures for August 2022 through December 31, 2023, reported in the Justice Department task force's 2024 report. They are not totals since 2020.
  • Each row is fixed to its document's date. Later documents restate or revise figures; where a document restates an earlier figure, the row says so.
  • No row is a finding by this archive, and the table draws no conclusion about the true amount of fraud. It covers only figures in documents the archive can show. Claims made in public without a published method are not included.
Cite this table. Name the source vintage; the numbers depend on it.Unemployment fraud and overpayment figures, by what they measure, compiled from GAO, U.S. Department of Labor, Department of Labor Office of Inspector General and Justice Department documents dated 2021-02-22 to 2026-05-18, and PaymentAccuracy.gov retrieved 2026-09-23. Pandemic Darlings, https://pandemicdarlings.com/data/ui-fraud-estimates/, SHA-256 a5051a3f6d8a6a4eda0ee83bdd748fa635911bd65596b624c504ff868f90d9fe
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